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The source for uranium prices & analysis since 1968
The Market
MarketWatch Uranium Weekly U3O8 Spot Price Indicator is up
4 percent in 2022. The average Weekly
Weekly U3O8 Spot Price Indicator * TradeTech's Weekly U3O8 Spot Price U3O8 Spot Price in 2022 is $49.74 per
$47.60 (i Dwn $0.40) Indicator is $47.60 per pound U3O8, pound U3O8, 41 percent above the 2021
— down $0.40 from last week's value and average.
Daily U3O8 Spot Price Indicator * down $0.15 from the December Daily
$47.60 (i Dwn $0.15) U3O8 Spot Price Indicator. The US Federal Reserve raised its
— benchmark lending rate 0.5 percent
Mid-Term U3O8 Price Indicator * TradeTech's Weekly Spot Price Indicator this week, the seventh such move in
$51.00 (11/30/22) is up 10 percent over the last year. While the monetary authority's fight against
— the Indicator exhibited remarkable inflation. The rate increase was in
Long-Term U3O8 Price Indicator * volatility in the second quarter of this line with expectations on news that
$53.00 (11/30/22) year, the amplitude of the weekly spot inflation had slowed in November, the
— price has so far remained relatively fifth straight month of decline, to a year-
Production Cost Indicator * subdued in the second half of the year. on-year increase of 7.1 percent.
$56.20 (11/30/22) Inflation in the USA peaked at
* US$ per pound U3O8 equivalent Notable fluctuations in the Indicator
have appeared less frequently in recent 9.1 percent in June; the most recent rate
The Market This Week… hike brings the Fed's benchmark lending
months, primarily due to reduced
• Two transactions and new activity in the market. TradeTech's rate to a range of 4.25-4.5 percent.
demand in the spot
uranium market this week. Uranium Market Activity
million pounds U3O8
Spot/Near-Term
• No transactions and no new 4
Active Supply Active Demand Transacted
demand in the term uranium
market.
3
• No transactions and new demand
© 2022 TradeTech
in the conversion market.
• No transactions and no new 2
demand in the enrichment market.
0
Supply Demand
TradeTech Weekly and Daily U3O8 Spot Price and Percent Return, New demand also emerged today
One-Year History with a non-US utility issuing an RFP
Chairman Jerome Powell indicated the seeking over 150,000 pounds U3O8
TradeTech's StockWatch were down an
Fed would continue to raise rates in equivalent contained in UF6 for delivery
average of 1.9 percent from last week
2023, though perhaps at a slower pace. (Financial News, p. 6). All but one of the between February and August 2023;
While undecided on what the next rate S&P 500 sectors declined this week offers are due by February 7, 2023.
hike would be, Powell stated, "We think with the energy sector posting the sole Simultaneously, another transaction
the appropriate thing to do now is to increase at 1.7 percent. was recorded today involving the sale
move at a slower pace." The Fed aims to of US-origin U3O8 to a US producer
bring interest rates to a target range of Although the market is dealing with at a price of $48.25 per pound U3O8.
5.0-5.25 percent in 2023. mixed economic signals and the Given the unique circumstances
holiday slowdown, the end of the surrounding the awards made by
Inflation has also shown signs of week was notable due to the award by DOE today to secure material for the
slowing in Europe, where the European the US Department of Energy (DOE) US Uranium Reserve, and the limited
Central Bank raised its key rate from to US producers for the purchase of amount of US-origin material available
1.5 to 2.0 percent, its fourth increase in US-origin uranium (News, p. 5). The in the marketplace, this transaction
2022. Inflation in the European Union awards were made in response to a sits outside of the mainstream of the
(EU) dipped from 10.6 to 10.1 percent Request for Proposals (RFP) issued market and reflects a premium due to
in November; the EU's Central Bank by the US National Nuclear Security being US-origin material.
this week noted it expects inflation Administration (NNSA), the DOE
to remain above its 2.0 percent target agency responsible for safeguarding In the term uranium market, a number
through 2025. national security through the military of utilities continue to evaluate
application of nuclear science. The potential purchases. A non-US utility
In the UK, the Bank of England raised NNSA is seeking up to 1 million pounds is seeking 200 tU of uranium per year
interest rates a half point to 3.5 percent, U3O8 as part of the Department's for the period from 2025 through 2030;
the highest level in 14 years; inflation in offers are due no later than January 16,
strategic Uranium Reserve Program.
the UK currently sits at 10.7 percent. 2023. One non-US utility issued an RFP
The RFP stipulates that individual
on November 24, seeking over 5 million
awards will range from 100,000 to
US equity markets declined as investors pounds U3O8 equivalent contained
500,000 pounds U3O8.
