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Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

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Journal of World Business


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Institutional fragility and internationalization of Indian firms: Moderating


effects of inward FDI and linkages
Vikrant Shirodkar a, *, Rishika Nayyar a, Sumati Varma b
a
University of Sussex Business School, University of Sussex, Brighton, United Kingdom
b
Department of Commerce, Sri Aurobindo College (Evening), University of Delhi, Delhi, India

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: In this paper, using institutional and organizational learning theories, we argue that institutional fragility within
Emerging market multinational enterprises India impacts the internationalization of Indian firms such that firms from more fragile regions are likely to have
Institutional theory lower internationalization levels. We also suggest that this effect is moderated by inward (industry-level) foreign
International business
direct investment (FDI) and inward (firm-level) linkages with foreign firms. We test our hypotheses based on the
India
Subnational institutions
analysis of 707 Indian firms over the period 2008–2018. Our study contributes to the literature examining the
complexity, and the speed and consistency of institutional progress in emerging economies, and its impact on
firms’ internationalization.

1. Introduction For firms, institutional fragility has been argued to increase both
relational and cognitive complexity within the institutional information
The internationalization of firms from emerging economies has been space (Boisot & Child, 1999). Prior research argues that firms adopt the
widely attributed to the institutional conditions in these countries following alternative strategic options in response to these complexities
(Chen, Li & Shapiro, 2015; Del Sol & Kogan, 2007; Li, Xia, Shapiro & Lin, – (1) learning from and adapting to these complexities; (2) attempting to
2018; Luo & Tung, 2007; Ma, Ding & Yuan, 2016; Sun, Peng, Lee & Tan, shape the environment; and (3) avoiding and escaping the environment
2015; Yang, 2018). The concept of ‘institutional fragility’ (Shi, Sun, Yan (Doh, Rodrigues, Saka-Helmhout & Makhija, 2017). So far, research on
& Zhu, 2017; Wang & Zhou, 2020; Zhang & Deng, 2017) advances prior firms’ strategic responses to institutional fragility has focused on option
research in this context by taking into account both the multidimen­ (3) and in China (B. B. Li et al., 2021; Shi et al., 2017), where arguably
sionality of institutions (Jackson & Deeg, 2008), as well as the speed at lesser democratic forms of governance substantially increase the costs of
which each dimension progresses relative to others. The institutional influencing institutions; and political arrangements such as the Belt and
environment is argued to be more conducive for economic activity when Road initiative (Zhu, Sardana & Tang, 2022) make it costlier for firms to
different dimensions - such as legal efficiency, corruption control, in­ adapt business models to institutional fragility, as compared to escaping
tellectual property (IP) protection, and factor-market development, the environment (Shi et al., 2017). As such, our understanding of how
among others (Bevan, Estrin & Meyer, 2004; Hoskisson, Wright, Fila­ firms might learn and adapt to institutional fragility (i.e. options 1 and
totchev & Peng, 2013) - are consistently progressed (Amable, 2000; 2), and how this would impact their commitment to internationalization
Fukuyama, 2014; Hall & Gingerich, 2009). However, institutional remains limited. In other emerging market contexts such as India, Brazil
fragility occurs when these dimensions progress inconsistently and the and South Africa, the political context allows a greater scope for firms to
speed of progress (Banalieva, Eddleston & Zellweger, 2015) is faster both adapt to as well as mitigate the consequences of institutional
along some dimensions than others, creating internal friction and con­ fragility, which alleviates the need to escape to foreign locations (Doh
flict in institutional reform (Shi et al., 2017). The impact of institutional et al., 2017). Therefore, in our paper, combining institutional and
fragility can be examined at both cross-national and subnational levels, organizational learning theories (Dodgson, 1993; Fiol & Lyles, 1985;
however, within large emerging economies such as China and India, the March & Olsen, 1975), and using the Indian context, we first argue that
scope of institutional fragility at a subnational level is considerably institutional fragility affects the learning of Indian firms in ways that
greater (Roland, 2004). may subsequently influence their internationalization differently.

* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: v.shirodkar@sussex.ac.uk (V. Shirodkar).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jwb.2023.101502
Received 23 September 2022; Received in revised form 18 September 2023; Accepted 27 September 2023
1090-9516/© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

Please cite this article as: Vikrant Shirodkar et al., Journal of World Business, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jwb.2023.101502
V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

