Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Pedram Ghannad, S.M.ASCE 1; Yong-Cheol Lee, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE 2; Carol J. Friedland, Ph.D., P.E., M.ASCE 3;
Jin Ouk Choi, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE 4; and Eunhwa Yang, Ph.D. 5
Abstract: Widespread destruction from large-scale disasters results in lengthy and costly recovery of damaged infrastructure and commun-
ities, with societal and economic impacts persisting many years after a hazard event. Robust and coherent reconstruction planning and rapid
execution play pivotal roles in ameliorating time-consuming postdisaster recovery. Reconstruction generally constitutes a considerable
portion of an entire disaster recovery process that requires significant resources, including materials, workforce, funding, time, and others.
To pursue maximum socioeconomic benefits, which can be one of the critical goals of the postdisaster recovery process, optimized recovery
strategies should be designed by considering given federal, state, and local resources. Even though recent studies have proposed disaster
recovery planning and execution models, they rarely addressed social and economic indicators required for comprehensive postdisaster
recovery plans. This paper presents a new postdisaster recovery prioritization model, including social and economic factors, that evaluates
priorities of damaged facilities recovery projects in affected regions through a resource allocation analysis. The primary goal of the proposed
model is to optimize resource allocation and quantify and maximize socioeconomic benefits for a postdisaster reconstruction project portfolio
through multicriteria decision analysis and multiobjective optimization. Also, this research study adopts a modular construction technique as
a potential solution for facilitating the recovery processes, which can significantly reduce their time and cost. The proposed model is expected
to provide a comprehensive decision-making process for researchers and practitioners to design a postdisaster recovery plan and arrange their
available resources by considering the socioeconomic factors of affected communities. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000799.
© 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: Postdisaster recovery; Socioeconomic benefits; Optimization; Multicriteria decision analysis; Modular construction.
of a systematic approach that evaluates potential recovery plans gap, the societal effects of a disastrous event, which represents im-
for promptly restoring the normal livelihood of communities pacted communities’ needs, should be incorporated into the model
(Karlaftis et al. 2007). In the demanding postdisaster landscape, as one of the major decision factors. Consequently, the output of
decision makers and disaster management practitioners require this study is expected to lead to a prioritized list of options that can
an interdisciplinary methodology to select and execute an opti- be considered as a workable and balanced action plan.
mized reconstruction process that sequentially allocates available
reconstruction resources into affected regions to reduce the entire
recovery time and cost while mitigating negative postdisaster com- Disasters and Socioeconomic Impacts
munity impacts. Over the last decade, many research studies have been conducted to
The goal of this study is to develop a new framework for modu- identify key factors for a successful recovery process focusing on
lar construction–based postdisaster reconstruction planning and strategies commonly used by impacted communities and govern-
prioritization that is capable of considering resource limitation, ments. It has been repeatedly stated that the involvement of com-
time constraints, and socioeconomic factors simultaneously. In the munities’ needs in recovery-related decisions enhanced the overall
proposed recovery planning model, the social impacts of disasters recovery output. Various disaster-related models have been devel-
are considered as one of the crucial decision-making factors in or- oped to evaluate the impacts of a disaster on society. These models
der to address underlying communities’ vulnerability and needs. have mostly considered the vulnerability by reflecting physical
Thus, the proposed model is designed to maximize the socioeco- damage as direct economic loss for physical structures at risk.
nomic benefits of recovery strategies. The main contribution of However, they have overlooked social loss, including the loss of
this paper is to identify the impacts of integrating underlying com- life, indirect economic loss, loss of jobs, and health issues, which
munities’ vulnerability and socioeconomic factors in prioritizing all contribute to social vulnerability.
postdisaster recovery strategies. In addition, the study provides a The primary reason why social vulnerability has been rarely
systematic prioritization model dealing with the resource utilization regarded in postdisaster loss estimation analyses is that the social
challenges that generally occur during the postdisaster recovery factors are challenging to quantify systematically (Cutter et al.
process. 2003). However, in the social science literature, there are various
proposed methods and models to quantify social vulnerability to
hazards (Burton 2010). The social vulnerability of a community
Background reflects the extent of which a particular event can put the commun-
ity’s livelihood at risk, how much that event can harm people and
places, and the ability of the community to cope with the conse-
Previous Relevant Studies quences and attenuate the effects. (Polsky et al. 2007). Cutter et al.
