Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1–35
DOI: 10.1111/ruso.12245
© 2018 by the Rural Sociological Society
İlkay Unay-Gailhard
Department of Structural Development of Farms and Rural Areas
Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies
Miroslava Bavorová
Faculty of Tropical AgriSciences
Czech University of Life Sciences
Zuzana Bednaříková
Department of Rural Development
Institute of Agricultural Economics and Information
Elena V. Ponkina
Faculty of Mathematics and Information Technology
Altai State University
Introduction
This article focuses on postsecondary agricultural students in the Altai
Krai region of Russia who are planning to pursue careers outside the agri-
cultural sector and who could potentially become part of the discouraged
*
We gratefully acknowledge the close collaboration with scientists within the
KULUNDA project (Ecological and Economic Strategies for Sustainable Land
Management in the Russian Steppes) and for being able to present our work during
KULUNDA conferences. An initial version of this article was presented at the “Rural
Labor in Transition” conference, organized by the Leibniz Institute of Agricultural
Development in Transition Economies, on June 22–24, 2016, in Halle (Saale), Germany.
Direct correspondence to Miroslava Bavorová, Martin Luther University Halle-
Wittenberg, Karl-Freiherr-von-Fritsch-Str. 4, D-06120 Halle (Saale), Germany; e-mail:
miroslava.bavorova@landw.uni-halle.de.
2 Rural Sociology, Vol. 0, No. 0, Month 2018
erosion of the youth labor force gives rise to large disadvantaged groups
(Bacher et al. 2017; Bollmann and Bryden 1997; Philip and Shucksmith
2003; Unay-Gailhard 2016). A disadvantaged group is defined as a popu-
lation that has a higher risk of long-term unemployment or an inactive
spell in the school-to-work transition period, giving rise to social exclu-
sion (Philip and Shucksmith 2003; Shucksmith 2012). Studies in coun-
tries in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
have found that many young people have left the labor market either
because they have been unemployed for more than a year or have been
inactive and have not sought work (OECD 2010).
This article investigates these challenges by exploring the factors that
influence postgraduate agricultural students’ choice to not want to work
in agriculture, using the research question “To what extent do sociofa-
milial background and considerations throughout the life course influ-
ence agricultural students’ future career perspectives of work in the
agriculture sector?”
Our research is motivated by evidence that postgraduate agricultural
students’ incentives to not work in agriculture may lead not only to a
lack of economic cohesion in the rural labor market but also to a risk
of high transition flows into unemployment and inactivity that could
make reintegration into the labor market more difficult. While there is
an emerging body of research on school-to-work transitions (Bühler and
Konietzka 2012; Gerber 2003) and agricultural employment incentives
in Russia (Amelina 2000; Sutherland 2008), such studies evaluate the
transition period within an institutional context and focus on agricul-
tural employment incentives from an economic reward and employee
perspective. Our study aims to contribute to the rural sociology litera-
ture, and to provide an initial exploration of agricultural employment
transition incentives among agricultural students, providing contextual
information on students’ life course.
The data set used in the analysis consists of survey responses of post-
graduate students in different agricultural faculties in the Altai region
of southwest Siberia, Russia. The selection of Altai Krai for our study is
based on its leading characteristics as an agricultural region of Russia,
one that plays an important role in ensuring food self-sufficiency. On
the one hand, agricultural enterprises in Altai Krai suffer from a lack
of agriculturally educated labor (Chekavinskiy 2012; Kareva 2003). On
the other hand, unemployment in the rural areas of Altai Krai is very
high (Bystrickaya and Shatokhin 2015). This study looks at students,
some of whom are incentivized to pursue careers in the agricultural
sector while others are not. We perform analyses to determine which
4 Rural Sociology, Vol. 0, No. 0, Month 2018
Background
2
For a deeper analysis of the school-to-work transition in postsocialist societies includ-
ing Russia, see Bühler and Konietzka (2012).
I Don’t Want to Work in Agriculture!— Unay-Gailhard et al. 5
Theoretical Background
observed that in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, high levels
of education encourage nonfarm employment of family members.
The role of self-employment of parents. There are numerous publications on
the discourse of agrarian reform in post-Soviet Russia and its influence
on households’ responses to market reform in the new market-based
environment. As Wegren (2008) notes, the importance of having an
increasing number of self-employed households lies in the relationship
among increased entrepreneurial skills, commercial activities,
improvements in rural standards, and reduced out-migration. An effect
of self-employed parents on the occupational choice of children can be
assumed because of accrued human and financial capital via parents: If
the parents are self-employed in the agricultural sector, then a positive
effect on their children’s choice toward agricultural occupation can be
expected. Crockett, Shanahan, and Jackson-Newsom (2000) in their
study of Russian rural youth found that farm adolescents who plan to
continue working on the farm are those who are more highly integrated
into the family business and enjoy better relationships with their parents.
