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Toward Net-Zero
Electricity What Are the
Challenges
in Europe
for the Power
System?
and Renewable Ambition. They were built following national In the investigated Renewable Ambition scenario, the
energy targets and are based on European reference scenar- share of renewable energy sources (RES) for electricity
ios for the development of new generation capacities in all increases from 17% in 2016 to 66% in 2030 for continental
European countries. Europe, as illustrated in Figure 2. In this scenario, an esti-
Various scenarios on the future system interconnections mated 34% of the power demand will be covered by variable
were analyzed including the European Network of Trans- generation, namely wind and solar.
mission System Operators for Electricity Ten Year Network Two high-level key findings are learned from the simula-
Development Plan (ENTSO-E TYNDP) to build the inter- tions using a unit commitment and an economic dispatch
connections and study the cross-border power flows. Finally, model. First, simulations have shown that carbon intensity can
hourly power generation and load profiles were derived from decrease to 100 g of CO2/kWh by 2030 in Europe by limit-
the marginal costs of production sources, historical weather ing the use of fossil fuels and decommissioning coal plants.
chronicles, and demand curves. Following carbon policies However, as illustrated in Figure 3, simply increasing variable
in all European countries, the scenarios included the electri- generation is not sufficient to achieve decarbonization. Beyond
fication of transport and heating, which led to a significant 45% variable generation, an asymptote is reached if measures
increase in the power demand by 2030. to better integrate variable generation are not deployed, espe-
Also, several sensitivities were built to study the addi- cially the use of energy storage. Above a certain level of vari-
tional effects at a national level on the power system and able generation, additional variable generation produces output
its stability, such as the distribution of these renewables. in periods that are already well covered by existing renewable
Indeed, displacing generation that was historically con- generation. In other words, they “cannibalize” each other.
nected to the transmission level only to the lower voltage Additionally, considering a yearly timeframe, seasonal
networks can lead to less capacity to control frequency or energy transfer is needed, especially in the winter, when solar
voltage in the transmission system and new issues, such as power is low and heating demand is high. Adding well-known
back-feeds, appearing in the distribution system. flexible peaking gas plants could mitigate the shorter and
Share of Energy Sources in the European Power Mix (%)
45 >>
Wind and Solar
W
40
35
30
Other
25 Renewables
20
Natural Gas
15 Nuclear
10
5 Coal
0
2017 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
figure 1. The increase to 50% and beyond renewable energy sources (RES) in Europe relies on a sharp and steady in-
crease in variable generation (wind and solar) based on the International Energy Agency and European projections used in
the EU-SysFlex scenarios (2018).
0% 71%
figure 2. The increase in nonsynchronous renewable generation (wind and solar) in Europe when increasing the renewable en-
ergy targets to the 52% (Energy Transition) scenario and the 66% (Renewable Ambition) scenario. VRE: variable renewable energy.
longer duration storage needs, but the carbon emissions and European level and from 6 to 90% in Germany, for example.
the unfavorable economics, due to low load factors, would Even for countries such as France that have a dominant share
slow progress toward net-zero goals. To reach carbon neu- of synchronous machines in their low-carbon power mix
trality, dispatchable low-carbon generation, such as nuclear, (hydro and nuclear), it greatly impacts the dynamics of the
biogas, and biomass, could complement variable renewables whole power system.
to replace fossil plants by 2050. Carbon trajectories would Following these first results and the insight they provided
also benefit from innovative, but still immature, technolo- on the changing dynamics of the power system, the sce-
gies, such as carbon capture and storage and power-to-gas. narios were used for further analysis in dynamic simulation,
Second, considering a totally different timeframe, the observing the behavior of generators and the impact on the
higher mean shares of wind and solar on an annual basis system in near real time. As the variable and nonsynchro-
translate into higher and widely varying instantaneous lev- nous nature of wind- and solar-based electricity generation
els. The instantaneous penetration
of variable renewables may range
from 10 to 80% across Europe. With Reduction of CO2 Emissions per kwh Following the Variable
no curtailment measures, high wind Generation Share (%) in the European System
220
and solar generation periods can Energy Transition
reach 100% and even exceed the
power demand. As illustrated in 170
CO2 Emissions gCO2/kWh
Decommissionning
Figure 4, in the Renewable Ambi-
of Coal-Fired Plants
tion scenario, with 34% of wind
and solar in the power mix, peak 120
Renewable
instantaneous levels of nearly 80% Ambition
were observed for Europe and of 70
95% for some countries such as
Spain. This means that at high
nonsynchronous generation times, 20 CO2 Emissions Stagnate If Variable
Generation Cannot be Better Integrated
few conventional plants are connected
15 25 35 45 55 65
to the system, which supports sta-
–30
bility and security. % Variable Generation in the Power Mix
Moreover, variability increases
with amplitudes between minimum figure 3. The reduction of CO2 emissions per kWh following the variable generation
and maximum penetration rates share (%) in the European system slows down with no further integration levers such
that vary between 11 and 78% at the as storage or power-to-gas.
