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Developmental Psychology Copyright 1991 by the American Psychological Association Inc.

1991. Vol. 27, No. 3,421-431 0012-1649/91/$3.00

Continuity and Discontinuity in Infant Negative and Positive Emotionality:


Family Antecedents and Attachment Consequences
Jay Belsky and Margaret Fish
Pennsylvania State University
Russell Isabella
University of Utah

This study was based on the premise that much of the instability evident in research on infant
emotionality/temperament is a function not so much of measurement error (as typically presumed)
but lawful discontinuity. Infants who changed from high to low and from low to high levels of
negative or positive emotionality between 3 and 9 months of age were compared with infants who
remained stable during the period on distal measures of the family environment (prenatally and
neonatally measured) and proximal measures of parent-infant interaction (3 months) thought to
account for stability and change in infant emotionality and on 1-year infant-mother attachment
security. Results revealed more success in forecasting stability and change in negative emotionality
than positive emotionality; maternal personality and marital factors and mother-infant interaction
accounted for why infants highly negative at 3 months changed, and comparable father factors and
processes accounted for why infants initially low in negativity changed. Attachment-related analy-
ses revealed change in positive emotionality to be more related to 1-year security than change in
negative emotionality, but it was also the case that continuity and discontinuity in both positivity
and negativity interacted to forecast attachment security.

Individual differences in temperament, that is, variation in tions, and are negative in mood. Buss and Plomin (1975,1984)
behavioral style thought to influence children's interactions denned their emotionality dimension in terms of strong
with their environments, has been a fertile area of investigation arousal and negative affect, whereas Bates (1987) specified cry-
for more than three decades (Campos, Barrett, Lamb, Gold- ing and social demandingness as the denning features of diffi-
smith. & Stenberg, 1983). Despite a continued lack of consensus cult temperament. Researchers who tried to measure tempera-
on denning dimensions of individuality (Bates, 1987; Gold- ment by means of naturalistic observations tended to focus on
smith & Campos, 1986), the expression of emotionality plays a irritability (i.e., fuss/cry behavior; Belsky, Rovine, & Taylor,
prominent role in all current conceptualizations of tempera- 1984; Crockenberg & Smith, 1982). The common element in
ment. Meta-analysis of parent-report measures (Goldsmith & these approaches, whether focused on difficulty, emotionality,
Rieser-Danner, 1986) suggests that the two temperamental di- or irritability, is that they share a concern for the expression of
mensions that most often show stability are activity level and negative emotion.
some manifestation of negative affect (i.e., either irritability/dif- A major empirical issue in research on infant temperament
ficulty or fear/withdrawal). Of these two dimensions, negative concerns the stability of individual differences (Bates, 1987).
emotionality has been the focus of more study; attention to Not surprisingly, the degree of continuity that characterizes tem-
difficult temperament and its possible links to subsequent prob- perament during infancy appears to vary according to the di-
lematic behavior and parent-child relationships have domi- mension examined and the measurement approach used.
nated research in infant temperament since the original publi- Greater stability has been found for aggregated scores, particu-
cations of Thomas, Chess, and Birch (1968). larly those reflecting difficultness (Belsky, Rovine, & Fish,
Like the other dimensions of temperament (Bates, 1987), dif- 1989; Lee & Bates, 1985) or emotionality (Matheny, Riese, &
ficultness has been denned in various ways by investigators. Wilson, 1985; Riese, 1987), and for parent-report question-
Thomas et al. (1968) originally characterized as difficult those naires (as opposed to behavioral observations; Belsky et al.,
children who withdraw from new experiences, adapt slowly, 1989; Isabella, Ward, & Belsky, 1985; Pettit & Bates, 1984).
have irregular biological functions and intense emotional reac-
In considering the stability of individual differences in tem-
perament, it must be acknowledged that even when stability
coefficients achieve conventional levels of significance, there
Work on this article was supported by National Institute of Child remains noteworthy instability of individual rankings. Lee and
Health and Human Development Grant RO1HD15496 and National
Bates (1985) observed, for example, that the continuity of classi-
Institute of Mental Health Research Scientist Development Award
K02MH00486 to Jay Belsky. fication of a child in their sample as temperamentally difficult,
Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed lo Jay although significant, was only about 50% from 6 to 24 months,
Belsky, College of Health and Human Development, Pennsylvania and other researchers reported similar findings (McNeil &
State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802. Persson-Blennow, 1982). Consider in this regard the .37 (p <

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422 J. BELSKY, M. FISH, AND R. ISABELLA

