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G11
Regional Office No. VIII - Eastern Visayas
Department of Education
Schools Division Office of Biliran
Larrazabal, Naval, Biliran
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
Grace I.
Sabordo
Subject
Teacher
LEARNING OBJECTIVES:
At the end of the module, you should be able to:
1. illustrate: (a) null hypothesis; (b) alternative hypothesis; (c) level of significance; (d) rejection
region; and (e) types of errors in hypothesis testing, and
2. identify the parameter to be tested given a real-life problem.
In the previous module, you were already introduced to one of the main areas of inferential statistics
which was estimation of parameter. In this module, we will discuss the second main area of inferential
statistics which is hypothesis testing.
Estimation of
Parameter
Descriptive
Hypothesis
Statistics
Testing
Inferential
What’s New
Activity: Weighing Decisions
The decisions we need to do in life are oftentimes hard. As we grow older, our problems become more
complicated so that decisions must be made with careful weighing of things. In weighing our choices in
life, our skill of discernment will be put to the test. Discernment is the ability to judge which things of a
particular kind are good and which are bad.
1. Null Hypothesis (H0) – is a statement saying that there is no significant difference between
population parameter and the specific value being claimed.
2. Alternative Hypothesis (H1) – is a statement saying that there is a significant difference between
population parameter and the specific value being claimed. This is a statement that will be true
once the null hypothesis is rejected.
Example #1
The Mathematics teacher claims that the mean IQ of Statistics students is 110. The mean IQ of the 32
randomly selected Statistics is 112 which is more than what the mathematics teacher claims. Can it be
concluded that the mean IQ of Statistics students is not 110?
In the given scenario, we are concerned with the population mean since our topic focuses on mean
IQ of Statistics students. Therefore, our parameter is…
Now, the claim of the Mathematics teachers is that the population mean is 110. Then our null
hypothesis is…
H0: The mean IQ of Statistics students is 110 or .
However, from a sample of 32 students, the computed sample mean is 112 which is not equal to
the claim of the mathematics teacher. Thus, our alternative hypothesis is… H1: The mean IQ of Statistic
students is not 110 or
Example #2
The LB Company produces an average of 4% defective bulbs each day. Recently, some of the
machines were upgraded. Out of the 400 bulbs randomly selected, only 14 bulbs were found defective.
Does this suggest that there is a decrease in the number of defective bulbs produced each day?
= the proportion of defective bulbs produced per day
H0: The proportion of defective bulbs produced per day is 4% or .
H1: The proportion of defective bulbs produced per day is less than 4% or .
It is note-worthy to remember that the null and alternative hypothesis cannot be true at the same
time. A statistical test will be conducted to the data from the sample in order to make a decision on
whether the null hypothesis should be rejected or not. In doing hypothesis testing, there are four
possibilities that could take place. They are illustrated in the table below.
pg. 3
Do not reject the Correct Decision Type II error
null hypothesis or
H0.
The table shows the two types of error that could occur when the decision made does not align with
the true state of nature. The two types of error are:
1. Type I error – is committed when the researcher rejects a null hypothesis when in fact it is true.
The probability of committing Type I error is called the level of significance. Alpha is used to
represent the probability of a Type I error.
2. Type II error – is committed when the researcher fails to reject a null hypothesis that is false.
Beta is used to represent the probability of a Type II error.
In our inference, we base our decision from only one sample. Thus, there is a possibility that we
may commit an error. However, to minimize the probability of committing a type I error, we can decrease
the value of also called the level of significance.
The level of significance, alpha , corresponds to the rejection region and the difference of one
and the alpha ( ) corresponds to the area of the curve occupied by the non-rejection region. The
most commonly used values for alpha are 0.01, 0.05, and 0.10. When the study deals with life and
death situations, it is advisable to use 0.01 or less but when it is on social research, it can simply use 5%
or 10%. For each level of significance, there corresponds a level of confidence ( ). For example, a
level of significance of 5% corresponds to a 95% level of confidence.
