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QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 2 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
Close Competitors Currency (Mil) Market Cap TTM Sales Operating Margin TTM/PE around 9 million subscribers and Rogers has 10.5 million.
Rogers Communications Inc RCI.B CAD 35,474 15,050 24.61 17.57 And while Rogers historically had the top network, the
evolution of a network sharing agreement between BCE
Shaw Communications Inc SJR.B CAD 13,690 5,336 14.06 29.94
and Telus closed the gap and resulted in them leapfrogging
Rogers in many "best network" surveys. While Telus is the
current holder of PCMag's Best Network title, we don't
adjusted returns on invested capital have remained steady see an inherent edge that will sustainably keep distance
at about 11% over the last decade. Capital spending has over BCE and Rogers. Given the long-term similarity we
been elevated in recent years as Telus brings fiber to the expect from the networks of Telus, BCE, and Rogers, with
home over much of its network, but we believe that has their similar resources and current positioning, we don't
reached an inflection point and is now trending down. think any of the three have long-term advantages or
However, we expect a succession of spectrum auctions disadvantages among each other, and we think the
over the next three years to weigh on ROICs. Still, we efficient scale with which each operates will allow all of
project ROICs to remain comfortably above the firm's them to maintain economic profitability. We think any
roughly 7.5% WACC throughout our five-year forecast. attempt by any one of them to make drastic changes in
pricing or network enhancements to edge the others would
In wireless, Telus is one of the three big national simply serve to weigh on that company's returns. With our
competitors, and we believe these three firms have solid view that each of the three companies is rational, we don't
moats that protect them from any current or future see that happening.
competition. Rogers, BCE, and Telus share 90% of the
total market, and we don't foresee Shaw's Freedom Nearly all of Telus' wireline footprint is in British Columbia
Mobile or any other upstarts that lack national networks and Alberta, where in both places it is the ILEC (incumbent
or such large subscriber bases, as these three have, local exchange carrier). Telus' primary competitor in those
matching the scale of these firms any time soon. Although provinces is Shaw, and the two companies address
wireless penetration in Canada—just under 90%—is virtually the entire market with similar shares. We see the
less than the U.S. and some European countries (where two companies operating with efficient scale, as
penetration is as high as 140%), it is a mature enough hypothetical competitors would be starting from scratch
market that other competitors would have to siphon and needing to build a very expensive network to compete.
subscribers from incumbents to succeed. Building and Historically, Telus has competed with an inferior network,
maintaining a wireless network is very capital intensive, and we chalk up its ability to be such a strong competitor
and we think the modest economic returns that national versus Shaw to excellent execution. The legacy copper
incumbents generate typically result in prospective network that Telus has cannot compare with the speed
national competitors either unable to fund a competing and quality of the hybrid fiber-coax network that Shaw
network or deciding against it. Canada is often regarded has. However, Telus is in the process of building out fiber
as having among the best wireless networks in the world, to the home over much of its footprint; it has already
and with the top three Canadian carriers' 4G LTE service covered over half of its core urban/suburban footprint with
blanketing 99% of the Canadian population, we don't FTTH. Apart from the speed and the higher quality service,
believe competitors could hope to offer superior service, FTTH has several advantages for Telus, including lower
leaving them to compete on price and facing unattractive operating expenses due to less maintenance and customer
returns. With the scale that the incumbents have come calls, lower churn rates, and higher average revenue per
significant cost advantages, as they can spread their user. We expect improved margins and a diminished cost
marketing, overhead, and other fixed costs over disadvantage relative to Shaw over the next few years,
comparatively massive subscriber bases. and we think Telus has positioned its network as an even
stronger competitor.
Between the three main wireless competitors, pricing has
historically stayed rational and network quality is The biggest factor keeping us from labeling Telus a
generally similar. We don't expect this to change, and we wide-moat company is the ever-present threat of
don't think any of the three is likely to meaningfully regulation in the telecom industry. Management itself has
separate from the pack. Telus and BCE each currently have stated that historically, onerous government intervention
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 3 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
has been more problematic than competition from other 1% annually, on average, during that span.