.05) stability coefficient that Matheny, Wilson, and Nuss (1984) premature infants became more difficult. Finally, Engfer(1986)
generated when composite measures of tractability at 12 and 18 reported that German mothers who perceived their infants as
months were correlated in one of the best efforts to date to becoming more difficult between 4 and 18 months experienced
create a multimeasure index of temperament based on infant more marital problems and were judged less sensitive in their
behavior observed in the laboratory under controlled condi- mothering, whereas mothers who described their infants as be-
tions. It is findings such as these, which are quite representative coming less difficult were more relaxed and optimistic and less
of those reported in the literature, that lead us to take issue with irritable. Of course, the infant's capacity to regulate his or her
Campos, Campos, and Barrett's (1989, p. 400) recent statement negative emotionality—with or without parental and family
that "the conclusion is clear that irritability and negative emo- support—will also influence parental and family functioning.
tionality show impressive continuity throughout infancy and Thus, even though these studies highlight the role of parent
early childhood" (emphasis added). factors and family processes in aifecting infant emotionality, we
Several explanations have been advanced to account for what should not lose sight of the effect of the changing infant on the
can best be described as modest stability of individual differ- family
ences in infant negative emotionality, particularly in the first Nevertheless, it is noteworthy that findings from all these
year of life. These include problems in conceptualizing and studies suggest that, under conditions of general family stress,
measuring infant temperament (Hubert, Wachs, Peters-Martin, the quality of maternal care deteriorates (Belsky, 1984) and, as a
& Gandour, 1982) and stage-determined changes in the expres- result, so does the infant's capacity to regulate his or her nega-
sion of temperament (Riese, 1987). Another possibility is that tive emotionality. Conversely, when marital and general family
negative emotionality may simply be unstable. Indeed modest processes promote maternal sensitivity, this serves to facilitate
stability coefficients may reflect the fact that while some chil- the self-regulatory capacity of the infant and leads to positive
dren remain high or low over time on a particular dimension of change in negative emotionality. This conclusion, like the find-
temperament, others change on that same dimension. To the ings on which it is based, is consistent with the view of Ains-
extent that the nature of the care that the child experiences in worth and other attachment researchers that quality of mater-
the family accounts for such variability, as Crockenberg (1986) nal care influences infant crying (Ainsworth, Blehar, Waters, &
suggested, it seems appropriate to speak in terms of lawful Wall, 1978).
discontinuity rather than to presume that instability is exclu- Although not extensive, the evidence reviewed clearly impli-
sively a function of measurement error (Belsky & Pensky, 1988). cates parental personality and marital quality as distal condi-
The identification of family conditions associated with conti- tions and parent-infant interactions as more proximal condi-
nuity and discontinuity poses an important challenge for devel- tions of continuity and discontinuity in infant negative emo-
opmental theory and research. As Thomas (1984) noted some tionality A primary purpose of the current investigation is to
time ago, "rather than the simple question of whether tempera- extend work in this area by examining not only such distal and
ment is or is not consistent over time, the more significant issue proximal conditions that seem to play a role in accounting for
would appear to be the identification of the factors which may why some infants evince high or low negativity over time
influence continuity or discontinuity" (p. 105). This point was whereas others change, but also to examine father factors as well
reiterated recently by Coll and her colleagues (1989), who, on as mother factors. The general hypothesis guiding this inquiry
finding modest stability between 3 and 7-months in infant nega- is that negative emotionality will decrease over time when par-
tive and positive emotionality, highlighted "the need to investi- ents are psychologically healthy, are involved in satisfying
gate. . . the determinants of change in temperamental charac- marriages, and interact with their infants in a sensitive, support-
teristics over time1' (p. 6). Despite the theoretical and practical ive manner, whereas negative emotionality will increase over
importance of understanding why sameness characterizes the time when the opposite conditions exist.
emotional proclivities of some infants, whereas change charac- This report also seeks to extend research by considering the
terizes that of others, it is surprising how little research on this conditions of continuity and discontinuity in positive emotion-
topic has been performed, particularly in view of the extensive ality/social responsiveness as well as the more extensively inves-
work focused on stability. As Clarke-Stewart (1988) recently tigated negative emotionality. The importance of focusing on
noted, "for most contemporary researchers who have studied positive affect and social orientation as a separate and distinct
temperament. . . this [stability] is all that matters" (p. 48). dimension of individuality is suggested by a growing body of
Particularly interesting, therefore, are the rather consistent evidence that indicates, at least in the case of adults, that this
findings that emerge from the few investigations that have dimension of affective functioning is independent of negative
sought to illuminate the conditions of continuity and disconti- emotionality at both the state (Eysenck & Eysenck, 1969;
nuity in infant negative emotionality The most systematic and McCrae & Costa, 1984) and trait (Watson & Clark, 1984; Wat-
extensive research is that of Matheny (1986), which indicates son, Clark, & Tellegan, 1988; Watson & Tellegan, 1985) levels,
that even though temperament was significantly stable from 12 and that, in the case of infants, different hemispheres of the
to 24 months, infants who became less negative, more attentive, brain are responsible for processing positive and negative affec-
and more socially oriented (i.e., more tractable) had mothers tive experience (Fox & Davidson, 1988). A further impetus for
who were more expressive and involved with them and came studying positive emotionality derives from recent research in-
from families that were more emotionally cohesive. Similarly, dicating that low sociability and decline in the expression of
Washington. Minde, and Goldberg (1986) found that preterm positive affect over the first year arc associated with increased
babies who became less difficult over time had mothers who risk of insecure infant-mother attachment (Bates, Maslin, &
were more sensitive to their needs than were mothers whose Frankel, 1985; Malatesta, Culver, Tesman, & Shepard, 1989;
CONTINUITY AND DISCONTINUITY IN INFANT EMOTIONALITY 423

