Quiz 2

Cambridge International AS & A Level

MATHEMATICS 9709
Paper 5 Statistics and Probability 1 60 minutes

INSTRUCTIONS
● Use a black or dark blue pen. You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or
graphs.
● Write your full name clearly.
● Do not use an erasable pen or correction fluid.
● You should use a calculator where appropriate.
● You must show all necessary working clearly; no marks will be given for
unsupported answers from a calculator.
● Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1
decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is
specified in the question.

INFORMATION
● The number of marks for each question or part question is shown in
brackets [ ].
● The total marks for this paper is 26.

LIST OF FORMULAE
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
● Conditional probability 𝑃(𝐴 | 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)

● Independent relationship
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) × 𝑃(𝐵) or 𝑃(𝐴 | 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴)
● Expectation and variance
2 2
𝐸(𝑋) = ∑ 𝑥𝑝 𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑋) = ∑ 𝑥 𝑝 − {𝐸(𝑋)}
1. Megan sends messages to her friends in one of 3 different ways: text, email
or social media. For each message, the probability that she uses text is 0.3
and the probability that she uses email is 0.2. She receives an immediate
reply from a text message with probability 0.4, from an email with
probability 0.15 and from social media with probability 0.6.
I. Draw a fully labelled tree diagram to represent this information. [2]

II. Given that Megan does not receive an immediate reply to a

message, find the probability that the message was an email. [4]
2. Two ordinary fair dice are thrown and the numbers obtained are noted.
Event S is ‘The sum of the numbers is even’. Event T is ‘The sum of the
numbers is either less than 6 or a multiple of 4 or both’. Showing your
working, determine whether the events S and T are independent. [4]
3. A box contains 3 red balls and 5 white balls. One ball is chosen at random
from the box and is not returned to the box. A second ball is now chosen at
random from the box.
I. Find the probability that both balls chosen are red. [1]

II. Show that the probability that the balls chosen are of different
15
colours is 28
. [2]

III. Given that the second ball chosen is red, find the probability that the
first ball chosen is red. [2]
The random variable X denotes the number of red balls chosen.
IV. Draw up the probability distribution table for X. [2]

V. Find Var (X). [3]

4. The random variable X takes the values −1, 1, 2, 3 only. The probability that X
takes the value x is kx2 , where k is a constant.
I. Draw up the probability distribution table for X, in terms of k, and find
the value of k. [3]

II. Find E(X) and Var (X). [3]