Date:15-5-2019

15MT2104
Y15 Batch
K L E F (Deemed to be UNIVERSITY)
II/ IV B.TECH. DEGREE EXAMINATIONS – APRIL 2019
PROBABILITY AND OPTIMIZATION TECHNIQUES

Time: 3 hours Max. Marks: 50

Answer all questions sequentially (Internal choice for each Question)
CO: 1 BTL: 1 Marks : 10
1.(a) A company uses three different assembly lines-A1, A2 and A3 –to manufacture a particular
component. Of those manufactured by line A1, 5% need rework to remedy a defect,
whereas 8% of A2’s components need rework and 10% of A3’s need rework. Suppose that
50% of all components are produced by line A1, 30% are produced by line A2, and 20%
come from line A3. If a randomly selected component needs rework, Compute the
probability that it came from line A1? From line A2 ? and From line A3?.
(b) It is known that 60% of mice inoculated with a serum are protected from a certain disease.
If 5 mice are inoculated, determine the probability that
i) none contracts the disease;
ii) fewer than 2 contract the disease;
iii) more than 3 contract the disease.

(or)
2. (a) The random variable X, representing the number of errors per 100 lines of software code,
has the following probability distribution

x 2 3 4 5 6
f(x) 0.01 0.25 0.4 0.3 0.04

i) Obtain the mean and variance of X

ii) Obtain the mean and variance of discrete random variable Z=3X-2, when X
represents the number of errors per 100 lines of code.

(b) The density function of the time Z in minutes between calls to an electrical supply store is
given by

a) Estimate the mean and variance of time between calls?

b) Estimate the probability that the time between calls exceeds the mean?
c) Estimate the probability that the time between calls is less than 5 minutes?

CO: 2 BTL: 2 Marks : 10

3. (a) Suppose that a study of a certain computer system reveals that the response time, in
seconds, has an exponential distribution with a mean of 3 seconds. Determine
i) the probability that response time exceeds 5 seconds?
ii) the probability that response time is less than 10 seconds?
iii) the mean and variance of response time?
(b) In the accompanying table, x is the tensile force applied to a steel specimen in thousands of
pounds, and y is the resulting elongation in thousands of an inch:

x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
y 1 4 5 3 2 3 4

(i) Estimate the quadratic regression equation.

(ii) Predict Y when x=2
Date:15-5-2019
15MT2104
Y15 Batch
(or)
4.(a) The daily amount of coffee, in liters, is dispensed by a machine located in an airport lobby
is a random variable ‘X’ having a continuous uniform distribution with A=7 and B=10.
Obtain the probability that on a given day the amount of coffee dispensed by this machine
will be
i) at most 8.8 liters
ii) more than 7.4 liters but less than 9.5 liters
iii) At least 8.5 liters

(b) An experiment was conducted on a new model of a particular make of an automobile to

determine the stopping distance at various speeds. The following data were recorded.

Speed, v(km/hr) 35 50 65 80 95 110

Stopping distance 16 26 41 62 88 119

i) Fit a regression curve of the form µd/v=β0+β1v+β2v2.

ii) Estimate the stopping distance when the car is travelling at 70 kilometers per hour
CO: 3 BTL: 2 Marks : 10
5.(a) The following table gives the data on corn yield x and peanut yield (y) (mt/ha) for six
different types of soil
x: 2.4 3.4 4.6 3.7 2.2 3.3
y: 1.33 2.12 1.80 1.65 2.00 1.76
Determine the correlation between corn yields a peanut yield and interpret the value.
(b) A manufacturer produces two type of products A and B and sells them at at profit of Rs. 2 on
type A and Rs.3 on type B. Each product is processed on two machines G and H. Type A
requires one minute of processing time on G and two minutes on H; type B requires one
minute on G and one minute on H. The machine G is available for not more than 6 hour 40
minutes while machine H is available for 10 hours during any working day. Formulate the
problem as a linear programming problem.
(or)
6.(a)The following data represent the chemistry grades for a random sample of 6 freshmen at a
certain college along with their scores on an intelligence test administered while they were
still senior in high school:
Student: 1 2 3 4 5 6
Test score x: 65 50 55 65 55 70
Chemistry y: 85 74 76 90 85 87
Compute and interpret the sample correlation coefficient.
(b) The manufacture of patent medicines is proposed to prepare a production plan for medicines
A and B. There are sufficient ingredient available to make 20,000 bottle or medicine A and
40,000 bottles of medicine B, but there are only 45,000 bottles into which either of the
medicines can be filled. Further, it takes three hours to prepare enough material to fill 1000
bottles of medicine A and one hour to prepare enough material to fill 1000 bottles of
medicine B, and there are 66 hours available for this operation. The profit is Rs 8/- per bottle
for medicine A and Rs.7/- per bottle for medicine B. Formulate this problem as a Linear
programming problem.
Date:15-5-2019
15MT2104
Y15 Batch

CO: 4 BTL: 2 Marks : 20

7. (a) Two products are manufactured by passing sequentially through three machines.
Time per machine allocated to the two products is limited to hours per day. The production time
and profit per unit of each product are

Product Production time in (Minutes)

M1 M2 M3 Profit(Rs
)

1 12 10 5 20
2 4 8 10 30

Availability 150 300 120

Mathematical formulation of the
above problem is
Max Z=20x1+30x2
subject to the conditions
3x1+x2≤150,
5x1+4x2≤300,
x1+2x2≤120,
x1,x2≥0.
Determine the Optimal mix of the two products using Simplex method.
(b) Consider the following NLPP
Max Z=2x1+3x2
subject to the constraints
x1x2≤8,
x12+x22≤20,
x1, x2≥0
Verify that the Kuhn- Tucker conditions hold for the maximal you obtain. (Optimal
solution is x1=2, x2=4, Max Z=16).
(or)
8.(a) A person require 10, 12 and 12 units of chemicals A, B and C respectively, for his garden.
A liquid product contains 5, 2 and 1 units of A, B and C, respectively, per jar. A dry product
contains 1, 2 and 4 units of A, B and C per carton. If the liquid product sells for Rs. 3 per jar and
the dry product sells for Rs. 2 per carton. Formulation of the problem is
Min Z=3x1+2x2
subject to the conditions
5x1+x2≥10,
2x1+2x2≥12,
x1+4x2≥12
x1,x2≥0.
Compute how many of each should be purchased to minimize the cost and meet the
requirements using Simplex method.
(b) Obtain the set of necessary conditions for the non-linear programming problem
Max Z=x12+3x22+5x32
subject to the constraints
x1+x2+3x3=2, 5x1+2x2+x3=5, and x1, x2, x3≥0.
Date:15-5-2019
15MT2104
Y15 Batch
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