There are several clusters of studies available addressing project (2003) developed the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI), which is
prioritization, planning, and scheduling. Resource-constrained one of the most well-established vulnerability evaluation models.
projects and related planning issues have been investigated in the The SoVI consists of various socioeconomic variables, such as
literature by focusing on the resource allocation and leveling of a household value, average income, education level, and percentage
single construction project (Leu and Yang 1999; Senouci and Eldin of mobile homes, among others, and computes a summary score
2004) or for multiple projects under resource constraints (e.g., East through an additive model.
and Liu 2006; Zhang et al. 2006). This group of studies, however,
has not addressed resource utilization challenges that occur during
the postdisaster recovery process. Modular-Based Postdisaster Reconstruction
Instead, there is another cluster of studies focused on specific From a construction perspective, reconstruction of infrastructures
aspects of the recovery process. These studies used different after a disaster can be generally divided into the following two
approaches to address part of the recovery process, for example, parts: buildings as social infrastructure (houses, public buildings,
genetic algorithms for the housing recovery (El-Anwar et al. 2009); schools, commercial buildings, and others) and other critical in-
geographic information systems (GIS) for disaster management is- frastructure (e.g., water and power supplies, transportation, and
sues (Pradhan et al. 2007); the mixed-integer linear programming communication infrastructures). Repair and reconstruction of all
model for postdisaster recovery of transportation projects (El- facilities are essential to recovering communities’ living standards
Anwar et al. 2015); and evolutionary algorithms for transportation to a predisaster condition. However, housing recovery projects have
recovery fund allocations (Karlaftis et al. 2007). Although consid- been considered as the highest priority for disaster victims and de-
erable efforts were made to optimize the postdisaster recovery pro- cision makers in previous disaster events. Freeman (2004) carried
cess based on the physical and economic impacts of a disaster, out research on postdisaster fund allocation, which indicated that
explicit analysis of the underlying community vulnerability and 30%–50% of financial resources were traditionally assigned to
socioeconomic factors are typically absent due to the difficulty housing reconstruction projects. The reconstruction of destroyed
in quantifying these factors. and damaged houses is the most critical and laborious step of
In one of the efforts to address this existing gap, Eid and El- the postdisaster recovery process for communities and people to
Adaway (2017) integrated social vulnerability into stakeholder’s restore their normal livelihood.
and Goulding 2010), low resource depletion (Won et al. 2013), con- tion, the staff of Facility Planning and Control (FP&C) in the
struction waste reduction (MBI 2010), improved quality control Department of Administration (DOA) established this decision
(Choi et al. 2019a), noise and dust reduction (Pons and Wadel tree approved by the Joint Legislative Committee on the Budget
2011), higher standards for health and safety (O’Connor et al. (Louisiana DOA 2006). The decision tree is founded on the
2013, 2015; MBI 2010), and better structural performance during FP&C’s understanding of the facilities, agencies, and programs ac-
hazards such as hurricane and high winds (FEMA 1992). In par- commodated in those damaged buildings. Cultural or historical sig-
ticular, these characteristics of modular construction can facilitate nificance, the necessity of the function, and the role of the project in
postdisaster building reconstruction (Ghannad et al. 2019). Thus, in economic development are the parameters considered in this
this study, the authors have defined the postdisaster recovery pro- decision-making tool.
cess as a portfolio of building reconstruction projects that can be This decision tree yields the prioritization of all facilities at the
rapidly and efficiently completed by the modular construction program level in the eight priority categories. However, the ap-
method. proach lacks a mechanism to rank the projects within one priority
category. For instance, reconstruction of all damaged facilities
with cultural importance would fall into Priority category 1, but the
Current Practices method is not capable of prioritizing various projects within that
Postdisaster reconstruction typically requires a gigantic amount of Category 1. In other words, this method is only able to cluster
resources, funds, and time. For example, approximately 1,500 state the project based on several preferences rather than prioritize them
buildings were damaged by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005, for a workable plan.
with an estimated damage of $1.8 billion for buildings and contents Reviewing the current practice of prioritization process helped
(Louisiana Recovery Authority 2006). Because of insufficient re- the authors to identify the shortcomings and indicated that the local
sources including experts, workforces, funds, materials, designers, and federal guidelines only entail general considerations for their
contractors, and others, it was significantly challenging to repair postdisaster recovery planning. Thus, this study aims to tackle a
and recover all damaged facilities rapidly in the previous cata- critical challenge in recovery planning caused by the lack of a com-
strophic disaster events. To address these challenges, there is a criti- prehensive plan by establishing a well-balanced prioritization
cal need for a systematic methodology to prioritize and optimize model embracing necessary considerations to build an action plan.
postdisaster recovery projects in affected locations. To identify pri- The proposed methodology provides an informed decision-making
orities and make informed decisions with available data, decision process structurally and practically incorporating various factors
makers or state practitioners need to understand the reconstruction and necessary criteria, including FEMA’s National Disaster Recov-
limitations and recovery needs. According to FEMA (2005), state ery Framework (FEMA 2016).
or local governments are recommended to consider the following The large number of reconstruction projects after a disaster
aspects when identifying priorities: event, various sources of funds, and diverse agencies and organi-
• Objectives of senior elected officials; zations (federal, state, and local) cause the complexity of the dis-
• Recovery stakeholder goals; aster recovery process, which can be exacerbated according to
• Existing legal authorities; distinct procedures, criteria, and goals defined in each agency.
• Availability of resources; Also, heterogeneous recovery plans can be a serious obstacle for
• Unique cultural characteristics and expectations of the establishing the long-term recovery process and selecting an opti-
jurisdiction; mized recovery plan because of the possibilities to overlook
• Planning for and inclusion of people with disabilities and others regional requirements, communities’ needs, and technical aspects.
with access and functional needs; The identified major challenges in planning priorities for post-
• Short-, intermediate-, or long-term impacts; and disaster reconstruction are (1) absence of a systemic method to
• Potential impacts of prioritizing certain recovery needs over cope with competing objectives and various constraints regarding
others. social, economic, and technical issues; (2) lack of integration of
However, there are a large number of factors that should be con- preferences, attitudes, and organizational values of the involved
sidered for planning priorities such as the existing governments’ stakeholders; and (3) inconsistency of prioritizing policies, which
policies and strategic plans or the specific needs of a particular in- leads to an “ad hoc case-by-case” decision-making process (Jones
cident. The following factors are the examples affecting priority et al. 2013; Karvetski et al. 2009). To address these challenges, this
planning not mentioned in FEMA (2005): research study aims to develop a comprehensive and practical meth-
• Restore the tax base and revenues to stable levels; odology for prioritizing and optimizing postdisaster reconstruction
• Restore schools, including Head Start schools, health services processes by considering all available requirements in both the pro-
provided in schools, and school lunch programs before the gram level and the project level.
upcoming school year;
• Reopen key industries and key sources of employment as soon
Multiple-Criteria Decision Analysis
as possible;
• Implement mitigation principles and practices to enhance Multiple-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) consists of a set of
resiliency; methods that comparatively evaluates various aspects of a problem
Initial Yes No
prioritization Stop
incorporates the resource allocation schema designed based on objectives such as time and cost according to the resource con-
modular construction concepts. The MGA called nondominating straints. The authors conducted the following tasks to accomplish
sorting algorithm II used in this step provides Pareto-optimal pri- the goal.
oritization solutions according to the defined objectives.
Criteria Selection and Hierarchical Structure
Integrated AHP and NSGA-II Method for Prioritization
The first step in the AHP method is choosing the project prioriti-
and Optimization
zation criteria that represent the interests of the studied region. The
Typically, a project prioritization problem entails multiple criteria next step is breaking down the prioritization criteria into the hier-
that result in difficulties in creating an optimal solution. The current archy structures, in which the higher level has the general catego-
prioritization practices mainly deal with either quantitative mea- ries, and the lower-level criteria are selected based on the following
sures or qualitative measures. However, a technique dealing with three primary sources: the literature review, the project evaluation,
both quantitative and qualitative factors is required to consider and feasibility studies, and the experts’ opinions. The literature re-
the complexity of the models and uncertainty of the project priori- view can provide insight into what type of data is more critical for
tization problem. The developed methodology in this paper is based project prioritization and considering the social vulnerability of
on the integrated method of the AHP and NSGA-II, which is shown the communities. Project evaluation, cost and time estimation, and
in Fig. 2. financial assessment create a strong basis for prioritization analysis.
