Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FY2022
February 20,2023
Disclaimer
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those
pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This presentation
contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about future events, future
financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and
supply and demand.
PTTGC has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and financial
performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ materially from that
projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and
projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties,
readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were made. The
information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and PTTGC does not undertake
any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them,
except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
2
Vision and Mission
VISION
To be a Leading Global Chemical Company
for Better Living
MISSION
We deliver the best business We integrate social and We provide superior solutions We build an organization that is prepared
performance through environmental responsibility from innovative products and for change and learning by providing a
trustworthiness to create fair into our business practices to services to be the best choice happy working environment that
and sustainable value for achieve sustainable for our business partners. promotes the development of
shareholders. development. employees’ capabilities and abilities,
enabling them to meet new challenges
with dedication to the organization and
to professional excellence.
3
The global recognized sustainable company
1 FY2022 recap
2 Strategic direction
3 Financial highlights
4 Market outlook
5
Agenda
1 FY2022 recap
2 Strategic direction
3 Financial highlights
4 Market outlook
6
FY2022 recap: External factors negatively impacted chemicals sector
Revenue Adj. EBITDA Sharing from Operating profit Net Profit/(Loss)
JVs & Asso.
Key Factors
Upstream & Intermediates Refinery business help to tradeoff weak petrochemical margins
Polymers Maintained optimization despite impact from global recession
Performance chemicals allnex’s robust full year contribution started in 2022
Bio & Circularity Added recycled plastics (Envicco) to GC’s strong Bio & Circularity portfolio
7
2022 Accomplishments
• Leveraging Synergies • GULF joined as new partner • Complete shares increase • Implement cost saving
between GC and allnex. in investment in TTT. in AVT to expand PVC program by achieving
• Full year recognized • Group restructuring of Business. OPEX cut by 15% (approx.
allnex performance. subsidiaries (reduce • Commercial start up of 3,700 MB) and CAPEX
• Grew high-value administrative cost) by Recycled plastics plant - 11,000 MB.
product sales of transferring entire business Envicco. • Asset light Management
Polymers. of GC Glycol, GC Styrenics, saving 1,100 MB.
GC Phenol, GCO.
• Secured long-term funding
from bonds issuances by
100,000 MB with 6 times
subscribe over offering for
US$ bond and additional
loan facilities 31,000 MB.
• Successfully refinance for
allnex with approximately
850MEuro.
• Manage repayment profile
and extend average loan
life to 8.40 yr. (+3 yr)
8
Looking into 2023: Pointing to recovery but challenges remain
1 FY2022 recap
2 Strategic direction
3 Financial highlights
4 Market outlook
10
Strategic directions driven by 3-Steps
Plus
Upstream
Intermediates
Performance Chemicals
Net Zero Target
11
Climate Change Demographic Health Urbanization Disruptive
Megatrends & Shift & Technology
Energy Transition Wellness
Upstream Emerging
Intermediates
Fulfill Basic Needs
