B worksteer1 8 Node Alternative CART® Classification: diabetes versus age; bmi; HbA1. Method Prior probabilities Same forall classes Node spitting Class probability Optimal tree Within 1 standard error of minimum misclassfication cost Model validation 10-fold cross-validation Rows used 299 Binary Response Information Variable Class Count___% diabetes (Event) 279,03 o 272 9087 All 299 100.00 Misclassification Cost vs Number of Terminal Nodes Plot optimal = 06987 sett 1 0 1 s ' 8 1 = 1 5 07s t 8 1 5 1 = oro ' 3 1 2 1 & oss 1 z 1 1 1 080 4 2 3 @ & 6 7 8 8 © © Number of Terminal Nodes Alternative Tree DiagramModel Summary Total predictors 4 Important predictors 4 Number of terminal nodes 8 Minimum terminal node size 4 Statistics Training Test ‘Average -loglikelihood '0,0930 2.4775 ‘Area under ROC curve 9782 oea27 95% C1 (08672; 1) (0,7547; 09306) uit 7.6703 5.7901 Misclassification cost 0.1425 0.6662Relative Variable Importance age HbAtc level 806 blood gluco: bmi ais. ° 20 40 60 80 100 Relative Importance (%) Variable importance measures model improvement when splits are made on a predictor. Relative importance is defined as % improvement with respect to the top predictor. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve ita Set 2 Training Se tet ‘True Positive Rate (Sensitivity) 00 eo? oa os oa 40 ive Rate (1 - Specificity) ‘Area Under Curve: Training = 09782: Test = 08427 False Pos2 Training True Positive Rate In Percent ° 2 40 0 20 100 Percent of Total Counts (N) Lift Chart ita Set 2 Training sg ete Cumulative Lift 20 40 60 20 100 Percent of Total Counts (N) Prediction for diabetes Settings age = 50; bmi= 28; HbATC evel = 65; blood glucose.leve = 250 Prediction Terminal Prob (Class Prob (Class Obs Node ID Class » 0)7 0645161 0.354839