DAILY SITUATION REPORT BALOCHISTAN

COVID-19 PROVINCE
z

Updates from Operations Cell, Health Department, Govt. of Balochistan Date: 19-05-2020 Updates till: 8:00 PM
Graph 01. COVID-19 cases details till 19 May 2020, Balochsitan
60000
47721
50000

40000

30000
19381 19003
20000 16103

10000 2885 565

65 608 2239 38 336
0

Graph 02. Provincial wise positive cases of COVID-19, 19 May 2020

Graph 03. Quarantine population Till 19 May 2020 - Balochsitan
50000 45061 600
45000
40000 483
500
35000 408
30000
25000 400
17947 15976
20000 12489
15000 300 259
6554 225
10000 2885
5000 1034 550 115 969 200
0
100 26 47
0 0 4 15 14 9
0

BALOCHISTAN HIGHLIGHTS
• In last 24 hours 65 confirmed cases reported from 06 districts of Due to increasing local transmission and
Balochistan and total risen to 2885 including overall 38 deaths less following disease prevention
(CFR 1.2). The active cases are 2239. protocols the mortality (Deaths) are
• Local transmission is increasing quickly, out of 2885, 94% (2,729) cases increasing. The total deaths are 38.
are from local community, Quetta (2,332) followed by Killabdullah (110) Majority of COVID-19 patients expired
Pishin (101), and Killasaifullah (33). (Detail Table 01, Graph 05). due to ARDS/COPD which shows typical
• In last 24 hours 84 asymptomatic home isolated COVID-19 Positive pattern of disease.
persons recovered/released after completion of 28 days isolation with Highest numbers of deaths from Quetta
clear guidelines to follow all SOPs. The total recovered are 608. (31) followed by Pishin (04) , Lasbela (2)
• The district RRT with the support of District Health Office Quetta and Sibi (01).
screened 1050 persons for COVID-19 and took 329 lab sample of Death Category with positive COVID-
suspected cases for further lab diagnosis. 19
04 Renal Failure
• One day training of Master Trainers on COVID19 IPC Protocols organized
06 Hypertension/Diabetes
by PPHI Balochistan with technical support of PDSRU/FELTP and 30
participants were participated. 27 ARDS/COPD
01 Carcinoma
 COVID-19 LABORATORY STATUS OF BALOCHISTAN PROVINCE
Presently, (04) lab facilities are existing in the whole province at Fatima Jinnah General & Chest Hospital and Sheikh Khalifa Bin Zaid Hospital
while one specific lab arrangements done in BMC Hospital solely for the tests of Doctors and medical related staff. The graph 04 shows the
daily basis lab capacity improvement. The data is only from PHL-Quetta. BMCH and SKBZ not included.

Daily Lab Test Conducted at Fatima Jinnah Lab from 9 april - 19 May 2020 - Quetta (n=14996)
1000
863
900 793 831
800
700 615 636
559 585 565
600 515
470 476 457
500 409 428 417
385 374 370 386 358
400 321 329 316 317 302313 311
284 273 271
300 199 230 236 224
189 165
200 118 94 106 88 128
100
0
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10/04/2020
11/04/2020
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10/05/2020
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13/05/2020
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15/05/2020
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17/05/2020
18/05/2020
19/05/2020
LOCAL TRANSMISSION OF COVID-19 CASES BY DISTRICT WISE

Districts with Local transmission Graph 5. Local transmission %ge district wise - Balochsitan, 19 May 2020
Districts % Numbers
90.0
1 Quetta 85.5 2332 85.5
2 Chagai 0.7 18
80.0
3 Lorlai 0.3 9
4 Killabdullah 4.0 110
5 Pishin 3.7 101 70.0