2030 Target 2025 Target 2030 Target
Performance
HVP +1,000 KTA Bio-based product Chemicals
Commodity
56% & 35% Adjusted
44% EBITDA
*2022 = 36% +75 KTA Recycling capacity *2022 = 22%
12
allnex : Continue cost saving and synergy programs and be ready for the rebound
Continue GC group synergies
▪ Rayong Innovation Hub: Composite lab ready to use, chemical synthesis lab
will be ready in Q2
▪ Raw material integration
Continue cost saving programs to
▪ Expert exchange program: 3 experts from GC assigned to support allnex
mitigate market & economics risk safety/reliability improvement
New synergy initiatives kick start
▪ Supply chain reoptimization to take ▪ Sustainability collaboration
advantage of low cost production base
▪ Digitalization
and competitive raw material cost in APAC
South East Asia Hub: to advanced capture the demand growth in the region
▪ Evaluating project scopes
13
Current projects update
Upstream Polymers & Chemicals Bio & Circularity Performance Chemicals
Olefins 2 Modification PLA plant 2 PA9T / HSBC new plant
HMC PP line 4
Project (OMP) (KGC)
Growth exceeds
HVB, bio & circularity target
(*to be further prioritized & managed)
TH
US o PTT Group CCS hub & CCU Platform
Compensation
(1.28) +(0.29)
oversea opportunity
15
Agenda
1 FY2022 recap
2 Strategic direction
3 Financial highlights
4 Market outlook
16
Q4/22 Earnings impacted by refinery shutdown and weak chemicals spread
•
•
FX Gain/(Loss)
Gain on shares purchase
3,990
939
MB Bio &
Circularity
MB
18,984
30, 000
Polymers &
-10,000
17
Consolidated Statement of Income – Q4’22
YoY highlights (FY22 VS FY21)
YoY QoQ YoY
Unit : MB Q4/2021 Q3/2022 Q4/2022 20221 2022
% + /(-) % + /(-) % + /(-) (A) P2F: Increased from allnex and refinery business, but
1 Sales Revenue 139,298 181,536 124,780 -10% -31% 465,128 678,267 46% decreased from aromatic , olefins ,and phenol business
2 Feedstock cost (106,681) (143,018) (92,801) -13% -35% (341,893) (521,512) 53% (B) VC: Utilities of allnex and higher Fuel gas price caused by
3 Product to Feed Margin 32,617 38,518 31,979 -2% -17% 123,235 156,755 27% (A) a rise in utilities cost/steam price
4 Variable Cost (10,614) (13,854) (13,053) 23% -6% (34,107) (51,148) 50% (B) (C) FOH&SGA:
Apart from fix costs of allnex , GC mainly increased from
5 Fixed OH (6,320) (8,341) (9,949) 57% 19% (18,556) (32,542) 75% (C)
transportation expense maintenance expense
6 Stock Gain/(Loss) and NRV 1,040 (8,108) (3,518) <-200% 57% 5,955 (3,657) -161%
7 Gain/(Loss) on Commodity Hedging 1,462 (2,111) 356 -76% 117% (1,440) (23,057) <-200% (D) Depreciation increased from allnex, but lower D&A from useful
8 Other Revenue 1,465 1,875 2,535 73% 35% 4,932 7,527 53% life of assets extension and asset management related to
9 SG&A Expenses (6,975) (7,824) (8,053) 15% 3% (18,878) (31,458) 67% (C) production process
10 EBITDA 12,675 155 297 -98% 92% 61,141 22,420 -63% (E) Net Financial Expense: Mainly from higher interest expense
11 Depreciation & Amortization (6,408) (7,123) (6,235) -3% -12% (23,593) (26,646) 13% (D) from allnex acquisition and GC bond issuance
12 Loss from impairment of assets (1,886) - - -100% - (1,886) - -100%
13 Provision of contingent liabilities-Subsidiary (444) - - -100% - (444) - -100%
(F) FX loss from THB depreciation against USD
14 Gain on shares purchase - - 939 100% 100% - 939 100% QoQ highlights (Q4/22 VS Q3/22)
15 Gain on sale of investment 1,388 - - -100% - 10,201 - -100%
(A) P2F: Mainly from upstream and Performance Chemical business
16 Gain from investment reclassifiantion - - 848 100% 100% 10,565 848 -92%
(B) VC: decreased due to turnaround of Refinery and GCO
17 Technical incident in the warehouse construction project - (851) (43) - -95% - (894) 100% plant in Q4’22
18 EBIT 5,325 (7,819) (4,194) -179% 46% 55,984 (3,333) -106% (C) FOH&SGA: Fixed overhead increased from inventory uplift
19 Net financial expense (1,400) (2,474) (2,405) 72% -3% (5,434) (9,171) 69% (E) from PPA of allnex and maintenance expense
20 FX Gain(Loss) (1,899) (3,298) 3,990 >200% >200% (4,765) (313) 93%
21 Share of gain/(loss) from investment 1,472 306 (381) -126% <-200% 6,993 2,908 -58% (D) Depreciation decreased from asset management related to
22 Corporate Income Tax (190) 101 2,031 <-200% >200% (7,228) 2,273 -131% production process
23 Net Profit/(Loss) after Tax 3,308 (13,184) (959) -129% 93% 45,550 (7,636) -117%
Profit/(loss) attributable to:
24 Non-controlling interests 60 200 9 -85% -96% 568 1,116 96% (E) Net Financial Expense: Mainly from bond repayment 1,000
25 Owners of the Company 3,248 (13,384) (968) -130% 93% 44,982 (8,752) -119% MUSD in Q3’22
26 Adjusted EBITDA* 10,173 10,374 3,459 -66% -67% 56,627 49,134 -13%
Note:* Adjusted EBITDA = Adjusted EBITDA refers to EBITDA excluding Stock gain/(loss),NRV, Gain/(loss) from commodity hedging, and Extra item
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Strong Financial Position
Statements of Financial Position Long Term Debt Portfolio
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Interest Breakdown Currency Breakdown
THB 720 Bn THB 747 Bn
Cash & Cash equivalents
+ Current investments 35%
32 75
in financial Assets 119 145 46%
65% 54%
140 134 Liab.
CA
302 275
IBD
296 301
PPE Fixed Float THB USD & Others
Share Total Long Term Debt THB 273 Bn
328 Holder’s As of 31 Dec-22
252 299
Non CA 237 Equity
Avg. Loan Life 8.40 yrs
Restate FS Avg. Cost of Debts 3.51 %
0.90 12.04
0.61
5.49 BBB Baa2 AA (th)
3.28 3.54
(Stable) (Stable) (Stable)
Q4/21 Q4/22 Q4/21 Q4/22
Note: *Adjusted EBITDA refers to EBITDA excluding Stock gain/(loss), NRV , gain/(loss) from commodity hedging and Extra item 19
Committed Capex to support GC’s sustainable growth
20
Agenda
1 FY2022 recap
2 Strategic direction
3 Financial highlights
4 Market outlook
21
GC Portfolio allocation
Products
Chemicals
Base
Olefins
Chemicals
Subs, JV and asso. Liquid Resins & Additives (LRA) PA9T, HSBC
Performance Power Coating Resins (PCR)
Allnex Vencorex KGC Chemicals Radcured Resins (RAD)
Crosslinkers (XLR)
IPDI, HDI, HDI Derivatives
22
Feedstocks & Refined Products Outlook
Global Crude Balance [MBD] : Supply - Demand Crude :
- Lower demand from Recession fear, Balance :
▪ China reopening announced in Jan 23 boost oil demand.
MBD China lockdowns Supply – Demand
104 - Supply concern from political tensions [MBD] 4 ▪ OPEC+ maintain production cut 2 MBD to maintain high oil price.
102 3 ▪ Geopolitical supply risks from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict,
1.8 expects Russian supply loss ~0.7 MBD.
100 2
0.8
▪ Economy & inflation concern; 2023 GDP revised down from 3.6%
98 0.3 0.4 0.4 1 to 2.9%, 2.7% but recently revised up to 2.9% in Jan 2023.
96 0 ▪ Forecast Dubai price 2023 around 80-90$/bbl.
94 -0.5 -0.3 -1
-0.70 -0.7
Naphtha :
92 China demand coming -2
-2.4
back amid continue
supply concerns
▪ Demand recover from Gasoline blending after China reopens
90 -3 borders.
2020 2021 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23
Balance [RHS] Demand Supply ▪ Improving Petrochemical demand with new capacities coming
Source: IMF, EIA, Rystad, GC Jan 2023 will also support Naphtha prices.
Global Refined Product Demand [MBD] Refined Products :
World Diesel/Jet/FO Demand vs 2019 ▪ Global refined product demand growth will increase in 2023
120%
108% 108%
Fuel Oil demand after China reopens borders but weighted with global high
106%
Demand growth vs 2019
106%
110%
101%
103% 103% 104% 104%
102% inflation and risk to economic recession.