This proposed model employs the AHP, which utilizes a pair- Finally, experts can propose and finalize the best criteria according
wise comparison, to make the trade-off between tangible and to a specific disaster scenario. In this study, the authors analyzed the
intangible socioeconomic factors and to calculate a preliminary literature and collected the socioeconomic and other critical criteria
ranking of given projects. This ranking is considered as a salient that should be considered in most of the cases to link the prioriti-
criterion for identifying the optimal solution as well as maintaining zation process to postdisaster recovery planning.
maximized socioeconomic benefits. However, some other vital Table 1 contains fundamental criteria that have been collected
constraints and objectives exist that should be additionally consid- by the authors according to the previous studies of disasters and the
ered in the optimization process. For addressing these require- challenges of the recovery processes, which can be found from
ments, the proposed model adopts NSGA-II to optimize the Green et al. (2007), Weerakoon et al. (2007), Koria (2009), Tas et al.
other aspects of the reconstruction process while maintaining the (2011), and Arshad and Athar (2013). However, this list contains
socioeconomic benefits. By applying the preliminary rankings as preliminary criteria, which can be flexibly adjusted by experts
the baseline of socioeconomic benefits, the model forms a new based on the nature of the prioritization problem, geographic con-
objective that is the deviation of the final solutions from the opti- dition, and special local considerations. According to the selected
mal solution (socioeconomic perspective). Thus, the model can criteria, the hierarchical structure of the prioritization problem has
minimize the new objective along with the optimization of other been constructed, as shown in Fig. 3.
tory data in the US and utilizes the hazards’ specifications and vari-
ous loss functions to analyze the damages in affected areas. The
Socioeconomic Evaluation loss data provided by Hazus are incorporated into the proposed
Olshansky (2006) evaluated the strategies to identify the key ele- model to balance the resource allocation among different projects
ments for achieving a successful recovery process. They found that and regions.
incorporating the communities’ needs in the postdisaster decisions
enhanced the overall recovery output (Olshansky et al. 2006).
To this extent, it needs to understand and account for affected Criteria Weight Calculation
communities’ needs and status (which can be reflected by social The next step is the generation of weights through surveys for each
vulnerability to hazard) to optimize the various disaster recovery criterion selected in Step1. The weights of the set ofP M criteria in
strategies. In this study, for postdisaster recovery programs, the so- Step 1, defined as W i , are calculated with regard to m i¼1 W i ¼ 1
cial vulnerability index SoVI was incorporated in the methodology and 0 < W i <. The quantity W i represents the relative importance
to reflect the affected regions’ different recovery needs. This can of criterion C. The larger weight is implying higher importance
help the decision makers to allocate reconstruction funds and given the stakeholder’s perspectives of the project ranking priority.
resources more systematically and purposefully. The SoVI model This method uses a pairwise comparison matrix to calculate the
is an extensive socioeconomic and demographic model that relative value of requirements and the weights of criteria. In this
assesses the communities’ vulnerability to disaster. SoVI is a approach, a decision maker needs to consider the value of one sin-
well-established and widely recognized vulnerability evaluation gle pairwise comparison at a time in a linguistic phrase. Then, the
model created based on the communities’ specific socioeconomic scales in Table 2 are used to quantify linguistic phrases. If criterion
data (Cutter et al. 2003). These data are used in a multivariate factor i has one of the nonzero values assigned to it when compared with
analysis to identify the variables that most heavily influence the criterion j, then j has the reciprocal value when compared with i.
social vulnerability of a specific community. The factors that under-
line the social vulnerability elements include economic, equity,
adaptive capacity, occupation, and ethnicity. Scoring the Projects
In the next step, each pairing of the projects within each criterion,
the options will be compared and awarded a score. For the quanti-
Damage Assessment
tative criteria, the numerical value is used for scoring, whereas for
In addition to the social characteristics of the affected regions, the quantitative criteria, the pairwise comparison described in the pre-
extent of physical damage is also a determinant factor for success- vious section will be used to score the projects. In the final step, the
ful resource allocation during the postdisaster recovery. Reliable project scores are combined with the criterion weights to produce
assessment of physical losses allows the decision makers to logi- an overall score for each project. The higher final score indicates
cally and sequentially assign the limited available resources among the higher priority of the project.