The rejection region (or critical region) is the range of values of the test value that indicates that
there is a significant difference between the actual value of the parameter and its hypothesized value.
This means that the null hypothesis should be rejected.
The non-rejection area (or non-critical region or acceptance region) is the range of values of the
test value that indicates that the difference was probably due to chance and that the null hypothesis
should be rejected.
To identify the rejection and non-rejection area, which will be our basis in accepting or rejecting
the null hypothesis H0, we need to identify the nature of our hypothesis first. The two types of test are
one-tailed test (or directional test) and two-tailed test (or non-directional test).
pg. 4
1. One-tailed test (or directional test)- the rejection region is on one side of the mean. If the
alternative hypothesis has the inequality symbol >, then it is a right-tailed test. When the
alternative hypothesis has the inequality symbol <, then it is a left-tailed test.
2. Two-tailed test (or non-directional test)- the rejection region is on both sides of the curve. If the
alternative hypothesis contains the inequality ( ) symbol, then the test is two-tailed. Alpha
which corresponds to the rejection region is divided equally between the two tails.
The point that separates the rejection and non-rejection area is called the critical value, which is
derived from the level of significance. In a hypothesis testing, the following are the most common critical
values based on the level of significance and type of test.
pg. 5
10% 90% -1.28 +1.28
5% 95% -1.645 +1.645
1% 99% -2.33 +2.33
Example #3
A popcorn company says that at least 95% of their kernels will pop when microwaved. A critic says this
is too high of a claim for a 90% level of confidence.
The critic says that the claim is too high. Thus, he is pertaining that the proportion should be less
than 95%. Therefore, the alternative hypothesis denotes a < symbol which makes it a one-tailed test
specifically left-tailed test.
The level of significance is 0.10 because of the 90% level of confidence. Therefore, the critical
value is -1.28 (see Figure 6.)
Example #4
The Green Boat company claims they are able to sell 200 boats per year. In the year 2018, it was
recorded that they sold 250 boats. With 99% confidence level, is it enough to prove that the average sold
Green Boat Company is not 200?
= the average number of boats sold per year by Green Boat Company
H0: The average number of boats sold per year by Green Boat Company is 200 or . H1: The
number of boats sold per year by Green Boat Company is not 200 or .
Since the alternative hypothesis denotes a symbol, then this is a two-tailed test. The level of
significance is 0.01 because of the 99% level of confidence. Therefore, the critical values are
(see Figure 7).
pg. 6
What’s More
Activity 1: Null and Alternate Hypothesis
Instruction: Write the null and alternative hypotheses in words and in symbols for each situation.
1. A pharmaceutical company claims that their pain reliever capsule is 70% effective but a clinical
test on this capsule showed 65 out of 100 effectiveness.
2. A politician believes that he is favored by 85% of voters. An opponent says this is too high for him
to claim.
3. An electric company says that the average consumption of residents in a certain town is 300 kWh
per month. However, the town’s mayor says their town’s residents consume less.
4. A barangay official claims that the mean family income of his constituents is Php 30,000 but
some group of residents believe that this is not true.
5. A fitness club claims that their routines can elevate heart rates of up to 200 bpm on the average.
A critic says this is an overestimate of the actual average.
1. The statement “There is a difference between a parameter and a specific value.” is called
ALTERNATIVE Hypothesis.
2. When the value of the test statistics lies on the rejection region, we will reject the null hypothesis.
3. In hypothesis testing, the maximum allowable probability of committing a type I error is symbolized
by? Alpha
4. A 99% confidence level corresponds to a/an 1% level of significance.
5. The Critical Value separates the rejection region from the non-rejection region.
6. A one-tailed test is called a/an Left Tailed Test if the alternative hypothesis has the inequality
symbol <.
7. There is a rejection region on both sides of the curve in a/an TWO-TAILED Test
8. The decision-making process of evaluating claims about the population based on the characteristics
of a sample is called Hypothesis Testing.
What I Can Do
Activity: Which Tail?
