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Chapter 4
Rohan Mukherjee
Introduction
On the 24th of July 1991, Dr. Manmohan Singh — then India’s Finance
Minister — presented in the annual budget speech to Parliament a plan for
the comprehensive overhauling and liberalization of the Indian economy.
During the preceding two years, India had rapidly approached the brink of
an economic crisis, facing an unprecedented and severe shortage of foreign
exchange reserves, a severely devalued currency, low investor confidence, a
high fiscal deficit, and double-digit inflation. In announcing a sweeping
reform program intended to significantly reduce government control over
the economy, Dr. Singh at the end of his budget speech quoted Victor
Hugo: “No power on earth can stop an idea whose time has come,” he said.
“I suggest to this august House that the emergence of India as a major eco-
nomic power in the world happens to be one such idea” (Government of
India, 1991).
These words turned out to be prophetic. Over the next two decades,
Indian citizens witnessed their lives and prospects improve remarkably, with
the economy growing at a rapid clip. As trade and financial integration with
global markets expanded, the effects were felt in almost all corners of society.
Externally, India began to gain the attention of the great powers of the post-
Cold War world, especially the United States and China. A more confident
India began developing new strategic partnerships with a host of nations
previously off Delhi’s radar. By the new millennium, India was invited to
the high table at key multilateral groupings, notably in the World Trade
75
76 R. Mukherjee
78 R. Mukherjee
rethinking of U.S. policy toward the region. Whereas earlier American poli-
cymakers tended to view the South Asian region as a whole — to hyphenate,
as it were, India and Pakistan — new arguments emerged for a stronger
bilateral engagement with India as a strategic partner that did not pose a
threat to U.S. interests and might in fact be a valuable asset (Cohen, 1998).
India, for its part, gradually abandoned its traditional antipathy toward the
West and began a rapprochement with the U.S., which was now the only
game in town and a significant source of investment and trade for the
expanding Indian economy. The payoff arrived soon enough, when President
George W. Bush and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh signed a framework
for Indo-U.S. strategic cooperation in July 2005. Most importantly, this
agreement paved the way for what came to be known as the Indo-U.S.
Nuclear Deal, according to which India would be brought out of the diplo-
matic isolation into which it had been cast by its first nuclear test in 1974.
The final agreement, concluded in 2008, allowed India to resume civilian
nuclear cooperation with the U.S. and other countries, and in particular to
engage in nuclear commerce that many argued would indirectly benefit
India’s nuclear weapons program. Proliferation and nuclear security issues
aside, the deal signified a major breakthrough in India–U.S. relations, one
with significant ramifications for India’s relations with its neighbors —
especially Pakistan and China.
The greatest achievement for Indian foreign policy with regard to the
U.S. is that in the new millennium, U.S.–India relations and U.S.–Pakistan
relations run on different tracks. Indeed, as one observer has pointed out,
India is part of a “new [strategic] triangle” involving China and the U.S.,
with Pakistan a secondary concern (Varshney, 2006). Today, India and the
U.S. cooperate on a variety of issues, including science and technology, agri-
culture, energy, defense, disaster relief, maritime security, and investment.
The relationship has never been broader or deeper, though it is not without
challenges. Chief among the challenges is a mismatch between India’s self-
perception and America’s strategic view of India: as one analyst has argued,
since the Second World War, the U.S. has faced allies, adversaries and subor-
dinate states (for example, Britain, the Soviet Union and Pakistan, respec-
tively), but it has never encountered a partner, i.e., a country such as India
that “does not pose any strategic challenge to the U.S., but at the same time
it does not automatically fall in with America’s desires and seeks to advance
its own interests” (Raghavan, 2011). Consequently, the U.S. desire for greater
cooperation in line with its own interests is often (legitimately) frustrated by
India’s own foreign policy objectives.
80 R. Mukherjee
visits between the two nations. Although India cited China as the “number
one threat” motivating its nuclear test of 1998 (Express News Service, 1998),
Sino-Indian relations since the end of the Cold War have been relatively stable
compared to the earlier decades. China remains a major arms donor to
Pakistan, but its rhetoric on India–Pakistan issues has gradually shifted from
one of involvement to one of detachment, casting issues such as Kashmir in
bilateral (i.e., India–Pakistan) terms rather than terms calling for third-party
interference.