Wille, 1989). It is just such evidence that leads us to examine (range = 18-41 years) and 26.8 years (range = 18-35 years); and the two
relations between infant-mother attachment security and conti- spouses averaged 16.3 (range = 10-22 years) and 15.1 years (range =
nuity and discontinuity in infant positive emotionality and nega- 12-21 years) of education, respectively.
tive emotionality. A general hypothesis guiding our inquiry is
that risk of insecure attachment will increase when infants re- Design and Procedures
main high in negative emotionality or change from low to high
or remain low in positive emotionality or change from high to As part of the Infant and Family Development Project's longitudinal
low. In other words, insecure attachment to mother is expected study of marriage, parenting, and infant development, data were gath-
to be associated with stable high or increasing levels of negativ- ered at several points in time, beginning in the last trimester of preg-
ity over time or with stable low or decreasing levels of positivity. nancy and continuing through the child's first birthday (Belsky, Gil-
To address the issues raised, we relied on data collected dur- strap, et al., 1984; Belsky et al., 1989). This report uses data collected at
several points in time. Information on so-called distal conditions of
ing the course of a multicohort longitudinal study of infant and
continuity and discontinuity in infant emotionality, including data on
family development. Observational and parent-report indexes parent personality and marital quality, was obtained during the last
of positive and negative emotionality were used to create com- trimester of pregnancy and during the first 10 days of the infant's life
posite measures of these constructs when infants are 3 and 9 (Brazelton Behavioral Assessments). Information on proximal condi-
months of age, so that four groups of infants were constituted tions of continuity and discontinuity, namely that pertaining to actual
with respect to each dimension of emotionality: subjects who experiences that infants had with their parents, was obtained during
scored high or low at both times of measurement (high-high, two separate, 1-hr naturalistic home observations of mother-infant
low-low) and those that changed (high-low, low-high). Work- and mother-father-infant interactions performed when infants were 3
ing with such groups, we specifically sought to determine why months of age. Information on the consequences of continuity and
infants who look similar in terms of their expressed emotiona- discontinuity in emotionality, specifically security of infant-mother
lity early in the first year look decidedly different 6 months attachment, was obtained during strange-situation assessments when
infants were 12 months of age. Finally, home observational data and
later. Thus, we compared infants who, at 3 and 9 months, scored
maternal report data obtained when infants were 3 months and 9
high on the dimension of emotionality in question (negativity, months of age were used to define high and low negative- and positive-
positivity) with infants who changed from high to low across the emotionality groups at each time of measurement.
6-month period (HH vs. HL) and infants who remained low
over time with those who changed from low to high (LL vs.
LH). The first set of comparisons to be made involved distal Measuring Continuity and Discontinuity in Emotionality
factors measured prenatally (parent personality, marital qual- High and low negative- and positive-emotionality groups of infants
ity) and neonatally (newborn behavior, gender), whereas the sec- at 3 months and 9 months of age were identified by rescaling and
ond set focused on proximal processes of mother-infant and aggregating three different sources of information relevant to negative
father-infant interaction measured during the course of dyadic and to positive emotionality at each time of measurement. For pur-
(mother-infant) and triadic (mother-father-infant) home obser- poses of assessing negative emotionality, we relied on (a) scores of the
vations when infants were 3 months of age and thus before any number of 15-s intervals that infants cried during the 1-hr observation
change in measured positive and negative emotionality. It of the mother-infant dyad (Belsky, Taylor, & Rovine, 1984; Isabella,
Belsky, & von Eye, 1989), (b) scores of the numberof 15-s intervals that
should be noted that analyses of data collected at 3 months is infants cried during the 1-hour observation of the mother-father-in-
dictated principally by the design of our longitudinal study fant triad (Belsky, Gilstrap, et al., 1984; Belsky et al., 1989), and (c) the
rather than by any presumption that this is a point of particular fussy/difficult subscale from the Infant Characteristics Questionnaire
plasticity in emotionality. As a final set of analyses, groups that (Bates, Freeland, & Lounsbury, 1979), which mothers completed when
changed or stayed the same with respect to positive and negative infants were 3 months and 9 months of age. These independent indica-
emotionality are compared in terms of attachment security In tors were, as expected, only moderately positively correlated (mean
this way, we sought to illuminate both the family antecedents r=.28).
and attachment consequences of continuity and discontinuity For purposes of assessing positive emotionality/social responsive-
in infant negative and positive emotionality. ness, we relied on observational scores reflecting (a) the number of 15-s
intervals in which infants vocalized during the mother-infant dyadic
observation, (b) the number of intervals infants smiled, laughed, or
evinced excitement in some other way during the mother-father-infant
Method triadic observation, and (c) a summary of four items taken from the
Infant Characteristics Questionnaire that explicitly tapped positive
Subjects emotionality/social responsiveness ("How much does your baby smile
The subjects of this investigation were 148firstborninfants (88 boys and make happy sounds?"; "How much does your baby enjoy playing
and 60 girls) and their parents participating in the second and third little games with you?"; "How excited does your baby become when
cohorts of the Pennsylvania Infant and Family Development Project people play with or talk to him?7'; and "What kind of mood is your baby
(Belsky, Gilstrap, & Rovine, 1984; Belsky et al., 1989). Parents-to-be generally in?"). These three component indicators were also only mod-
were recruited to participate in this longitudinal study during the last estly positively correlated with one another (mean r = .24). They were
trimester of pregnancy, and families were studied intensively through composited to create an aggregate index of positive emotionality/social
the infant's first year of life. All parents were White, predominantly of responsiveness in light research on both infants (Bates et al., 1985) and
middle- and working-class socioeconomic status. At time of enroll- adults (McCrae & Costa, 1984), indicating that positive emotionality
ment, average family income was $24,500 (range - $13,OOO-$80,0O0) and social responsiveness are positively correlated. As anticipated, the
and couples had been married an average of 3.8 years (range = <1-13). negative and positive aggregated scores were independent of each other
The mean ages of husbands and wives, respectively, were 28.7 years at both 3 months (r = . 10, ns) and 9 months (r = -.09, ns). The negative-
424 I BELSKY, M. FISH, AND R. ISABELLA

