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Terblanche 2000
Terblanche 2000
menls in lhe
water from90urces
centres of
need a better 1ulrl"r<:h;j",;in
between the (,Olmt"!',,·
tribute towards air
reet and indirect effects this could have on
and raiinx.dL
and Rainfall
16 South African Journal of Science 96, January 2000 Research in Action
led to the development of this region into Secunda, approximately 30 km west- capable of operating at between 82 and
the heart of the South African industrial north-west of Eskom' s modern Tutuka 245 knots (at 25 000 feet above mean sea
sector. Water to support all these activities power s.tation. The Secunda site uses level) and with a maximum endurance of
has long been a critical factor. low-grade coal and produces, through 5.5 hours at 5000 feet a.m.s .l. and 150
Sou th Africa's coal reserves are the sixth gasification and downstream processes, knots. Both research aircraft are equipped
largest in the world and generate approxi- fuels and chemical feedstock. The main with an in-house developed Airborne
mately 72 % of the country's primary operator at this site is SASOL Synthetic Data Acquisition System (ADAS)
energy needs. Eskom, the national elec- Fuels (SSF). More information on SASOI.:S eqUipped with custom-built cards' for
tricity utility, consumes more than half activities can be found on their web page data collection from most Particle Mea-
the annual coal production. It operates 20 (http ://www.sasol.co.za) . surement Systems (PMS)-type probes
power-stations, 365 days a year. These Figure 1 shows the part of South Africa and able to record up to 32 channels of
have a nominal generating capacity of 39 relevant to this paper, in particular the analog information in a digital format. 11
154 Mw, of which two-thirds is concen- tracks of the two data collection flights. It The aircraft are equipped with global
trated in just 10 base-load coal-fired sta- can be seen that special attention was positioning systems (CPS), the informa-
tions. These installations are mostly given during the highveld flight to the tion from which is stored on ADAS or
located on the highveld and use Secunda and Tutuka sites. relayed to a ground-based station in
low-sulfur (1 %) coal for fuel. This zone
produces about 78 % of Eskom's output. Table 1. Equipment used on the Weather Bureau research aircraft.
In continental terms this area generates
about 47 % of Africa's electricity. Eskom Parameter Sensor I Source
claims that during the last 15 years total
particulate emissions (fly ash) have been Position Trimble TNL-2000 GPS I SAWB
reduced by 91 %, despite the increase in Static pressure Rosemount I SAWB
electrical output. However, in terms of Dynamic pressure Rosemount I SAWB
Temperature Rosemount I SAWB
gaseous emissions, during 1997 Eskom Humidity Viasala Humicap I SAWB
still produced more than 1.382 Mt of SO!' Liquid water content PMS* FSSP-100 I SAWB
0.688 Mt of NO! and 169 Mt of CO 2, It has S02 concentration API** Active Fluorescent Analyser 100AI DEA&T, Wits
been estimated that the retrofitting of CCN concentration CCNC-100A I WMI***
Aerosol-size concentration PMS' ASASP I WMI***
equipment to limit power station emis- Cloud drop-size concentration PMS* FSSP-100 I SAWB
sions of sulfur and nitrogen oxides would GGS canister sampler Model 910A I Environment Canada, University of Virginia
increase the cost of electricity by 20-40 %,
something thatwould have a large impact ·Particle Measurement Systems Inc.
•• Advanced Pollution Instrumentation Inc.
on the South African economy and its ~··Wealher Modification Inc., University of the Witwatersrand , Depanment of Environmental Atfairs and Tourism.
Action South Africal') Journal 01 Science 96, 2000 17
local time
meafl sealevel;
b, total aerosol concemration int'!umbef per
cubic centimetre; CCN concenwalilon at
0.3 % in number per cubic
measu:!'ement pnJOlerrlS centimetre afld, d; cloud eon cent ration
Reproduced by Sabinet Gateway under licence granted by the Publisher (dated 2010).
2000
I
/
/ c:
0
40 1\4 TC = 400, L'I'VC:= 0 ..
differences in the observed rainfall pro-
duction efficiency between clouds in the
two areas.
