Day Inventory Demand Completed jobs lead time week

1 596 4 3 0.2 Week 1 1

2 595 1 2 0.26 Week 2 2
3 591 4 2 0.2 Week 3 3
4 589 2 3 0.21 Week 4 4
5 587 2 3 0.2 Week 5 5
6 580 7 4 0.2 Week 6 6
7 577 3 4 0.32 Week 7 7
8 576 1 3 0.27 Week 8 8
9 571 5 2 0.2 Week 9 9
10 568 3 5 0.32 Week 10 10
11 563 5 4 0.21 Week 11 11
12 559 4 5 0.32 Week 12 12
13 557 2 2 0.2 Week 13 13
14 555 2 3 0.2 Week 14 14
15 549 6 5 0.32 Week 15 15
16 545 4 5 0.28 Week 16 16
17 542 3 3 0.26 Week 17 17
18 538 4 4 0.22 Week 18 18
19 532 6 6 0.22 Week 19 19
20 528 4 3 0.23 Week 20 20
21 522 6 4 0.24 Week 21 21
22 516 6 7 0.52 Week 22 22
23 506 10 6 0.39 Week 23 23
24 501 5 7 0.65 Week 24 24
25 498 3 7 0.65 Week 25 25
26 491 7 4 0.27 Week 26 26
27 490 1 4 0.41 Week 27 27
28 481 9 6 0.34 Week 28 28
29 475 6 7 0.42 Week 29 29
30 467 8 7 0.43 Week 30 30
31 466 1 3 0.31 Week 31 31
32 463 3 4 0.21 Week 32 32
33 456 7 5 0.26 Week 33 33
34 444 12 7 0.51 Week 34 34
35 438 6 7 1.05 Week 35 35
36 435 3 7 0.76 Week 36 36
37 430 5 4 0.24 Week 37 37
38 422 8 7 0.3 Week 38 38
39 416 6 7 0.54 Week 39 39
40 398 18 7 0.56 Week 40 40
41 386 12 7 0.93 Week 41 41
42 379 7 7 1.62 Week 42 42
43 374 5 7 2.08 Week 43 43
44 366 8 7 2.59 Week 44 44
45 363 3 7 2.76 Week 45 45
46 354 9 7 2.78 Week 46 46
47 951 3 7 2.5 Week 47 47
48 939 12 7 1.85 Week 48 48
49 932 7 7 1.76 Week 49 49
50 926 6 8 1.9 Week 50 50
51 912 14 7 2.19 Week 51 51
52 900 12 7 2.33 Week 52 52
53 894 6 7 2.35 Week 53 53
54 885 9 7 2.68 Week 54 54
55 876 9 7 3.27 Week 55 55
56 867 9 7 3.62 Week 56 56
57 857 10 7 3.76 Week 57 57
58 844 13 7 3.77 Week 58 58
59 831 13 7 3.85 Week 59 59
60 821 10 7 4.26 60
61 812 9 7 4.56 61
62 803 9 7 4.91 62
63 788 15 7 5.12 63
64 778 10 7 5.72 64
65 763 15 7 6.1 65
66 755 8 7 6.53 66
67 744 11 8 6.95 67
68 734 10 7 7.31 68
69 729 5 7 7.31 69
70 718 11 7 7.63 70
71 702 16 7 8.05 71
72 685 17 7 8.53 72
73 676 9 7 8.88 73
74 669 7 7 9.37 74
75 656 13 7 9.94 75
76 649 7 7 10.35 76
77 640 9 7 10.45 77
78 629 11 7 10.85 78
79 616 13 7 11.18 79
80 596 20 7 11.21 80
81 585 11 7 11.26 81
82 566 19 7 11.64 82
83 544 22 7 11.93 83
84 530 14 8 12.6 84
85 520 10 7 13.27 85
 86 502 18 7 13.98 86
87 486 16 7 14.38 87
88 468 18 7 14.59 88
89 452 16 7 14.71 89
90 437 15 7 15.13 90
91 419 18 7 15.42 91
92 399 20 7 15.52 92
93 380 19 7 15.62 93
94 361 19 7 16.07 94
95 337 24 7 16.32 95
96 319 18 7 16.82 96
97 304 15 7 17.3 97
98 285 19 7 17.91 98
99 270 15 7 18.53 99
100 253 17 7 19.1 100
101 237 16 8 19.54 101
102 218 19 7 19.95 102
103 797 17 7 20.67 103
104 774 27 7 21.42 104
105 752 22 7 22.17 105
106 727 25 7 22.79 106
107 708 19 7 23.36 107
108 685 23 7 23.92 108
109 667 18 7 24.4 109
110 651 16 7 24.74 110
111 633 18 7 25.23 111
112 614 19 7 25.77 112
113 586 28 7 26.34 113
114 568 18 7 26.86 114
115 537 31 7 27.44 115
116 515 22 7 28.04 116
117 489 26 7 28.76 117
118 462 27 8 29.28 118
119 443 19 7 29.74 119
120 422 21 7 30.47 120
121 399 23 7 31.19 121
122 380 19 7 31.57 122
123 356 24 7 32.02 123
124 332 24 7 32.7 124
125 308 24 7 33.17 125
126 280 28 7 33.96 126
127 252 28 7 34.69 127
128 233 19 7 35.19 128
129 213 20 7 35.84 129
130 193 20 7 36.47 130
131 163 30 7 36.95 131
132 729 23 7 37.59 132
133 718 22 11 38.47 133
134 685 33 14 38.82 134
135 662 23 14 39.12 135
136 640 22 15 39.3 136
137 618 22 14 39.41 137
138 595 23 15 39.69 138
139 565 30 14 39.83 139
140 539 26 14 39.87 140
141 512 27 14 40.06 141
142 490 22 14 40.26 142
143 460 30 14 40.45 143
144 430 30 14 40.59 144
145 392 38 14 41.02 145
146 368 24 14 41.52 146
147 354 14 14 41.8 147
148 340 14 14 42.27 148
