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Semi-annual | Manila | 02 February 2023

Opportune time to pump prime


Philippines sustains manufacturing luster as
sunshine industries, new trade blocs emerge

Insights & recommendations


The Philippines is receiving renewed interest from Japanese manufacturers. The Philippine
government has also received investment commitments from other major trade partners and
these pledges should receive a boost from trade deals likely to be ratified by the Philippine
senate. Over the past 12 months, we also saw major investments being funneled into food
manufacturing, e-commerce, and logistics segments. The development of new industrial parks
and facilities in central and southern Luzon should provide potential locators with more options
and opportunities to haggle for more attractive land leasehold and warehouse lease rates.
Colliers recommends that developers to explore sunrise industries such as electric vehicles (EVs),
a new priority of the Philippine government. We also encourage developers to closely track the
progress of the Philippine Development Plan which covers the development of more ecozones.
2023–27
H2 2022 Full Year 2023 Annual Avg
In 2022, industrial demand was led by FMCG,
3PLs, e-commerce, and agro-industrial
locators. We expect these segments to 122 ha 170 ha 60 ha
Demand
dominate take-up in the next 12 months.
Colliers sees the delivery of 132 ha (326 ac)
of new industrial supply in CALABA in 2023
with the completion of three industrial parks 63 ha 132 ha 26 ha
Supply
in Batangas and Laguna.
Annual Avg
HOH/ YOY/ Growth 2023–27/
End H2 End 2023 End 2027
Colliers recorded a marginal increase in land
leasehold rates in H2 2022 as e-commerce
+4.3% +1.5% +1.3%
and logistics firms took up space. In 2023,
we expect continued rise in warehouse lease
Rent PHP85 PHP86 PHP91
rates with the potential expansion of semi-
conductor firms.
Colliers expects vacancy to decline in 2023
as manufacturing investments materialize
-1.5pp -1.0pp -1.0pp
and take-up space. Among the firms likely to
occupy space in the next 12 months include
Vacancy 5.7% 4.7% 4.7%
chemicals and automotive manufacturers, as
well as transport and logistics companies.
Source: Colliers
Note: USD1 to PHP55 as of the end of Q4 2022. 1 sq m = 10.76 sq ft; 1 ha = 2.5ac; pp = percentage point. Data in the table above represents land
leasehold rates. FMCG = Fast-Moving Consumer Goods. 3PLs = Third-Party Logistics. CALABA = The Cavite, Laguna, Batangas corridor.
1
“The Philippine government is working on reviving the manufacturing as one of the major pillars of
the country’s economic revival. No less than President Marcos has ordered the development of the
country’s manufacturing abilities, and this should benefit the industrial sector in general. Over the
near to medium term, the sector’s growth is likely to be supported by investments from new trade
deals and the emergence of new industries including the electric vehicle (EV) industry. In our view,
Investment Promotion Agencies (IPAs) need to further improve the country’s manufacturing
competitiveness and business environment to entice more industrial locators.”
Joey Roi Bondoc
Director, Research

