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J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

DOI 10.1007/s10950-015-9481-4

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Reviewing the active stress field in Central Asia by using


a modified stress tensor approach
I. Karagianni & C. B. Papazachos & E. M. Scordilis &
G. F. Karakaisis

Received: 2 May 2014 / Accepted: 15 January 2015 / Published online: 9 February 2015
# Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Abstract Central Asia and its surroundings constitute a variation from the Fisher mean in all three principal
geodynamically complicated region, where almost all distributions and (b) minimizes the difference between
types of tectonic patterns can be observed. A triple junc- the theoretical and observed slip vectors of the
tion, collision, and subduction zones, as well as extend- employed fault plane solution data. Synthetic tests and
ed fault systems of all types prevail in different parts of comparison of the corresponding results with real data
this region and compose one of the most interesting and show that, in cases where the stress regime is not clearly
complex geotectonic environments on Earth. This com- uniform or the number of available data is rather small,
plicated setting is also associated with intense deforma- the models selected by the modified approach (FD-
tion, resulting in a large number of high seismicity BSM) are more robust and show better spatial
zones, where numerous strong earthquakes occur, also coherence compared to the initial Gephart and Forsyth
extending, in some cases, to intermediate depths. Sev- (1984) method or alternative techniques such as the
eral previous studies have focused on specific method of Michael (1984, 1987) as adapted by
seismotectonic zones in order to assess the active tec- Vavrycuk (2014).
tonic setting and the associated stress regime. We at-
tempt to provide a unified but detailed picture of the Keywords Stress inversion . Central Asia . Fisher
stress field variability for the entire central Asia region, distribution . Active tectonics
using the well-known inversion method proposed by
Gephart and Forsyth (1984), modified in the present
work on the basis of Fisher statistics. For this applica-
1 Introduction—regional tectonics in Central Asia
tion, we employ a large number of focal mechanisms,
spatially separated in 138 data groups. Τhe proposed
The study area includes several new and older plate
modified algorithm (FD-BSM) examines the Fisher dis-
boundaries and regions of high seismicity. It is located
tribution of all possible stress principal axes solutions
within the Alpine–Himalayan–Indonesian Mountain
and select the one that: (a) shows the smallest angle
Belt, a superorogenic complex known as the Tethysides
that frames the southern part of Eurasia. Two distinct
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this orogenic systems exist in this complex, namely the older
article (doi:10.1007/s10950-015-9481-4) contains supplementary
material, which is available to authorized users.
Cimmerides and the younger Alpides, products of Paleo
and Neo-Tethys, respectively (Fig. 1). The closure of
I. Karagianni (*) : C. B. Papazachos : E. M. Scordilis : Paleo-Tethys suture between Laurasia in the north and
G. F. Karakaisis
Cimmerian continent in the middle generated the
Department of Geophysics, Aristotle University,
54124 Thessaloniki, Greece Cimmerides first. The Alpides were created later during
e-mail: ikara@geo.auth.gr the closure of Neo-Tethys suture between Cimmerian
542 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Fig. 1 Orogenic systems in the broader Central Asia area simpli- Tethyan suture (Alpides) is depicted by black solid line. Plate
fied from Sengor et al. (1988). The Paleo-Tethyan suture boundaries are also shown by dashed lines
(Cimmerides) is shown by black dashed line, while the Neo-

continent and northern Gondwanaland. This complex Sea. The origin of South Caspian is uncertain (Jackson
system and its associated areas of cratonic disruption et al. 2002; Allen et al. 2003). It is a rigid block, with one
have formed today’s architecture of the largest part of of the thickest sedimentary layers in the world (26–
Eurasia (e.g., Sengor et al. 1988). The major active 28 km, Knapp et al. 2004). South Caspian block is
tectonic features of this extended area exhibit a wide currently been destroyed by dipping along its northern
variety of structural and seismotectonic characteristics. and western margin under Central Caspian and is
Detailed maps for the subareas examined in the follow- surrounded by active high seismicity tectonic belts such
ing are presented in the electronic supplement of this as Alborz and Talysh. Strike-slip fault systems connect
manuscript (Online Resource 1). this region with the Zagros Mts. to the south. Zagros is
The East Caucasus Mts. were formed by the Eurasia– an asymmetrical linear folded thrust belt located in
Arabia collision since Tertiary and show an average Southwest Iran, a result of the collision between the
deformation of 14 mm/year across the eastern part of Arabian plate and the continental block of Central Iran.
the mountain according to GPS studies (Mosar et al. East of Zagros, the Minab–Zendan fault connects it with
2007). The gradual velocity reduction across the Main the Makran accretionary prism, a known aseismic re-
Caucasus Thrust indicates that there is no horizontal gion. The eastern termination of Makran is a major left
displacement and that the dominant motion in this area lateral fault, the N–S oriented Chaman fault, which also
is the vertical uplift (Mosar et al. 2010). The Abseron marks the western boundary of the Indian subcontinent.
ridge, a site of major oil reserves, separates the Caucasus The Gulf of Aden is a young, active ocean basin
thrust belt to the west from the right lateral fault of formed by the rifting of Arabia away from Africa during
Kopeh Dagh to the east and Central and South Caspian Oligocene–Miocene (Manighetti et al. 1997; Huchon
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 543