149 326 14 14 42.75 149
150 312 14 14 42.94 150
151 298 14 14 43.33 151
152 284 14 14 43.72 152
153 270 14 15 44.13 153
154 256 14 14 44.34 154
155 241 15 15 44.34 155
156 226 15 14 44.65 156
157 809 13 14 44.88 157
158 798 15 14 45.25 158
159 785 13 14 45.8 159
160 771 14 14 46.1 160
161 756 15 14 46.41 161
162 742 14 14 46.9 162
163 728 14 14 47.42 163
164 714 14 14 47.74 164
165 702 12 14 48.24 165
166 686 16 14 48.67 166
167 672 14 14 49.02 167
168 658 14 14 49.56 168
169 644 14 14 49.88 169
170 630 14 15 50.05 170
171 616 14 14 50.48 171
172 601 15 15 50.9 172
173 587 14 14 51.18 173
174 574 13 14 51.5 174
175 559 15 14 51.87 175
176 540 19 19 52.3 176
177 520 20 22 52.3 177
178 497 23 21 52.38 178
179 477 20 21 52.65 179
180 457 20 21 52.97 180
181 434 23 21 53.08 181
182 413 21 21 52.94 182
183 391 22 21 52.86 183
184 371 20 21 52.99 184
185 350 21 21 53.26 185
186 328 22 21 53.36 186
187 307 21 22 53.51 187
188 285 22 21 53.71 188
189 265 20 21 54.02 189
190 243 22 21 54.2 190
191 223 20 21 54.13 191
192 201 22 22 54.26 192
193 180 21 21 54.25 193
194 755 22 22 54.59 194
195 736 22 21 54.86 195
196 717 19 21 54.99 196
197 695 22 21 55.07 197
198 673 22 21 55.2 198
199 652 21 21 55.55 199
200 632 20 21 55.94 200
201 612 20 21 56.2 201
202 589 23 21 56.62 202
203 568 21 21 57.01 203
204 547 21 22 56.66 204
205 526 21 21 56.17 205
206 505 21 21 55.68 206
207 483 22 21 55.18 207
208 462 21 21 54.69 208
209 441 21 22 54.18 209
210 420 21 21 53.67 210
211 399 21 22 53.16 211
212 376 23 21 52.65 212
213 357 19 21 52.16 213
214 342 15 21 51.67 214
215 342 0 21 51.17 215
216 342 0 21 50.67 216
217 342 0 21 50.17 217
218 342 0 21 49.68 218
219 342 0 21 49.18 219
220 342 0 21 48.69 220
221 342 0 22 48.19 221
222 942 0 21 47.66 222
223 942 0 21 47.26 223
224 18
225 13
226 0
227 0
228 0
229 0
230 0
231 0
232 0
233 0
234 0
235 0
236 0
237 0
238 0
239 0
240 0
241 27
242 54
243 46
244 56
245 50
246 58
247 49
248 52
249 46
250 35
251 54
252 46
253 41
254 46
255 49
256 33
257 46
258 64
259 56
260 48
261 41
262 44
263 68
264 44
265 51
266 49
267 42
268 59
269 59
270 53
271 41
272 51
273 49
274 42
275 55
276 47
277 67
278 55
279 49
280 56
281 48
282 42
283 47
284 46
285 47
286 46
287 48
288 57
289 37
290 55
291 46
292 51
293 45
294 52
295 52
296 46
297 56
298 44
299 50
300 49
301 55
302 32
303 47
304 50
305 67
Weekly Inventory Weekly Demand Comple jobs
4115 23 21 #VALUE! Average Weekly demand
3949 22 24
3756 33 30 Supply lead time
3483 41 41
3209 43 40 ordering cost
2866 59 46
4279 47 49 EOQ
6260 65 50
5756 79 49 Reorder point
5221 70 50
4677 78 49
4066 110 50
3284 111 49
2385 134 49
3301 133 50
4685 138 49
3600 171 50
2477 163 49
2501 162 53
4304 179 100
3006 185 98
2086 98 99
4386 100 99
4902 98 98 #N/A #N/A
4211 99 100 #N/A #N/A
3338 146 146 #N/A #N/A
2297 148 148 #N/A #N/A
3055 148 149 #N/A #N/A
4421 149 147 #N/A #N/A
3384 148 149 #N/A #N/A
2500 78 148 126.75 #N/A
3252 18 127 116.75 #N/A
13 0 106 #N/A
0 0 87.75 #N/A
233 0 98.375 #N/A
340 0 122.375 #N/A
335 0 145.625 #N/A
345 0 170.25 141.581324631376
354 0 204.75 150.108782169382
371 0 248.875 152.243277766212
324 0 287.75 149.201703869292
343 0 330.625 146.006106732304
352 0 345.5 138.049187339151
196 0 327.5 123.689244871472
0 0 285.625 144.961626118346
0 0 242.5 156.676287243396
0 226.5714 167.868520582292
0 202.5 177.316967601418
0 178.2 187.740390398183
0 137 193.838687079585
0 65.33333 195.196595549955
0 0 189.578953642784
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 394
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
 105

