You are on page 1of 15

Multiobjective Optimization of Postdisaster

Reconstruction Processes for Ensuring


Long-Term Socioeconomic Benefits
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

Pedram Ghannad, S.M.ASCE 1; Yong-Cheol Lee, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE 2; Carol J. Friedland, Ph.D., P.E., M.ASCE 3;
Jin Ouk Choi, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE 4; and Eunhwa Yang, Ph.D. 5

Abstract: Widespread destruction from large-scale disasters results in lengthy and costly recovery of damaged infrastructure and commun-
ities, with societal and economic impacts persisting many years after a hazard event. Robust and coherent reconstruction planning and rapid
execution play pivotal roles in ameliorating time-consuming postdisaster recovery. Reconstruction generally constitutes a considerable
portion of an entire disaster recovery process that requires significant resources, including materials, workforce, funding, time, and others.
To pursue maximum socioeconomic benefits, which can be one of the critical goals of the postdisaster recovery process, optimized recovery
strategies should be designed by considering given federal, state, and local resources. Even though recent studies have proposed disaster
recovery planning and execution models, they rarely addressed social and economic indicators required for comprehensive postdisaster
recovery plans. This paper presents a new postdisaster recovery prioritization model, including social and economic factors, that evaluates
priorities of damaged facilities recovery projects in affected regions through a resource allocation analysis. The primary goal of the proposed
model is to optimize resource allocation and quantify and maximize socioeconomic benefits for a postdisaster reconstruction project portfolio
through multicriteria decision analysis and multiobjective optimization. Also, this research study adopts a modular construction technique as
a potential solution for facilitating the recovery processes, which can significantly reduce their time and cost. The proposed model is expected
to provide a comprehensive decision-making process for researchers and practitioners to design a postdisaster recovery plan and arrange their
available resources by considering the socioeconomic factors of affected communities. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000799.
© 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Author keywords: Postdisaster recovery; Socioeconomic benefits; Optimization; Multicriteria decision analysis; Modular construction.

Introduction Hurricane Katrina (Louisiana and Mississippi) required $81 billion


and 44 months (FEMA 2009). According to federal agencies and
Diverse natural disasters in the US, including floods, hurricanes, previous studies, the recovery process can generally take 5 (FEMA
earthquakes, wildfires, and tsunamis, have caused widespread 2005) to 10 (Goodyear 2014; Rowley 2008) years, depending on
destruction to buildings, infrastructure, and communities. Recovery a severity of a disaster and size of an affected area. Chang and
of such damaged infrastructure and buildings is often lengthy and Nojima (2001) found that after the Hyogoken-Nanbu Earthquake
expensive. Reconstruction of damaged facilities constitutes a con- occurred in the Kobe region in Japan, highway reconstruction alone
siderable portion of the recovery process, requiring substantial re- took 20 months.
sources and burdening the economy. For example, Turnipseed et al. From the technical perspective, there is a need for an approach
(2007) stated that recovery projects in the areas affected by 2005 that facilitates the quick and cost-effective reconstruction of the
damaged facilities in the critical postdisaster situation. Modular
1 construction has been identified as an approach with the potential
Ph.D. Student, Bert S. Turner Dept. of Construction Management,
Louisiana State Univ., Baton Rouge, LA 70803. ORCID: https://orcid to minimize time and cost for restoration of the affected commun-
.org/0000-0002-5279-0548. Email: gpedra1@lsu.edu ities (Ghannad et al. 2019). Modular construction is a technique of
2
Assistant Professor, Bert S. Turner Dept. of Construction Management, exporting site-based work to fabrication shops (Choi et al. 2019a, b).
Louisiana State Univ., Baton Rouge, LA 70803 (corresponding author). The previous studies have identified the modular construction ap-
Email: yclee@lsu.edu
3 proach as a promising method for decreasing a considerable amount
Associate Professor, Bert S. Turner Dept. of Construction Manage-
ment, Louisiana State Univ., Baton Rouge, LA 70803. ORCID: https:// of time and cost as well as guaranteeing the expected quality of
orcid.org/0000-0003-0443-5266. Email: friedland@lsu.edu facilities (Choi et al. 2019b; Liu et al. 2016). Modular construction
4 enables faster reconstruction because most of the operations and
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering and
Construction, Univ. of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV 89154. Email: jinouk required expertise in reconstruction are directed to one solution
.choi@unlv.edu provider (Lawson et al. 2011). This aspect also allows stakeholders
5
Assistant Professor, School of Building Construction, Georgia Institute to tackle common challenges of the postdisaster recovery process,
of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332. Email: eunhwa.yang@design.gatech including the shortage of resources such as skilled workforce and
.edu
materials (Chang et al. 2010) and inefficiencies in planning, com-
Note. This manuscript was submitted on August 5, 2019; approved on
February 5, 2020; published online on May 6, 2020. Discussion period munication, and coordination (Ismail et al. 2014).
open until October 6, 2020; separate discussions must be submitted for in- The massive demand for resources after a disaster event and lim-
dividual papers. This paper is part of the Journal of Management in En- ited available resources can also prolong the restoration process.
gineering, © ASCE, ISSN 0742-597X. Extended time for reviving affected communities would result in

© ASCE 04020038-1 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


adverse social and economic consequences. More importantly, objective functions during the postdisaster recovery process. They
the lesson learned from past recovery experiences illustrate that utilized agent-based modeling to optimize the required budget
spatial and social inequalities in socially vulnerable areas have been for disaster recovery as well as residents’ insurance plan choices.
aggravated by a fragmented and unequal recovery process (Peacock Their paper utilized a well-established model for considering the
et al. 2014). Therefore, consideration of socioeconomic aspects is social vulnerabilities of the impacted communities. However, it
imperative for establishing a robust disaster recovery plan to ad- did not address the postdisaster projects’ prioritization problem
dress the urgent demands of an affected community. or its effects on communities’ social vulnerability. So, there is still
The other primary challenge that the decision makers are a research gap to develop a comprehensive interdisciplinary priori-
encountered during the postdisaster recovery process is the lack tization model for postdisaster reconstruction projects. To fill this
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

of a systematic approach that evaluates potential recovery plans gap, the societal effects of a disastrous event, which represents im-
for promptly restoring the normal livelihood of communities pacted communities’ needs, should be incorporated into the model
(Karlaftis et al. 2007). In the demanding postdisaster landscape, as one of the major decision factors. Consequently, the output of
decision makers and disaster management practitioners require this study is expected to lead to a prioritized list of options that can
an interdisciplinary methodology to select and execute an opti- be considered as a workable and balanced action plan.
mized reconstruction process that sequentially allocates available
reconstruction resources into affected regions to reduce the entire
recovery time and cost while mitigating negative postdisaster com- Disasters and Socioeconomic Impacts
munity impacts. Over the last decade, many research studies have been conducted to
The goal of this study is to develop a new framework for modu- identify key factors for a successful recovery process focusing on
lar construction–based postdisaster reconstruction planning and strategies commonly used by impacted communities and govern-
prioritization that is capable of considering resource limitation, ments. It has been repeatedly stated that the involvement of com-
time constraints, and socioeconomic factors simultaneously. In the munities’ needs in recovery-related decisions enhanced the overall
proposed recovery planning model, the social impacts of disasters recovery output. Various disaster-related models have been devel-
are considered as one of the crucial decision-making factors in or- oped to evaluate the impacts of a disaster on society. These models
der to address underlying communities’ vulnerability and needs. have mostly considered the vulnerability by reflecting physical
Thus, the proposed model is designed to maximize the socioeco- damage as direct economic loss for physical structures at risk.
nomic benefits of recovery strategies. The main contribution of However, they have overlooked social loss, including the loss of
this paper is to identify the impacts of integrating underlying com- life, indirect economic loss, loss of jobs, and health issues, which
munities’ vulnerability and socioeconomic factors in prioritizing all contribute to social vulnerability.
postdisaster recovery strategies. In addition, the study provides a The primary reason why social vulnerability has been rarely
systematic prioritization model dealing with the resource utilization regarded in postdisaster loss estimation analyses is that the social
challenges that generally occur during the postdisaster recovery factors are challenging to quantify systematically (Cutter et al.
process. 2003). However, in the social science literature, there are various
proposed methods and models to quantify social vulnerability to
hazards (Burton 2010). The social vulnerability of a community
Background reflects the extent of which a particular event can put the commun-
ity’s livelihood at risk, how much that event can harm people and
places, and the ability of the community to cope with the conse-
Previous Relevant Studies quences and attenuate the effects. (Polsky et al. 2007). Cutter et al.
There are several clusters of studies available addressing project (2003) developed the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI), which is
prioritization, planning, and scheduling. Resource-constrained one of the most well-established vulnerability evaluation models.
projects and related planning issues have been investigated in the The SoVI consists of various socioeconomic variables, such as
literature by focusing on the resource allocation and leveling of a household value, average income, education level, and percentage
single construction project (Leu and Yang 1999; Senouci and Eldin of mobile homes, among others, and computes a summary score
2004) or for multiple projects under resource constraints (e.g., East through an additive model.
and Liu 2006; Zhang et al. 2006). This group of studies, however,
has not addressed resource utilization challenges that occur during
the postdisaster recovery process. Modular-Based Postdisaster Reconstruction
Instead, there is another cluster of studies focused on specific From a construction perspective, reconstruction of infrastructures
aspects of the recovery process. These studies used different after a disaster can be generally divided into the following two
approaches to address part of the recovery process, for example, parts: buildings as social infrastructure (houses, public buildings,
genetic algorithms for the housing recovery (El-Anwar et al. 2009); schools, commercial buildings, and others) and other critical in-
geographic information systems (GIS) for disaster management is- frastructure (e.g., water and power supplies, transportation, and
sues (Pradhan et al. 2007); the mixed-integer linear programming communication infrastructures). Repair and reconstruction of all
model for postdisaster recovery of transportation projects (El- facilities are essential to recovering communities’ living standards
Anwar et al. 2015); and evolutionary algorithms for transportation to a predisaster condition. However, housing recovery projects have
recovery fund allocations (Karlaftis et al. 2007). Although consid- been considered as the highest priority for disaster victims and de-
erable efforts were made to optimize the postdisaster recovery pro- cision makers in previous disaster events. Freeman (2004) carried
cess based on the physical and economic impacts of a disaster, out research on postdisaster fund allocation, which indicated that
explicit analysis of the underlying community vulnerability and 30%–50% of financial resources were traditionally assigned to
socioeconomic factors are typically absent due to the difficulty housing reconstruction projects. The reconstruction of destroyed
in quantifying these factors. and damaged houses is the most critical and laborious step of
In one of the efforts to address this existing gap, Eid and El- the postdisaster recovery process for communities and people to
Adaway (2017) integrated social vulnerability into stakeholder’s restore their normal livelihood.

© ASCE 04020038-2 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Time efficiency is an inherent advantage of modular construc- • Preserve and restore the natural and cultural resources of the
tion that presents its great potential to facilitate planning a suitable community; and
strategy for postdisaster building reconstruction. Modular construc- • Retain the population and character of the community.
tion is a modern construction system that was instituted as an alter- Finding priorities will assist in deciding the sequence of recov-
native for traditional onsite construction. In recent years, modular ery projects, allowing state or local governments to prepare and
construction has considerably drawn many countries’ attention organize recovery resources. Each agency generally decides its
(O’Connor et al. 2014) because of its superiority including, but own criteria for this prioritization process. For example, the State
not limited to, time efficiency (Choi et al. 2016; MBI 2010), cost of Louisiana has a decision-making diagram for prioritizing the
savings (Lawson et al. 2011), reduced onsite labor demand (Nadim recovery projects (Louisiana Recovery Authority 2006). In addi-
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

and Goulding 2010), low resource depletion (Won et al. 2013), con- tion, the staff of Facility Planning and Control (FP&C) in the
struction waste reduction (MBI 2010), improved quality control Department of Administration (DOA) established this decision
(Choi et al. 2019a), noise and dust reduction (Pons and Wadel tree approved by the Joint Legislative Committee on the Budget
2011), higher standards for health and safety (O’Connor et al. (Louisiana DOA 2006). The decision tree is founded on the
2013, 2015; MBI 2010), and better structural performance during FP&C’s understanding of the facilities, agencies, and programs ac-
hazards such as hurricane and high winds (FEMA 1992). In par- commodated in those damaged buildings. Cultural or historical sig-
ticular, these characteristics of modular construction can facilitate nificance, the necessity of the function, and the role of the project in
postdisaster building reconstruction (Ghannad et al. 2019). Thus, in economic development are the parameters considered in this
this study, the authors have defined the postdisaster recovery pro- decision-making tool.
cess as a portfolio of building reconstruction projects that can be This decision tree yields the prioritization of all facilities at the
rapidly and efficiently completed by the modular construction program level in the eight priority categories. However, the ap-
method. proach lacks a mechanism to rank the projects within one priority
category. For instance, reconstruction of all damaged facilities
with cultural importance would fall into Priority category 1, but the
Current Practices method is not capable of prioritizing various projects within that
Postdisaster reconstruction typically requires a gigantic amount of Category 1. In other words, this method is only able to cluster
resources, funds, and time. For example, approximately 1,500 state the project based on several preferences rather than prioritize them
buildings were damaged by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005, for a workable plan.
with an estimated damage of $1.8 billion for buildings and contents Reviewing the current practice of prioritization process helped
(Louisiana Recovery Authority 2006). Because of insufficient re- the authors to identify the shortcomings and indicated that the local
sources including experts, workforces, funds, materials, designers, and federal guidelines only entail general considerations for their
contractors, and others, it was significantly challenging to repair postdisaster recovery planning. Thus, this study aims to tackle a
and recover all damaged facilities rapidly in the previous cata- critical challenge in recovery planning caused by the lack of a com-
strophic disaster events. To address these challenges, there is a criti- prehensive plan by establishing a well-balanced prioritization
cal need for a systematic methodology to prioritize and optimize model embracing necessary considerations to build an action plan.
postdisaster recovery projects in affected locations. To identify pri- The proposed methodology provides an informed decision-making
orities and make informed decisions with available data, decision process structurally and practically incorporating various factors
makers or state practitioners need to understand the reconstruction and necessary criteria, including FEMA’s National Disaster Recov-
limitations and recovery needs. According to FEMA (2005), state ery Framework (FEMA 2016).
or local governments are recommended to consider the following The large number of reconstruction projects after a disaster
aspects when identifying priorities: event, various sources of funds, and diverse agencies and organi-
• Objectives of senior elected officials; zations (federal, state, and local) cause the complexity of the dis-
• Recovery stakeholder goals; aster recovery process, which can be exacerbated according to
• Existing legal authorities; distinct procedures, criteria, and goals defined in each agency.
• Availability of resources; Also, heterogeneous recovery plans can be a serious obstacle for
• Unique cultural characteristics and expectations of the establishing the long-term recovery process and selecting an opti-
jurisdiction; mized recovery plan because of the possibilities to overlook
• Planning for and inclusion of people with disabilities and others regional requirements, communities’ needs, and technical aspects.
with access and functional needs; The identified major challenges in planning priorities for post-
• Short-, intermediate-, or long-term impacts; and disaster reconstruction are (1) absence of a systemic method to
• Potential impacts of prioritizing certain recovery needs over cope with competing objectives and various constraints regarding
others. social, economic, and technical issues; (2) lack of integration of
However, there are a large number of factors that should be con- preferences, attitudes, and organizational values of the involved
sidered for planning priorities such as the existing governments’ stakeholders; and (3) inconsistency of prioritizing policies, which
policies and strategic plans or the specific needs of a particular in- leads to an “ad hoc case-by-case” decision-making process (Jones
cident. The following factors are the examples affecting priority et al. 2013; Karvetski et al. 2009). To address these challenges, this
planning not mentioned in FEMA (2005): research study aims to develop a comprehensive and practical meth-
• Restore the tax base and revenues to stable levels; odology for prioritizing and optimizing postdisaster reconstruction
• Restore schools, including Head Start schools, health services processes by considering all available requirements in both the pro-
provided in schools, and school lunch programs before the gram level and the project level.
upcoming school year;
• Reopen key industries and key sources of employment as soon
Multiple-Criteria Decision Analysis
as possible;
• Implement mitigation principles and practices to enhance Multiple-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) consists of a set of
resiliency; methods that comparatively evaluates various aspects of a problem

