You are on page 1of 62

2020 Nebraska Higher Education

Progress Report

Jill M. Heese, MS
Research Coordinator

Presented at the March 12, 2020, Commission Meeting


Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education
Background
• Coordinating Commission is required by statute to
provide an annual report evaluating progress made
toward achieving three key priorities:
1. Increase the number of students who enter postsecondary
education in Nebraska (Section 1)
2. Increase the percentage of students who persist and
successfully complete a degree (Section 2)
3. Reduce, eliminate, and then reverse the net out-migration of
Nebraskans with high levels of educational attainment (Section 3)

• Progress Report is provided to the Governor,


Legislature, the state’s higher education institutions, the
media, and other interested parties

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 2


Important Technical Notes
• Adjustments are occasionally made to improve data accuracy
– e.g., Data sources may revise previous estimates
– Therefore, it is generally advisable to reference the most
current edition of this report

• Due to rounding…
– Percentages may not sum to 100.0%
– Totals may not equal the sum of their parts

• Throughout this presentation, you’ll see a graphic


like this in the lower left side of the screen. For
more information about data presented on a
particular slide, please refer to the corresponding
page number in the 2020 Progress Report.
Page #

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 3


What’s New for 2020
• Merged the independent sector and the for-profit/career
school sector
– The new sector is now “nonpublic colleges and universities”

• Institution changes
– Purdue University Global-Omaha and National American
University-Bellevue closed
– Purdue University Global-Lincoln is no longer reporting to IPEDS
at the institution level
– Doane University-Arts & Sciences and Doane University-
Graduate and Professional Studies are now reporting their data
to IPEDS as one institution

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 4


What’s New for 2020
• IPEDS migration data
– Added details on the students’ residency (U.S. and outlying
areas versus foreign countries)
– Net migration analysis on page 66 now excludes the in-migration
of students with foreign residency

• Removed comparison of race/ethnicity of high school


graduates to first-time freshmen
– We now receive the actual college continuation data for public
high school graduates by race/ethnicity, so there is no need for
the comparison

• Removed graphs that separated out enrollments of first-


time freshmen at the tribal colleges
– Comparisons are still available in Table A7.2

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 5


PRIORITY 1
INCREASE POSTSECONDARY
ENROLLMENT

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 6


Fall Enrollment at
Nebraska’s Postsecondary Institutions
• Total fall enrollment increased an estimated 0.3% over the last year for a total 11-year
increase of 3.2%
• Fall first-time freshmen enrollment increased an estimated 1.4% over the last year for
a total 11-year decrease of 1.5%
Preliminary
200,000
- 0.7% + 0.3%
from 2017; from 2018;
+ 3.0% + 3.2%
Total Fall Enrollment since 2008 since 2008
150,000 138,939
131,710 136,608 135,618 135,986

100,000

+ 1.6% + 1.4%
Total Fall First-Time Freshmen Enrollment from 2017; from 2018;
+ 0.1% + 1.5%
50,000 since 2008 since 2008

18,445 19,022 18,179 18,466 18,726

0
3 & 15
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Estimate

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 7


Total Fall Enrollment by Sector
1-Year Est. 1-Year 10-Year Est. 11-Year
Change Change Change Change
SECTOR 2017 to 2018 2018 to 2019 2008 to 2018 2008 to 2019
■ University of Nebraska -1.5% -1.4% 8.5% 7.0%
● Neb. State College System -2.2% 2.6% -4.1% -1.6%
▲Neb. Community Colleges -0.2% -0.4% -8.3% -8.7%
♦ Nonpublic Colleges & Univ. 0.2% 2.9% 11.7% 15.0%

Preliminary
60,000
52,679 51,885 51,150
47,812
45,000 39,660 39,564 39,400
43,146

30,000 35,891 35,974 37,030


32,209

15,000
8,543 8,378 8,195 8,406

0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Estimate
4 University of Nebraska Nebraska State College System
Nebraska Community Colleges Nonpublic Colleges & Universities

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 8


High School Graduation Rates

Section 1.1.a
Increase high school graduation rates, and
in the process, increase the pool of high
school students who could potentially attend
college.

