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The impact of an activity is deviation (a change) from
the baseline condition.

What is an Impact? The Baseline condition is the existing


environmental situation or condition in the absence
of the activity.

To measure an impact, you must know what the


baseline situation is.
What is an
Activity?
✓ An activity is a desired accomplishment or
output.
✓ Accomplisshing an activity requires a set of
actions

Activity: Mining Operation

Actions: Survey, grading, site


clearing, tree cutting,
relocation, river diversion,
culvert construction,
compaction, etc.
Impact Types of Impacts:

Analysis and ✓ Direct and Indirect Impact

Prediction
✓ Short and Long Term Impact

✓ Adverse and Beneficial Impact


The EIA process is
concerned with all types ✓ Cumulative Impact
of impacts and may
describe them in a
number of ways. Impact Characteristics
But all impacts are
NOT treated
❑ Intensity (Magnitude) equally.
❑ Spatial extent (Zone of
Influence)
❑ Duration
❑ Frequency It is very important in EIA to
❑ Reversibility focus on the significant
❑ Probability impacts.
3 Phases of
Impact Analysis
Identification: to specify the
impacts associated with each phase
of the project and the activities
undertaken

Prediction: to forecast the nature,


magnitude, extent and duration of
the main impacts

Evaluation: to determine the


significance of the residual impacts
i.e after taking account how
mitigation will reduce a predicated
impact
1. Adhoc Method
2. Checklist
Impact Identification: 3. Matrices

Tools and Techniques 4.

5.
Networks
Overlays and Geographic Information
System (GIS)
6. Expert systems
Impact Analysis : Prediction
Characteristics of Environmental Impacts

nature (positive, negative, direct, indirect, duration (short term, long term,
cumulative)
intermittent, continuous)
magnitude (severe, moderate, low)
reversibility/irreversibility
extent/location (area/volume covered,
distribution) likelihood (probability, uncertainty or

timing (during construction, confidence in the prediction) and

operation, decommissioning, significance (local, regional, global)


immediate, delayed, rate of change)
Nature

 The most obvious impacts are those that are directly related to the
proposal and can be connected (in space and time) to the action that
caused them.
 Typical examples of direct impacts are:
▪ destruction of habitat caused by forest clearance;
▪ relocation of households caused by reservoir impoundment;
▪ increased air particulate emissions caused by operation of a new
power station,
▪ etc.
Indirect or Secondary Impacts

 These are changes that are usually less obvious, occurring later in time or
further away from the impact source.

 Examples of these types of impacts are:

▪ the spread of malaria as a result of drainage schemes that increase standing


water and thereby create new vector habitat;

▪ bio-accumulation and bio-magnification of contaminants in the food chain


through take up of agricultural pesticides; and

▪ anxiety, stress and community disruption associated with increased traffic


volumes and noise caused by road development.
Cumulative effects

 Typically, result from the incremental impact of an action when


combined with impacts from projects and actions that have been
undertaken recently or will be carried out in the near or foreseeable
future.

 These impacts may be individually minor but collectively significant


because of their spatial concentration or frequency in time.

 Cumulative effects can accumulate either incrementally (or additively)


or interactively (synergistically), such that the overall effect is larger
than the sum of the parts.
Magnitude Extent/Location

 Estimating the magnitude of the  The spatial extent or zone of impact


impact is of primary importance. influence can be predicted for site-
Typically, it is expressed in terms specific versus regional occurrences.
of relative severity, such as major, Depending on the type of impact,
moderate or low. Severity, as
the variation in extent/location will
opposed to size, also takes account
need to be estimated;
of other aspects of impact
 for example: alterations to range or
magnitude, notably whether or not
an impact is reversible and the pattern of species or dispersion of
likely rate of recovery. air and water pollution plumes.
Timing Significance

 Impacts arising from all of the  The evaluation of significance at


stages of the life cycle of the this stage of EIA will depend on
project should be considered (i.e. the characteristics of the predicted
during construction, operation and impact and its potential
decommissioning). Some impacts importance for decision-making.
will occur immediately, while Significance is usually attributed
others may be delayed, sometimes in terms of an existing standard or
by many years. These impact criteria of permissible change, for
characteristics should be noted in example as specified in a standard,
the EIA report. policy objective or plan.
Duration

 Some impacts may be short-term, such as the noise arising from the
operation of equipment during construction. Others may be long-term,
such as the inundation of land during the building of a reservoir.

 Certain impacts such as blasting may be intermittent, whereas others,


such as electromagnetic fields caused by power lines, may be
continuous.

 Impact magnitude and duration classifications can be cross-referenced;


for example, major but short term (less than one year), low but
persistent (more than 20 years).
Impact
Characteristics
Summary Table
Evaluation of impact significance

Impact Impact
characteristic importance Impact
(magnitude) X (value) significance
M I S

M X I = S
Key Elements for Assessing Impact Significance

Environmental Scientific and Test of Significance by Asking


standards, Level of public
professional evidence Three Questions
guidelines & concern
concerning:
objectives
i. Are there residual environmental
impacts?
• Resource loss/ecological damage
ii. If yes, are these likely to be
• Negative social impacts
significant or not?
• Foreclosure of land and resource
iii. If yes, are these significant effects
use options
likely to occur?
Impacts are likely to be significant if they:

 Are expensive over space or time

 Are intensive in concentration or in relation to assimilative capacity

 Exceed environmental standards or thresholds

 Do not comply with environmental policies/ land use plans

 Affect ecological sensitive areas and heritage resources

 Affect community lifestyle, traditional land use and values


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