and Khanbari 2003). This region is characterized by a The Tibetan plateau extends south of Tarim Basin,
number of ridges and transform faults that set the boundary including the highest young orogen, Himalaya. The exten-
between three different plates, Arabian, Somalia, and In- sive horizontal deformation in and around Tibet and the
dian. This oceanic rift started from the Carlsberg ridge in rapid uplift of the Himalayan Mountains are the two basic
the Indian Ocean and progressively moved into the Afar motions currently observed in this area (Takada and
region at the western part of the Gulf of Aden, cutting Matsu’ura, 2004). The present collision rate has been
through Jurassic and Cretaceous basins with a dominant estimated to ~50 mm/year (DeMets et al. 1990), with
E–W to NW–SE directivity. At present, the Arabian plate almost 40 % of the total convergence rate consumed by
diverges from Africa towards the NE at a rate of ~2 cm/ the subduction of India under Eurasian plate along the
year (Garfunkel 1981; Hubert-Ferrari et al. 2003), being Himalayan Mountains (Lyon-Caen and Molnar 1985;
one of the slowest plate boundaries on Earth and leading to Bilham et al. 1997). Because of this deformation, large-
the opening of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. scale strike-slip faults such as Kunlun and Altyn-Tagh
In central Asia, the Hindu Kush-Pamir region is have been formed inside the Tibetan plateau. The Gobi-
characterized by both shallow and intermediate-to- Altai Mts. and the Baikal rift zone of East Asia, as well as
large depth seismicity. According to Chatelain et al. the collision zone that passes through Myanmar and Su-
(1980) and Fan et al. (1994), this is the result of two matra have been also included in our study area.
subducting zones of different origin, one dipping from Gobi-Altai is a northwest–southeast-oriented belt of
the north and one from the south. Nowroozi (1971) and Paleozoic arc terrain and continental fragments that have
Billington et al. (1977) suggested that this is a single been reactivated during late Cenozoic because of the
geotectonic unit twisted during subduction at the inter- India–Eurasia collision. This is a diffuse belt of defor-
mediate depth zone. Pegler and Das (1998) proposed mation with thrust and strike-slip faults placed between
that the seismicity in this region is mostly concentrated more rigid basement blocks in a continental interior
in a single S-shaped seismic zone. The origin of the deep (Cunningham 2005). Deformation to the east is accom-
seismic zone under Hindu Kush is also a matter of modated in Hetao rift, and in the north, Sayan and
dispute. Billington et al. (1977), Roecker (1982), and Bolnai faults connect this zone with Baikal rift. The
Mellors et al. (1995) suggested that this is of contempo- Baikal rift system started to form during the late Oligo-
rary oceanic origin. Burtman and Molnar (1993) and cene–early Miocene, northeast of the Gobi-Altai. The
Fan et al. (1994) have proposed that this seismic zone is tectonic activity along this rift increased during Pliocene
a downward extension of an old, dense, shield-like because of the intense Pliocene and Quaternary normal
structure. From a geological point of view, there is no faulting and, today, is a seismically highly active region
evidence of trapped oceanic crust anywhere in this (Tapponnier and Molnar 1979). The region around the
region (Pegler and Das 1998; Searle et al. 2001). Tien eastern Himalayan Syntaxis is characterized by a com-
Shan, another dominant feature in this area, is an plex system of curved strike-slip faults that interact with
intracontinental young mountain belt extending in the the Tibetan plateau (Holt et al. 1991; Socquet and
east–west direction for about 2,500 km, 300 to 500 km Pubellier 2005). Litang, Xianshuihe, Gaoligong, and
wide, with a maximum elevation of 7,439 m Red River are the largest of these faults that partly
(Tapponnier and Molnar 1979; Omuralieva et al. accommodate the material flow from Tibet around the
2009). The Talas-Fergana dextral strike-slip fault sepa- northeastern edge of India. Another distinct tectonic
rates the central part of Tien Shan belt from the West feature of the region related to the India–Eurasia colli-
Tien Shan. This geometry is the result of the under- sion is the Sagaing fault on Myanmar. This fault sepa-
thrusting of the Tarim block beneath Southern Tien rates the Cretaceous–Tertiary Burma volcanic arc,
Shan and the thrusting of the Pamir block onto southern which is related to the subduction zone and the flat
Kyrgyz Tien Shan, respectively (Buslov et al. 2007). Neocene Central Basin, from the westernmost extension
Although this orogenic belt is located at about of Sundaland block, which is not considered as a part of
2,000 km far from the collision zone, it is considered stable Eurasia (Simons et al. 1999; Pivnik et al. 1998;
as a result of a continent–continent convergence be- Morley 2002). This N–S-oriented right lateral fault is
tween India and Eurasia, with the present maximum placed east of the collision zone, extends over 1,200 km,
shortening rate being 13–23 mm/year (Abdrakhmatov and connects to the south with the Andaman spreading
et al. 1996). zone (Bertrand and Rangin 2003).
544 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Moving south, Andaman Sea opened during Ceno- environments around the world using this approach,
zoic after a number of extensional episodes. It is an which has been successfully applied in numerous seis-
active backarc extensional basin caused by the oblique mically active regions or areas with intraplate seismicity
convergent between Indian–Asian plates. The original (e.g., Plenefisch and Bonjer 1997; Kiratzi 2002; Mandal
collision between these two plates with normal conver- and Horton 2007), as well as in subduction zones (Li
gence has led to a clockwise rotation and bending of the et al. 1995; Christova 2001; 2004; 2005; Ghimire and
north and west edge of Sunda Arc. This rotation caused Kasahara 2009). We have used the FMSI results as the
the extension of pre-existing faults both to the north and first approach for the determination of regional stress
south, reaching near the outer arc offshore of Sumatra field. The stress model selected by this method (over a
and up to the Sagaing fault (Curray 2005; Khan 2007). large number of possible solutions) is the one with the
A succession of small strike-slip faults and ridges has smallest rotation misfit between the predicted slip model
been formed between Sagaing fault, West Andaman, and all slip observations.
and Seuliman fault that leads to the right lateral Sumatra Using the determined FMSI solutions for each study
fault system, which accommodates the strike-slip move- area, we adopted a modified approach, where we con-
ment south of Andaman Sea. sider that, for a distribution of possible FMSI stress
Plate motions in the study area depicted by GPS models for a specific fault plane solution data set, the
velocity vectors with respect to stable Eurasia (reference best stress model is the one with all three axes being
point: GPS station ARTU) show that Arabian, African, closest to the corresponding Fisher mean directions. In
and Indian plates are moving towards Eurasia with this case, minimum misfit is not the only rule considered
different velocities but similar directions (~NNE). Cen- for the selection of the final stress model. A modified
tral Asia moves slowly towards the east, whereas in its computer program FD-BSM has been developed in this
southeasternmost part (Sundaland), the dominant mo- work on the basis of this idea.
tion is clockwise rotation to SSE (Fig. 2). Almost 60 % The stress regime of several large or smaller seg-
of the total convergence rate between India and Asia is ments of the study region has been examined previously
consumed by the deformation inside the Eurasian plate by several scientists using a variety of methods. The
(England and Molnar 1997). Additional information on main difference in this work is that we attempt to pro-
the current plate motion and the corresponding surface vide a unified and complete picture of the stress field
deformation in this region can be also obtained from the and its spatial variation over the entire Central Asia and
stress regime, as this is defined by the direction of the its surroundings. In addition, we present evidence that
principal stress axes along high seismicity deformation the modified approach of FD-BSM employed in this
regions. In the present work, we examine the stress work provides more stable stress models in cases of
distribution in the broad region of Central Asia using small data sets or complex stress regime in comparison
two alternative approaches based on the determination to FMSI of more recent approaches such as the modifi-
of the regional stress from focal mechanisms of strong cations of Michael’s method (Michael 1984, 1987) as
earthquakes. proposed by Vavrycuk (2014).
Over the last decades, based on the assumption that
the deviatoric stress tensor over an examined area is
uniform, several researches have proposed different in- 2 Stress tensor estimation
version methods and strategies for the determination of a
uniform stress tensor that minimizes the difference be- When the slip occurs on a pre-existing rupture, the
tween the predicted shear stress direction and the re- maximum compressive stress may have an orientation
solved slip direction on each fault plane (Carey and anywhere within the dilatational quadrant of the focal
Brunier 1974; Angelier 1979, 1984; Vasseur et al. mechanism (McKenzie 1969). This suggests that the
1983; Gephart and Forsyth 1984; Carey-Gailhardis principal stress directions are poorly constrained by a
and Mercier 1987; Michael 1984, 1987). In this work, single fault plane solution. However, if a variety of focal
we employed FMSI (Gephart and Forsyth 1984), one of mechanisms are available in a region with uniform
the most commonly used stress inversion methods. stress, then both principal stress directions and a mea-
Earthquake focal mechanisms have been used for the sure of relative stress magnitudes can be determined.
determination of the stress field in different tectonic For each fault plane, slip will occur in the direction of
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 545