21

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 9


Total Number of Nebraska High School Graduates
Actual (08-09 through 18-19) and Projected (19-20 through 28-29)

2,145 (9.9%) more Nebraska high school 296 (1.2%) more graduates
graduates in 18-19 than in 08-09 expected in 28-29 than in 18-19
26,000

25,000
Increased by 16 gradutes
(0.1%) from 17-18 to 18-19 24,059
24,000 23,763

23,000

22,000 21,618

21,000

20,000
08-09 18-19 28-29

Actual Graduates Projected Graduates


Note. Projections include students from educational service units and state-operated schools (estimated 100
S4 per year). The latest projections released by WICHE are from December 2016.

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 10


Actual and Projected Percentages of Nebraska
Public High School Graduates by Race/Ethnicity
100%
83.5%
70.1% 70.8% Projected
75% 2008-2009 2018-2019
2028-2029

50%

17.1% 19.1%
25%
8.3% 5.4% 6.1% 5.4%
2.8%
N/A N/A
0% 1.7% 1.1% 2.8% 1.2% 3.9% 0.8%
White non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander Hispanic
Native American Black non-Hispanic Two or More Races*
Projected
Projected 10-Year Change 10-Year Change
2008-2009 2018-2019 2028-2029 08-09 to 18-19 18-19 to 28-29
White (non-Hispanic) 16,203 14,937 15,433 -7.8% 3.3%
Asian/Pacific Islander 328 591 839 80.2% 42.0%
Hispanic 1,609 3,644 4,153 126.5% 14.0%
Native American 222 246 183 10.8% -25.6%
Black (non-Hispanic) 1,039 1,302 1,179 25.3% -9.4%
Two or More Races* * 591 * * *
24
Total* 19,401 21,311 21,606 9.8% 1.4%
* “Two or more races” was not a racial/ethnic category in NDE records until 2010-11. For projections, multiracial graduates were proportionally
distributed to the four race categories (Asian/Pacific Islander, black non-Hispanic, Native American, and white non-Hispanic).

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 11


Nebraska Public High School
Cohort 4-Year Graduation Rates by Race/Ethnicity
• In 2017, Nebraska was ranked 9th highest in the nation
• (National data for 2018 has not been released for state-to-state comparisons)
100.0%

90.0%

80.0%

70.0%

60.0%

50.0%
Public Total White non- Asian Hispanic Native Black non- Two or
Hispanic American Hispanic More Races
10-11 86.1% 90.2% 80.5% 74.6% 61.2% 67.3% 88.6%
11-12 87.6% 91.3% 83.7% 77.8% 66.7% 73.5% 84.6%
12-13 88.5% 92.2% 76.7% 78.6% 72.4% 76.9% 84.5%
13-14 89.7% 92.7% 78.0% 82.7% 68.8% 80.9% 87.2%
14-15 88.9% 92.5% 77.8% 81.6% 76.4% 75.4% 83.7%
15-16 89.3% 92.6% 81.2% 81.8% 74.3% 78.7% 83.6%
16-17 89.1% 92.5% 81.8% 81.6% 70.3% 81.2% 86.0%
17-18 88.7% 92.5% 81.9% 81.0% 71.1% 78.1% 85.1%
26-29 18-19 88.4% 92.5% 83.9% 80.5% 71.4% 78.5% 81.9%
Note. Due to methodological changes by NDE, the 2010-2011 cohort four-year graduation rate established a new baseline for comparisons.

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 12


Preparation for College

Section 1.1.b
Increase the proportion of Nebraska high
school graduates who are adequately
prepared to enroll in postsecondary
education and proceed through degree
completion.

33

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 13


The ACT Assessment

• In Nebraska, ACT is the predominant college entrance exam used to


measure the extent to which Nebraska students are prepared for
college

• Beginning with the class of 2018, all students take the ACT test in
the cohort minus one year (typically, the student’s junior year)

– In comparison, only 3.0% of high school graduates took the SAT


Reasoning Test in 2019

• Therefore, this section focuses on the ACT Assessment

– ACT Composite Scores:

• 2009: Nebraska = 22.1 National = 21.1


• 2019: Nebraska = 20.0 National = 20.7

33-34

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 14


Percent of ACT-Tested Students Who Meet or Exceed ACT
Benchmark Scores in All Four Areas
Nebraska High School Graduating Class of 2019

• Only 22% are sufficiently prepared to earn B’s or C’s in entry-level college courses
in English, algebra, biology, and social science (ranked 5th out of 17 states where at
least 95% of graduates were tested)
– In comparison, 29% were sufficiently prepared in 2009
• Hispanics, Native Americans, black non-Hispanics, and multiracial students are less
prepared for these courses than their white non-Hispanic or Asian classmates

100%

75%

50%
29% 28%
22% 19%
25%
7% 5%
2%
0%
36 & Total White Asian Hispanic Native Black Two or
38 Tested non-Hispanic American non-Hispanic More Races

Note. Does not show Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islanders because of small cell counts.