Recommendations PEZA has also identified at least 13 new types of


ecozones, including e-commerce zones, biotech
Diversification is key centers, defense industrial complexes, halal and
food production hubs, and jewelry parks, among
Property firms should consider developing
others. Colliers believes that developers can
industrial parks and facilities that will cater to a
maximize opportunities by actively participating
wide gamut of locators. Colliers believes that this
in overseas investment promotion missions
direction is important if developers want to
mounted by IPAs such as PEZA. These events
capture industrial locators from various
should urge developers to highlight the
industries including fast-moving consumer goods
Philippines’ strength as a manufacturing hub as
(FMCG), automobile parts, electronics, and
well as the advantage of locating in economic
logistics. These segments recently captured big-
zones.
ticket investments from locators that took up
Upcoming industrial supply, 2023-2024
industrial spaces in central and southern Luzon. North-Central Luzon
Upcoming locators 243 ha
Upcoming Industrial
Supply (2023-2024)
Metro
Manila
CALABA
(Cavite-Laguna-Batangas)
Central CALABA Upcoming Industrial
132 ha
Luzon Supply (2023-2024)
Pampanga Source: Colliers
Bulacan
Refocus on electronics and key trade
Manila partners
Data from the Philippine Statistics Authority
Cavite Laguna (PSA) show that in 9M 2022, electronic products
accounted for about 62% of total Philippine
Batangas
exports. Colliers believes that this sub-segment is
Source: Colliers likely to influence industrial space absorption
especially in the CALABA region in 2023.
The development of more economic zones is
part of the Philippine Development Plan (PDP) The Joint Foreign Chambers of the Philippines
2023 to 2028 crafted by the Marcos (JFC) is targeting to generate USD128 billion
Administration. In our view, this supports the (PHP7.0 trillion) of foreign direct investment (FDI)
government’s push for industrialization which in from 2021 to 2030. According to JFC, expected
turn should benefit industrial parks and facilities investments will be driven by the manufacturing
across the country.1 Recently, the Philippine and energy sectors. Manufacturing investments
Economic Zone Authority (PEZA) approved the will likely come from the expansion of
creation of 29 new economic zones in the semiconductors and electronics firms.2
country, most of which are industrial estates.
The Congress is currently looking at improving
tax incentives under the CREATE (Corporate
1Peza cheers inclusion of ecozones in PH development plan 2023- 2JFC eyes $128B in FDI by 2030
2028 2
Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises) Law manufacturing accounted for 27% of the total
to boost the competitiveness of the country’s PHP68.3 billion (USD1.2 billion) approved foreign
semiconductor manufacturing industry. In 2021, investments in 9M 2022. Colliers believes that
the electronics, electrical products, and these investments should benefit industrial
semiconductors manufacturing segments parks in CALABA and Central Luzon once they
received PHP364.3 billion (USD6.6 billion) in tax materialize and start taking up industrial space.
incentives.3 According to PSA, close to 80% of the approved
investments were funneled into the
PEZA also disclosed that Japanese investors
CALABARZON+ and Central Luzon regions in 9M
remain keen on investing in the country. As of
2022.
8M 2022 Japan, a key trade partner of the
Philippines, accounted for 27% of total PEZA- The Regional Comprehensive Economic
approved investments. PEZA expects the Partnership (RCEP) is touted as the world’s
expansion of Japanese locators particularly in the largest trade and investment agreement. To
chemicals, automotive, computer and optical capture benefits especially for the country’s
products, and transport and logistics industries.4 manufacturing and exports sector, the Trade
department is hoping that the Philippine senate
CALABA still preferred by will ratify the trade agreement this year.8
manufacturing firms The trade agreement aims to raise Philippine
exports through the reduction of tariff rates and
In H2 2022, we recorded vacancy in the CALABA
other trade costs. RCEP covers about 50.4% of
corridor dropping to 5.7% from 7.2% in H1 2022.
the country’s export market, and 58% of total
Take-up was mainly driven by e-commerce and
FDIs.9 The country’s electronics, automotive, and
logistics firms, as well as a home improvement
industrial equipment sectors are also likely to
retailer. Colliers believes that industrial parks in
benefit from stronger ties with key
CALABA continue to be preferred by expanding
manufacturing markets such as Japan, China and
manufacturing firms in the country. Indonesian
South Korea.
ice cream manufacturer AICE recently disclosed
that it will open a plant in LIMA Estate in Warehouse and land lease
Batangas, its largest in the ASEAN region.5
Japan’s Kurabe International is also building a rates rebound
manufacturing facility inside LIMA Estate which
In H2 2022, Colliers recorded warehouse lease
will break ground in 2024.6 Meanwhile, consumer
rates growing by 4.0% HOH, after dropping by
goods manufacturer Unilever will launch its new
3.8% in H1 2022. Meanwhile, land leasehold
manufacturing facility in Cavite in Q1 2023.7
rates increased by 4.3% in H2 2022. Colliers
Vacancy in CALABA
expects land leasehold and warehouse lease
Region IV-A H1 2022 H2 2022
Cavite 8.0% 6.5%
rates to increase by 1.5% and 5.8%, respectively,
Laguna 5.8% 4.3% in 2023, supported by robust demand from
Batangas 7.8% 6.3% existing as well as new FMCG, 3PLs and e-
Average 7.2% 5.7% commerce firms in central and southern Luzon.
Source: Colliers
We are seeing rising interest from EV
IHS Markit reported that the Purchasing
manufacturers looking for industrial space.
Managers’ Index (PMI) of the Philippines reached
During his trip to China in early January 2023,
53.1 in December 2022. This is the 11th
President Marcos invited manufacturers of EVs
consecutive month the headline index was above
to invest in the Philippines.10 The demand for EVs
the 50-neutral mark, signifying an expansion in
should be supported by President Marcos’
manufacturing activities. In our view, the
approval to remove tariffs on EVs and their
improving manufacturing competitiveness
parts.11
should result in the inflow of more foreign
+CALABARZON – Cavite-Laguna-Batangas-Rizal-Quezon; 8DTI pins
investments. Data from PSA show that hopes on Senate for RCEP approval in early 2023; 9NEDA pushed
3SEIPIsees slower growth this year; 4PEZA sees Japanese locators for RCEP agreement; 10‘Concessions’ for China EV makers eyed;
continuing to drive ecozone growth; 5Indonesia’s ice cream maker 11Philippines to cut tariffs on electric vehicles, parts
builds its biggest plant in PH; 6Japan’s Kurabe plans P2-B plant in 3
LIMA Estate — AIC; 7Unilever, EU firms pledge billion-peso
investments to PBBM
For further information, please contact:

Joey Bondoc Richard Raymundo


Director | Research | Philippines Managing Director | Philippines
+63 2 8858 9057 +63 2 8858 9028
Joey.Bondoc@colliers.com Richard.Raymundo@colliers.com

Martin Aguila Brent Respicio


Senior Analyst | Research | Research Analyst | Research |
Philippines Philippines
+63 2 8863 4116 +63 2 8863 4197
Martin.Aguila@colliers.com Brent.Respicio@colliers.com

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