Fig. 2 Plate motions depicted by GPS velocities (white arrows) at Solid lines depict major tectonic boundaries, while the dashed line
several sites within the study area (original GPS velocities from the outlines the boundary of the Amuria microplate, which is consid-
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, in ered by several researchers to be separated from Eurasia (modified
association with NASA). All velocities are referenced to the sta- from Petit and Fournier 2005)
tion ARTU, which is considered to be located in stable Eurasia.

resolved shear stress (Bott 1959); hence, every focal Every possible stress model calculated by FMSI in-
mechanism provides additional constrains on the stress- cludes maximum σ1, medium σ2 and minimum σ3 com-
es that are responsible for the fault motion. pressive stress directions, and a measure of relative
The Focal Mechanism Stress Inversion program stress magnitudes R=(σ2 −σ1)/(σ3 −σ1). In this way, the
(FMSI) by Gephart and Forsyth (1984) is based on the number of necessary parameters can be limited in four
previous theory, aiming to extract maximum informa- and the two thirds of all information in the stress tensor
tion for the best-fitting regional stress tensor from a are calculated. As mentioned earlier, the best-fitting
group of observed earthquake focal mechanisms. The regional stress tensor for the examined data group is
basic assumptions of this method are the following: (a) given by the stress model with the smallest slip misfit
stress in the region is spatially and temporally uniform between all observations and the model predictions.
and (b) slip occurs in the direction of the resolved shear Using this approach, results in regions of uniform
stress on any fault plane. During the inversion, the stress state are obtained when a sufficient number of
program performs a grid search of possible stress data is available. However, since the stress tensor is
models in order to find the one which requires the selected only on the basis of angular rotation (misfit),
smallest total rotation of all fault planes to match the in several cases, the selected model is often located at
predicted and observed slip directions. the edge of the spatial distribution of all possible prin-
As is well known, stress is a symmetric second-rank cipal axes calculated by the method (Fig. 3) within the
tensor characterized by six independent parameters. 95 % confidence limit. Moreover, in cases where the
546 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Fig. 3 Example of the stress model proposed by FMSI (stars) FD-BSM is shown in squares. Large circles correspond to the
located at the edge of the 95 % confidence angular distribution of mean Fisher axis of each distribution. Compression (P), extension
all three principal axes calculated by FMSI for the grid search (T), and intermediate (B) axes are denoted by black dots, gray
(group 6.1.8 in Fig. 6). The corresponding stress model defined by squares, and gray triangles, respectively

 
original data show significant variability or poor cover- R*
age, the algorithm results, obtained by using different δ ¼ cos−1 ð3Þ
N
data subsets, may vary substantially.
Confidence limits around the mean direction in Fish-
The BFisher Distribution–Best Stress Model^ pro-
er statistics are expressed as an angular radius from the
gram (FD-BSM), developed in this work, is a modified
calculated mean. For a set of N data distributed on a
approach in an attempt to minimize these problems
sphere with a confidence limit (1−p), the angle a(1−p)
using the Fisher distribution. This probability density
within which the unknown true mean lies is calculated
function, named after the British statistician R.A. Fisher,
by:
is commonly used for modelling 3D orientation vectors. "  1 #
A Fisher distribution PdA(θ) describes the angular distri- N −R* 1 N −1
cosað1−pÞ ¼ 1− * −1 ð4Þ
bution of directions about a mean orientation vector, is R p
azimuthally symmetric about the mean, and gives the
probability per unit angular area of finding a direction Using the Fisher distribution, FD-BSM selects the
within an angular area dA centered at an angle θ from the best over a set of possible stress models produced by
true mean. For a point distribution on a unit radius FMSI, considering a Fisher distribution for each one of
sphere, this function is given by: the three principal stress axes, using the 95 % confi-
dence areas of the FMSI solutions. The idea is that
k among the large number of possible stress models esti-
PdAðθÞ ¼ expðkcosθÞ ð1Þ
4πsinhðk Þ mated by FMSI, the best model is the one where all three
stress axes are closer to the corresponding Fisher mean
The quality of the distribution about the true mean
directions. In this case, the minimum misfit is not con-
direction is measured by variable k. If k=0, the distribu-
sidered as the single measure for the selection of the
tion of directions is uniform over the sphere. When k
final stress model.
approaches infinity, then all directions are concentrated
More specifically, for every data group, the entire set
at the mean direction. The precision parameter for a
of possible stress models calculated by FMSI (for a
finite set of N directions can be calculated by:
specific confidence level) exhibits a certain distribution
N −1 of the three main stress axes. These models are also the
k¼ ð2Þ input data for FD-BSM. Since possible directions for
N −R*
maximum, medium, and minimum compressive stress
where R* is the length of the mean direction vector do not show the same concentration, the angular disper-
for N population (R*≤N). More frequently, the angular sion of possible σ1, σ2, and σ3 axes is examined sepa-
standard deviation is measured with the use of the rately, and the mean direction for every distribution, as
angular dispersion δ: well as the corresponding precision parameter k, and the
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 547