targets for offshore wind capacities connected to the trans- synchronous compensators, several solutions can contrib-
mission level are set by Europe, but this was not included ute to system strength. To contain the inertia and stability
in our studies. issue, synchronous machines can be maintained or added
On another point, renewable generators can be installed (synchronous compensators) to the system, and additional
in locations far from load sites, in locations where wind or dynamic frequency response can be provided by batteries
sun are more abundant. This can create massive active and and variable generation.
reactive power flows that could result in voltage dips due Innovative solutions are also emerging, especially grid-
to longer electric power transmission distance. This occurs, forming advanced control modes for the inverters connect-
for example, in Germany, with offshore wind in the north ing batteries and variable generation to the grid. Instead of
and main load centers in the south. In Italy, the similarly following the grid and injecting power as they currently do,
reverse situation occurs, with higher industrial and residen- they could contribute to the 50-Hz waveform and behave as
tial consumption in the north and main solar generation in voltage sources. These grid-forming controls already exist
the south. in microgrids and have deployments in some areas, such as
With fewer synchronous machines connected in the sys- Australia. However, when considering a large-scale deploy-
tem, it becomes difficult to ensure an adequate short cir- ment in Europe, further studies are needed to analyze the
cuit power value and guarantee dynamic voltage stability. impact on the coordination with synchronized rotating
Transient stability may suffer if there is a fault. Small-signal machines and historical automation applied for the safe and
stability may be a problem because IBRs typically need a efficient operation of the grid.
strong grid for their synchronization controls. In the three domains of stability, solutions imply large
Although variable generation units do provide short investments in networks to prevent blackout or load-shed-
circuit power, the inverters’ short circuit current is limited ding events. Several are mature, while others are still under
to much lower values than electromechanical units due to development. To reach the European decarbonization targets
several factors, such as thermal limits, insulation levels, or and maintain the secure operation of the system, additional
internal protection methods. This impacts the triggering of studies would need to determine the right mix of solutions
system protections. It challenges the safe operation of the and coordinate the automations of new system components.
grid in the case of faults and requires changes in network
operation schemes. Other Key Challenges Appear
for the System Operation
Rotor-Angle Stability
The decrease in system strength and operating synchronous System Restoration
generators to their limits also touches upon rotor-angle sta- The stability issues occurring with a large share of decen-
bility, which is the capability of rotating machines to stay tralized IBRs impact both aspects of abnormal conditions
stable when disturbances occur. As all stability domains are in the system: fault protection and restoration. The intercon-
challenged, the risks of power oscillations appear locally and nection of inverter-based generation to the distribution net-
can severely damage generators. The risks of interarea oscil- work impacts the fault protection scheme that is designed
lations that can result in system splits also increase. They to isolate a faulted zone to maintain power to the rest of the
can, however, be controlled by adding new regulation func- network. For example, the relay desensitization or blinding
tions that need complex system modeling with very detailed of a feeder protection can be caused by distributed genera-
data from all of the components of the system. tion that feeds the fault, inducing the reduction in current
through the feeder relay.
Maintaining Stability With a Large Share To stay within manageable limits and maintain fre-
of Inverter-Based Sources quency during emergencies when the frequency drops below
By enhancing coordination between transmission system a certain threshold, the network automatically sheds loads
operators (TSOs) and distribution system operators (DSOs) to restore balance. Load shedding is one of the ultimate
at their interfaces and enabling the use of voltage control actions to prevent a blackout. In a predominantly decentral-
in the distribution network and by adding components, ized system, balancing is more complex as the triggering of
such as flexible alternative current transmission systems or these medium-voltage relays will also shed a large share of
active and reactive power increasingly include the applica- units behave as expected. Considering the number of genera-
tion of innovative technologies. Activation times need to tors in question, these procedures imply challenges in com-
comply with existing network codes and vary between a munication, data processing, and cybersecurity.