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 15


College Continuation Rates

Section 1.1.c
Increase the proportion of Nebraska high
school graduates who enroll in
postsecondary education.

43

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 16


Two Measures of Nebraska’s
College Continuation Rates

1. IPEDS
– Collected every two years
– Public and non-public high school graduates
– First-time freshmen (FTF) who go to college in the fall following graduation
from high school
• FTF enrolled in the fall term who attended college for the first time in the prior summer term
are also included
– Cannot be calculated for any subgroups (gender, race, etc.)
– Can be used for state-to-state comparisons

2. National Student Clearinghouse


– Since 2007-2008, calculated every year
– Nebraska’s public high school graduates
– FTF who continue onto college in the summer, fall, winter, or spring term
– Comparisons by race/ethnicity, gender, and student income status can be
calculated

43-44

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 17


College Continuation Rates
• IPEDS
– Fall 2008 = 66.4%
– Fall 2018 = 63.8%
– Ranked 25th highest nationally in fall 2018 (62.6%, estimated)
• National Student Clearinghouse
– Graduating class of 2007-2008 = 69.0%
– Graduating class of 2017-2018 = 70.6%
– While Nebraska’s overall college-going rate has improved since
baseline, rates are not consistent across all groups of students…

45-46
& 51

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 18


College Continuation Rates for Nebraska Public High
School Graduates by Student Income Status
• While college continuation rates have risen for low-income and non-low-income
graduates, non-low-income graduates have consistently continued on to college at
higher rates than low-income graduates:

100%

77.7% 77.3% 77.2% 77.7% 78.3% 78.4% 77.8% 77.6% 77.1%


74.1% 75.5%
75%

71.9% 71.2% 70.8% 70.8% 71.5% 71.0% 71.0% 70.2% 70.6%


69.0% 70.1%

58.5%
50% 56.3% 56.8% 57.2% 56.6% 58.1% 56.5% 57.5% 56.8%
52.0% 53.8%

25%
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18
52 Non-Low-Income Graduates All Graduates Low-Income Graduates

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 19


College Continuation Rates for Nebraska Public High
School Graduates by Student Income Status and Gender
• Female college continuation rate: • Male college continuation rate:
• 07-08 = 71.9% • 07-08 = 66.1%
• 17-18 = 75.9% • 17-18 = 65.4%

100%

83.5% 82.6% 82.4% 82.3%


81.3% 81.4% 82.4% 82.1% 82.9%
77.3% 78.8%
75%
74.3% 73.4%
70.9% 72.3% 72.1% 73.6% 73.9% 73.4% 73.2% 73.1% 72.1%

62.3% 61.3% 63.1% 61.9% 63.2% 64.5%


60.9%
58.5% 59.9% 60.6%
50% 55.0%
52.2% 52.5% 51.7% 51.4% 52.7% 51.9% 52.9%
48.7% 48.6% 50.1% 52.1%

25%
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18
Female Non-Low Income Male Non-Low Income Female Low Income Male Low Income
53-54

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 20


College Continuation Rates for Nebraska Public High School Graduates
by Race/Ethnicity, Gender, and Student Income Status 2017-18
• By race/ethnicity, rates ranged from 56.0% for Native Americans to 79.3% for Asian/Pacific
Islanders
• The lowest college continuation rate among the 24 subgroups was for non-low-income, Native
American, male graduates; the highest was for non-low-income, Asian/Pacific Islander, male
graduates
Percent Low Income:
100%
22.8% 45.3% 72.7% 71.7% 41.7% 44.7%

85.0%

84.7%
84.3%

81.4%
75%

76.9%

75.0%
73.3%

72.9%
67.3%

66.8%

66.3%
65.9%

65.6%

65.3%
62.9%

61.5%
59.9%
50%

53.5%

52.3%
52.1%

51.7%
51.6%

50.6%

49.3%
25%

0%
Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income

Non-Low Income
Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income

Low Income
Males Females Males Females Males Females Males Females Males Females Males Females
54-55
White non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Black non-Hispanic Hispanic Native American Two or More Races
& 163
Islander
74.2% 79.3% 61.7% 58.3% 56.0% 65.6%
Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 21
Nebraska High School Graduates Who
Go to School in Nebraska
Section 1.2
Increase the proportion of Nebraska high
school graduates who pursue their
postsecondary education in Nebraska.