Accordingly, we ask: (1) To what extent does institutional fragility (at the OFDI and are supported by liberal market policies, Chinese firms are
subnational level in India) impact the internationalization of Indian firms? often ‘forced’ to invest in the BRI (Belt and Road Initiative) signatory
Organizational learning theory (OLT) suggests that when operating countries.
under conditions of institutional fragility, the cognitive and relational Second, through our moderators, we contribute to research on the
complexities faced by firms can lead them to develop context-specific factors that reduce the adverse learning effects of institutional fragility,
learning mechanisms (Boisot & Child, 1999). However, and in consequence, improve emerging market firms’ (EMFs’) interna­
inter-organizational linkages may widen the scope of firms’ learning tionalization levels. Prior research on the ‘LLL’ model (Luo & Bu, 2018)
(Kafouros, Love, Ganotakis & Konara, 2020). Drawing on these insights, has largely focused on ‘external’ (i.e. overseas) linkages developed by
we suggest that the boundary conditions of firms’ learning in institu­ EMFs as a source of their learning; and has ignored the importance of
tionally fragile contexts can be extended via inter-organizational link­ learning via ‘inward’ linkages - linkages to global resources in the firm’s
ages. Specifically, we argue that ‘inward FDI’ within the firms’ industry ‘home’ country (Lu et al., 2017). Inward linkages created via inward FDI
and firms’ explicit linkages with foreign firms can mitigate the adverse (in the industry) and firm-specific inward linkages constitute an equally
learning effects of institutional fragility. With greater inward FDI there is important source of learning for EMFs (Cuervo-Cazurra, Luo, Ram­
a greater scope of spillover and agglomeration benefits to local firms amurti & Ang, 2018). Yet, less is known about how such inward linkages
(Yi, Chen, Wang & Kafouros, 2015). Likewise, firms’ explicit inward (yet, interact with institutional fragilities in the home country. We contribute
foreign) linkages gained via, but not limited to, collaborations with local to this important emerging line of research by arguing and finding that
subsidiaries of foreign firms, imports of raw (and/or intermediate) inward linkages reduce the adverse learning effect of institutional
materials, and foreign technology licensing also constitute an important fragility and increase the scope of Indian firms’ internationalization.
source of diversified learning (Lu, Ma, Taksa & Wang, 2017). For firms In the following sections, we first provide a background to theory,
based in emerging markets, it has been argued that the process of followed by developing our hypotheses on the relationship between
learning begins with leveraging such ‘inward’ linkages (i.e. linkages and institutional fragility (at a subnational level within India) and interna­
exposure to foreign technologies within their home country) and con­ tionalization of Indian firms and on the moderating effects of inward FDI
tinues with ‘outward’ linkages (i.e. linkages developed outside the home and firm-level linkages. This is followed by the description of our
country) via exporting or subsidiary development (Mathews, 2002). In methods. We then present our results from our empirical analysis, which
prior research, the ‘linkage leverage learning’ (LLL) (Mathews, 2002; is finally followed by discussion and conclusions.
Thite, Wilkinson, Budhwar & Mathews, 2016) and the ‘inward outward
LLL’ (IOL3) (Lu et al., 2017) models have provided an influential 2. Theoretical background and hypotheses
explanation about the rise of emerging Asian firms. We suggest that
inward (industry) FDI and inward (firm-level) foreign linkages reduce Institutions - defined as ‘rules of the game in a society, or more
the adverse learning effect of institutional fragility on the internation­ formally, the humanly devised constraints that shape human in­
alization of Indian firms. Accordingly, our second research question is: teractions’ (North, 1990) are heterogeneous, not only ‘among’ countries
(2) How do inward (industry) FDI and firms’ inward (foreign) linkages but also ‘within’ countries (Peng & Lebedev, 2017). Institutions change
moderate the effect of institutional fragility on the internationalization of over time, and this change occurs along various dimensions (Jackson &
Indian firms? Deeg, 2008) at different speeds (Banalieva et al., 2015). In emerging