The overall trend in Sino-Indian relations remains positive, yet potential
flashpoints exist. The border issue remains intractable. The prospect of pro-
gress through dialogue was belied for Delhi when Chinese Premier Wen
Jiabao on a visit to India in 2010 stated flatly that the border issue “will not
be easy to resolve … it requires patience” (Chakravarty, 2010). This state-
ment prompted a recent group of prominent Indian strategists and public
intellectuals to urge the Indian government to upgrade its border infrastruc-
ture and develop capabilities to deter a Chinese attack (Khilnani et al.,
2012). Tibet is another potential source of conflict. China remains extremely
sensitive to the Dalai Lama’s leadership of the Tibetan government-in-exile
in India, along with approximately 100,000 Tibetan refugees living in India.
In an effort to undermine Chinese attempts to interfere in the appointment
of his successor, in 2011 the Dalai Lama took the unprecedented step of
renouncing political leadership of the Tibetan diaspora and passing the man-
tle to an elected Prime Minister, Lobsang Sangay, who will be located in the
Indian town of Dharamsala, the seat of the Tibetan government-in-exile.
This move ensured that while the Chinese government may claim to have
“found” the religious successor to the Dalai Lama in China, the Tibetans’
political leader will remain in India. More worrisome for Delhi is the poten-
tial for Sangay to take on more radical stances toward the Chinese than the
Dalai Lama (Madhukar, 2011). If this were the case, India could be unwit-
tingly drawn into a standoff between Tibetans in exile and the Chinese
government.
While certain redline issues such as Tibet and the border may spark an
India–China conflict, trade offers some reason to be hopeful. India–China
trade has increased steadily since the end of the Cold War and stands at
US$73 billion in 2011 (Gupta and Wang, 2012), making China India’s largest
trading partner. Although the structure of bilateral trade advantages China —
India largely exports raw materials to and imports capital goods from China,
and currently runs a trade deficit with China amounting to US$27 billion in
2011 (Ibid.) — the growing mutual dependence between the Asian giants is
a positive sign, suggesting that the low politics of trade might gradually cre-
ate the bedrock for more conciliatory high politics (Athwal, 2008,
pp. 11–12).
82 R. Mukherjee
civil war has receded, and as the civil war itself has come to a close with a
decisive victory for the government against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil
Eelam (LTTE), India has found it easier to maintain a distance from Sri
Lankan affairs except in the face of domestic political pressure from Indian
Tamils to protect and promote the interests of Tamils in Sri Lanka. This
pressure is exacerbated by the weight of Tamil Nadu’s two regional political
parties in any coalition government that forms in Delhi. With regard to
Bangladesh, relations have improved since the election of Sheikh Hasina as
Prime Minister of Bangladesh in 2009 and her historic visits to India in 2010
and 2012, as well as Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s visit to Bangladesh
in 2011 during which India and Bangladesh made record progress on border
demarcation and trade (though they were unable to move forward a long-
standing water-sharing dispute). Improvements in India’s relations with its
neighbors, while encouraging, will however remain hostage to political
winds in the latter countries, more so than in the normal course of states’
domestic politics because South Asia’s states exhibit considerable weakness
(see Paul, 2012).
84 R. Mukherjee
first, in 1950, coincided with the Korean War. India emphasized the need for
peaceful resolution of the conflict; when this did not appear likely and the
U.N. instead decided to send troops to defend South Korea, India met its
obligation by sending a field ambulance unit.
India went on to develop a reputation as a “champion of peaceful
settlement” (Schleicher and Bains, 1969, p. 108) at the U.N., contributing
peacekeeping troops, military observers, and humanitarian aid to conflicts in
the Israel–Egypt conflict, Lebanon, Yemen, the Congo, Cyprus, and
Indonesia (Bullion, 1997). Its next term was in 1967, during which it criti-
cized Israel’s role in the Middle East conflict involving Israel, Egypt, Jordan,
and Syria. This stance was in keeping with India’s staunchly pro-Third World
and pro-Arab leanings, the latter arising in no small part from India’s own
large Muslim population. A few years later, India ran afoul of the UNSC and
most countries in the world by intervening in a conflict in East Pakistan.