affect composite demonstrated only modest stability across this 6- subscales derived from Braiker and Kelley's (1979) questionnaire as-
month period (r = .21, p < .01), whereas the positive-affect composite sessing intimate relations were composited to create measures of posi-
was not stable from 3 to 9 months (r = .09, ns).1 tive (love and maintenance) and negative (conflict and ambivalence)
As a second step toward creating high and low negative- and positive- marital activities and sentiments. Past analyses of these measures re-
emotionality subgroups at 3 months and 9 months, each of the three veal them to be internally consistent, sensitive to stability and change
negative- and three positive-emotionality component scores was di- in marital quality across the transition to parenthood (Belsky et al.,
vided in thirds and rescored 0, 1, and 2 to reflect low. medium, and 1989), and related to infant-mother attachment security (Belsky et al.,
high levels, respectively, of the emotionality dimension in question. 1989; Isabella & Belsky, 1985) and parent and child behavior when
The three negative-emotionality items and the three positive-emotion- children are 3 years of age (Belsky, Youngblade, Rovine, & Volling, in
ality items were then separately summed to create composite negative- press).2
and positive-emotionality scores, each of which could range from 0 to 6 Within the first 10 days of the infant's birth, each child was assessed
at each time of measurement. This was done for two reasons: (a) to by a trained examiner on the Brazelton (1973) Neonatal Behavioral
ensure that the two observational and single maternal-report compo- Assessment Scale (NBAS). Items were composited according to con-
nents that made up each aggregate measure contributed equally to the ventions proposed by Jacobson, Fein, Jacobson, and Schwartz (1984)
final aggregate score, and (b) to facilitate categorization of infants into to create measures of orientation, autonomic stability, range of state,
high- and low-emotionality subgroups. It is noteworthy that rescaling regulation of state, and motor maturity (for details, see Belsky & Ro-
had little effect on the stability of negative emotionality (r =. 19, p < .05) vine, 1987). To reduce the number of variables subject to analysis, these
but increased to a significant degree the stability of positive emotiona- measures were composited to create a total score reflecting the behav-
lity (r = .26, p < .001). Even with rescaling, the positive- and negative- ioral integrity of the organism.3
emotionality composites remained unrelated at3 months(r= -.13)and
9 months (r= .16).
Infants whose rescaled composite scores at 3 months or 9 months fell Proximal Processes
into the 0 to 2 range were classified as low on the dimension of emo- The two 1-hr home observations conducted at 3 months provided
tionality in question, whereas those whose scores fell in the 4 to 6 range several indexes of parent-infant interaction used in this study. Mea-
were classified as high on that dimension. All subjects who received sures obtained from the dyadic and triadic observations were totally
intermediate composite scores of 3 at either 3 months or 9 months were different because these two home observations used entirely different
excluded from analysis (36% negative emotionality, 36% positive emo- behavior-recording systems. In particular, the triadic system was far
tionality). This was done for two reasons: (a) to decrease the likelihood more molar and less microanalytic because it was designed to capture
that a child who was low or high in the emotionality dimension would interaction in three separate dyads—mother-infant, father-infant, and
be erroneously subgrouped because she or he fell at or near the mid- husband-wife (Belsky, Gilstrap, & Rovine, 1984)—rather than in a sin-
point of the distribution, and (b) to amplify what were expected to be gle one (i.e., mother-infant).
weak or modest effects. With respect to the measurement of mother-infant interaction in the
Once infants were classified at each time of measurement, the 3- dyadic observations, we relied on a procedure outlined in detail by
month and 9-month classifications on a particular dimension of emo-
tionality were cross-classified to identify stable high (HH) and stable
low (LL) groups and groups that changed from high to low (HL) and 1
from low to high (LH). In the case of negative emotionality, this proce- The limited stability of positive emotionality did not derive from
dure resulted in 33 HH subjects, 26 LLsubjects, 19 HLsubjects, and 16 including emotion and social responsivity components in the compos-
LH subjects. The numberof positive-emotionality subjects were 29,29, ite.
2
19, and 19, respectively. In view of the fact that the same mothers/wives who completed the
infant temperament report at 3 months and 9 months, which contrib-
uted to the creation of positive and negative emotionality scores, also
Measuring Family Antecedents of Continuity and completed personality and marital scales, which will be used to distin-
Discontinuity guish emotionality groups, it was necessary to determine whether
these two sets of maternal reports were related. To the extent that they
Two types of measurements were conceptualized as potential family were then, any capacity of the wife personality and marriage scales to
antecedents of continuity and discontinuity for purposes of this inves- distinguish the emotionality groups might simply be a function of the
tigation. Distal factors were indexes of parental personality and mari- fact that the same individual contributed to the measurement of inde-
tal quality obtained before the infant's birth as well as infant genderand pendent and dependent variables in a particular analysis. This turned
assessments of neonatal functioning. Proximal processes were mea- out not to be a concern, because the maternal report scores of infant
sures of mother-infant and father-infant interaction obtained during fussy/difficult and social responsiveness at both 3 months and 9
the 3-month home observations of the mother-infant dyad and the months were unrelated to the three personality and two marital mea-
mother-father-infant triad. sures obtained prenatally (mean r= .04; range = -.07-16).
3
Distal factors. As part of a lengthy questionnaire completed by each Following the scoring conventions of Jacobson et al. (1984), high
parent in the last trimester of pregnancy, assessments of personality scores on the orientation, autonomic-stability, regulation-of-state, and
and marital quality were obtained. Specifically, each parent completed motor-maturity dimensions indicate more optimal newborn function-
the Interpersonal Affect Scale (assessing orientation toward the feel- ing, whereas a high score on range of state reflects high irritability,
ings of others), the Self-Esteem scale from the Jackson {1976) Personal- arousal, and slate lability. Therefore, to create a composite score indi-
ity Inventory, and the Ego Strength scale (assessingemotional maturity cating well-functioning neonatal behavior, the first four dimensions
andflexibility)from theCattell 16PF (Cattell, Eber, & Tatsuoka, 1970). were added and the range-of-state score subtracted from the sum. Once
These scales were selected for inclusion in the longitudinal study be- analyses reported in this article were completed, the newborn compos-
cause of their presumed relevance to relationship functioning and their ite was decomposed to determine whether results would be different
documented reliability and validity. As a result of scoring conventions, using individual component scores. In no case did individual dimen-
low scores reflect psychologically healthier functioning. sion scores prove to discriminate between groups that changed and
On the basis of prior factor analyses (Isabella & Belsky, 1985), four that remained the same in negative or positive emotionality.
CONTINUITY AND DISCONTINUITY IN INFANT EMOTIONALITY 425