weighed the impact of the Fed's latest in enriched uranium product (EUP) or
rate hike and its projections for 2023. components. The utility is requesting
In addition to the awards made by DOE
The S&P 500 fell 2.1 percent for the material be delivered between 2023
for the purchase of US-origin material
week while uranium equities listed in and 2027, with optional quantities in
for the US Uranium Reserve, two other
2 Nuclear Market Review December 16, 2022
The Market
2028 through 2030, and has specified This is evident as numerous countries Conversion
that the material be non-Russian in enact policies supporting the move
origin; offers are due on December 19. toward secure and independent Conversion demand remains strong
energy supplies, many of which include with several utilities making moves to
Another non-US utility is in the process nuclear power as an important element enter the market both formally and off
of completing its evaluation for in achieving these goals. market.
approximately 1 million pounds U3O8
contained in UF6 for delivery in the This includes continuing support for New demand emerged this week with
2022-2025 period. One US utility nuclear power in Asia, where India has one non-US utility entering the market
completed its evaluation of offers for announced plans to add nearly today requesting offers for 60 tU of UF6
1.2 million pounds U3O8 to be delivered 15,000 MWe of new nuclear power to be delivered between February and
over the 2024-2027 time frame. capacity over the next 10 years. In August 2023; the utility has requested
addition, the South Korean government that offers be submitted no later than
As formal demand continues to emerge said this week it will invest 400 billion February 7, 2023.
in the term uranium market, a number won (US$308 million) annually to
of utilities in the USA and Europe are in develop small modular reactors as part One non-US utility entered the market
off-market discussions with potential of a plan to double the overall annual on November 25, seeking conversion
suppliers for significant volumes in the spending on nuclear energy to or conversion contained in UF6 or EUP
mid- and longer-term delivery periods. 2 trillion won (US$1.5 billion) for delivery over the 2023-2030 period;
In many cases, buyers have passed the (News, p. 7). offers are due on December 19. Offers
discussion phase and are now in formal were due December 5, to another
negotiation with suppliers for material, Strong term demand from utilities, non-US utility seeking conversion
in some cases for deliveries extending combined with expectations by sellers for delivery over a six-year period
as far out as 2035. that prices will rise in the future, has beginning in 2026.
caused sellers to gradually increase
The increase in tensions between Russia their offer prices and utilities are seeing In addition to the formal RFPs that are
and Ukraine with new attacks launched a narrower range of pricing than what outstanding in the conversion market,
against cities in Ukraine in recent days has been offered in recent months. a number of utilities are also engaged
have kept the issue of supply security Sellers are not only seeking higher in off-market inquiries for significant
in the forefront of utilities' minds. Many prices but are seeking longer-term quantities. This activity is expected to
have already taken steps to ensure they commitments that extend beyond five increase in December and through the
have adequate supply throughout the years and preferably 10 years. Utilities beginning of 2023.
nuclear fuel supply chain to mitigate have thus far been willing to meet
against any disruption in the delivery of sellers at the current price level. Conversion supply is extremely tight
Russian nuclear fuel supply. and remains vulnerable to supply
However, prices for those buyers willing disruption should deliveries of
Further clouding the outlook for the to commit to higher volumes over an Russian EUP be interrupted abruptly.
market is the impact of logistical issues extended period are considerably The limited number of vessels and
surrounding shipping, indemnification, more attractive than offers to utilities logistical difficulties with shipments
and government policy, which is seeking mid-term delivery only. In and insurance have created a backlog
encouraging some utilities to seek addition, utilities looking for shorter in some deliveries. As a result, utilities
non-Russian fuel supplies. Meanwhile, term commitments in the near term are are accelerating their conversion
policy makers remain committed to also seeing less attractive terms around procurement activity, along with
their emphasis on energy security quantity flexibility, escalation, when uranium and enrichment purchases,
and desires to meet net-zero carbon escalation begins, and delivery and due to increasing concerns around the
goals. transportation fees. timing of deliveries from Russia.
News
Aura Energy (ASX:AEE) $0.25 i Dwn -9.3% -$0.03
Bannerman Resources Ltd. (ASX:BMN) $1.62 h Up 2.2% $0.04
Baseload Energy Corp. (TSX-V:FIND) $0.42 i Dwn -8.8% -$0.04
Berkeley Energia Ltd. (ASX:BKY) $0.29 i Dwn -3.3% -$0.01
BHP (ASX:BHP) $45.67 i Dwn -3.8% -$1.81 Myriad Metals Becomes
Boss Energy (ASX:BOE) $2.11 i Dwn -4.1% -$0.09 Myriad Uranium Corp.