94% 97% 2019 level
100%
98%
101% 101% 101% 100% 101% 101% 101% 101%
101% ▪ On 5th Feb 2023, EU officially announced price cab for Russian
90% 95%
97%
Diesel demand 92%
products. But the cab of 100$, e.g. Diesel, is not that low to dis-
80% 84%
87% 88%
incentive Russian products out flow.
81%
Jet demand
70%
73%
77% 75%
78%
▪ Diesel price get supported by French nationwide strike against
60% 64% 64%
67% pension reform.
50% ▪ Challenge in 2003 new refineries additions as much as net
1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 3Q23 4Q23
capacity 1.1 MBD throughout the year. 23
Source: Energy Aspect (Jan. 2023), PTTGC
End Use Market Outlook
Automotive GC Products : BZ, Phenol, PO, MEG, BD, AN, PE, PP, Polyols
Vehicle Sales by Type ▪ Overall market still challenge from global recession concern.
Million Car units
100
83.6 85.6 ▪ Since COVID in 2020, see growth in vehicle sales along 2021 to
80.6
80 1.6 1% 72.8 1% 75.6 4% 4% 1 – 4% PHEV
9.6 11% 2023. With 2023 total sales will exceed pre-COVID level in 2019.
2% 3% 7.6
2.2 3% 4.6 6% 9% 2 – 11 % BEV Expect interrupt in battery & semiconductor shortage will ease.
60 85 – 97% ICE
▪ EV car sale portion over ICE growth from 2019 to 2023 as 3% to 15%.
97% 96% 91% 87% 85%
40
81.5 69.6 69.0 69.9 72.4 ▪ China reopening lead to more travelling support market in the future.
20 ▪ Expect EV car growth in China enhanced by stimulus on tax credit
rebate for purchasing EV car & more stimulus packages from many
0
countries support EV market in the future as well.
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Source : Bloomberg BNEF Oct 2022 [PHEV : Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle, BEV : Battery Electric Vehicle]
50
▪ Global demand for recycled plastic is growing across all polymers.
However, recycling portion are small [~10%] compared to demand of
virgin plastics.
45
▪ Sustainability & environmental issues may continue to be underlined,
particularly in developed regions.
Construction, Household & Pipe GC Products : Phenol, PO, PE, PP, Polyols
% Products Growth : 2022 to 2023 by Q ▪ Slowing economic growth, rising interest rates impact construction
growth. However, expected 2023 will see slower-down in interest rates
hike compared to 2022 that could support construction projects
investment in 2H 2023.
▪ China is expected to inject substantial stimulus for construction in public
infrastructure megaprojects in order to spur a post-COVID recovery &
investment.
▪ Net zero emission became key strategy for countries, rising government
investment in control-carbon-emission related infrastructure.
▪ Smart city & smart home trends shall support the material market.
▪ Wind turbine growth remain strong to support Phenol coating & paint market.
Source : Oxford Economics Jan 2023, ICIS Jan 2023, S&P Global Platts PMI Jan 2023 25
Macro Trend: 2022 is a challenging year with anticipation to recover by 2H’2023
Closely monitor
‘Recovered by 2H’23’
▪ China’s recent reopening
Major Events
2023 Industry Outlook: Still slowdown from Q4/22 to Q1/23 but expect recovery in end of Q2/23
Q1/23 vs Q4/22
End Market (Exposure) Q1/23 Outlook : China is the key to recovery
EU America AP
• EU and NA remains stay at Q4/22 level due to rising interest and inflation, expect a recovery in 2H 23.
Industrial goods • AP remains weak from Q4/22 level, due to covid spike after lifting covid restriction in China and Chinese New Year ->
(~25%) lower production rate of industrial goods.
