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The impact of an activity is deviation (a change) from
the baseline condition.
Prediction
✓ Short and Long Term Impact
5.
Networks
Overlays and Geographic Information
System (GIS)
6. Expert systems
Impact Analysis : Prediction
Characteristics of Environmental Impacts
nature (positive, negative, direct, indirect, duration (short term, long term,
cumulative)
intermittent, continuous)
magnitude (severe, moderate, low)
reversibility/irreversibility
extent/location (area/volume covered,
distribution) likelihood (probability, uncertainty or
The most obvious impacts are those that are directly related to the
proposal and can be connected (in space and time) to the action that
caused them.
Typical examples of direct impacts are:
▪ destruction of habitat caused by forest clearance;
▪ relocation of households caused by reservoir impoundment;
▪ increased air particulate emissions caused by operation of a new
power station,
▪ etc.
Indirect or Secondary Impacts
These are changes that are usually less obvious, occurring later in time or
further away from the impact source.
Some impacts may be short-term, such as the noise arising from the
operation of equipment during construction. Others may be long-term,
such as the inundation of land during the building of a reservoir.
Impact Impact
characteristic importance Impact
(magnitude) X (value) significance
M I S
M X I = S
Key Elements for Assessing Impact Significance