) \ ""'~'"
Z
U [500 . ~ 30
Sulfur dioxide is converted into hygro-
£
[000 V E
~ 20 scopic sulfate particles in the atmosphere
500 V I:v:
..
i
at a rate of -10 % per hour.2J These parti-
~ ~.~~ 10
'
a 500 [000 1500 2000 2500 3000 0 clouds and potentially have an important
[ASASP] 0 10 IS "0 25 30 35 influence on the initial droplet formation
Size (micron) process. Their sizes and concentrations
- - Continental ~ Maritime are crucial elements that determine how
Fig. 4. Highveld (continental) and east coast they affect cloud-drop formation in con-
(b) [200
(maritime) cloud droplet size spectra. Total vective clouds and whether this effect will
1000 /' concentration (TC) is in number per cubic be beneficial or detrimental for rainfall
~ 800
/' centimetre and liquid water content (LWC) is in
grams per cubic centimetre .
formation.
(f)
V
!:!::.. 600
""ro
~ 400
./ .-s-.
found that 25-100 % of the aerosols pro- drops with diameters exceeding the criti- Indian Ocean high-pressure system to the
duced by biomass burning are active as cal coalescence threshold diameter of east. The weak pressure gradients and
CCN at the supersaturations commonly 28-30 ,urn were identified. 2 1. 22 In the moist air in circulation was conducive to
found in convective clouds.'8-211 Along the coastal clouds, drops exceeding this the overnight formation of radiation fog,
coast the CCN concentrations dropped to threshold were already in evidence just as reported by the Ermelo weather station
about 100 cm-' . The cloud droplet concen- above cloud base. These differences are on both 27 and 28 January at 08:00 LT
trations, measured a few hundred metres the precursors to the onset of quite differ- At 500 hPa, an upper-air low-pressure
above cloud base, follow the same trend; ent rainfall production mechanisms, most system was situated over the northern
over the highveld peak droplet concen- likely being dominated by ice-phase parts of the country and cyclonic circula-
tration was about 500 cm- 3, compared to processes on the highveld H and by an tion was observed at 200 hPa . This upper-
about 100 cm-3 in the coastal clouds. In efficient collision-coalescence process air disturbance was the first such system
summary, Fig. 2 shows a systematic along the coast. after the upper air had been dominated
lowering in aerosol, CCN and cloud drop- Data collected during this flight pro- by an anticyclone for the previous four
let concentrations between the interior vided an almost textbook example of the days, restricting the passage of westerly
plateau and the coast. interaction between aerosol, CCN and waves to the southern fringes of the
Eigure 3a shows the relationship be- cloud droplet particles for continental country. The remnant of this high was still
tween CCN (at 0.3 % supersaturation) and maritime conditions.' in evidence over Namibia and also to the
and aerosol concentration for the entire south of Madagascar. The synoptic situa-
flight. As reference the 1:1 line is drawn The effect of industrial pollution on tion caused scattered cumulus develop-
in. Despite the large scatter, it can be seen cloud properties over the highveld ment with showers over the northern
that about half the aerosols are active The emphasis in this part of the study is parts of the country. Storms were ob-
CCN at this supersaturation. Figure 3b on determining whether it is possible to served from the aircraft over the eastern
highlights the relationship between CCN find any indication that the quantities of Free State and also to the south of Bethle-
concentration at 0.3 % and maximum S02 being released into the atmosphere hem in the afternoon . The Bethlehem
cloud droplet concentration for the cloud over the highveld are linked to anomalies radiosonde data indicated instability,
penetrations on this specific flight. In this in aerosol and CCN occurrence and in showing a relatively dry layer in the
case the data points are scattered along characteristics of newly formed drops in mid-troposphere . Only 1 mm of rain was
the 1:1 line, especially at concentrations clouds in the area. In the previous section, measured at the station during the day.
