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A L L - D O M A I N A N O M A L Y R E S O L U TI O N O F F I C E

The US Defense Department &


the UAP Mission
Seán Kirkpatrick, Ph.D.
Director, AARO

US Department of Defense

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⎯UAP ≠ unattributed balloon activity;


key emphases on “anomalous” factors
UNIDENTIFIED UAP are sources of anomalous detections in one or
more domain (i.e., airborne, seaborne,
ANOMALOUS spaceborne, and/or transmedium) that are
not yet attributable to known actors and
⎯Existence of UAP is direct consequence PHENOMENA that demonstrate behaviors that are not
of domain-awareness gaps readily understood by sensors or observers.

“Anomalous detections” include but are not


limited to phenomena that demonstrate
apparent capabilities or material that exceed
⎯UAP potentially represent advanced known performance envelopes.
capabilities operating in our
domain-awareness gaps
A UAP may consist of one or more
unidentified anomalous objects and may
persist over an extended period of time.

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The FY23 NDAA modified and expanded on the previous year’s UAP provisions,
affecting authorities, organization, and reporting-requirements.

⎯Established AARO as US Government lead for UAP efforts

⎯Amends structure, distribution of responsibilities

⎯Requires annual report to be a joint, DoD & ODNI submission

⎯Adds Historical Record Report

⎯Adds UAP reporting procedures/protections

⎯Increases number of congressional committees overseeing


AARO activities

⎯Revises UAP acronym to stand for unidentified anomalous


phenomena
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A L L - D O M A I N A N O M A LY R E S O L U T I O N O F F I C E

Mission, Vision, & Functions


AARO emerged from Congressional and Departmental recognition that UAP present
complex hazards and threats across service, regional, and domain boundaries.

MISSION: minimize technical and intelligence surprise, by synchronizing VISION: unidentified, anomalous objects are effectively and efficiently
scientific, intelligence, and operational detection, identification, detected, tracked, analyzed, and managed by way of normalized DoD, IC,
attribution, and mitigation of unidentified, anomalous objects in the and civil business practices; by adherence to the highest scientific and
vicinity of national security areas intelligence-tradecraft standards; and with greater transparency and
shared awareness

OPERATIONS SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY ANALYSES STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS


synchronizing and sequencing revealing and exploiting delivering peer-reviewed driving shared awareness
Theater, IC, and other elusive and enigmatic conclusions through deliberate across mission partners,
capabilities for optimized, signatures through advanced syntheses of scientific and oversight authorities, and
cross-functional UAP technologies and focused, intelligence method, stakeholders—normalizing
detection, tracking, mitigation, cross-sector partnerships tradecraft, tools, and expertise cross-sector partnerships and
and recovery building trust with
transparency

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The potentially ubiquitous presence of UAP defines the national-security


implications and drives the broad range of stakeholders and demand for
rigorous scientific understanding of and intelligence on phenomena
US Territory & Operating Areas US Strategic Capabilities Foreign Territory & Operating Areas
⎯ DoD observations and reporting of ⎯ Reporting on UAP proximity to ⎯ Reporting on UAP activity in foreign
UAP most often in the vicinity of US strategic capabilities and critical territory or operating areas limited by
military facilities and operating areas infrastructure primarily historical; source reliability
analysis limited by information currency
⎯ Threats to the immediate safety of US and source reliability
citizens and Government facilities, ⎯ Consequence of such moderate-to-
across domains, is priority ⎯ Consequence of UAP in the vicinity of high, potentially leading to adversarial
strategic capabilities is high, potentially misattribution of UAP to the United
⎯ Safety and security risks of UAP threatening strategic deterrence and States
heighten US Government awareness safety of civil society
and drives research and mitigation
efforts ⎯ Allies and strategic competitors apply
⎯ DoD strengthening observations and resources to observe, identify, and
reporting capabilities near US strategic attribute UAP (open source)
capabilities and critical infrastructure

Key partners and stakeholders include Key partners and stakeholders include Key partners and stakeholders include
DoD, IC, DoJ, NASA, FAA DoD, IC, DoE and NNSA, DoJ, DHS DoD, IC, STATE, international partners

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INTEGRATED OPERATIONS STRATEGY


Leads Integrated-Operations Strategy development-tailoring platform
and sensor tasking and optimizing cross-functional tipping & cueing
between Theater and IC assets.
Guides development of integrated-operations plans; standardized
reporting requirements; interoperable tactics, techniques, and
procedures; and operational prioritization of platforms and sensors.

HISTORICAL UAP-DATA ACQUISITION REPORTING REQUIREMENTS MGT


Organically garners primary Guides codification of analytic
research data for scientific and information needs as reporting
intelligence analyst consumption- requirements by scientific and
through voluntary interviews with intelligence analysts
those who claim placement and
access to UAP and UAP-related Military operational elements, IC
information; through collection of Mission Managers, and IC
historical government and open- Functional Managers identify
source data; and through other capabilities, capacities, and
activities. constraints available for reporting
against scientific and intelligence
analytic needs

UAP DETECTION & TRACKING UAP MITIGATION UAP OBJECT RECOVERY


Advises Theater, Defense, National-level, and Partners with Joint Staff and counterintelligence Leads UAP recovery planning and
foreign UAP operations—optimizing platform elements in the development of UAP mitigation execution, in close collaboration
and sensor tasking across functions and in real- strategies- including but not limited to UAP with AARO S& T Group.
time, during Area of Responsibility (AoR) incursions and engagement
Advises Commands on the secure
baselining and as anomalies are detected,
Advises Commands on AoR-specific UAP and safe handling, storage,
observed.
mitigation planning; on tactics, techniques, and transport, and transfer of UAP
Manages the secure retention of UAP Data procedures; and on relevant legal, policy, Objects and Material, for AARO
from operational platforms and its transfer to oversight, and compliance requirements. S&T exploitation.
AARO.
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INTEGRATED ANALYTIC STRATEGY


Leads an integrated DoD, IC, and S&T community process that
employs rigorous tradecraft, sophisticated scientific methods, and an
expert peer review to resolve cases with the highest confidence levels
possible

PRELIMINARY ANALYSES
Publication and Feedback
Compare location, characteristics,
Publishes and distributes performance and signature data to
final, peer-reviewed AARO open source and classified
Analytic Assessment in a catalogues of known foreign
manner discoverable by capabilities and R&D programs;
DoD, IC, policymakers, and deconflict with sensitive US
programs and activities; triage,

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other stakeholders
categorize, and store for further
Provides conclusions and

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analysis
feedback to UAP reporting
sources (i.e., UAP observers)

SCIENTIFIC ANALYSES
Public, private, and industry laboratory
Director’s Review partners leverage scientific and engineering
methods and cutting-edge computing
ANALYTIC PEER-REVIEW technologies to publish peer-reviewed,
The Director will review all elements forensic, repeatable research on anomalous
Prepare the AARO Analytic
of the Analytic Assessment Case UAP signatures and material
Assessment Case Package including
Package and the peer review

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original reports, sensor data, IC and
findings to either approve the
Assessment’s determination or
S&T findings and analytic INTELLIGENCE ANALYSES
assessments. As necessary, convene Mission partners' defense, intelligence, and
disapprove it and send back to the
both teams to discuss significant counterintelligence analysts employ
IC and S&T Teams for additional
analytic difference. Package will be intelligence tradecraft against all-source
analysis
reviewed by members of the data, to produce rigorous analyses of UAP

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Strategic Technical Advisory Group implications to US National Security
for rigor, tradecraft, gaps,
assumptions and argumentation

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CAPABILITIES DEVELOPMENT CAPABILITIES DEPLOYMENT UAP EXPLOITATION


Leads defense, intelligence, In close collaboration with AARO Directs exploitation of recovered
academic, and industry Operations and with research enigmatic technologies, leveraging
identification of existing and partners (e.g., DoE laboratories), cross-sector partnerships and the
emergent technology capable of integrates emergent technical latest developments in theoretical
detecting, identifying, attributing, capabilities into “real-world" and applied physics, engineering
mitigating, and exploiting UAP operations and guides their
Leads structured recording,
Identifies, approves, and guides application against UAP
synthesis, and sharing of signature
Research & Development Comparatively analyzes newly-
and material analyses for data
investments from across sectors; exposed signatures, characteristics,
consistency across operational,
recommends capability integration and behaviors with known
analytic, and research partnerships
into Integrated UAP Mission phenomena, in support of AARO
Strategies Analysts' preliminary assessment

UAP SIGNATURE ID CAPABILITY GAP ID


In partnership with the scientific DoD operational, analytic, and
community and the AARO investigative elements, IC Mission
Strategic Technical Advisory Managers, and IC Functional
Group, analyzes US and foreign Managers identify capability and
sensor data phenomenology and capacity shortfalls, as they pertain
assesses applied and theoretical to UAP detection, identification,
signatures Leads development of attribution, and mitigation
theorems for defining
Sensor and exploitation
characteristics of known and
instrumentation needs and gaps
anomalous phenomena, and
codified as capability requirements
guides operational and analytic
by AARO Operations and Analyses
tradecraft development

INTEGRATED SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY STRATEGY


Leads Integrated S& T Strategy development revealing elusive
signatures, advanced technological-exploitation tools and methods,
and non-traditional partnership opportunities to arm the UAP Mission
against emerging threats

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OVERSIGHT ENGAGEMENT
AMERICAN-PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT
Tracks Executive, Legislative, and Defense
Implements the Department's commitment to Department requirements for the UAP Mission
transparency and openness on UAP matters. and the Office; monitors AARO progress toward
Identifies and recommends opportunities for meeting those requirements; and drives
countering misconceptions and raising development of routine and ad hoc reporting to
awareness of the Department's UAP mission via Congress and other stakeholders within the U.S.
targeted media, partner, and public Government.
engagement.