The role of income level of parents. Several studies use Bourdieu’s theory
to interpret the fact that financial resources accrued by parents also
affect a young adult’s career development plans (see Jayawarna, Rouse,
and Macpherson 2014). Previous studies have found that parents with
higher socioeconomic status transfer tangible and intangible resources
to their children that could attract prosperous future returns when they
form their own careers. In contrast, parents of lower socioeconomic
backgrounds do not confer credibility on their children in high-class
occupations (Jayawarna et al. 2014; Roberts 2001).
The youth migration literature has found that graduates whose par-
ents have higher-level positions (such as managerial positions) show
higher levels of out-migration (Belfield and Morris 1999), whereas grad-
uates whose parents have lower-level positions have a higher tendency to
return to their rural residences (Jamieson 2000; Rye 2011).
The role of parents’ attachment to rural regions. We measure parents’ attachment
to rural regions using two variables: the location of rural parents’
residence and whether the family owns land in a rural area. The positive
relationship between attachment to rural regions by parents and their
children’s career plans is mostly found in the “employability” literature.3
3As Lindsay, McCracken, and McQuaid (2002) summarize, “employability” is the result
Methodology
The study model aims to specify which characteristics have greater
explanatory power in predicting answers to the question “Why are agri-
cultural students incentivized not to work in agriculture after gradua-
tion?” To obtain our answer, we ran a logit regression model, with the
incentive “to work in agriculture or not to work in agriculture” as the
dependent variable. The dependent variable is coded as binary, with
a value of 1 representing the occurrence of a targeted outcome and a
value of 0 representing the absence of a targeted outcome as:
Yi = 1 if the student agrees with the statement “I do not want to
work in agriculture after graduation” by the survey date.
Yi = 0 if the student does not agree with the statement “I do
not want to work in agriculture after graduation” by the survey
date.
We found 318 students (67 percent), including students from diverse
departments, who desire work in the agricultural sector, and 156 stu-
dents (33 percent) who confirmed the statement “I do not want to work
in agriculture.”
We checked for potential multicollinearity between the explanatory
variables of the model by applying two tests. First, using Menard’s (2002)
approach, we calculated the variance inflation factor (VIF) by construct-
ing an ordinary least squares regression with the same variables in the
equation. The results show a mean VIF value of 1.53, which falls below
the acceptable upper critical limit of 10.0 (Chatterjee and Hadi 2006).
Second, we checked the pairwise correlation coefficients between the
explanatory variables. Among the total coefficient values of the model,
values ranged from 0.0003 to 0.585. We observed a coefficient value of
0.585 between the “career importance” and “wage importance” vari-
ables. In addition to these two variables, other tested correlations ranged
from 0.0003 to 0.414, indicating weak correlations. As a result of the two
multicollinearity tests, we expect that there is no multicollinearity prob-
lem in the model.
Independent variables are divided into two main groups: (1) the socio-
familial background characteristics of students with variables of gender,
human capital, and financial capital accrued via parents and (2) subjec-
tive considerations of students throughout the life course with variables
of students’ work-life expectations, working-life quality, and life satisfac-
tion. Appendix Table A1 provides the description of the used indepen-
dent variables. Tables A2 and A3 give detailed descriptions of the key
variables.
Table 1. Logistic Regression Model Results with Dependent Variable Students’ Incentives to Not Pursue a Career in
Agricultural Sector.
95 Percent Confidence
Coefficient Standard Error Odds Ratio Interval
Sociofamilial background
Gender
Female 1.048** 0.252 2.851 0.553 1.542
Human capital accrued via parents
Father’s education
Middle 0.109 0.336 1.115 −0.550 0.768
High −0.092 0.371 0.912 −0.818 0.635
Mother’s education
Middle −0.563 0.344 0.570 −1.236 0.111
High −0.368 0.358 0.692 −1.069 0.333
Father’s job as self-employed −0.773** 0.348 0.461 −1.455 −0.091
Mother’s job as self-employed 0.769* 0.437 2.158 −0.088 1.627
Financial capital accrued via parents
Family owns land in rural area 0.767** 0.376 2.153 0.031 1.503
Family income level 0.540** 0.250 1.717 0.051 1.030
Rural parental residence location 0.182 0.266 1.200 −0.339 0.703
Considerations throughout the life course
Work-life expectations
Expected salary of work in rural area a 0.756** 0.178 2.129 0.407 1.104
Satisfaction with salary in parental −0.285** 0.112 0.752 −0.505 −0.064
residenceb
Contentment with rural work-lifec −0.693** 0.214 0.500 −1.112 −0.274
Importance of working-life quality
Employment opportunitiesd 0.461* 0.272 1.586 −0.072 0.994
Wage-level importanced −0.541** 0.240 0.582 −1.011 −0.070
Career opportunitiesd −0.272 0.234 0.762 −0.730 0.187
I Don’t Want to Work in Agriculture!— Unay-Gailhard et al. 15
Table 1. (Continued)
95 Percent Confidence
Coefficient Standard Error Odds Ratio Interval
Life satisfaction
Optimism about future lifee −0.322** 0.162 0.724 −0.640 −0.005
Sense of accomplishment in lifee −0.514** 0.165 0.598 −0.837 −0.191
Positive feelings about oneselfe 0.291** 0.174 1.337 −0.051 0.632
Constant −0.513 0.995 0.599 −2.464 1.438
*p < .10, **p < .05. Source: Study survey in Altai Krai region, Russia 2014.
Note: number of observations: 457; LR chi2 (19): 113.67; pseudo R2: 0.195.
a1 for 0 ≤ 15,000 rubles; 2 for 15,001−25,000 rubles; = 3 for 25 001−50,000 rubles; = 4 for ≥50,001 rubles.
b0 for strongly disagree; 1 for disagree; 2 for neutral; 3 for agree; 4 for strongly agree.
c0 for no; 1 for yes, if economic and social conditions are satisfactory; 2 for yes.
d0 for unimportant; 1 for less important; 2 for important; 3 for very important.
e0 for strongly disagree; 1 for disagree; 2 for neutral; 3 for agree; 4 for strongly agree.
16 Rural Sociology, Vol. 0, No. 0, Month 2018
I Don’t Want to Work in Agriculture!— Unay-Gailhard et al. 17
Sociofamilial Background
Career transition incentives from agriculture to other sectors are sig-
nificantly influenced by gender, the self-employment skills of parents,
whether parents own land in a rural area, and family income level.
Gender. The positive sign of the estimates of the female variable
confirm that being female in postsecondary agricultural education
positively influences career transition incentives (do not want to work
in agriculture after graduation). The first hypothesis, H1—being a
female agricultural student increases the probability of not wanting to
work in the agriculture sector—was confirmed for the tested variable of
“gender” at a significance level of p < .05.
As highlighted in previous literature, factors such as regularities in
profession choice by gender (Russell et al. 2010; Smyth 2005; Unay-
Gailhard 2016), rural masculinities (Campbell and Bell 2000), farm
masculinity (Brandth 2016), and economic and social inequalities
by gender in post-Soviet rural regions (Leonard and Kaneff 2002;
Liljeström 2005) could explain this strong predictor of future labor
market trajectories of female students. Our results confirm that being
female has an important negative influence on transition into the agri-
cultural labor force, even among women who choose postsecondary
education in agriculture.
Regarding the regional aspects of Altai Krai, one important factor
that does not foster the employment of women in agriculture is the dis-
parity of wages between men and women. While the ratio of the average
agricultural wage to an average statistical value in all branches of the
economy is 0.74 for women, this indicator is 0.86 for men (ROSSTAT
2015).
Another stimulating factor could be associated with decisions regard-
ing living in the countryside. According to our survey, when students
were asked “Are you attracted by the rural way of life in general?” 16.3
percent of male respondents answered “yes” as did 7.8 percent of female
respondents, while 20 percent of male respondents and 30 percent of
female respondents answered “no.” Furthermore, more than half of the
male and female respondents answered “yes, if economic and social con-
ditions are satisfactory” (see Table A3 for the results of the whole study
sample).
18 Rural Sociology, Vol. 0, No. 0, Month 2018
4
For detailed information on the implementation stages of post-Soviet land reform
after 1991, see Visser et al. (2012).
20 Rural Sociology, Vol. 0, No. 0, Month 2018
Family income level. The estimates of family income levels confirm that
students from middle- (20,001−60,000 rubles) and high-income (≥60,001
rubles) families are more likely to not want to work in agriculture after
graduation than students from low-income (≤20,000 rubles) families.
This finding is in line with labor market and migration studies that
highlight the important role of parents’ financial capital in young
adults’ labor market status (Jamieson 2000; Jayawarna et al. 2014;
Roberts 2001; Rye 2011). Students from low-income families may have
fewer opportunities to develop their own businesses and to out-migrate
to urban regions than colleagues from middle- or high-income families.
In our case, there is a relationship between family monetary resources
and career plans of young adults with regard to the agricultural sector.
This could be explained by a mismatch between youth expectations
and future labor market conditions. Students from high- and middle-
income families may experience greater difficulty dealing with income
levels characteristic of the agriculture sector than their colleagues from
low-income families.
of students and their incentives to integrate into jobs that relate to their
subject of study. Our results confirm this expectation for agricultural
education students: Positive perception of achievements in life and an
optimistic view of the future could affect students’ sense of association
with their subject of study and their willingness to pursue jobs that are
relevant to that subject. Thus, the fourth hypothesis, H4—the higher
the young adult’s life satisfaction during postgraduate agricultural
education, the higher probability that she or he does want to work in the
agriculture sector—was confirmed for two tested variables of “optimism
about future life” and “sense of accomplishment in life” at a significance
level of p < .05.
