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(BSY)
www.bentley.com
Investment Thesis: Bentley Systems, Incorporated (BSY) is a
fundamentally strong operator in the application software industry with only
5% market share but operates at 8times the operating margins compared to
peers and at almost 5times higher ROIC.
Srishti Goenka
Information Technology,
Tech & Comm Services
Team
srishti.goenka@fordham.edu
Their users operate projects and assets across the following infrastructure
sectors:
public works (including roads, rail, bridges, tunnels, airports, ports,
and federal, state, and municipal agencies)/utilities (including
networks for electricity, gas, communications, and water, wastewater,
and drainage).
resources (including mining, oil and gas “upstream,” offshore,
pipelines, environmental management, and renewable energy).
industrial (including discrete and process manufacturing, oil and gas
“downstream,” and power generation).
commercial/facilities (including office buildings, retail facilities,
hospitals, and campuses).
2
Primary Growth Initiatives:
3
FY2022A Revenue by:
Company Financial graphs:
Revenue split By Geography
4
Recurring Revenue over the years:
5
Reasons To Buy:
1. Acquisitions and Partnerships: Bentley Systems has a history of
Risks: acquiring companies in related industries to broaden its product
3. Strong financial
offerings growth potential
and capabilities. Theseand valuation:
strategic Exhibitcan
acquisitions below shows
contribute
BSY’s EBITDA
to growth by margin
openinghas up improved
new revenue everstreams
since aand
dropenhancing
after its IPO
its in
Thecompetitive
2020 general
but grownmarket sentiment
consistently
position. infor
(refer thethis
laststock
Exhibit is Over
18)year. to HOLD. However,
the next 3 yearsif we
do the risk analysis, we have the following
2023E to 2025E EBITDA margins are expected at 26-27% rangesuggestions on the risk
profile
Keyindicating
developments strongandoperating
acquisitionprofitability
history: and stability.
Low market share of 5% in application software industry and very
easy to be challenged by new players to take away 5% by new
players or existing market dominant players by pricing power.
Financial leverage risk: high, in 2021 and 2022, LT debt 2021 is 7
times that of 2020
Technological Risk and Cybersecurity Threats: Bentley Systems
handles sensitive data and intellectual property related to
Exhibit 8 Macrotrends.net
infrastructure projects.
Based on EV/EBITDA 2025 multiple, the stock has a 12.6% upside to
Since BSY is high in inorganic expansion, bringing in platform from
current share price of $52.26 and based on PE valuation, the stock has an
various companies is difficult to integrate and can lead to post
upside of 13% and downside of 4% leading to an average Target price
merger integration failures.
based on both methods at $56.69
Complex learning curve to BSY’s products is also another
challenge.
Exhibit 7 Information from annual filings and news.
Industry Sentiment:
2. Diverse customer mix: BSY provides software solutions to over
40,000 accounts in 194 countries worldwide. Their revenues are
balanced and diversified between engineering and construction
contracting firms who work together to deliver the design and
construction of capital projects (representing 50%, 56%, and 57% of
2022, 2021, and 2020 total revenues, respectively), and their clients,
the world’s public and private infrastructure asset owners and
operators (representing 50%, 44%, and 43% of our 2022, 2021, and
4. Competitive positioning: BSY operates at a clear distinction operating
2020 total revenues, respectively).
profits 20% for BSY vs 2.5% of peers and Net income margins 16% vs
-0.05% compared to its peers as seen in exhibit 10 below. ROIC for BSY
is also better than its peers which allows BSY to trade at a premium even
though it does not enjoy a market share dominance.
6
Exhibit 9 CFRA report.
Competitive Positioning:
SWOTSystems
Bentley Analysis:
faces competition from other software providers in the
AEC industry. The company's ability to differentiate itself through
innovation
Strength: and superior offerings can impact its growth prospects. BSY has
a 5.3% market share
Specialized in BIM
Software and architectural
Solutions: design software
Bentley Systems industry.
offers a wide range of
specialized software tailored for the infrastructure and construction
Porter’s 5 forces:
sectors, which positions the company as an industry leader.
Bentley Systems is a software company that primarily serves the
Strong Brand: The company has a strong reputation and brand
infrastructure and construction sectors. For BSY, Porter’s five forces
recognition in the AEC (Architecture, Engineering, and Construction).
highlight the competitive nature of software industry and the importance of
Well balanced global presence
differentiation, innovation, and strategic partnerships.
Buyer Power: High
Weakness:
Customers in the infrastructure and construction sectors have a significant
say Dependence
in the choice on the Construction
of software solutions.Industry:
They canBentley Systems'
easily switch revenue is
to competing
products closely tied to the
or negotiate health prices,
for better of theespecially
construction
if theyand
are infrastructure
making bulk
industries. Economic downturns in these
purchases. This makes customer bargaining power high. Bentley sectors can have a negative
Systems
impact on the company's financial performance.
needs to continually provide value and support to retain customers.