Project
prioritization
Socio-economic
Other factors
factors
Physical damage to
NO. of people Historical
Social vulnerability the regions Community Political
affected by project and cultural
of affected people affected by the services’ criticality importance
importance
project
two adjacent judgments facilities and recovery of communities to the predisaster condition.
Source: Data from Saaty (2005). Thus, according to the disaster occurrence time and completion time
of each project, the interruption period can be calculated.
Interruption costs and its calculation differ from one type of
project to another. For example, the interruption cost of a damaged
Problem Formulation for NSGA-II bridge can be calculated by analyzing its effects on the transporta-
tion network, whereas the interruption cost for housing projects can
Assumptions be calculated by analyzing the relocation and temporary housing
The problem optimization of this study is performed with NSGA-II costs for residents. Minimizing the interruption cost (TIC) is the
according to the following set of rules and assumptions: second objective of the developed optimization model (Eq. 2)
• Reconstruction resources are used in recovery projects accord-
ing to the priorities of these projects. X
n
• Recovery projects cannot start with fewer reconstruction Minimize TIC ¼ Fj · ICj ð2Þ
j¼1
resources than required.
• Recovery projects cannot be interrupted once started. where Fj = end time of the project with priority j; and ICj =
• Each reconstruction project requires a specific number of mod- interruption cost of project j per time unit.
ules and often includes various types of modules. The third objective of the model is to minimize the total
• Each reconstruction project requires a specific amount of reconstruction time. Disaster recovery projects should be com-
resources and workforces. pleted as quickly as possible to mitigate the negative impacts on
• Project duration can extend or shrink based on the number and affected victims. Minimizing the completion time of reconstruction
availability of the resources. projects may also lead to reducing the total construction cost.
• Resources are released from a project once the project is Weerakoon et al. (2007) indicated that inflation could cause cost
complete. overruns of about 15%–25%, for postdisaster recovery projects.
Objective Functions Total reconstruction time will be calculated with Eq. 3
The first objective integrates the socioeconomic factors with the Minimize TCT ¼ Sn þ Dn ð3Þ
optimization model. To this end, it is assumed that the solution
obtained from the AHP method is the optimal solution from the where n = number of projects in the reconstruction portfolio; Sn =
socioeconomic perspective, and any other solution deviates the start time of the project with priority n; and Dn = duration of the
plan from maximum socioeconomic benefit. Therefore, this objec- project with priority n.
tive is designed to minimize the deviation of the solutions from the
optimal solution derived from the AHP method. The deviation is Decision Variables
calculated by the summation of squared distances between the pri- The decision variables of this optimization model are priorities of
ority of each project (Pj ) and its priority in the optimal solution the projects which is shown by Pj (priority of project j).
from a socioeconomic perspective (IPj ) multiplied by the project
weight in the AHP methodology. The squared distance of Pj Defining the Constraint
and IPj reflects the deviation of the project’s priority in a given The following constraints have been considered for model develop-
solution from its priority in optimal solution yielded by the AHP ment to fulfill the postdisaster reconstruction project portfolio
method. Also, the incorporation of weights in the calculations en- requirements:
sures that the deviation of the project with a higher weight (more 1. Funding constraints
important) causes a more negative effect on this objective. This al-
X
n
lows the optimization model to minimize the deviation from the ajt f jt ≤ Ft
optimal socioeconomic solution i¼1
X
n
2. Module production constraints
Minimize SEDev ¼ W j · ðIPj − Pj Þ2 ð1Þ
j¼1 X n
∀i ajt mijt ≤ MCit ; i ¼ 1; 2; : : : ; M
where IPj = initial priority of the project j derived from the AHP j¼1
method; Pj = priority of the project j derived from NSGA-II
method; and W j = weight of the project j derived from the 3. Resource availability constraints
AHP method. X n
The second objective is to minimize the total cost of recovery ∀k ajt rkjt ≤ RCkt ; k ¼ 1; 2; : : : ; K
projects. The inherent complexity of the postdisaster recovery j¼1
process makes it challenging to develop a comprehensive cost
model that needs to cover all available financial aspects and fund- where ajt = activeness of project j in time period t (if project
ing processes. The cost of the reconstruction project portfolio can j is active in period t, then ajt ¼ 1; otherwise ajt ¼ 0);
Rejected
Determine the
possibility for No
starting the
project
Fig. 5. NSGA-II process.