UAP-MISSION COMMS REQ UAP-MISSION PARTNER ENGAGEMENT


Identifies new and ongoing Guides AARO partner engagement, ensuring
opportunities for strategic unity of message, consistency, and coherence
communications engagement among defense, civil, private, and international
across AARO”s mission functions; partners.
to include key stakeholder needs,
expectations, and areas for
collaboration.

INTEGRATED STRATEGIC-ENGAGEMENT STRATEGY


Leads the development of an integrated engagement strategy on UAP
that promotes shared awareness across mission partners, oversight
authorities, and other stakeholders; builds trust and transparency; and
normalizes cross-sector partnerships.

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A L L - D O M A I N A N O M A LY R E S O L U T I O N O F F I C E

UAP Reporting Trends


1996-2023
REPORTED-UAP ALTITUDES TYPICALLY-REPORTED UAP CHARACTERISTICS REPORTED UAP-MORPHOLOGY
100K Weather Balloons

1, 47%
13, 0%
60K 1.0% 12, 1%
11, 1%
55K 0.2% 10, 1%
9, 1%
50K 1.0% 8, 2% 2, 19%
7, 2%
45K 1.6% 6, 2%
5, 3% 3, 7%
40K 2.9%

35K Commercial Air Traffic


4.3% 4, 16%

30K 6.4% REPORTED-UAP HOTSPOTS


25K 19.8%

20K 28.7%

15K 14.6%

10K 9.5%

5K 9.9%
Mt Everest

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A L L - D O M A I N A N O M A LY R E S O L U T I O N O F F I C E

Office Goals & Priorities: 2023


ORGANIZATIONAL MANAGEMENT OPERATIONS ANALYSES SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS

● Formalize organizational design, ● Establish the Department’s UAP- ● Develop thresholds, criteria for ● Develop comprehensive, ● Establish interagency coordination
responsibilities reporting standards anomalous determinants of each searchable UAP database on UAP public messaging
domain
● Codify and staff unit manning ● Drive implementation of ● Guide architecture and network ● Engage partners and allies about
document to full-operating capability operational framework ● Guide UAP collection and engineering AARO’s work and mission
reporting, through cogent
● Develop foundational, DoD and IC ● Guide development and operational and intelligence ● Drive scientific analyses—including ● Establish secure mechanism for
UAP policies, guidance deployment of persistent-surveillance reporting requirements compliance with the scientific reporting of any event related to
capabilities method, use of advanced UAP and any event of the U.S.
● Receive full complement of ● Drive implementation of analytic approaches and tools, and rigorous government related to UAP retrieval,
support contractors ● Normalize ingestion, curation, and framework—including compliance peer-review analysis, engineering
integration of multi-source UAP data with intelligence tradecraft standards,
● Arrange for FY25 transition to peer-review, and reporter-feedback ● Identify UAP signatures and ● Educate and inform the public
ARRO-specific IDIQ vehicle ● Guide Joint Staff development of indicators AARO’s mission and findings, in line
UAP mitigation and response ● Institutionalize UAP case- with DoD public statements
● Build AARO budget requirements standards and plans management—including ● Guide calibration of military, (e.g., NASA study public meeting (May ‘23); open
into FY25 PBR transitioning cases to cognizant intelligence, and other sensors, for congressional hearing (April ’23); Transportation
Research Board (Dec ‘23); and DoD UAP press
● Streamline deconfliction of expertise and authorities improved detection of UAP event (Dec ’22))
detected UAP and blue programs signatures
● Enable mission oversight by ● Issue clear, public guidance for
● Review US Government’s UAP and providing Congress with timely, ● Draw upon special expertise accessing mechanism for UAP
UAP-related historical record relevant, and comprehensive UAP outside of the Federal Government reporting
updates for development of theoretical
● Guide development of policies models
and practices for UAP-data and
analyses downgrade/declassification

● UAP addition to intelligence


prioritization

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Seán Kirkpatrick, Ph.D.
Director, AARO

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