Delhi narrowly avoided diplomatic isolation through Prime Minister Indira
Gandhi’s hectic diplomacy and the support of the Soviet Union, which
vetoed three UNSC resolutions calling for a ceasefire in the immediate after-
math of India’s entry into the conflict. India returned to the UNSC for a
third term in 1972 and once again weighed in on the side of the Arab states
in the Middle East conflict.
During its fourth term in 1977, India took strong positions against the
apartheid regime in South Africa’s treatment of its citizens and neighboring
countries. These themes continued in India’s fifth term in 1984, during
which India condemned the involvement of South Africa and Israel in the
internal affairs of their neighbors while itself beginning a period of extensive
involvement — both overt and covert — in neighboring Sri Lanka’s civil war.
This gap between rhetoric and practice had so far characterized India’s
approach to international security at the U.N., where on the one hand it
advocated the protection of state sovereignty while on the other hand itself
intervening in the affairs of other states.
India returned for a sixth term on the UNSC in 1991, which was a crucial
time for both India and the world body. Inter-state and intra-state conflicts
that had remained somewhat muted or static in the Cold War stalemate now
began to emerge and re-emerge with the disappearance of the Soviet Union
as a superpower. During India’s tenure, the UNSC dealt with conflicts involv-
ing a range of countries including Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Israel, Lebanon,
Cyprus, the former Yugoslavia (and its successor states), Libya, Angola,
Somalia, Liberia, South Africa, Mozambique, and Cambodia. As the U.N.’s
appetite for humanitarian intervention increased through the 1990s, India
repeatedly counseled restraint for both normative and prudential reasons. In
the post-Cold War World, it appeared that India’s rhetoric did match its
practices, as Delhi began steering clear of unilateral intervention in conflicts
in its neighborhood as well as multilateral intervention in conflicts elsewhere.
Even as far as its own security challenges were concerned, India eschewed
multilateral approaches. In stark contrast to Nehru’s actions of 1948, when
Pakistan invaded the Kargil sector of Kashmir in 1999 Delhi did not consider
any form of multilateral action but instead chose to repel the attack and rely
on back-channel diplomacy routed through the U.S. to bring Pakistan to the
negotiating table. A similar approach was evident in India’s reactions to the
major terrorist attacks perpetrated by Pakistan-backed Lashkar-e-Taiba in
2001 and 2008.
India returned to the UNSC a far more confident and self-assured inter-
locutor for a seventh term in 2011, which rapidly turned into an exceptionally
challenging and active year for the UNSC. Crises in Libya and Syria posed
real challenges for the Council and created deep divisions within the P-5 as
well as between the Brazil–Russia–India–China (BRIC) grouping of powers
and the Western powers. In March 2011, India — along with Brazil, China,
Russia and Germany — abstained on a resolution authorizing multilateral
military intervention in Libya. Later in the year, India abstained on a draft
resolution — vetoed by Russia and China — condemning the Syrian regime
for its brutal crackdown on anti-government protesters. In both cases, India
offered clear and well-argued reasons for its decisions, though it failed to
provide any reasonable alternatives to the proposals put forward by the reso-
lutions’ sponsors. At best, India’s argument came down to the need for a
“calibrated and gradual approach” (Permanent Mission, 2011) that respected
the sovereignty of the states in question, though it did not do much to elu-
cidate the details of such an approach.
86 R. Mukherjee
country, the more autonomous it can afford to be. It stands to reason that
countries that can bring significant military and economic resources to bear
on their challenges can earn for themselves a greater degree of strategic
autonomy than weaker countries. However, India’s case shows that even
weak countries, if they are skillful in their use of diplomacy and the instru-
ments of moral suasion, can secure a larger degree of autonomy in world
affairs than their material capabilities might allow.
