Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 31F

Typhoon “FABIAN” (IN-FA)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 24 July 2021

TYPHOON “FABIAN” ACCELERATES NORTHWARD AND IS NOW OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY (PAR)
Location of Center (4:00 AM)
The center of the eye of Typhoon “FABIAN” was
estimated based on all available data at 640 km
North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes (outside the
PAR) (25.9°N, 124.7°E)
Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the
center, gustiness of up to 170 km/h, and central
pressure of 960 hPa
Present Movement

Northward at 15 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds

Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 620
km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
760 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes
2:00 PM 27.2 124.4 140 TY NNW 15
(outside the PAR)
24 July 2021
24-Hour Forecast
875 km North of Extreme Northern Luzon
2:00 AM 28.6 123.5 130 TY NNW 15
(outside the PAR)
25 July 2021
36-Hour Forecast 990 km North of Extreme Northern Luzon or in
2:00 PM 29.7 122.2 the vicinity of Zhoushan, Zhejiang, China 120 TY NW 15
25 July 2021 (outside the PAR)
48-Hour Forecast 1,040 km North of Extreme Northern Luzon or
2:00 AM 30.1 120.9 in the vicinity of Shaoxing, Zhejiang, China 95 STS WNW 10
26 July 2021 (outside the PAR)
60-Hour Forecast 1,065 km North of Extreme Northern Luzon or
2:00 PM 30.2 119.9 in the vicinity of Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China 65 TS W 10
26 July 2021 (outside the PAR)
72-Hour Forecast 1,065 km North Northwest of Extreme
WSW
2:00 AM 30.0 119.0 Northern Luzon or in the vicinity of Hangzhou, 55 TD
Slowly
27 July 2021 Zhejiang, China (outside the PAR)
96-Hour Forecast 1,110 km North Northwest of Extreme
2:00 AM 30.0 117.6 Northern Luzon or in the vicinity of Huangshan - LOW W Slowly
28 July 2021 City, Anhui, China (outside the PAR)

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
 Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 31F

Typhoon “FABIAN” (IN-FA)
Issued at 5:00 AM, 24 July 2021

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT

All Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals have been lifted.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall
Under the influence of the Southwest Monsoon being enhanced by “FABIAN”, scattered to widespread monsoon rains
will be experienced in the next 24 hours over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Metro Manila, most of
Central Luzon, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA, and portions of Western Visayas. More information is provided in the
Weather Advisory #15 for Southwest Monsoon and the 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast issued at 11:00 PM yesterday
and 4:00 AM today, respectively.

Severe Winds
Occasionally gusty conditions associated with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will be experienced over Luzon and
Visayas, especially in the coastal and upland localities of these areas.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

In the next 24 hours, under the influence of the enhanced Southwest Monsoon and Typhoon “FABIAN”:
• Rough to very rough seas will be experienced over the seaboards of Luzon and the western and central seaboards
of Visayas. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts over these waters. Mariners without the proper experience should
immediately seek safe harbor. For more information, see the Gale Warning #9 issued at 5:00 AM today.
• Moderate to rough seas will prevail over the remaining seaboards of the country. Mariners of small seacrafts are
advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating
in these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• “FABIAN” exited the PAR at 11:00 PM yesterday.
• The typhoon is forecast to gradually accelerate while moving generally northwestward over the East China Sea.
On the forecast track, “FABIAN” may make landfall in the vicinity of eastern mainland China on Sunday afternoon
or evening.
• Gradual weakening is expected beginning tomorrow as “FABIAN” moves closer to the China coast. However, there
is an increasing possibility that this typhoon will further weaken as early as today. Nevertheless, “FABIAN” is
forecast to rapidly weakening as it moves inland after making landfall over eastern China, eventually leading to its
degeneration into a remnant low by Tuesday evening.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

Unless re-entry occurs, this is the final bulletin for this tropical cyclone. Succeeding updates will be incorporated in the
24-Hour Public Weather Forecast at 5:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA

Prepared by: RPG Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph