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Sales Price Mileage

Cars
(in 1,000 units) (in lakh rupees) (Km/ltr)

Rocinante 1 171.877 6.1 15.8


Rocinante 2 139.796 6.1 12.1
Rocinante 3 178.947 9.9 17
Rocinante 4 140.022 5.8 11.6
Rocinante 5 186.476 10 17.2
Rocinante 6 192.123 6.5 17.6
Rocinante 7 175.085 5.5 16
Rocinante 8 146.882 8.4 13
Rocinante 9 202.847 6.6 19.3
Rocinante 10 149.933 8.8 13.3
Rocinante 11 171.579 9.5 15.8
Rocinante 12 201.512 9.2 19.2
Rocinante 13 142.604 8.1 11.7
Rocinante 14 135.158 5.4 11.2
Rocinante 15 107.322 5.6 7.8
Rocinante 16 199.699 6.3 19
Rocinante 17 202.875 5.8 19.7

Rocinante 18 204.406 7.7 19.5

Rocinante 19 107.331 7.2 7.5


Rocinante 20 190.345 8.4 18.1
Rocinante 21 108.419 8.4 7.9
Rocinante 22 150.249 5.7 12.6
Rocinante 23 155.882 5.5 12.9

Rocinante 24 100.98 8.4 7.6

Rocinante 25 182.679 5.6 16.7


Rocinante 26 166.752 9.9 15.5
Rocinante 27 121.561 6.2 9.5
Rocinante 28 174.256 9.9 16.3
Rocinante 29 119.018 6.5 9.1
Rocinante 30 169.842 7.1 15.3
Rocinante 31 198.311 9.6 19.1
Rocinante 32 204.875 5.8 19.4
Rocinante 33 119.561 6.2 9.4
Rocinante 34 203.875 5.9 19.4
Rocinante 35 118.561 6.1 9.4
Rocinante 36 227.89722612547 7 22
Profitability @ 7 lakh per car
Manufacturing cost 600000
Price of car 700000
1 Profit margin 100000 per unit
Predicted sales 227897.22612547 Units
22789722612.547 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
2278.97 Crore Rupees

Profitability @ 8 lakh per car


Manufacturing cost 600000
Price of car 800000
2 Profit margin 200000 per unit
Predicted sales 227102.19968459 Units
45420439936.918 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
4542.04 Crore Rupees

Initial Price Increase price Difference


3 Sales 227897.23 227102.20 -795.03
Profitability 2278.97 4542.04 2263.07

Only Significance
All variables Trend
variables
4
R Square 0.996 0.996 0.0%
Adjusted R square 0.995 0.995 0.0%
Top speed Regression 1 with all variables
(Km/hr) SUMMARY OUTPUT
168.2
149.6 Regression Statistics
173.4 Multiple R
170.6 R Square
175 Adjusted R Square
173.1 Standard Error
184.6 Observations
175.7
166.7 ANOVA
175.4
150.9 Regression
140.5 Residual
150.2 Total
146.2
151.2
143.2 Intercept
Price
178.9
(in lakh rupees)
Mileage
168.2
(Km/ltr)
164.7 Top speed (Km/hr)
182.7
165.7
137
173.9

165.1 1
e Regression Calculation

160.1
155.6
155.4 TOP speed doesn’t have significant relationship with Rocinante model s
161.9
146.8
149.5
2
146.5
178.9
175.4
175.9
165.4 3
140 Prediction
Multipple Regressi
4

Regression 2 with only significant variables


SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

ANOVA

Regression

Trend Residual
-0.4% Total
50%

Intercept
Price
(in lakh rupees)
Mileage
(Km/ltr)

3
Regression 1 with all variables
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
0.99788065450456
0.995765800634449
0.995356039405525
2.30779153196702
35

df SS MS F Significance F
3 38827.6180187373 12942.53933958 2430.1122955 0.00
31 165.102954405579 5.325901755019
34 38992.7209731429

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%


50.7231271792463 5.29210288470814 9.584682740355 0.00 39.929812186
-0.795026440875324 0.25433307604323 -3.12592625876 0.00 -1.313742169

8.30633109237939 0.10018130681866 82.91298403019 0.00 8.10200997

-0.0185725639929489 0.03055823544919 -0.60777606167 0.55 -0.080896496

Regression Coefficients
Bo ( Intercept) 50.7231271792463

B1 (Price) -0.79502644087532

B2 (Mileage) 8.30633109237939
B3 (Top Speed) 0
oesn’t have significant relationship with Rocinante model sales P vaue (0.55 > 0.05) Significance value