angular standard deviation, δ are initially calculated (2000) who showed that large errors in depth and focal
(circles in the example of Fig. 3). mechanism can arise in long-period CMT determina-
FD-BSM program follows a three-step procedure (one tions, such as those published by Harvard. Because of
for every axis) in order to select the optimum stress tensor. this limitation, in 20 cases where more than one focal
Starting from the axis with the most concentrated distribu- mechanism solutions were available (both from Harvard
tion (larger k parameter), it rejects all directions outside the and Qin et al. 2002), we rejected the focal parameters
angular standard deviation δ. All stress models correspond- and CMT solution proposed by Harvard. We also com-
ing to the accepted axis directions are the input data for the pared Harvard CMT catalogue with the Centennial Cat-
following steps. After the recalculation of the mean Fisher alog which uses an improved velocity model (Engdahl
direction for the remaining axes using only the selected and Villasenor 2002), as well as ISC and NEIC cata-
models, the second best determined axis is examined by logues. Focal parameters of all common events were
the same procedure and a number of proposed stress adopted by the Centennial Catalog when available
models are also excluded. The above step is also repeated (2,173 cases), otherwise from the corresponding solu-
for the third, most dispersed axis. After these three repeat- tions of ISC or NEIC.
ing reductions of the possible stress models, the one with According to the seismicity distribution and the ma-
the minimum misfit is finally adopted as the final stress jor tectonic features (Fig. 5), the examined area was
tensor among the remaining solutions (squares in the ex- divided into seven sub-regions in order to examine in
ample of Fig. 3). detail the stress variation in the vicinity of the major
active fault zones. Data in each one of these regions
were separated in smaller groups, according to the spa-
3 Data—clustering criteria tial distribution and the type of the corresponding focal
mechanisms (Fig. 6). In this approach, earthquakes with
Our data set includes focal mechanisms of 4,270 earth- similar focal mechanisms, located near the same fault or
quakes (Mw>4.0), which have occurred within the within a fault zone, were considered as members of the
study area in 1908–2009, selected from three different same group. In three of these regions, earthquakes of
sources (Table 1). The majority has been retrieved from intermediate or large depth were also present; hence, an
the Harvard CMT Catalogue (3,822 events). Focal additional separation according to focal depth was per-
mechanisms collected by Qin et al. (2002) were used formed. Following this procedure, we determined a total
for 441 earthquakes that occurred in China and number of 138 spatial data groups. Since no information
surrounding regions. We also included seven on the quality of the focal mechanisms was available
additional focal mechanisms calculated by various and since large earthquakes are not only important for
researchers and published by Verma and Reddy (1988) the stress estimation but also their focal mechanisms are
concerning events that occurred in the Tibetan plateau well defined, we weighted all events according to their
before 1977 (Fig. 4). magnitude in order to minimize the influence of small
We consider the epicenter and depth calculated by events to the results. Moreover, after initial test inver-
Harvard as less accurate than the corresponding sions via FMSI, we excluded a limited number of outlier
solutions from other sources. This follows Maggi et al. focal mechanisms which exhibited a large misfit (F>

Table 1 List of data used in this study

Data source Region of interest Time period Num of Focal mechanisms


covered data used by

Harvard CMT catalogue Worldwide 1976–2009 3,822 GCMT


Qin et al. (2002) China, northern India, 1800–2000 441 China Seismological Bureau, Holt et al. (1995),
Mongolia, southern Siberia Molnar and Lyon-Caen (1989), ISC bulletin,
NEIC bulletin
Verma and Reddy (1988) Tibetan plateau, Southwest 1951–1977 7 Verma and Reddy (1988), Shirokova (1979),
China Chandra (1977 and 1981), Molnar and Chen
(1983)
548 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Fig. 4 Distribution of focal mechanisms used in the present work. The color reflects the data source (black for Harvard CMT catalogue,
dark gray for Qin et al. 2002, and light gray for Verma and Reddy 1988)

40°) of either of the two nodal planes. The finally This approach is a modification of Michael’s stress
employed number of data for each group is presented inversion method (Michael 1984, 1987) where the Bfault
in Appendix 1 in the electronic supplement of this instability constrain^ proposed by Lund and Slunga
manuscript (Online Resource 1). The data for each one (1999) is used in order to improve the results by
of these groups was processed both with FMSI and FD- inverting both for stress and fault orientations.
BSM programs, and two stress models were defined for All original groups of regions 1 and 5 containing
every group, one from each algorithm. more than ten focal mechanisms were randomly sepa-
rated in two half data sets, which were both processed
by FMSI, FD-BSM, and STRESSINVERSE algo-
4 Comparison of stress tensors obtained by both rithms. Smaller groups were not used since every half
approaches data set should include at least five focal mechanisms to
constrain a stress tensor solution. Using this procedure,
Estimation of the stress tensors by the two proposed 39 original data groups were used to create 78 new half
methods often leads to solutions that exhibit significant data groups.
differences. We performed an indicative evaluation of For every new data set (half data group), the selected
the performance of each method using the data of two stress models (by FMSI, FD-BSM, and
(out of seven) regions (randomly selected) in order to STRESSINVERSE) were compared with the corre-
check the final model robustness. For evaluation rea- sponding models of the original (complete data) groups.
sons, the same test was also performed with a third, The angular variance between the complete and half
recently proposed stress inversion method data solutions was examined by: (a) the angular differ-
(STRESSINVERSE) developed by Vavrycuk (2014). ence for each stress axis (maximum, medium, and
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 549