Instruction: Given the null and alternative hypotheses, determine the hypothesis test used (left-tailed,
right-tailed, or two-tailed) then sketch the graph of each to present the rejection and non-rejection region.
pg. 7
Post-Assessment
To test if you have really understood the lessons contained in this module answer the given post-
assessment. Write the letter of the answer before the number.
1. The purpose of hypothesis testing is to reach a conclusion about _____ by examining the data
contained in _____.
A. a population, a sample C. a population, an experiment
B. an experiment, a sample D. a sample, a population
5. What do we call the point that separates the rejection and non-rejection region?
A. level of significance C. intersection
B. critical value D. level of confidence
12. A one-tailed test is called a right-tailed test when the alternative hypothesis includes the symbol.
pg. 8
A. = B. C. > D. <
Additional Activity
1. A librarian of a school claims that all their grade 11 students read an average of 10 storybooks a
month with a standard deviation of 2 books. A random sample of grade 8 students read an average
of 12 books a month and a standard deviation of 1 book. The confidence statement is 95%.
=
H0: H1:
level of significance ( = level of
confidence ( )=
2. A government agency is investigating a complaint from some concerned citizens who said that there
is short-weight selling of rice in a certain town. An agent manufacturer took a random sample of 20
sacks of “50-kilo” sacks of rice from a large shipment and finds that the mean weight is 49.7 kilogram
with a standard deviation of 0.35 kilogram. The level of significance is 0.01.
=
H0: H1:
pg. 9
level of significance ( = level of
confidence ( )=
pg. 10
pg. 11
Learner’s Module in Statistics and Probability
Hypothesis and Test-Statistics
Quarter 4 ● Week 2
This module shall specifically guide you, our dear learners, to acquire the following skills or
competencies:
1. formulate the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses on a population mean; and
2. identify the appropriate form of the test-statistic when: (a) the population variance is assumed to
be known; (b) the population variance is assumed to be unknown; and (c) the Central Limit
Theorem is to be used.
What I Know
Answer the following multiple-choice questions to get an overview of the concepts that we shall be
studying in this module. Write the letter before the number.
1. It is an intelligent guess about the characteristic of a population.
a. mean b. proportion c. hypothesis d. test statistic
3. Which of the following test statistic is appropriate to use when the sample data is less than 30?
D.
6. From the situation in number 5, which of the following is the alternative hypothesis?
a.
b.
pg. 12
c.The mean score in English of the students is greater than 85.
d.The mean score of students in English is not 85.
7. Calculate the test statistic given the following data: , , ,
a. 0.606 b. 0.706 c. 0.766 d. 0.607
8. What is the mean body mass index of the random sample of 20 individuals and its standard
deviation?
a. 26.64 and 4.96 b. 25.54 and 4.97
c. 26.54 and 4.96 d. 26.55 and 4.97
What’s In
Many of the important decisions we have to make involves a choice between alternatives. Even
such an insignificant act as crossing a street with oncoming cars, one decides whether to cross the street
or wait until the cars have passed. Here, different decisions are reached depending on the assumption that
works with, that is, the cars will either slow down or they will not. Assumptions such as these are referred to
as hypothesis. Any assumption or assertion made on the distribution of a population which is either true or
false is called statistical hypothesis. A statistical procedure in determining which hypothesis is more
acceptable as true or which hypothesis is more likely to be false is known as hypothesis testing.
What’s New
What is your preferred distance learning modality?
Suppose your school principal wants to know the preferred distance learning modality of learners this time
of pandemic so that the matter will be brought for school policy formulation. How will he decide? What
evidence does the principal need in order to be credible?
pg. 13
Task: Collect information from your classmates about their preferred distance learning modality
this time of pandemic. Follow the instruction in the following table.
2. Have your classmates answer the following survey (via email, google forms, messenger poll, text
message, call or whichever is applicable in your scenario) concerning your classmates preferred
distance learning modality this time of pandemic.
Check the following distance learning modality according to your preference this time of
pandemic.
