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Financial Accounting
FA-DH46ISB-1
GROUP 4
GROUP PROJECT
PREPARED FOR
Dr. Huỳnh Thị Ngọc Anh
PREPARED BY
Văn Công Đạt
Lê Thị Kim Ngân
Nguyễn Lê Duyên Anh
Nguyễn Thanh Huyền
Phạm Huyền Khanh
TABLE OF CONTENT
I. Introduction 4
V. Interpretations 8
A. ROE 8
B. Net Assets Turnover 11
C. Leverage 14
VI. Limitations 15
VII. Conclusions 15
VIII. References 16
IX. Appendices 23
A. Financial Ratios 25
B. Profitability 25
C. Working Capital Management 25
D. Liquidity 27
I. Introduction
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (VNM), the leading enterprise in the dairy industry in
Vietnam, was founded in 1976 as a 100% state-owned Southern Coffee Dairy Company with three milk
plants, and has operated as a joint stock corporation since 2003. Producing and distributing dairy products
and other nutritious products is its major line of business. Currently, it owns 17 dairy domestic factories
with over 160,000 cows heads, and 4 abroad subsidiaries (“Vietnam Dairy Products JSC - Corporate
Presentation”, 2022).
Factors Summary
1. Political tension between China and the US provides export opportunities for Vietnam (See further in
Appendix 1)
2. Free Trade Trade Agreement between Vietnam and Eurasian Economic Union (VN-EAEU) provides
Political
export opportunities for VN business (The Ministry of Industry and Trade, 2016).
3. Reduction in import duty on dairy goods from 2-5% (Government of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam,
2017).
Social
2. Increasing Health Consciousness
Vietnamese consumers prioritize healthy food together with necessary products when making purchases during
and after the Covid-19 outbreak (Nam, 2020).
1. Sterilizing equipment of Vinamilk was imported from Sweden, and all other machines are native to Europe
(“Vinamilk: Annual Report 2018”, 2018)
Technology
2. Production technology: UHT (ultra-high-temperature) processing enables the removal of dangerous bacteria,
yeasts, and molds (“International standard plants: Vinamilk liquid milk”, 2022).
Factors Summary
Strengths 1. Becomes the leading enterprise in Vietnam’s dairy industry with dominant market
(Source: "Vinamilk's share and solidifies its position as a global brand (See further in Appendix 3).
Annual Report 2021", 2. A strong financial foundation with a steady capital structure and financial autonomy
2022) from high profits.
3. A large system of factories and farms with international standards across Vietnam
4. An effective and stable supply chain and logistics management, as well as an extensive
nationwide distribution system that has been widely expanded over the years
5. Its investments in modernizing and synchronizing machinery and equipment.
6. Strengthened cooperative relationship with an extensive network of internationally-
standardized domestic and global suppliers, partners, and farming households
7. An experienced, proactive, and dedicated management system with a transparent
internal control system.
→ A business strategy focused on sustainable development in various aspects.
Weaknesses High dependence on imported raw materials: 63% of the company's final milk product
(Source: Thi Luc, 2016) demand is estimated to be satisfied by imported milk powder materials.
Threats 1. The increasingly intense competition in the dairy market, not only from domestic
(Sources: The Ministry of companies but also from international brands (See further in Appendix 5).
Finance, 2007; Saigoneer, 2. The potential risks underlying its export markets
2019; Research and 3. Unstable sources and soaring prices of imported raw materials (See further in Appendix
Markets, 2022) 6).
sustainable development,
V. Interpretations
A. ROE
During the period, ROE decreased steadily and significantly showed a bad signal in the financial health of
the business. This is directly caused by the considerable decline in ROCE of 14% from 2017 to 2021
since the gearing ratio has been relatively stable over the years.
It is noticeable that Vinamilk’s ROCE has fallen significantly year by year in the 2017-2021 period,
which is mainly a result of the decreasing gross profit margin and net profit margin.