Isabella et al. (1989) and derived from theory and research highlighting gard to both distal factors and proximal processes. The second
the role of sensitive, harmonious, and appropriately responsive interac- set of analyses addresses the same issue with respect to positive
tions in promoting attachment security (e.g., Ainsworth et al., 1978; emotionality. Because the principal focus of this inquiry was to
Belsky, Rovine, & Taylor, 1984; Smith & Pedersen, 1988). Mother and determine why infants who looked similar in their expressed
infant behaviors recorded as present (vs. absent) within continuous 15-s emotionality (positive or negative) at 3 months looked different
sampling intervals were recoded such that every 15-s episode within at 9 months, comparisons were made (a) between groups that
the 1-hr observation was represented by a cross-classification of 11 started high and remained high (HH) or changed to low (HL),
infant behaviors (vertical axis) and 12 maternal behaviors (horizontal
and (b) between groups that started low and remained low (LL)
axis) in a contingency table. Thereafter, each co-occurrence within a
15-s sampling period was judged a priori as reflecting either sensitive/ or changed to high (LH). The third and final set of analyses
complimentary, insensitive/poorly coordinated, or neutral (i.e., neither examines the relation between attachment security and continu-
sensitive nor insensitive) exchanges. ity and discontinuity in negative and positive emotionality.
In general, the 31 co-occurrences characterized as sensitive/compli-
mentary were those in which the behavior displayed by both members
of the dyad reflected an obvious exchange of behaviors (e.g., mother Family Antecedents of Continuity/Discontinuity in
stimulate-baby response/explore) or the behavior of at least one Negative Emotionality
member of the dyad was judged as being appropriately responsive to
the behavior of the other (e.g., infant fuss/cry-mother soothe). The 31 To examine the family antecedents of continuity and disconti-
co-occurrences characterized as insensitive-poorly coordinated were nuity in negative emotionality, we proceeded in three steps with
those in which one member of the dyad engaged in behavior that either respect to both the HH versus HL and LL versus LH compari-
was not responded to by the other (e.g., infant fuss/cry-mother attend sons. First, a discriminant function analysis was conducted to
to the infant) or was enjoined by behavior of the other member so that determine how well the multivariate set of distal factors(person-
the combination of behaviors was not considered representative of a ality, marriage, and infant gender, but not NBAS scores because
mutual and reciprocal exchange (e.g., infant fuss/cry-mother stimu- of missing data on 41 subjects) collectively distinguished
late). (Note that of the 70 co-occurrences not accounted for by this
groups.5 If groups that were compared could be reliably discrim-
delineation, 21 were classified as neutral [e.g., infant explore-mother
leisure]; the remaining 49, by definition, could not occur [e.g., infant inated at the multivariate level, we proceed in Step 2 of the
sleep-mother responsively vocalize; infant explore-mother soothe].) analysis to conduct univariate / tests comparing groups on all of
The a priori judgments guiding this characterization of interaction the distal factors (including NBAS scores). Finally, in the third
were theoretically based, and the utility of this scoring system in distin- step of the analysis, groups were compared on the proximal
guishing the interactional histories of secure and insecure dyads has measures of sensitivity-complimentarity/insensitivity-poor co-
been demonstrated (Isabella, et al., 1989) and replicated (Isabella & ordination in the mother-infant dyad and on mother-infant
Belsky, 1990): Dyads subsequently classified as securely attached in the and father-infant engagement from the two home observations
strange situation are disproportionately likely to experience harmoni- at 3 months of age. With only three proximal indexes of parent-
ous, complimentary, and appropriately responsive exchanges, whereas infant interaction and the need for repeated measures compari-
those classified as insecure are disproportionately likely to experience sons in the case of the triadic engagement scores, we opted for
unresponsive and poorly coordinated interactions.
univariate analyses. The multivariate, discriminant-function
In addition to the measurements derived from the observations of
the mother-infant dyad, summary mother-infant and father-infant en-
gagement scores obtained during the observations of the mother-
father-infant triad also were used in this study. At the end of each 15-s 4
sampling period during these observations, mother-infant and father- Because these proximal indexes of parent-infant interaction and
infant interactions were rated on a 4-point scale {0 = no interaction; 3 = the measures of crying and social responsiveness (which contributed to
intense, reciprocal exchange; for further details, see Belsky, Gilstrap, & the negativity and positivity composites) derived from the same sets of
Rovine, 1984). Ratings per sampling period were summed to create observations, it was necessary to determine whether these two sets of
total engagement scores. Previous publications reveal that these rat- measures were related. To the extent that they were, it would confound
any possible interpretation that proximal interactional processes be-
ings were made reliably, and that they are sensitive to differences in
tween parents and infants at 3 months contributed to stability and
maternal and paternal involvement and to changes in infant develop-
change in infant emotionality from 3 months to 9 months. As it turned
ment (Belsky, Gilstrap, & Rovine, 1984; Belsky et al., 1989)." out, this did not prove to be an empirical concern, because neither of
the engagement scores from the triadic observations or the harmony-
Consequences of Continuity/Discontinuity in complementarity scores from the dyadic observation at 3 months were
significantly related to the observational indexes of crying and social
Emotionality responsiveness, which contributed to the negative and positive emo-
Assessments of security of infant-mother attachment obtained tionality scores, respectively.
when infants were 1 year of age were available as part of the longitu- 5
Discriminant-function analysis is a multivariate-data analytic tech-
dinal study. The standard strange situation (Ainsworth & Wittig, 1969) nique that evaluates the extent to which a series of variables can be used
was used, and well-trained, reliable coders classified attachment rela- in combination to distinguish subjects' membership in different
tionships as secure or insecure using standard scoring conventions (for groups. The method assesses the extent to which subjects assigned to
additional details, see Belsky & Rovine, 1987). particular groups can be distinguished on the basis of the predictor
variables included in the analysis (hit rate). Huberty (1984) provided
formulas for determining the extent to which the percent correct classi-
Results fication achieved in the analysis is statistically reliable (z score) and the
The first set of analyses examines the family antecedents of extent to which it improves the rate of accurate prediction of group
continuity and discontinuity in negative emotionality with re- classification beyond what would be expected by chance.
426 J. BELSK.Y, M. FISH, AND R. ISABELLA

approach was restricted to the distal antecedents because there 200 -T


were so many variables under consideration.
LL versus LH. The discriminant-function analysis revealed
that the husband and wife prenatal personality and marriage
LJJ
measures along with infant gender could be used to correctly CC 175 -.
classify 77.1% of the infants with low negative-emotionality o
o
scores at 3 months into groups showing low and high levels of V)
negative emotionality 6 months later (z = 2.83, p < .01). This isa
rate of classification 51 % greater than would be expected on the z
IU
basis of chance alone (Huberty, 1984). In the second step of the
S 150 --
analyses, follow-up / test to specify important discriminating LU
distal variables revealed that infants who changed from low to
C5 KSft
high negative emotionality between 3 and 9 months of age, in 2
comparison with those who remained low, had fathers who LJJ m
scored significantly poorer (i.e., had higher scores) on the prena- o 125 "•
tal measures of interpersonal affect (Ms = 31.13 vs. 26.92, / = o m
3.95, p < .001) and who were less positive about their marriages <
before the infant was born (Ms = 99.94 vs. 109.80, / - 2.10, p < Q
.05). Z 100 - •
<
The third step of the analyses of proximal interaction pro- LU
cesses revealed that even though the LL and LH groups did not
differ with regard to interactions during the mother-infant dy- •;•••'•'
!£•"•••

