Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 15-08-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 33F
Super Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 11:00 PM, 30 August 2023

SUPER TYPHOON GORING EXITS THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR)

Location of Center (10:00 PM)

The center of the eye of Super Typhoon GORING

was estimated based on all available data at 265 km
West of Itbayat, Batanes (20.8°N, 119.3°E)
(OUTSIDE PAR)

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h near the
center, gustiness of up to 240 km/h, and central
pressure of 920 hPa
Present Movement

West Northwestward at 10 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up
to 340 km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
350 km West of Itbayat, Batanes
8:00 AM 21.3 118.5 185 STY WNW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
31 August 2023
24-Hour Forecast
455 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
8:00 PM 21.8 117.6 175 TY WNW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
31 August 2023
36-Hour Forecast
575 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
8:00 AM 22.2 116.5 165 TY WNW 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
01 September 2023
48-Hour Forecast
720 km West Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
8:00 PM 22.3 115.1 150 TY W 10
(OUTSIDE PAR)
01 September 2023
60-Hour Forecast
805 km West Northwest of Extreme Northern
8:00 AM 22.1 114.2 110 STS WSW 10
Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR)
02 September 2023
72-Hour Forecast
860 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon WSW
8:00 PM 21.8 113.6 95 STS
(OUTSIDE PAR) Slowly
02 September 2023
96-Hour Forecast
950 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon
8:00 PM 21.2 112.7 75 TS SW Slowly
(OUTSIDE PAR)
03 September 2023
120-Hour Forecast
1,025 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon
8:00 PM 20.7 112.0 65 TS SW Slowly
(OUTSIDE PAR)
04 September 2023

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Prepared by: RPG Checked by: PCDM

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division
MMSS-04 Rev. 0 / 15-08-2023
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 33F
Super Typhoon GORING (SAOLA)
Issued at 11:00 PM, 30 August 2023

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall

Forecast accumulated rainfall from tonight to tomorrow evening

• 50-100 mm: Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Abra, and the western portions of Pangasinan and Apayao

Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-
induced landslides are expected especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as
identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.

The enhanced Southwest Monsoon will also bring occasional or monsoon rains over the western portions of Luzon in
the next three days. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory #13 for Southwest Monsoon issued at 11:00 PM
today.

Severe Winds

The enhanced Southwest Monsoon will continue to bring gusty conditions over the following areas not under any
Wind Signal, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:

• Today until Friday: Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, Bulacan, Metro
Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, and the northern portion of Eastern Visayas.
• Saturday: Zambales, Bataan, Bulacan, Aurora, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western
Visayas, and the northern portion of Eastern Visayas.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

A Gale Warning is in effect for most seaboards of Luzon and Visayas, and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao. Disruption
in civilian maritime activities is expected over these areas (e.g., suspension of sea travel) due to hazardous sea condition.
For more information, refer to Gale Warning #15 issued at 5:00 PM today.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

• Outside the PAR, GORING is forecast to follow a mainly west northwestward path across the waters off Guangdong,
China, then turn generally west southwestward or southwestward for the remainder of the forecast period. On the
track forecast, this tropical cyclone will be closest to land (i.e., near Hong Kong or Pearl River Delta) by Saturday
morning, with a landfall scenario not ruled out due to the proximity of the track forecast to land and the associated
uncertainty at this period of the forecast.
• GORING will begin to gradually weaken tomorrow evening as it begins to move over the waters off Guangdong
China. Increasingly unfavorable conditions (e.g., cooler waters, entrainment of dry air from mainland China,
interaction with land due to its proximity to it) will sustain the weakening trend. GORING is forecast to be downgraded
to a severe tropical storm on Saturday and into a tropical storm on Sunday.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

Unless re-entry occurs, this is the final tropical cyclone bulletin. Succeeding updates will be incorporated in the 24-
Hour Public Weather Forecasts issued daily at 4:00 AM and 4:00 PM.

DOST-PAGASA

Page 2 of 2

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: PCDM

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 4801 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph