Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CHAPTER FIVE
MONETARY MANAGEMENT AND FINANCIAL MARKET
DEVELOPMENT
The monetary policy pursued during FY2019-20 aimed at attaining expected economic growth and
limiting inflation within tolerable level through emphasis on inclusive investment and employment
supportive and environment-friendly green initiatives. The monetary policy strategy for FY2019-20
was targeted to maintain an annual average inflation rate below 5.5 percent. To keep inflation
within desired level the Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) for FY2019-20 set targets for broad
money and reserve money growth at 13.0 percent and 12.0 percent respectively. However, at the end
of February 2020, broad money and reserve money growth stood at 12.57 percent and 10.69 percent
against 10.37 percent and 7.69 percent increase in the same month of the previous fiscal year
respectively. At the end of February 2020, the growth of internal debt and private sector credit
growth stood at 15.18 percent and 9.13 percent respectively, against 13.64 percent and 12.54
percent at the same time of the previous year respectively. On the other hand, the interest rate
spread slightly decreased to 4.09 percent at the end of February 2020 from 4.15 percent of
February 2019 despite the continuous rise in deposit rate and the continuous reduction in lending
rate. Though the volume of the broad money is increasing gradually in the ratio of GDP over the
past few years, it slightly decreased to 47.97 percent in FY2018-19 and stood at 49.10 percent at the
end of FY2019-20. Besides emphasising on financial inclusion a broad range of activities to bring a
large number of financially excluded people under the umbrella of conventional financial services
have been undertaken by the government. In the FY2019-20, both stock markets (Dhaka Stock
Exchange and Chattogram Stock Exchange) noticed some unrest due to which overall both the price
index and market capitalisation decreased. For ensuring stable and smooth operation of the capital
market and restoring the confidence of general investors several restructuring activities were
carried out during this period.
formulated with the aim of attaining GDP government borrowing through national
growth rate at 8.20 percent and keeping CPI saving certificates (NSCs) can be attributed to
inflation within the target ceiling of 5.5 robust growth in net credit to government
percent. Supported by buoyant domestic sector. It may be noted that net credit to
demand, investment and consumption government sector grew by 74.55 percent in
activities gross domestic product (GDP) grew February 2020 over February 2019. Despite
robustly at 8.15 percent in FY2018-19 against having strong growth in net credit to
the targeted level of 7.80 percent. Due to a government sector, NDA growth (15.0%)
downside risk emanating from negative remained below the program path (15.5%)
growth in exports along with slowdown in due to moderate growth in credit to private
global economic activities due to ongoing sector emerged from lackluster scenario of
trade conflict and recent political tension in exports and imports along with the
the Middle East. Moreover, due to the cautiousness of banks to reduce bad loans and
outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic along with to discourage loans to unproductive sectors.
hindrance of country’s overall economic In spite of having negative growth in exports,
situation resulting from the long-term public actual NFA growth (4.5% in February 2020)
holiday, GDP target for FY2019-20 was not outpaced the program path (4.2%) due to
possible to achieve. strong inflow in remittances.
For FY2019-20, broad money (M2), reserve Despite moderate credit demand, weighted
money (RM) and net domestic assets (NDA) average lending and deposit rates followed
have been projected to annually increase by the upward trend in the first half of FY2019-
13.0, 12.0 and 15.5 percent respectively; 20 due mainly to strong credit demand in
while, based on the projections of BOP government sector. Available information
outcomes, net foreign assets (NFA) has been suggest that, weighted average lending and
projected to increase only 4.2 percent. Most deposit rates stood at 9.62 and 5.53 percent
of the key monetary and credit aggregates respectively in February 2020 which were
remained within the programmed paths 9.58 and 5.43 percent respectively in June
during July-February 2020 period. Broad 2019.
money growth stood at 12.6 percent in
February 2020 over February 2019 against To protect the economy from the recent
the programmed level of 13.0 percent, while outbreak of COVID-19, Bangladesh Bank has
NFA constituted 4.5 percent growth. NDA reduced the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by a
grew robustly due to strong credit growth in total of 150 basis points in two phases to 4.0
public sector including government, though percent. In addition, the repo rate was
private sector credit growth remained reduced by 75 basis points and re-fixed at
moderate at 9.13 percent. An unusually high 5.25 percent on April 12, 2020 and for
government borrowing from the banking conventional banks and Islamic banks, the
system due to slow growth in NBR tax Advance-Deposit Ratio (ADR) and
revenue collection and decrease in Investment-Deposit Ratio (IDR) were
increased by 2 percent and re-fixed at 87 (M2) and narrow money (M1) have increased
percent and 92 percent respectively on April compared to the same period of the last fiscal
15, 2020. As a result of these measures, the year. However, due to significant increase in
economic situation has improved by the government sector credit the year-on-year
increasing the money supply in the market. growth of M2 increased in February, 2020
compared to February, 2019. Table 5.1 shows
Money and Credit Situation.
Growth Trends of Monetary Aggregates the growth trends of monetary aggregate
since FY2013-14.
At the end of February of FY2019-20, the
year-on-year reserve money, broad money
Table 5.1: Growth Trends of Monetary Aggregates
(Year-on-year growth)
Indicator 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Feb'19 Feb'20
Narrow Money (M1) 14.60 13.53 32.10 13.01 6.17 7.22 11.40 9.89
Broad Money (M2) 16.09 12.42 16.35 10.88 9.24 9.88 10.37 12.57
Reserve Money (RM) 15.46 14.33 30.12 16.28 4.04 5.32 7.69 10.69
Table 5.2: Movement and Growth of the Components of M2 and Domestic Credit
Note: 1. including accrued interest, 2. including deposits of other financial institutions and government agencies
Source: Bangladesh Bank.
(net) increased by Tk. 12,958.3 crore to Tk. 20, money multiplier, ratios of money
26,329.1 crore at the end of February 2020 multiplier as reserve-deposit ratio and
compared to Tk. 13,370.8 crore at the same currency-deposit ratio stood at 5.205, 0.787
period of the previous fiscal year. At the same and 0.141 respectively at the end of February
period, Claims on deposit money banks 2020.
(DMBs) increased by Tk. 8,140.0 crore to Tk.
Income Velocity of Money
14,440.3 crore compared to Tk. 6,300.3 crore
in the same period of the previous fiscal year Income velocity of money stood at 2.04 in FY
and claims on other public sector increased 2019-20 which was 2.08 in FY2018-19,
by Tk. 222.3 crore to Tk. 2,574.9 crore Broad money as percent of GDP was 47.97
compared to Tk. 2,352.6 crore in the same percent in FY2018-19 which increased to
period of the previous fiscal year. 49.10 percent in FY2019-20. The trends of
income velocity of money and broad money
Money Multiplier as a percent of GDP from FY2005-06 to
Money multiplier increased to 4.954 in FY2019-20 have been shown in Table 5.5.
FY2018-19 as compared to 4.749 of FY2017- The Movement of broad money as a percent
18 due to higher growth of broad money of GDP has been shown in Figure 5.3.
compared to reserve money. During FY2019-
Rationalising the Rate of Interest/Charges lending and deposit rates or spread within
lower single digit except high-risk consumer
With a view to rationalising the rate of
credit (including credit card) and SME loans.
interest on deposit and lending through
The trends of weighted average lending and
competitive environment among the banks,
deposit rates from February 2019 to February
Bangladesh Bank has been providing
2020 show that both have slightly increased
instructions to banks on a regular basis for
(Figure 5.4).
taking proper initiatives. Besides, banks are
advised to limit the difference between
In Bangladesh, 60 scheduled banks are SCBs are 2,019 (53.5%) and 1,755 (46.5%),
performing their banking business with in case of local PCBs the number of rural and
10,583 branches as on February 2020. Of urban branches are 1,909 (36.3%) and 3,352
these total bank branches, the number of rural (63.7%), the number of rural and urban
and urban branches are 5133 (48.5%) and branches of SBs are 1,205 (81.3%) and 278
5450 (51.5%) respectively. According to the (18.7%) and the branch number of foreign
Bank group and region-wise bank branches, banks' is 65 which is located into Urban areas
the number of rural and urban branches of only. As on December 2019, of all the total
assets of banking system, 67.79 percent and early warning system, commercial paper,
24.5 percent are included to the PCBs and Code of Conduct etc. have been introduced.
SCBs respectively. As of December 2019, of As the regulator of Financial Institutions,
the total deposits of the banking system, Department of Financial Institutions,
68.22 percent and 24.77 percent are included Bangladesh Bank have taken different
into the PCBs and SCBs respectively. policies in the year 2019. The noteworthy
policies are: rescheduling the highest limit of
Non-bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs)
taking loan from call money market,
Non-Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) are preserving information into the CMMS
playing a significant role in providing funding (Corporate Memory Management System)
in different sectors like industrial, regarding disciplinary action taken against the
commercial, housing, transportation, and IT punished employee of each institution and
sectors of the country. As on February 2020, necessary direction for using these
34 licensed non-bank financial institutions are information, setting of age in case of
working with a wide network through 276 contractual appointment and determining the
branches in 37 districts of the country. Of all, age-limit for regular employee/staff, direction
they are operating 94 branches in Dhaka city to ensure more transparency for taking
along with 182 branches in other 36 districts house/structure rent/lease of Financial
of the country. As on December, 2019 total Institutions, for the convenience of debtors
paid up capital and reserve of these financial related to jute industry transferring unpaid
institutions stood at Tk. 11,373.27 crore of loan amount into the blocked accounts, policy
which paid up capital was Tk.8,069.33 crore. related write-off loan/lease/investment etc.
In this time, total shareholder’s equity was
11,840.34 crore, total asset was Tk. 87,152.72 Financial Inclusion
crore, total outstanding loan/lease was Tk. In recent times, financial inclusion seems to
67,632.27 crore and total classified loan/lease be the most prominent tool to ensure
stood at Tk. 6,398.76 crore (9.53 % of total inclusive and sustainable economic
loan/lease). In addition to industrial, development in the world. With a view to
commercial and housing sectors the FIs also building a sustainable economic infrastructure
invest in the capital market which amounted of the country and realising the importance of
to Tk. 1,841.32 crore by the end of December financial inclusion, Bangladesh Bank has
2019. To strengthen the Non-Bank Financial been engaged in the exploration and
Management Structure, to ensure promotion of innovative and successful
transparency and minimise risk of financial policy initiatives to bring the financially
institutions and in order to bring corporate excluded marginal population under the
good governance, various measures (e.g. umbrella of financial inclusion. The major
guidelines, circulars & circular letters etc.) policy initiatives taken by Bangladesh Bank
have been taken at different times by to promote financial inclusion are as follows:
Bangladesh Bank. As part of these, guidelines
on products and services, base rate system,
Chapter 5-Monetary Management and Financial Market Development ׀70׀
Bangladesh Economic Review 2020
Bangladesh Bank has issued various earned money and secure their future.
circulars from time to time to open bank Now if the biological parents of these
account (popularly known as Tk. 10 bank children are available, then the account
account) with a minimum deposit of Tk. can be operated by the joint signature of
10 to include the under-privileged and the street children and their
financially excluded population in the father/mother. The number of these
formal banking services. Bangladesh accounts and the balance of these
Bank has also instructed all the banks to accounts stood at 7,647 and Tk. 38.18
operate these accounts without any lakh respectively up to December 2019.
service charges or any minimum balance
With a view to providing a safe, secured,
requirements. People from various and sound alternative delivery channel
classes and professions such as farmers, for banking services to the non-
hardcore poor, workers of city privileged, underserved population
corporation, shoe & leather, and RMG, especially from geographically remote
physically challenged persons, location, BB has introduced Agent
beneficiary under the social security Banking in June 2014. Through Agent
program and freedom fighters along with Banking, it becomes easy to provide
other financially excluded groups are affordable banking services for the non-
included in this category. With the privileged, underserved and poor
initiatives of Bangladesh Bank the segment of population especially from
number of these account reached to geographically remote location. As of
2,14,54,370 at the end of January 2020. December 2018, 21 Banks have received
With a view to facilitate the farmers for approval from BB to provide agent
keeping their Tk. 10 account effective by banking services whereas 19 banks out of
providing credit under minimum them have started operation. As of
conditions, Bangladesh Bank has created December 2019, 24 Banks have received
a revolving refinance fund worth of Tk. approval from BB to provide agent
200 crore from its own source. Small, banking services whereas 21 banks out of
marginal, and landless farmers are the them have started their operations. Up to
main target groups of this refinance December 2019, agent banking services
scheme. About Tk. 160.51 crore has been have been provided through 52,68,496
disbursed under this scheme up to bank accounts opened by 11,320 outlets
February 2020. of 7,856 agents of that 21 banks.