adic observation (i.e., harmony-complimentary), they did differ


in terms of mother-infant and father-infant engagement in the M F M F
triadic observation. A 2 X 2 (Parent X Group [LL vs. LH])
analysis of variance (ANOVA) indicated that whereas mothers Low-Low Low—High
and fathers in the LL group were equally involved with their Figure 1. Mean mother-infant (M)and father-infant (F) dyadic engage-
3-month-old babies, fathers were less involved than mothers in ment scores for negative-emotionality groups that remained low over
the LH group. Parent x Group interaction, F(l, 40) ^ 3.29, p < time (L-L) and changed from low to high (L-H).
.08. This pattern offindingsis graphically depicted in Figure 1.
In summary, compared with babies who remained low in
negative emotionality, infants who changed from low to high
negative emotionality between 3 and 9 months had fathers who between 3 and 9 months, x 2 0) = 2.93, p <. 10. Furthermore, the
were less affectively oriented toward others (interpersonal af- total performance score on the NBAS marginally differentiated
fect), less positive about their marriages even before their in- infants who changed lo low negative emotionality from those
fants were born, and less involved, relative to their wives, with who stayed high (A/s = 2.381 vs.—1.916,/ = 1.96, p < .06); those
their 3-month-old infants. who remained high performed more poorly.
HH versus HL. The results of the discriminant-function Analyses of the proximal measures of parent-infant interac-
analysis showed that the prenatal personality and marital mea- tion during the home observations indicated similar patterns of
sures and infant gender could be used to correctly classify mother and father involvement for the two groups during the
78.4% of the infants who had high negative-emotionality scores triadic observation but significant differences in the mother-
at 3 months into groups with high or low negative emotionality infant dyadic observation. Specifically, mother-infant dyads in
at 9 months (z = 3.46, p < .001). This is a rate of classification the group that changed from high to low negative emotionality
52.8% higher than would be expected on the basis of chance showed greater than expected frequencies of complementary,
alone (Huberty; 1984). Univariate t tests of the prenatal person- responsive, and sensitive interactions and fewer than expected
ality and marriage variables revealed that both mothers and disharmonious, unresponsive, and poorly coordinated ex-
fathers of babies who changed from high to low negative emo- changes, whereas the reverse was true of dyads with infants who
tionality had better self-esteem (i.e., lower scores) than parents remained highly distressed at both 3 and 9 months, x20) = 4.48,
of infants who continued to show high negative emotionality p<.05. (SeeTable 1.)
(Ms of mothers = 26.26 vs. 29.58, t = 2.30, p < .05; Ms of Thus, comparisons of infants who were high in negative emo-
fathers = 25.53 vs. 27.85, / - 1.97, p < .05) and that mothers of tionality at 3 months and remained high with those who
these changing infants experienced significantly less conflict changed from high to low negativity revealed a far more system-
and ambivalence in their marriage prcnatally than did mothers atic effect of mother and infant factors than those of the LL and
of infants who remained high in negative emotionality at 3 and LH groups. Specifically, mothers of infants who changed from
9 months (A/s - 26.26 vs. 31.39, /= 2.43, /?<.05). high to low levels of negative emotionality, relative to those
Infant characteristics also distinguished these groups. Chi- whose infants remained high in negativity from 3 to 9 months,
square analysis indicated that male infants were more likely to had high self-esteem, experienced less negativity in their
remain high in negative emotionality (71.4%), whereas females marriages before their child's birth, and enjoyed relatively more
were marginally more likely to change from high to low (52.9%) harmonious, responsive, and complementary interactions with
CONTINUITY AND DISCONTINUITY IN INFANT EMOTIONALITY 427

Table 1 sure significantly distinguished the groups at a univariate level.


Observed and (Expected) Frequency of Sensitive, Analyses of parent-infant interaction revealed, however, that
Complementary, Insensitive, and Poorly Coordinated infants who changed to high positive emotionality at 9 months,
Mother-Infant Interaction at 3 Months for the High-High relative to those who remained low, experienced more parent
and High-Low Negative-Emotionality Groups involvement during the 3-month triadic observation, but also
experienced a lower proportion than expected of responsive,
Negative emotionality group complementary, and harmonious interactions when observed
Mother-infant
interaction High-high High-low with just their mothers.
HH versus HL. Prenatal parent personality and marital
Sensitive, measures and infant gender did not result in a reliable discrimi-
complementary 1,246(1,282) 817(781) nation of infants who remained high in positive emotionality
Insensitive,
poorly coordinated 1,964(1,928) 1,138(1,174) between 3 and 9 months from those who changed from high to
low during that time, nor did the measures of parent-infant
Note. Values in parentheses represent total observed and expected interaction prove to be different for the HH and HL groups.
15-S sampling epochs (frequency), x2 (1, N = 52) = 4.48, p < .05.
Attachment Security and Continuity/Discontinuity in
Emotionality
their infants. Infants who changed from high to low negative
emotionality were more likely to be female and to evince more To examine possible consequences of stability and change in
behavioral integrity as newborns in comparison to those who both negative and positive emotionality from 3 to 9 months, a
remained highly negative over time. series of chi-square analyses were performed. First, separate
analyses were conducted to assess relations between continuity
and discontinuity in each emotional dimension and attachment
Conditions of Continuity and Discontinuity in Positive security at 12 months. In keeping with the prior analyses of
Emotionality distal and proximal factors, analyses again involved separate
Paralleling the analyses performed for negative emotionality, comparisons of LL and LH groups and of HH and HL groups.
comparisons were made between the LL and LH positive-emo- Then the positive- and negative-emotionality groups were com-
tionality groups and between the HH and HL positive-emo- bined to test the simultaneous influence of stability or change
tionality groups, first using the discriminant-function analysis, in both emotional dimensions on infant-mother attachment
which, if successful, was followed by univariate comparisons on security.
distal variables and on the proximal measures of parent-infant Negative emotionality. Comparisons of neither LL and LH
interaction. groups nor HH and HL groups revealed associations between
LL versus LH. Infants who changed from low positive emo- continuity/discontinuity in negative emotionality and attach-
tionality at 3 months to high positive emotionality at 9 months ment security. Thus, infant-mother attachment security proved
could be reliably distinguished from those who remained low in to be independent of whether an infant who was low or high in
positive emotionality using the prenatal parent personality and negative emotionality at 3 months remained stable or changed
marriage measures and infant gender in the discriminant-func- by 9 months.
tion analysis (76.7% correct classification, z = 3.23, p < .001, a Positive emotionality. Although the LL and LH groups did
rate 51.4% greater than that expected by chance; Huberty, not differ significantly in likelihood of being securely attached,
1984). However, univariate tests revealed no significant differ- the HH and HL positive-emotionality groups did. Infants who
ences between the LL and LH groups with respect to individual changed from high to low positive emotionality between 3 and 9
measures of prenatal parent personality or marriage, infant months were more likely to be classified as insecure at 12
gender, or newborn behavioral performance.
Proximal interaction at the two 3-month observations was
found to be different for these two groups of infants. In the case Table 2
of the triadic observation, a 2 X 2 (Parent X Group [LL vs. LH]) Observed and (Expected) Frequency of Sensitive,
analysis of variance (ANOVA) revealed a significant main effect Complementary, Insensitive, and Poorly Coordinated
for group, F(l, 46) = 5.26, p < .05; parents of infants who Mother-Infant Interaction at 3 Months for the Low-Low
changed from low to high positive emotionality were more in- and Low-High Positive-Emotionality Groups
volved with their babies at 3 months of age than were parents of
infants who remained low in positive affect and social respon- Positive emotionality group
siveness (Ms — 159.03 vs. 126.84). Contrary to expectations, Mother-infant
interaction Low-low Low-high
however, interaction in the mother-infant dyad was more com-
plementary, responsive, and harmonious and less unresponsive Sensitive,
and poorly coordinated for infants who remained low in posi- complementary 860 (825) 485 (520)
tive emotionality in contrast to those who changed from low to Insensitive,
poorly coordinated 1,386(1,421) 932 (897)
high, x2(U = 6.17, p < .05. (See Table 2.)
In sum, although multiple distal factors collectively discrimi- Note. Values in parentheses represent total observed and expected
nated LL and LH positive-emotionality groups, no single mea- 15-S sampling epochs (frequency). x 2 0 , # = 48) = 6.17, />< .05.
428 J. BELSKY, M. FISH, AND R. ISABELLA

