Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Commissioned by the Associação Empresarial de Portugal (AEP) and the Industry of Porto
Funded by the European Union (EU), Fundo Europeu de Desenvolvimento Regional (FEDER) / European Regional
Development Fund (ERDF)
Executive Summary 7
Acronyms 11
List of Figures 13
List of Tables 17
Section 1: Introduction 19
1.5 Conclusion 24
2.1 Introduction 27
2.4 Conclusion 64
3.1 Introduction 67
3.5 Conclusion 80
4.1 Introduction 83
4.2 Labeling and Packaging 83
4.4 Tariffs 84
4.8 Conclusion 92
5.1 Introduction 93
135
References
6 • USA NEXT CHALLENGE
Executive
Summary
This report was conducted by Marq Consulting
Group and CH Academy for the Next Challenge
USA project that was commissioned by the
Associação Empresarial de Portugal (AEP)
Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Porto and
financially supported by European Union (EU)
through Fundo Europeu de Desenvolvimento
Regional (FEDER) or, in English, the European
Regional Development Fund (ERDF) as part of the
Compete 2020 project. It contains two volumes.
This volume (Volume One) contains the report
content, and Volume Two includes all necessary
appendices. The projects and report aim to
improve and assess export development and
growth opportunities for over 150 Portuguese small
and medium-sized enterprises’ (SMEs) through
trade facilitation with the United States (US).
»» SME collaboration
»» Short-term goals, such as export consistency,
that support long-term goals, such as increasing
product visibility
»» Monitoring developments in key markets
through 2018
»» Facilitating demand through a brick-and-
mortar presence or a Portuguese representative
in the US.
Table 5.4 US LVPE and Light Fixtures Demand Volume One: 101
Levels (2011-2014)
Table 5.5 2014 Markets for Electrical Transform- Volume One: 102
ers and Control Boards Products
Table 5.6 US Plastics and Rubbers Sector and Volume One: 104
Related Product Categories Demand Levels
(2011-2014)
◼ GFCF - total
◼ GFCF - machinery and equipment
◼ GFCF - transport equipment
◼ GFCF - construction
◼ GFCF -other
1 The report was written before “Brexit” was negotiated, and the inclusion of the UK among
Portugal’s most similar competitors is subject to these changes.
◼ Domestic demand
◼ Exports
◼ GDP (%)
3 Portugal was ranked 51st for 2013-2014, 49th for 2012-2013, 45th for 2011-2012, and 46th for
2010-2011.
Change
Construction materials Sectors 2011 2012 2013 2014
since 2011
4 Comtrade has data from 2015, and it is utilized throughout the report where appropriate;
however, their data does not take into account exports that are refused by US Customs and
Border Protection. OEC’s data does.
1.5 Conclusion
1. China
2. Mexico
3. Germany
4. Japan
5. Italy
6. Canada (tied)
7. Other Asia (tied).
»» Ukraine
»» Nicaragua
»» Trinidad and Tobago
»» Australia
»» Denmark
I don’t think anyone in our company has ever believed in the race
to bottom (selling products for the lowest rate); we do value added,
quality products, and customer service. We go out of our way to
give the customer what they need. The more customer service you
give, the more they come back to you for the expertise, and I guess
that’s how we feel about buying foreign products.7
7 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
28 • USA NEXT CHALLENGE
These early indicators of Portugal’s export competitiveness in
the US construction market are examined in detail by assessing
competition in each subsector and product category below.
8 All HS four-digit product category codes are featured in Appendix 2 in Volume Two of this
report.
◼ Mexico
◼ China
◼ Other Asia
◼ Canada
◼ Germany
◼ South Korea
◼ Dominican Republic
◼ Thailand
◼ Japan
◼ Philippines
◼ Portugal
◼ Mexico
◼ China
◼ Other Asia
◼ Canada
◼ Germany
◼ South Korea
◼ Dominican Republic
◼ Thailand
◼ Japan
◼ Philippines
◼ Portugal
9 The terms market value and market share are used consistently in the report. Market value
is measured in currency, and share is a percent.
In 2012, the US import market value was $2.03B. Figure 2.4 shows
the top ten producers’ US market share. Portugal’s market share
was .026% and value was $532,000 (K). Notable changes were
that Japan went from the fifth largest producer to the ninth and
Portugal’s share of the US market doubled. In 2011, the US import
market value was $1.87B. Figure 2.5 shows the top ten producers’
market share. Portugal’s market share was .038% and value was
$704K. From 2011 to 2012, Canada and South Korea swapped
rankings, and Portugal’s share of the US market decreased $172K.
The second is that while the top five producers of padlocks do not
seem to fluctuate – and Mexico and China are dominant in this
product category – the countries at the middle to lower ends of
the top ten ranking fluctuate year to year. This means there is room
for Portugal to enhance its market share. Being a top five or top
ten US producer is not as important as increasing relative market
share in this product category. In 2014 for example, Portugal held
.19% of the total US import market for padlocks; Sweden held .22%
with $4.86M. That .03% difference equates to a market value of
$600,000.
10 See Appendix 1 in Volume Two of this report for all Figures after 2014 across product
categories.
◼ China
◼ Canada
◼ Mexico
◼ Other Asia
◼ South Korea
◼ Germany
◼ Japan
◼ Austria
◼ Italy
◼ India
◼ Portugal
◼ China
◼ Canada
◼ Mexico
◼ Other Asia
◼ South Korea
◼ Germany
◼ Japan
◼ Austria
◼ Italy
◼ India
◼ Portugal
In 2013, the US import market value was $4.84B. Figure 2.8 shows
the top ten metal mountings producers’ US market share; Portugal’s
market share was .17% and value was $8.13M. Some notable changes
in this product market from 2013 to 2014 were that competition
increased among South Korea, Germany, and Japan, the total market
value increased slightly, and Italy and India’s share of the US market
decreased while Portugal’s share increased by a quarter.
