Reliabilitas dan Pemeliharaan

Week 9: Intro to Reliability

Arian Dhini
Silabus

• Week 9: Intro to Reliability

• Week 10: Reliability Related Probability Distributions
• Week 11: Basic Reliability Model : Constant Failure Rate (CFR)
• Week 12: Basic Reliability Model : Time-dependent Failure Rate (CFR) part I
• Week 13: Basic Reliability Model : Time-dependent Failure Rate (CFR) part II
• Week 14: Reliability of Systems: Series vs Parallel
• Week 15: Design for Reliability
• Failure Analysis
• FMEA, Fault Tree analysis
• Week 16: Final Test
Introduction

• A Gallup poll in 1985 for ASQ©

interviewed over 1000
individuals to determine what
attributes were most important to
them in selecting a product
• The score ranges from 1 (least
important) to 10 (most important)
• Both Reliability and
Maintainability are important
considerations in consumer
purchasing.
Source: Weibull.com
Relations of Reliability, Maintainability and Availability
Definition of Reliability

❑ Generally defined as the ability of a product to perform, as expected,

over certain time.
❑ Formally defined as the probability that an item, a product, piece of
equipment, or system will perform its intended function for a stated period
of time under specified operating conditions.
❑ In the simplest sense, reliability means how long an item (such as a
machine) will perform its intended function without a breakdown.

Reliability is performance over time, probability that something will

work when you want it to.
Introduction to Reliability Engineering
Components of Reliability

❑Reliability: “how quality changes over time”

❑Quality shows how well an object performs its
proper function
❑Reliability shows how well this object maintains
its original level of quality over time, through
various condition

Source: https://asq.org/quality-resources/reliability
Why Reliability is Important?

• Competition
• Public pressures
• Increasing number of reliability/quality related lawsuits
• Complex and sophisticated products
• In 1935 a farm tractor had 1200 critical parts, in 1990, 2900 parts.
• Today a typical Boeing 747 jumbo jet airplane is composed of
around 4.5 million parts, including fasteners [1]
• Loss of prestige
• High acquisition cost
• Many engineering products cost millions of dollars (e.g.
commercial airplanes, defense systems, space satellites). Failure
of such items could result in loss of millions of dollars.
• The pas well-publicized system failures
• Three examples of these failures are Space Shuttel Challenger
disaster (January 1986), Chernobyl Nuclear Reactor explosion
(April 1986), and Point Pleasant Bridge Disaster (December 1967)
[2-4].
Bathup Hazard Rate Curve
Failure Frequencies and Failure Development Time

a. Regular frequency:
preventive
maintenance
b. Random:
1. With development
time: predictive
2. No dev time:
corrective
c. Development time:
predictive
maintenance
d. Without development
time: preventive
maintenance
FASE KEHIDUPAN ASET (Reynolds in ARC Strategies, 2019)
P-F curve of Ball Bearing
P-F curve

Basic Maintenance
tasks:
• Cleaning
• Lubrication
• Inspection
• Retightening
• Changing the filters
• Overhaul
• Etc.
Saw tooth of P-F curve

• i-p interval: the time from when a machine is installed until a potential failure
can be measured on said machine
• Fig 3: potential failures recur time-after-time
• The root causes of why the potential failures recur are never solved.
• Plucknette [20] states that the condition monitoring without other analysis
methods, e.g. root-cause failure analysis and elimination, is not enough.
Terima kasih