© ASCE 04020038-3 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


rather than optimizing a single-dimensional objective function. The MCDA
central task of MCDA is development of a preference model com-
Socioeconomic evaluation
prising the following two components: (1) preference in terms of an
individual criterion for which the relative importance of achieving AHP
Project
different levels of performance is measured; and (2) anaggregation Damage assessment prioritization
model to combine preference across criteria (Belton and Stewart
2002). A large number of MCDA models have been developed Resource utilization and
to support decision makers in comparing and prioritizing alterna- scheduling NSGA-II
tive projects (Goodman and Hastak 2006).
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

MCDA methods for project selection and prioritization consist


of the following three categories: (1) ranking-based approaches such Fig. 1. Steps designed for developing the optimization model.
as the analytical hierarchy process (AHP), the preference ranking
organization method for enrichment evaluations (PROMETHEE),
the elimination and choice expressing reality (ELECTRE), the im-
pact index method, and the goal achievement matrix (Ziara et al. resource allocation. To adopt AHP, it first needs to decompose a
2002; Balali et al. 2012, 2014); (2) mathematical programming particular decision problem into a hierarchy to structure known
methods such as the multiattribute utility theory (MAUT), the goal subproblems, each of which can be examined independently. The
programming (GP), and dynamic programming; and (3) heuristic elements of the hierarchy can relate to any aspect of the decision
optimization methods (Iniestra and Gutiérrez 2009). problem. After constituting the hierarchy, the decision makers sys-
This research study adopted the MCDA for postdisaster recov- tematically analyze the elements by comparing them with each
ery prioritization to assess multiple alternatives while taking into other two at a time, concerning their impact on an element above
account both objective and subjective criteria to obtain a universal them in the hierarchy.
output. With the concept of the MCDA, the authors established a
new model of prioritizing postdisaster recovery projects integrating Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II Approach
the AHP and the multiobjective genetic algorithm (MGA) approach
to consider both qualitative and quantitative factors. One of the multiobjective optimization methods is the nondomi-
nated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II), which was presented
by Deb et al. (2002). NSGA-II first generates a random population
Methodology of size nPop. Then the objectives’ values of the population are cal-
culated by the evaluation function. With respect to the objectives’
values, the nondomination sorting procedure is used to ranks the
Disaster Recovery Optimization Model
population. Each member of the population obtains a rank equal
This paper presents a new optimization method to identify the to its nondomination level and is assigned to a front according to
priorities of postdisaster reconstruction of damaged facilities in its rank, where the smaller the rank, the better the level. In the next
impacted areas by logical resource distribution. The postdisaster step, the linear distances between all members of each front are
recovery process has been defined as a portfolio of reconstruction calculated to define the crowding distance for each individual. A
projects that should be completed with limited resources such as tournament selection operator is used to select the parents. The
inconsistent funding and insufficient supplies. Thus, the optimiza- selection is mainly based on the rank of individuals, but if the se-
tion of resource allocation plays a pivotal role in minimizing the lected individuals share an equal rank, then the member with larger
total time and cost required to complete the given projects success- crowding distance is chosen. In the next step, executing the selec-
fully. This research study adopts the modular construction approach tion, the crossover, and the mutation operators generates a new
as a potential solution for the postdisaster recovery processes, population of offspring with a size of n. Then, the current and
which can effectively address their time and cost challenges. To the new population are combined to create a population of the size
develop the proposed prioritization model of the modular construc- of (nPop þ n). Finally, a population of the exact size of nPop is
tion–based postdisaster recovery, this study involves the following obtained using the sorting procedure, including both crowding
phases: (1) conducting the literature review and evaluating the in- distance– and rank-based sorting of individuals. This process is re-
fluential factors on prioritization of the postdisaster reconstruction peated consequently for a predefined number of generations as the
projects by obtaining experts’ surveys and opinions (e.g., social, termination criterion or until convergence. At the end of NSGA-II
economic, and technical, among others); (2) developing a prelimi- implementation, a set of nondominated Pareto-optimal solutions is
nary prioritization model according to the identified socioeconomic obtained.
factors using the AHP method; (3) integrating the prioritization
model with the MGA approach to optimize project planning and
resource allocation; and (4) conducting validation of the proposed Optimization Model
model with the illustrative examples.
Fig. 1 demonstrates the steps designed for developing the optimi-
zation model for postdisaster reconstruction projects. The first step
Analytical Hierarchy Process
is to identify the data required for prioritizing the reconstruction
AHP is a standardized method for structuring and analyzing projects based on the socioeconomic criteria. In this step, the socio-
complex decision-making problems based on principles of psy- economic and loss data are collected and evaluated. In the next step,
chology and mathematics. This method, which was developed by the projects in the reconstruction portfolio are ranked based on the
Thomas L. Saaty in the 1970s for facilitating decision making in findings of the first step. As a result, this method identifies the
multiobjective situations (Saaty 2005), has been extensively uti- optimized prioritization solution pursuing the maximum socioeco-
lized and refined for diverse purposes in broad disciplines. The nomic benefits by executing the AHP method. The next step is
AHP has been applied to numerous complex decision-making sit- optimization of project portfolio planning by considering all
uations involving planning, prioritization, alternative selection, and constraints and aspects of the recovery processes. This phase

© ASCE 04020038-4 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


NSGA-II
AHP
Problem decomposition and Select the parameters (e.g. population size, max number
hierarchy construction of generation, crossover and mutation probabilities

Determine project portfolio Generate initial population

Pairwise comparison Resource allocation and scheduling module


Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

(criteria and alternatives)


Evaluate objective functions for initial population
Weight calculation
Set the generation count, 0
Consistency check
Perform parent selection based on tournament selection

Generate offspring population using crossover and


Meet the mutation
No consistency
requirement Resource allocation and scheduling module
?
Evaluate objective functions for generated population
Yes
Final weights for the Perform non-dominated sorting for combined parent and
projects offspring populations

Initial Yes No
prioritization Stop

Fig. 2. Flowchart of the integrated AHP and NSGA-II method.

incorporates the resource allocation schema designed based on objectives such as time and cost according to the resource con-
modular construction concepts. The MGA called nondominating straints. The authors conducted the following tasks to accomplish
sorting algorithm II used in this step provides Pareto-optimal pri- the goal.
oritization solutions according to the defined objectives.
Criteria Selection and Hierarchical Structure
Integrated AHP and NSGA-II Method for Prioritization
The first step in the AHP method is choosing the project prioriti-
and Optimization
zation criteria that represent the interests of the studied region. The
Typically, a project prioritization problem entails multiple criteria next step is breaking down the prioritization criteria into the hier-
that result in difficulties in creating an optimal solution. The current archy structures, in which the higher level has the general catego-
prioritization practices mainly deal with either quantitative mea- ries, and the lower-level criteria are selected based on the following
sures or qualitative measures. However, a technique dealing with three primary sources: the literature review, the project evaluation,
both quantitative and qualitative factors is required to consider and feasibility studies, and the experts’ opinions. The literature re-
the complexity of the models and uncertainty of the project priori- view can provide insight into what type of data is more critical for
tization problem. The developed methodology in this paper is based project prioritization and considering the social vulnerability of
on the integrated method of the AHP and NSGA-II, which is shown the communities. Project evaluation, cost and time estimation, and
in Fig. 2. financial assessment create a strong basis for prioritization analysis.
This proposed model employs the AHP, which utilizes a pair- Finally, experts can propose and finalize the best criteria according
wise comparison, to make the trade-off between tangible and to a specific disaster scenario. In this study, the authors analyzed the
intangible socioeconomic factors and to calculate a preliminary literature and collected the socioeconomic and other critical criteria
ranking of given projects. This ranking is considered as a salient that should be considered in most of the cases to link the prioriti-
criterion for identifying the optimal solution as well as maintaining zation process to postdisaster recovery planning.
maximized socioeconomic benefits. However, some other vital Table 1 contains fundamental criteria that have been collected
constraints and objectives exist that should be additionally consid- by the authors according to the previous studies of disasters and the
ered in the optimization process. For addressing these require- challenges of the recovery processes, which can be found from
ments, the proposed model adopts NSGA-II to optimize the Green et al. (2007), Weerakoon et al. (2007), Koria (2009), Tas et al.
other aspects of the reconstruction process while maintaining the (2011), and Arshad and Athar (2013). However, this list contains
socioeconomic benefits. By applying the preliminary rankings as preliminary criteria, which can be flexibly adjusted by experts
the baseline of socioeconomic benefits, the model forms a new based on the nature of the prioritization problem, geographic con-
objective that is the deviation of the final solutions from the opti- dition, and special local considerations. According to the selected
mal solution (socioeconomic perspective). Thus, the model can criteria, the hierarchical structure of the prioritization problem has
minimize the new objective along with the optimization of other been constructed, as shown in Fig. 3.