◼ China
◼ Other Asia
◼ UK
◼ France
◼ Mexico
◼ Germany
◼ South Korea
◼ Italy
◼ India
◼ Austria
◼ Portugal
◼ China
◼ Other Asia
◼ UK
◼ France
◼ Mexico
◼ Germany
◼ South Korea
◼ Italy
◼ India
◼ Austria
◼ Portugal
In 2012, the US import market value was $108M. Figure 2.14 shows
the top US imported other metal fasteners producers’ market share.
Portugal held .082% and $147K in value. Notable changes include
Mexico’s share decreased by more than 2.5%, a $5.8M loss and both
Italy and South Korea suffered share losses. Canada lost its top
position, and Portugal’s share increased fivefold, by almost $500K.
The 2011 market value was $165M, and Figure 2.15 shows the top ten
producers’ share. Portugal claimed .01% and $20.5K of this market.
From 2012 to 2011, competition varied: UK outcompeted Mexico, as
they did in 2013 and 2014; Germany outcompeted France; and India
outcompeted Japan. Portugal’s share of this market increased 720%.
The top ten producers are generally stable, but their rank changes
frequently; one country easily replaces another, as was the case in
Japan in 2011 and 2014, India in 2012, and Canada since 2012. The
conglomeration of states included in Other Asia consistently held
the second largest share of the US other metal fasteners import
market, and the UK was the third largest producer three of four
years. These findings indicate that preferential trade agreements
may play less of a role in this product category.
This may also be due to the low price point for other metal
fasteners. Where product prices are low, preferential trade
agreements are less of a factor because fewer costs are associated
with expressing preference, i.e.: job loss from domestic production.
This is also true of value chain products – produced collectively
by a single or collection of manufacturers to increase competitive
advantage – which is consistent with the economic complexity
indicator for other metal fasteners. Because of the product’s low
price point, there is also a degree of risk that accompanies export
development within other metal fasteners, such as the investment
costs of export development relative to the market value gain. In
2011, the total US market value was $165M, in 2012, $108M, in 2013,
$161M, and in 2014, $148M. The four-year average market value for
this product category was $145.5M. In 2012, the US market was
$37.5M below average, and in 2014, the US market was just above
average; growth and profit are less stable.
11 Interview 7, Appendix 4; this retailer indicated that Simpson Strong-Tie or USP Structural
Connectors, a Mi-Tek brand product, are the lowest priced, best value, and most reliable
wholesalers and distributors for most hardware products on the US market.
12 Interview 6, Appendix 4.
13 Interview 5, Appendix 4.
15 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
◼ Italy
◼ China
◼ Mexico
◼ Spain
◼ Turkey
◼ Brazil
◼ Peru
◼ Canada
◼ Japan
◼ Columbia
◼ Portugal
◼ Italy
◼ China
◼ Mexico
◼ Spain
◼ Turkey
◼ Brazil
◼ Peru
◼ Canada
◼ Japan
◼ Columbia
◼ Portugal
In 2013, the US import market value was $1.29B. Figure 2.18 reveals
the top ten glazed ceramics producers’ US market share; Portugal’s
share was .51 % and value was $6.61M. Some notable changes in
this product market were that Italy outcompeted China for the
top producer position by increasing their market share 2% and
a resulting $7B. With the exceptions of Brazil and Japan, all top
producers’ market share increased, and Portugal’s market value
increased by almost $1M or 18%.
◼ Italy
◼ China
◼ Argentina
◼ Spain
◼ Germany
◼ Mexico
◼ Netherlands
◼ Canada
◼ Portugal
◼ Turkey
◼ Italy
◼ China
◼ Argentina
◼ Spain
◼ Germany
◼ Mexico
◼ Netherlands
◼ Canada
◼ Portugal
◼ Turkey
In 2013, the US import market value was $237M. Figure 2.23 shows
the top ten’s market share; in this year, Portugal’s share was .82%
and value was $1.94M. Some notable changes were that Argentina’s
share increased considerably – increasing its rank and market value
by $4M – and Hong Kong and Ukraine lost their top ten positions to
Turkey and Portugal. Portugal’s change in rank (from 11th in 2013 to
9th in 2014) did not result in a value gain, though total market value
increased because the market shares of the 9th and 10th largest
US producers of unglazed ceramics declined between 2013 and
2014. In 2013, the ninth and tenth producers (Ukraine and Canada)
possessed 1% and .84%, respectively, of the US market. Whereas in
2014, the ninth and tenth (Portugal and Turkey) held .75% and .59%.
◼ Mexico
◼ Colombia
◼ Spain
◼ Honduras
◼ Italy
◼ China
◼ France
◼ Japan
◼ Germany
◼ Turkey
◼ Portugal
◼ Mexico
◼ Colombia
◼ Spain
◼ Honduras
◼ Italy
◼ China
◼ France
◼ Japan
◼ Germany
◼ Turkey
◼ Portugal
In 2013, the US roofing tiles import market was $20.6M. Figure 2.28
shows the top ten producers’ market share; Portugal’s share was
.35% and value was $72.4K. Notable changes in this product market
In 2012, the US import market value was $16.7M. Figure 2.29 shows
the top ten roofing tiles producers’ US share of this market value.