months (57.9%) than infants who remained high in positive work is a function of measurement error, the current investiga-
emotionality (17.9%), x2(l) = 8.08, p < .004. tion was based on the presumption, consistent with the theoriz-
Negative and positive emotionality. To test the hypothesis ing of attachment researchers (e.g., Ainsworth et al., 1978), that
that stability or change in negative emotionality, although not such instability reflects, to a significant and important extent,
operating as a significant unique influence on attachment secu- lawful discontinuity (Belsky & Pensky, 1988).
rity, might interact with stability/change in positive emotion- Thus, by examining prenatal family factors and 3-month in-
ality to increase or decrease the risk of insecure attachment, a teractional processes, we sought to illuminate conditions of dis-
cumulative-risk approach was adopted. More specifically, it was continuity The fact that this inquiry focused on measurements
hypothesized that risk for insecurity would be increased if nega- made prenatally and at 3 months in an effort to account for
tive emotionality scores remained high (HH) or changed from change in emotionality from 3 to 9 months does not mean that
low to high (LH)or if positive emotionality scores remained low there is something critical about the infant's first 3 months or
(LL) or changed from high to low (HL). Risk for insecurity was about the 3- to 9-month period. In fact, given the stability of
presumed to be decreased if negative emotionality scores re- many family factors and processes studied, all that the findings
mained low (LL) or changed from high to low (HL) or if positive indicate is that variables measured before any discerned change
emotionality scores remained high (HH) or changed from low enabled us to statistically account for change in emotionality.
to high (LH). Thus, for purposes of analysis, a risk score of 1 Presumably, processes set in motion before 3 months continue
was assigned for group membership in the HH or LH negative- to exert an influence throughout the first year (and probably
emotionality groups and in the LL or HL positive-emotionality beyond).
groups, whereas a risk score of 0 was assigned for membership Before considering specific findings of this study, we should
in LL or HL negative-emotionality groups and in the HH or LH note that the decision to restrict our focus to essentially the top
positive-emotionality groups. As a result, cumulative-risk and bottom thirds of the sample with respect to the distribution
scores of 0 (e.g., HL negative and HH positive), 1 (e.g., LH nega- of negative- and positive-emotionality scores was based on two
tive and HH positive), or 2 (e.g., LH negative and LL positive) premises. First, we presumed that differences within high and
were assigned to each subject with complete data. When secu- low groups at each point in time could not necessarily be re-
rity of attachment was examined as a function of cumulative garded as meaningful, and that an extreme-group approach
risk, a strong association was discerned, x2(2) = 10.42, p < .005. would reduce the likelihood that subjects would be mistakenly
As Table 3 indicates, 15/16 (94%) of the infants who had no risk classified as high or low on a particular emotionality dimen-
and 21/26 (81%) with a single risk were securely attached to sion. Second, we presumed that extreme-group contrasts would
their mothers at 12 months, whereas only 47% of the infants amplify what were expected to be modest effects. Needless to
with two risks were so classified. say, such an approach limits the generalizability of the findings,
because the full distribution of scores was not subject to investi-
Discussion gation.
A variety of the results of our analyses were, in the main,
Although several investigations indicate that negative emo- consistent with the limited findings available from the few
tionality is significantly stable within the infancy years (Birns, other pertinent studies that examined correlates of continuity/
Barten, Bridger, 1969; Gunnar, Mangelsdorf, Larson, & Herts- discontinuity in infant negative emotionality (Engfer, 1986;
gaard, 1989; Matheny, Riese, & Wilson, 1985; Miyake, Chen, & Matheny, 1986; Washington et al., 1986). The one major excep-
Campos, 1985; Riese, 1987), the degree of instability evident in tion to this was the unanticipated discovery that harmonious,
these studies and in the current research raises the possibility complementary interactions were disproportionately charac-
that the rank ordering of infants on this dimension of individ- teristic of the group that remained low in positive emotionality,
uality changes a great deal across the first years of life. Indeed, whereas the reverse was true in the case of infants who changed
rather than assuming that the limited stability reported in most from low to high positivity. Why this counterintuitive result
emerged remains unclear. Before we try to explain it, we would
like to see it replicated. Given the number of analyses run, it
Table 3 may be that it is only a chance finding.
Attachment Security as a Function of Cumulative Risk Beyond this singlefinding,the other significant results repeat-
Associated With Stability and Change in Negative edly indicated, as anticipated, that change to lower levels of
and Positive Emotionality negative emotionality and to higher levels of positive emotiona-
lity was observed when parents (mothers or fathers) were psycho-
12-month attachment logically healthier (higher interpersonal affect or self esteem),
classification marriages were more positive or less negative, mother-infant
Cumulative risk interaction patterns were more complementary and harmoni-
Secure Insecure
ous, or levels of mother-infant and father-infant engagement
15 were more equal or higher. In contrast, change to higher levels
21 of negative emotionality and to lower levels of positive emotion-
ality was associated with less optimal parent personality, mari-
Note. One point given for each of the following conditions: high-high tal characteristics, and interactional processes.
or low-high negative emotionality and low-low or high-low positive Beyond the general observation that most of the family ante-
emotionality, x2 (2, N = 59) = 10.42, p < .005. cedents of continuity and discontinuity identified in this study
CONTINUITY AND DISCONTINUITY IN INFANT EMOTIONALITY 429
were consistent with those anticipated, it should be noted that to turn a not very negative 3-month-old into a highly negative
the distal factors and proximal processes under study proved 9-month-old.
more successful in accounting for stability and change in nega- Prior research and theory regarding the conditions of discon-
tive than positive emotionality. Recall that we had no success in tinuity in negative emotionality and the developmental signifi-
accounting for why some infants who were high in positive emo- cance of sensitive mothering make the findings regarding ma-
tionality changed by 9 months, whereas others did not; and ternal factors and processes easy to assimilate. Presumably, the
univariate comparisons of distal factors did not distinguish be- well-resourced mother capable of initiating and maintaining
tween the LL and LH positive-emotionality groups. One reason harmonious interactions with her infant enables the infant to