few minutes or even faster for system services, such as fre- Industrial pilots have demonstrated that wind and solar
quency control. farms can provide services to the system. For example, these
The coordination of these services is complicated by the resources can modulate active/reactive power or behave as
need to manage system congestions while generation site voltage sources. However, scaling up this capability requires
locations vary, in terms of both geography and voltage level. a check of the performances and the reliability and volume of
The forecasting of power flows at all system levels is essen- service provided by a multitude of smaller variable sources
tial to know which assets could be activated without creating compared with one large dispatchable plant. Again, the vol-
additional constraints in other parts of the system. ume of data associated requires the formatting and standard-
To ensure system stability, grid codes specify the require- ization of data and communication protocols. Information
ments for the behavior of variable generation units during systems will need to work seamlessly together to deal with
disturbances. A transitory deviation in frequency or voltage the multiplication of interfaces. New devices and standards
should not lead to the disconnection of these sources as it are being discussed and implemented at the national and
would worsen grid disturbances, such as a short circuit or the European levels.
loss of a power unit. The unforeseen massive disconnection
of variables has already been observed a few times and con- Technical Solutions Exist
tributed to the incident in Great Britain on 9 August 2019. and Need to Be Incentivized
Implementing countermeasures on hundreds of thousands Mitigation measures to the challenges previously discussed
of installations is challenging. In Europe, grid codes have exist: first by enhancing the services provided by current
been significantly enhanced in recent years and extended to plants and by developing new functionalities in the technolo-
the whole area to ensure the energy transition to green power. gies that will constitute the future power system. Demonstra-
However, they apply only to new units and should evolve tions have showcased mitigation capabilities at an industrial
to integrate further requirements not yet foreseen. Further- scale on real power systems in several projects. They include
more, qualification tests and periodic performance checks the Horizon 2020-funded project European Union(EU)-
should be carried out to verify that distributed generation SysFlex (2018–2022), in which many key players of the
Evolution of On-Shore Wind Power Connected to the Distribution Network Between 2015 and 2050 (in MW)
figure 6. The evolution of distributed power in France, showing an example of onshore wind farms connected to the Dis-
tribution Network between 2015 and 2050 (in MW) following the ENEDIS Prospective Rupture scenario. (Source: ENEDIS
Prospective 2050, 2021.)
5,000
Maximum Available Power
Active Power (kW)
1,000
50.1
50.05
Frequency (Hz)
50
49.95
49.9
00:58 01:00 01:02 01:04 01:06 01:08 01:10 01:12 01:14
10 July 2020
(b)
figure 7. The provision of 1 MW of symmetrical FCR by a 12-MW wind farm. (a) Active power. (b) Frequency.
figure 8. The battery energy storage system installed by ENERCON at the EDF R&D Concept Grid (France).
However, even if the volume that could be provided critical. To activate flexibilities connected at the distribu-
looks promising in theory, current business models tested tion level, such as generators, batteries, and demand-side
in several European countries, such as France, Spain, response, TSOs should ensure that they do not cause volt-
and Finland, are not yet completely convincing for these age violations or any congestion issues in the areas man-
numerous resources to provide multiple grid services con- aged by the DSOs and that these flexibilities are effec-
currently. Incentives and standards need to be put in place tively available.
very quickly to make sure that the new electric vehicles As the distribution grid and corresponding data systems
and smart meters coming to the market are designed to are operated by the DSO, this leads to enhanced exchanges
provide the flexibility that will be needed shortly in the at the TSO/DSO interface and the development of new tools
power grid. to allow the required and acceptable level of information
provided to the TSO by the DSO. Such information may bet-
Coordination Between Transmission ter enable the TSO to understand what amount of active and
and DSOs Is Critical reactive power is available for flexibility services. Moreover,
As issues occur, both at the transmission and distribu- a DSO can use the flexibilities located in its system to solve
tion system levels, enhanced cross-system coordination is local active and reactive power needs as it encounters issues
Distribution Grid
Local Reactive
Active
Power
Power
Distributed Resources
Ancillary Services
Local
Market Reactive
Distributed Resources
Agents Power
Market
Distributed Resources
DSO Managed
Global
Traffic Light Active Power
Qualification Market
TSO Managed
Grid Dynamic
Equivalent
Model