companies. Telecom services are sometimes viewed as
public utilities (a classification that the U.S. government Though we expect the additional wireless competition to
used regarding broadband Internet when it was defending result in wireless EBITDA margins remaining flat over the
net neutrality), and the government tends to keep a next five years, we think it will be more than offset by
watchful eye over service offerings, competition, and strength in wireline, supporting our forecast for the
network requirements. In the wireless space, the company's EBITDA margin to rise 100 basis points, to
government seemingly favors more robust competition for about 37%, between 2018 and 2023. We think the margin
the top three providers, as evidenced by it historically strength in wireline (200 basis points of expansion) will
giving other competitors favored status in spectrum come not only from increased pricing power, but also from
auctions. Even in the wireline space, we believe the substantial cost savings that come with having a fiber
Canadian government views broadband as a public good rather than copper network.
to some extent, which leaves a threat of things like price
caps, mandatory network sharing, or other means of With the bulk of the FTTP buildout complete, we believe
enhancing competition. With that in mind, we cannot capital spending, which was elevated in recent years,
assume that the environment that the firm has historically peaked in 2017 and will continue to decline through 2023.
navigated will persist, and our level of confidence in By 2023, we project it to be less than 16% of sales, down
long-term projections is tempered by the industry's from a high of 23% in 2017.
sensitivity to government influence.
Risk & Uncertainty
Fair Value & Profit Drivers Matthew Dolgin, Eq. Analyst, 15 February 2019
Matthew Dolgin, Eq. Analyst, 15 February 2019 We rate Telus as having medium uncertainty. Given
We are raising our fair value estimate for Telus to CAD consumers' reliance on wireless and broadband
50 from CAD 49 due to the time value of money. Our connections that we expect to increase, Telus should
valuation implies a P/E multiple of 18 and EV/EBITDA produce stable growth. However, intense competition,
multiple of 8, based on our 2019 forecasts. some exposure to the macroeconomic environment, and
threat of government regulation keep us from rating it as
We expect Telus' wireline business (56% of total revenue) low.
to be the bigger driver of the average 5% annual revenue
growth we project over the next five years. We think Telus' The most pressing regulatory risk is the Canadian
fiber to the premises, or FTTP, network upgrade over most government's consideration of whether to ban Huawei
of its footprint will lead to higher pricing and market share equipment in wireless networks. Telus uses Huawei
gains. The strength we foresee underlies our assumptions equipment in its 3G and 4G networks, and we think it would
for wireline data ARPUs (average revenue per user) and have been likely to choose Huawei for 5G but for the
broadband subscribers to each grow about 5% annually controversy. Still unless regulation goes so far as to require
on average over the next five years. The strength, in our Telus to remove all existing Huawei equipment, which we
view, will be mitigated by continued declines in voice and think is unlikely, we don't expect the cost of the potential
more moderate TV subscriber growth, as consumers ban to be too costly or impactful to Telus' network.
continue to have alternative options to traditional linear
TV. We believe Telus' wireline business is the most
susceptible of the Canadian incumbents to Shaw's
Despite competition from Shaw, we think Telus will wireless insurgence, due to Telus' overlapping wireline
continue to benefit from its best-in-class wireless network footprint with Shaw. We think Shaw is likely to get the
and excellent execution, which should mitigate damage. most traction in areas where it offers wireline service, as
We project Telus to continue adding subscribers—about name recognition, bundled promotional opportunities, and
1.5% average annual growth from 2019 through 2023— the ability to offer WiFi service to wireless customers on
but we think the growth will lag that of the industry. its wireline network will make it a stronger competitor.
Further, we think more aggressive price competition will Despite Telus' best in class network, we think it will have
limit average billings per user, or ABPU, growth to about to adapt to Shaw, which will likely mean reduced pricing
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 4 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 5 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
Analyst Notes Archive The 600-megahertz spectrum auction was more expensive
than we anticipated, but more surprising was the
Telus Ends 2018 With Another Solid Quarter and divergent strategies of the biggest firms. At the extremes,
Results That Justify Its Fiber Build Rogers spent CAD 1.7 billion on 600 MHz spectrum, while
Matthew Dolgin, Eq. Analyst, 14 February 2019 BCE acquired none. Of the other two Canadian firms we
Like its wireless peers, narrow-moat Telus reported follow in the industry, Telus spent CAD 931 million, and
excellent subscriber numbers in the fourth quarter. All Shaw spent CAD 492 million. We had already modeled
major Canadian providers, as well as upstart Freedom each of the firms to spend between CAD 500 million and
Mobile, have produced numerous strong quarters in a row, CAD 1 billion on 600 MHz spectrum, so the deviations
which we broadly attribute to the Canadian consumer don't result in material changes to our fair value estimates.
