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BMKG Merauke Merauke
BMKG Merauke Merauke
The average and maximum monthly rainfall and humidity data for 10 years at Merauke is shown in
Tables below:
201
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
3
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
4
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
5
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
6
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
7
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
8
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day)
Average of RR (mm/day)
Max of RH_avg (%)
Average of RH_avg (%)
201
9
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 27 12 21 9,9 5,5 7,9 0 3 7,2 3,4 1
Average of RR (mm/day) 8,01 2,73 2,96 2,91 0,95 2,18 0,00 0,77 0,68 0,38 0,11
Max of RH_avg (%) 86
Average of RH_avg (%) 86,00
202
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 11 22 31 30 24 3,4 3 3 0 0,2 7
Average of RR (mm/day) 9,00 6,50 8,08 7,33 3,85 0,96 1,53 0,42 0,00 0,08 3,75
Max of RH_avg (%) 90 93 94 99 96 92 94 85 99 90
Average of RH_avg (%) 87,80 89,14 89,36 90,73 88,75 90,00 86,00 78,00 84,80 88,00
202
1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 17 34 9 30 13 10,2 4,6 15,6 10,2 10,2 15 20
Average of RR (mm/day) 6,45 12,89 1,80 6,37 2,14 1,40 0,99 4,15 2,60 3,14 4,31 6,68
Max of RH_avg (%) 94 96 97 99 98 92 96 94 98 92 98 95
Average of RH_avg (%) 90,00 92,22 91,58 91,72 89,38 88,71 90,46 88,74 89,13 85,20 89,73 89,60
202
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 17 7,8 7,6 14,4 8,6 10
Average of RR (mm/day) 4,90 2,59 2,30 3,05 3,30 2,68
Max of RH_avg (%) 96 96 99 95 95 98
Average of RH_avg (%) 90,13 87,69 91,50 90,60 88,71 93,64
Indonesia is affected by monsoon season with wet season usually occurs in October to March and
dry season in April to September. The average total monthly rainfall for 10 years is shown below:
Rainfall Humidity
25 92
90
20
88
R (mm/month)
Humidity (%)
15 86
10 84
82
5
80
0 78
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month
The rainfall pattern shows that dry season peak occurred in July and rainy season peak occurred in
April. The total rainy day for each month and year is shown below:
Extreme Rainfall
The total rainfall for one year and maximum rainfall for each year is shown below:
1400 70
1200 60
Total Rainfall (mm/years)
1000 50
600 30
400 20
200 10
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Month
It shows the wettest year in 3 years occurred in 2021 and the driest season occurred In 2020.
Extreme rainfall is calculated using the block maxima approach. The distribution frequency fit test is
performed using 3 types of distribution: Largest Extreme Value (LEV), Lognormal, and Log Pearson III.
The distribution fit criteria are pvalue > 5% for 95% CI and the smallest Anderson Darling Test for
normality test. The results of distribution frequency test are shown below:
Based on fit criteria, the rainfall distribution is the Lognormal. Using the fitted parameter, the
Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function is plotted below:
The extreme rainfall for design obtained from ECDF below:
RT % R24
% ECDF
(years) Excdn (mm/day)
2 50 50 53
2,5 60 40 55
5 80 20 60
10 90 10 64
20 95 5 67
25 96 4 68
50 98 2 71
100 99 1 73
200 99,5 0,5 76