below 600 cm-J . A supersaturation of 0.3 % it was established that the major micro- The top of the mixing layer sloped down-
seems to be relevant when studying con- physical differences between continental wards to the north with cloud bases at
vective clouds. clouds and those along the coast can be 10500 feet a.m.s.!. at Bethlehem and 9600
Figure 4 shows the contrast between the linked to differences in aerosol and CCN feet at Secunda. At noon the boundary
droplet size distribution of highveld (con- I characteristics and concentrations. These layer winds over th e highveld were
Research in ACtlOrt South Aviesn JO!J!l'nsl 01 Sctenee 96, 2000 19
winds
Eskornln
c
deci"ease in total at!fOsol and
cenwa:t!ons
minima
between
Reproduced by Sabinet Gateway under licence granted by the Publisher (dated 2010).
mean diameter
constant with
al'ld the total concentration
below cloud base. Com-
Wf"J::e
the recent forest fire events in Indonesia.
In the Bethiehem area the convective
cloud base was at 10 500
feet a.m.s.1. About
Hplrh~,?h~'m_ veld fires were observed to
the track. route to
I","""",,,",,.,. of the cloud
I
...... 2.5
"Z
CD 1\
"" -?
t)
~1.5
\ I~ ,, /
/
/
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/
'0 ,
.,o I
J 1\ /
/
~
til
a:
V
OJ
/
/ ""
OJ I 1.5 r-----~~ ""
Size (micron)
downwind clouds were modified more tion efficiency. programmes are made possible by the close coopera-
by the Secunda and Tutuka pollution • Industrial pollution over the highveld tion of pilots from OoudQuest, scientificand techni~
sources than clouds immediately above (in particular S02) modifies CCN cal personnel from University of the Witwatersrand
and the Bethlehem Precipitation Research Project. We
them and that the modification was characteristics and cloud properties in
thank C. Held of Eskom for making the acoustic soun-
mainly due to S02 emissions. As the wind a manner that could also influence der data at Majuba available.
speed in the mixing layer was about 10 rainfall production efficiency.
knots, from the northeast towards Bethle- • The potential links between industrial
1. Pru ppacher H.R. and Klett j.D. (1982)."vlicrophysics
hem, a large portion of emitted S02 would pollution and rainfall production are of Clouds and Precipil.alio". Reidel, Dordrecht.
have been converted to sulfuric acid complex, variable in space and time, af- 2. Krauss T.W, Bruintjes R.T., Verlinde j. and Kahn A.
(H 2S0 4 ) or ammonium sulfate (NH.)2S0. fected by synoptic weather conditions (1987). Microphysical and radar observations of
seeded and non-seeded continental cumulus
before it reached the Bethlehem area. and influenced by the physical and clouds. J, Climate Appl. Met. 26, 585-<106.
The measurements reported in this case chemical characteristics of the aerosols 3. Changnon S.A (ed.) (1981). METROMEX: a
study indicate that effects of industrial involved. This requires good planning review and summary. Meteorological Monograph>
40, AlVIS, Boston.
pollution over the highveld on cloud of data collection flights and integrated 4. Mather C.K. (1991). Coalescence enhancement in
droplet properties (and subsequent rain- use of relevant data sources. large multicell storms caused by the emissions
fall production processes) cannot be ruled Figure 8 shows a conceptual model of from a Kraft papermill.J, ApI'/. Mel. 30, 1134-1146.
out. The complex nature of these links is aerosol sinks and sources in the atmo- 5. Mather C.K., Terblanche D.E., Steffens F.E. and
Fletcher L. (1997). Results of the South African
also highlighted. The strength of these sphere as well as the various feedback cloud-seeding experiments using hygroscopic
links and the geographical area affected loops. The shaded areas in the figure flares. J, App/. Met. 36, 1433-1447.
are likely to depend on the synoptic circu- show the aspects investigated as part of 6. Bruintjes R.T., Breed D.W, Foote B.C., Dixon M.j.,
Brown B.C., Salazar V and Rodrigues H.R. (1999).
lation pattern. this paper. Program for the Augmentation of Rainfall in
We suggest that data collection cam- Coahuila (PARC): overview and design. Preprints
Conclusions paigns of the type described here should 71h WMO Scienlific Conference on Wealher
The data collected during the flying continue to include a wider variety of me- Modificalion, Chiang Mai, Thailand, 53-56.