This thinking was in large part the motivation behind India’s Cold War
foreign policy of non-alignment. Although Indian decision-makers were chas-
tised by the world community for their naivety and idealism, and many a
contemporary retrospective on that period has passed similar judgment, there
is a sense in which non-alignment was the only policy that could create the
space for India to pursue its national interests with maximum autonomy given
the intensely polarized conditions of the Cold War. Nehru’s brainchild, non-
alignment was a policy that required “adjustment to both sides, all the time,
obstinately defending and projecting genuine independence, the real power
to choose and not be compelled to accept the policies of other states rooted
in their national interests” (Damodaran, 2000, p. 116). In practice, it meant
that every time a situation requiring a response or action from India arose,
India’s decision-makers would evaluate their options keeping only the
national interest and the merits of the case in mind. Alliances were therefore
imprudent, because they restricted the scope of choice available in these situ-
ations. Although India’s actions showed otherwise, its leaders were open to
ad hoc mutually beneficial relations with both the Soviet Union and the U.S.,
even after the U.S. developed a thriving alliance with Pakistan.
Strategic autonomy as the underlying motive of Indian foreign policy has
remained a constant since 1947. Even today, influential thinkers in the realm
of Indian foreign policy advocate policies designed to achieve strategic auton-
omy. Indeed, this “defining value and continuous goal” of Indian foreign
policy (Khilnani et al., 2012, p. 6) has been a source of frustration for those
seeking closer ties with Delhi. In particular, the U.S. has found India extraor-
dinarily uncooperative and independent-minded when it comes to issues such
as sanctioning Iran for its nuclear program, intervening in Libya and Syria,
promoting democracy in Myanmar, and awarding defense contracts to
American suppliers. Needless to say, strategic autonomy is not a positive for-
eign policy; India seeks the negative goal of autonomy, but is unclear what this
autonomy is to be used for. The current state of affairs calls for grand strategy,
which India has often been accused of lacking (Tanham, 1992). Until such
strategizing takes place, India’s contemporary partners are likely to continue
being frustrated by Delhi’s proclivity for autonomous foreign policy, which
Idealism to pragmatism
This particular characterization of change in India’s foreign policy is perhaps
overly simplistic, though simplicity in this case has the value of elucidating a
vital divide in Indian strategic thinking between “Nehruvians” and others.
Idealism in Indian foreign policy is associated primarily with Jawaharlal
Nehru, and is defined by the so-called utopian notion that the constant threat
of war in international relations can be overcome through “international laws
and institutions, military restraint, negotiations and compromise, coopera-
tion, free intercourse between societies, and regard for the well-being of
peoples everywhere and not just one’s own citizens” (Bajpai, 2012, p. 522).
Recent historical scholarship also ascribes a utopian quality to Nehru’s and
Gandhi’s views on sovereignty, in particular that they espoused the vision of
One World, “a post-sovereign-nation-state-dominated reality, a world of
states governed by the meta-sovereign institution of the U.N.” (Bhagavan,
2010, p. 313).
Shaped by the end of the Cold War and domestic economic success,
contemporary Indian strategic thinking evinces a conscious rejection of
Nehruvian idealism in favor of more traditional notions prioritizing military
and economic power in foreign policy (Parekh, 2008). In 2010, India
became the largest importer of arms in the world (BBC News, 2011).
Although the fundamental basis of Nehru’s foreign policy — strategic auton-
omy — has remained intact, the tone and conduct of India’s foreign policy
has over time abandoned its hectoring, moralizing quality and embraced a
more pragmatic mode of business. Indian policymakers are also far less naïve
about their relations with other states: referring matters to the UNSC or
mouthing slogans such as Hindi-Chini Bhai Bhai (Indians and Chinese are
brothers) are traits of a distant past. The India–U.S. rapprochement of the
new millennium is perhaps the greatest emblem of pragmatism in Delhi —
an establishment with strong cultural and strategic ties to the Eastern bloc
was able to eventually reorient itself productively toward American hegem-
ony. In South Asia, India has left behind its interventionist ways and absolute
intolerance of great-power involvement, tolerating U.S. and U.N. involve-
ments in Nepal, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, and even Kashmir (as election observ-
ers). In international institutions, India has abandoned its traditional position
88 R. Mukherjee
as a leader of what one observer has termed the Third World “trade union”
(Mohan, 2004, p. 46), i.e., groupings designed to promote the interests of
developing countries, such as the G-77 at the U.N. or the Non-Aligned
Movement (NAM). Instead, India now pursues its own interests as a rising
power in multilateral forums, often alienating its traditional constituency that
had provided critical support in the Nehruvian period. The transition from
idealism to pragmatism is therefore complete in almost every sphere of
India’s external relations.
