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Errors in Statistics
Mahatma Gandhi
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8/2/22, 12:20 PM Type I and Type II Errors in Statistics (with PPT)
For the better understanding of statistical errors, it is essential to understand the concept of ‘Level of significance’, ‘Null hypothesis and ‘Alternate
hypothesis’.
Ø The level of significance in statistics denotes the confidence level of an investigator to accept or reject a null hypothesis in the statistical testing.
Ø A level of significance 0.05 denotes 95% confidence in the decision whereas; the level of significance 0.01 denotes 99% confidence.
Ø Such a low level of significance is selected to reduce the erroneous rejection of a null hypothesis (H0) after the statistical testing.
Ø Most commonly, the null hypothesis is a statement that the phenomenon being studied produces NO effect or makes NO difference.
Ø Example: (a study to investigate the effect of urea on the size of leaf in rice plants)
Null hypothesis: H0 – Urea does NOT have any effect on the leaf size of rice plants.
Ø The statistical tests only test the possible acceptance or rejection of the null hypothesis.
Ø Definition: The Alternate hypothesis is a statement created in the negation of the null hypothesis.
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8/2/22, 12:20 PM Type I and Type II Errors in Statistics (with PPT)
Ø Usually, the alternate hypothesis is a statement that the phenomenon being studied produces some effect or makes some differences.
Ø Example: (a study to investigate the effect of urea on the size of leaf in rice plants)
Alternate hypothesis: H1 – Urea have some effects on the leaf size of rice plants.
Ø The alternate hypothesis is always constructed in a positive sense. (negation of the negative null hypothesis)
Ø If a statistical test rejects the null hypothesis, the investigator has to accept the alternate hypothesis.
Ø Suppose an investigator made a decision to reject a true H0, then he/she has committed an error, called the Type I error.
Ø If a high level of significance is selected (0.1 or 0.2) in the statistical test, the probability of rejecting a null hypothesis increases.
Ø This means that, at high significance level, the chance of committing the type I error is high.
Ø Thus in order to avoid or reduce the type I error, a fairly low level of significance is selected (0.05 or 0.01).
Ø If an investigator selects a significance level (0.005 or 0.001) much lower than the conventional level, then the probability of rejecting a wrong null
hypothesis reduces.
Ø Because the type II error is the failure to detect an effect that is actually present.
Ø If the null hypothesis in hypothesis testing is failed to be rejected when it should have been rejected, the type II error is said to have been
committed.
Ø Lower levels of significance increase the chance of type II error in statistical test.
Ø Thus in order to avoid the type II error, very low level of significance should not be selected in the statistical test.
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8/2/22, 12:20 PM Type I and Type II Errors in Statistics (with PPT)
Key questions
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