Scenario planning in strategic management involves considering how an organization's strategies and internal structure may react to various future scenarios. This helps organizations make better strategic decisions by preparing them to ensure smooth operations through any business-impacting scenarios. An effective scenario planning process identifies important trends, avoids assumptions about the future, resists decision-making based on current knowledge only, and counters biases to help organizations navigate uncertainty.
Scenario planning in strategic management involves considering how an organization's strategies and internal structure may react to various future scenarios. This helps organizations make better strategic decisions by preparing them to ensure smooth operations through any business-impacting scenarios. An effective scenario planning process identifies important trends, avoids assumptions about the future, resists decision-making based on current knowledge only, and counters biases to help organizations navigate uncertainty.
Scenario planning in strategic management involves considering how an organization's strategies and internal structure may react to various future scenarios. This helps organizations make better strategic decisions by preparing them to ensure smooth operations through any business-impacting scenarios. An effective scenario planning process identifies important trends, avoids assumptions about the future, resists decision-making based on current knowledge only, and counters biases to help organizations navigate uncertainty.
1 What is Scenario Planning in Strategic Management?
1.1 Strategic Management
Based on a layman’s terminology, strategic management simply is managing resources to reach goals and objectives.
1.2 Scenario Planning in Strategic Management
However, if the management is unaware of how their internal structure and strategies will react to various scenarios, hence they would put themselves at a disadvantage when it comes to strategic decision making. Hence, this is ultimately where scenario planning integrates with strategic management. “Scenario planning” is an umbrella term for several approaches that differ both in their goals and in their design process 1. Scenario planning in strategic management is all about preparing an organisation to ensure the smooth transition of services through any kind of future business impacting scenarios. An efficient and well-planned business mode for scenario planning in strategic management would ensure that the business:
a. Gain clarity on the most important trends.
b. Assume nothing about the future c. Resist the tendency to make decisions based on present knowledge. d. Combat overconfidence, biases, and optimism
1 Bradfield et al., 2005; Huss & Honton, 1987
2023/01 GSDP8134 Strategic Planning and Performance Evaluation