Variables
(1 lakh price
X1 (Price) 7 8
increase)
X2 (Mileage) 22
X3 (Top Speed) 140

Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
Y ( Sales) 227.897226125466 in 1000 units
Y ( Sales) 227897.226125466 units
Equation when car Price increase by 1 lakh
Y (Sales) 227.10219968459 in 1000 units
Y ( Sales) 227102.19968459 units

Regression 2 with only significant variables


SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
0.997855373536924
0.995715346496514
0.995447555652547
2.28493913026155
35

df SS MS F Significance F
2 38825.6506746148 19412.82533731 3718.2576213 1.290183E-38

32 167.070298528013 5.220946829
34 38992.7209731429

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%


47.7799640191966 2.11344142050695 22.60765950529 0.00 43.47502472
-0.782925327667118 0.25104178315793 -3.11870525224 0.00 -1.294280706

8.29446649742739 0.09728793107278 85.2568906129 0.00 8.0962974667

Regression Coefficients
Bo ( Intercept) 47.7799640191966
B1 (Price) -0.78292532766712
B2 (Mileage) 8.29446649742739

Variables
X1 (Price) 7
X2 (Mileage) 22

Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
Y ( Sales) 224.777749668929 in 1000 units
Y ( Sales) 224777.749668929 units
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
61.5164421723 39.929812186 61.516442172
-0.2763107124 -1.3137421693 -0.2763107124

8.51065221471 8.10200997 8.5106522147

0.0437513681 -0.0808964961 0.0437513681


ession Calculation to verify
Simple regression Cal
Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
52.0849033181 43.47502472 52.084903318
-0.271569949 -1.2942807064 -0.271569949

8.49263552815 8.0962974667 8.4926355281


Price
SUMMARY OUTPUT
(in lakh rupees) Line Fit Plot

(in 1,000 units)


400 Sales
Regression Statistics (in 1,00
Multiple R 0.1498822386 200

Sales
Predict
R Square 0.0224646854 0 (in 1,00
Adjusted R Square -0.0071575968 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Standard Error 33.986076366 Price
(in lakh rupees)
Observations 35

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 875.959211018 875.9592 0.7583711897 0.39012999586
Residual 33 38116.7617621 1155.053
Total 34 38992.7209731

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%


Intercept 138.03006806 27.2078348955 5.073174 1.486851E-05 82.6753117573 193.38482437

Price
3.195063531 3.66892289785 0.870845 0.3901299959 -4.2694162299 10.659543292
(in lakh rupees)

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Predicted Sales
Observation Residuals
(in 1,000 units)

1 157.5199556 14.3570443984
2 157.5199556 -17.7239556016
3 169.66119702 9.28580298076
4 156.56143654 -16.5394365423
5 169.98070337 16.4952966277
6 158.79798101 33.325018986
7 155.60291748 19.482082517
8 164.86860172 -17.9866017228
9 159.11748737 43.7295126329
10 166.14662714 -16.2136271352
11 168.38317161 3.19582839315
12 167.42465255 34.0873474524
13 163.91008266 -21.3060826635
14 155.28341113 -20.1254111299
15 155.92242384 -48.6004238361
16 158.15896831 41.5400316922
17 156.56143654 46.3135634577
18 162.63205725 41.7739427489
19 161.03452549 -53.7035254856
20 164.86860172 25.4763982772
21 164.86860172 -56.4496017228
22 156.24193019 -5.99293018919
23 155.60291748 0.279082517
24 164.86860172 -63.8886017228
25 155.92242384 26.7565761639
26 169.66119702 -2.90919701924
27 157.83946195 -36.2784619547
28 169.66119702 4.59480298076
29 158.79798101 -39.779981014
30 160.71501913 9.12698086746
31 168.70267796 29.60832204
32 156.56143654 48.3135634577
33 157.83946195 -38.2784619547
34 156.8809429 46.9940571046
35 157.5199556 -38.9589556016
e Fit Plot
Sales
(in 1,000 units)
Predicted Sales
(in 1,000 units)
10 11

Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


82.675311757 193.38482437

-4.26941623 10.659543292
Sales Price Top speed
Cars
(in 1,000 units) (in lakh rupees) (Km/hr)
Marengo 1 20.896 42.5 199.4
Marengo 2 31.048 36 235.2
Marengo 3 29.904 54.7 240.8
Marengo 4 28.792 42.7 232.5
Marengo 5 16.776 44.9 188.8
Marengo 6 18.928 35.5 184.2
Marengo 7 22.776 51.3 207.7
Marengo 8 36.824 30.4 249.5
Marengo 9 22.216 38.4 175.8
Marengo 10 35.456 32.2 245.6
Marengo 11 28.576 59.4 223.3
Marengo 12 33.648 50.8 240
Marengo 13 33.44 57.5 250
Marengo 14 34.912 44.6 247.4
Marengo 15 24.016 34.6 192
Marengo 16 20.992 56.4 201.2
Marengo 17 21.696 41.4 193.3
Marengo 18 17.832 53.7 202
Marengo 19 25.624 44.8 208.9
Marengo 20 21.92 32.4 176.9
Marengo 21 24.792 40.9 218.2
Marengo 22 22.256 44.1 190
Marengo 23 15.488 46.6 176.8

Marengo 24 21.64 31.4 178.9

Marengo 25 23.264 54.7 192.3


Marengo 26 19.328 37.9 184.1
Marengo 27 27.216 52.9 240.3
Marengo 28 23.096 42.7 192.1
Marengo 29 17.824 54.9 199
Marengo 30 19.144 44 181.1
Marengo 31 21.6 42.2 181.2
Marengo 32 25.26484928299 41 210

Profitability @ 41 lakh per car


Manufacturing cost 3300000
Price of car 4100000
1 Profit margin 800000 per unit
1
Predicted sales 25264.84928299 Units
20211879426.39 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
2021.19 Crore Rupees

Profitability @ 42 lakh per car


Manufacturing cost 3300000
Price of car 4200000
2 Profit margin 900000 per unit
Predicted sales 25078.12111087 Units
22570308999.78 in Rupees
Overall Predicted Profit
2257.03 Crore Rupees

Initial Price Increase price Difference


Sales 25264.85 25078.12 -186.73
3
Profitability 2021.19 2257.03 235.84

Only Significance
All variables Trend
variables
4 R Square 0.86 0.86 0%
Adjusted R square 0.85 0.85 0.6%
Mileage
Regression 1 with all variables
(Km/ltr)
9.3 SUMMARY OUTPUT
9.7
16.6 Regression Statistics
11.7 Multiple R 0.929025133175836
13.7 R Square 0.863087698072379
9.6 Adjusted R Square 0.85
13.7 Standard Error 2.30673039512172
12.6 Observations 31
16.2
9.6 ANOVA
11.3 df
13.6 Regression 3
13.5 Residual 27
11.1 Total 30
14.1
13.4 Coefficients
12.8 Intercept -13.4476488883451
Price
16 -0.186728172116573
(in lakh rupees)
12.7 Top speed (Km/hr) 0.22080168203862
Mileage
13.6 0.0413011869886482
(Km/ltr)
11.6
11.4
16.3 Regression Coefficients

14.5 Bo ( Intercept)
1
14.3 B1 (Price)
9.4 B2 (Top Speed)
eRegression Calculation

15.3 B3 (Mileage)
15 Mileage doesn’t have significant relationship with Marengo model sales as P vaue
13.5
11.8 Variables
9.3 X1 (Price)
2
15 Prediction X2 (Top Speed)
X3 (Mileage)

Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X
3 Y ( Sales)
Y ( Sales)
MultipleRegressi
Equation when car Price increase by 1 la
4 Y (Sales)
Y ( Sales)

Regression 2 with only significant variables


SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.928916104246107
R Square 0.862885128727765
Adjusted R Square 0.85
Standard Error 2.26683937947473
Observations 31

Trend ANOVA
-0.7% df

10.4% Regression 2

Residual 28
Total 30

Coefficients
Intercept -12.97013136159
Price
-0.182473820184809
(in lakh rupees)
Top speed (Km/hr) 0.220139890440022

Regression Coefficients
Bo ( Intercept)
1
B1 (Price)
B2 (Top Speed)

Variables
2 X1 (Price)
X2 (Top Speed)

Equation : Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X
3 Y ( Sales)
Y ( Sales)
SS MS F Significance F
905.66981774 301.8899392483 56.73551005488 0.00
143.66713813 5.321005115778
1049.3369559

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
4.4537940289 -3.01936928403 0.01 -22.58607939 -4.3092183857 -22.58607939
0.0554383633 -3.36821221134 0.00 -0.300478298 -0.0729780466 -0.300478298
0.0172231501 12.82005213658 0.00 0.1854626971 0.25614066697 0.1854626971
0.2066403011 0.199869951641 0.84 -0.382689689 0.46529206273 -0.382689689

n Coefficients

-13.447648888

-0.1867281721
0.220801682
0
engo model sales as P vaue (0.84 >0.05) Significance value

Variables
(1 lakh price
41 42
increase)
210
15

: Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
25.264849283 in 1000 units
25264.849283 units
hen car Price increase by 1 lakh
25.078121111 in 1000 units
25078.121111 units

SS MS F Significance F

905.45725425 452.7286271228 88.10416908173 8.302021E-13

143.87970163 5.138560772337
1049.3369559

Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
3.6937597638 -3.51136299898 0.00 -20.53645524 -5.4038074814 -20.53645524
0.05030398 -3.62742312508 0.00 -0.285516852 -0.0794307884 -0.285516852
0.0166095874 13.25378439257 0.00 0.186116693 0.25416308792 0.186116693

n Coefficients
-12.970131362
-0.1824738202
0.2201398904

iables
41
210

: Y=Bo+B1*X1+B2*X2+B3*X3
25.777819003 in 1000 units
25777.819003 units
SUMMARY OUTPUT
(in la
Regression Statistics

(in 1,000 units)


40
Multiple R 0.051686312
20

Sales
R Square 0.0026714748 0
Adjusted R Square -0.031719164 25 30
Standard Error 6.0072762736
Observations 31

ANOVA
df SS
Regression 1 2.80327728233
Residual 29 1046.53367859
Total 30 1049.33695587

Upper 95.0% Coefficients Standard Error


-4.309218386 Intercept 26.187689375 5.87514973801
Price
-0.072978047 -0.0362501784 0.13006328699
(in lakh rupees)
0.256140667
0.4652920627

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Predicted Sales
Observation Residuals
(in 1,000 units)
ression Calculation to verify

1 24.647056791 -3.75105679121
2 24.882682951 6.16531704898
3 24.204804614 5.69919538567
4 24.639806756 4.15219324448
5 24.560056363 -7.78405636297
6 24.90080804 -5.97280804024
7 24.328055221 -1.552055221
8 25.08568395 11.7383160498
9 24.795682523 -2.57968252278
10 25.020433629 10.4355663709
11 24.034428776 4.5415712243
12 24.34618031 9.30181968978
13 24.103304115 9.33669588528
14 24.570931417 10.3410685835
Simple regression Ca
15 24.933433201 -0.91743320083
16 24.143179311 -3.151179311
17 24.686931987 -2.99093198749
18 24.241054793 -6.40905479276
19 24.563681381 1.06031861918
20 25.013183593 -3.09318359338
21 24.705057077 0.0869429233
22 24.589056506 -2.33305650572
23 24.49843106 -9.01043105964
24 25.049433772 -3.40943377181
25 24.204804614 -0.94080461433
26 24.813807612 -5.485807612
27 24.270054936 2.94594506449
28 24.639806756 -1.54380675552
29 24.197554579 -6.37355457864
30 24.592681524 -5.44868152356
31 24.657931845 -3.05793184474

Upper 95.0%
-5.403807481
-0.079430788
0.2541630879
Price
(in lakh rupees) Line Fit Plot
(in 1,000 units)

Sales
40 (in 1,000 units)
20
Sales

Predicted Sales
0 (in 1,000 units)
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Price
(in lakh rupees)

MS F Significance F
2.803277 0.0776802915 0.7824438257
36.08737

t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
4.457365 0.0001142244 14.1716589785 38.203719771 14.171658978 38.203719771
-0.278712 0.7824438257 -0.3022594683 0.2297591115 -0.3022594683 0.2297591115
Profitability In crores
Profitability Rocinante 36 2279.0
Marengo 32 2021.2

Sales Fig Initial Price Increased price


After Price Rocinante 36 227897.2 227102.2
Increase Marengo 32 25264.8 25078.1

Rocinante 36 All variables


R Square 0.996
Adjusted R square 0.995

Marengo 32 All variables


R Square 0.863
Adjusted R square 0.848
Difference Trend
-795.0 -0.4%
-186.7 -0.7%

Only Significance variables Trend


0.996 0.000
0.995 0.000

Only Significance variables Trend


0.863 0.000
0.853 0.006

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