Our study makes important contributions to the existing literature. economies, pro-market liberalization has been argued to drive institu­
First, theoretical discussion on the effect of institutional fragility on the tional progress along dimensions such as corruption control, develop­
internationalization of emerging market firms (EMFs) is in its infancy. ment of product and factor markets and IP protection regimes; and this
We advance this research by examining how EMFs learn to compete in progress has been argued to be a key driver of the internationalization of
institutionally fragile contexts, as an alternative to escaping the envi­ firms from these economies (Cuervo-Cazurra, Gaur & Singh, 2019; Kim,
ronment (Liu, 2017), and how this learning affects their commitment to Kim & Hoskisson, 2010).
internationalization. Specifically, we argue that institutional fragility In this context, institutional fragility, as previously defined, em­
narrows the scope of firms’ learning and causes them to develop phasizes a situation where these dimensions of institutions progress at
domestically focused competitive advantages that are less transferable an inconsistent pace, creating a ‘misaligned’ restructuring process (Shi
to international settings (Arregle, Miller, Hitt & Beamish, 2016), et al., 2017). The speed and consistency of institutional progress along
reducing their commitment to internationalization. In this context, we different dimensions have been studied separately in prior research. For
contribute to prior research on the impact of institutional fragility in two instance, greater speed of institutional progress has been argued to create
ways – (1) While Shi et al. (2017) focus on the impact of institutional a turbulent environment for firms to learn, impacting firm performance
fragility on the propensity of OFDI, we examine how this impacts the negatively, whereas a gradual progress allows both firms and govern­
scale of internationalization by firms. In this context, we suggest that ments to adjust to new institutions with lesser stress (Banalieva et al.,
whereas the propensity of OFDI is viewed as a first-level decision in 2015; Fuentelsaz, Garrido & Gonzalez, 2022). Likewise, when different
foreign investment and may be influenced by institutional escape logics institutional dimensions progress consistently, they complement each
(Stoian & Mohr, 2016; Witt & Lewin, 2007), the scale of foreign in­ other, and it becomes easier for firms and governments to coordinate
vestment will be influenced by an organization’s ability to leverage their issues related to labor (such as wages, skills, training), financing, inno­
learning and experience (Elango & Pattnaik, 2011; Vahlne, 2020). (2) vation, and other aspects of economic activity (Amable, 2000;
We focus on India whereas prior research on institutional fragility has Fukuyama, 2014; Hall & Gingerich, 2009). By considering both speed
largely focused on China (X. Li, Cheng, Wan & Zhao, 2021; Shi et al., and consistency of institutional progress simultaneously (under the
2017; Sutherland, Anderson, Bailey & Alon, 2020; Zhang & Deng, concept of institutional fragility), our understanding of institutional
2017). India is one of the large emerging economies and Indian firms are complexities in emerging economies, and how firms respond to frictions
increasingly investing in various foreign markets (Bangara, Freeman & and conflicts in institutional progress can be improved (Shi et al., 2017).
Schroder, 2012; Chittoor, Aulakh & Ray, 2015). Prior studies have also For example, if privatization progresses faster than the factor market
argued that Indian and Chinese firms behave differently in terms of their dimensions of institutions (e.g., enforcement of laws), manufacturers are
internationalization strategies, due to various reasons. E.g. Munjal, exposed to a complex situation which entails opportunities to expand in
Varma and Bhatnagar (2022) argue that Indian and Chinese firms have the home market, but are disincentivized to produce high quality or
different institutional ‘imprints’, which influence their foreign direct innovative products due to the lack of suitable factors of production and
investment (FDI) location decisions. In a similar vein, Zhu et al. (2022) IP protection regimes. In consequence, firms may resort to avoiding
argue that whilst Indian firms enjoy greater freedom when engaging in formal regulations, hiring temporary workers and pervasively exploiting