Portugal’s share was .52%; value was $87.2K. From 2012 to 2013, the
total market increased by almost $4B, approximately a quarter.
Italy and Mexico experienced 5% gains and losses, respectively,
demonstrating the volatility trend. Portugal lost .17% of their market
share, but this resulted in only a fractional value loss, demonstrating
how widely the quarter increase in the total market value was
dispersed among producers. The 2011 US roofing tiles market value
was $17.8M, and Figure 2.28 highlights the top ten producers’ market
share. Portugal’s share was .32% and value was $56.6K. This was
the most stable year of the four-year period, characterized by share
changes of 3% or less for Mexico and China. There was relatively more
consistency among top producers, with the exception of Australia,
which lost 5.3% of the US market. Portugal made steady gains in 2012
by increasing its market value by over 50%.
◼ 2014
◼ 2013
◼ 2012
◼ 2011
A few findings emerge from this analysis. The first is that the price
point for these products is the subsector’s lowest, and when price
points are low, markets often feature greater degrees of stability.
With high-value products, competition is generally higher, and
competitiveness can help explain volatility. With lower price points,
large-scale total and producer market value loss is atypical, unless
the producer suffers an industry setback, but the analysis reveals
inexplicable value loss, across producers – both top ten and at the
lower levels – and across years. The market could stabilize over time,
but the general market value trend is a 3.4% annual decline (2011
-2014). Between 2014 and 2015, the total US roofing tiles import
market declined a further 2% (Comtrade 2016).
Beginning with LVPE, out of almost 1220 global products, they are
the 274th most complex and 21th most traded product (OEC 2014).
This product category includes switches, control panels, relays, fuses,
switchboards, fuse gear, isolators, boards, and logic controllers. The
US import market value for LVPE in 2014 was $9.89B, and Figure
2.33 shows top ten producers’ market share. Of the almost $10B
market, Figure 2.34 details each of the top producers’ market value,
compared to Portugal’s share (.22%).
◼ Mexico
◼ China
◼ Japan
◼ Germany
◼ Dominican Republic
◼ Other Asia
◼ France
◼ Canada
◼ Switzerland
◼ South Korea
◼ Portugal
◼ Mexico
◼ China
◼ Japan
◼ Germany
◼ Dominican Republic
◼ Other Asia
◼ France
◼ Canada
◼ Switzerland
◼ South Korea
◼ Portugal
In 2013, the US LVPE import market value was $9.77B, and Figure
2.35 reflects the top ten producers’ share of this value. Portugal’s
held .23% and accumulated $22.3M in value. Some notable changes
from 2013 to 2014 were that Other Asia outcompeted France,
Canada, Switzerland, and South Korea, enhancing their market
value $130M in a single year. There were slight changes overall in
regards to competition, market shares and values, including for
Portugal, but overall, it was a very stable year.
The 2012 US import market value was $8.9B. Figure 2.36 shows the
top LVPE producers’ US market share. Portugal’s share was .28%,
and its value was $25.2M. From 2012 to 2013, the total market value
increased almost $1B, which appears to have been the result of a
2% Chinese market share increase that resulted in an across the
board loss for most competitors, including Portugal, which suffered
a $3M loss. In 2011, the US import market was valued at $8.31B, and
the top ten producers’ share is detailed in Figure 2.42; Portugal’s
share was .2% and value was $16.6M. There were few notable
changes other than a steady increase in overall import market value
and an increase in Portugal’s market value by almost $10M – the
result of a .08% market share increase.
Moving to light fixtures, out of almost 1220 products, they are the
188th most complex and 69th most traded product (OEC 2014). This
product category includes lamps, lanterns, illuminating, signaling
glassware, electric, ballast, luminaire, chandelier, and flood lights.
The 2014 US import market value for light fixtures was $9.5B, and
Figure 2.39 highlights the top US producers’ market share. Of this
market, Figure 2.40 shows the top ten producers’ market value,
compared to Portugal’s share (.035%).
◼ China
◼ Mexico
◼ Canada
◼ Germany
◼ Other Asia
◼ India
◼ Italy
◼ South Korea
◼ France
◼ Denmark
◼ Portugal
◼ China
◼ Mexico
◼ Canada
◼ Germany
◼ Other Asia
◼ India
◼ Italy
◼ South Korea
◼ France
◼ Denmark
◼ Portugal
In 2013, the US light fixtures import market value was $9.04B. Figure
2.41 shows the top ten producers’ US market share of this market
value. Portugal’s market share was .034%, valued at $3.12M. Some
notable changes were that the total market increased by $450M,
and Denmark overtook Philippines in the top ten. While Mexico and
China each lost 3% market share – a 6% market loss at the top – it
does not appear this share was redistributed among the top ten
producers. Combined with the 5% annual market value increase,
this loss among top producers may have resulted in more diversified
competition, or market shares may have increased at lower levels;
however, Portugal does not appear to have benefited from this
share dispersal.
The 2012 US import market value was $7.37B, and the top light
fixtures producers’ market share is displayed in Figure 2.42.