© ASCE 04020038-5 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Table 1. Influential criteria for the postdisaster recovery process affected regions. However, it would take a considerable amount of
Criteria Subcriteria time to assess the damages after a disaster event practically. Sim-
ulation of the disaster and damage analysis offers an advanced way
Socioeconomic Number of people affected by projects in each region
for evaluation of the affected regions. The proposed model in this
factors Social vulnerability of affected people in each region
Physical damage to the regions affected by the project study uses FEMA’s Hazus Hurricane-MH 4.2 Model to simulate
Other factors Community services’ criticality damage and loss analysis. Hazus-MH is “a nationally applicable
Political importance standardized methodology that contains models for estimating po-
Historical and cultural importance tential losses from earthquakes, floods, and hurricanes” (FEMA
2015). Hazus contains a comprehensive nationwide facility inven-
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

tory data in the US and utilizes the hazards’ specifications and vari-
ous loss functions to analyze the damages in affected areas. The
Socioeconomic Evaluation loss data provided by Hazus are incorporated into the proposed
Olshansky (2006) evaluated the strategies to identify the key ele- model to balance the resource allocation among different projects
ments for achieving a successful recovery process. They found that and regions.
incorporating the communities’ needs in the postdisaster decisions
enhanced the overall recovery output (Olshansky et al. 2006).
To this extent, it needs to understand and account for affected Criteria Weight Calculation
communities’ needs and status (which can be reflected by social The next step is the generation of weights through surveys for each
vulnerability to hazard) to optimize the various disaster recovery criterion selected in Step1. The weights of the set ofP M criteria in
strategies. In this study, for postdisaster recovery programs, the so- Step 1, defined as W i , are calculated with regard to m i¼1 W i ¼ 1
cial vulnerability index SoVI was incorporated in the methodology and 0 < W i <. The quantity W i represents the relative importance
to reflect the affected regions’ different recovery needs. This can of criterion C. The larger weight is implying higher importance
help the decision makers to allocate reconstruction funds and given the stakeholder’s perspectives of the project ranking priority.
resources more systematically and purposefully. The SoVI model This method uses a pairwise comparison matrix to calculate the
is an extensive socioeconomic and demographic model that relative value of requirements and the weights of criteria. In this
assesses the communities’ vulnerability to disaster. SoVI is a approach, a decision maker needs to consider the value of one sin-
well-established and widely recognized vulnerability evaluation gle pairwise comparison at a time in a linguistic phrase. Then, the
model created based on the communities’ specific socioeconomic scales in Table 2 are used to quantify linguistic phrases. If criterion
data (Cutter et al. 2003). These data are used in a multivariate factor i has one of the nonzero values assigned to it when compared with
analysis to identify the variables that most heavily influence the criterion j, then j has the reciprocal value when compared with i.
social vulnerability of a specific community. The factors that under-
line the social vulnerability elements include economic, equity,
adaptive capacity, occupation, and ethnicity. Scoring the Projects
In the next step, each pairing of the projects within each criterion,
the options will be compared and awarded a score. For the quanti-
Damage Assessment
tative criteria, the numerical value is used for scoring, whereas for
In addition to the social characteristics of the affected regions, the quantitative criteria, the pairwise comparison described in the pre-
extent of physical damage is also a determinant factor for success- vious section will be used to score the projects. In the final step, the
ful resource allocation during the postdisaster recovery. Reliable project scores are combined with the criterion weights to produce
assessment of physical losses allows the decision makers to logi- an overall score for each project. The higher final score indicates
cally and sequentially assign the limited available resources among the higher priority of the project.

Project
prioritization

Socio-economic
Other factors
factors

Physical damage to
NO. of people Historical
Social vulnerability the regions Community Political
affected by project and cultural
of affected people affected by the services’ criticality importance
importance
project

Project 1 Project 2 . . . . . Project n

Fig. 3. Hierarchical structure of postdisaster reconstruction prioritization problem.

© ASCE 04020038-6 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Table 2. Scale of relative importance be divided into the following three main components: direct costs,
Intensity of indirect costs, and interruption costs. In order to simplify the cost
importance Definition model, it is assumed that the total direct cost of the portfolio is a
constant value and is not a function of project prioritization. Also,
1 Equal importance
3 Weak importance of one over another
the indirect cost can be attributed to the time of the project. Hence,
5 Essential or strong importance the minimization of the total reconstruction time will directly min-
7 Demonstrated importance imize the indirect costs. Service interruption cost of the damaged
9 Absolute importance facilities is an inevitable cost for the affected communities. Limita-
2, 4, 6, and 8 Intermediate values between the tion of resources can hinder the timely reconstruction of all damaged
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

two adjacent judgments facilities and recovery of communities to the predisaster condition.
Source: Data from Saaty (2005). Thus, according to the disaster occurrence time and completion time
of each project, the interruption period can be calculated.
Interruption costs and its calculation differ from one type of
project to another. For example, the interruption cost of a damaged
Problem Formulation for NSGA-II bridge can be calculated by analyzing its effects on the transporta-
tion network, whereas the interruption cost for housing projects can
Assumptions be calculated by analyzing the relocation and temporary housing
The problem optimization of this study is performed with NSGA-II costs for residents. Minimizing the interruption cost (TIC) is the
according to the following set of rules and assumptions: second objective of the developed optimization model (Eq. 2)
• Reconstruction resources are used in recovery projects accord-
ing to the priorities of these projects. X
n

• Recovery projects cannot start with fewer reconstruction Minimize TIC ¼ Fj · ICj ð2Þ
j¼1
resources than required.
• Recovery projects cannot be interrupted once started. where Fj = end time of the project with priority j; and ICj =
• Each reconstruction project requires a specific number of mod- interruption cost of project j per time unit.
ules and often includes various types of modules. The third objective of the model is to minimize the total
• Each reconstruction project requires a specific amount of reconstruction time. Disaster recovery projects should be com-
resources and workforces. pleted as quickly as possible to mitigate the negative impacts on
• Project duration can extend or shrink based on the number and affected victims. Minimizing the completion time of reconstruction
availability of the resources. projects may also lead to reducing the total construction cost.
• Resources are released from a project once the project is Weerakoon et al. (2007) indicated that inflation could cause cost
complete. overruns of about 15%–25%, for postdisaster recovery projects.
Objective Functions Total reconstruction time will be calculated with Eq. 3
The first objective integrates the socioeconomic factors with the Minimize TCT ¼ Sn þ Dn ð3Þ
optimization model. To this end, it is assumed that the solution
obtained from the AHP method is the optimal solution from the where n = number of projects in the reconstruction portfolio; Sn =
socioeconomic perspective, and any other solution deviates the start time of the project with priority n; and Dn = duration of the
plan from maximum socioeconomic benefit. Therefore, this objec- project with priority n.
tive is designed to minimize the deviation of the solutions from the
optimal solution derived from the AHP method. The deviation is Decision Variables
calculated by the summation of squared distances between the pri- The decision variables of this optimization model are priorities of
ority of each project (Pj ) and its priority in the optimal solution the projects which is shown by Pj (priority of project j).
from a socioeconomic perspective (IPj ) multiplied by the project
weight in the AHP methodology. The squared distance of Pj Defining the Constraint
and IPj reflects the deviation of the project’s priority in a given The following constraints have been considered for model develop-
solution from its priority in optimal solution yielded by the AHP ment to fulfill the postdisaster reconstruction project portfolio
method. Also, the incorporation of weights in the calculations en- requirements:
sures that the deviation of the project with a higher weight (more 1. Funding constraints
important) causes a more negative effect on this objective. This al-
X
n
lows the optimization model to minimize the deviation from the ajt f jt ≤ Ft
optimal socioeconomic solution i¼1