57

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 22


• Of Nebraska’s high school graduates who go on to
college, over 80% already go to college in Nebraska
– Fall 2008 = 81.9%
– Fall 2018 = 81.8%

• Consequently, it is difficult to increase Nebraska college


enrollments only by increasing the percentage of
Nebraska high school graduates who go to college in the
state

59

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 23


Non-Nebraska FTF Who Enroll at
Nebraska Colleges and Net Migration
Section 1.3
Increase the number of non-Nebraska high
school graduates who pursue
postsecondary education in Nebraska.

63

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 24


• Out-of-state and foreign first-time freshmen enrolled at
Nebraska’s colleges increased by 31.2% between fall
2008 and fall 2018:
– Fall 2008 = 3,403
– Fall 2018 = 4,464
– Out-of-state FTF increased 26.3% while foreign FTF increased
91.4%

• Looking at non-foreign FTF who attended postsecondary


institutions within 12 months of high school graduation:
Fall 2008 Fall 2018
2,883 2,665 +218 3,772 2,753 +1,019
In Out Net In Out Net

63 & 66

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 25


Enrollment of First-Time Freshmen by
Race/Ethnicity
Section 1.4
Increase the number and proportion of
Nebraska postsecondary students who have
been underrepresented in the state’s higher
education system.

67

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 26


White Non-Hispanic and Minority First-Time Freshmen
1-YEAR CHANGE 10-YEAR CHANGE
● Nebraska State Total (Known Race) 1.4% -0.3%
♦ White (non-Hispanic) -0.4% -13.9%
■ Total Minority 6.7% 79.2%

20,000
17,491 17,208 17,441
14,936
15,000
12,917 12,863

10,000

4,291 4,578
5,000
2,555

0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

67-68 Total First-Time Freshmen White non-Hispanic Total Minority

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 27


Minority First-Time Freshmen
1-YEAR CHANGE 10-YEAR CHANGE
▲ Asian/Pacific Islander 1.8% 28.3%
● Black (non-Hispanic) 6.7% 2.4%
■ Hispanic 12.3% 129.4%
♦ Native American -29.1% -36.1%
Two or More Races 1.6% N/A

3,000

2,363
2,400 2,104

1,800

1,200 1,030
830 886
640 650
600 865
438 552 562
183
0 39 165 117
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Asian/Pacific Islander Hispanic Native American


67-68 Black non-Hispanic Two or More Races
Note. The race/ethnicity category “two or more races” was an optional reporting category for enrollments reported for fall 2008 and fall 2009.
Adoption of the category was mandatory beginning with data reported for fall 2010.

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 28


Financial Aid

Section 1.5
Increase need-based financial aid in order to
improve access to higher education for
Nebraskans with limited financial means.

73

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 29


• To improve access to higher education,
Nebraska has increased the amount of
state funding for:
– The Nebraska Opportunity Grant (NOG)
– Access College Early (ACE) Scholarship

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 30


NOG Funding

Change in Funding:
Total Funds: $12.7M Increased to $18.0M
• Federal funding ceased in $12,000,000

2011-12 $10,000,000

• State General Funds: -1.1% $8,000,000

$6,000,000
• Lottery Funds: 106.6%
$4,000,000
 Total Funds: 41.7%
$2,000,000

$-
2008-09 2018-19
Federal Funds $492,860 $0
State General Funds $6,717,065 $6,641,043
Lottery Funds $5,500,000 $11,363,331

73-74

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 31


Number of Students Eligible to Receive NOGs Compared
to the Number of Students Awarded NOGs

• In 2008-09 , 48.2% of eligible students received a state grant


• By 2018-19, only 36.6% of eligible students received a state grant
70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000 36,028 34,843


29,281
30,000
23,179 22,090
20,000 15,175

10,000 14,106 12,849 12,753


0
08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

75-76 # Eligible # Eligible Who Did Not Receive State Grants # Awarded State Grants
Note. Part of the increase beginning in 2010-11 in the number of students eligible to receive Nebraska Opportunity Grants is likely due to the
expansion of Pell Grant eligibility.