Yes
Set the start time of the
project = T
the initial population is randomly generated. The algorithm evalu-
Set the finish time of the ates the generation and ranks them based on a nondominating level
project = T+ Duration of the and a crowding distance (Fig. 5). Parents are selected by using
project the roulette-wheel selection method (Goldberg and Holland 1988),
in which the higher-ranked individuals have a higher chance for
Set the project as active selection. This selection method can reduce convergence time
during the completion time significantly.
In order to execute the crossover and mutation, it is crucial to
maintain the permutation among the genes to have a feasible sol-
No All the projects
ution. Thus, permutation single-point crossover (Fig. 6) and com-
are scheduled? bination of swap, insertion, and switch mutation (Fig. 7) have been
utilized as the crossover and mutation operators, respectively. The
offspring and parent constitute the new generation, and they are
Yes
evaluated and ranked again against a nondominating level and a
Stop crowding distance to generate the new population. This process
will be iteratively conducted until the termination criterion is sat-
Fig. 4. Resource utilization and scheduling algorithm. isfied. At the end of the NSGA-II implementation, a set of nondo-
minated Pareto-optimal prioritization solutions are obtained in the
sense of multiobjective optimization.
Parent 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Parent 2 2 5 1 8 7 4 6 3
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.
2 5 1 8 5 6 7 8 2 3 1 4 5 6 7 8 Child 1
1 2 5 8 7 4 6 3 Child 2
1 2 3 4 7 4 6 3
Repetitive Non-existing
5, 8 3, 4
3, 4 5, 8
Damage level
Very low
Low
Medium-low
Medium
Medium-high
High
Very High
Location of projects
Fig. 8. Postdisaster reconstruction locations overlain on Hazus-modeled damage map. (Data from simulation of Hurricane Gustave in MH-HAZUS
4.2 software.)
Table 4. Resource constraints running at 2.50 GHz for running the model, and each run took be-
Resource Availability (per week) Unit tween 1,310 and 1,370 s, which shows the low computational effort
of the proposed methodology.
M1 18,000 Number of module Type 1
M2 10,000 Number of module Type 2 The proposed GA approach can be utilized to optimize the prob-
M3 25,000 Number of module Type 3 lem for one or more objectives. The optimal solutions for each ob-
R1 25,000 Units of Resource 1 jective are given individually in Table 8, which illustrates that the
R2 300,000 Units of Resource 2 minimum completion time of the projects is 130 weeks, and the
Funds 200,000 USD minimum interruption cost is $4,096,000. Fig. 10 also depicts
the final schedule for the optimal solutions presented in Table 8.
Table 6. Projects’ ranking and weights derived from the AHP method the methodology can be applied to other test cases, and further stat-
Rank Project number Weights istical analyses can be conducted to assure the robustness of the
methodology and identify the factors that affect the performance
1 3 0.216
of this algorithm.
2 1 0.152
3 4 0.148 The test case indicated promising results that the proposed
4 7 0.093 method could be utilized as a decision-making tool with low com-
5 2 0.089 putation effort to quickly and efficiently respond to the demands of
6 9 0.084 the recovery process. However, several simplifications and assump-
7 5 0.078 tions are considered to develop the model and test the proposed
8 10 0.050 method, such as focusing on the portfolio level and neglecting
9 8 0.049 the single project level for resource utilization and generalizing
10 6 0.039
modules for all projects. Two performance measures were calcu-
lated over 10 runs of the model and Pareto optimal sets of solutions.
The analyses confirmed the quality of the algorithm for the pro-
posed model evaluation case.
