A Brief History of AI’s Future

Mike Bechtel
Chief Futurist
Deloitte Consulting
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Mike Bechtel
Chief Futurist
Deloitte Consulting
Scan to follow or connect on LinkedIn
 The Future ofHow
Information
not to Technology the future of tech
understand
The Future of The Future of
Information Information
Technology Technology
The First Computer

Reader

Store

Mill
The First Computer

UI

Database

CPU
The First Computer

Interaction

Information

Computation
A Brief History of the Future
A Brief History of the Future
A Brief History of the Future
A Brief History of the Future
A Brief History of the Future
A Brief History of the Future

Digital
reality

Cognitive
Automation

Decentralized
platforms
“AI is whatever hasn’t been done yet.”
~Larry Tesler
IBM Deep Blue
IBM Watson
DeepMind AlphaGo
A Brief History of the Future

Digital
reality

Cognitive
Automation

Decentralized
platforms
Cognitive automation
From Critic to Co-Pilot

The Empire Strikes Back

Cognitive automation
From Critic to Co-Pilot

22
Brickit
A Brief History of the Future

3 K E Y TA K E AWAY S :

1. Emerging tech progression

Digital isn’t random. It follows
reality
enduring trajectories.
2. The names are fungible, the
Cognitive
ideas, less so.
automation
3. The future is still coming.
We haven’t “arrived”, nor will
we ever.
Decentralized
platforms
A Brief History of the Future

Digital
reality

Cognitive
Automation

Decentralized
platforms
Ready
A BrieftoHistory
shape the future
of the Future

Digital
reality

Cognitive Exponential
Automation AI

Decentralized
platforms
Ready
A BrieftoHistory
shape the future
of the Future

Digital
reality

Cognitive Exponential
Automation AI

Decentralized
platforms
 Now New

Cognitive Exponential AI
Automation

Process automation, Computerized creativity,

Prediction, Electronic emotion,
problem solving Soft-skills in silico

“STEM skills” “Liberal arts & social sciences skills”

Deloitte’s 14th annual flagship technology report
Tech Trends chronicles what’s now, what’s new, and what’s next in enterprise technology, shining a light on novel
innovations which figure to graduate to normal ways of working for the rest of us in the next 18-24 months.

Our trends are Interviews with pioneering organizations at

informed by: the forefront of technology, shared as
vignettes in our Trend Lines collection

Feedback from client executives on current

and future priorities

Perspectives and insights from academic

and industry luminaries

Road maps and investment priorities from

leading startups, venture capitalists, and
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All Tech Trends reports are available for free download

on www.deloitte.com/us/TechTrends and feature case
studies so you can envision the journey for yourself.

Copyright © 2022 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved. Tech Trends 2023 28
Affective AI
From IQ to EQ

Her
Affective AI
From IQ to EQ

Blade Runner 2049

Affective AI
From IQ to EQ

HireVue
 Now New

Cognitive Exponential AI
Automation

Process automation, Computerized creativity,

Prediction, Electronic emotion,
problem solving Soft-skills in silico

“STEM skills” “Liberal arts & social sciences skills”

 Now New Next

Cognitive Exponential AI General AI

Automation

Process automation, Computerized creativity, Well-rounded, versatile,

Prediction, Electronic emotion, “mathematical polymaths”
problem solving Soft-skills in silico

“STEM skills” “Liberal arts & social sciences skills” Superhuman?

Ready
A BrieftoHistory
shape the future
of the Future

Digital
reality

Cognitive Exponential
Automation AI

Decentralized
platforms
 3 Callsto
Ready tofuture
Action

1. For BoD’s 2. For C-Suite 3. For CIOs/CTOs

Brief them. Consider establishing futurism Reconsider tech as a risk-adjusted portfolio

as a strategic discipline in your Specifically, consider the “Foresight is 20/20” Model:
Boards care about organization 1. 20% of IT spend focused on implementing new technologies
exponentials & 2. 20% of that spend (~4% total) focused on exploring “next” technologies
longer time horizons
Reconsider tech talent as rotational serial specialists
@mikebechtel
Thank you.
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