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 32


ACE Scholarships

• Another approach to expanding access to higher


education is through the Access College Early
(ACE) Scholarship Program, initiated in 2007-
2008
– ACE Scholarships are awarded to eligible low-income
Nebraska high school students who take college
courses for credit while the students are in high
school

83

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 33


Growth of ACE Scholarship Program in Dollars Awarded

• Dollars awarded increased 359.2% between 2008-09 and 2018-19

$1,250,000
Total Awarded
Each Year $995,417
$953,596 $947,076
$1,000,000 $921,071 $914,907
$812,968 $813,760 $814,910
$699,071
$750,000

$500,000
$339,624

$216,754
$250,000

$0
08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

NE State Funding Federal Funding


83

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 34


Growth of ACE Scholarship Program in Student
Recipients, ACE Scholarships, and Credit Hours

• Number of students has increased 259.1%


• Number of scholarships has increased 391.8%
• Number of credit hours has increased 347.7%
16,000
13,977
13,592 13,785 13,652
12,195 12,512
11,877
12,000 10,889
10,396

8,000

4,558
3,969 4,082 4,036 3,723 4,057
3,442 3,445 3,575
4,000 3,050
1,302 2,152
825
2,456 2,309
1,866 1,919 1,894 2,156
1,601 1,707 1,705
0 643 1,020
08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19

83
No. of Credit Hours No. of Scholarships Awarded No. of Student Recipients

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 35


College Continuation Rates for Public High School Seniors
Who Received ACE Scholarships and Other Graduates of
Nebraska Public High Schools by Income Status
• College continuation rates of ACE scholarship recipients have been:
– Higher than, or about equal to, the rates for non-low-income graduates of the
state’s public high schools; and
– Significantly higher than the college-going rates for other low-income students
who graduated from Nebraska’s public high schools

100%

86.1%
83.7%
80.7% 81.2% 82.3% 82.0% 81.6% 81.0% 84.0% 83.0%
77.7%
75%
75.5% 77.4% 77.3% 77.2% 77.7% 78.3% 78.4% 77.8% 77.6% 77.0%
74.1%

53.8% 52.3% 52.6% 51.5% 53.6% 51.6% 53.2% 52.0% 53.7%


50.5% 51.1%
50%

25%
07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18
86
Non-Low-Income Grads ACE Scholarship Recipients Other Low-Income Grads

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 36


PRIORITY 2
INCREASE THE PERCENT OF STUDENTS
WHO ENROLL AND SUCCESSFULLY
COMPLETE A DEGREE

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 37


Freshmen Retention Rates

Section 2.1
Increase the percentage of students who
persist beyond their first year(s) of
enrollment.

89

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 38


IPEDS Full-Time, First-Time Freshmen Retention Rates
• Overall retention rate in fall 2008 = 72.3%
• Overall retention rate in fall 2018 = 74.4%

• As shown below, retention rates have improved across all sectors except for the state’s community
colleges, which declined slightly:

100%
78.2% 80.6%
74.4% 77.2%
75% 64.5% 66.9% 62.1% 61.7%

50%

25%

0%
University of Nebraska State Nebraska Nonpublic Colleges
Nebraska College System Community Colleges & Universities
89 &
228
2008 Full-Time Freshmen Retention Rate 2018 Full-Time Freshmen Retention Rate

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 39


IPEDS Full-Time and Part-Time
First-Time Freshmen Retention Rates
• Students who start college full time are much more likely than part-time
students to continue going to college beyond their freshmen year:

100%
80.6%
77.2%
66.9%
75% 61.7%

39.6% 41.8% 43.1%


50%

25%
0.0%

0%
University of Nebraska State Nebraska Nonpublic
Nebraska College System Community Colleges
Colleges & Universities

2018 Full-Time Freshmen Retention Rate 2018 Part-Time Freshmen Retention Rate
90
Note. The state colleges reported a cohort of only nine part-time freshmen for 2018.

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 40


College Graduation and Transfer Rates

Section 2.2
Increase the percentage of students who
complete associate degrees within three
years and baccalaureate degrees within six
years.