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connections to safeguard their investments (Zhang & Deng, 2017). In Pattnaik, 2011; Meyer & Thaijongrak, 2013). Although the literature on
sum, institutional fragility has been argued to increase uncertainty and EMFs sometimes uses the terms OFDI and internationalization inter­
transaction costs for firms; however prior research has, so far, examined changeably, the drivers of EMFs’ decision to undertake OFDI may differ
only the escape effect of institutional fragility (Shi et al., 2017), and paid from their ability to make greater amounts of foreign investments in the
lesser attention to how firms may learn and adapt to institutionally future (Buckley, 2018). Prior research on the internationalization pro­
fragile contexts. cess of firms (Johanson & Vahlne, 1990; Vahlne & Johanson, 2017) has
Organizational learning theory (OLT) (Dodgson, 1993; Huber, 1991) emphasized that increasing commitment to internationalization is
posits that firms learn ‘vicariously’ from changes to their external driven by firms’ learning and knowledge. For EMFs, whose interna­
environment – by observing the actions and results of others in the field tionalization needs to be accelerated to catch up with their global
(Casillas, Barbero & Sapienza, 2015). Learning occurs through the counterparts, learning from ’home’ (Pattnaik, Singh & Gaur, 2021) is
mechanisms of encoding new institutional experiences into organiza­ argued as a distinctive determinant of their internationalization levels
tional routines, and ‘unlearning’ past behavior (Levitt & March, 1988). (Cuervo-Cazurra et al., 2018; Lu et al., 2017). In this context, we first
Under conditions of institutional fragility however, as institutions argue that institutional fragility within India (at a subnational level) will
progress rapidly along some dimensions but not others, uncertainty lead Indian firms to commit lesser to internationalization. This is due to
about the future causes firms to be mindful about ‘unlearning’ certain the following reasons.
aspects of old institutions imprinted onto their behavior, before learning As previously noted, institutional fragility depicts a situation where
and adapting to new institutions (Zhao, Lu & Wang, 2013). Firms also different dimensions of institutions progress inconsistently and at a high
learn via generic vs. specific learning mechanisms depending on their speed. Rapid progress in some institutional dimensions (e.g., labor and
societal context (Belderbos, Olffen & Zou, 2011). Under complex insti­ financial market development) encourages EMFs to focus their learning
tutional situations as those created by institutional fragility, due to both efforts on their home markets, which remain as important to them as
time and scope constraints of learning, firms are likely to follow the international markets (Luo & Tung, 2007). Yet, as other dimensions of
‘bandwagon’ (or specific) mechanism of learning where they model institutions such as legal system efficiency, intellectual property (IP)
their behavior by imitating a narrow set of peers who focus on imme­ protection and control of corruption progress slowly, firms will continue
diate decision making, rather than assessing long term feasibilities to rely on connections and other nonmarket forces to protect their
(Belderbos et al., 2011). This may result in firms developing business business (X. Li et al., 2021). Thus, as a response to institutional fragility,
models and competitive advantages which are suited to a narrow scope embedded firms will attempt to deploy new organizational routines to
of institutional contexts, and which are less transferable to international respond to the institutional dimensions that are progressing speedily,
settings (Arregle et al., 2016). however, will be unable to unlearn all aspects of their behavior because
OLT (Dodgson, 1993; Huber, 1991) further emphasizes that inter-­ some aspects of old institutions prevail. Given that institutional fragility
organizational linkages facilitate wider learning during institutional creates a considerable level of stress for firms to adapt to new systems,
complexities. Firms embedded in institutional fragility may be able to firms’ learning will occur largely via ‘bandwagon’ mechanisms (Bel­
circumvent the development of institution-specific knowledge by link­ derbos et al., 2011) – i.e. modeling their learning based on a smaller set
ing with other firms that have more diversified knowledge. The of local firms and focusing on short term advantages over assessing the
linkage-leverage-learning (LLL) model (Mathews, 2002, 2006), for long term feasibility of their learning actions. This is also because, by
instance, while explaining the accelerated process of emerging market doing so, firms will be able to cater to the fast-changing demands of
firms’ (EMFs’) internationalization, suggests that these firms first ‘link’ certain stakeholders (e.g. local customers, by producing lower quality,
up with Western MNEs to tap into global resources by forming collab­ yet affordable products and solutions), and yet maintain older organi­
orative partnerships, followed by ‘leveraging’ these linkages to over­ zational norms to satisfy other stakeholders (e.g. local regulators or
come their resource barriers; and finally build up ‘learning’ processes policymakers via bribery and connections). In sum, institutional fragility
through repeatedly linking and leveraging. Lu et al. (2017) further increases the specificity of firms’ learning experiences (Chetty, Eriksson
suggests that the LLL model, however, assumes that learning from & Lindbergh, 2006), and in consequence, causes them to develop busi­
linkages only happens ‘outside’ the EMFs’ home environment, and ig­ ness models and competitive advantages which are likely to be suc­
nores the fact that EMFs also learn by collaborating with firms ‘within’ cessful in the home market but difficult to be re-deployed to
their domestic (home) environment. Hence, they put forth the IOL3 international contexts (Arregle et al., 2016; Hart, Sharma & Halme,
model which argues that EMFs learn through both inward and outward 2016). In relative terms, where institutional fragility is lower, the con­
linkages. The idea of the effect of inward linkages is also drawn from the sistency in the pace of institutional progress along multiple dimensions
burgeoning literature on the association between inward FDI and out­ enable firms embedded in such regions to develop more generic learning
ward FDI (Li, Li & Shapiro, 2012; Stoian & Mohr, 2016). Whereas in­ and knowledge (e.g. higher quality products and strong corporate
ward FDI within a firm’s industry is argued to have spillover effects on governance) which can be more easily utilized in internationalization.
local firms, direct collaborations and linkages with subsidiaries of Consider the example of AI Champdany Industries Limited (AICIL)
foreign firms in the home environment can be a source of learning about headquartered in West Bengal (one of the most institutionally fragile
the technologies and business models which have a global reach. provinces in India) .1 Established in 1917, AICIL is a major manufacturer
Overall, we suggest that the OLT offers valuable insights to understand of specialized jute products with around 8000 employees. AICIL’s
how firms learn and adapt to institutional fragility, how this impacts overall investment outside India during 2008 to 2018 is INR 10.6
their internationalization scale, and how inward (industry) FDI and million, which include the development of subsidiaries in the United
firm-level linkages extend the boundaries of firms learning in institu­ Kingdom (UK). However, in perspective, the average amount of in­
tionally fragile conditions. vestment made by an Indian company during this period is INR 25,720
million. AICIL’s local subsidiaries in India are also established in other
2.1. Subnational institutional fragility and the internationalization scale institutionally fragile states such as Odisha and Chhattisgarh, and their
of Indian firms