6 Mastung 1.0 27
7 Sibi 0.5 13 60.0
8 Jafarabad 1.1 31
9 Khuzdar 0.2 6 50.0
10 Harnai 0.1 2
11 Kharan 0.1 4 40.0
12 Ziarat 0.3 8
13 Nushki 0.1 4
30.0
14 Panjgoor 0.1 4
15 Lasbela 0.5 14
20.0
16 Killasiafullah 1.2 33
17 Zhob 0.1 2
18 Dera Bugti 0.1 3 10.0
4.0 3.7
19 Gwadar 0.1 3 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
20 Kachu 0.0 1 0.0
21 Musakhail 0.1 2
22 Kohlu 0.0 1
23 Washuk 0.0 1
 SURVEILLANCE
Provincial RRT screened 1046 persons for COVID-19 And took 352 samples of Suspected cases. The team attended Stress management
training session for RRTs supported by IDSP. P.RRT analysed and compiled the recovered and release positive cases after completion of 28
days isolation period, today total 84 positive cases released.

As of today, following number of cases were reported by PEI staff PPHI-B/MERC Progress
through ODK. Awareness sessions (Male & Female) 46.
1. ILI = 943 Peoples aware on COVID-19 in Communities (Male & Female) 441.
2. SARI = 19
People Scanned 2535 Screening Activities through PPHI-B 20.
3. Suspected COVID Cases Reported by PEI Staff = 11158
No of Suspect cases identified/ referred 18.
4. Suspected COVID Cases Investigated by PEI Staff = 967
5. Suspected COVID Cases became Positive = 137 MERC Collected 85 samples of Corona suspects.

LIMITED EPIDEMIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF 2885 CASES TILL 20th MAY 2020

Graph 06: DOUBLING OF CASES TO 500: The graph shows a smooth pattern of reporting of 500 cases within first 42 days evident to the
newly entry of virus and strict lockdown, restricting people inside home, however a clear picture of rise in coronavirus cases can be seen
through first 500 cases reported over completion of early 42 days which turned twice to 1000 cases within a week. This pattern continued
rising to next 500 cases in the next 7 days cumulating 1500 cases within 2 weeks and this pattern clearly explain increasing of cases due to
very fast local transmission. The recent addition of 500 cases after total 2000 cases was seen within 5 days alone taking these number to
ultimate hype. The hype in reporting of the sudden cases was in result of relaxation in the lockdown, letting masses to move out, extrovertly
visiting shopping places and un-necessary outdoor visit most probably.

Graph 6. Doubling of casess within days used 500, Balochistan Province till 17 May 2020
3000

2500
2500
2000
2000
1500
1500
1000
1000
500
500
0
42 7 7 5 5
Number of Days

Graph 7. Daily wise COVID-19 Positive cases trend till 18 May 2020
200
188

150
135 133 135
123 123 127
118
100 99 103
92
89 89 90
74 77 77 76
68 72 68
50 42 44 46 46 46
41
28 30 30 32
27 24
22 20 18 22
14 13 10 10 14
5 1 1 5 8 5 3 6 7 3 4 6 1 1 8 2 4
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 4 3 0 1 5 4
3/30

5/11
3/8
3/10
3/12
3/14
3/16
3/18
3/20
3/22
3/24
3/26
3/28

4/1
4/3
4/5
4/7
4/9
4/11
4/13
4/15
4/17
4/19
4/21
4/23
4/25
4/27
4/29
5/1
5/3
5/5
5/7
5/9

5/13
5/15
5/17

-50
Graph 07. The line shows that the trend isn't as clearly upward in the first few days, when it dips up and down, but becomes obvious in
the days since. The trend line is clearly modified that positive cases are increasing slowly till 12 May. The positive cases decreased in 19
April and then significantly increase in 25 May. The most cases were reported 26 April to 10 March, after which we see a trend line is
fluctuating upward way. So, owing the trend line the people will become effect mostly on increasing way.

Graph 08. The trend line represent data has changed over time. The positive cases are downward in the trend line till 15 weeks. The
duration of 15 weeks the high-level cases was reported 90. The start of 15, positive cases are upward trend smoothly till 20 weeks of May.
So, the last week cases were reported 717 which shows trend line are increasing without any fluctuation. Due to trend line, positive become
upward in coming week.

Graph 8. Weekly wise COVID-19 Positive cases trend till 19 May 2020

800
700 725 717
600
500
459
400
350
300
200 191
100 90
46 50 33
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
0 5 10 15 20 25

Graph 09. In the trend line, we observed a smooth trend/zero cases in the number of primary positive cases of COVID-19 over Jan to Feb,
after which we see the number of primary positive cases are being increased slowly in March. From March till May the number of positive
cases increase every month however the cases increase remained large. The upward extend trend line shown that the high rate of positive
reported cases are 1745 in the month of May.

Graph 9. Weekly wise COVID-19 Positive cases trend till 19 May 2020

2000
1745
1500

1000 979

500
161
0 0 0
January Febuary March April May
-500

Mean Age 34 Years

Median Age 33Years

Min age 1 Months

Max Age 94 Years

Age group (Y) Number of Cases Percentage Population of that age Attack rate/100000
Group population
<1-14 310 10.8 6715115 4.61
15-29 772 26.8 2832969 27.25
30-44 932 32.3 2462510 37.84
45-59 507 17.6 884338 57.33
60 + 217 7.5 295446 73.45
Unknown 145 5.0
Grand Total 2883 100.0 13190378 200.49

District Number of Cases Percentage Population Attack Rate/100000 population

Kohlu 1 0.04% 229041 0.436603054
Killa Saif Ullah 33 1.20% 366309 9.008787663
Lasbela 17 0.62% 613651 2.770304293
Ziarat 7 0.26% 171234 4.087973183
Dera budhti 3 0.11% 312603 0.959683688
Panjgoor 4 0.15% 338079 1.183155416
Gwadar 3 0.11% 171234 1.751988507
Sibi 17 0.62% 144864 11.73514469
Harnai 2 0.07% 103666 1.929272857
Kachhi 2 0.07% 253275 0.789655513
Kharan 5 0.18% 166854 2.996631786
Khuzdar 6 0.22% 857187 0.699963952
Mastung 32 1.17% 284723 11.23899369
Musakhaiil 3 0.11% 178464 1.681011296
Sohbatpur 1 0.04% 214282 0.466674756
Zhob 4 0.15% 331827 1.205447417
Pishin 109 3.98% 786705 13.85525705
Killa Abdullah 113 4.13% 809499 13.95925134
Chaghi 11 0.40% 241498 4.554903146
Nushki 6 0.22% 191050 3.140539126
Loralai 8 0.29% 424636 1.883966503
Jaffarabad 32 1.17% 549028 5.828482336
Quetta 2320 84.70% 2431666 95.40783973
Grand Total 2739 100.00% 10171375 191.571531
PICTORIAL VIEW

3 days Stress management workshop at IDSP's University of Community Development at Quetta 16, 18, 19th May 2020

One day training of Master Trainers on COVID19 IPC Protocols organized by PPHI Balochistan with technical support of
PDSRU/FELTP and 30 participants were participated.
CONTACT:

DR. SALEEM ABRO

Director General Health Services Provincial Health Directorate, Quetta – Balochistan
Tel: +92-81-9211356, Email: dghs_balochistan@yahoo.com
Dr. NAQEEBULLAH NIAZI Dr. SARMAD KHAN
COVID-19 Operational Cell COVID-19 Operational Cell
Tel: +92-300-3869070 Tel: +92-321-2729110
Dr. EHSAN LARIK Dr. DAWOOD RIAZ
PDSRU – Technical Support Officer NPO Public Health Surveillance/ World Health Organization
Mob # 0332-7977162 +92 320 7804297 / +92 320 780429 / riazd@who.int / drdawoodriaz@gmail.com
Dr. SAMI TAREEN
Rapid Response Team lead, COVID-19 Operational Cell.
+92 081- 2822762

Control Room Health Dept Govt. of Balochistan operational 24/7 for any kind of information &
coordination regarding COVID-19 activities in Balochistan 081-9202080 / 111-400-400.