97

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 41


IPEDS Graduation Rates

Public 2-Year Graduation Rates: Public 4-Year Graduation Rates:


• 2007-08 = 33.2% • 2007-08 = 55.7%
• 2017-18 = 34.1% • 2017-18 = 58.7%
– 17-18 = highest rate during reporting – 17-18 = 2nd highest rate during
period (16-17 was 2nd highest) reporting period (16-17 was highest)

100%

75% 61.9% 64.0%


57.4% 57.6%
46.0%
41.6%
50%
32.6% 33.6%

25%

0%
University of Nebraska State Nebraska Community Nonpublic Colleges &
Nebraska College System Colleges Universities

97-98
2007-2008 2017-2018

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 42


2017-2018 IPEDS Graduation Rates
by Sector and by Race/Ethnicity
• Segmenting graduation rates by sector and by race/ethnicity results in graduation
rates for 24 subgroups

100%
65% 62%
75% 54%
50% 47%
38% 42%
50% 35% 36%
20% 25%
13%
25%

0%
University of Nebraska Nebraska State College System

100%
67% 70%
75% 53% 57%

38% 40%
50%
22% 24% 20% 22%
15% 17%
25%

0%
100- Nebraska Community Colleges Nonpublic Colleges & Universities
101
White non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander Hispanic
Native American Black non-Hispanic Two or More Races
Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 43
2017-2018 IPEDS Graduation Rates
by Financial Aid Received
• Federal Pell Grant recipients and Subsidized Stafford Loan recipients have
demonstrated financial need and serve as a proxy for low-income students

100% 100%

75% 75% 66.1%


56.7% 59.1%
48.4%
50% 39.3% 36.9% 50%
30.2% 34.1%

25% 25%

0% 0%
Pell Grant Subsidized Did Not Total Pell Grant Subsidized Did Not Total
Stafford Receive a Graduation Stafford Receive a Graduation
Loana Pell Grant or Rate Loana Pell Grant or Rate
Subsidized Subsidized
Stafford Stafford
102- Loan Loan
103 Total Two-Year Public Institutions Total Four-Year Public Institutions
a Only includes recipients that did not receive a Pell Grant.

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 44


2017-2018 Transfer Rates for
Nebraska Community Colleges
• The overall transfer rate for the community colleges was 17%
• Transfer rates ranged from 13% at Central to 22% at Mid-Plains
• The rates produced by combining each institution’s graduation rates and
transfer rates ranged from 35% at Metro to 70% at Mid-Plains

100%

70%
75% 63%
54%
50% 51%
48% 48%
50% 41% 41%
34% 35%
31%
26%
20% 22% 19%
25% 16% 13% 14% 15% 17%

0%
Graduation Rate Transfer Rate Graduation + Transfer Rate
Central Community College Metropolitan Community College
Mid-Plains Community College Northeast Community College
106 Southeast Community College Western Nebraska Community College
NE Community Colleges Total

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 45


Graduation and Persistence Rates

Section 2.3
Research by the National Student
Clearinghouse Research Center
(Completing College: A State-Level View of
Student Attainment Rates) provides
important information about the completion
and persistence rates of students who start
college at Nebraska’s public and
independent institutions.
107

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 46


• Historically, IPEDS graduation rates are only for first-
time, full-time students who graduate from the same
campus where they began as first-time, full-time
students

• In comparison, the NSC graduation rates are for all first-


time students, regardless of full-time status, and they
include students who graduate from campuses other
than the campus of initial enrollment

97 &
107-108

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 47


Six-Year Total Completion Rates for Nebraska and the
United States for First-Time Degree-Seeking Freshmen
Fall 2012 Cohort

100%
76.1% 73.8%
68.1%
65.7%
75%
U.S.
U.S. NE
NE
39.2% 40.5%
50%

U.S. NE
25%

0%
Two-Year Public Four-Year Public Four-Year Private
Institutions Institutions Nonprofit Institutions
US Total Completion Rate Nebraska Total Completion Rate

109

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 48


Six-Year Completion Rates for Nebraska for First-Time
Degree-Seeking Freshmen
Fall 2012 Cohort
• Completion rates for starting institutions range from 26.7% - 59.9%
• Roughly 14% of students actually received their first completion at an
institution in the U.S. other than their starting institution, no matter the sector
of first enrollment

100%
73.8%
68.1%

75% 13.9%
40.5% 14.1%

50%
13.9% 54.0% 59.9%

25% 26.7%

0%
Two-Year Public Four-Year Public Four-Year Private
109- Institutions Institutions Nonprofit Institutions
110
First Completion at Starting Institution Transferred and Completed at Another Institution

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 49


Completing College:
A State-Level View of Student Attainment Rates
Fall 2012 Cohort Summary

– Students are most likely to earn degrees or certificates if they:


• Attend college full time
• Start college at a four-year institution
• Start college before they are 20 years old
– Students who enroll part-time are:
• Less likely to persist in their studies
• Less likely to earn degrees or certificates
• More likely to drop out of college
– Importantly, for the Nebraska community colleges
• By June 30, 2018, 40.5% of students had completed degrees
– 26.7% earned degrees at their starting institution
– 8.2% at a different two-year school in U.S.
– 5.7% at a four-year school in U.S.
109-
116 & • And 11.1% were still enrolled (at any institution)
288

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 50


PRIORITY 3
REDUCE, ELIMINATE, AND THEN REVERSE THE
NET OUT-MIGRATION OF NEBRASKANS WITH
HIGH LEVELS OF EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 51


• Data for this section comes from the U.S. Census
Bureau’s American Community Survey’s (ACS)
5-year Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) files
– Since data comes from a sample, and not a census,
caution should be exercised when interpreting data
(especially migration estimates)

– While the data is not perfect, it is the best measure


we currently have for studying the migration of
Nebraskans with high levels of educational attainment

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 52


Educational Attainment for 22- to 64-Year-Olds
• Estimated population of 22- to 64-year olds increased 1.6% between 2009-2013 and
2014-2018
• By education level, the estimated population:
• High school graduates or below: Decreased 1.1 percentage points
• Some college or associate’s: Decreased 1.2 percentage points
• Bachelor’s degree or higher: Increased 2.1 percentage points

2009-2013 32.8% 36.5% 30.8%

2014-2018 31.7% 35.3% 32.9%

High School Graduate or Below Some College or Associate's Bachelor's Degree or Higher
119

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 53


Migration Estimates Compared to Educational
Attainment for 22- to 64-Year-Olds
2009-2013 2014-2018
• For every 10,000 people in Nebraska age 22 to • For every 10,000 people in Nebraska age 22 to
64, with a bachelor’s degree or higher, there was 64, with a bachelor’s degree or higher, there was
an average annual net out-migration of 72.6 an average annual net out-migration of 45.4
people with a bachelor’s or higher people with a bachelor’s or higher
• Estimated annual net out-migration of 2,276 • Estimated annual net out-migration of 1,548
people, or 11,380 over the five-year period, people, or 7,740 over the five-year period,
with a bachelor’s or higher with a bachelor’s or higher

80
51.7 52.8
33.3

0
-2.7

-45.4
-80 -72.6
2009-2013 2014-2018
121-
122

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 54


Estimated Difference in College Attainment Between
Whites and Minorities Ages 25 to 44 by State
Based on the 2014-2018 American Community Survey
• A consequence of the disparities in high school graduation rates, college continuation
rates, and college graduation rates is that Nebraska’s gap in educational attainment
between whites and minorities is the third largest (worst) in the nation
Percentage of 25- to 44-year olds who have completed an associate’s degree or higher:
• Nebraska: 55.6% white non-Hispanics versus 29.9% of minorities
• Net difference is an attainment gap of 25.7 percentage points
31.2
27.1
25.7
23.0
22.2
21.8
21.7
21.6
21.5
21.1
21.1
21.0
21.0
20.6
20.4
20.3
19.9
18.7
18.7
18.5
18.2
18.0
17.6
17.5
16.8
16.5
16.2
16.1
15.7
15.3
13.7
13.5
13.5
13.5
12.9
12.3
12.2
12.0
11.9
11.7
11.3
11.2
10.8
10.4
10.1
9.1
6.3
3.8
New Hampshire 1.2
Vermont -0.3
West Virginia -5.1
New York
South Dakota