Fig. 5 Major tectonic features (plate boundaries and major faults) et al. 2004; Tapponnier et al. 1981; Tiberi et al. 2003; Manighetti
for the Central Asia area, as these are reported by several re- et al. 1997; Socquet and Pubellier 2005; Curray 2005, among
searchers (Taylor and Yin 2009; Walpersdorf et al. 2006; Walker others)

minimum compression) and (b) the dispersion quality (the angular difference between results from the half
(best, medium, and worst distribution of the original data and the original data sets is often less than 10°),
FMSI results; Fig. 7). In general, the obtained compar- but there are cases that the derived stress axes for half
ison results were similar, regardless of the criterion data sets vary up to nearly 90° from the original solu-
employed. tions. On the other hand, the angular difference between
As can be seen from Fig. 7, this application revealed the original and the half data proposed models by FD-
locally significant differences between the three ap- BSM never exceeds the value of 55°. Furthermore, the
proaches. Although the stress axes angular differences results from the FD-BSM program are quite well de-
for the half data sets derived from the FMSI method are scribed by the theoretically expected half normal distri-
more frequently less than 5° from the originally (com- bution (chi probability density function with 1 degree of
plete datasets) proposed axes, the corresponding angular freedom; see corresponding histograms in Fig. 7),
variance is generally quite larger than the one resulting whereas results from FMSI and STRESSINVERSE ex-
from the application of the FD-BSM algorithm. This is hibit a significant number of outliers.
mainly due to the fact that FMSI derives stress axes for In practice, it is obvious that results from all evaluat-
half data sets that vary up to 85° from the original ed methods will depend strongly on the number of data,
solutions (complete datasets); hence, it has the tendency as well as on the quality of focal mechanisms that are
to exhibit local instabilities. Similar problems are noted used in the process. Different data sets for the same
in the stress models proposed by the STRESSINVERSE region may often lead to different stress models, espe-
method. Best results are observed for the best cially if the stress state of the region is not uniform
constrained principal stress axis which is quite stable enough. This problem is better handled by the modified
550 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Fig. 6 Earthquake groups defined for all seven regions of the present study. Groups with larger focal depths in regions 2, 6, and 7 are
denoted by open ellipses

approach of FD-BSM since all three axes of the selected the seven main sub-regions examined in the present
stress model also depend on the Fisher mean of each work.
possible axis distribution. For smaller or different data
groups, the resulting axes distribution might be worse; Region 1 This area extends mostly in Iran, Afghanistan,
however, the Fisher mean is more robust, as it does not and Pakistan. Zagros, Caucasus, and the Alborz fault
change significantly (Fig. 7). Hence, the finally selected zones, as well as the Copeh Dagh and Chaman faults are
model is closer to the one from a complete data set. some of the most typical tectonic features in this area
located between Caspian Sea, Persian Gulf, and Arabian
Sea. Focal mechanisms of 399 earthquakes separated in
26 groups were examined for this area. For 12 groups,
5 Results—comparison with the tectonic profile the results from both methods were identical.
Along Zagros Mountains, compression has a direc-
Stress tensors calculated by both FMSI and FD-BSM tion normal to the continental collision zone (Fig. 8).
methods provide indirect information about the current The transition between Zagros and the oceanic subduc-
plate motions and the deformation of the broader study tion zone of Makran is accommodated in the Zendan-
area [see Appendix 2 in the electronic supplement Minab-Palami fault system (groups 1.16, 1.17, and
(Online Resource 1)]. A detailed examination of both 1.18). The first two groups include earthquakes from
results for the entire region reveals interesting differences reverse faults, with depths up to 60–70 km, whereas the
between the corresponding stress tensors suggested by strike-slip focal mechanisms in group 1.18 occur at
the two methods for several data groups. Moreover, shallower depths. Both methods suggest an almost N–
detailed features of the stress-field variation are obtained S compression for group 1.16. The direction of maxi-
and compared with active tectonics, leading to a locally mum compression axis, σ1, by FD-BSM for the other
revised view of the seismotectonic setting of the studied two groups in this area is in agreement with the results of
areas. In the following, we present the main results for Yamini et al. (2007) for deeper reverse (1.17) and
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 551

Fig. 7 Angular variation between original and half data group Diagrams are presented for the best, medium, and worst distribu-
results for the original FMSI (left), the modified FD-BSM ap- tion of all calculated stress models. A half normal (chi) distribution
proach (right), and the STRESSINVERSE method (middle). fit is presented for all distributions

shallower strike-slip (1.18) mechanisms around the moves northwestwards, underthrusting the Talesh
Strait of Hormoz, while the stress models by FMSI show Mountains. Both methods reveal a compressive stress
almost the same direction for σ1 (maximum compres- regime in this region oriented almost perpendicular to
sion of deeper reverse events) for both groups. The rest the thrust zone. Lyberis and Manby (1999), based on
of the shortening in this subregion is mainly accommo- geological evidence, pointed out that the Kopeh Dagh
dated through the transform faults around Dasht-e-Lut, structures continue NW to the Cheleken peninsula and
the major fault zones around South Caspian Sea and the Balkhan region, gradually buried under a thick sedimen-
Kopeh Dagh Mountains. Stress models by both methods tary layer. They also came to the conclusion that the
coincide for these tectonic features. The Caspian Sea oblique right lateral shortening of the entire belt might
552 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Fig. 8 Study area 1: Major faults (bold lines), epicenters (circles), Zagros Thrust, ZFF Zagros Frontal fault, KZF Kazerun fault, M
and best stress model selected by FD-BSM (large arrows) and Makran, HB Helmand block, CHF Chaman fault, HF Heart fault,
FMSI (small arrows). Major fault names: CF Caucasus fault, KDF SFB Sulaiman fold belt, MFT Main Frontal Thrust, DT Dalrymble
Kopeh Dagh fault, A Alborz fault, TF Talesh fault, DF Doruneh Trough, MNZ Minab-Zendan fault
fault, NF Naybabd fault, MRF Main Recent fault, MZT Main