Vinamilk's gross profit margin has had a relatively large decrease, which is mainly because input material
prices continue to remain high due to supply shortages and the impact of the global supply chain crisis
(Khan et al., 2022). Increasing input prices impact the whole industry, particularly the Masan group - a
direct competitor of Vinamilk (Ton, 2021). Besides, the disrupted global supply chain leads to rising
commodity prices and freight rates, which also contributes to the decline of the company’s and industry’s
gross profit margin (Trostle, 2010).
Additionally, in 2021, Vinamilk increased its selling prices to partially reduce the impact of the increase
in the price of milk ingredients on the gross profit margin (The Ministry of Industry and Trade, 2021).
The company was able to increase the selling price thanks to its unfailing innovation and food
premiumization efforts in upgrading its product portfolio along with its prestigious brand name in the
Vietnamese market creating trust in its consumers, thereby joining the niché markets with the introduction
of innovative nutritional products and nut milk in the context of high demands caused by rising health
consciousness during COVID-19 ("Vinamilk's Annual Report 2019", 2020).
It is noticeable that Vinamilk’s gross profit margin has been higher than that of the industry. This is
because the initiatives in domestic supply such as raw milk purchased from the farm, sugar, etc., and
orders purchased in large quantities have enabled the company to ensure the source of high-quality raw
materials with reasonable input prices. Therefore, the decrease in Vinamilk's gross profit margin index in
the 5-year period of 2017-2021 is 4.34%, which is substantially lower than the decline of the entire F&B
industry in Vietnam.
It is forecasted that the price of input milk powder will continue to increase because the problems of
supply shortages and the impact of the disruption of the global supply chain have not been completely
resolved (Weersink et al., 2021). Additionally, FAO indicates that markets for animal feed, energy (gas
and electricity, propane used in farms), and labor have all risen in price (Sands & Westcott, 2011). This
directly affects the output price of milk and can hardly be regulated in a short period. Therefore,
Vinamilk’s gross profit margin is expected to continue to decline slightly in the following quarters in
2022. However, in the long-term, this ratio can probably see a positive trend thanks to the fact that the
company’s future projects such as Green Farm and Lao - Jargo are expected to go into operations in 2023
and increase its autonomy in input materials by 4% (Ngoc, 2022).
Simultaneously, the company's net profit margin has been better than the industry’s in general, thanks to
the two strategies of Vinamilk. Firstly, it has reduced promotional costs to offset the high cost of raw milk
prices (Quan, 2022). Secondly, it is strategies of widening scale either in the domestic area or external
market (Appendix 7).
The direct export market and foreign branches both recorded strong and extremely positive net revenue
growth in potential markets such as the Philippines (Ochave, 2021) . In quarter 4 of 2021, the direct export
market recorded a sharp increase of 17.3% in net revenue while foreign branches recorded a sharp
increase of 30% compared to the same quarter of the previous year ("Vinamilk's Annual Report 2021",
2022). Besides, experts forecast that export revenue growth in the next two years will reach 7 and 8.1%
respectively over the same period last year due to the recovery of milk consumption demand in the
Middle Eastern. Therefore, Vinamilk's net revenue in 2 years is forecasted to increase by 3.7% and 4.7%,
respectively (Trang, 2022). Currently, Vinamilk has begun to expand its investments in other fields to
diversify business activities and raise revenue. Specifically, beef production is considered the most
potential segment to boost Vinamilk's double-digit growth from 2023-2024 onwards, with the expected
revenue from its beef project with the Japanese partner to be 2,000 billion VND in 2023 (Tuong, 2022)
(See further in Appendix 8)
Considering predictive aspects, the gross profit margin and net profit margin of Vinamilk will likely still
decrease in the next quarter in 2022 due to the influence of milk supply and demand in the world market,
which is still fluctuating, and the fact that the phenomenon of supply chain disruption is difficult to fully
recover in a short time (The Ministry of Industry and Trade, 2021). However, it is undeniable that there
are some signals showing the potential for the future steps of Vinamilk although the room for growth is
not completely distinct in the future (Anh, 2022).