X
n
2. Module production constraints
Minimize SEDev ¼ W j · ðIPj − Pj Þ2 ð1Þ
j¼1 X n 
∀i ajt mijt ≤ MCit ; i ¼ 1; 2; : : : ; M
where IPj = initial priority of the project j derived from the AHP j¼1
method; Pj = priority of the project j derived from NSGA-II
method; and W j = weight of the project j derived from the 3. Resource availability constraints
AHP method. X n 
The second objective is to minimize the total cost of recovery ∀k ajt rkjt ≤ RCkt ; k ¼ 1; 2; : : : ; K
projects. The inherent complexity of the postdisaster recovery j¼1
process makes it challenging to develop a comprehensive cost
model that needs to cover all available financial aspects and fund- where ajt = activeness of project j in time period t (if project
ing processes. The cost of the reconstruction project portfolio can j is active in period t, then ajt ¼ 1; otherwise ajt ¼ 0);

© ASCE 04020038-7 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Non-dominating Crowding
Set Time, sorting distance
sorting
Select the unscheduled
project with highest priority

Calculate the current status of all


resources (e.g. funding, workforces,
equipment, modules)
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

Rejected
Determine the
possibility for No
starting the
project
Fig. 5. NSGA-II process.
Yes
Set the start time of the
project = T
the initial population is randomly generated. The algorithm evalu-
Set the finish time of the ates the generation and ranks them based on a nondominating level
project = T+ Duration of the and a crowding distance (Fig. 5). Parents are selected by using
project the roulette-wheel selection method (Goldberg and Holland 1988),
in which the higher-ranked individuals have a higher chance for
Set the project as active selection. This selection method can reduce convergence time
during the completion time significantly.
In order to execute the crossover and mutation, it is crucial to
maintain the permutation among the genes to have a feasible sol-
No All the projects
ution. Thus, permutation single-point crossover (Fig. 6) and com-
are scheduled? bination of swap, insertion, and switch mutation (Fig. 7) have been
utilized as the crossover and mutation operators, respectively. The
offspring and parent constitute the new generation, and they are
Yes
evaluated and ranked again against a nondominating level and a
Stop crowding distance to generate the new population. This process
will be iteratively conducted until the termination criterion is sat-
Fig. 4. Resource utilization and scheduling algorithm. isfied. At the end of the NSGA-II implementation, a set of nondo-
minated Pareto-optimal prioritization solutions are obtained in the
sense of multiobjective optimization.

f jt = required funding for project j in time period t; Ft = total


available funding for period t; mijt = required numbers of Model Evaluation
module i for project j in time period t; MCit = module produc-
tion capacity of module i in period t; rkjt = amount of required To assess the efficiency and correctness of the proposed approach,
resource k for project j in time period t ; and RCkt = available the authors developed an illustrative example using the data for
amount of resource k in period t. counties (called parishes) located in Louisiana and simulation of
the Hurricane Gustave in this area. Hurricane Gustav was a
Category 2 hurricane when it hit the Louisiana shore in September
Resource Utilization and Scheduling Model
2008. It cost $6.9 billion in US in damages and caused 11 deaths
The other major objective of this model is to distribute limited directly and 41 deaths indirectly in Louisiana. Fig. 8 shows the lo-
reconstruction resources among recovery projects of damaged cations of the 10 made-up projects proposed within a postdisaster
facilities based on their priorities to generate a recovery schedule. reconstruction portfolio overlain on the damage map simulated us-
The resource utilization model uses the iterative procedure shown ing MH-Hazus. These hypothetical projects are spread out on the
in Fig. 4. This process ensures that the required amount of funds affected region according to the severity of the hurricane. The direct
and other resources in each time unit will fulfill the resource limi- capital loss was used to calculate the loss index for each county.
tation constraint. It can also follow the constraint of the module Table 3 provides the project cost, the project duration, and the num-
production capacity to avoid any possible project disruption and ber of required modules and resources for completion of each
consequent delays. The output of this step allows the NSGA-II project. Table 4 presents the constraints, including available funds,
to evaluate the time and interruption cost objective functions for the production capacity of three types of modules, and the limita-
each possible solution. tion of two resources.
The first step is to conduct a socioeconomic evaluation and im-
plement the AHP method. For the SoVIs, the indices developed and
NSGA-II Process calculated by the Hazards & Vulnerability Research Institute based
For the encoding part, the genotype of the members (called a on the American Community Survey 2012–2014 (5-year census)
chromosome) is represented by a sequence of n (number of proj- have been used in this example. Fig. 9 indicates the relative SoVI
ects) integers with no repeated values in order to provide chromo- scores within the nation and the state. All the required data for the
somes directly interpreted as projects’ priorities. In the next step, socioeconomic evaluation of the reconstruction portfolio has been

© ASCE 04020038-8 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Randomly selected
Crossover point

Parent 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Parent 2 2 5 1 8 7 4 6 3
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

2 5 1 8 5 6 7 8 2 3 1 4 5 6 7 8 Child 1

1 2 5 8 7 4 6 3 Child 2
1 2 3 4 7 4 6 3

Repetitive Non-existing
5, 8 3, 4
3, 4 5, 8

Fig. 6. Permutation single-point crossover.

Parent Child regions. Other factors, including community services’ criticality,


political importance, historical, and cultural importance, have been
Swap 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 6 3 4 5 2 7 8 evaluated by pairwise comparison using the scale given in Table 2.
Finally, the weights are calculated according to Saaty (2005), and
Order the projects are ranked based on their weights. Table 6 indicates the
Inversion 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 2 5 4 3 6 7 8 projects’ weights and ranks, which show the optimal solution from
a socioeconomic perspective.
The output of the AHP method is used to constitute an objective
Insertion 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 3 4 5 6 2 7 8 function that determines the deviation from the best socioeconomic
solution (Objective 1). The total completion time (Objective 2) and
Fig. 7. Various utilized mutation methods. total interruption cost (Objective 3) are the two other objectives that
form the multiobjective optimization model. In the next step, the
NSGA-II algorithm is applied to solve the multiobjective optimi-
calculated according to the affected regions, the damage data, and the zation problem.
location of the projects (Table 5). In some cases, the projects influ- The authors conducted the model evaluation by using MATLAB
ence more than one region. Thus, the criteria values for those projects R2018b (version 9.5) as the implementation platform. Although
are the weighted averages calculated based on the population of the metaheuristic methods are generally efficient in solving complex

Damage level
Very low
Low
Medium-low
Medium
Medium-high
High
Very High
Location of projects

Fig. 8. Postdisaster reconstruction locations overlain on Hazus-modeled damage map. (Data from simulation of Hurricane Gustave in MH-HAZUS
4.2 software.)

© ASCE 04020038-9 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Table 3. Postdisaster project portfolio information
Number of modules Number of resources
Interruption cost
Project Related regions Cost ($1,000) Time (weeks) ($1,000 per week) M1 M2 M3 R1 R2
1 Jefferson 1,125 18 15 3,900 2,900 3,000 4,100 45,000
2 Jefferson 859 23 20 3,900 1,400 6,000 5,200 43,000
3 Lafourche, St. Charles 1,781 50 15 8,900 5,300 7,100 8,900 57,900
4 St. James, Ascension 1,598 39 8 4,000 2,300 8,000 6,400 36,000
5 Ascension 1,199 24 9 3,600 2,400 4,000 8,400 32,000
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

6 Orleans 2,247 36 15 5,100 5,400 9,000 6,000 44,900


7 Livingston 2,496 50 20 10,800 2,900 10,000 8,700 34,900
8 East Baton Rouge 2,181 44 15 5,800 2,800 15,300 16,400 49,100
9 Iberville, West Baton Rouge 2,248 50 5 6,200 4,500 6,000 12,400 101,200
10 Iberia, St. Martin 987 29 10 2,200 800 3,300 3,900 26,300

Table 4. Resource constraints running at 2.50 GHz for running the model, and each run took be-
Resource Availability (per week) Unit tween 1,310 and 1,370 s, which shows the low computational effort
of the proposed methodology.
M1 18,000 Number of module Type 1
M2 10,000 Number of module Type 2 The proposed GA approach can be utilized to optimize the prob-
M3 25,000 Number of module Type 3 lem for one or more objectives. The optimal solutions for each ob-
R1 25,000 Units of Resource 1 jective are given individually in Table 8, which illustrates that the
R2 300,000 Units of Resource 2 minimum completion time of the projects is 130 weeks, and the
Funds 200,000 USD minimum interruption cost is $4,096,000. Fig. 10 also depicts
the final schedule for the optimal solutions presented in Table 8.