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New Haven, CT.
———. 2016. Putin’s Russia: Past Imperfect, Future Uncertain. 6th ed. Lanham, MD: Rowman
and Littlefield.
32 Rural Sociology, Vol. 0, No. 0, Month 2018
Appendix
N % N % N %
Sociofamilial background
Sex
Female 283 59.70 118 41.70 165 58.30
Male 191 40.30 38 19.90 153 80.10
Father’s education
Low 88 18.88 31 35.23 57 64.77
Middle 231 49.57 74 32.03 157 67.97
High 147 31.55 50 34.01 97 65.99
Mother’s education
Low 79 16.7 30 37.97 49 62.03
Middle 197 41.65 62 31.47 135 68.53
High 197 41.65 64 32.49 133 67.51
Father’s job
Self-employed 79 16.67 22 27.85 57 72.15
Other (business 395 83.33 134 33.92 261 66.08
employee, civil servant,
unemployed)
Mother’s job
Self-employed 41 8.65 18 43.90 23 56.10
Other (business 433 91.35 138 31.87 295 68.13
employee, civil servant,
unemployed)
Family owns land in rural 50 10.55 20 40.00 30 60.00
area
Family income level
Low: ≤20,000 rubles 246 52.23 66 26.83 180 73.17
Middle: 20,001−60,000 203 43.1 84 41.38 119 58.62
rubles
High: ≥60,001 rubles 22 4.67 6 27.27 16 72.73
Parental residence location
Rural 337 71.7 101 29.97 236 70.03
Urban 133 28.3 55 41.35 78 58.65
Source: Survey in Altai Krai region, Russia 2014.
a
N = 474.
b
N = 156; 32.91%. “I do not want to work in agriculture” = yes.
c
N = 318; 67.09%. “I do not want to work in agriculture” = no.
Table A3. Study Sample: Subjective Expectations of Postsecondary Agricultural Students in Altai Krai.
N % N % N %
Considerations throughout one’s life course
Rural work-life expectations
Expected salary of work in rural area
≤15,000 rubles 4 0.85 1 25.00 3 75.00
15,001−25,000 rubles 111 23.57 18 16.22 93 83.78
25,001−50,000 rubles 218 46.28 67 30.73 151 69.27
≥50,001 rubles 138 29.3 68 49.28 70 50.72
Satisfaction with salary in parental residence
Strongly disagree 107 22.57 41 38.32 66 61.68
Disagree 118 24.89 46 38.98 72 61.02
Neutral 161 33.97 52 32.30 109 67.70
Agree 75 15.82 14 18.67 61 81.33
Strongly agree 13 2.74 3 23.08 10 76.92
Contentment with rural work life
No 138 29.24 69 50.00 69 50.00
34 Rural Sociology, Vol. 0, No. 0, Month 2018
N % N % N %
Important 143 30.17 40 27.97 103 72.03
Very important 317 66.88 107 33.75 210 66.25
Importance of career opportunities
Unimportant 5 1.05 3 60.00 2 40.00
Less important 25 5.27 6 24.00 19 76.00
Important 175 36.92 61 34.86 114 65.14
Very important 269 56.75 86 31.97 183 68.03
Satisfaction with life
Feel optimistic about future
Strongly disagree 6 1.27 2 33.33 4 66.67
Disagree 18 3.81 9 50.00 9 50.00
Neutral 88 18.6 42 47.73 46 52.27
Agree 222 46.93 63 28.38 159 71.62
Strongly agree 139 29.39 39 28.06 100 71.94
Feeling of accomplishments in life
Strongly disagree 6 1.27 2 33.33 4 66.67
Disagree 48 10.15 21 43.75 27 56.25
Neutral 173 36.58 72 41.62 101 58.38
Agree 200 42.28 47 23.50 153 76.50
Strongly agree 46 9.73 13 28.26 33 71.74
Feel very positive about myself
Strongly disagree 4 0.85 1 25.00 3 75.00
Disagree 30 6.34 9 30.00 21 70.00
Neutral 84 17.76 37 44.05 47 55.95
Agree 253 53.49 78 30.83 175 69.17
Strongly agree 102 21.56 30 29.41 72 70.59
Source: Survey in Altai Krai region, Russia 2014.
aN
= 474.
bN = 156; 32.91%. “I do not want to work in agriculture” = yes.
I Don’t Want to Work in Agriculture!— Unay-Gailhard et al. 35