Generally, the net asset turnover in the company norm decreased by around 0.4 times over the period,
showing the current situation of operating activities going down due to increased working capital cycle in
days and higher fixed asset turnover.
In general, the working capital turnover at the end of the 2017-2021 period doubled compared to the
beginning of the period, which is a sign of a worsening capital management strategy resulting from the
higher inventory turnover in days by around 30%. However, the ratio has always been lower than the
industry average over the period and was significantly differentiated during Covid-19 due to three
following reasons.
Firstly, because of the consumers’ high health consciousness during and after Covid-19, Vinamilk is
likely to sell its products rapidly compared to other beverage manufacturing firms in the industry (Nam,
2020).
Secondly, the strict payment policy creates favorable conditions for expanding the business scale by
newly established investment to insure the effectiveness of assets in the future ("Vinamilk's Annual
Report 2021", 2022). Conversely, the manufacturing industry suffered from the common challenges in
receiving back the revenue from the for-customer incentive packages along with shrinking sales during
the pandemic (Wang et al., 2020).
Finally, Vinamilk has been actively preventing slow-sold inventory thanks to updated technology in
inventory management. Specifically, Vinamilk has been well-known for its ERP system managing the
inventory by QR code, helping the company limit the risks of denaturation, quality loss, shortage, and
maintaining the cost of warehousing cost adequately (Nhu, 2021). Vinamilk has an EOQ model and ERP
system used to identify how the production department could actively plan for manufacturing. In 2021,
Vinamilk stored inventory at a rate lower by 9% compared to 2018, which proves its successful active
prevention of slow-sold inventory in the context of limited logistic activities and raw material upward
trend (The Ministry of Industry and Trade, 2021).
It is predicted that the inventory turnover in days will continuously increase in the near future because of
the policy of stockpiling inventory when the supply of goods is broken and cannot be recovered in time
(Nguyen, 2021). However, working capital in days would decrease when the goods supply chain is
cleared and suppliers can regularly supply goods to Vinamilk. In the far future, with the policy of
expanding domestic suppliers, Vinamilk will have a stable working capital in days.
Generally, Vinamilk’s ratio of fixed assets turnover was similar to that of the industry. The slight
decrease in this ratio from 2017-2019 shows that the company has concentrated on investing in fixed
assets as a respiration for the strategy of expanding the company size (i.e by building and investing in
farms in Lao in 2019), which was expected to generate more product lines in 2022 (Vinamilk, 2021).
Additionally, when Covid-19 occurred, Vinamilk recorded a slight increase in tangible assets thanks to
short-term investments available to use while depreciation increased significantly due to broken
manufacturing ("Vinamilk's Annual Report 2019", 2020). Therefore, fixed assets turnover is expected to
increase in the near future when the previous investments generate revenue faster than the company’s
current investments (See further in Appendix 9).
C. Leverage
Vinamilk's gearings ratio has been at a very low level around 1 and stably remained even during the
Covid-19 period, showing that Vinamilk's capital structure is mainly obtained from owners' equity for
investments and manufacturing activities; thus demonstrating the outstanding financial capacity of the
company ("Vinamilk's Annual Report 2021", 2022). This trend could be maintained in the future because
of the high market value and the high level of reputation on the credit side of the business (Mai, 2022). A
low leverage ratio prevents exchange rate risk and policy risk. This is evaluated as a good strategy when
the dairy industry has reached the threshold of saturation and there is not much room for growth.
Therefore, Vinamilk's growth momentum in the future will be slow and stable, but will still increase
thanks to the expansion and sustainable development strategy.
Figure 3: Link between PEST, SWOT, Dupont Analysis, and Vinamilk’s Performance
VI. Limitations
Under VAS, there will be a decrease in lease assets and financial liabilities compared with IFRS, since the
operating lease is treated as an expense, accounting for approximately 5% of short-term prepaid expenses.
However, the specific amount of underestimation could not be identified due to the differences between
VAS and IFRS in calculating right-of-use assets and lease liabilities, and Vinamilk does not publicize that
information. Due to the underestimated value of total assets and non-current liabilities under VAS,
Vinamilk’s financial ratios such as leverage ratio, ROCE, ROA, ROE, etc are higher than when recorded
under IFRS, leading to an over-valuation of the company’s profitability and efficiency (Appendix 10).
The lease assets and financial liabilities do not represent all the differences between VAS and IFRS, but
still significant when they account for over 4% of non-current assets.
For instance, ROE in 2017 under VAS is 43.05% compared with 36.37% under IFRS. In other words,
Vinamilk’s performance under VAS could be seen as better and more positive than under IFRS because
of the non-recognition of operating leases as assets and liabilities on the balance sheet, which could
potentially mislead investors during their decision-making process. But the differences seem to be
insignificant when considering the trend of the ratios calculated. Under both VAS and IFRS, ROE and
Profitability ratio faced a downward trend in the period 2017-2021, as shown in the chart above.
VII. Conclusions
Vinamilk is healthy and successful compared with its industry, with some concerns over downward trends
in profit margin and net assets turnover. Generally, the firm is under the control of the inside rather than
macro aspects of the market through stable financial capability with a sustainable development strategy in
the long term which is insisted by the leaders. Therefore, the negative impacts of the world market will
not deal a strong blow to Vinamilk in the near future.
The potential for Vinamilk's future steps can be seen in direct export markets and international branches,
both of which experienced tremendous and incredibly good net revenue growth. Notably, in the long
term, Vinamilk continues to seek new growth drivers through beef production.
In conclusion, Vinamilk is likely not to witness any outstanding growth in the near future, but it will still
develop stably in the long term. Investors should consider more because the potential for future
development is not clear.
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IX. Appendices
Appendix 1: As the tension between China and The U.S. becomes severe, China imposes an additional
25 percent of tariff on US-origin dairy products. The restriction has put pressure on China’s dairy
production as the total production cost of fluid milk will rise by 6 percent because of the increase in key
feed ingredients needed to import from the US. With the rising demand for imported dairy products,
China is seeking to import more dairy products from abroad (Inouye, 2022). As a result of effective
efforts by the government, businesses, and farmers, Vietnamese dairy products were officially exported in
2019 for the first time to China, the second-largest dairy consumer in the world (Nguyen, 2020).
Appendix 2: Vietnamese businesses are expected to face headwinds from inflation, tightening monetary
policy, and a growing cost-of-living crisis in many of the country’s export markets. Vu Van Hoa, General
Director of Dutch Technology JSC, an animal feed producer that imports raw materials, said the rise in
global commodity prices and weakening of the Vietnamese dong (VND) against the dollar have sent costs
surging. While supply disruptions may have run their course, local exporters are also suffering from a
slump in global demand as consumers tighten their spending due to high inflation (“Rising inflation poses
a challenge to businesses”, 2022). As a result, Vinamilk’s profitability was reported to be under pressure
due to the inflation of raw material prices given supply chain disruptions ("Vinamilk's Annual Report
2021", 2022). In the short-term, according to the Ministry of Finance (MOF), inflation could be high in
2022 and even last to 2023, which puts pressure on macroeconomic management and may overshadow
the efforts to support people and businesses (Luong, 2022)
Appendix 3: Over a long and solid history of 46 years of establishment, not only Vinamilk has become a
leading enterprise in Vietnam’s dairy industry with a reputable brand image, strong brand recognition,
and high brand value, but it also solidifies its position as a global brand with 57 export markets all over
the world (“Vinamilk’s Development History”, 2021). Particularly, Vinamilk gained a dominant market
share of nearly 50% in liquid milk, yogurt, and condensed milk products in Vietnam in 2019 (Nguyen,
2022), and witnessed an increase in market share of 0.9% in value and a rise of 10.5% in net revenue
from international business by the end of 2021 ("Vinamilk's Annual Report 2021", 2022). Moreover,
according to Kantar Worldpanel report, Vinamilk products are consumed by 99% of households in urban
areas and 90% of households in rural regions in 2021, meaning that at least one Vinamilk product is used
in nine out of ten Vietnamese families (Hong, 2022).
Appendix 4: One of the opportunities for Vinamilk to expand its business activities is the potential
development of dairy demands in Vietnam. According to the Research Report on Vietnam's Dairy
Industry 2022-2031, compared to Singapore (45 liters) and Thailand (35 liters), Vietnam's per-capita milk
consumption in 2021 was only 28 liters, leaving plenty of room for future growth. By 2030, the analyst
projects that Vietnam would have a 40-liter per capita milk consumption. A large, young, and rapidly
increasing population of about 100 million people as well as the expanding middle class and the fast-
growing economy of the country are the main drivers of consumption (Research and Markets, 2022).
Appendix 5: The increasingly intense competition in the dairy market, not only from domestic companies
(i.e. TH True Milk, Nutifood, etc) but also from international brands (i.e. Nestlé, Dutch Lady, Abbott,
etc), poses the largest threat to Vinamilk’s business development. On the other hand, since joining the
WTO, Vietnamese dairy enterprises are under increasing competitive pressure due to the reduction of tax
on imported dairy products according to Vietnam's tariff reduction policy when implementing the
commitments to preferential tariff treatment in common in the ASEAN Free Trade Area (CEPT/AFTA
commitments) and commitments to the World Trade Organization (WTO) (The Ministry of Finance,
2007). Specifically, Vietnam has various dairy product categories whose tax rates are lower than the 2011
WTO commitments from 1% - 3%, encouraging the entrance of more global companies into the
Vietnamese market (The Ministry of Finance, 2019), which in turn would threaten the position and
market share of Vinamilk as the consumers are offered with a wider range of product options.
Appendix 6: Dairy companies in Vietnam have mostly relied on imported milk powder instead of
domestically manufactured fresh milk as domestic fresh milk production can only satisfy 40-50% of
domestic demand, with the remaining portion primarily dependent on imports (Research and Markets,
2022). This has led to another prominent threat, which is the unstable sources and soaring prices of
imported raw materials. Particularly, cost-push inflation causes the uptrend of raw milk prices to continue
to prevail in 2022 and the first half of 2023. This puts pressure on the gross profit margin of dairy
companies in Vietnam towards the end of the year when raw milk accounts for the largest proportion of
total production materials of dairy manufacturers with over 60% and a storage time of less than 1 year.
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine are also increasing energy prices as well as the need for food
reserves in Europe, causing feed prices to continue to rise. In addition, global beef farms, especially in
Europe and Australia, are raising more cows for meat instead of milk, leading to a decrease in the number
of dairy herds. Also, the announcement of the Chinese government on the health benefits of consuming
dairy products against the harmful effects of the COVID-19 pandemic has supported the continued
growth of milk consumption in China. All of these events have contributed to the creation of a global
wave of scarce supplies and surging prices of raw milk, impending Vinamilk’s business performance and
profitability as a dairy (Anh, 2022).