Iowa
South Carolina

United States

Ohio
Utah

Massachusetts

Louisiana

Tennessee
Wisconsin

Texas

Oregon

Virginia

Maine
Connecticut

Arizona

Montana
Hawaii

Alabama

Mississippi
Oklahoma

Indiana
Illinois

Kansas

Alaska

New Jersey

Wyoming

Michigan
Missouri
Colorado

North Dakota

Minnesota

Nevada
North Carolina

Maryland

Georgia
New Mexico

Delaware
Arkansas

Florida

Washington
Kentucky
Nebraska

California

Rhode Island

Idaho

Pennsylvania

S19

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 55


CONCLUSION

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 56


Nebraska Key Takeaways
• 2018-2019 PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL
GRADUATION RATE: 88.4%

• 2017-2018 COLLEGE CONTINUATION RATES


PUBLIC HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATING CLASS: 70.6%
ACE SCHOLARSHIP RECIPIENTS: 83.0%

• 6-YEAR COMPLETION RATE,


FALL 2012 COHORT: 40.5% (PUBLIC 2-YR)
68.1% (PUBLIC 4-YR)

• AVERAGE ANNUAL NET MIGRATION


FOR EVERY 10,000 WORKING-AGE
NEBRASKA’S WITH A BACHELOR’S +: -45.4

• BACHELOR’S DEGREE OR HIGHER


22 TO 64 YEARS: 32.9%

• ATTAINMENT GAP BETWEEN


I WHITES AND MINORITIES: 25.7

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 57


• Given the findings of the 2020 Nebraska
Higher Education Progress Report, more
work needs to be done in order for
Nebraskans to enroll in college and
complete degrees.

• So, what do we need to do?

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 58


• At the high school level:
– Increase the percentage of students who stay in school and earn
diplomas
– Increase the percentage of students who are prepared
academically for college
– Increase the number of students who take dual and concurrent
enrollment courses
– For males, minorities, and low-income students especially, exert
more effort to increase:
• The percentage who are prepared for college academically
• The number who take dual enrollment courses
• High school graduation rates,
• Completion of the FAFSA, and
• College-going rates
– Increase opportunities for students to connect to career pathways
of interest that lead to employment and additional education
– Increase counseling resources to improve students’
awareness of career pathways, employment outcomes, and
financial aid availability
S20

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 59


• At the postsecondary level:
– Increase the percentage of high school graduates who go on to
college, particularly among low-income black, Hispanic, Native
American and white males
– Encourage students to enroll full time and not delay enrollment
– Increase efforts to improve retention and persistence rates
– Support and expand efforts (ex., Transfer Nebraska and 2+2
agreements) to improve students’ knowledge of how credits will
transfer
– Increase efforts to improve graduation rates for all students, especially at
the community colleges and for minority students
– Identify and reach out to adults with college credit but no earned
certificates or degrees with degree completion initiatives
– Reach out to adults who have not attained a high school diploma to enroll
them in adult education programs that result in GED and prepare them for
the workforce/postsecondary
– Partner with other colleges and universities and state departments to use
longitudinal data to study employment patterns of recent graduates and
develop strategies to reduce brain-drain

S20-
S21

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 60


• At the state government level:
– Adequately fund public colleges and universities to maintain affordable tuition and
fees, provide adequate student support services and timely course offerings, and
ensure that a full range of programs connected to Nebraska’s statewide and regional
economic needs is available
– Continue to support and increase funding for the Nebraska Opportunity Grant
Program and the ACE program
– Consider new programs that are aimed at adults without degrees (ex., Tennessee
Reconnect and Indiana Adult Student Grants)
– Implement and grow Governor Ricketts’ proposed Nebraska Career
Scholarship Program to attract students to occupations identified as high
wage, high demand, and high skill in Nebraska
– Initiate incentives for the state’s public colleges and universities to:
• Improve graduation rates, and
• Increase the number of degrees and certificates awarded
– Consider tax incentives for graduates with student loan debt who remain in or come
to Nebraska to work and/or employers who assist employees with student loan
payments
– Encourage the growth of high-wage, high-skill jobs that keep Nebraska graduates in
Nebraska and inspire students to pursue postsecondary credentials
– Annually measure progress toward the Comprehensive Statewide Plan for
Postsecondary Education’s goal that Nebraska be among the top 10 states in
educational attainment
S21-
S22

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 61


Questions?

For further information, please contact:

Jill M. Heese, MS
Research Coordinator
CCPE – Nebraska
jill.heese@nebraska.gov
(402) 471-0031

The full report is available online at ccpe.nebraska.gov

Nebraska’s Coordinating Commission for Postsecondary Education 62

You might also like