The focus of the paper is on proposing a holistic framework
Table 7. Internal parameters of applied NSGA-II for model evaluation for structuring the decision-making process in a postdisaster envi-
Intensity of importance Definition ronment rather than providing a single formula for project priori-
tization. Each disaster scenario has specific consideration and
Population size 100
Crossover rate 0.80 needs that must be reflected in the workable plan of the recovery
Swap mutation rate 0.02 process. All the components of the proposed framework are de-
Insertion mutation rate 0.02 signed in a way that can be modified according to decision makers’
Switch mutation rate 0.02 preferences and disaster scenario requirements. However, calibrat-
Number of generations 200 ing and formulating the model to fit a specific disaster scenario or
reconstruction project portfolio can be remarkably challenging.
The main contribution of this study is the comprehensiveness
set of solutions [Schott (1995) has given details]. The NSGA-II of the proposed framework for evaluating the postdisaster recovery
gives different estimates for each execution. problem and prioritize the recovery projects in an optimized
Therefore, for empirical evidence of the performance of our way. Prioritization of postdisaster recovery projects is a multidi-
method, the algorithm was run multiple times on the same problem. mensional problem that requires an interdisciplinary approach. This
Then, the authors calculated the aforementioned performance framework is designed to incorporate all types of factors, including
measures for each run. The values achieved by the GD metric technical considerations, societal needs, economic evaluation,
are relatively small and vary between 0.7524 and 2.2765. Thus, financial and managerial preferences, and regional requirements,
it can be concluded that the set of acquired solutions is close to among others. Although many researchers have focused on
the Pareto front. The results obtained for the PS metric are close proposing a holistic approach for solving the project prioritization
to 0 (vary between 1.4535 and 4.5437), so the solutions are well problem, they rarely tried to incorporate both qualitative and
distributed in the Pareto front. The statistical analyses confirmed quantitative factors. The integration of two different methods,
the quality of the obtained Pareto fronts and the performance of the AHP and NSGA-II, facilitates the fusion of various types of
the NSGA-II for the illustrative example. In future efforts, however, factors.
Project
#1 #1
#2 #2
#3 #3
#4 #4
#5 #5
#6 #6
#7 #7
#8 #8
#9
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.
#9
#10 Time (week) #10 Time (week)
25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200
(a) (b)
Project
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
#10 Time (week)
25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200
(c)
Fig. 10. Optimal reconstruction schedule for (a) Objective 1; (b) Objective 2; and (c) Objective 3.
Fig. 11. (a) Trade-off between Objectives 1 and 2; (b) trade-off between Objectives 2 and 3; (c) trade-off between Objectives 1 and 3; and (d) Pareto
front of optimal solutions for three objectives.
incorporate socioeconomic factors, the proposed method adopted study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable
the AHP methodology, which is a powerful tool for multicriteria de- request.
cision making, especially when the criteria are qualitative, and the
stakeholders’ preferences play an important role in the decision-
making process. The AHP method was further integrated with a Acknowledgments
MGA known as NSGA-II to reflect all existing constraints during
the postdisaster recovery process. In addition, this proposed model The authors acknowledge the research support of the Louisiana
was assessed by conducting the illustrative case study with the real Economic Development Assistantship (EDA).
disaster scenario, which showed its feasibility, time-efficiency, and
accuracy in the application for systematically allocating the limited
available resources to the portfolio of the postdisaster reconstruction References
projects based on project priority.
However, in future studies, the model should be tested over differ- Arshad, S., and S. Athar. 2013. Rural housing reconstruction program
ent problems with various sizes and numbers of variables to examine post-2005 earthquake: Learning from the Pakistan experience: A
the robustness of the proposed methodology comprehensively. manual for post-disaster housing program managers. Washington,
In future efforts, the model can be improved by considering the DC: World Bank.
project-level criteria, contractor assignments, project acceleration, Balali, V., A. Mottaghi, O. Shoghli, and M. Golabchi. 2014. “Selection of
appropriate material, construction technique, and structural system of
and other factors that affect the projects individually. Also, to
bridges by use of multicriteria decision-making method.” Transp.
make the model more practical for practitioners and decision mak- Res. Rec. 2431 (1): 79–87. https://doi.org/10.3141/2431-11.
ers, the model can be integrated with a MCDA tool to select the Balali, V., B. Zahraie, and A. Roozbahani. 2012. “Integration of ELECTRE
best option from the optimal answers according to the experts’ III and PROMETHEE II decision-making methods with an interval ap-
analysis. proach: Application in selection of appropriate structural systems.”