Based on the aforesaid logics, we first develop our argument on the 1


The illustrative examples of companies provided in our paper are taken
association between institutional fragility (at a subnational level within from our sample based on the CMIE Prowess database. We triangulated this
India) and the internationalization scale of Indian firms. A greater scale data with that obtained from the companies’ websites and annual reports. The
of internationalization is indicative of an increasing commitment to description of institutionally fragile states is also based on our analysis – please
internationalization, beyond the decision to engage in FDI (Elango & refer the methodology section (specifically, Fig. 3) for further details.

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major revenue also comes from government procurement in these states. institutional fragility are also reduced by explicit inward (firm-level)
In contrast, Himatsingka Seide Limited, founded in 1985 and head­ linkages with foreign firms. As described in the IOL3 model, inward
quartered in Karnataka (the least fragile state in India), designs, man­ linkages are defined as the ‘linkages that offer access to global resources
ufactures, and distributes a variety of textile products. The company in [dragon] multinationals’ home environment’ (Lu et al., 2017). There
made an international commitment of INR 30,293.6 million during 2008 are numerous ways through which EMFs form linkages with foreign
to 2018, which includes the development of a global network of sales firms within their home environment. Some of the important channels
offices and warehousing facilities in North America and Europe, include, for instance, importing raw (or intermediate) materials and
alongside various parts of India. As such, it could be argued that participating in global supply chains (Blalock & Veloso, 2007), collab­
specialized learning experiences developed by AICIL in institutionally orating with local subsidiaries of foreign firms (Hsieh, Ganotakis,
fragile contexts deter their commitment towards internationalization, Kafouros & Wang, 2018) and foreign technology licensing (Elia, Munjal
whereas Himatsingka Seide’s base in an institutionally less fragile & Scalera, 2020). Importing raw materials and participating in global
context, despite being in the same industry, enables it develop more supply chains has been argued to improve product sophistication among
diverse, sophisticated products and to commit more to internationali­ Indian firms (Banga, 2023). Likewise, collaborations and partnerships
zation. Overall, based on these arguments, we hypothesize: with local subsidiaries of foreign firms extends EMFs’ knowledge
relating to foreign business practices, markets, and institutions, enabling
Hypothesis 1: Subnational institutional fragility has a negative effect on EMFs to develop generic knowledge that can be deployed in interna­
the internationalization scale of Indian firms headquartered in those tional settings (Duysters, Jacob, Lemmens & Jintian, 2009). Prior
regions. research has noted that Indian pharmaceutical companies such as Ran­
baxy have been successful in internationalizing (Ray, Ray & Kumar,
2.2. The moderating effect of inward FDI 2017) by assimilating technical and management knowledge via coop­
erative relationships with foreign companies within their home envi­
As argued in the previous section, institutional fragility causes firms ronment (Fan, 2011; Young, Hood & Peters, 1994). In a similar vein,
embedded in such contexts to apply ‘bandwagon’ mechanisms of foreign licensing – a contractual agreement through which a ‘licensee’
learning (Belderbos et al., 2011) and focus on short term solutions, as (in our case, an Indian firm) obtains the right to use or leverage pro­
firms cannot fully unlearn the norms and routines influenced by older prietary know-how and technological resources (e.g. patents, brands,
prevailing institutions. These boundary conditions to firms’ learning and trademarks) owned by a foreign firm (i.e. the ‘licensor’), in return
posed by institutional fragility can be extended by greater inward FDI for a lump-sum upfront amount and periodic royalty payments
within the firms’ industry. Prior studies have recognized that with (Howells, James & Malik, 2003) - allows EMFs to learn through reverse
greater inward FDI, there is a greater scope for incumbent firms to engineering and augment technological knowledge efficiently, swiftly,
vicariously learn from foreign firms and technologies (Huber, 1991; Li and legitimately (Kotabe, Sahay & Aulakh, 1996).
et al., 2012; Stucchi, Pedersen & Kumar, 2015). Greater inward FDI Where institutional fragility increases the uncertainty for embedded
provides agglomeration benefits for the region (Driffield, 2006; Young & firms to invest heavily in research and development (e.g. due to weak
Lan, 1997). Local incumbent firms can broaden their knowledge base legal protection of IP and bureaucracy, despite strong product markets),
through these agglomerations, for instance, by hiring managers who inward linkages with foreign firms in their home environment enable
have experience of working in foreign firms, or through informal firms in such regions to differentiate and diversify their product port­
networking with managers of foreign firms in trade fairs and via folio and improve product quality (Wang, Roijakkers & Vanhaverbeke,
participation in trade associations (Liu, 2017). These mechanisms pro­ 2014). Via such linkages, EMFs can also shift their institutional learning
vide local firms embedded in institutionally fragile regions a greater from local informal networks to international innovation networks –
scope to model their learning behavior from a broader range of firms extending their learning space (Hassink & Klaerding, 2012), for
who contribute to agglomeration externalities (Belderbos et al., 2011). example, by gaining access to advanced innovation opportunities and
In consequence, these firms are likely to move away from a deeply facilitating collaborations between network participants (Wang et al.,
localized focus, to developing more generic and globally relevant 2014). In particular, foreign inward licensing provides EMFs with access
products, practices and corporate governance structures, instrumental to the technological knowledge developed in specialized clusters (Elia
in overcoming the adverse learning effect of institutional fragilities. A et al., 2020), thus increasing EMFs’ learning boundaries beyond local
prominent example in the context of India comes from the pharmaceu­ institutional settings (Liu, 2017). An illustrative example could be the
tical industry, which has not only been a high recipient of inward FDI case of Mayur Uniquoters Limited (established, 1992), a large producer
but has also led trade and OFDI from India (Bhaumik & Driffield, 2011; of synthetic (artificial) leather (turnover $96.9 million and 495 em­
Bhaumik, Driffield & Pal, 2010). In this context, Kwality Pharmaceuti­ ployees in 2022), and whose manufacturing plants are based in Rajas­
cals Limited (incorporated in 1983), headquartered in Punjab, and than and Madhya Pradesh, both institutionally fragile states. The
having manufacturing facilities in Himachal Pradesh - both relatively company has exported on average 17% of its total sales (between 2000
institutionally fragile states - has continually increased its foreign in­ and 22) and has recently invested in subsidiaries in countries including
vestment between 2008 and 2018 (INR 141.6 million), and has also the United States (US) and South Africa. Its export partners include large
established a foreign subsidiary in Mozambique to export and market its foreign companies such as General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, Toyota,
products. In 2022, the company’s export sales constituted 65% of its Mercedes Benz and Honda, all of whom have a strong presence in the
total sales. Arguably, a high level of inward FDI in this industry in India Indian market. As such, it could be argued that despite the company’s
contributes to the company’s wider learning and knowledge base foundations in institutionally fragile states, their inward linkages to
enabling it to commit more to internationalization. Overall, based on foreign firms in India enable it to improve its product standards and
these arguments, we hypothesize: commit more to internationalization. Based on this, we hypothesize -