Portugal’s share was .038% and value was $2.79M. From 2012 to
2013, the market value grew by 23%, and China may have been a
key – but not exclusive – driver of this increase; it appears to be the
only top ten producer with market share gains. At the lower end
of the top ten, competitors varied, including Indonesia’s inclusion
in the top ten for the first time and Denmark returning as a top
◼ Total Market
◼ Portugal
◼ Portugal
◼ Brazil
◼ Egypt
◼ Israel
◼ New Zealand
◼ Pakistan
◼ Singapore
◼ China
◼ Canada
◼ Mexico
◼ Germany
◼ Japan
◼ UK
◼ Other Asia
◼ Czech Republic
◼ South Korea
◼ Italy
◼ China
◼ Canada
◼ Mexico
◼ Germany
◼ Japan
◼ UK
◼ Other Asia
◼ Czech Republic
◼ South Korea
◼ Italy
◼ Portugal
In 2013, the US imported plastic pipes market value was $1.94B, and
the top ten producers’ share of the market is shown in Figure 2.48.
Portugal’s .013% share represented $248K in value. Some notable
changes in the US imported plastic pipes market from 2013 to 2014
were that the Czech Republic and Italy outcompeted France and
Switzerland, respectively, for their top place in the rankings. Across
the board, there were minor changes in market value and shares
– some positive and some negative – including for Portugal, which
experienced a small value and share loss.
The 2012 US import market value reached $1.63B. Figure 2.49 outlines
the top plastic pipes producers’ share of this market when Portugal’s
market share was .0094% ($153K). From 2012 to 2013, the market
increased 19%, which seems to have been evenly distributed across
most of the top producers with at least a 1% market share gain. China
overtook Canada as the top producer, a position it has maintained;
South Korea outcompeted its closest European competitors but was
unable to close the gap with Other Asia, and France lost its place
in the top ten to the Czech Republic. Portugal increased its market
share 38%; however, because imports were still below significant
17 See Interview 11, Appendix 4; Interview 7 also confirms that contractors make the majority
of purchasing decisions for US building projects.
◼ Canada
◼ China
◼ Germany
◼ Mexico
◼ Japan
◼ South Korea
◼ Ireland
◼ UK
◼ Other Asia
◼ Colombia
◼ Portugal
◼ Canada
◼ China
◼ Germany
◼ Mexico
◼ Japan
◼ South Korea
◼ Ireland
◼ UK
◼ Other Asia
◼ Colombia
◼ Portugal
The 2012 US import market value was $1.94B; see Figure 2.54 for the
top ten other plastic sheeting producers’ market share. Portugal’s
market share was .1% and value was $1.84M. From 2012 to 2013,
there was an almost 7% market value increase, Canada’s market
share decreased, China’s increased, both Ireland and Mexico
outcompeted South Korea, and Other Asia outcompeted the
Dominican Republic. Portugal continued to enhance its market
value by 14% or a quarter of a million dollars. In 2011, the imported
Beginning with iron pipes, out of almost 1220 global products, they
are the 235th most complex and 91st most traded product (OEC
2014). This product category includes pipes, blanks, steel, oil, gas,
pipelines, and circular cross-sections. The total US import market
value for iron pipes in 2014 was $5.75B. Figure 2.56 shows the US
market share for iron pipes in 2014. Of the almost $6B total import
market value, Figure 2.57 shows each of the top ten 2014 iron pipes
producers’ market value, which does not include Portugal’s share as
export figures for 2014 were below 0.01% or $73K.
◼ Mexico
◼ Japan
◼ Germany
◼ Canada
◼ China
◼ Austria
◼ Argentina
◼ Italy
◼ Czech Republic
◼ Russia
◼ Mexico
◼ Japan
◼ Germany
◼ Canada
◼ China
◼ Austria
◼ Argentina
◼ Italy
◼ Czech Republic
◼ Russia
In 2012, the total US import market value was $6.12B. Figure 2.59
shows the top ten iron pipes producers’ US market share of this
market value. Portugal’s market share was 0.01% and value was
$16K. Some notable changes in the iron pipes market from 2012
to 2013 were that the total market value declined by 19%, which
affected market shares, but Portugal still able to increase its market
value 69%. There was some variation among top producers, with
Japan maintaining the top producer position.
In 2011, the total US imported iron pipes market value was $5.13B.
Figure 2.60 shows the top ten producers’ US market share of this
market value. Portugal’s market share was not above 0.00% or $1K
for 2011. Some notable changes in this product market from 2011
to 2012 were that the market value increased by $1B (19%) and
Austria, Canada, Italy, Czech Republic, and Russia improved their
competitiveness.
Two things are immediately clear about the US market for iron
pipes from this assessment. First, the market has not demonstrated
stability lately. With the 19% decline in 2013, the steady growth rate
of previous years, and the 2014 16% rebound, the market has an
average growth rate of 5% annually. This is positive news, but the
market took a large hit between 2012 and 2013, and the US import
market continues to experience decline since 2014 (Datamyne
2016). There are two factors at work within the US imported iron
pipes market that likely impact this decline and continued lack of
recovery; the first is that iron pipes are a commodity-based product
category, subject to fluctuations in commodity prices, and the
second is that oversupply of iron product categories has continued
to drive down import markets’ value.
One iron pipes wholesaler said the current US market is: “very
complicated. A lot of people get kickbacks, rebates; they can literally
sell it at a loss on the front end and get a rebate on the back end.
It costs practically nothing right now. They move mass amounts of
this stuff, and a lot of people can’t compete because they’ve got
truckload of this stuff.”20 Two industry experts interviewed confirmed
that the US construction materials market requires large volumes,
truckloads, to be competitive in price, which may pose difficult for
SMEs. One alternative may be to collaborate on filling big orders.