optimization problems, their performances highly depend on the


Discussion
internal parameters. In this study, the internal parameters for
NSGA-II included population size, crossover rate, mutation rate, This case study showed that the proposed approach can not only
and termination criteria, and these parameters were determined by systematically execute the trade-off between each set of two objec-
multiple runs for model evaluation (Table 7). Several existing stat- tives but also consistently allow decision makers to compare the
istical models, however, can be used to optimize the set of param- underlying objectives with each other regardless of other objectives.
eters. A predefined number of generations (200 generations) was Figs. 11(a–c) show the Pareto-optimal solutions of three possible
used as the termination criterion to ensure the convergence, although trade-offs. The Pareto front for optimal solutions by considering
the model converged before reaching the maximum number of gen- all three objectives is provided in Fig. 11(d). The optimal solutions
erations. The authors used a system with Intel Core i5-7200 CPU presented in Table 8 are also included in the Pareto front of
Fig. 11(d), which contains 17 competitive optimal solutions.
Decision makers would be able to select any of these solutions
based on their preferences and distinct conditions. Because the
measuring units for Objectives 1, 2, and 3 pursue the heterogeneous
State Quantiles
aspects, it is not practically feasible to compare the solutions ac-
High (Top 20%)
Medium High
cording to their criteria. Thus, all these solutions can be considered
Medium as optimal because there is no other solution that can dominate
Medium Low them in all objectives. Choosing one solution among these options
Low (Bottom 20%)
is purely based on the decision makers’ preference. Several meth-
ods for post-Pareto analysis to reduce the number of solutions in the
Pareto set have been developed, such as nonuniform weight gener-
ator method (Carrillo and Taboada 2012), k-means clustering
(Taboada and Coit 2007), Greedy Reduction approach (Venkat et al.
2004), and value efficiency approach (Halme and Korhonen 2000).
These methods can also be utilized by decision makers to select a
specific solution among Pareto-optimal solutions.
In the stochastic environment produced by metaheuristic meth-
ods such as NSGA-II, finding a good set of solutions is one of the
main issues that should be addressed. A good recovery plan should
be robust against criteria and variables changes and should also
work satisfactorily in all cases. To appraise the quality of the ac-
quired solutions from NSGA-II and evaluate the performance of the
algorithm, the authors selected the metric measurements Two
metrics are used: (1) generational distance (GD), which measures
how far from the Pareto front a set of solutions is located [details
Fig. 9. SoVI 2010–2014 for the state of Louisiana. (Data from Hazards
have been given by Veldhuizen (1999)], and (2) spacing (SP) met-
& Vulnerability Research Institute 2019.)
ric, which calculates the distribution uniformity of the points in a

© ASCE 04020038-10 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Table 5. Socioeconomic criteria of the project portfolio
Total number of Average physical
Project Related regions Average SoVI affected people damage to the regions (USD)
1 Jefferson 59.7 432,552 50,605,370
2 Jefferson 59.7 432,552 50,605,370
3 Lafourche, St. Charles 18.93 149,098 14,326,396
4 St. James, Ascension 8.14 129,317 12,280,344
5 Ascension 3.5 107,215 10,207,618
6 Orleans 86.1 343,829 45,552,878
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

7 Livingston 5.2 128,026 10,662,695


8 East Baton Rouge 31.3 440,171 49,284,426
9 Iberville, West Baton Rouge 25.88 57,175 5,142,859
10 Iberia, St. Martin 40.14 125,400 11,126,415

Table 6. Projects’ ranking and weights derived from the AHP method the methodology can be applied to other test cases, and further stat-
Rank Project number Weights istical analyses can be conducted to assure the robustness of the
methodology and identify the factors that affect the performance
1 3 0.216
of this algorithm.
2 1 0.152
3 4 0.148 The test case indicated promising results that the proposed
4 7 0.093 method could be utilized as a decision-making tool with low com-
5 2 0.089 putation effort to quickly and efficiently respond to the demands of
6 9 0.084 the recovery process. However, several simplifications and assump-
7 5 0.078 tions are considered to develop the model and test the proposed
8 10 0.050 method, such as focusing on the portfolio level and neglecting
9 8 0.049 the single project level for resource utilization and generalizing
10 6 0.039
modules for all projects. Two performance measures were calcu-
lated over 10 runs of the model and Pareto optimal sets of solutions.
The analyses confirmed the quality of the algorithm for the pro-
posed model evaluation case.
The focus of the paper is on proposing a holistic framework
Table 7. Internal parameters of applied NSGA-II for model evaluation for structuring the decision-making process in a postdisaster envi-
Intensity of importance Definition ronment rather than providing a single formula for project priori-
tization. Each disaster scenario has specific consideration and
Population size 100
Crossover rate 0.80 needs that must be reflected in the workable plan of the recovery
Swap mutation rate 0.02 process. All the components of the proposed framework are de-
Insertion mutation rate 0.02 signed in a way that can be modified according to decision makers’
Switch mutation rate 0.02 preferences and disaster scenario requirements. However, calibrat-
Number of generations 200 ing and formulating the model to fit a specific disaster scenario or
reconstruction project portfolio can be remarkably challenging.
The main contribution of this study is the comprehensiveness
set of solutions [Schott (1995) has given details]. The NSGA-II of the proposed framework for evaluating the postdisaster recovery
gives different estimates for each execution. problem and prioritize the recovery projects in an optimized
Therefore, for empirical evidence of the performance of our way. Prioritization of postdisaster recovery projects is a multidi-
method, the algorithm was run multiple times on the same problem. mensional problem that requires an interdisciplinary approach. This
Then, the authors calculated the aforementioned performance framework is designed to incorporate all types of factors, including
measures for each run. The values achieved by the GD metric technical considerations, societal needs, economic evaluation,
are relatively small and vary between 0.7524 and 2.2765. Thus, financial and managerial preferences, and regional requirements,
it can be concluded that the set of acquired solutions is close to among others. Although many researchers have focused on
the Pareto front. The results obtained for the PS metric are close proposing a holistic approach for solving the project prioritization
to 0 (vary between 1.4535 and 4.5437), so the solutions are well problem, they rarely tried to incorporate both qualitative and
distributed in the Pareto front. The statistical analyses confirmed quantitative factors. The integration of two different methods,
the quality of the obtained Pareto fronts and the performance of the AHP and NSGA-II, facilitates the fusion of various types of
the NSGA-II for the illustrative example. In future efforts, however, factors.

Table 8. Optimal solution for each objective


Project number Value for objectives
Decision variable Objective 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Objective 1 Objective 2 (weeks) Objective 3 ($1,000)
Priorities Objective 1 3 1 4 7 2 9 5 10 8 6 0 162 9,599
(optimal solution) Objective 2 4 1 3 10 2 5 6 7 9 8 6.164 138 10,423
Objective 3 4 5 8 2 1 9 6 10 7 3 4.21 192 8,844

© ASCE 04020038-11 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Project

Project
#1 #1
#2 #2
#3 #3
#4 #4
#5 #5
#6 #6
#7 #7
#8 #8
#9
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

#9
#10 Time (week) #10 Time (week)
25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200
(a) (b)

Project
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
#10 Time (week)
25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200
(c)

Fig. 10. Optimal reconstruction schedule for (a) Objective 1; (b) Objective 2; and (c) Objective 3.

Fig. 11. (a) Trade-off between Objectives 1 and 2; (b) trade-off between Objectives 2 and 3; (c) trade-off between Objectives 1 and 3; and (d) Pareto
front of optimal solutions for three objectives.