For further information & enquiries, please contact our Investor Relations Team at IR@pttgcgroup.com
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Appendix
29
Maintenance Shutdown Schedule 2023
Plant 2023
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Cracker 59 37 OLE1 T/A
OLE
21 HDPE1/1
HDPE 23 HDPE1/2
16 HDPE2
LDPE 12 24
POL
LLDPE I
LLDPE II 20
PS 21
TOCGC 61 108
EOB
7 103
EA
Phenol I 15
PHN
Phenol II 3
BPA 18
Refinery
GCO ARO2 ARO1 REF
Aromatics I
Aromatics II 37
PO
4.9
9.8
5.4 1.8 4.5 21.1 3.99
1.9 1.3 1.7 5.2 9.8 9.7 2.6 1.72 12.13
2.5
3.2 1.4 3.2 6.3 7.6 3.80 -1.31
2.0 -1.53 -0.19
-0.2 -1.6 -7.5 -3.1 -4.5 -8.6 -2.7 -7.1
-16.6 -20.7 0.0 -11.01
-3.9
Q1/21 Q2/21 Q3/21 Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22
6,223
5,710
1,724 1,421 31% 38% 35% 34% 34% 35% 41% 36% 34% 37%
Q1/21 Q2/21 Q3/21 Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/21 Q2/21 Q3/21 Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22
33
Intermediates Polymers & Chemicals
Intermediates Sales Volume (KTons) Polymers & Chemicals Sales Volume (KTons)
663 715 789 794 727 767 709 672 2,961 2,874 587 564 613 590 599 545 515 541 2,353 2,199
11% 9% 13% 13% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 14%
3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
39% 44% 15% 14% 3% 3%
47% 49% 49% 49% 48% 47% 45% 48% 13% 14% 15% 14% 15% 16% 14% 15%
8% 7% 30% 31% 32% 30% 29% 28% 27% 30% 31% 28%
7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 3%
6% 7% 5%
11% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 4% 6% 6%
11% 10% 9% 11% 12% 11% 10% 11%
10%
16% 15% 13% 12% 15% 17% 14% 15%
14% 14% 41% 42% 38% 40% 40% 40% 40% 39% 40% 40%
20% 17% 17% 17% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 15%
Q1/21 Q2/21 Q3/21 Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 Q1/21 Q2/21 Q3/21 Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22
34
Utilization rate
Utilization rate Q1/21 Q2/21 Q3/21 Q4/21 Q1/22 Q2/22 Q3/22 Q4/22 2021 2022
Upstream
- Refinery 102% 101% 77% 101% 101% 98% 100% 56% 95% 89%
- Aromatics 98% 102% 100% 97% 100% 80% 88% 82% 99% 88%
- Olefins 104% 93% 91% 80% 85% 75% 83% 76% 91% 80%
Intermediates
- MEG 105% 104% 110% 99% 66% 88% 84% 79% 104% 79%
- Phenol 119% 115% 118% 101% 119% 118% 116% 107% 113% 115%
- BPA 114% 103% 121% 107% 119% 112% 71% 107% 111% 102%
- PO 89% 100% 99% 53% 104% 81% 69% 22% 85% 69%
Polymers & Chemicals
HDPE 107% 107% 104% 102% 111% 102% 95% 92% 105% 100%
LLDPE 96% 106% 95% 93% 92% 80% 97% 88% 98% 89%
LDPE 123% 100% 123% 100% 128% 85% 128% 121% 111% 115%
Total PE 105% 105% 104% 98% 106% 90% 101% 95% 103% 98%
35
• High crude price remains from Chinese economy reopening that boost oil demand
• Geopolitical supply risks and limited OPEC supply remains, while recession concern
DUBAI 2022
120
108.1 ▪ Geopolitical supply risks from the Russia-Ukraine
110
conflict, expects Russian supply loss ~0.7 MBD.
100 95.6 96.9 96.3
▪ OPEC+ cut production to maintain high oil price.
84.8 87.3 88.0
90 83.7 85.0
78.3
80 80 - 90
71.7
69.2
2023
70 66.9
60.0 ▪ China’s reopening boosts oil demand in 2023.
60 Crude ▪ The EU official embargoes Russian crude & refined
50 products.