The second thing that is immediately apparent about this product
category is that competition varies considerably; with a targeted
20 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
Finally, the last product, iron stovetops, are the 512th most complex
and 313th most traded product OEC 2014). This product category
includes barbecues, domestic, cooking apparatus, plate warmers,
and heating products. The total US import market value for iron
stovetops in 2014 was $2.51B. Figure 2.61 shows the US market share
for iron stovetops in 2014. Of the $2.51B total import market value,
Figure 2.62 shows each of the top ten 2014 iron stovetops producers’
market value, which does not include Portugal’s share as export
figures for 2014 were below 0.0%, just under $64K.
◼ China
◼ Mexico
◼ Canada
◼ Thailand
◼ Other Asia
◼ Italy
◼ South Korea
◼ India
◼ Norway
◼ Japan
21 Interview 8, Appendix 4.
◼ China
◼ Mexico
◼ Canada
◼ Thailand
◼ Other Asia
◼ Italy
◼ South Korea
◼ India
◼ Norway
◼ Japan
In 2013, the total US iron stovetops import market value was $2.46B.
Figure 2.63 shows the top producers’ US market share of this market
value. Portugal’s market share was .0045% and value was $111K.
Some notable changes in the iron stovetops market from 2013 to
2014 include that China lost 3% market share, which seemed to be
distributed between Thailand, which almost doubled its market
share and outcompeted Other Asia, and the rest of the lower top
ten. However, Portugal did not appear to benefit from China’s loss,
as its market share and value was decreased by nearly half.
In 2012, the total US import market value was $2.22B. Figure 2.64
shows the top ten iron stovetops producers’ US market share of
this market value. Portugal’s market share was .0049% and value
was $108K. Some notable changes in the iron stovetops market
from 2012 to 2013 were that the total market increased by almost
a quarter of a billion, and there were some losses and gains in this
product category but no significant change other than Norway
outcompeting India.
Basically whatever you put on the job site, they use. …our main
focus is customer service and pricing; if you win us over in pricing,
we have to make sure your customer service is top notch. We
need things at the drop of the dime. On site, everything could be
doing well, and 4 seconds later a pipe could burst. Everything is in
chaos then. That’s where customer service comes into play.22
2.4 Conclusion
The report finds slow but steady growth across the majority of
product categories with highly lucrative possibilities for Portuguese
export development due to product weight and shipping and labor
factors within these subsectors, which are mostly frequently traded
and less complex. Prospects for Portuguese export development
look particularly strong in hardware (padlocks and other metal
fasteners), building ceramics (glazed and unglazed), electrical
(LVPE and light fixtures), and PVC (plastic pipes and other plastic
sheeting) products. Portugal has done increasingly well in glazed
ceramics and electrical products, both highly lucrative markets.
1. China ($39.14B)
2. US ($6.92B)
3. Japan ($5.4B)
4. Mexico ($4.54B)
5. South Korea ($2B)
6. Turkey ($1.91B)
7. Canada ($1.5B).
It is of little surprise that China or the US, the world’s first and
second-largest economies, are at the top; what is striking is the gap
between the US and China’s total export values. After China, the
top five global construction materials export markets, combined,
are less than half of China’s global exports in these subsectors,
which gives a strong indication of China’s dominance. However,
commodity prices have recently fallen globally, and Chinese
construction materials exporters face increasing tariff barriers in
US and European market. There is also indication that the Chinese
Canada and Mexico’s special relationship with the US, the world’s
largest economy for decades, is a contributing factor in their success
in global markets. High US demand due to availability and transport
costs has led to brand and quality recognition globally. Portugal’s
global exports in these subsectors equates to about 34% of Canada’s
or 1.3% of China’s exports, but competition among Portugal’s
European competitors paints a much more optimistic picture.
1. Germany ($10.73B)
2. Italy ($8.36B)
3. Spain ($5.25B)
4. France ($3.35B)
5. Austria ($2.4B)
6. UK ($2.18B).
1. China ($39.14B)
2. Germany ($10.73B)
3. Italy ($8.36B)
4. US ($6.92B)
5. Japan ($5.4B)
6. Spain ($5.25B)
7. Mexico ($4.54B)
8. France ($3.35B)
9. Austria ($2.4B)
10. UK ($2.18B)
11. South Korea ($2B)
12. Turkey ($1.91B)
13. Canada ($1.5B).
This sector (stone and glass) is the tenth largest for Portugal, which also
makes it nearly the median – the midway point – of all of Portuguese
export sectors. Machines are the most exported sector, and arts and
antiques are the least exported. Because glazed ceramics are near
the median, there is an almost equal statistical chance of increasing
or decreasing in export value and volume. By exporting or enhancing
exports to the US, SMEs in the ceramics subsector can play a key role
in Portugal’s economic future. Egypt’s global export share is declining,
which could present opportunity for Portuguese SMEs ready to supply
the global market. However, Portugal’s share of the global market is
also declining, from 2.1% market share and $245M market value in 2011
to 1.6% market share and $216M market value in 2014. Recall that this
export sector was the median – equally likely to increase or decrease
– and again, numbers and statistical analyses begin to have more
practical implication.
The global market for light fixtures is growing at a rapid rate (9.1%);
the US market is growing at an average annual rate of 12%. While
Section 2 highlighted reasons to be excited about opportunities for
export development in this product category, the assessment urged
Portuguese SMEs to be “cautiously optimistic”. China’s dominance
is reason for caution alone, but the US market has also shown sharp
spikes in market value accompanied by brief declines (see Figure
2.44). While the global market does not show similar declines, spikes
are evident, reinforcing the recommendation to be cautious in
markets with such high growth.