7. Helas C. and Pienaar J,J. (1996). The influence of
campaign, some of which are presented teorological conditions. It is also crucial vegetation fires on the chemical composition of
in this paper, are unique for southern Af- that South African researchers have ready the atmosphere. S. Afr. r Sci. 92, 132-136.
rica. The airborne measurements promise access to aerosol and CCN measurement 8. Held C. and Snyman C.M. (1994). Accumulation
and recirculation of pollutants in the atmosphere
to improve understanding of the links equipment so that the design and timing of the highveld. Eskom Report No. TRR/S93/174,
between aerosols, CCN and cloud prop- of measurement campaigns are not dic- Johannesburg.
erties at various locations in South Africa tated by the availability of loaned instru- 9. Held C., Gore B,J., Surridge A.D., Tosen G.R.,
Turner C.R. and Walmsley R.D. (eds) (1996). Air
under a range of atmospheric conditions. ments. The high veld has good weather Pol/ulioll and ils Impacts 011 the Soulh African
This preliminary study has also raised radar coverage and it is possible to study Highveld. Environmental Scientific Association,
questions which should be addressed as differences in the radar-derived storm Oeveland.
Correspondence South African Joumal of Science 96, January 2000 21
10. Tyson rD., Garstang M.., Swap R., Edwards M. 16. Van Heerden J., Truter M.M. and Rautenbach CJ. AVHRR data. Atmos. Res. 34, 259--283.
and Kallberg r (1996). An air transport climatol- de W (1995) Development of a real-time, non- 22. Gerber H. (1996). Microphysics of maritime strato-
ogy for subtropical southern Africa. lntemat. ]. conventional rainfall mapping system. Water Re- cumulus clouds with two drizzle-modes.]' Almos.
Ciil7latol. 16, 265-291. sea-rch Commission Report No. 438/1/95, Pretoria. Sci. 53, 1649.
11 . Tyson rD" Garstang M. and Swap R, (1996). 17. Hobbs ry. ,1I1d Radke L.F (1969). Cloudcondensa- 23. Alkezweeny A,J. and Powell D.C (1976). Estima-
large-scale recirculation of air over southern Af- tion nuclei from a simulated forest fire. Science 163', tion of transformation rate of SO, to SO, from
rica. 1Appl. Met. 35, 2218-2236. 279-280. atmospheric concentration data. Almos. Enviroll.
12. Basson M.s., Van Niekerk rH. and Van Rooyen 18. Delsalmund FJ., Podzimek J. and Serpolay R. 11,179-182.
J.A. (1997). Ollervie'w of water resow'c<'S availability (1985), Some specific features of the aerosol parti- 24. Bruin~es R.T., Rasmusst'n R.M., Sukarnjanaset
alld tltilisntiol1 in South Africa. Department of Water cle concentration drrring the dry season and W, Sudhikoses r and Tantipubthong N. (1999).
Affairs and Forestry, Pretoria. during a brush fire event in West Africa. I. Aerosol Variations of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN)
13. Adam B.F and Hiscutt FO, (1995). The airborne Sci. 16, 1535-1543. and aerosol particles over Thailand and the possi-
data acquisition system used in the Bethlehem 19. Andreae M.a. d al. (1988) . Biomass burning emis- ble impacts on precipitation formation in clouds.
Precipitation Research Project. S, Afr. I, Sci. 91 , sions and associated haze layers over Amazonia. 7th WMO Sci ,,"tific COllference all Weath er
368-370. j. Geophys. Res. 93, 1509-1527. Modificotion, Chiang Mai, Thailand, 3J-36.
14. Dye J.E. and Baumgardner D. (1984). Evaluation 20. Hudson J,G., HalletJ . and RogersCF (1991). Field 25. Bruintjes R.T., Rasmussen R.M., Sukarnjanaset
of the Forward Scattering Spectrometer Probe. and laboratory mea urements of cloud forming W, Sudhikoses r , Tantipubthong N. and Ka'rmini
Part 1: electronic and optical stud ies. I. Atmos, properties of combustion aerosols. I. Geophy>. Res. M. (1999). The effects of the smoke and haze from
Oceanic. Teclwol. 1, 329-344. 96,10'847- 10859. the Indonesian fues on cloud microsrructure and
15. Cooper WA. (1988). Effects of coincidence on 21, Rosenfeld D. and Guhnan G. (1994). Retrieving precipitation development. 7th WMO Scielltific
measurements with a Forward Scattering Spec- microphysical properties near the tops of poten- C""ferellce 011 Weother Modification, Chiang Mai,
trometer Probe. j. AtIllO$. Oreonic Tech. 5, 8~32. tial rain clouds by multispectral a nalysis of Thailand,53J-S36.
at Sterkfontein (Member 4), is the most cluding those listed in earlier studies,:!.3 two specimens may be attributable in part
complete cranium attributed to Australo- were obtained from a cast prepared by to sexual dimorphism, with Stw 53 being
pithecus africanus. Another hominid from R.J. Clarke. Corresponding cranial mea- female, and Sts 5 being male, as recog-
Sterkfontein, Stw 53, discovered by Alun surements of Sts 5 were compared with nized from the shape of the posterior root
Hughes in the course of excavations those obtained from Stw 53, using of the zygomatic arches.
directed by PV: Tobias,' has been attrib- least-squares linear regression analysis. A
uted to early Homo. S~s 5 is considered to strongly linear relationship was obtained
Hughes A.R. and Tobias ry. (1977). A tossil skull
be circa 2.6 million years old, whereas (y = 1.121x - 5.76), and the limited degree 1.
probably of the genus Homo from Sterkiontein,
Stw 53 is thought to be younger, perhaps of scatter around the regression line is Transvaal. Nalure 265, 310-312.
in the order of 2.0 million years. We com- reflected by a small standard error of the 2. Thackeray J.F, Bellamy CL., BeUars D., Bronner
pared these two specimens and show that m-coefficient (s.e.,,, = 0.030) associated G., Bronner L., Chirnirnba C, Fourie H., Kemp A.,
Kruger M., Plug I., Prinsloo 5., Toms R., Van Zyl
Stw 53 is morphometrically close to with the equation y = mx+c. The small A.J. and Whiting M.J. (1997). Probabilities of
conspecificity: application of a morphome,tric
ted1nique to modern taxa and fossil specimens
attTibuted 1'0 Australopitizecus and Ramo. S. Afr. j.
Sci. 93, 195-196.
3. Thackeray J.F, HelbigJ. and Moss S, (1995). Quan-
tifying morphological variability within extant
mammalian species. Paweo"t. afro 31, 23-25.
4, Clarke R,J. (1998). Sterkiontein and its several
australopithecine species. In Abstracts ofContribu-
tiol1S to the Dual Congress, 281111,"-4 July 1998, SUIl
City, Soulh AfriC11, eds M.A. Raath, H. SoodyaU, D.
Darkban, KK Kuykendall, and ry. Tobias, p. 69.
Organising Committee, Dual Congress, Johan-
nesburg.
b
J.F. Thackeray', S.R. Loth , M. Laing',
E. Swanepoel b, M.R. Dayalb and
K. Lubbeb
'Department of Palaeontology and Palaeo environ-
menIal Studies. Transvaal Museum, PO. Box 413, Pre-
toria, 0001 South Africa. E-mail: mrsples@global.co.za
"Department of Anatomy. University of Pretoria. PO.
Fig. 1. Australopithecines Sts 5 (MrPles) on the left and 'Mrs' SIw 53 on the right. Although there is Box 2034. Pretoria, 0001 South Africa,
some temporal variation, morphological features, especially differences in the posterior root of the "Department of Chemistry, University of Natal, Durban ,
zygomatic arch (PRZA) and anterior pillar development, appear to be primarily sex-linked. 4041 South Africa.