Cameco Corp. (TSX:CCO) $29.72 h Up 0.6% $0.17 In connection with its recent acquisition
CanAlaska Uranium Ltd. (TSX-V:CVV) $0.40 h Up 3.9% $0.02
of uranium exploration licenses in Niger,
Centrus Energy Inc. (NYSE:LEU) $33.25 i Dwn -0.9% -$0.29
Vancouver-based Myriad Metals
CGN Mining Co. Ltd. (1164.HK) $0.82 i Dwn -3.5% -$0.03
CGN Power Co. Ltd. (1816.HK) $1.83 i Dwn -1.1% -$0.02
Corp. has changed it name to Myriad
Consolidated Uranium Inc. (TSX-V:CUR) $1.47 i Dwn -2.0% -$0.03 Uranium Corp.
Deep Yellow Limited (ASX:DYL) $0.73 h Up 3.6% $0.03
Denison Mines Corp. (TSX:DML) $1.60 h Up 5.3% $0.08 As a result, common shares in the
Elevate Uranium (ASX:EL8) $0.36 i Dwn -4.0% -$0.02 company began trading on the Canadian
enCore Energy Corp. (TSX-V:EU) $3.30 h Up 1.9% $0.06 Securities Exchange under the new
Energy Fuels Inc. (TSX:EFR) $8.16 h Up 1.7% $0.14 name on or about December 14. The new
Fission Uranium Corp. (TSX:FCU) $0.83 i Dwn -3.5% -$0.03 trading symbol on the CSE is "M."
Global Atomic Corp. (TSX:GLO) $3.49 i Dwn -2.2% -$0.08
GoviEx Uranium Inc. (TSX-V:GXU) $0.19 i Dwn -7.3% -$0.02 The company's new CEO, Thomas Lamb,
JSC NAC Kazatomprom (LSX:KAP)5 $28.30 i Dwn -2.7% -$0.80
said, "This name change is the first in
IsoEnergy Ltd. (TSX-V:ISO) $2.81 i Dwn -5.4% -$0.16
i Dwn
what will be a series of near-term steps to
Lotus Resources Ltd. (ASX:LOT) $0.18 -10.0% -$0.02
NexGen Energy Ltd. (TSX:NXE) $5.57 h Up 0.4% $0.02
announce ourselves as a high-potential
Paladin Energy Ltd. (ASX:PDN) $0.71 n No Chg 0.0% $0.00 uranium explorer in [Niger's] Tim Mersoï
Peninsula Energy Ltd. (ASX:PEN) $0.14 h Up 3.8% $0.01 Basin. We have optioned 100% of four
Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (TSX:U.U) $10.54 i Dwn -1.0% -$0.11 large licenses in ideal locations, including
Ur-Energy Inc. (NYSE:URG) $1.15 n No Chg 0.0% $0.00 Agebout, which is on-structure
Uranium Energy Corp. (NYSE:UEC) $3.19 i Dwn -4.9% -$0.17 immediately adjacent to Africa's largest
Uranium Royalty Corp. (NASDAQ:URC) $2.30 i Dwn -3.0% -$0.07 uranium deposit, Orano's 380 million-
Yellow Cake plc (LSE:YCA) GBX359.80 h Up 0.1% -GBX7.40 pound U3O8 Imouraren deposit, and
Afouday, which lies 30 km [18.6 mi] from
1 Prices are gathered from sources believed to be accurate. TradeTech assumes no legal liability or responsibility for
the accuracy of this information. Companies in bold type are featured in this issue. Global Atomic's Dasa deposit."
2 ASX=AUD; HK=HKD; LSE=GBX; NYSE, NASDAQ=USD; TSX=CAD
3 Due to independent rounding, percentage change and price difference may not correspond.
Toro Energy Opens Private Placement
4 Change from previous Friday's closing price.
5 Share price in USD to Raise A$5M for Exploration
ASX-listed uranium developer Toro
TradeTech Volatility Value 5.2% Energy has secured firm commitments
Annualized 37.9% for a A$5 million (US$3.3 million) private
% Return TTVV placement including the issue of
30% 9% approximately 461.5 million new fully
20% 6% paid ordinary shares at $0.011 (US$0.01)
per share.
10% 3%
The placement was well supported
0% 0%
© 2022 TradeTech by new and existing institutional,
-10% -3% sophisticated and professional investors,
and will primarily support further
-20% -6% development of the Lake Maitland,
Dusty, and Yandal One Projects in
-30% -9%
Western Australia and provide working
capital, according to a December 15 Toro
Energy statement.
TradeTech's Volatility Value utilizes variances in week-on-week spot price returns to calculate a current measure of price volatility.
* Complete definitions, including derivations and comments, are on our website at:
www.uranium.info/uranium_price_definitions.php.
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