Economic diplomacy
As India’s economy has grown, its diplomacy has taken on significant eco-
nomic overtones, and this change has significantly contributed to Indian
pragmatism in foreign relations. In 1949, India’s total trade was worth
US$2.3 billion; in 2012, this figure was estimated at more than US$568 bil-
lion, with much of the growth occurring in the post-1990 era (Government
of India, 2012, p. A81). India’s growing integration into world markets —
incomplete by far — has had two major consequences. At the domestic level,
it has made foreign policy an issue that the private sector cares about and
seeks to influence. At the international level, it has required stability in India’s
bilateral and multilateral engagements in order to develop further investment
and trade linkages. Both these factors have changed the type and level of
control the Indian state is accustomed to exercising over foreign policy. In an
interdependent world with multiple channels of contact between societies,
the Indian state is inevitably found playing catch-up with its own private sec-
tor and the world economy.
The inclusion of economic objectives has added diversity to India’s dip-
lomatic portfolio, and India’s growing economic power has added weight to
its voice in world affairs, particularly in forums such as the WTO and the
G-20 forum aimed at global economic recovery. As a consequence, India has
developed a diverse portfolio of economic partners and a more stable pattern
of engagement with the world. Whereas India during the Cold War took
ideological positions on a number of issues such as the Arab–Israeli war and
apartheid in South Africa, the economic imperatives of its present growth
trajectory have made such positions a luxury. In the present climate, India
sees value in doing business with a wide range of countries irrespective of
regime type. In 2012, Delhi was poised to sign a free trade agreement with
Israel, a country it had repeatedly criticized and ostracized in the U.N. during
the Cold War. Trade was also on the agenda of India–Pakistan talks in 2012,
with a growing constituency in India seeing the cross-border flow of goods
Domestic politics
India’s foreign policy under Nehru was largely a one-man show — the prime
minister, who was also the foreign minister, made every important decision
and representation to the outside world (Singh, 1965). This fact reflected the
dominance not just of Nehru in the post-colonial Indian political landscape
but also the dominance of his political party, the Indian National Congress.
The trend of prime ministerial dominance in Indian foreign policy continued
well into the 1980s. However, by the 1970s, as the Congress party split and
regional parties began to challenge its dominance, India’s foreign policy —
less so than domestic policy but still non-trivially — experienced an influx of
different (but not necessarily new) ideas, outlooks and agendas. Most notable
was the Janata Party-led government that took power in 1977 after a decade
of rule by the government of Indira Gandhi, Nehru’s daughter. Criticizing
Gandhi for signing a defense treaty with the Soviets, the Janata Party announced
a new policy of “genuine non-alignment” that would act as a sequel to Nehru’s
original policy (Jain, 2000).
The Janata period was a harbinger of what political change at the federal
level could mean for Indian foreign policy. The rise of regional identities in
the Indian polity eventually led to a fragmentation of political power and the
advent of coalition governments in 1989, after which India elected six gov-
ernments in the span of little more than seven years (a government is nor-
mally elected for a tenure of five years in India). This political turmoil had the
effect of unmooring Indian foreign policy from prior analytical foundations
and setting it adrift in the highly unpredictable waters of the post-Cold War
world. India abruptly withdrew its peacekeepers from Sri Lanka, causing fur-
ther political turmoil in the island nation; Delhi flip-flopped in its approach
to the 1991 Gulf War, first opposing then supporting and then again oppos-
ing use of Indian refueling facilities by American airplanes en route to Iraq
90 R. Mukherjee
(Malik, 1991). In the new millennium, coalition governments are the norm
in India and relatively small regional parties are often able to derail India’s
foreign policy objectives, as when India was pressured by its Tamil political
parties to override its strategic interests and vote against the Sri Lankan gov-
ernment at the U.N. Human Rights Council in March 2012; or when the
Chief Minister of West Bengal, a state bordering Bangladesh, was able to
single-handedly block a landmark bilateral agreement in September 2011 on
sharing the waters of the Teesta river that flows through both India and
Bangladesh. In general, political currents in Indian states adjacent to neigh-
boring countries tend to interact with events across the border in ways that
Indian policymakers often cannot control, particularly on issues such as immi-
gration, arms and human trafficking, and insurgency.