more than any individual company's strategy. In our view, Given other puts and takes associated with the results,
the greater point of differentiation for Telus is in its including the need for other capital spending and the
wireline business, where it had its best fourth quarter in benefits of better networks, we are maintaining our fair
five years and is reaching the tail end of its values of CAD 63 for BCE, CAD 62 for Rogers, CAD 50 for
fiber-to-the-premises build-out. We expect Telus' wireline Telus, and CAD 26 for Shaw. Similarly, the auction does
business to continue outperforming, but we think that the not affect the narrow moat ratings we assign to each of
wireless business will remain highly competitive and these firms.
industry tailwinds will moderate in 2019. We don't expect
to make material changes to our CAD 49 fair value Rogers has recently fallen behind Telus and BCE in many
estimate, leaving the stock only mildly undervalued at industry "best network" tests, and we've postulated that
current levels. Rogers' business would begin to feel the effects. We
thought greater network investment was necessary, so
Adjusted EBITDA, up 4%, could not keep up with Telus' we're encouraged to see Rogers aggressively pursue
6% year-over-year revenue growth in the fourth quarter, network enhancement with its 52 new licenses. Though
but it does not materially affect our long-term forecast, the firm's spending more than doubled the CAD 800 million
which calls for negligible margin expansion over the next we projected, we think an improved network will be worth
five years. the cost, and the incremental spending isn't outrageous
relative to the firm's CAD 3 billion in other capital
We've been big fans of Telus' strategy to build fiber over expenditures, so we don't see the larger outlay as
most of its footprint. Although up-front costs are detrimental to valuation.
significant, we believe fiber results in better cost
efficiency than the firm's legacy copper networks and, BCE and Telus share a network, with each responsible for
crucially, an offering more competitive with its cable covering 50% of the population, which made the
peers. Telus is now seeing the payoff with subscribers, difference in their spending notable. BCE determined that
and we can see the end of the steeper capital spending it had enough low-band spectrum that the cost required
on the horizon. Telus added 28,000 high-speed Internet to secure more was not economical. BCE can split cells
customers in the quarter and 115,000 for the full year, the and refarm spectrum that had previously been used for its
first time it eclipsed 100,000 in at least a decade. More 3G network to address 5G needs. We also expect it will
impressively, in a time when television subscriptions are participate in upcoming midband and millimeter-wave
waning, Telus added 24,000 in the quarter and 63,000 for auctions to support 5G.
the year. Along with growth in Telus Health and Telus
International, subscriber growth contributed to wireline Disappointing First-Quarter for Rogers Still Has a
revenue being up over 7% in the quarter and 8% for the Few Bright Spots; Maintaining CAD 62 FVE
year, despite continued contraction in voice customers. Matthew Dolgin, Eq. Analyst, 18 April 2019
Narrow-moat Rogers reported a disappointing first quarter
In Canada's 600 MHz Auction, Contrary Strategies across most metrics, with the firm adding its fewest
Put Rogers and BCE on Opposite Ends of the number of postpaid wireless subscribers in three years
Spectrum and revenue falling below our projections in each of its
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 6 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
?
© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 7 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
?
© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Quantitative Equity Report | Release: 27 Jun 2019, 14:10 UTC | Reporting Currency: CAD | Trading Currency: CAD | Exchange:XTSE Page
Page 8 of1 15
of 1
There is no one analyst in which a Quantitative Fair Value Estimate and Quantitative
Star Rating are attributed to; however, Mr. Lee Davidson, Head of Quantitative
Price vs. Quantitative Fair Value
Research for Morningstar, Inc., is responsible for overseeing the methodology that 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Quantitative Fair Value Estimate
supports the quantitative fair value. As an employee of Morningstar, Inc., Mr. Total Return
Davidson is guided by Morningstar, Inc.’s Code of Ethics and Personal Securities
Trading Policy in carrying out his responsibilities. For information regarding Conflicts Sales/Share
70
of Interests, visit http://global.morningstar.com/equitydisclosures Forecast Range
Forcasted Price
56 Dividend
Company Profile
Split
Telus is one of the big three wireless service providers in Momentum: —
42
Canada, with its 9 million subscribers nationwide constituting Standard Deviation: 8.87