Hypothesis 2: Inward FDI (within the firm’s industry) reduces the effect Hypothesis 3: Inward firm-level linkages reduce the effect of institu­
of subnational institutional fragility on the internationalization of Indian tional fragility on the internationalization of Indian firms headquartered
firms headquartered in such regions. in such regions.

2.3. The moderating effect of inward firm-level linkages Overall, Fig. 1 describes our theoretical framework.

Finally, we suggest that EMFs’ bandwagon learning effects caused by

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Fig. 1. Conceptual Model.

3. Methodology (Chittoor et al., 2015; Mondal & Gadepalli, 2020). Prowess, maintained
by the center of Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), is a comprehensive
3.1. Research context database which provides detailed financial information of companies in
India, and is frequently used in India-based studies (Elango & Dhanda­
We focus on India - a diverse and growing emerging market that has pani, 2020; Ray et al., 2017). Second, we excluded firms from the
evolved into an important player on the global stage but remains rela­ financial sector as they are subject to different accounting principles and
tively understudied in the institutional context of outward FDI (Zhu OFDI regulations (Kumar, Singh, Purkayastha, Popli & Gaur, 2020). We
et al., 2022), despite Indian MNEs having emerged as important con­ also excluded the subsidiaries of foreign firms, as our study focuses on
tributors to the global OFDI flows during the last two decades the internationalization of Indian firms. This left us with 3571 firms. Out
(UNCTAD, 2019). The states (or provinces) in India have devolved of the 3571 firms, data on ‘overseas investment outside India’ – to
power in the areas of law and order, security of property rights, regu­ measure internationalization scale (our dependent variable), was
lation of labor and business (Debroy, Bhandari & Aiyar, 2014). available for 860 firms. Finally, after accounting for missing data on all
Furthermore, the economic reforms of the 1990s gave greater autonomy other variables of interest (detailed below), our final sample used for
to the state authorities, as a result of which, even though some formal empirical analysis comprised of an unbalanced panel of 4739 firm-year
rules and reforms are designed at the national level, the pace of imple­ observations for 707 firms across financial years 2008 to 2018.
mentation varies drastically at the subnational (state) level (DIPP, 2017; The sampled firms represent a mixture of 37 unique industries,
Ostrom, 1998). This is evident in the performance of states on the headquartered in 17 Indian states which account for nearly 80% of In­
business reforms action plan2- with states such as Andhra Pradesh, dia’s GDP.3 Table 1 below shows the state-wise distribution of sampled
Gujarat and Karnataka consistently outperforming Kerala, Rajasthan firms. The time frame for this study (2008 to 2018) is guided by the
and West Bengal in implementation of business reforms (DIPP, 2017). availability of data on all the relevant state-level variables required for
The differences are also conspicuous in the level of institutional the computation of our key explanatory variable - subnational institu­
fragility across Indian states. For example, in West Bengal, while there tional fragility. The time frame is also justified because: (1) Following
has been a speedy progress towards market liberalization, there is our starting year (2008), the Indian government made several new al­
considerable lack of progress in other areas of reforms relating to pro­ lowances to liberalize and promote outward investments (Khan, 2012).
tection of property rights, quality of judiciary and regulation of labor (2) The ending year (2018) provides an appropriate cut-off point as the
and business. Likewise, the state of Rajasthan has speedily improved the COVID-19 pandemic greatly affected cross-border investment flows
quality of judiciary and securing property rights, but has lagged behind (Munjal et al., 2022).
in the regulation of labor and business, resulting in a distorted labor
market, inadequate infrastructure, higher cost, bureaucratic hurdles and 3.3. Variables and measures
corruption in obtaining business licenses and permits. In contrast, in
Karnataka and Gujarat, the reform process has been relatively more Our dependent variable is firms’ internationalization scale. Following
synchronized (Debroy et al., 2014). This provides evidence of remark­ prior studies (Panicker, Mitra & Upadhyayula, 2019; Singh & Delios,
able heterogeneities in the institutional environment across subnational 2017), this was measured by the amount of foreign investment made by
regions (i.e. states) in India. Fig. 2 presents the varied performance of the sampled firms each year (Hassel, Höpner, Kurdelbusch, Rehder &
states across the institutional dimensions. Zugehör, 2003). This measure is commonly used in studies focusing on
emerging market multinationals (e.g. Buckley, Munjal, Enderwick &
3.2. Sampling Forsans, 2016; Tang & Buckley, 2022).
Our independent variable is institutional fragility, which we examine
To populate our sample, we first used the CMIE Prowess database to at the subnational level within India, based on the differences in the pace
extract all the 4882 firms listed on the BSE (formerly, Bombay Stock of reform along different institutional dimensions at the state (or prov­
Exchange) as of January 2023. BSE is the oldest and one of the two major ince) level in which the firms in our sample are headquartered. To
stock exchanges in India. BSE listed firms have been used in the previous measure this, we adopted the entropy formula-based approach (Shi
studies examining internationalization strategies of Indian firms et al., 2017). The data sources and detailed methodology used in the
construction of institutional index and institutional fragility measure are

