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Mphasis (MPHL)
https://ultraviewer.et/en/own IT Services SEPTEMBER 22, 2021
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UPDATE
Sector view: Attractive
Strengthening the experience layer. Mphasis has acquired Blink Interactive, a UX CMP (`): 3,251
research, strategy and design firm, to strengthen capabilities in the experience layer. Fair Value (`): 3,500
The acquisition enables integrated offerings and aids capture of both upstream and
BSE-30: 58,927
downstream opportunities. Retention and amortization charges will lead to margin
decline in FY2022-23E. We remain constructive on the stock and increase FV to Rs3,500,
valuing the stock at 34X Sep 2023E EPS, at par with industry leaders. Maintain ADD.
Mphasis
Stock data Forecasts/valuations 2021 2022E 2023E
CMP(Rs)/FV(Rs)/Rating 3,251/3,500/ADD EPS (Rs) 65.0 75.5 90.1
52-week range (Rs) (high-low) 3,303-1,233 EPS growth (%) 2.4 16.0 19.4
Mcap (bn) (Rs/US$) 609/8.3 P/E (X) 50.0 43.1 36.1
ADTV-3M (mn) (Rs/US$) 2,303/31 P/B (X) 9.3 8.7 7.9
Shareholding pattern (%) EV/EBITDA (X) 32.8 28.5 23.6
Promoters 56.0 RoE (%) 19.7 20.9 23.0
FPIs/MFs/BFIs 20.8/13.6/4.5 Div. yield (%) 2.0 1.5 1.7
Price performance (%) 1M 3M 12M Sales (Rs bn) 97 118 143
Absolute 15.2 63.3 140.2 EBITDA (Rs bn) 18 21 25
Rel. to BSE-30 8.7 51.3 84.1 Net profits (Rs bn) 12 14 17
For Private Circulation Only. FOR IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT KOTAK SECURITIES’ RATING SYSTEM AND OTHER DISCLOSURES, REFER TO THE END OF THIS MATERIAL.
IT Services Mphasis
Note that Blink, like most boutique agencies, was focused on the upstream opportunity and
did not cater to the downstream work in engineering and IT services—an opportunity for
Mphasis. Acquisition also facilitates easier access to the Chief Strategy Officer and the Chief
Product Officer.
Evolution of Blink. Blink started off as a strategy and market research agency. Design
capabilities were acquired. Revenue CAGR in the past three years is strong on organic
basis as well.
Earn-outs. Both the purchase consideration of US$94 mn and retention bonuses include
earn out components.
30
25 21.6
18 .2 19.1
20 16.3
15.1 13.9
13.8
15 11.7
9.7 10.4
8 .4 8 .9 9.0
10 7.8
4.9
5
(0.4)
0
Jun-17
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Jun-21
Mar-20
Mar-21
Sep-20
Mar-18
Mar-19
Sep-17
Sep-18
Sep-19
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
(5)
Note:
(1) Revenue growth excluding DXC+HP entities till Mar-20; ex-DXC from Jun-20
1,357
1,600 80
70.2
1,400 70
1,111
1,067
1,009
1,200 60
64.9
61.7
55.4 50
8 23
1,000
715
40
660
629
616
609
800
601
593
552
526
522
30
492
452
600 30.8
365
351
20
323
321
316
309
303
296
400 20.5
16.7 14.3 16.1 10
11.1 23.8 11.8
200 8 .4 8 .8 6.9 9.8 0
6.6 4.9
4.0
0 (3.7) (1.9) (2.2)
(5.4)
(2.6) (10)
Jun-16
Jun-17
Jun-21
Jun-15
Jun-18
Jun-19
Jun-20
Sep-17
Sep-18
Sep-15
Sep-16
Sep-19
Sep-20
Mar-16
Mar-17
Mar-20
Mar-21
Mar-18
Mar-19
Dec-15
Dec-18
Dec-19
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-20
39
40 37
35
31
30 27
25
25
20 18 18
15 15 15
15
9 9
10 7 7 7 7
4 5 5 5 4 5 5
5 3
1 1 2 2 1 2
0
>US$100 mn >US$75 mn >US$50 mn >US$20 mn >US$10 mn >US$5 mn
Exhibit 7: Condensed P&L and Balance Sheet for Mphasis (Rs mn)
"Each of the analysts named below hereby certifies that, with respect to each subject company and its securities for which
the analyst is responsible in this report, (1) all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views
about the subject companies and securities, and (2) no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or
indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report: Kawaljeet Saluja, Sathishkumar S."
60%
Percentage of companies within each category for which Kotak
Institutional Equities and or its affiliates has provided
50%
investment banking services within the previous 12 months.
BUY. We expect this stock to deliver more than 15% returns over the next 12 months.
ADD. We expect this stock to deliver 5-15% returns over the next 12 months.
REDUCE. We expect this stock to deliver -5-+5% returns over the next 12 months.
SELL. We expect this stock to deliver <-5% returns over the next 12 months.
Our Ratings System does not take into account short-term volatility in stock prices related to movements in the market. Hence, a particular Rating may not
strictly be in accordance with the Rating System at all times.
Other definitions
Coverage view. The coverage view represents each analyst’s overall fundamental outlook on the Sector. The coverage view will consist of one of the following
designations: Attractive, Neutral, Cautious.
Other ratings/identifiers
NR = Not Rated. The investment rating and fair value, if any, have been suspended temporarily. Such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulation(s)
and/or Kotak Securities policies in circumstances when Kotak Securities or its affiliates is acting in an advisory capacity in a merger or strategic transaction
involving this company and in certain other circumstances.
RS = Rating Suspended. Kotak Securities Research has suspended the investment rating and fair value, if any, for this stock, because there is not a sufficient
fundamental basis for determining an investment rating or fair value. The previous investment rating and fair value, if any, are no longer in effect for this stock
and should not be relied upon.
NA = Not Available or Not Applicable. The information is not available for display or is not applicable.