14

$1000

648 Reorder point = 〖 [(𝑠𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑙𝑦 𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑑 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒) 〗∕〖 (𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑓𝑜
𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑)] 〗∗ (𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑑𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑝𝑒
250 =[2 weeks / 4 weeks (demand forecasting period)] *[140 units (weekly dem
weeks]

Safety stock
"= "[(supply lead time)∕ 〖 (𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑)] 〗∗ (𝑡ℎ
𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑑𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑)+𝒔𝒂𝒇𝒕𝒆𝒚 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌

523

Moving Average
400
300
200
Value

100
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 2
Data Point
 Formulas

EOQ = (√2
𝐶ₒ𝐷)/( 〖 C 〗 _ℎ∗𝑝)

Reorder point = 〖 [(𝑠𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑙𝑦 𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑑 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒) 〗∕〖 (𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡
𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑)] 〗∗ (𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑑𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 )

=[2 weeks / 4 weeks (demand forecasting period)] *[140 units (weekly demand) * 4
weeks]

Safety stock
"= "[(supply lead time)∕ 〖 (𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔ℎ 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑)] 〗∗ (𝑡ℎ𝑒
𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑑𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑)+𝒔𝒂𝒇𝒕𝒆𝒚 𝒔𝒕𝒐𝒄𝒌

Cambria Math

Moving Average

Actual
Forecast

6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
Data Point
Actual
Forecast
Day Machine Utilization Demand Completed jobs Pending jobs
1 0.49 4 3 1
2 0.22 1 2 0
3 0.46 4 2 2
4 0.26 2 3 1
5 0.41 2 3 0
6 0.62 7 4 3
7 0.64 3 4 2
8 0.3 1 3 0
9 0.35 5 2 3
10 0.67 3 5 1
11 0.56 5 4 2
12 0.76 4 5 1
13 0.21 2 2 1
14 0.41 2 3 0
15 0.78 6 5 1
16 0.64 4 5 0
17 0.42 3 3 0
18 0.57 4 4 0
19 0.85 6 6 0
20 0.51 4 3 1
21 0.57 6 4 3
22 1 6 7 2
23 0.85 10 6 6
24 1 5 7 4
25 0.88 3 7 0
26 0.62 7 4 3
27 0.51 1 4 0
28 0.97 9 6 3
29 1 6 7 2
30 1 8 7 3
31 0.31 1 3 1
32 0.55 3 4 0
33 0.8 7 5 2
34 1 12 7 7
35 1 6 7 6
36 1 3 7 2
37 0.64 5 4 3
38 0.9 8 7 4
39 1 6 7 3
40 1 18 7 14
41 1 12 7 19
42 1 7 7 19
43 1 5 7 17
44 1 8 7 18
45 1 3 7 14
46 1 9 7 16
47 1 3 7 12
48 1 12 7 17
49 1 7 7 17
50 1 6 8 15
51 1 14 7 22
52 1 12 7 27
53 1 6 7 26
54 1 9 7 28
55 1 9 7 30
56 1 9 7 32
57 1 10 7 35
58 1 13 7 41
59 1 13 7 47
60 1 10 7 50
61 1 9 7 52
62 1 9 7 54
63 1 15 7 62
64 1 10 7 65
65 1 15 7 73
66 1 8 7 74
67 1 11 8 77
68 1 10 7 80
69 1 5 7 78
70 1 11 7 82
71 1 16 7 91
72 1 17 7 101
73 1 9 7 103
74 1 7 7 103
75 1 13 7 109
76 1 7 7 109
77 1 9 7 111
78 1 11 7 115
79 1 13 7 121
80 1 20 7 134
81 1 11 7 138
82 1 19 7 150
83 1 22 7 165
84 1 14 8 171
85 1 10 7 174
 86 1 18 7 185
87 1 16 7 194
88 1 18 7 205
89 1 16 7 214
90 1 15 7 222
91 1 18 7 233
92 1 20 7 246
93 1 19 7 258
94 1 19 7 270
95 1 24 7 287
96 1 18 7 298
97 1 15 7 306
98 1 19 7 318
99 1 15 7 326
100 1 17 7 336
101 1 16 8 344
102 1 19 7 356
103 1 17 7 366
104 1 27 7 386
105 1 22 7 401
106 1 25 7 419
107 1 19 7 431
108 1 23 7 447
109 1 18 7 458
110 1 16 7 467
111 1 18 7 478
112 1 19 7 490
113 1 28 7 511
114 1 18 7 522
115 1 31 7 546
116 1 22 7 561
117 1 26 7 580
118 1 27 8 599
119 1 19 7 611
120 1 21 7 625
121 1 23 7 641
122 1 19 7 653
123 1 24 7 670
124 1 24 7 687
125 1 24 7 704
126 1 28 7 725
127 1 28 7 746
128 1 19 7 758
129 1 20 7 771
130 1 20 7 784
131 1 30 7 807
132 1 23 7 823
133 1 22 11 834
134 1 33 14 853
135 1 23 14 862
136 1 22 15 869
137 1 22 14 877
138 1 23 15 885
139 1 30 14 901
140 1 26 14 913
141 1 27 14 926
142 1 22 14 934
143 1 30 14 950
144 1 30 14 966
145 1 38 14 990
146 1 24 14 1000
147 1 14 14 1000
148 1 14 14 1000
149 1 14 14 1000
150 1 14 14 1000
151 1 14 14 1000
152 1 14 14 1000
153 1 14 15 999
154 1 14 14 999
155 1 15 15 999
156 1 15 14 1000
157 1 13 14 999
158 1 15 14 1000
159 1 13 14 999
160 1 14 14 999
161 1 15 14 1000
162 1 14 14 1000
163 1 14 14 1000
164 1 14 14 1000
165 1 12 14 998
166 1 16 14 1000
167 1 14 14 1000
168 1 14 14 1000
169 1 14 14 1000
170 1 14 15 999
171 1 14 14 999
172 1 15 15 999
173 1 14 14 999
174 1 13 14 998
175 1 15 14 999
176 1 19 19 999
177 1 20 22 997
178 1 23 21 999
179 1 20 21 998
180 1 20 21 997
181 1 23 21 999
182 1 21 21 999
183 1 22 21 1000
184 1 20 21 999
185 1 21 21 999
186 1 22 21 1000
187 1 21 22 999
188 1 22 21 1000
189 1 20 21 999
190 1 22 21 1000
191 1 20 21 999
192 1 22 22 999
193 1 21 21 999
194 1 22 22 999
195 1 22 21 1000
196 1 19 21 998
197 1 22 21 999
198 1 22 21 1000
199 1 21 21 1000
200 1 20 21 999
201 1 20 21 998
202 1 23 21 1000
203 1 21 21 1000
204 1 21 22 999
205 1 21 21 999
206 1 21 21 999
207 1 22 21 1000
208 1 21 21 1000
209 1 21 22 999
210 1 21 21 999
211 1 21 22 998
212 1 23 21 1000
213 1 19 21 998
214 1 15 21 992
215 1 0 21 971
216 1 0 21 950
217 1 0 21 929
218 1 0 21 908
219 1 0 21 887
220 1 0 21 866
221 1 0 22 844
222 1 0 21 823
223 1 0 21 802
1 machine = 7 jobs

Number of days to take out the station one

pending queue is = queue number / machine
capacity

𝑷𝒆𝒏𝒅𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒋𝒐𝒃𝒔
1𝑠𝑡 𝑑𝑎𝑦=𝑗𝑜𝑏 𝑎𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑠 −𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝
2nd day = job arrivals + d
queue number - machine capacity
807 / 21 = 38 days
Day - > 223 + 38 = 261 day

If we increase the number of machines in to = 6 Most recent demand forecast: a

807 / 42 = 19 days stock to cover the fluctuations in
Day - > 223 + 19 = 242 day Machine capacity vis-a-via orde
no. of machine x lead time)

Reorder level

Machine capacity vis-a-via order arrival = (21 x 3 x 14) = 882

Most recent demand forecast = 130 x 14 = 1820 + safty stock

 Chart Title
350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
250

200

150

100

50

0
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 53 57 61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93

Demand Pending jobs

38.19048
𝑷𝒆𝒏𝒅𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒋𝒐𝒃𝒔
1𝑠𝑡 𝑑𝑎𝑦=𝑗𝑜𝑏 𝑎𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑠 −𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑗𝑜𝑏𝑠
2nd day = job arrivals + day 1 pending job - completed jobs

For order reorder level

Most recent demand forecast: average forecast demand x supply lead time ( and add the safety
stock to cover the fluctuations in demand
Machine capacity vis-a-via order arrival: if you have 6 machines in station 1 ( machine capacity x
no. of machine x lead time)
week Weekly Demand Forecasting
105.096774193548 #N/A #N/A
1 23 105.0968 #N/A
2 22 96.8871 #N/A
3 33 89.39839 #N/A
4 41 83.75855 71.94613
5 43 79.48269 59.48991
6 59 75.83442 45.97122
7 47 74.15098 33.87565
8 65 71.43588 27.99738
9 79 70.7923 18.81484
10 70 71.61307 16.79249
11 78 71.45176 6.093412
12 110 72.10658 6.133185
13 111 75.89592 22.22155
14 134 79.40633 30.06153
15 133 84.8657 43.3923
16 138 89.67913 46.6536
17 171 94.51122 50.43903
18 163 102.1601 59.16742
19 162 108.2441 62.94689
20 179 113.6197 64.39909
21 185 120.1577 60.18244
22 98 126.6419 61.55975
23 100 123.7777 55.67606
24 98 121.4 43.16737
25 99 119.06 25.38569
26 146 117.054 22.47474
27 148 119.9486 24.41197
28 148 122.7537 25.9946
29 149 125.2783 27.45984
30 148 127.6505 25.73567
31 78 129.6855 23.19621
32 124.5169 34.87217
33 112.0652 78.71881
34 100.8587 101.2167
35 90.77283 112.8946
36 81.69555 101.6051
37 73.52599 91.4446
38 66.17339 82.30014
39 59.55605 74.07013
40 53.60045 66.66312 Exponential Smooth
41 48.2404 59.99681 200
150
100
Value

50
0
 Exponential Smooth
200
42 43.416364 53.997125 150
43 39.07473 48.59741 100

Value
44 35.16725 43.73767 50
45 31.65053 39.3639 0
46 28.48548 35.42751 1 6 11 16 21 2 6 31 36 41 46
47 25.63693 31.88476 Data Point
48 23.07324 28.69629
49 20.76591 25.82666
50 18.68932 23.24399
51 16.82039 20.91959
52 15.13835 18.82763
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
 85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
xponential Smoothing

Actual
Forecast
xponential Smoothing

Actual
Forecast

11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51
Data Point
 Demand
Week Weekly Demand Forecasting Level Trend α
0 203.441 (3) 0.1
1 23 200.661764705882 183 (6)
2 22 176.562941176471 161 (9)
3 33 151.682741176471 140 (12)
4 41 128.016906352941 119 (14)
5 43 105.777316884706 99 (15)
6 59 84.7061400256 82 (15)
7 47 66.8279580518927 65 (16)
8 65 49.1410351145183 51 (15)
9 79 35.3399837685909 40 (15)
10 70 25.1922378818845 30 (14)
11 78 16.055421826211 22 (12) The
Theintercept
intercept
and
andcoeffect
coeffect
12 110 9.87117893958069 20 (10) (yellow-
(yellow-
13 111 9.50793676282176 20 (8) highlighted)
highlighted)
were
were
14 134 11.3108600684823 24 (6) estimated
estimated
based
basedon onlast
last
15 133 17.6872738422071 29 (4) 12-week
12-week
16 138 25.6323007617153 37 (1) demand.
demand.You You
may
mayneed
needto to
17 171 35.5301789740384 49 1 re-estimate
re-estimatethe
intercept
the intercept
and
18 163 50.4476657856484 62 4
coefficient
and coefficient
as
19 162 65.3244506003844 75 6 demand
as demand
continuously
continuously
20 179 80.5470679216392 90 8 renews
renews(e.g.,
(e.g.,
21 185 97.9164821523357 107 9 we
weare
areininWeek
21
Week
now). 21
22 98 115.890625316916 114 9 now).
See the
23 100 123.0095416587 121 8 formula
See the on the
24 98 129.156375533131 126 8 right
formula
to run
on
quick
the right
analysis
to
25 99 133.865398509457 130 7 with
run quick
variable
26 146 137.506211217961 138 7 demand
analysisdata.
with
98
variable
27 148 145.652818431255 146 7 demand data.
28 148 153.231708554595 153 7
29 149 159.948075494509 159 7
30 148 165.873844230541 164 7
31 78 170.74955920836 161 5
32 166.282711504229 150
33 149.654440353806 135
34 134.688996318425 121
35 121.220096686583 109
36 109.098087017925 98
37 98.1882783161321 88
38 88.3694504845189 80
39 79.532505436067 72
40 71.5792548924603 64
41 64.4213294032143 58 eoq
42 57.9791964628928 52 reord
43 52.1812768166036 47
44 46.9631491349432 42
45 42.2668342214489 38
46 38.040150799304 34
47 34.2361357193736 31
48 30.8125221474362 28
49 27.7312699326926 25
50 24.9581429394234 22
51 22.462328645481 20
52 20.2160957809329 18
 An alternative approach An alternative approach to run
β to run regression in regression in Data Analysis is to use
Data Analysis is to use Excel formulas to calculate intercept and
0.2 Excel formulas to slopes directly, as we only need these
calculate intercept and two values at this moment when
slopes directly, as we demand is constantly renewing.
only need these two
values at this moment Using Excel formula '= intercept (y=
when demand is actual demand, x= week number)' for a
constantly renewing. quick estimation of intercept (i.e., value
of a), see cell V2 for my calculation
Using Excel formula '=
intercept (y= actual Using Excel formula '= slope (y= actual
demand, x= week demand, x= week number)' for a quick
number)' for a quick estimation of coefficient (i.e., value of
estimation of intercept b), see cell W2 for my calculation
(i.e., value of a), see cell
V2 for my calculation every time when demand data is
renewed, you only need to re-
Using Excel formula '= calculate value a and b on cell V2 and
slope (y= actual W2. All demand forecasting in
The
Theintercept
intercept SS
demand, MS
x= week F Significance F
and
andcoeffect
coeffect Column D will be automatically
number)' for
5378.524 a quick 55.15631 2.245E-05
5378.524
(yellow-
(yellow- estimation of coefficient renewed.
highlighted)
highlighted) 975.1422 97.51422
(i.e., value of b), see cell
were
were W2 for my calculation
estimated
estimated 6353.667
based
basedon onlast
last
12-week
12-week every time when
demand.
demand.You demand data is
You Standard Erroryou
renewed, t Stat
only P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
may
mayneed
needto to
re-estimate need to re-calculate
re-estimatethe 6.077599 2.134017 0.058623 -0.572037 26.51143 -0.572037 26.51143
intercept
the intercept
and value a and b on cell
coefficient
and coefficient
as 0.825783
V2 and W2.7.426729
All 2.245E-05 4.292908 7.972826 4.292908 7.972826
demand
as demand demand forecasting in
continuously
continuously Column D will be
renews
renews(e.g.,
(e.g., automatically
we
weare
areininWeek renewed.
21
Week
now). 21
now).
See the
formula
See the on the
right
formula
to run
on
quick
the right
analysis
to
with
run quick
variable
demand
analysisdata.
with
98
variable
demand data. SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.399831
R Square 0.159865
Adjusted R 0.099855
Standard E 31.39973
Observatio 16
 ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 2626.544 2626.544 2.663991
Residual 14 13803.21 985.9433
Total 15 16429.75
756
286 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept 203.4412 40.78056 4.98868 0.000199
X Variable -2.779412 1.70289 -1.632174 0.124924
o run
s is to use a b
intercept and
need these 11.19697 6.867133
when
wing.

rcept (y=
umber)' for a
pt (i.e., value
culation

e (y= actual
' for a quick
e., value of
ulation

d data is
to re-
n cell V2 and
ng in
tically
Significance F
0.124924

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
115.9756 290.9068 115.9756 290.9068
-6.431747 0.872923 -6.431747 0.872923
day data
1 0.11
2 0.07
3 0.11
4 0.08
5 0.11
6 0.15
7 0.15
8 0.11
9 0.07
10 0.19
11 0.15
12 0.19
13 0.07
14 0.11
15 0.19
16 0.19
17 0.11
18 0.15
19 0.23
20 0.11
21 0.15
22 0.26
23 0.23
24 0.26
25 0.26
26 0.15
27 0.15
28 0.23
29 0.26
30 0.26
31 0.11
32 0.15
33 0.19
34 0.26
35 0.26
36 0.26
37 0.18
38 0.23
39 0.26
40 0.26
41 0.26
42 0.26
43 0.27
44 0.27
45 0.27
46 0.27
47 0.27
48 0.26
49 0.27
50 0.26
51 0.26
52 0.26
53 0.26
54 0.26
55 0.26
56 0.26
57 0.26
58 0.26
59 0.26
60 0.27
61 0.27
62 0.27
63 0.27
64 0.27
65 0.26
66 0.27
67 0.26
68 0.26
69 0.26
70 0.26
71 0.26
72 0.26
73 0.26
74 0.26
75 0.26
76 0.26
77 0.27
78 0.27
79 0.27
80 0.27
81 0.27
82 0.26
83 0.27
84 0.26
85 0.26
 86 0.26
87 0.26
88 0.26
89 0.26
90 0.26
91 0.26
92 0.26
93 0.26
94 0.27
95 0.27
96 0.27
97 0.27
98 0.27
99 0.26
100 0.27
101 0.26
102 0.26
103 0.26
104 0.26
105 0.26
106 0.26
107 0.26
108 0.26
109 0.26
110 0.26
111 0.27
112 0.27
113 0.27
114 0.27
115 0.27
116 0.26
117 0.27
118 0.26
119 0.26
120 0.26
121 0.26
122 0.26
123 0.26
124 0.26
125 0.26
126 0.26
127 0.26
128 0.27
129 0.27
130 0.27
131 0.27
132 0.27
133 0.43
134 0.53
135 0.53
136 0.53
137 0.53
138 0.53
139 0.53
140 0.53
141 0.53
142 0.53
143 0.53
144 0.53
145 0.53
146 0.53
147 0.53
148 0.53
149 0.53
150 0.53
151 0.53
152 0.53
153 0.53
154 0.53
155 0.53
156 0.53
157 0.53
158 0.53
159 0.53
160 0.53
161 0.53
162 0.53
163 0.53
164 0.53
165 0.53
166 0.53
167 0.53
168 0.53
169 0.53
170 0.53
171 0.53
172 0.53
173 0.53
174 0.53
175 0.53
176 0.75
177 0.79
178 0.79
179 0.79
180 0.8
181 0.8
182 0.8
183 0.8
184 0.8
185 0.8
186 0.8
187 0.8
188 0.79
189 0.8
190 0.8
191 0.8
192 0.79
193 0.79
194 0.79
195 0.79
196 0.79
197 0.8
198 0.8
199 0.8
200 0.8
201 0.8
202 0.8
203 0.8
204 0.8
205 0.79
206 0.8
207 0.8
208 0.8
209 0.79
210 0.79
211 0.79
212 0.79
213 0.79
214 0.8
215 0.8
216 0.8
217 0.8
218 0.8
219 0.8
220 0.8
221 0.8
222 0.79
223 0.8
Day Inventory Capacity Completed jobs Lead time QUEUE st 1
1 596 0.49 3 0.2 0.13
2 595 0.22 2 0.26 0
3 591 0.46 2 0.2 0.05
4 589 0.26 3 0.21 0
5 587 0.41 3 0.2 0
6 580 0.62 4 0.2 0.17
7 577 0.64 4 0.32 0.53
8 576 0.3 3 0.27 0.01
9 571 0.35 2 0.2 0.05
10 568 0.67 5 0.32 0.55
11 563 0.56 4 0.21 0.1
12 559 0.76 5 0.32 0.6
13 557 0.21 2 0.2 0
14 555 0.41 3 0.2 0
15 549 0.78 5 0.32 0.74
16 545 0.64 5 0.28 0.27
17 542 0.42 3 0.26 0.19
18 538 0.57 4 0.22 0.08
19 532 0.85 6 0.22 0.15
20 528 0.51 3 0.23 0.1
21 522 0.57 4 0.24 0.24
22 516 1 7 0.52 2.95
23 506 0.85 6 0.39 1.44
24 501 1 7 0.65 4.3
25 498 0.88 7 0.65 1.01
26 491 0.62 4 0.27 0.84
27 490 0.51 4 0.41 0.31
28 481 0.97 6 0.34 1.58
29 475 1 7 0.42 1.18
30 467 1 7 0.43 1.46
31 466 0.31 3 0.31 0.16
32 463 0.55 4 0.21 0.08
33 456 0.8 5 0.26 0.31
34 444 1 7 0.51 5.81
35 438 1 7 1.05 4.58
36 435 1 7 0.76 1.8