2
Business Reforms Action Plan (BRAP) are developed since 2015 by the
3
Department of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT), Ministry of Commerce & Authors own calculation based on Gross State Domestic Product Data (Rs.
Industry, Government of India. The action plan is circulated for implementation Lakhs, current prices) obtained from Reserve Bank of India (India’s central
with States and Union Territories with the aim to reduce regulatory compli­ bank) Handbook of Statistics on Indian States, 2021 edition (https://m.rbi.org.
ances for businesses. https://eodb.dpiit.gov.in/Home/About (accessed: 7 July in/scripts/AnnualPublications.aspx?head=Handbook+of+Statistics+on+In
2022) dian+States, Accessed: 21 July 2022).

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V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

Fig. 2. Varied performance of Indian states on institutional dimensions.


Source: Authors description based on data from Economic Freedom of Indian States (Debroy et al., 2014) (Higher score indicates better performance)

subnational environment in India (B. B. Dash & Raja, 2013; Vadla­


Table 1
mannati, 2015). Table 2 below shows the degree of variation in each
State wise distribution of sample firms.
institutional dimension across the states covered in this study. A
State Number of firms Proportion graphical depiction of variations in the levels of institutional fragility
Maharashtra 251 36% across Indian states in our sample is presented in Fig. 3 below. As can be
Telangana 71 10% seen, the most fragile state in our sample is Madhya Pradesh with the
Tamil Nadu 67 9%
average fragility score of 0.52 and least fragile state is Karnataka with
Gujarat 64 9%
New Delhi 62 9%
the average score of 0.18.
West Bengal 52 7% Our first moderating variable is inward FDI. Prior research has pro­
Karnataka 43 6% vided evidence that inward FDI in an industry constitutes an important
Uttar Pradesh 22 3% source of learning via spillover effects (Hertenstein, Sutherland &
Haryana 16 2%
Anderson, 2017; Li et al., 2012; Xia, Ma, Lu & Yiu, 2014). Therefore,
Rajasthan 16 2%
Punjab 13 2% following the extant studies, we measure inward FDI as the ratio of
Madhya Pradesh 9 1% foreign capital (equity) investment to the total capital investment in
Andhra Pradesh 6 1% each 2-digit industry (Xia et al., 2014), as per national industry classi­
Odisha 5 1% fication (NIC-2008). The data on industry-wise annual foreign equity
Himachal Pradesh 4 1%
Kerala 3 0%
capital investment is obtained from the Department of Industry and
Assam 3 0% Internal Trade (DPIIT, formerly DIPP), Ministry of Commerce and In­
Total 707 100% dustry, annual statistics available on open government data (OGD)
platform India. We followed Nayyar and Maity (2021) to synchronize
the industry classification between DPIIT and NIC-2008.
provided in the supplementary file (available online) in Tables S1 and
For our second moderator, firm-level inward linkages with foreign
S2). Shi et al. (2017) used a marketization index to calculate institu­
firms, we construct a composite measure comprising of each sampled
tional fragility within China, however, such an index is not available for
firm’s annual foreign expenditure on import of capital goods (foreign
India. To develop the index for India, we include the following
embodied technology), imports of raw materials, stores and spares
time-varying dimensions based on prior research in India (Nayyar &
(foreign disembodied technology), royalty and technological know-how
Prashantham, 2020): (1) factor-market development (proxied by gross
(foreign licensing), and dividends (foreign capital). This is in line with
enrolment ratio in higher education; credit-deposit ratio of scheduled
studies on internationalization of Indian firms (e.g. Narayanan & Bhat,
commercial banks according to place of sanction); (2) efficiency of legal
2011). The composite measure is scaled to the size of the firms measured
system (proxied by disposal rate of Indian Penal Code, IPC, cases by
by their total assets in each year (Ray et al., 2017). As part of our
lower courts); (3) protection of property rights (number of patent ap­
robustness tests, we also used an alternative measure of firm-level
plications filed per capita); and (4) control of corruption (disposal of
linkages in the form of foreign licensing - measured as foreign expen­
corruption cases under prevention of corruption act, 1988 and related
diture on royalty and technological know-how to total foreign expen­
sections of IPC by lower courts). The four dimensions comprehensively
diture by firms in each year (Elia et al., 2020).
measure the formal regulatory dimension of the institutional environ­
We control for various regional, industry and firm level variables that
ment (Chen et al., 2015) and are used in prior studies examining the