be the result of shortening and strike-slip movement on deeper than 160 km), similar to the proposal of
separate faults. The FD-BSM model in Balkhan region Pegler and Das (1998) for this area.
(1.3) fits well with these observations as it suggests a Regarding the stress field of the area, the shallow
compressive stress regime, while the model by FMSI seismicity in the Hindu Kush-Pamir seems to be uncorre-
shows a completely different pattern (radial extensive). lated to the earthquakes that occur at larger depths. Seis-
This zone is a typical example of the robustness of FD- micity in this layer is probably mainly affected by the
BSM, in comparison to FMSI, allowing the determina- Indian–Eurasian collision (Billington et al. 1977; Khan
tion of a reliable stress model, locally consistent with 2003). Data in this depth range were divided into 16
regional tectonics. groups, taking into account the type of the earthquake focal
mechanisms and the major active faults. Notice that north-
eastward of Pamir (group 2.1.16), the orientation of the
Region 2 Hindu Kush, Pamir, and the fault belt of compressive stress regime by FD-BSM is similar to the
Tien Shan are the dominant tectonic features in this orientation of the compressional axis proposed by both
area. Beside the shallow seismicity, intermediate- programs for the neighboring groups 2.1.14 (Talash Fer-
depth and deep earthquakes also occur in this region. gana fault) and 2.1.5 (Tien Shan), whereas the correspond-
After examination of several depth profiles for the ing model by FMSI changes, becoming almost parallel to
regional data, we separated them in three sets ac- the direction of the compressive axis suggested for group
cording to their depth range (0–60, 60–160, and 2.1.7 in the west.
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 553

Fig. 9 Study area 2: separated in three depth layers: (a) first layer also shown. Major fault names: TFF Talas-Fergana fault, MPT
(2.1), depth range: 0–60 km, (b) second layer (2.2), depth range: Main Pamir Thrust, MKT Main Karakorum Thrust, WTS West
60–160 km, and (c) third layer (2.3), depth range: 160–300 km. Tien Shan, SBF South Boundary fault, NBF North Boundary fault,
Major faults (bold lines), epicenters (circles), and stress tensors JNF Junggar fault
selected by FD-BSM (large arrows) and FMSI (small arrows) are

Earthquakes with depths larger than 60 km (layers 2 1977; Pegler and Das 1998) is still open. From the depth
and 3) are concentrated only in the Hindu Kush–Pamir cross-sections in this area (Fig. 10), we can confirm the
region in contrast with the outspread shallow seismicity. abrupt subduction of the slab (dashed line) and the
The results from both methods are in good agreement occurrence of a second earthquake distribution in profile
for all three groups of the second layer (Fig. 9, area 2.2). 2.3 (dashed dotted line). This second Bsupposed^ slab is
The third layer (h>160 km) contains earthquakes which characterized by a low subduction angle oriented from
occurred within a small region under Hindu Kush and SW to NE, and the corresponding projections of the
which are examined as a single group. Models selected selected stress models show extension perpendicular to
from both methods suggest a nearly horizontal maxi- the slab direction (group 2.2.2). Although we cannot
mum compression axis, oriented NNW–SSE (Fig. 9, conclude in certainty whether intermediate depth seis-
area 2.3). The stress regime according to FD-BSM is a micity in this region is better explained by the one or the
rather radial compression, whereas FMSI calculates a two-slab hypothesis, the subduction direction of both
simple uni-axial compression model. pieces of lithosphere is similar, an observation that is
Previous studies seem to rule out the hypothesis of more compatible with the single slab model. The two
oceanic lithosphere subducting under Hindu Kush and seismicity clusters in this case might be explained by a
Pamir (Vinnik et al. 1977; Tapponnier et al. 1981; Searle tear in the slab and the overturn of the piece under
et al. 2001); however, the question about the presence of Pamir, as proposed by Pegler and Das (1998).
one (Chatelain et al. 1980; Khan 2003) or two different A second observation is the occurrence of sparse
lithosphere slabs (Vinnik et al. 1977; Billington et al. seismicity between intermediate and deeper earthquakes
554 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Fig. 10 Depth variation of stress along selected profiles in the plotted in the bottom side by small arrows. The corresponding
broader Hindu Kush–Pamir region (profile half width: 100 km). FD-BSM models are also shown with large arrows. The thick
Maximum–minimum compression axes of the original focal dashed line depicts the suggested Benioff zone, while the dashed
mechanism data are depicted in the top side of each profile with dotted line shows the second earthquake distribution in profile 2.3
small arrows, while projection of FMSI selected models are (A–B3)

(depths between 150 and 180 km), as observed in pre- data, as well from the selected stress models by both
vious studies (Pegler and Das 1998; Searle et al. 2001). methods; however, the orientation of the extensional
According to Searle et al. (2001), this may represent the axes of the FD-BSM-derived tensors suggests a smooth-
depth at which the eclogitic root detaches and sinks into er variation of the orientation with depth for groups
the mantle. The lithosphere under Hindu Kush dips 2.2.3 and 2.3.1. This almost vertical down-dip extension
steeply, as shown by both P and T axes of earthquake indicates that subduction under Hindu-Kush is gravity
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 555

Fig. 11 Study area 3: Major faults (bold lines), epicenters (cir- fault, HR Hetao rift, A.Mts Altai Mountains, BF Bolnai fault, WSF
cles), and best stress model selected by FD-BSM (large arrows) West Sayan fault, ESF East Sayan fault, S.Mts Stanovoy
and FMSI (small arrows). Major fault names: GAF Gobi-Altay Mountains

Fig. 12 Study area 4: Major faults (bold lines), epicenters (cir- fault, SF Socotra fault, SR Sheba ridge, OF Owen fault, OFZ
cles), and best stress model selected by FD-BSM (large arrows) Owen Fracture Zone, CR Carlsberg ridge
and FMSI (small arrows). Major fault names: AFF Alula-Fartak
556 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

