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Conditional Probability:
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events: 𝐏(𝐁|𝐀) =
𝑷(𝑨∩𝑩)
𝑷(𝑨)
𝐏(𝐀 ∪ 𝐁) = 𝐏(𝐀) + 𝐏(𝐁) − 𝐏(𝐀 ∩ 𝐁)
The probability of an event occurring
Events that can happen at the same given that another event has already
time. In other words, the occurrence of one occurred. In other words, it is the likelihood
event does not prevent the occurrence of of an event happening under a specific
the other event. condition.
For example, when flipping a coin, the
events of getting heads and getting tails are
non-mutually exclusive because both events Complimentary Event:
can occur in different coin flips. 𝐏(𝑨) = 𝟏 − 𝑷(𝑨)
Similarly, when rolling a die, the events of An event that is the opposite of
getting an odd number and getting a prime another event. Specifically, if event A is the
number are non-mutually exclusive because occurrence of a particular outcome, then
the number 3 is both odd and prime. the complimentary event of A is the
Mathematically, two events are non- occurrence of all other possible outcomes
mutually exclusive if they have an except A. The probability of the
intersection, meaning that the probability complimentary event can be calculated by
of both events occurring simultaneously is subtracting the probability of event A from
greater than zero. 1.
Formulas: Examples:
Probability A. A card is drawn at random from a standard
n(E)
deck of cards. What is the probability of
P(E) = drawing a queen or a king?
n(S)
3 2 1
= + −
6 6 6
5 1
= −
6 6
4
=
6
= 0.6667 𝑜𝑟 66.67%
D. In a hospital, there are 9 nurse and 4
physicians. Five nurse and one physician are
males. If a person is selected from the staff,
what is the probability that the person is a
nurse or female?
9 7 4
= + −
13 13 13
16 4
= −
13 13
12
=
13
= 0.9231 𝑜𝑟 92.31%
E. You flip a coin and then roll a fair six-sided I. One card is selected from a deck of cards
die. The coin lands heads-up and the die find the probability that the card is heart given
shows a one. it is not black
8 4 4
= ∗ P(queen|face card) = 52
12 11 12
52
32
= 0.3332
132 =
0.2308
= 0.2424 𝑜𝑟 24.24%
= 0.3332 or 33.32%
H. A box of chocolates contains five milk
chocolates, five dark chocolates, and five
white chocolates. You randomly select and
L. One card is selected from a deck of cards
eat three chocolates. The first piece is milk
find the probability that the card is not black
chocolate, the second is dark chocolate, and
given it is a two
the third is white chocolate.
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ∗ P(B/A) 𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
P(B|A) =
𝑃(𝐴)
5 5 5
= ∗ ∗ 2
15 14 13 52
P(not black|two) = 4
125
= 52
2730
0.0385
= 0.0459 𝑜𝑟 4.59% =
0.0769
= 0.5007 or 50.07%
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