International order
Observers of Indian foreign policy, particularly in the West, are frequently
keen to understand India’s approach to the international order that was
established and is currently dominated by the West. Analysts frequently seek
to determine whether India will be a “rule breaker”, “rule taker”, or “rule
maker” with regard to the norms, institutions and rules that constitute the
international order (Sidhu, 2011). In its early years, India was a reluctant rule
taker and a frequent rule breaker. Particularly in the realm of international
security, India frequently violated or circumvented international law and insti-
tutions as it went about pursuing policies that it perceived to be morally cor-
rect. For example, in 1961, India used military force to gain control of the
Portuguese-controlled territories of Goa and Daman and Diu; in 1968, India
took a principled stance against the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
because it unfairly privileged nations that already possessed nuclear weapons;
in 1971, India intervened in East Pakistan against the grain of international
law (though India’s act is today considered one of the early 20th century
instances of unilateral humanitarian intervention — see Finnemore, 2003); in
1974 India diverted nuclear technology meant for civilian purposes in order
to conduct its first nuclear test; in the 1980s, India intervened in conflicts in
neighboring Sri Lanka and the Maldives; and even as late as the mid-1990s,
India resolutely refused to sign the NPT as it was extended indefinitely, as
well as the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT). India went on to shock
the world and its non-proliferation and test-ban regimes with its second
round of nuclear tests in 1998.
The nuclear test of 1998 was in many ways a symbol of India’s regional
power status and new foreign policy. Since then, India has developed deeper
strategic and economic partnerships with almost all the major powers of the
world. Concurrently, India has developed a greater stake in the international
system by either joining smaller decision-making groupings within large mul-
tilateral institutions (such as the Five Interested Parties at the WTO, or the
BASIC group of countries in the climate change negotiations) or by joining
new groups at the initial stages where Delhi can actively participate in estab-
lishing institutional norms, as in the G-20. The UNSC remains the one insti-
tution where India has so far failed to obtain a seat at the high table, and this
institution will likely be a litmus test of how well the international order and
India can accommodate each other’s interests in the years to come. India
seeks a permanent seat with veto power on the Council, a privilege the exist-
ing five permanent members (the U.S., China, Russia, England, and France)
are unwilling to share. India claims that by virtue of its size and weight in
world affairs, and its contributions to international peace and security, it
deserves a permanent seat. Until the UNSC can accommodate Indian ambi-
tions, Delhi is unlikely to deepen its stake in an international order that does
not recognize its changing power and influence. In this sense, contemporary
India is more a “rule shaper”, a state that attempts to create exceptions for
itself or modify rules that do not accord with its interests.
Conclusion
Seen through the lens of four key relationships — with the United States,
China, South Asia, and the UNSC — India’s foreign policy has evolved in
interesting ways as its power has increased in international affairs. While the
quest for strategic autonomy has remained a fundamental objective, the con-
tent of Indian foreign policy has undergone a pragmatic transformation and
is far more oriented toward economic diplomacy today than ever before. At
the same time, India’s domestic politics are now more fragmented, allowing
smaller parties and groups to determine the nation’s external agenda on an
issue-by-issue basis. While political fragmentation is certainly a sign of greater
democratic participation in India, it does have significant implications for the
stability and predictability that India seeks in its relations with the world.
Finally, India’s approach to the international order has changed over time
as well. India today is less of a rule taker and rule breaker than before, seeking
instead to actually shape the international order in ways that suit its interests,
be they in opening new markets to Indian trade, promoting sovereignty and
non-intervention in the affairs of states, reconnecting with global markets for
civilian nuclear technology, or addressing domestic and regional security chal-
lenges. Although its efforts have not always borne fruit, their success and
92 R. Mukherjee
India’s level of engagement with the international order will depend on the
extent to which the order and its dominant powers can make room for India’s
growing power and ambitions. Much is therefore at stake in the world of
Indian foreign policy, both at home and abroad. Charting a course for the
future will be challenging, but Delhi is fortunately endowed with an excellent
(though thinly staffed) corps of foreign policymakers that possesses the capa-
bility and the skill required to navigate the politics of an increasingly multipo-
lar world in which India is already a nation to be reckoned with.
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