almost 30% of the total market. It is also the ILEC (incumbent Liquidity: High
28
local exchange carrier; the legacy telephone provider) in the
western Canadian provinces of British Columbia and Alberta, 43.88 52-Wk 51.22
where it provides Internet, television, and landline phone 14
services. It also has a small wireline presence in eastern 35.51 5-Yr 51.22
Quebec. In recent years Telus has moved to bring fiber to the
-4.7 16.5 16.0 -0.6 8.8 Total Return %
home over most of its wireline footprint as it upgrades its
3.7 -4.5 6.9 8.3 -6.7 +/– Market (S&P/TSX Composite)
Quantitative Scores Scores 4.39 4.30 4.14 4.64 4.52 Trailing Dividend Yield %
All Rel Sector Rel Country 4.60 4.49 4.24 4.82 4.67 Forward Dividend Yield %
Quantitative Moat Narrow 99 97 100 16.2 18.1 22.5 18.1 17.8 Price/Earnings
Valuation Fairly Valued 13 16 6 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.0 2.0 Price/Revenue
Quantitative Uncertainty Medium 100 99 100 Morningstar RatingQ
Financial Health Moderate 87 79 86 QQQQQ
QQQQ
QQQ
T QQ
Q
CAN i
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TTM Financials (Fiscal Year in Mil)
Undervalued Fairly Valued Overvalued 11,927 12,430 12,725 13,202 14,095 14,233 Revenue
Source: Morningstar Equity Research 5.2 4.2 2.4 3.7 6.8 1.0 % Change
2,362 2,329 2,144 2,535 2,587 2,640 Operating Income
7.3 -1.4 -7.9 18.2 2.1 2.0 % Change
Valuation Sector Country
Current 5-Yr Avg Median Median 1,425 1,382 1,223 1,460 1,600 1,618 Net Income
Price/Quant Fair Value 1.01 1.05 0.84 0.75 3,407 3,542 3,219 3,947 4,058 4,010 Operating Cash Flow
Price/Earnings 17.8 19.0 15.3 15.2 -3,544 -4,570 -2,897 -3,081 -2,875 -2,930 Capital Spending
Forward P/E 16.3 — 14.6 10.8 -137 -1,028 322 866 1,183 1,080 Free Cash Flow
Price/Cash Flow 7.2 7.4 6.0 8.4 -1.1 -8.3 2.5 6.6 8.4 7.6 % Sales
Price/Free Cash Flow 26.7 42.4 15.6 14.9 2.31 2.29 2.06 2.46 2.68 2.70 EPS
Trailing Dividend Yield % 4.52 4.22 4.22 3.71 14.9 -0.9 -10.0 19.4 8.9 0.7 % Change
Price/Book 2.8 3.2 2.0 1.7 -0.31 -1.63 0.95 0.97 1.88 1.81 Free Cash Flow/Share
Price/Sales 2.0 2.1 1.3 2.3 1.52 1.68 1.84 1.97 2.10 2.14 Dividends/Share
13.37 12.48 14.03 14.23 16.58 17.10 Book Value/Share
Profitability Sector Country 609,024 594,557 590,425 594,573 598,674 601,000 Shares Outstanding (K)
Current 5-Yr Avg Median Median
Profitability
Return on Equity % 16.4 16.9 13.0 11.2
18.4 18.3 15.7 18.1 17.3 16.4 Return on Equity %
Return on Assets % 4.9 5.3 4.8 4.6
6.4 5.6 4.5 5.1 5.1 4.9 Return on Assets %
Revenue/Employee (K) 245.4 257.0 685.3 412.0
12.0 11.1 9.6 11.1 11.4 11.4 Net Margin %
0.53 0.50 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.43 Asset Turnover
Financial Health Sector Country
Current 5-Yr Avg Median Median 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.2 3.4 Financial Leverage
Distance to Default 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 55.6 55.5 55.8 55.0 54.8 55.2 Gross Margin %
Solvency Score 569.2 — 527.0 560.6 19.8 18.7 16.9 19.2 18.4 18.6 Operating Margin %
Assets/Equity 3.2 3.4 1.9 1.2 9,055 11,182 11,604 12,256 13,265 14,434 Long-Term Debt
Long-Term Debt/Equity 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.3 7,454 7,672 7,917 8,221 10,259 10,278 Total Equity
1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 Fixed Asset Turns
Growth Per Share Quarterly Revenue & EPS Revenue Growth Year On Year %
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year 10-Year Revenue (Mil) Mar Jun Sep Dec Total
Revenue % 5.9 4.3 4.5 3.9 2019 3,489.0 — — — — 9.1
Operating Income % -3.1 3.6 3.3 2.0 2018 3,351.0 3,440.0 3,591.0 3,713.0 14,095.0 7.0
Earnings % 1.9 5.4 5.9 4.3 2017 3,185.0 3,259.0 3,355.0 3,403.0 13,202.0
5.2 5.6
Dividends % 6.6 7.7 9.1 8.7 2016 3,096.0 3,116.0 3,225.0 3,288.0 12,725.0 4.6
4.0 4.1
Earnings Per Share () 3.5
Book Value % 8.2 9.9 5.9 4.9 2.9
Stock Total Return % 7.3 9.8 7.9 15.2 2019 0.71 — — — —
2018 0.69 0.66 0.74 0.59 2.68
2017 0.73 0.64 0.62 0.47 2.46
2017 2018 2019
2016 0.64 0.70 0.59 0.13 2.06
© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and ®
opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and
are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, ß
analyses or opinions or their use. The information herein may not be reproduced, in any manner without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 9 of 15
Morningstar Research Methodology for Valuing Companies Because a dollar earned today is worth more than a
dollar earned tomorrow, we discount our projections of
cash flows in stages I, II, and III to arrive at a total
present value of expected future cash flows. Because we
are modeling free cash flow to the firm—representing cash
available to provide a return to all capital providers—we
discount future cash flows using the WACC, which is a
weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred
stock (and any other funding sources), using expected
future proportionate long-term market-value weights.
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 10 of 15
