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Mutually Exclusive Events: Independent Events:

𝐏(𝐀 ∪ 𝐁) = 𝐏(𝐀) + 𝐏(𝐁) 𝐏(𝐀 ∩ 𝐁) = 𝐏(𝐀) ∗ 𝐏(𝐁)


Events that cannot happen at the The occurrence of one event does not affect
same time. In other words, if one event the occurrence of the other
occurs, the other event cannot occur.
With replacement: whatever is picked is
For example, when flipping a coin, the put back before second pick (can be
event of getting heads and the event of repeated)
getting tails are mutually exclusive because
only one of these events can occur at a
time. Dependent Events:
Similarly, when rolling a die, the event of 𝐏(𝐀 ∩ 𝐁) = 𝐏(𝐀) ∗ 𝐏(𝐁/𝐀)
getting a 1 and the event of getting a 2 are
The result of one event affects the result of
mutually exclusive because the die can only
the other event
show one number at a time.
Without replacement: whatever is picked is
Mathematically, two events are mutually
not put back before the second pick (cannot
exclusive if they have no intersection,
be repeated)
meaning that the probability of both events
occurring simultaneously is zero.

Conditional Probability:
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events: 𝐏(𝐁|𝐀) =
𝑷(𝑨∩𝑩)
𝑷(𝑨)
𝐏(𝐀 ∪ 𝐁) = 𝐏(𝐀) + 𝐏(𝐁) − 𝐏(𝐀 ∩ 𝐁)
The probability of an event occurring
Events that can happen at the same given that another event has already
time. In other words, the occurrence of one occurred. In other words, it is the likelihood
event does not prevent the occurrence of of an event happening under a specific
the other event. condition.
For example, when flipping a coin, the
events of getting heads and getting tails are
non-mutually exclusive because both events Complimentary Event:
can occur in different coin flips. 𝐏(𝑨) = 𝟏 − 𝑷(𝑨)
Similarly, when rolling a die, the events of An event that is the opposite of
getting an odd number and getting a prime another event. Specifically, if event A is the
number are non-mutually exclusive because occurrence of a particular outcome, then
the number 3 is both odd and prime. the complimentary event of A is the
Mathematically, two events are non- occurrence of all other possible outcomes
mutually exclusive if they have an except A. The probability of the
intersection, meaning that the probability complimentary event can be calculated by
of both events occurring simultaneously is subtracting the probability of event A from
greater than zero. 1.
Formulas: Examples:
Probability A. A card is drawn at random from a standard
n(E)
deck of cards. What is the probability of
P(E) = drawing a queen or a king?
n(S)

Mutually Exclusive Events: 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵 = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵)


4 4
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) = +
52 52

Non-Mutually Exclusive Events 8


=
52
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A ∩ B) = 0.1538 𝑜𝑟 15.28%
Independent Events
B. A box contains 4 red balls, 5 green balls,
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ∗ P(B) and 3 blue balls. Peter draws one ball at
random. What is the probability that the ball is
Dependent Events either green or red?

P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ∗ P(B/A) 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵 = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵)


5 4
Conditional Probability = +
12 12
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
P(B|A) = =
8
𝑃(𝐴)
12
Complimentary Event = 0.75 𝑜𝑟 75%
P(𝐴) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐴) C. A dice is rolled. What is the probability of
getting an even number or a factor of 2?

3 2 1
= + −
6 6 6
5 1
= −
6 6
4
=
6

= 0.6667 𝑜𝑟 66.67%
D. In a hospital, there are 9 nurse and 4
physicians. Five nurse and one physician are
males. If a person is selected from the staff,
what is the probability that the person is a
nurse or female?

9 7 4
= + −
13 13 13
16 4
= −
13 13
12
=
13

= 0.9231 𝑜𝑟 92.31%
E. You flip a coin and then roll a fair six-sided I. One card is selected from a deck of cards
die. The coin lands heads-up and the die find the probability that the card is heart given
shows a one. it is not black

P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ∗ P(B) 𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)


P(B|A) =
𝑃(𝐴)
1 1
= ∗ 13
2 6 52
P(heart|not black) = 13
1
= 52
12
0.25
= 0.0833 𝑜𝑟 8.33% =
0.5

F. A cooler contains ten bottles of sports drink: = 0.5 or 50%


four lemon-lime flavored, three orange
flavored, and three fruit-punch flavored.
Three times, you randomly grab a bottle, return J. One card is selected from a deck of cards
the bottle to the cooler, and then mix up the find the probability that the card is a spade
bottles. The first time, you get a lemon-lime given it is red
drink. The second and third times, you get fruit-
punch. 𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
P(B|A) =
𝑃(𝐴)
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ∗ P(B) 0
4 3 3
P(spade|red) = 26
= ∗ ∗ 52
10 10 10
0
36 =
= 0.5
1000
=0
= 0.036 𝑜𝑟 3.6%
G. A bag contains eight red marbles and four
blue marbles. You randomly pick a marble K. One card is selected from a deck of cards
and then pick a second marble without find the probability that the card is a queen
returning the marbles to the bag. The first given that it is a face card
marble is red and the second marble is blue.
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
P(B|A) =
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ∗ P(B/A) 𝑃(𝐴)

8 4 4
= ∗ P(queen|face card) = 52
12 11 12
52
32
= 0.3332
132 =
0.2308
= 0.2424 𝑜𝑟 24.24%
= 0.3332 or 33.32%
H. A box of chocolates contains five milk
chocolates, five dark chocolates, and five
white chocolates. You randomly select and
L. One card is selected from a deck of cards
eat three chocolates. The first piece is milk
find the probability that the card is not black
chocolate, the second is dark chocolate, and
given it is a two
the third is white chocolate.
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) ∗ P(B/A) 𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
P(B|A) =
𝑃(𝐴)
5 5 5
= ∗ ∗ 2
15 14 13 52
P(not black|two) = 4
125
= 52
2730
0.0385
= 0.0459 𝑜𝑟 4.59% =
0.0769

= 0.5007 or 50.07%
M.

N.

O.

P.

Q.

R.

S.

T.

U.

V.

W.

X.

Y.
Z.

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