Frans Kaisiepo Weather Station Jayapura

The average and maximum monthly rainfall and humidity data for 10 years at Frans Kaisiepo is
shown in Tables below:
201
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 34 30 11   21,6 18,2   5,2 21 15,6 28 43
Average of RR (mm/day) 6,71 4,11 3,59   2,92 3,26   1,60 4,17 1,31 2,17 4,05
Max of RH_avg (%) 96 92 93   91 92   94 90 91 91 91
86,9 84,2 86,2 84,5 84,5 84,7 83,4 84,1 83,6 85,2
Average of RH_avg (%) 4 5 1   0 0   8 8 1 2 4

201
1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 18 27 13,6 17 8,3 22 22,4 24 14 33 7,5 31
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,65 3,07 1,40 1,47 1,80 5,72 4,12 4,10 3,36 3,18 1,23 3,15
Max of RH_avg (%) 89 93 90 94 91 96 97 94 92 92 95 92
83,7 85,0 84,2 84,8 86,9 88,4 88,1 86,7 86,7 84,5 85,1 84,8
Average of RH_avg (%) 8 0 5 4 1 0 2 3 4 2 2 8

201
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 31 7,6 20,4 10 15 17,5 25 18 21 13,6 26 26,4
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,71 1,56 4,32 1,92 1,92 2,92 3,10 1,99 3,73 1,60 4,67 3,64
Max of RH_avg (%) 88   94 96 94 98 98 93 94 95 94 94
83,6 86,2 86,5 86,3 86,7 87,2 86,6 84,2 85,2 88,0 88,3
Average of RH_avg (%) 0   8 0 1 9 5 8 3 4 5 6

201
3
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 26,4 7,3 23 17,2 15,3 17,5 13,1 21,6 5,2 14,4 13,6 12,3
Average of RR (mm/day) 3,64 1,03 2,52 3,41 1,84 3,51 3,65 2,82 0,96 1,37 4,07 3,65
Max of RH_avg (%) 94 93 94 94 92 96 95 92 90 94 95 94
88,3 86,8 86,6 89,0 87,2 88,5 89,0 85,8 84,1 82,8 87,3 88,3
Average of RH_avg (%) 6 1 8 8 5 5 0 5 2 0 5 5

201
4
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 27 10 28 14,4 7,8 11,6 8,5 28 7 14,2 29 38
Average of RR (mm/day) 3,40 2,67 1,58 2,83 3,07 2,87 2,07 6,42 1,68 1,78 4,27 7,32
Max of RH_avg (%) 98 91 94 90 95 96 91 96 96 90 91 95
86,1 86,5 86,3 85,0 89,5 88,5 85,3 88,7 87,5 84,1 86,2 88,5
Average of RH_avg (%) 8 4 3 0 6 3 1 2 9 5 5 4

201
5
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 11,5     0,5 1 32 0 10,5 11,6 8 7,9 5,8
13,6
Average of RR (mm/day) 3,91     0,50 1,00 7 0,00 2,35 0,75 1,22 1,75 5,80
Max of RH_avg (%) 92     85   95 87 93 96 92 94  
86,4 85,0 95,0 87,0 83,5 85,8 86,0 88,2
Average of RH_avg (%) 6     0   0 0 0 8 6 9  

201
6
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 21,6 22 13,2 20 40 20 29 14,2 8,2 9,8 15,9 15
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,95 3,80 4,56 3,88 6,33 4,44 5,82 1,19 3,10 2,79 3,52 2,54
Max of RH_avg (%) 92 96 93 94 97 93 97 90 93 96 91 94
87,7 90,3 88,5 89,5 90,8 88,8 88,6 84,6 87,7 88,0 85,5 86,0
Average of RH_avg (%) 6 5 9 5 8 1 9 0 1 0 4 0

201
7
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 13,5 14,2 32 16 14 32 20,6 13 30 32 23 37
Average of RR (mm/day) 3,71 3,70 5,47 3,82 4,51 5,95 4,06 3,25 6,49 2,99 5,67 7,52
Max of RH_avg (%) 95 94 93 92 93 94 95 96 93 92 92 94
84,3 86,3 84,3 86,5 88,7 86,3 86,8 87,4 85,2 84,8 85,2 87,0
Average of RH_avg (%) 3 7 3 0 5 2 6 0 3 5 2 0

201
8
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 21 17,3 22 9,2 15,3 18,8 6,9 14 17,5 29 14 23
Average of RR (mm/day) 4,01 2,74 2,86 2,69 2,98 5,07 1,30 2,60 2,33 3,09 3,00 3,27
Max of RH_avg (%) 96 90 94 90 94 94 91 92 96 93 91 94
86,4 83,8 85,7 85,6 85,6 86,4 85,7 83,8 84,2 83,9 86,1 84,5
Average of RH_avg (%) 5 5 4 1 7 1 6 8 7 6 9 7