Through 2013 and 2011, these trends, shares, and values do not
change considerably; it is clear that South Korea aim to outcompete
Turkey on a global level, but it has difficulty being consistent. The
market shows slow growth, but from 2011 to 2012, the global market
declined by $200M. Portugal’s share has also declined from .63%
or $135M in 2011 slowly to .57% or $136M. Though the market value
loss is not as apparent as the global share loss, this global market
is growing at an average rate of 3%, and Portugal’s exports are
unable to keep pace. In 2011, Portuguese exports of plastic pipes
were 3.7% of total exports; in 2014, they were 3.1%. This slow decline
contributes to a scenario in which Portugal’s global competitors are
gaining from its market share loss.
The analysis in Section 2.3d found that the US market for plastic
pipes is growing at an average rate of 13%, and Portugal increased
its US imports at an average rate of 54% annually; however, these
imports are still below a significant level (0.0%). The assessment
recommended that Portuguese SMEs focus on building
relationships with American importers and distributors and
maintaining low production / labor costs to develop a sustainable
US competition strategy. One retailer interviewed said that when
developing relationships with new suppliers they are looking for
exporters to have: “a good supply record, where they provide good
service and quality. [They should] probably [be] rated number one
in terms of price. That’s who we work with.”23
23 Interview 8, Appendix 4.
To reiterate what was said of light fixtures, the products chosen for
further analysis under Section 3.3 and 3.4 are selected because they
present a challenge for the report parties and SMEs. The analysis of
external competition of iron pipes did not yield conclusive results;
it did refine the picture of metal subsector exports by focusing on
prospects and challenges, explored further in Section 6.2b. The
analysis of external competitors within Europe refines this picture
further still.
Portugal’s share of the European market was 1.1%, and global value
was $14.5M, which is most similar to the Czech Republic (1.3% of
the European market and global market value: $17.8M), Poland
(European market share: .92%, global market value: $12.2M), and
Belgium-Luxemburg (European market share: .78%, global market
value: $10.3M). From the analysis in Section 3.3a, the report concluded
that Portugal has a significant global market share, and though
Portugal will likely not become a top US producer of this product, it
can use its global exports to enhance US import opportunities.
This report would add that Portugal’s ability to export this product,
compared with its European competitors, is noteworthy. Portugal
should set export volume targets that are similar or greater than
the Czech Republic’s exports, while assuring that Portugal is not
outcompeted by Poland – a $2M matter. Above the Czech Republic
is Switzerland, which holds 3.3% of the European market and a
global market value of $43.4M. Within the next three to five years, it
is unlikely that Portuguese SMEs could develop an export strategy
to increase global other metal fasteners exports as aggressive as
necessary to outcompete Switzerland. Therefore, SMEs exporting
other metal fasteners should look target exporting similar volumes
compared with the Czech Republic to improve competitiveness in
the US, global, and European market.
3.5 Conclusion
4.4 Tariffs
25 See Appendix 3 for a sample list of tariffs that apply to the subsectors and product
categories assessed in this report.
26 Product names, not HS codes, are listed in the importing guide, see pages 106-114, 133.
27 Interview 5, Appendix 4.
29 Interview 6, Appendix 4.
30 Interview 7, Appendix 4.
31 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
32 Interview 7, Appendix 4.
33 Interview 5, Appendix 4.
35 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
37 Ibid.
40 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
41 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
43 Ibid.
44 Ibid.
To clarify the point about countries the US has a BIT or FTA with and
the Buy American provision, the report finds that Portuguese SMEs,
especially those looking to import metalware, have the following
reasons to be optimistic:
1. raw aluminum
2. iron pipes
3. metal mountings
4. iron fasteners
5. other small iron pipes
6. other iron products
7. refined copper
8. hot-rolled iron
9. coated flat-rolled iron.50
48 Interview 7, Appendix 4.
The reason for this – and for other product categories in high
demand – likely relates to the Buy American requirement in federal
contracting. Raw and base material products can be “melted and
poured” in the US, which is how the Buy American provision defines
“US-made” products. It is also important to consider that foreign
products are allowed on federal contracts, as long as they come
from a country with which the US has a BIT or FTA.51 Under certain
circumstances, products from (least) developing countries are also
allowed on federal contracts under the Buy American provision.
While it is not in the interest of this report to argue either side, it
appears that Buy American does impact trade in constructional
materials and that the Buy American provisions could be classified
as discriminatory.
2014 Percent
5.8% 1.7% 3.9% 12% 2% 4.5%
2013 Value
$117B $2.17B $4.84B $161M $2.46B $4.93B
2013 Percent
5.5% 1.9% 4.1% .14% 2.1% 4.2%
2012 Value
$122B $2.03B $4.85B $180M $2.22B $6.12B
2012 Percent
5.8% 1.7% 4% .15% 1.8% 5%
2011 Value
$118B $1.87B $4.45B $165M $2.18B $5.13B
2011 Percent
5.7% 1.6% 3.8% .14% 1.8% 4.4%
Because of the scope of the report, not all product categories that
Portuguese SMEs currently export or plan to export are included. At
this point, the report would like to highlight that in iron housewares
or “table, kitchen or other household articles and parts thereof, of
iron or steel” imports in the US have witnessed steady value growth
from 2011 to 2014, although import share has only gone up once, in
2013 by .2% and returned to 1.6% after. The four-year average import
market for these products in the US is $2B. Iron toiletry or “sanitary
ware and parts thereof, of iron and steel” – another product category
of interest – imports in the US mirror changes witnessed in other
metal fasteners: steady growth in value and share with a sharp
increase in 2013 and small decline in 2014. 2014 imports are still
above 2012 levels, both in value, which exceed 2012 considerably,
and import share, which is the same as 2012.
