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Technical & Derivatives Report

FEB 17, 2023

Sensex (61320) / Nifty (18036) Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart

Wednesday’s tail end upsurge was followed by a good bump up at


the opening yesterday. The benchmark index Nifty continued its
march beyond 18100 in the initial hour. However, once again the
struggle continues at higher levels. Our key indices kept drifting
lower in a gradual manner. Eventually, with banking sulking again,
Nifty ended the penultimate weekly expiry with negligible gains
above the 18000 mark.

Very much on expected lines, we had a gap up opening yesterday


owing to favorable global cues. However, we failed to capitalize on
this head-start. Since there was no sustenance from most of the Yesterday’s move could only be a breather before market takes
heavyweight constituents, we pared down almost all initial gains. its leap higher. In our sense, till the time Nifty remains above
Ideally, our market had all the ingredients yesterday to surpass the 17950 – 17900 on a closing basis, there is no reason to worry for.
sturdy wall of 18200 – 18250; but as always, market has its own In fact, soon we would see Nifty challenging the recent hurdles
plans. Nevertheless, the Nifty has managed to hold important level of 18200 – 18250. Before this, 18100 – 18140 are to be seen as
of 18000 convincingly, we consider this as an encouraging sign. immediate resistances. Traders are advised to continue with a
positive bias and should focus on stock specific actions.
Key Levels

Support 1 – 17950 Resistance 1 – 18140

Support 2 – 17900 Resistance 2 – 18200

Nifty Bank Outlook (41631) Exhibit 2: Nifty Bank Daily Chart

We had a very strong opening for the bank index on the weekly
expiry day however there was no follow-up buying and as the day
progressed prices slipped lower throughout the session. During the
fag end the selling augmented to eventually end with a loss of
0.24% at 41631.

It was a disappointing day for the bulls as after the strong move on
Wednesday it seemed prices would break above the 42000
resistance with ease however prices exactly took resistance around
it. Once again, this key resistance which coincides with the budget
session high becomes a pivotal point and for the momentum to
trigger prices need to sustain about it. In our sense market is still in
a consolidation phase with an undertone of bullish hence dips
should be considered as a buying opportunity. In such a scenario,
immediate support is seen in the zone of 41150 - 41000. With the
lack of trending moves in the index, traders should ideally opt for
stock-specific action that continues to give outperforming
opportunities.

Key Levels
Support 1 – 41150 Resistance 1 – 42000
Support 2 – 41000 Resistance 2 – 42200

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Technical & Derivatives Report
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Comments Nifty Vs OI
 The Nifty futures open interest has decreased by 0.80%
and Bank Nifty futures open interest has increased by 16,000 Openinterest Nifty 18200
5.85% as the market closed at 18035.85. 18100
14,000
 The Nifty FEB future closed with a premium of 27.00 18000
point against a premium of 19.30 point in the last 12,000
17900
trading session. The MARCH series closed at a premium 10,000 17800
of 129.60 point.
17700
 The INDIA VIX increased from 12.86 to 12.89. At the 8,000
17600
same time, the PCR-OI of Nifty has decreased from 1.39 6,000
17500
to 1.03.
 Few of the liquid counters where we have seen high 4,000 17400
1/25 1/30 2/2 2/7 2/9 2/13 2/15
cost of carry are PIIND, HAL, TECHM, ONGC and
NAVINFLUOR.

OI Gainers
View OI PRICE
SCRIP OI PRICE
CHG. (%) CHG. (%)
 Our market had a promising start to the day but
CROMPTON 6693000 20.14 299.95 -1.59
failed to capitalize upon it. The benchmark index
ONGC 44640750 20.09 155.90 5.58
Nifty50 pared down the initial gains but managed to
AARTIIND 5727300 15.24 550.15 2.18
withhold the 18000 mark with mere gains.
INDIGO 4684500 13.46 1897.30 -3.40
 FIIs were net buyers in the cash market segment to DIXON 1310375 13.15 2726.25 0.85
the tune of Rs. 1571 crores. Simultaneously, in Index MGL 2764000 12.25 920.85 2.13
futures, they sold worth Rs. 351 crores with an PIIND 2495250 10.37 3376.95 7.87
increase in open interest, indicating short addition. HINDUNILVR 9255000 9.19 2527.10 -0.87

 In the F&O space, we saw a mixed trade in the key


indices on the weekly expiry session. On the options
front, the highest OI concentration at 18000 put OI Losers
strike, followed by some piling around 17800 PE, OI PRICE
SCRIP OI PRICE
indicating nearby support for Nifty. On the flip side, CHG. (%) CHG. (%)
the 18100-18200 call strikes have a decent OI CUB 13520000 -6.11 141.20 2.06
concentration, suggesting immediate resistance in a LUPIN 8691250 -5.83 681.75 2.17
comparable period. Simultaneously, the ‘Long Short MCX 1209600 -5.79 1388.10 2.87
ratio’ remains unchanged at 26%. Considering the RELIANCE 38692250 -5.52 2430.00 -0.09
recent developments, the undertone is likely to TORNTPOWER 4240500 -4.97 509.50 0.94
remain upbeat, wherein any dip towards the support BAJAJFINSV 10354000 -4.95 1428.20 0.42
zone could be utilized to add long in the system. BHARATFORG 8240000 -4.92 856.00 2.70
PVR 2396009 -4.91 1711.05 -0.26

Historical Volatility Put-Call Ratio


SCRIP PCR (OI) PCR (VOL)
SCRIP HV
ADANIENT 87.90 NIFTY 1.03 1.03

IDEA 72.23 BANKNIFTY 0.72 0.90

IBULHSGFIN 68.35 RELIANCE 0.68 0.58

RBLBANK 65.06 ICICIBANK 0.59 0.52

ADANIPORTS 59.27 INFY 0.63 0.49

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Technical & Derivatives Report
FEB 17, 2023

FII Statistics for February 16, 2023 Turnover on February 16, 2023
Open
No. of Turnover Change
Interest Instrument
Detail Buy Net Contracts Contracts ( in Cr. ) (%)
Value
Sell CHANGE
(in Cr.)
Index Futures 279092 27238.63 0.61
INDEX
2675.91 3026.64 (350.73) 142770 13508.69 4.24
FUTURES Index Options 339006498 48206.38 13.82
INDEX
2045625.91 2025664.32 19961.59 1846348 173663.69 (21.88)
OPTIONS Stock Futures 981204 65372.78 15.52
STOCK
12300.20 11426.72 873.48 2202257 147752.48 0.60 Stock Options 4550975 3598.96 -3.55
FUTURES
STOCK Total 45,50,975 3598.96 11.30
13144.75 13095.76 48.99 235121 15543.86 0.72
OPTIONS

Total 2073746.77 2053213.44 20533.33 4426496 350468.72 (10.09)

Nifty Spot = 18035.85


0900 Lot Size = 75
Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads
Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP

Buy 18000 136.60 53.70 46.30 18053.70 Buy 18000 76.30 30.90 69.10 17696.10

Sell 18100 82.90 Sell 17900 45.40


Buy 18000 136.60 92.60 107.40 18092.60 Buy 18000 76.30 48.90 151.10 17951.10
Sell 18200 44.00 17800 27.40
Sell
Buy 18100 82.90 38.90 61.10 18138.90 Buy 17900 45.40 18.00 82.00 17882.00

Sell 18200 44.00 Sell 17800 27.40

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (Feb Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation.

Nifty Put-Call Analysis

7000,000

Call Put
6000,000

5000,000

4000,000

3000,000

2000,000

1000,000

,0
17400 17500 17600 17700 17800 17900 18000 18100 18200 18300 18400 18500 18600 18700

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Technical & Derivatives Report
FEB 17, 2023

Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty Constituents


`
Scrips S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2
ADANIENT 1,736 1,766 1,821 1,851 1,905
ADANIPORTS 563 570 580 588 598
APOLLOHOSP 4,436 4,540 4,604 4,707 4,772
ASIANPAINT 2,766 2,786 2,810 2,830 2,854
AXISBANK 855 860 867 872 879
BAJAJ-AUTO 3,871 3,889 3,910 3,928 3,949
BAJFINANCE 6,356 6,397 6,461 6,501 6,565
BAJAJFINSV 1,403 1,416 1,425 1,438 1,447
BPCL 318 322 328 331 337
BHARTIARTL 775 780 785 790 795
BRITANNIA 4,535 4,553 4,586 4,604 4,637
CIPLA 1,024 1,030 1,034 1,040 1,044
COALINDIA 212 214 215 217 218
DIVISLAB 2,804 2,840 2,863 2,900 2,922
DRREDDY 4,486 4,503 4,526 4,543 4,567
EICHERMOT 3,224 3,257 3,300 3,333 3,376
GRASIM 1,604 1,617 1,630 1,643 1,656
HCLTECH 1,107 1,117 1,135 1,146 1,163
HDFCBANK 1,648 1,656 1,669 1,677 1,690
HDFCLIFE 507 511 516 520 526
HDFC 2,675 2,688 2,706 2,719 2,737
HEROMOTOCO 2,521 2,539 2,564 2,582 2,608
HINDALCO 430 432 435 437 440
HINDUNILVR 2,498 2,513 2,537 2,552 2,576
ICICIBANK 858 864 871 877 884
INDUSINDBK 1,137 1,143 1,149 1,155 1,162
INFY 1,588 1,595 1,605 1,612 1,621
ITC 379 381 383 385 387
JSW STEEL 720 724 728 732 735
KOTAKBANK 1,771 1,780 1,792 1,800 1,812
LT 2,154 2,166 2,184 2,197 2,215
M&M 1,342 1,355 1,376 1,389 1,410
MARUTI 8,735 8,770 8,825 8,860 8,915
NESTLEIND 18,863 19,246 19,523 19,906 20,183
NTPC 165 166 167 168 169
ONGC 146 151 154 159 162
POWERGRID 212 213 215 216 218
RELIANCE 2,401 2,415 2,440 2,454 2,478
SBILIFE 1,160 1,167 1,177 1,184 1,193
SBIN 533 537 542 545 550
SUNPHARMA 980 988 999 1,006 1,018
TCS 3,505 3,532 3,553 3,580 3,601
TATACONSUM 725 729 732 736 739
TATAMOTORS 436 439 443 446 451
TATASTEEL 110 111 112 113 113
TECHM 1,048 1,089 1,115 1,156 1,182
TITAN 2,501 2,512 2,529 2,539 2,556
ULTRACEMCO 7,072 7,122 7,158 7,208 7,244
UPL 764 767 770 774 777
WIPRO 406 408 411 413 415

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Technical & Derivatives Report
FEB 17, 2023

Technical and Derivatives Team:

Sameet Chavan Chief Analyst – Technical & Derivatives sameet.chavan@angelone.in

Sneha Seth Senior Analyst – Technical & Derivatives sneha.seth@angelone.in

Rajesh Bhosale Technical Analyst rajesh.bhosle@angelone.in

Osho Krishan Senior Analyst – Technical & Derivatives osho.krishan@angelone.in

Research Team Tel: 022 – 39357600 Website: www.angelone.in

For Technical Queries E-mail: technicalresearch-cso@angelone.in

For Derivatives Queries E-mail: derivatives.desk@angelone.in


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