Distance Learning Strongly Slightly Prefer Don’t
Prefer (3)
Modality Prefer (4) (2) Prefer (1)
a. Modular (print)
b. Modular (digital)
c. Online
d. Educational TV
e. Radio-based instruction
f. Homeschooling
g. Blended
5. Basing on your previous lesson, calculate the weighted mean of each learning modality.
6. What can you conclude about the preferred distance learning modality of your classmates?
The given activity primarily gave us steps where we get a random sample from the population,
collect data from the sample, and use this sample data to make decision. In coming up with decisions, we
initially have hypothesis in mind which is subject to test. Hypothesis, as you have learned earlier, is a
statement about the target population. Null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis are the types of
hypothesis. In the given activity, suppose that the principal claims that the preferred distance learning
modality of learners is modular (printed). The claim of the principal can either be true or false which is then
subject to hypothesis testing. Hypothesis testing is a decision-making process for evaluating claims about
a population based on the characteristics of a sample. The decision is whether the characteristics is
acceptable or not. Between the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis, it is usually the null hypothesis
that is subject to the rigor of a statistical test.
Going back to the activity, is the principal correct in claiming that the preferred distance learning
modality of learners is modular (printed)? Let’s figure it out!
What Is It
pg. 14
The null hypothesis ( H O ) is usually observations which are result purely of
chance or the hypothesis of no effect.
The alternative hypothesis ( H a ) is that there is a real effect, or that the
observations are the result of this real effect plus chance variations.
Example 1: A researcher wants to determine whether male students experience the same levels of
test anxiety with male students.
Null hypothesis:
There is no difference in the test anxiety between male and female students.
In symbol,
Alternative hypothesis:
a) There is difference in the test anxiety between male and female students. (two-tailed test)
In symbol,
b) The test anxiety of male students is higher than the female students. (one-tailed test, right
tail)
In symbol,
c) The test anxiety of male students is lower than the female students. (one-tailed test, left
tail)
In symbol,
Example 2: A teacher thinks that using modules will enhance the performance of students in
Statistics. In the past, the average grade of students was 80.
Null hypothesis:
The average performance of students in Statistics will not be enhanced, so it could be the
same or even lower.
In symbol,
Alternative hypothesis:
The average performance of students in Statistics will increase. The performance will be
enhanced.
In symbol,
pg. 15
Case Test statistic Example
1. ; Population standard A researcher used a developed problem
population mean deviation ( ) is solving test to randomly select 100 Grade
and known, therefore, the 11 students. In this sample, the average
population test statistic is z-test was computed to 90. The population mean
standard which is represented by and standard deviation was 88 and 6,
deviation ( ) respectively.
the formula:
are known. The
Central Limit Given: , , ,
Theorem is
applied. Find the value of .
Step 1. Write the computing formula.
where:
= sample mean
= population mean
= population standard
deviation
= total number of
sample Step 2. Replace the terms in the formula by
the giving values then compute.
pg. 16
3. ; Population standard A water-treatment plant has a target pH of
population mean deviation ( ) is 8.0. Based on 16 random samples, the
is unknown and is less mean is 7.6 and standard deviation is 0.4.
known and than 30, therefore, the
population test statistic is t-test Given: ̅ ,
standard which is represented
deviation ( ) is by the formula: Find the value of .
unknown Step 1. Write the computing formula.
(usually the
case), the
sample standard
deviation may
where:
be used as an
= sample mean
estimate. Step 2. Replace the terms in the formula by
= population mean
the giving values then compute.
= sample standard
deviation
= total number of
sample
The selection of the statistical test depends on the manner in which the sample was drawn from the
population, the nature of the population and the level of measurement used in the collection of data. Once
the test statistic is chosen, then the sampling distribution is determined so that the probability statements
about the occurrence or non-occurrence of its values can be obtained which you will discover in your next
module.
What’s More
Answer what is being asked in each item.