1. Glazed ceramics
2. Bathroom ceramics
3. Laboratory ceramic ware
4. Ornamental ceramics.
Table 5.2 below shows the import values and shares for glazed
ceramics, unglazed ceramics, and roofing tiles from 2011 to 2014, and
the table reveals similar findings to Table 5.1 (metal sector), including:
52 Interview 2, Appendix 4.
53 The report recognizes that not all products in this subsector are construction materials.
The product categories included in this subsector are all product categories imported a
significant levels (0.0% or higher): glazed ceramics, bathroom ceramics, laboratory ceramic
ware, ornamental ceramics, refractory ceramics, ceramic tableware, unglazed ceramics, other
ceramic articles, ceramic bricks, and roofing tiles. See Appendix 2 for HS product codes.
Electrical Electrical
Light Fixtures LVPE Transformers Control Boards
The top PVC construction products in this subsector for 2014 were:
1. Ethylene polymers
2. Raw plastic sheeting
3. Polyacetals
4. Other Plastic Sheeting
5. Plastic pipes.
Table 5.6 below shows the import values and shares for the plastics
and rubbers sector and product categories of plastic pipes, other
plastic sheeting, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), and polyvinyl alcohol
(PVA). Sector demand information is given in the table – as opposed
to subsector information – for reasons identified above, and
plastic pipes and other plastic sheeting are included due to their
assessment in this report. The last two product categories of PVC
and PVA – used by many American construction distributors and
retailers interviewed for the report – are included because they are
related products and ones that Portugal may have a competitive
advantage in supplying US demand. From 2014 to 2011, and the
table reveals interesting findings, such as:
54 PVC Pipes, a Brussels-based interest group, established itself to dispel against such
perceptions, and SMEs in the PVC subsector may benefit by membership, promotional
resources, and having through products tested and certified through affiliated testing
institutes.
56 Interview 5, Appendix 4.
This is not the only factor shaping the quality improvement trend;
dialectical factors influence industry trends, as well as competition.
For example, one retailer revealed that: “Its availability, which drives
the market price; if Chinese prices goes up, we go to domestic steel
or Turkish. If Chinese prices go down, we go with them.”61 Several
industry experts interviewed indicated that they have stopped
importing or buying Chinese construction materials, especially
for advanced manufacturing products (ie: beyond basic hardware
like screws and nails). One retailer mentioned sanitary, health, and
consumer issues with Chinese building products; another said
that too many instances of Chinese exporters flooding the market
has turned American preferences away from Chinese materials,
which established a firm hold during the Dotcom building bubble.
Another specialist confided that his company is owned by a top
Chinese construction firm, and they are the US face for the Chinese
building association. Almost every industry specialist interviewed
was open to European construction materials because of quality
reputation, and the report argues that Portuguese SMEs have an
existing and well-established competitive advantage over exporters
that may currently outcompete them in the US and global markets.
»» Washington »» Colorado
»» California »» Texas
»» Arizona »» Florida
»» Utah »» New York.
61 Interview 6, Appendix 4.
62 Interview 7, Appendix 4.
Assessment of US Trends
Before continuing, it is worth pausing to emphasize the
recommendations made so far that will help SMEs keep pace of US
trends. The importance of keeping pace cannot be overstated; in
the US, succeeding at any level of business requires an enormous
amount of luck – or being at the right place at the right time. This
means being ahead of the curve when it comes to US trends, but
trends change. By the time Portuguese SMEs digest this report and
begin to form an action plan for sustainable export development,
some of these trends may have less potency.
The top markets for lighting products for up to year 2018 are
expected to be: Canada, Mexico, China, South Korea, Saudi Arabia,
Germany, Japan, the UK, Taiwan, and the Netherlands (ITA 2016).
For plumbing products, Portuguese SMEs should also seek to
expand in Mexico, Canada, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates,
Taiwan, the UK, Venezuela, South Korea, Australia, and South
Africa (ITA 2016). Advertising ratings on English-language websites
is an effective way to reach US owners, designers, and importers
who research foreign products without exporters’ knowledge.
Adding testimonials and obtaining product approval are other
ways American companies, distributors, and importers verify
product quality. Finally, the report suggests that Portuguese SMEs
diversify exports by initiating or enhancing exports in other product
categories, such as those explored in Section 5.2. One US wholesaler
with over 23 US branches and 60 years of operations contributed
that diversifying products is an effective strategy when their primary
products are not experiencing high demand and said of the general
US construction materials right now that: “everyone is sort of in a
66 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
67 Interview 8, Appendix 4.
68 Interview 3, Appendix 4.
»» News sites and blogs featuring the top sources for up-to-date
developments in the US construction industry
70 The report aimed to provide detailed information on industry pricing models for
subsector products; however, no industry expert interviewed could provide this information.
Some of the subsector products are commodities, and information is publicly available but
changes frequently. The majority of individuals either said they were unable to give this
information or price was driven by ever-changing supply, demand, quality, availability, and
a whole range of other factors that were difficult to pin down. See the end of Interview 6,
Appendix 4 for example.
