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Freddy Case
Objective of this case :
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Freddy Case
Company Freddy is manufacturing candy bars. Its management is considering
replacing the current four automatic wrappers at the beginning of next year. The
supplier of this equipment suggested swapping the four old wrappers with two new
ones, giving the same production yield but operating much more efficiently.
At the end of the current year, the four wrappers, initially bought for 100,000 €
each, will have been in service for 5 years and 50% depreciated. They were
supposed to last for 10 years.
The plant manager assesses that they could still be used for 5 years, albeit with
heavy maintenance costs. They could be sold today for 22,000 € each. If they are
operated for 5 more years, their resale value then will only be 1,000 € each.
The price of each new machines is 250,000 €. They can be depreciated over 5
years (linear method) and generate a cost saving (outside depreciation) of 140,000
€ / year if used for 5 years only. After that time, maintenance costs rise so much
that the wrappers are best scrapped valueless.
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Freddy Case
1/ Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
3/ Computing IRR
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Freddy Case
Approach:
Compare current to the new situation, over the next 5 years, with
marginal cash flows (cf Outram Case)
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
Or :
Step 1a Net result 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Difference in sales 0 0 0 0 0
Difference in
-140,000 -140,000 -140,000 -140,000 -140,000
Operating expenses
=> Difference in
140,000 140,000 140,000 140,000 140,000
EBITDA (new - old)
[Same result
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
just calculated
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
Current : New :
4 old wrappers 2 new wrappers
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
=> Difference in
depreciation (new - old) 60,000 60,000 60,000 60,000 60,000
80,000 × 1/3
_ End of step 1
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
Step 1b 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Difference in
0 0 0 0 0
change in WC
_ End of Step 1b
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
Just computed
OCF 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Difference in
OCF 113,336 113,336 113,336 113,336 113,336
_ End of OCF
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
Step 2 ICF 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Acquisition 2 new
wrappers -500,000
_ End of Step 2
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
OPPORTUNITY LOSS
_ End of Step 3
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1) Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
FCF 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
_ End of Q1
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© T. Mezeret
Freddy Case
1/ Based on the company's forecast, compute the projet's FCF
3/ Compute IRR
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2/ Compute NPV using a cost of capital of 8%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
FCF -374,670 113,336 113,336 113,336 113,336 113,336 -2,667
n
NPV = - I0 + Σ CF t × (1+i)-t
t=1
NPV (0,08) = -373,670 + 113,336× (1,08)-1 + 113,336 × (1,08)-2
+ 113,336 × (1,08)-3 + 113,336 × (1,08)-4
+ 113,336 × (1,08)-5 + -2,667× (1,08)-6
Step 6 FCF 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
FCF -374,670 113,336 113,336 113,336 113,336 113,336 - 2,667
discounted cash flows
at 8% -374,670 104 941 97,167 89 970 83 305 77 135 -1 681
NPV 76,167
NPV (Excel) 76,167
120,000.00
100,000.00
NPV(8%) 80,000.00
= 76,167 60,000.00
-60,000.00
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3/ Computing IRR
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3/ Computing IRR
Implies :
NPV (IRR) – NPV (i1)
IRR ≅ i1 + (i2 – i1) ×
NPV (i2) – NPV (i1)
0 – 4 097
IRR ≅ 0,15 + (0,16 – 0,15) ×
- 4,670 – 4 097
IRR ≅ 0,154673 ≅ 15,47%
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Freddy Case
Takeaway:
For mutually exclusive projects and if the projects are meant to create
cost savings, approach NPV with marginal cash flows
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