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9 of its existence as an independent country. The country was an empire for the period
10 from 1822 to 1889, followed by a Republic from 1889 to 1930. Both of these had
13 standards, but both were in practice dominated by landowning elites (Graham 1990).
14 The twentieth century saw a coup leading to military rule from 1930 to 1945,
15 followed by a democratic republic from 1945 to 1964, which in turn fell to another
16 military coup. Brazil's military regime fell under the category known as bureaucratic-
17 authoritarian from 1964 to the 1980s. A gradual transition to the current democratic
18 republic began in 1982, resulted in a presidential election in 1985, and was codified in
20
23 country in Latin America and partly because the historical evidence can provide
24 support for several different theories of regime change. There is evidence, for
25 example, that individual groups of political actors played a major role in transitions,
26 and that prevailing ideas in the military shaped its willingness to wield authority, but
27 also that the progressive modernization of the economy played a major role in Brazil's
28 political changes (O'Donnell, Schmitter, and Whitehead [1986] 1993; Stepan 1971;
30
31 The study of democracy in Brazil goes beyond the question of transition from one
32 regime type to another. Perhaps the most important issues today for those studying
33 Brazilian politics are about democratic consolidation. Since 1988, Brazil's democracy
34 has achieved some consolidation, with repeated elections that have seen incumbents
35 voted out of office and the election of Lula da Silva, whose candidacy was at one
36 point unacceptable to the military. The country has protections for civil liberties as
37 well, and a return to outright authoritarian rule seems quite unlikely in the near future.
38 Yet that does not mean Brazil has created effective representation or equal
39 opportunity for all citizens. The rule of law does not extend equally to everyone
40 everywhere in Brazil: Some areas (both remote rural areas and parts of major cities)
41 are almost lawless and ruled by criminals, while corruption considerable in the police
44 consolidated democracy.
45
46 One of the most interesting transitions in recent years has been a set of economic and
47 policy changes that have improved the well-being of the lowest-income people in
48 Brazil. One of these changes is the overall growth of the Brazilian economy, which
49 has been stable and solid after decades in which the country was known for its
50 massive crises. In terms of government policies, the most famous is the Bolsa Familia,
52 direct income from the government to poor families on the condition that they keep
53 their children in school and keep their vaccinations up to date. The program predates
54 the Lula presidency, but it was dramatically expanded on a nationwide basis under
55 Lula. While economic growth and policies such as Bolsa Familia may seem to be
56 largely an issue of economics, they can also bring political change. First, economic
57 growth and "pro-poor" programs are credited with reducing inequality and poverty in
58 recent years, and there is some evidence that low-income Brazilians with access to
60 Second, such social policies suggest government that directly addresses problems
61 facing the poor, which was not always the case under Brazilian democracies that were
62 long considered elite-led. Third, this set of changes brings poorer Brazilians into
63 greater contact with state institutions, such as the education and health systems. This
64 raises the prospect of strengthening relations between the state and society at large,