Brazil was cleared of steel bar dumping allegations by the US, and
final determinations and injury investigations on steel pipes and
cold-rolled steel are pending, following the above developments,
against China, Japan, the Oman, Pakistan, the UAE, and Vietnam
(Sandler, Travis & Rosenberg Trade Report 2016i). Investigation and
action is pending on many more iron / steel products, including
iron pipes and iron pipe fittings assessed in this report, from Brazil,
Italy, Taiwan, China, South Korea, Japan, Mexico, India, South Africa,
Germany, Spain, Belgium, and France. “It’s very competitive, you
have to really know your business, contacts, and relationships, at
a much different level than other products. …we’ll sell 100 feet of
iron pipe, but our competitors sell 1000 feet. You have no idea how
much it is, where it is.”71 The results range from tensions in other
export sector trade to allegations of American overprotection,
protectionism, and unfair trade policy (US CBP 2015; Bridges
2016ii; Sandler, Travis & Rosenberg Trade Report 2016ii, 2016iii,
2016iv). China, in particular, has argued the action by the US Steel
Corporation is: “extraordinarily broad, indeed unprecedented” with
337 cases pending (Inside US Trade 2016iv).
71 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
72 Interview 8, Appendix 4.
73 Interview 4, Appendix 4.
74 Interview 5, Appendix 4.
5.5 Conclusion
The crux of the analysis from Section 5.2 highlights the importance
of competitive prices, good availability, export volume and
consistency, product quality and service, and relationships and
industry connections. “We need people nearby to supply our
needs in the case of things going wrong…. We try to use local or US
77 Ibid.
»» Build relationships
»» Discern where Portuguese SMEs have advantages in the US
market via trend analysis, trade shows, and publications
»» Enhance exports in other foreign markets as part of a longer-term
strategy to access and grow in the US market.
6.2a Challenges
The challenges Portuguese SMEs face in the US market are
significant; the report parties are similarly SMEs and know first-
hand the challenges of developing and growing in the dynamic
US business environment. As Robert Burns, the Scottish poet, put
it: “The best laid schemes o’ mice an’ men / Gang aft a-gley.” Or: the
most well-developed export development and growth strategies
can easily go wrong. In Section 5.3, this report repeated the caveat
SMEs will recognize which option is most suitable for their needs,
goals, and budget.
The case of a small e-commerce firm with over $3M in annual gross
revenue and more than a dozen employees is instructive. In its
excitement to grow domestic and foreign markets, the company
failed to adequately prioritize employee development, failed to
maintain facilities, and failed to reincorporate returned stock into
merchandise software. Amazon and eBay feedback deteriorated to
the point that the company’s accounts were suspended. Each slip
contributed to short-term irregularities that resulted in the eventual
84 Ibid.
85 Ibid.
6.2b Strengths
Confronting these challenges – rather than attempting to avoid
them – is an effective strategy for SME success, as is leveraging
strengths. When comparing Portuguese SMEs’ export potential
to that of their European or global competitors, it’s important
to consider comparative advantage. A comparative (economic)
advantage is the ability of one country or company to produce a
product more efficiently, using fewer resources, given all the other
This could also be the case for roofing tiles, where use of this
product is concentrated in US states with hot, arid climates, such as
Arizona and Nevada. In these two states, the housing market is also
rebounding after a prolonged post-2008 decline, which affected US
suppliers’ needs from 2011 to 2013 at minimum. Looking to establish
a competitive advantage in these states with roofing tiles (and
ceramics, in general), most US importers, distributors, and retailers
purchase Mexican, Italian, or Spanish materials. Therefore, SMEs
should ensure their product quality, price, availability, and customer
service compare with these top US producers.
86 The report does not advise analyzing trends beyond 2008, as the export volume and
trade data will not be consistent with continued post-recession economic patterns and
trade flows.
87 The report would recommend conducting a “box and whisker plot” analysis to see means,
medians, and outliers of export volume.
88 The report suggests a highly complex “multivariate regression analysis” to indicate what
variables likely contributed to irregular export volume and to incorporate supply and value
chain analyses.
»» In Portugal:
»» In the US
»» In Europe
»» In the world
–– Macau Airport
–– Catumbela Bridge (Angola)
–– Bridge of Zambeze River (Mozambique)
–– Conference Plaza Hotel (Abu Dhabi)
–– Hotel Marriot (Mumbai)
–– New Supreme Court (Singapore)
–– Byelorusskaia Metro Station (Moscow)
–– Martin Place (Sydney)
–– 2015-2016: 38th
–– 2014-2015: 36th
–– 2013-2014: 51st
–– 2012-2013: 49th
–– 2011-2012: 45th
–– 2010-2011 46th
–– Croatia
–– Finland
–– Ireland
–– Luxemburg
–– Bulgaria
–– Estonia
–– Latvia
–– Lithuania
–– Slovakia
DataMyne (2016), “HTS Code: 3917 Tubes, Pipes, Hoses, and Their
Fittings, of Plastics”, updated April 2016, available at: http://www.
datamyne.com/hts/39/3917.
IMF (2016), “Report for Selected Country Groups and Subjects”, part
of the World Economic Outlook Database, published in April 2016,
available at:
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2016/01/weodata/weorept.
aspx?pr.x=58&pr.y=19&sy=2015&ey=
2015&scsm=1&ssd=1&sort=country&ds=.&br=1&c=001%2C998&s=NGD\
PD&grp=1&a=1.
Kid, T (2015), “The Quest to Grow the World’s Most Powerful Pot”,
published by Vice on April 20, 2015, available at: http://www.vice.
com/read/marijuanas-growers-are-upping-the-thc-ante-with-super-
potent-pot-456.
Sneed, Brandt, and Solt (2013), “Land Subsidence Along the Delta-
Mendota Canal in the Northern Part of the San Joaquin Valley,
California, 2003-2010”, published by US Geological Survey Scientific
Investigations Report on November 21, 2013, available at http://pubs.
usgs.gov/sir/2013/5142/.