© ASCE 04020038-12 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Conclusion distinct requirements but also can be the limitations of this
proposed model that require further improvement in reflecting
For prioritizing projects and optimizing reconstruction plans, this assumed disaster recovery indicators or others not covered in this
study proposed a new framework to involve the economic factors, model.
technical considerations, and societal impacts after a disastrous
event. The prioritizing method was designed to reach the maximum
social benefits of the postdisaster reconstruction strategy while con- Data Availability Statement
sidering the severity of the economic loss to the facilities in an af-
fected community as well as their social vulnerability. In order to Some or all data, models, or codes that support the findings of this
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

incorporate socioeconomic factors, the proposed method adopted study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable
the AHP methodology, which is a powerful tool for multicriteria de- request.
cision making, especially when the criteria are qualitative, and the
stakeholders’ preferences play an important role in the decision-
making process. The AHP method was further integrated with a Acknowledgments
MGA known as NSGA-II to reflect all existing constraints during
the postdisaster recovery process. In addition, this proposed model The authors acknowledge the research support of the Louisiana
was assessed by conducting the illustrative case study with the real Economic Development Assistantship (EDA).
disaster scenario, which showed its feasibility, time-efficiency, and
accuracy in the application for systematically allocating the limited
available resources to the portfolio of the postdisaster reconstruction References
projects based on project priority.
However, in future studies, the model should be tested over differ- Arshad, S., and S. Athar. 2013. Rural housing reconstruction program
ent problems with various sizes and numbers of variables to examine post-2005 earthquake: Learning from the Pakistan experience: A
the robustness of the proposed methodology comprehensively. manual for post-disaster housing program managers. Washington,
In future efforts, the model can be improved by considering the DC: World Bank.
project-level criteria, contractor assignments, project acceleration, Balali, V., A. Mottaghi, O. Shoghli, and M. Golabchi. 2014. “Selection of
appropriate material, construction technique, and structural system of
and other factors that affect the projects individually. Also, to
bridges by use of multicriteria decision-making method.” Transp.
make the model more practical for practitioners and decision mak- Res. Rec. 2431 (1): 79–87. https://doi.org/10.3141/2431-11.
ers, the model can be integrated with a MCDA tool to select the Balali, V., B. Zahraie, and A. Roozbahani. 2012. “Integration of ELECTRE
best option from the optimal answers according to the experts’ III and PROMETHEE II decision-making methods with an interval ap-
analysis. proach: Application in selection of appropriate structural systems.”
Robust recovery planning of infrastructures and communities J. Comput. Civ. Eng. 28 (2): 297–314. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)
damaged by large-scale disaster events is one of the most challeng- CP.1943-5487.0000254.
ing managerial issues in the aftermath of a disaster. The multidis- Belton, V., and T. Stewart. 2002. Multiple criteria decision analysis: An
ciplinary nature of the recovery process, including societal and integrated approach. New York: Springer.
economic impacts, typically adds excessive complexity to the criti- Burton, C. G. 2010. “Social vulnerability and hurricane impact modeling.”
cal issue. In addition to the engineering aspect of the recovery pro- Nat. Hazards Rev. 11 (2): 58–68. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1527
-6988(2010)11:2(58).
cess, other necessary considerations such as socioeconomic factors
Carrillo, V. M., and H. Taboada. 2012. “A post-Pareto approach for multi-
play a pivotal role in successful postdisaster planning. With the objective decision making using a non-uniform weight generator
holistic perspective of postdisaster recovery planning, this paper method.” Procedia Comput. Sci. 12 (1): 116–121. https://doi.org/10
contributes to the body knowledge to the management in the en- .1016/j.procs.2012.09.040.
gineering domain by providing a new recovery prioritization model Chang, S. E., and N. Nojima. 2001. “Measuring post-disaster transportation
that systematically integrates the social and economic factors with system performance: The 1995 Kobe earthquake in comparative
other technical factors. This new model, which has been rarely in- perspective.” Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract. 35 (6): 475–494.
vestigated in previous studies, is imperative in proposing a coherent https://doi.org/10.1016/S0965-8564(00)00003-3.
prioritization framework well-balanced among economic, societal, Chang, Y., S. Wilkinson, R. Potangaroa, and E. Seville. 2010. “Resourcing
sustainable, and other essential aspects. This multiobjective method challenges for postdisaster housing reconstruction: A comparative
analysis.” Build. Res. Inf. 38 (3): 247–264. https://doi.org/10.1080
creates a comprehensive framework that allows government offi-
/09613211003693945.
cials, practitioners, and decision makers to prioritize their recovery Choi, J., X. Chen, and T. Kim. 2019a. “Opportunities and challenges of
plan in an optimized way without neglecting any aspect of this modular methods in dense urban environment.” Int. J. Constr. Manage.
interdisciplinary process. 19 (2): 93–105. https://doi.org/10.1080/15623599.2017.1382093.
This proposed method and model is expected to help (1) explic- Choi, J., J. T. O’Connor, and T. Kim. 2016. “Recipes for cost and schedule
itly integrate social factors reflecting the affected community’s successes for industrial modular projects: Qualitative comparative
needs in planning the disaster recovery process, (2) systematically analysis approach.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 142 (10): 04016055.
utilize limited reconstruction resources to complete recovery proj- https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001171.
ects, and (3) generate recovery plans that minimize reconstruction Choi, J. O., J. T. O’Connor, Y. H. Kwak, and B. K. Shrestha. 2019b.
cost while maintaining the optimal level of socioeconomic benefits. “Modularization business case analysis model for industrial projects.”
J. Manage. Eng. 35 (3): 04019004. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)ME
The proposed model is expected to be an initial step toward a
.1943-5479.0000683.
comprehensive decision-making process to design an efficient post-
Cutter, S. L., B. J. Boruff, and W. L. Shirley. 2003. “Social vulnerability to
disaster recovery plan and arrange their available resources con- environmental hazards.” Social Sci. Q. 84 (2): 242–261. https://doi.org
cerning the socioeconomic factors of affected communities. The /10.1111/1540-6237.8402002.
authors also expect that this flexibility regarding the certain levels Deb, K., A. Pratap, S. Agarwal, and T. A. M. T. Meyarivan. 2002. “A fast
of assumptions and simplifications can provide the broader impacts and elitist multiobjective genetic algorithm: NSGA-II.” IEEE Trans.
for several state agencies to establish their recovery plan with their Evol. Comput. 6 (2): 182–197. https://doi.org/10.1109/4235.996017.

© ASCE 04020038-13 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


East, E. W., and L. Y. Liu. 2006. “Multiproject planning and resource developing countries.” J. Multi-Criteria Decis. Anal. 16 (5–6): 125–
controls for facility management.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 132 (12): 137. https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.444.
1294–1305. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2006)132:12 Koria, M. 2009. “Managing for innovation in large and complex recovery
(1294). programmes: Tsunami lessons from Sri Lanka.” Int. J. Project Manage.
Eid, M. S., and I. H. El-Adaway. 2017. “Integrating the social vulnerability 27 (2): 123–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2008.09.005.
of host communities and the objective functions of associated stakehold- Lawson, R. M., R. G. Ogden, and R. Bergin. 2011. “Application of modular
ers during disaster recovery processes using agent-based modeling.” J. construction in high-rise buildings.” J. Archit. Eng. 18 (2): 148–154.
Comput. Civ. Eng. 31 (5): 04017030. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CP https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)AE.1943-5568.0000057.
.1943-5487.0000680. Leu, S. S., and C. H. Yang. 1999. “GA-based multicriteria optimal model
El-Anwar, O., K. El-Rayes, and A. S. Elnashai. 2009. “Maximizing the for construction scheduling.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 125 (6):
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

sustainability of integrated housing recovery efforts.” J. Constr. Eng. 420–427. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(1999)125:6(420).