37 430 0.64 4 0.24 0.28
38 422 0.9 7 0.3 1
39 416 1 7 0.54 3.04
40 398 1 7 0.56 5.22
41 386 1 7 0.93 14.36
42 379 1 7 1.62 17.99
43 374 1 7 2.08 18.34
44 366 1 7 2.59 17.63
45 363 1 7 2.76 14.3
46 354 1 7 2.78 11.84
47 951 1 7 2.5 11.35
48 939 1 7 1.85 11.88
49 932 1 7 1.76 13.79
50 926 1 8 1.9 15.23
51 912 1 7 2.19 15.92
52 900 1 7 2.33 22.44
53 894 1 7 2.35 25.57
54 885 1 7 2.68 24.84
55 876 1 7 3.27 25.92
56 867 1 7 3.62 29.71
57 857 1 7 3.76 32.72
58 844 1 7 3.77 36.71
59 831 1 7 3.85 42.5
60 821 1 7 4.26 47.37
61 812 1 7 4.56 50.57
62 803 1 7 4.91 50.87
63 788 1 7 5.12 55.34
64 778 1 7 5.72 61.09
65 763 1 7 6.1 67.98
66 755 1 7 6.53 71.76
67 744 1 8 6.95 74.59
68 734 1 7 7.31 78.14
69 729 1 7 7.31 77.14
70 718 1 7 7.63 79.77
71 702 1 7 8.05 83.37
72 685 1 7 8.53 95.77
73 676 1 7 8.88 100.42
74 669 1 7 9.37 102.13
75 656 1 7 9.94 105.62
76 649 1 7 10.35 108.25
77 640 1 7 10.45 108.01
78 629 1 7 10.85 112.12
79 616 1 7 11.18 116.3
80 596 1 7 11.21 124.32
81 585 1 7 11.26 134.48
82 566 1 7 11.64 139.55
83 544 1 7 11.93 156.08
84 530 1 8 12.6 166.63
85 520 1 7 13.27 172.35
 86 502 1 7 13.98 178.9
87 486 1 7 14.38 187.38
88 468 1 7 14.59 198.66
89 452 1 7 14.71 206.67
90 437 1 7 15.13 219
91 419 1 7 15.42 225.31
92 399 1 7 15.52 237.38
93 380 1 7 15.62 249.73
94 361 1 7 16.07 260.19
95 337 1 7 16.32 278.23
96 319 1 7 16.82 291.07
97 304 1 7 17.3 300.15
98 285 1 7 17.91 311.41
99 270 1 7 18.53 320.37
100 253 1 7 19.1 329.16
101 237 1 8 19.54 338.8
102 218 1 7 19.95 349.84
103 797 1 7 20.67 358.65
104 774 1 7 21.42 374.74
105 752 1 7 22.17 390.53
106 727 1 7 22.79 409.21
107 708 1 7 23.36 422.08
108 685 1 7 23.92 437.98
109 667 1 7 24.4 453.34
110 651 1 7 24.74 463.59
111 633 7 25.23 471.17
112 614 7 25.77 483.57
113 586 7 26.34 500.58
114 568 7 26.86 516.22
115 537 7 27.44 532.67
116 515 7 28.04 551.9
117 489 7 28.76 570.49
118 462 8 29.28 587.08
119 443 7 29.74 604.08
120 422 7 30.47 614.76
121 399 7 31.19 631.8
122 380 7 31.57 644.98
123 356 7 32.02 659.3
124 332 7 32.7 679.26
125 308 7 33.17 691
126 280 7 33.96 710.63
127 252 7 34.69 733.69
128 233 7 35.19 750.75
129 213 7 35.84 762.12
130 193 7 36.47 774.57
131 163 7 36.95 792.01
132 729 7 37.59 811.56
133 718 11 38.47 826.29
134 685 14 38.82 837.4
135 662 14 39.12 853.52
136 640 15 39.3 863.93
137 618 14 39.41 869.98
138 595 15 39.69 879.27
139 565 14 39.83 889.22
140 539 14 39.87 904.93
141 512 14 40.06 916.02
142 490 14 40.26 924.81
143 460 14 40.45 936.35
144 430 14 40.59 956.49
145 392 14 41.02 973.1
146 368 14 41.52 993.89
147 354 14 41.8 995.98
148 340 14 42.27 996.6
149 326 14 42.75 996.26
150 312 14 42.94 996.39
151 298 14 43.33 996.21
152 284 14 43.72 996.62
153 270 15 44.13 996.44
154 256 14 44.34 996.42
155 241 15 44.34 996.56
156 226 14 44.65 996.5
157 809 14 44.88 996.09
158 798 14 45.25 996.6
159 785 14 45.8 996.47
160 771 14 46.1 996.4
161 756 14 46.41 996.41
162 742 14 46.9 996.43
163 728 14 47.42 996.48
Demand
4
1
4
2
2
7
3
1
5
3
5
4
2
2
6
4
3
4
6
4
6
6
10
5
3
7
1
9
6
8
1
3
7 Job Lead Time
12
50
6 45
3 40
5 35
8 30
Lead time

