Number 4

Safety sectors are used to identify the areas around a tropical revolving storm that may
be affected by it. They are drawn on a map, and then show which areas are likely to be
impacted by the storm. The shape of the safety sectors will depend on the storms wind
speed, its size, and its direction of movement. They are mostly used by emergency
managers and weather forecasters to track storms and predict their impact.
Safety sectors are areas within what is called the “cone of uncertainty” that are
considered to be at the highest risk from a tropical revolving storm. They are usually
drawn in concentric circles around the storm, with the innermost circle representing the
highest risk. They are also color-coded to indicate the level of risk. For example, a red
sector indicates the highest level of risk, while an orange sector would indicate a
medium level of risk. Safety sectors help guide decisions about evacuations, emergency
response, and other actions to protect people and property.

Forecasters use model called the ‘cone of uncertainty’, which shows the range of
possible paths that a storm could take. The cone is usually drawn for a five-day period,
and it’s updated as the storm develops. When the cone is created, the centre of the
storm is marked on the map, and then a line is drawn at a certain distance around the
storm. The cone of uncertainty is a statistical model, so it’s not a perfect representation
of where the storm will go. It’s based on historical data of similar storms and their
movements. The cone is also drawn at different distances from the centre of the storm,
with the closest distance representing the highest level of certainty. As the cone
develops, it is then updated to reflect the most recent information.
Example of a “cone of uncertainty”

Conclusion
In a shipping industry, safety sectors are very much important because the master of
the ship needs to know which areas are likely to be affected by storm so he may avoid
these areas or take other precautions. Safety sectors can help determine which port
needs to be closed, which routes needs to be avoided, and which vessels need to seek
shelter. The safety of the crew, the vessel, and the cargo are all at stake, so its crucial to
have accurate information about storm tracks and safety sectors. While safety sectors
and the cone of uncertainty provide valuable information about the potential path of a
storm, they are not 100% reliable. That’s because there are a lot of variables that can
affect a storm path, such as wind shear, ocean temperature, and land interaction. Also,
storms can be unpredictable and change direction any time. That’s why its important to
stay informed and be prepared to adapt as new information becomes available.
However safety sectors are still an important tool for understanding the potential impact
of a storm.