Manage. 136 (7): 794–802. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943 Liu, G., K. Li, D. Zhao, and C. Mao. 2016. “Business model innovation and
-7862.0000185. its drivers in the Chinese construction industry during the shift to modu-
El-Anwar, O., J. Ye, and W. Orabi. 2015. “Innovative linear formulation for lar prefabrication.” J. Manage. Eng. 33 (3): 04016051. https://doi.org
transportation reconstruction planning.” J. Comput. Civ. Eng. 30 (3): /10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000501.
04015048. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CP.1943-5487.0000504. Louisiana DOA (Dept. of Administration). 2006. Office of facility planning
FEMA. 1992. Building performance: Hurricane Andrew in Florida. and control (FPC) prioritization criteria. Baton Rouge, LA: Louisiana
Washington, DC: FEMA. DOA.
FEMA. 2005. Planning for post disaster recovery and reconstruction. Louisiana Recovery Authority. 2006. Proposed action plan for the use of
Washington, DC: FEMA. disaster recovery funds. Baton Rouge, LA: Office of Community
FEMA. 2009. FEMA temporary housing program ending for families of Development.
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Washington, DC: FEMA. MBI (Modular Building Institute). 2010. Productivity with modular
FEMA. 2015. Hazus online download quick reference guide. Washington, construction. Charlottesville, VA: MBI.
DC: FEMA. Nadim, W., and J. S. Goulding. 2010. “Offsite production in the UK: The
FEMA. 2016. National disaster recovery framework. Washington, DC: way forward? A UK construction industry perspective.” Constr. Inno-
FEMA. vation 10 (2): 181–202. https://doi.org/10.1108/14714171011037183.
Freeman, P. K. 2004. “Allocation of post-disaster reconstruction financing O’Connor, J. T., W. J. O’Brien, and J. O. Choi. 2013. Industrial modula-
to housing.” Build. Res. Inf. 32 (5): 427–437. https://doi.org/10.1080 rization: How to optimize; how to maximize. Austin, TX: Construction
/0961321042000221016. Industry Institute, Univ. of Texas.
O’Connor, J. T., W. J. O’Brien, and J. O. Choi. 2014. “Critical success
Ghannad, P., Y. C. Lee, and J. O. Choi. 2019. “Investigating stakeholders’
factors and enablers for optimum and maximum industrial modulariza-
perceptions of feasibility and implications of modular construction-
tion.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 140 (6): 04014012. https://doi.org/10
based post-disaster reconstruction.” In Proc., Modular and Offsite Con-
.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000842.
struction (MOC) Summit, 504–513. Edmonton, AB, Canada: Univ. of
O’Connor, J. T., W. J. O’Brien, and J. O. Choi. 2015. “Industrial project
Alberta Library.
execution planning: Modularization versus stick-built.” Pract. Period.
Goldberg, D. E., and J. H. Holland. 1988. “Genetic algorithms and
Struct. Des. Constr. 21 (1): 04015014. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)
machine learning.” Mach. Learn. 3 (2): 95–99. https://doi.org/10
SC.1943-5576.0000270.
.1023/A:1022602019183.
Olshansky, R. B. 2006. “Planning after Hurricane Katrina.” J. Am. Plann.
Goodman, A. S., and M. Hastak. 2006. Infrastructure planning handbook:
Assoc. 72 (2): 147–153. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944360608976735.
Planning, engineering, and economics. New York: ASCE.
Olshansky, R. B., L. A. Johnson, and K. C. Topping. 2006. “Rebuilding
Goodyear, R. 2014. Housing in greater Christchurch after the earthquakes: communities following disaster: Lessons from Kobe and Los Angeles.”
Trends in housing from the Census of Population and Dwellings Built Environ. 32 (4): 354–374. https://doi.org/10.2148/benv.32.4.354.
1991–2013. Wellington, New Zealand: Statistics New Zealand. Peacock, W. G., S. Van Zandt, Y. Zhang, and W. E. Highfield. 2014.
Green, R., L. K. Bates, and A. Smyth. 2007. “Impediments to recovery in “Inequities in long-term housing recovery after disasters.” J. Am. Plann.
New Orleans’ Upper and Lower Ninth Ward: One year after Hurricane Assoc. 80 (4): 356–371. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944363.2014.980440.
Katrina.” Disasters 31 (4): 311–335. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467 Polsky, C., R. Neff, and B. Yarnal. 2007. “Building comparable global
-7717.2007.01011.x. change vulnerability assessments: The vulnerability scoping diagram.”
Halme, M., and P. Korhonen. 2000. “Restricting weights in value efficiency Global Environ. Change 17 (3–4): 472–485. https://doi.org/10.1016/j
analysis.” Eur. J. Oper. Res. 126 (1): 175–188. https://doi.org/10.1016 .gloenvcha.2007.01.005.
/S0377-2217(99)00290-8. Pons, O., and G. Wadel. 2011. “Environmental impacts of prefabricated
Hazards & Vulnerability Research Institute. 2019. SoVI 2010–2014 scores school buildings in Catalonia.” Habitat Int. 35 (4): 553–563.
and percentiles. Columbia, SC: College of Arts & Sciences, Univ. of Pradhan, A. R., D. F. Laefer, and W. J. Rasdorf. 2007. “Infrastructure man-
South Carolina. agement information system framework requirements for disasters.”
Iniestra, J. G., and J. G. Gutiérrez. 2009. “Multicriteria decisions on inter- J. Comput. Civ. Eng. 21 (2): 90–101. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)
dependent infrastructure transportation projects using an evolutionary- 0887-3801(2007)21:2(90).
based framework.” Appl. Soft Comput. 9 (2): 512–526. https://doi.org Rowley, K. M. 2008. GulfGov reports: The role of community rebuilding
/10.1016/j.asoc.2008.07.006. plans in the hurricane recovery. Albany, NY: Nelson A. Rockefeller
Ismail, D., T. A. Majid, R. Roosli, and N. Ab Samah. 2014. “Project man- Institute of Government.
agement success for post-disaster reconstruction projects: International Saaty, T. L. 2005. “Analytic hierarchy process.” In Encyclopedia of
NGOs perspectives.” Procedia Econ. Finance 18 (1): 120–127. biostatistics. New York: Wiley.
Jones, S., M. Tefe, and S. Appiah-Opoku. 2013. “Proposed framework for Schott, J. R. 1995. Fault tolerant design using single and multicriteria
sustainability screening of urban transport projects in developing coun- genetic algorithm optimization. Rep. No. AFIT/CI/CIA-95-039.
tries: A case study of Accra, Ghana.” Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract. Wright-Patterson AFB, OH: Air Force Institute of Technology.
49 (Mar): 21–34. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2013.01.003. Senouci, A. B., and N. N. Eldin. 2004. “Use of genetic algorithms in resource
Karlaftis, M. G., K. L. Kepaptsoglou, and S. Lambropoulos. 2007. “Fund scheduling of construction projects.” J. Constr. Eng. Manage. 130 (6):
allocation for transportation network recovery following natural disas- 869–877. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2004)130:6(869).
ters.” J. Urban Plann. Dev. 133 (1): 82–89. https://doi.org/10.1061 Taboada, H. A., and D. W. Coit. 2007. “Data clustering of solutions for
/(ASCE)0733-9488(2007)133:1(82). multiple objective system reliability optimization problems.” Qual.
Karvetski, C. W., J. H. Lambert, and I. Linkov. 2009. “Emergent conditions Technol. Quantit. Manage. 4 (2): 191–210. https://doi.org/10.1080
and multiple criteria analysis in infrastructure prioritization for /16843703.2007.11673145.

© ASCE 04020038-14 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038


Tas, N., M. Tas, and N. Cosgun. 2011. “Permanent housing production Weerakoon, D., S. Jayasuriya, N. Arunatilake, and P. Steele. 2007.
process after 17 August 1999 Marmara Earthquake in Turkey.” Int. Economic challenges of post-tsunami reconstruction in Sri Lanka.
J. Strategic Property Manage. 15 (3): 312–328. https://doi.org/10 Rep. No. 75. Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute.
.3846/1648715X.2011.617863. Won, I., Y. Na, J. T. Kim, and S. Kim. 2013. “Energy-efficient algorithms of
Turnipseed, D. P., K. V. Wilson Jr., J. Stoker, and D. Tyler. 2007. “Mapping the steam curing for the in situ production of precast concrete mem-
Hurricane Katrina peak storm surge in Alabama, Mississippi, and bers.” Energy Build. 64 (Sep): 275–284. https://doi.org/10.1016/j
Louisiana.” In Proc., 37th Mississippi Water Resources Conf., .enbuild.2013.05.019.
202–207. Jackson, MS: Mississippi State Univ. Zhang, H., H. Li, and C. M. Tam. 2006. “Heuristic scheduling
Van Veldhuizen, D. A. 1999. Multiobjective evolutionary algorithms: Clas- of resource-constrained, multiple-mode and repetitive projects”
sifications, analyses, and new innovations. Rep. No. AFIT/DS/ENG/ Constr. Manage. Econ. 24 (2): 159–169. https://doi.org/10.1080
Downloaded from ascelibrary.org by University of the Philippines, Diliman College of Engg on 02/27/23. Copyright ASCE. For personal use only; all rights reserved.

99-01. Wright-Patterson AFB, OH: Air Force Institute of Technology. /01446190500184311.


Venkat, V., S. H. Jacobson, and J. A. Stori. 2004. “A post-optimality Ziara, M., K. Nigim, A. Enshassi, and B. M. Ayyub. 2002. “Strategic
analysis algorithm for multi-objective optimization.” Comput. Optim. implementation of infrastructure priority projects: Case study in
Appl. 28 (3): 357–372. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:COAP.0000033968 Palestine.” J. Infrastruct. Syst. 8 (1): 2–11. https://doi.org/10.1061
.55439.8b. /(ASCE)1076-0342(2002)8:1(2).

© ASCE 04020038-15 J. Manage. Eng.

J. Manage. Eng., 2020, 36(4): 04020038

You might also like