A. Financial Ratios
Ratio
Financial Ratios Formula
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
ROE Profit after Tax/Equity
Company Vinamilk 43.05% 38.85% 35.50% 33.39% 29.66%
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 30.39% 28.80% 24.60% 21.78% 23.25%
Gearing Capital Employed/Equity
Company Vinamilk 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.01
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 0.95 0.73 0.75 1.29 1.16
B. Profitability
Ratio
Profitability Formula
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
ROCE Profit after Tax/Capital Employed
Company Vinamilk 42.00% 38.19% 34.88% 32.83% 29.32%
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 19.33% 17.30% 2.65% 4.57% -7.08%
Net Profit Margin Profit after Tax/Net Sales
Company Vinamilk 20.14% 19.42% 18.74% 18.84% 17.45%
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 15.90% 15.12% 2.48% 4.28% -7.13%
Gross Profit Margin Gross Profit/Net Sales
Company Vinamilk 47.48% 46.82% 47.18% 46.40% 43.14%
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 38.94% 37.80% 35.83% 32.61% 28.35%
Net Assets
Net Sales/Capital Employed
Turnover (times)
Company Vinamilk 2.09 1.97 1.86 1.74 1.68
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 1.22 1.14 1.07 1.07 0.99
Management
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Accounts Receivable
Net Sales/Accounts Receivable
Turnover (times)
Company Vinamilk 11.12 11.33 12.51 11.50 10.46
Inventory Turnover
COGS/Inventory
(times)
Company Vinamilk 6.67 5.06 5.97 6.52 5.11
Accounts Payable
COGS/Accounts Payable
Turnover (times)
Company Vinamilk 6.76 7.00 8.15 9.99 8.22
Working Capital Ratio
Formula
Management 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Accounts Receivable
365/(Net Sales/Accounts Receivable)
Turnover (days)
Company Vinamilk 32.84 32.22 29.19 31.75 34.88
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 25.35 30.83 255.10 229.47 546.60
Inventory Turnover
365/(COGS/Inventory)
(days)
Company Vinamilk 54.75 72.16 61.14 56.01 71.37
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 65.34 70.89 88.14 72.76 81.09
Accounts Payable
365/(COGS/Accounts Payable)
Turnover (days)
Company Vinamilk 54.00 52.12 44.77 36.53 44.40
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 41.37 43.51 49.99 39.88 43.32
Working Capital Cycle
AR Turnover in days + Inventory Turnover in days - AP Turnover in days
(days)
Company Vinamilk 33.59 52.26 45.56 51.23 61.85
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 49.33 58.21 293.26 262.34 584.37
Fixed Assets Turnover
Net Sales/ Fixed Assets
(times)
Company Vinamilk 4.81 3.93 3.78 4.30 4.79
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B)
Table 5: Working capital management ratios of Vinamilk and the F&B industry
D. Liquidity
Ratio
Liquidity Formula
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Liquidity Ratio Current Assets/Current Liabilities
Company Vinamilk 1.99 1.93 1.71 2.09 2.12
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 1.60 1.44 1.43 1.61 1.82
Quick Ratio (Current Assets - Inventory)/Current Liabilities
Company Vinamilk 1.60 1.41 1.37 1.74 1.72
Industry Food & Beverage (F&B) 1.24 1.01 1.08 1.26 1.42
Appendix 8: Vinamilk has started to expand investment in other fields to diversify business activities.
Specifically, the beef business project cooperates with Sojitz - one of Japan's large and fast-growing
multi-industry corporations. In particular, the first phase of the project is expected to come into operation
in 2023 with a capacity of about 30,000 beef cows annually, and an estimated first-year revenue of 2,000
billion VND. According to the assessment, the beef segment will help Vinamilk make good use of its
existing advantages and bring new sources of revenue to the business. This is still considered a potential
segment when it has a stable growth rate but is still quite fragmented and has no market leader. Beef
production is considered the most potential segment to boost Vinamilk's double-digit growth from 2023-
2024 onwards (Tuong, 2022).
Appendix 9:
At the end of November 2021, Vinamilk and its subsidiary Vilico signed a memorandum of
understanding on investment cooperation worth 500 million USD with Sojitz Corporation (Japan). Vilico
and Sojitz have conducted trial farming and selling of beef products in Vietnam and initially built up a
customer network. At the end of December 2021, Vinamilk received the decision to approve the
investment policy of a dairy plant in Hung Yen province with an expected capacity of 400 million liters
per year, this is Vinamilk's largest dairy factory in the Northern region. Not only in Vietnam but Vinamilk
also owns dairy factories in the US (100% stake in Driftwood factory), Cambodia (100% stake in Angkor
Milk factory), New Zealand (22.8% stake in factory), and 1 subsidiary in Poland. In addition, Vinamilk
also invests in developing organic farms in Laos and continues to seek cooperation opportunities in other
countries in the region.