for the limited success in accounting for change in positive emo- develop skills to regulate his or her own affective distress while
tionality relative to negative emotionality may be that the latter at the same time providing care less likely to foster distress and
is a more salient characteristic to parents and one that they are more likely to reduce it when it occurs. Proposing mechanisms
more responsive to than positive emotionality. Continuity and that account for the rather systematic set of father characteris-
discontinuity in positive affect/social responsiveness may result tics that differentiated infants low in negativity at 3 months who
from less deliberate processes, in fact, processes that Malatesta changed and stayed the same 6 months later offers more of a
and colleagues' (1989) recent work suggests may be best eluci- challenge.
dated through a more microanalytic analysis of interaction One possibility calls attention to the family-system context of
than the one used in this investigation, particularly one that the findings. Conceivably, the low level of involvement of men
emphasizes facial expressions. Perhaps, too, had additional ob- whose infants changed from low to high negativity, coupled
servational data been available, multimeasure compositing with their insensitivity to the emotions of others and dissatisfac-
could have generated more reliable measures that would have tion with their marriages, resulted in intrusive, overinvolve-
been more sensitive to stability and change in positive emotion- ment on the part of the mother, which fostered infant distress.
Alternatively, mothers' activity may have served to reduce father
ality. There is also the possibility that the constructs used in this
involvement, which itself reflected marital problems that may
inquiry as potential conditions of discontinuity, based as they
also have directly influenced the infant. Certainly consistent
were on prior research on negative emotionality (Engfer, 1986;
with this notion is recent evidence that troubled marriages are
Matheny, 1986; Washington et al., 1986), may simply have been often characterized by withdrawn husbands (Gottman & Kxo-
inappropriate for illuminating factors and processes responsi- koff, 1989; Markman & Kraft, 1989).
ble for stability and change in positive emotionality. Not to be
Having discussed findings regarding the antecedent and
excluded from consideration, also, is the prospect that it is sim-
proximal conditions of continuity and discontinuity in infant
ply easier to measure negative than positive emotionality. In emotionality and attachment, consequences need to be consid-
fact, our inability to achieve reliability in observing and record- ered. Of course, the concept of consequences in this inquiry
ing infant smiles during the 3-month mother-infant observa- reflects the temporal ordering of variables rather than any un-
tions resulted in this behavior being deleted from the recording equivocal pathway of influence. After all, changing patterns of
form. Whatever the reason why less success was achieved in emotionality may as much reflect and be derivative of develop-
discriminating between groups that stayed the same and ing attachment relations as they are the determinants of them.
changed with regard to positive emotionality, it is clear that From our perspective, in fact, these potential causes and conse-
more work on this particular dimension of affectivity is quences are reciprocally linked.
called for. It is particularly intriguing, in view of the differential success
Perhaps more unexpected than the differential success in forecasting change in positive and negative emotionality, that
achieved in accounting for continuity/discontinuity in negative attachment security was more systematically associated with
and positive emotionality was the unanticipated discovery that continuity and discontinuity in positive emotionality than nega-
maternal and paternal factors were implicated differentially in tive emotionality. These results need to be considered in view of
accounting for the subsequent emotional functioning of infants two sets of related findings. First, prior work exploring links
who scored high or low in negative affect at 3 months of age. between infant negative affect and attachment security reveals
Recall that whereas paternal factors and processes were impli- either no relations (Bates et al., 1985; Belsky & Isabella, 1988;
cated as important conditions for explaining why babies who Sroufe, 1985), weak relations (Goldsmith & Alansky, 1987) or
scored low in negative emotionality changed to high or re- relations dependent on social support (Crockenberg, 1981). In
mained the same 6 months later, it was maternal factors and contrast, the discovery that infants who change from high to
processes that emerged as principally responsible for explaining low positive emotionality are disproportionately likely to be
why babies who scored high in negative emotionality at 3 subsequently classified as insecure in their attachments to their
months remained the same or changed over time. Even though mothers not only replicates Malatesta and co-workers' (1989)
these intriguing findings require replication before definitive recent findings, but, in so doing, is consistent with the notion
conclusions can be drawn, the data lead us to tentatively pro- that insecurity is associated with the experience of daily life
pose that it is mothers who feel good about themselves and their becoming less pleasurable across the first year. The fact that
marriages and who participate in disproportionately harmoni- stability and change in negative emotionality contributed to the
ous exchanges with their young infants who foster sufficient prediction of attachment security when considered in conjunc-
affect regulation to change a highly negative 3-month-old into a tion with positive emotionality cautions us against concluding
not particularly negative 9-month-old, but that it takes an affec- that negative affectivity plays no role in the development of
tively insensitive, maritally dissatisfied, and uninvolved father attachment security. In fact, the findings suggest that attach-
430 J. BELSKY, M. FISH, AND R. ISABELLA

ment security is associated with developmental processes of and Family Development Project, II: The development of reciprocal
affect regulation with regard to both positive and negative emo- interaction on the mother-infant dyad. Child Development, 55, 706-
tionality. 717.
In conclusion, the results of this investigation serve to Belsky, X, Youngblade, L., Rovine, M., & Volling, B. (in press). Patterns
counter the seemingly implicit assumption of much research of marital change and parent-child interaction. Journal of Marriage
and the Family.
that instability in infant temperament is primarily a function of
Birns, B., Barten, S. B., & Bridger, W H. (1969). Individual differences
measurement error. This study provides substantial evidence
in temperamental characteristics of infants. Transactions ofthe New
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Contributions from the infant, mother, and family environment. In Received March 27,1990
G. Kohnstamm (Ed.), Temperament discussed (pp. 49-58). Berwyn, Revision received August 8,1990
PA: Swets North America. Accepted August 8,1990 •

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