1. A classroom teacher hypothesizes that using lecture method in teaching specific lesson is the same
as teaching it using demonstration method in terms of students’ learning. This means that students
who were taught using the lecture method would perform similarly (say on a test) than those were
taught using demonstration method. Formulate the null and alternative hypothesis in sentence and
in symbol.
2. According to NSCB statistics, the life expectancy of Filipino women is 70.1 years. Suppose a
random sample of 30 women in town B yields a mean of 72.5 years with a population variance of
4.76 years, would you say that the life expectancy of the women in town B is greater than the
average?
3. Medical literature tells us that our blood is mainly composed of red and white corpuscles and a
normal human body must average of white blood cell counts. If a sample of 15
individuals chosen at random from a certain place has an average of with a standard
deviation of , would you say that the people in that place have low white blood cell
counts?
For no. 2 and 3 answer the ff.
pg. 17
a. Formulate the null and alternative hypothesis in sentence and in symbol
b. Determine what test statistic to use
c. Compute the test statistic
3. A test statistics is used in a hypothesis test when you are deciding to support or reject the null
hypothesis.
4. The test statistic to use when the case is and population mean ( ) and population variance (
) are known is z test.
5. The formula for test statistics is used when the sample population is less than 30.
What I Can Do
In the activity under What’s New, you were tasked to gather data concerning the preferred distance
learning modality of your classmates. Suppose in your calculation you have surveyed 33 of your
classmates where the average mean of learners preferring modular (print) as their preferred distance
learning modality this time of pandemic is 3.42 with population variance of 1.13. According to the school’s
data, the average preference of learners who prefer modular (print) is 2.91. Is the principal correct in
claiming that modular (print) is the preferred distance learning modality of learners this time of pandemic?
Task: 1. Write the null and alternative hypothesis in words and in symbol.
2. Determine what test statistic to use.
3. Calculate the test statistic value.
Assessment
Answer the following multiple-choice questions to get an overview of the concepts that we shall be
studying in this module.
1. Which of the following is the test statistic to use when the sample data is less than 30?
pg. 18
say for example, equal to 85. Which of the following represents the null hypothesis of the given
situation?
a.
b. just
c. The mean score in English of the students is greater than 85.
d. The mean score of students in English is not 85.
5. From the situation in number 4, which of the following is the alternative hypothesis?
a.
b.
c. The mean score in English of the students is greater than 85.
d. The mean score of students in English is not 85.
24.2 33.1 24.2 29.9 30.4 32.8 17.5 23.1 28.7 24.2
27.8 29.4 19.6 28.5 28.2 25.7 22.0 29.0 35.9 18.5
8. What is the mean body mass index of the random sample of 20 individuals and its standard
deviation?
a. 26.64 and 4.96 b. 25.54 and 4.97 c. 26.54 and 4.96 d. 26.55 and 4.97
pg. 19
Additional Activity
Try answering the following:
1. Use the internet to collect data worth investigating this time of pandemic (mean age of NCOV19 positive
cases in the different regions, average recoveries of NCOV 19 per province, mean percentage of
number of NCOV positive per day in the inter world). Formulate the null hypothesis and alternative
hypothesis of your data at hand.
2. Mathematical Journal. Answer the question: Is hypothesis testing an efficient way of solving problems?
Explain your answer in not more than 10 sentence. Provide real life experience of your own.
ANSWER KEY
pg. 20
ANSWER ONLY THE ASSESSMENT FOR WEEK 1 AND WEEK 2 in a paper.
Show your solution if necessary
Name:
Section:
Teacher:
Week no. 1
Performance Output for Week 1
1. Answer the Additional Activity in a bond paper or make a
2 video presentation and discuss your answer. Just choose
3 Copy and answer
4
5 Performance Output for Week 2
6 Answer the Additional Activity in a bond paper or make a
7 video presentation and discuss your answer. Just choose
8 Copy and answer
9
10 Criteria:
11 Creativity – 40%
12 Originality/Clarity – 20%
13 Content – 40%
14 Total = 100%
15
Deadline : End of Semester
Name:
Section:
Teacher:
Week no. 2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
pg. 21
pg. 22