25
6
20
18
Initial inventory 15 = 596
12 usage day 10 = 46
7 Qty in 46 day 5 = 342
usage of kits per day0 = (596 - 342 )/ 46 = 5 kits per day
reordering date 1= 32
8 day
15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99 106 113 120 127 134141 148 155 16
days
 20

Lea
Initial inventory 15 = 596
usage day 10 = 46
Qty in 46 day 5 = 342
usage of kits per day0 = (596 - 342 )/ 46 = 5 kits per day
5 reordering date 1= 32
8 day
15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99 106 113 120 127 134141 148 155 16
8
days
3
9
3
12
7
6
14
12
6
9
9
9
10
13
13
10
9
9
15
Utilization 100%
10
15
8
11
10 Machine Uti lizati on
5 1.2
11
16 1

17
0.8
9
utilization

7 0.6
Utilization 100%
13
0.4
7
9 0.2
11
0
13 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101 106
20 DAYS
11
19
22
14
10
Inventory
1000
900
800
18 Inventory
16 1000
18 900
800
16
700
15
600

inventory
18 500
20 400
19 300
19 200
100
24
0
18 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96 101 106 111 116
15 days
19
15
17
16
19
17
27
22
25
19
23
18
16
18
19
28
18
31
22
26
27
19
21
23 Inventory
19 1000
24 900
24 800
24 700
600
28
Quantity

500
28 400
19 300
200
100
0
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161
 600

Quantity
500
400
300
20 200
20 100
0
30 1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161
23 Days
22
33
23
22
22
23
30
26
27
22
30 Stati on One Queue
30 1200
38
1000
24
14 800
14 Quedued jobs 829
600
jobs

14
14 400
14 200
14
0
14 1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161
14 date
15
15
13
15
13
14
15
14
14
 Completed jobs
16
14
12
10

Axis Title
8
6
4
2
0
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97 105 113 121 129 137 145 153 161
Axis Title
me

2 99 106 113 120 127 134141 148 155 162

2 99 106 113 120 127 134141 148 155 162

Utilization 100%

6 81 86 91 96 101 106
1 76 81 86 91 96 101 106 111 116

Stock has increased

in 157 day

137 145 153 161

137 145 153 161

Quedued jobs 829

7 145 153 161

129 137 145 153 161