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 11 of 15
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 12 of 15
This Report has not been made available to the issuer of the
security prior to publication.
Risk Warning
Please note that investments in securities are subject to
market and other risks and there is no assurance or
guarantee that the intended investment objectives will be
achieved. Past performance of a security may or may not be
sustained in future and is no indication of future
performance. A security investment return and an investor's
principal value will fluctuate so that, when redeemed, an
investor's shares may be worth more or less than their
original cost. A security's current investment performance
may be lower or higher than the investment performance
noted within the report.
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 13 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
General Disclosure
The analysis within this report is prepared by the person
(s) noted in their capacity as an analyst for Morningstar’s
equity research group. The equity research group
consists of various Morningstar, Inc. subsidiaries
(“Equity Research Group)”. In the United States, that
subsidiary is Morningstar Research Services LLC, which
is registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission.
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 14 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
investment decision and when deemed necessary, to currently covers and provides written analysis on
seek the advice of a legal, tax, and/or accounting • Neither Morningstar, Inc. or the Equity Research please contact your local Morningstar office. In
professional. Group receives commissions for providing research nor addition, for historical analysis of securities covered,
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The Report and its contents are not directed to, or local office.
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contrary to law or regulation or which would subject • Neither Morningstar, Inc. or the Equity Research 240892). Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd is the provider
Morningstar, Inc. or its affiliates to any registration or Group has been a lead manager or co-lead manager of the general advice (‘the Service’) and takes
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English version will control and supersede any provide portfolio management/investment advice some Investors should consider the advice in light of these
ambiguities associated with any part or section of a of which an analyst may issue investment research matters and, if applicable, the relevant Product
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Neither the analyst, Morningstar, Inc., or the Equity Morningstar's investment management group's invest. Refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for
Research Group guarantees the accuracy of the business arrangements nor allow employees from the more information at http://www.morningstar.com.au/fsg.pdf
translations. investment management group to participate or .
influence the analysis or opinion prepared by them.
This report may be distributed in certain localities, For Recipients in Canada: This research is not
countries and/or jurisdictions (“Territories”) by • Morningstar, Inc. is a publically traded company prepared subject to Canadian disclosure requirements.
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in some cases restricted stock. For a list of securities which the Equity Research Group has not been the subject of any disciplinary action by
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869.
Morningstar Equity Analyst Report |Page 15 of 15
QQQ 48.13 CAD 50.00 CAD 0.96 4.52 4.67 28.93 Telecom Services Standard
26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 15 Feb 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019 26 Jun 2019
21:54, UTC 22:35, UTC
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© Morningstar 2019. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided
solely for informational purposes and therefore are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. The opinions expressed are as of the date written and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall
not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data, analyses or opinions or their use. The information contained herein is the proprietary property of Morningstar and may not be reproduced, in whole or in part, or used in any
manner, without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Investment research is produced and issued by subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. including, but not limited to, Morningstar Research Services LLC, registered with and governed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. To order
reprints, call +1 312-696-6100. To license the research, call +1 312-696-6869.