SupplierComplexity
Power:and Learning Curve: Some of Bentley's software products
Moderate
Bentley can be complex,
Systems may requiring
rely onextensive training for
some suppliers and hardware
expertise and software
components,
Competitive Pressure
but it has the flexibility to choose from multiple suppliers. The
software
Customer Support
industry Challenges:
doesn't Serving on
depend heavily a global
specificcustomer base can
raw materials or
inputs. The bargaining power of suppliers is moderated by the customer
present challenges in providing consistent and efficient fact that
support.
Bentley can switch suppliers relatively easily.
Competitive Rivalry: High
Opportunity:
The competition within the software industry, particularly in the fields of
engineering,
Technological Advancements:
infrastructure, The adoption
and construction, is of emerging
intense. technologies
Bentley Systems
like BIM
competes with(Building Information
well-established Modeling)
players and IoT (Internet
like Autodesk, Dassault of Things)
Systèmes,
and Trimble, among others. Competing companies continually innovatefor
in the construction and infrastructure sectors presents opportunities to
Bentley
improve to develop
their software,new software
expand theirsolutions.
services, and capture market share,
resulting
Partnerships
in high and Alliances: Collaborating with other industry players or
rivalry.
technology
Threat of New companies
Entrants: Low can open up new avenues for innovation and
market reach.
High barriers to entry: The software industry typically requires significant
investments in research and development, highly skilled personnel, and
Threat:
intellectual property. Bentley Systems has an established brand and a wide
Economic
range Downturns:
of specialized softwareEconomic
products,recessions
making it or marketfor
difficult downturns can
new entrants
lead to reduced
to compete effectively.construction and infrastructure spending
Rapid
Threat of Technological
Substitutes: Moderate
Changes
While
Regulatory Changes: offers
Bentley Systems Changes specialized
in industry software for infrastructure
regulations or standards and
can
construction, there are potential
affect the development and adoptionsubstitutes, suchsoftware.
of Bentley's as custom in-house
solutions or software
Cybersecurity Threats:fromAscompetitors.
a software However, the complexity
provider, Bentley Systems of is
infrastructure
vulnerable and constructionandprojects
to cyberattacks often necessitates
data breaches, specialized
which can damage its 7
software, reducing
reputation the immediate
and customer trust. threat of substitutes.
Intense Competition: The software market is highly competitive, and
new entrants or advances by existing competitors can erode market
share.
Sector-wise Key Competitors:
Peer Comparison:
Key competitors in public works/utilities applications include Autodesk,
Inc., Trimble Inc., and Hexagon AB;
8
Monitoring Points:
ESG:
BSY strongly supports the United Nations’ SDGs and focus to innovate in
ways that promote sustainable infrastructure and drive progress towards
ambitious global goals.
Their purpose is to empower SDGs through their users’ use of our
technology, most notably through infrastructure digital twin solutions,
helping to drive resilient and sustainable infrastructure outcomes.
In support of that vision, BSY has combined the two acronyms ESG and
SDG to form ES(D)G, our approach to conducting our business in ways
that ensures trust and responsibility by empowering sustainable
development goals and bringing to light the environmental handprint of
our software and services.
ESG Disclosure: BSY enhanced several areas of disclosure in 2022,
including publishing greenhouse gas inventory, Employment Information
Report (EEO-1) data, Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB)
index, and Global Reporting Index (GRI) index on our ESG data center
Also reported to Climate Disclosure Program (CDP) and other relevant
questionnaires to ensure our current performance is understood and easy
to reference for our stakeholders
ESG Strategy: 2022 is the 2nd year implementation of formal ESG
strategy.
One area of focus is climate strategy, where BSY has made significant
progress in the last year. In 2022, BSY worked with a climate consultancy
firm to quantify their entire greenhouse gas footprint, including value
chain emissions, to understand their current performance and trends. BSY
submitted a near term (2030) climate target to the Science Based Targets
initiative (SBTi) to reduce absolute emissions for direct operations (Scope
1 and 2) and the emissions intensity of value chain emissions (Scope 3) on
an economic intensity basis.
9
ESG (continued):
ESG score:
Exhibit 13 Sustainanalytics.
10
Short term and Long term compensation plan:
The executive compensation at BSY is based on company performance.
2. Bonus Pool plan: Three of the NEO (Gregory Bentley, Keith Bentley and
David Hollister) are grandfathered into BSY bonus pool plans.
3. Annual Incentives: 2 other NEOs (Werner Andre and Nicholas Cumins) are
eligible for short term cash incentive opportunity which is based on
personalized management by objective (“MBO”) goals.
4. Equity Incentives: Werner and Nicholas were both also awarded RSU and
PSU in 2022.
Summary:
11
Short term and Long term compensation plan
(cont’d):
12
Exhibit 19 Excel Valuation model.
13
Exhibit 20 Excel Valuation model.
14
Exhibit 21 Excel Valuation model.
15
Appendix:
16