Fig. 13 Study area 5: Major faults (bold lines), epicenters (cir- fault, WKF West Kunlun fault, EKF East Kunlun fault, ATF Altyn
cles), and best stress model selected by FD-BSM (large arrows) Tagh fault, LF Longmanshan fault, QDF Qinling-Dable fault,
and FMSI (small arrows). Major fault names: HFT Himalayan HYF Haiyuan fault
Frontal Thrust, KF Karakorum fault, JF Jiali fault, XF Xianshuhe

controlled. Stress models selected for groups 2.2.2 and also offset by the left lateral Owen transform fault. This
especially 2.2.1 under Pamir with an almost horizontal fault appears as the south continuation of the Owen
extensional axis following the trend of the twisted seis- Fracture zone, but between this and the Owen transform
mic zone are in good agreement with a slab deformed fault, there is a lack of seismicity in a region of about
due to flow in upper mantle as proposed by Pegler and 250 km and they move in an opposite direction
Das (1998). (Fournier et al. 2001).
Data along the plate boundaries of Africa–Arabia–
Region 3 Part of the India–Asia collision influence is India define a clear stress regime in all cases (extension
expressed as a deformation of large tectonic features, or strike-slip). Seismicity in this region is distributed
quite far from the collision zone, like the Altai Moun- along the ridges and transform faults of the plate bound-
tains in South Mongolia and the Baikal rift system. The aries and the stress models proposed by both methods
available data were grouped in nine zones. In five cases, are practically the same for almost all groups (Fig. 12).
both methods gave identical results (Fig. 11). Left lateral
movement on east–west-oriented faults and right lateral Region 5 The most impressive result of the India–Asia
on north–northeast faults in the Altai zone, as well as collision concerns the Tibetan plateau, which is charac-
extension in the Baikal rift system have been also iden- terized by ENE–WSW to NW–SE trending strike-slip
tified as a result of this influence (Tapponnier and faults and normal faults related to roughly NE–SW
Molnar 1979). Stress models for all groups from both lineaments and faults. Twenty-nine groups of data were
methods in this region are in good agreement with the examined in this area. In 12 cases, the selected stress
previous observations. models from both methods were the same (Fig. 13). The
stress regime over a large part of Tibet is extensional
Region 4 This area is characterized by the Arabian plate compared to the compression along the Himalayan fron-
divergence from Africa, moving to the NE at a rate of tal thrust and to the strike-slip stress regime along very
about 2 cm/year (Garfunkel 1981; Hubert-Ferrari et al. large transform faults that separate different geological
2003) and propagating a discontinuous ridge in the Gulf structures inside the plateau (Verma and Reddy 1988;
of Aden, one of the slowest plate boundaries on Earth. Taylor and Yin 2009). Eastward extraction around the
The dextral Alula Fartak fault separates this Gulf from eastern Himalayan front is also observed in the GPS
Sheba ridge, and these two parts are offset by approxi- measurements and neotectonic studies (Liu et al. 2007).
mately 200 km (Taylor et al. 2009). On the other hand, Stress models selected by both methods for groups in
the eastern part of Sheba ridge and Carlsberg ridge are this region follow the known general directions of
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Fig. 14 Study area 6: examined in two depth layers: (a) first layer Wanding fault, NNF Nantig fault, SF Sagaing fault, DBPF Dien
(6.1) depth range: 0–90 km, (b) second layer (6.2) depth range: Bien Phu fault, WCF Wang Chao fault, MXF Mengxing fault,
90–160 km. Major fault names: LTF Litang fault, XF Xianshuhe NMF Nam Ma fault, LKF Lincang fault
fault, GSF Gaoligong Shan fault, RRF Red River fault, WF

maximum or minimum compression quite consistently; depths of 60–90 km and were included in three of these
however, there are a few cases where the stress orienta- groups (6.1.3, 6.1.4, and 6.1.5). Deeper earthquakes
tion seems to locally vary in comparison to the sur- occur only in the western part of the region, where the
rounding groups. Maximum compression axes from subduction zone has developed from the collision be-
FMSI models for groups 5.15 and 5.22, as well as the tween the two plates; hence, these zones were examined
extensional axis of the second group (5.22), have a as a separate depth layer (Fig. 14, area 6.2).
different orientation with respect to the neighboring The material flow from the Tibetan plateau to
selected stress models, a possible indication of the algo- Sundaland (Leloup et al. 1995; Liu et al. 2007) is well
rithm instability previously noted, in contrast to FD- presented by the stress models of both methods. Western
BSM which exhibits more spatially coherent results, Yunnan (China) is considered as junction between Eur-
indirectly verifying its robust behavior. asia, India, Sundaland, and the South China block
(Socquet and Pubellier 2005). Gaoling and Red River
Region 6 Most of the data correspond to shallow events separate Sundaland from the South China block. This
(depth<60 km), and they were grouped into 15 sets fault system, along with the fault zone of Xianshuhe
(Fig. 14, area 6.1). A few earthquakes have occurred at and Litang, defines three areas with different stress
558 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565
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ƒFig. 15 Depth variation of stress along selected profiles in the nearly N–S extension prevails. Between the Litang and
broader Myanmar region (profile half width, 100 km). Maximum Gaoling faults, extension rotates almost 90° and occurs in
and minimum compression axes of original focal mechanism data
a WSW–ENE direction. West of the Red River system,
are depicted on the top side of each profile with small arrows. The
projections of the FMSI-selected stress models are plotted at the where extraction from Tibet continues, the maximum
bottom side by small arrows, while the corresponding FDBSM compression maintains a constant NE–SW direction and
stress models are depicted by large arrows. The thick dashed lines extension varies around a mean NW–SE direction. It
show the suggested Benioff zone
should be noted that the orientation of the maximum
compression axis of the FMSI selected stress model for
orientation. Xianshuhe-Litang is the boundary of the group 6.1.11 is rotated with respect to the compression
eastward expansion of Tibet (Liu et al. 2007). East of this axes of the surrounding groups, again showing this occa-
fault zone, inside the China block, a strike-slip stress sional instability. The right lateral Sagaing fault in the
regime with WNW–ESE maximum compression and west sets the boundary of India’s sliding along Sundaland

Fig. 16 Study area 7: examined in three layers: (a) first layer (7.1) fault names: WCF Wang Chao fault, TPF Three Pagodas fault,
depth range: 0–60 km, (b) second layer (7.2) depth range: 60– WAF West Andaman fault, SMF Sumatran fault, SEF Seuliman
90 km, and (c) third layer (7.3) depth range: 90–230 km. Major fault, MNF Mentawai fault
560 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565
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ƒFig. 17 Depth variation of stress along selected profiles in the the depth of 80 km, following the subduction trend. On
broader Sumatra region (profile half width, 100 km). Maximum the contrary in FMSI models for groups 6.1.3, 6.1.4 are
and minimum compression axes of original focal mechanism data
projected as sub-horizontal E–W extension, not follow-
are depicted on the top side of each profile with small arrows. The
projections of the FMSI-selected stress models are plotted at the ing the general geotectonic pattern.
bottom side by small arrows, while the corresponding FDBSM
stress models are depicted by large arrows. The thick dashed line
shows the suggested Benioff zone Region 7 Further south, the age, as well as the dip angle
and slip obliquity of the subduction zone, decrease from
in agreement with the northward movement of the Indian the northern Andaman Sea to the Sumatra segment
plate across the Sunda block (Socquet et al. 2006). (Kennet and Cummins 2005). Several depth cross-
Low angle dipping of the Indian plate under West sections suggested the data separation in three depth
Burma block due to the oblique collision of the two layers, including earthquakes with depths 0–60, 60–
plates is shown in profiles 6.1–6.5 (Fig. 15). A steeper 90, and deeper than 90 km. Shallow data in the first
dipping is observed in the second cross-section, proba- layer were further separated in 24 spatial groups. Results
bly due to the profiles’ orientation. Viewing these pro- from both methods were identical in 12 cases (Fig. 16,
files from north to south, we observe that groups in area 7.1), mainly for data groups inside the arc, where
profile 6.1 concern only shallow earthquakes east of the dominant stress field pattern is rather evident.
the Sagaing fault. In profiles 6.2–6.4, extension prevails Convergent and strike-slip motion components are
in almost all projected stress models, as well as in the partitioned between the subduction zone and the
corresponding original FPS data, providing a good pic- Sagaing-Sumatran fault system, respectively (Fitch
ture of the subducting slab down to a depth of 160 km. 1972; McCaffrey 1992). Stress models from both
According to FD-BSM results, as well as the P and T methods along this fault system are consistent with this
axes of the original data, the extension maintains a rather strike-slip motion, as well as the extensional stress regime
stable orientation with depth, becoming steeper below calculated near normal faults, which were formed in this

Fig. 18 Regional stress regime for the broader Central Asia, according to the final FD-BSM results for shallow seismicity (black:
compression, gray: strike-slip regime, light gray: extension)
562 J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565

area from the extension episodes which caused the stress inversion method (Vavrycuk 2014). Moreover, the
Andaman Sea opening. On the other hand, shallow seis- improvement of the obtained results with the modified
micity along the arc front is more diffuse, leading to a FD-BSM approach was also verified in practice by the
dominant compressive stress regime for most arc sec- detailed results obtained in the present work, which
tions. Extensive stresses are observed for some groups, provided encouraging evidence regarding the modified
mainly in the central and north part of the arc, probably as algorithm efficiency. In general, results from FD-BSM
a result of the high obliquity of the subducted zone. The show a smoother spatial variation of the determined
maximum compression of shallow seismicity maintains a stress field in agreement with the orientation change of
rather constant NE–SW orientation for the whole region the major tectonic lines for almost all examined regions.
that shifts to almost E–W in the central and north part of Similar observations can be made for the three depth
the frontal zone. An exception is observed for the corre- cross-sections concerning the areas of Pamir, Myanmar,
sponding axis of the stress model selected by FMSI for and Sumatra (Figs. 10, 15 and 17) where deeper earth-
group 7.1.19, which is surprisingly oriented N–S, possi- quakes occur. In Hindu Kush and Pamir (Fig. 10), the
bly an additional indication of the aforementioned insta- projection of stress axes determined from FMSI for
bility effect. Extension, on the other hand, changes from groups 2.1.12 (shallow events) and 2.2.3 (deeper events)
E–W in the southern arc to NNW–SSE direction in the show significant deviations with respect to the orienta-
northern part. tion of P and T axes from the original data. A similar
Profiles 7.1–7.5 (Fig. 17) have been drawn normal to Binconsistency^ can be observed in the FMSI results for
the main strike of the collision zone. All profiles show the profiles of Myanmar (Fig. 15). Groups 6.1.12, 6.1.1,
the rather steep subduction to the north, changing grad- 6.1.3, and 6.1.4 differ in orientation when compared to
ually to shallow low-angle dipping as we move south- the individual earthquake stress axes. Furthermore, in
wards in agreement with Dasgumpta et al. (2003), the case of 6.1.1, the projection of the selected stress
Kennett and Cummins (2005), and Radhakrishna et al. model is compressive, whereas the corresponding
(2008). Deeper seismicity in this area extends down to projected stress axes from the individual focal mecha-
200 km in agreement with a Benioff zone at this depth, nisms used, as well as the corresponding FD-BSM
as proposed by Mukhopadhyay (1984). Stress results, is extensional.
models in the second layer show the same charac- Profiles in the Indian Ocean collision zone (Fig. 17)
teristics with other subduction zones, e.g., the Hel- reveal two similar cases (7.1.11 and 7.1.9). The FD-
lenic arc, where the extension stress axes point to BSM results for the first of these groups, concerning
the center of the arc (Fig. 16, down-dip, in-slab shallow seismicity, show a compressive stress axis ori-
extension) and the maximum compression is al- ented close to the middle of the corresponding compres-
most parallel to the front, both at the center and sive directions between groups 7.1.12 and 7.1.9. On the
close to the edges of the arc (Kiratzi and other hand, the model selected by FMSI shows a nearly
Papazachos 1995; Papazachos et al. 2005). horizontal extension axis that does not agree with the
extension axes of the FPS data used. Group 7.1.9 marks
the beginning of crustal bending in profile 7.1 and the
extension axes of the original data follow the dipping
6 Conclusions direction. The corresponding stress model proposed by
FMSI has a compression axis oriented similar to the
Based on the idea that the adopted application of the extension direction of the regional FPS in the same
Fisher statistics on traditional stress inversion ap- profile, which further suggests a possible instability
proaches can improve the results of the well-known problem.
algorithm of stress inversion of Gephart and Forsyth Based on the above remarks, changes of minimum
(1984), a modified method, FD-BSM, was developed. (extension) or maximum (compression) stress orienta-
From a statistical point of view, the new algorithm tion throughout the study region appear to be spatially
results are less sensitive to different data sets or to a smoother and more coherent for the FD-BSM results
smaller number of input data, as demonstrated by com- than in the models selected by the original FMSI ap-
paring the results from halved data sets between the proach. This can be considered as an additional indica-
above approaches, as well as a third recently proposed tion that stress models selected by FD-BSM are more
J Seismol (2015) 19:541–565 563

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anonymous reviewers for their helpful reviews and comments. Microearthquake seismicity and fault plane solutions in the
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