Robust recovery planning of infrastructures and communities J. Comput. Civ. Eng. 28 (2): 297–314. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)
damaged by large-scale disaster events is one of the most challeng- CP.1943-5487.0000254.
ing managerial issues in the aftermath of a disaster. The multidis- Belton, V., and T. Stewart. 2002. Multiple criteria decision analysis: An
ciplinary nature of the recovery process, including societal and integrated approach. New York: Springer.
economic impacts, typically adds excessive complexity to the criti- Burton, C. G. 2010. “Social vulnerability and hurricane impact modeling.”
cal issue. In addition to the engineering aspect of the recovery pro- Nat. Hazards Rev. 11 (2): 58–68. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1527
-6988(2010)11:2(58).
cess, other necessary considerations such as socioeconomic factors
Carrillo, V. M., and H. Taboada. 2012. “A post-Pareto approach for multi-
play a pivotal role in successful postdisaster planning. With the objective decision making using a non-uniform weight generator
holistic perspective of postdisaster recovery planning, this paper method.” Procedia Comput. Sci. 12 (1): 116–121. https://doi.org/10
contributes to the body knowledge to the management in the en- .1016/j.procs.2012.09.040.
gineering domain by providing a new recovery prioritization model Chang, S. E., and N. Nojima. 2001. “Measuring post-disaster transportation
that systematically integrates the social and economic factors with system performance: The 1995 Kobe earthquake in comparative
other technical factors. This new model, which has been rarely in- perspective.” Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract. 35 (6): 475–494.
vestigated in previous studies, is imperative in proposing a coherent https://doi.org/10.1016/S0965-8564(00)00003-3.
prioritization framework well-balanced among economic, societal, Chang, Y., S. Wilkinson, R. Potangaroa, and E. Seville. 2010. “Resourcing
sustainable, and other essential aspects. This multiobjective method challenges for postdisaster housing reconstruction: A comparative
analysis.” Build. Res. Inf. 38 (3): 247–264. https://doi.org/10.1080
creates a comprehensive framework that allows government offi-
/09613211003693945.
cials, practitioners, and decision makers to prioritize their recovery Choi, J., X. Chen, and T. Kim. 2019a. “Opportunities and challenges of
plan in an optimized way without neglecting any aspect of this modular methods in dense urban environment.” Int. J. Constr. Manage.
interdisciplinary process. 19 (2): 93–105. https://doi.org/10.1080/15623599.2017.1382093.
This proposed method and model is expected to help (1) explic- Choi, J., J. T. O’Connor, and T. Kim. 2016. “Recipes for cost and schedule
itly integrate social factors reflecting the affected community’s successes for industrial modular projects: Qualitative comparative
needs in planning the disaster recovery process, (2) systematically analysis approach.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 142 (10): 04016055.
utilize limited reconstruction resources to complete recovery proj- https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001171.
ects, and (3) generate recovery plans that minimize reconstruction Choi, J. O., J. T. O’Connor, Y. H. Kwak, and B. K. Shrestha. 2019b.
cost while maintaining the optimal level of socioeconomic benefits. “Modularization business case analysis model for industrial projects.”
J. Manage. Eng. 35 (3): 04019004. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME
The proposed model is expected to be an initial step toward a
.1943-5479.0000683.
comprehensive decision-making process to design an efficient post-
Cutter, S. L., B. J. Boruff, and W. L. Shirley. 2003. “Social vulnerability to
disaster recovery plan and arrange their available resources con- environmental hazards.” Social Sci. Q. 84 (2): 242–261. https://doi.org
cerning the socioeconomic factors of affected communities. The /10.1111/1540-6237.8402002.
authors also expect that this flexibility regarding the certain levels Deb, K., A. Pratap, S. Agarwal, and T. A. M. T. Meyarivan. 2002. “A fast
of assumptions and simplifications can provide the broader impacts and elitist multiobjective genetic algorithm: NSGA-II.” IEEE Trans.
for several state agencies to establish their recovery plan with their Evol. Comput. 6 (2): 182–197. https://doi.org/10.1109/4235.996017.