201
9
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 7,8 19 13 18 20,4 38 24 15 30 13,6 4,5 32
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,59 4,79 2,47 2,47 2,42 6,77 3,31 3,20 2,74 3,08 0,48 5,41
Max of RH_avg (%) 92 97 91 93 95 96 97 91 93 94 91 92
85,3 88,8 85,5 87,8 86,0 88,6 86,9 85,7 81,1 85,5 82,7 84,5
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 9 7 5 0 9 1 7 5 8 6 6

202
0
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 16 4,4 33 21 7,5 15,3 12,2 8,2 7,5 28 17 20
Average of RR (mm/day) 2,92 0,54 3,34 5,46 1,37 7,87 5,04 2,74 4,68 5,89 6,29 6,67
Max of RH_avg (%) 94 91 94 92 92 95 95 96 93 90 91 94
85,8 85,1 88,0 86,8 87,6 90,5 88,5 87,2 89,7 85,7 84,5 85,6
Average of RH_avg (%) 5 0 0 0 7 0 6 1 5 9 3 7

202
 1
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 18 14,2 9,7 26 25 11,5 13,6 21 20 13,2 18,8 21,6
Average of RR (mm/day) 5,88 5,49 2,99 7,18 7,28 4,48 4,34 5,99 6,14 4,39 7,68 4,41
Max of RH_avg (%) 92 91 93 93 96 95 93 90 93 91 90 96
87,8 84,0 86,7 85,7 88,7 88,5 88,3 86,6 85,5 83,7 86,1 88,5
Average of RH_avg (%) 0 7 6 1 1 3 1 2 8 1 7 5

202
2
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Max of RR (mm/day) 14,2 26,4 30 8 25 14            
Average of RR (mm/day) 5,11 6,19 8,66 2,84 4,21 4,38            
Max of RH_avg (%) 91 93 94 94 94 93            
86,6 87,0 86,7 85,5 86,7 86,3
Average of RH_avg (%) 3 0 9 4 7 1            

Seasonal Rainfall Pattern

Indonesia is affected by monsoon season with wet season usually occurs in October to March and
dry season in April to September. The average total monthly rainfall for 10 years is shown below:

Rainfall Humidity
100 88
90 87.5
80 87
70 86.5
R (mm/month)

Humidity (%)

60
86
50
85.5
40
85
30
20 84.5
10 84
0 83.5
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Month

The rainfall pattern shows that dry season peak occurred in April and rainy season peak occurred in
June. The total rainy day for each month and year is shown below:

Extreme Rainfall

The total rainfall for one year and maximum rainfall for each year is shown below:

Total Rainy Day All

Years
JA FE MA AP MA JU JU AU SE OC NO DE Year
 N B R R Y N L G P T V C
2010 15 12 15 0 16 17 0 17 17 12 11 19 151
2011 15 11 12 14 17 19 19 17 19 16 15 15 189
2012 16 12 19 15 10 16 16 14 14 11 17 20 180
2013 20 9 13 22 15 19 20 14 14 18 19 24 207
2014 17 14 9 6 15 13 11 21 12 12 14 20 164
2015 16 0 1 0 1 3 0 9 6 9 11 1 57
2016 10 18 14 17 18 15 17 10 19 17 13 12 180
2017 18 18 16 15 22 23 20 11 20 13 17 19 212
2018 16 17 17 19 16 20 15 14 6 14 17 16 187
2019 14 13 16 16 12 14 19 19 10 16 9 13 171
2020 14 8 12 12 3 9 11 17 10 14 18 16 144
2021 20 20 21 16 19 21 16 18 16 12 18 20 217
Averag
e 16 13 14 13 14 16 14 15 14 14 15 16 172
Total Rainfall Max R24

3000 120

2500 100
Total Rainfall (mm/years)

Max R24 (mm/day)

2000 80

1500 60

1000 40

500 20

0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Month

It shows the wettest year in 12 years occurred in 2017 and the driest season occurred In 2015.
Extreme rainfall is calculated using the block maxima approach. The distribution frequency fit test is
performed using 3 types of distribution: Largest Extreme Value (LEV), Lognormal, and Log Pearson III.
The distribution fit criteria are pvalue > 5% for 95% CI and the smallest Anderson Darling Test for
normality test. The results of distribution frequency test are shown below:
Based on fit criteria, the rainfall distribution is the Lognormal. Using the fitted parameter, the
Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function is plotted below:
The extreme rainfall for design obtained from ECDF below:

RT % R24
% ECDF
(years) Excdn (mm/day)
2 50 50 60
2,5 60 40 65
5 80 20 79
10 90 10 92
20 95 5 103
25 96 4 107
50 98 2 119
100 99 1 129
200 99,5 0,5 140