Bangladesh Bank has relaxed the In order to create a dynamic, interactive,
regulations for opening the Tk. 10 special and online database for the remittance
accounts for the street and working senders, BB has taken an initiative to
children, which was introduced in 2014 collect the information of Non-Resident
to make this population financially Bangladeshis (NRBs). Any NRB can open
independent, to safeguard their hard
Chapter 5-Monetary Management and Financial Market Development ׀71׀
Bangladesh Economic Review 2020
infrastructure of the financial market will be Court Act, 2003, The Financial Institutions
strengthened, the regulatory and supervisory Act, 1993 (Proposed `The Finance
capacity of the central bank will migrate to Companies Act, 2020), and The Negotiable
more advanced level and an additional Instrument Act, 1881) have already been
production capacity will be created which reviewed and recommendations are
will result in increase of real output in the examining at the Ministry of Finance as well
country. as other concerned Ministries. The Insolvency
Act, 1997 is under process of incorporating
Legal Reforms
recommendations received at stakeholders
To uphold the confidence of the depositors meeting holds at Bangladesh Bank.
and the shareholders of banks on bank International best practices and good
management, Bangladesh Bank (BB) from governance in banking have been taken into
time to time has emphasised on lessening of considerations while reviewing the above acts
various expenses of banks. BB instructs banks with a view to uphold the discipline of the
on August 20, 2019 to enhance their earnings financial sector of Bangladesh.
with competitive interest/charges/fees
avoiding unnecessary expenditure. In this Reforms in State Owned Commercial
regards, to reduce the operating cost, banks Banks
have been advised not to purchase expensive Bangladesh Bank has signed Memorandum of
vehicles for chairman and CEO of banks and Understanding (MOU) with the State Owned
to avoid luxurious decorations at head office Commercial Banks (Except Basic Bank
and branches. Limited and Bangladesh Development Bank
Limited) in FY2019-20 as similar to the
A high-level Law Amendment
previous year. Under the MoU instructions
Recommendation Committee headed by a
have been given to the SOCBs to ensure
Deputy Governor of Bangladesh Bank
efficiency in asset-liability management,
reviewing concerned banking laws to address
reduce the NPLs, ensure cash recovery against
the prevailing scenario of default loans of
NPLs, control the operational expenses,
banks and FIs. The committee comprises with
reduce high cost deposit to the desired level,
the 10 officials from Bangladesh Bank and
ensure digital banking services as well as to
Financial Institutions Divisions of Ministry of
enforce the internal control and compliance
Finance. The Committee has revisited 5 acts,
system within the banks. To improve asset
namely, (1) The Bank Companies' Act, 1991,
quality certain conditions have been imposed
(2) The Money Loan Court Act, 2003, (3)
in current MoU for example, purchasing
The Financial Institutions Act, 1993
FDBP (Foreign Documentary Bills Purchase),
(Proposed `The Finance Companies Act,
creating of forced loan/PAD/Demand loan and
2020), (4) The Negotiable Instrument Act,
their rescheduling for long period by the
1881, and (5) The Insolvency Act, 1997.
banks. In addition, Bangladesh Bank has also
Among the five, the four acts (The Bank been regularly monitoring the activities of
Companies' Act, 1991, The Money Loan SOCBs in achieving the targets of MoU,
Chapter 5-Monetary Management and Financial Market Development
׀74׀
Bangladesh Economic Review 2020
Year Total number Number of Issued Capital Market Total Turnover value of
of listed IPO (tk. In crore) Capitalization All Securities
Securities (tk. In crore) (tk. In crore)