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V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

Table 2
State-level variations across each institutional dimension (time period 2008–2018).
Institutional dimension Measure Minimum Maximum Coefficient of standard
value value deviation (%)

Factor market Gross enrolment ratio in higher education (18–23 years) (ratio) 0.08 0.49 41%
development Credit deposit ratio of SCBs according to place of sanction (ratio) 0.30 1.23 33%
Efficiency of legal Disposal rate of Indian Penal Code, IPC, cases by lower courts (ratio) 0.02 0.37 52%
system
Protection of property Number of patent applications filed per capita (ratio) 0.00 0.06 127%
rights
Control of corruption Disposal of corruption cases under prevention of corruption act, 1988 and related 0.00 0.48 78%
sections of IPC by lower courts (ratio)

Fig. 3. Graphical presentation of institutional fragility in select Indian states (Average 2008–2018).
Source: Authors compilation based on data used for the construction of subnational institutional fragility (Higher score indicates higher fragility; Madhya Pradesh being the most
fragile state, Karnataka being the least)

may influence firm’s scale of internationalization, following prior using Hausman test, the results of which (Chi-square: 26.30, p: 0.1221)
studies (Buckley et al., 2016; Chittoor et al., 2015; Shirodkar & Shete, confirms that random effects estimation is better than fixed effects. All
2021). At the firm level, we control for the effect of firm age (natural time-varying independent and control variables are lagged by one year
logarithm of number of years since establishment), size (natural loga­ to avoid possible endogeneity with the dependent variable, and to allow
rithm of total assets), marketing capabilities (ratio of expenditure on for the fact that the strategic decision such as internationalization at
marketing activities to total sales), technological capabilities (ratio of time ‘t’ would depend on the conditions at time ‘t-1′ (Buckley & Munjal,
expenditure on research & development to total sales), prior interna­ 2017).
tionalization (natural logarithm of export sales as a ratio of total sales),
financial leverage (debt to equity ratio), business group affiliation (dummy 4. Results
variable), government ownership dummy, and firm performance (ratio of
net profit before interest and tax to total sales) (Rogers, 2004). We used 4.1. Main analysis
log transformation where the series required normalization due to high
variance. The data for all firm specific variables is taken from Prowess The descriptive statistics and correlation matrix are presented in
database. We control for industry-specific effects by including 36 in­ Table 3. All the correlation coefficients are sufficiently low, indicating
dustry dummies as per NIC-2008 classification at 2-digit level. Finally, that multicollinearity is not a problem. The average of the variance
we include year dummies to control for time-specific effects. inflation factors is found to be 2.93, which is sufficiently below the
threshold of 10 (Hair, 2009), reconfirming that multicollinearity is not
an issue.
3.4. Estimation method The results of random effects GLS regression model are presented in
table 4. We analyze our data in hierarchical models. In model 1, we test
We used random effect generalized least squares (GLS) estimation to the independent effect of institutional fragility on the internationaliza­
test our proposed hypotheses. A GLS regression is preferred over pooled tion of Indian firms (hypothesis 1). In model 2, we introduce both the
OLS as it corrects for the omitted variable bias and the presence of moderating variables and test for the robustness of our results for hy­
heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation in pooled time series data. pothesis 1. In models 3 and 4, we introduce the two interaction terms
Furthermore, we preferred random-effect over fixed-effect estimation as testing respectively for hypothesis 2 and 3. Model 5 is the full model.
some of our variables such as group affiliation and government owner­ Hypothesis 1 predicted a negative relationship between institutional
ship are time invariant. The use of random-effects also allowed us to fragility and Indian firms’ internationalization scale. As can be seen
incorporate industry-specific effects. However, an important assumption from model 1 (Table 3), the coefficient of institutional fragility is
for using the random effects estimation is that the unobserved hetero­ negative and statistically significant (β = − 0.1868, p = 0.049). The
geneity should not be correlated with the independent variables coefficient of institutional fragility remains negative and significant
(Cameron & Trivedi, 2005). We tested for this important assumption

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V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

Table 3
Descriptive statistics and Correlations.
Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14)

(1) 1.000
Internationalization
(log)
(2) Institutional − 0.037 1.000
fragility
(3) Inward FDI − 0.001 − 0.019 1.000
(4) Inward linkages − 0.033 − 0.009 − 0.064 1.000
(5) Firm size (log) 0.546 − 0.016 − 0.031 0.052 1.000
(6) Firm age (log) 0.053 0.032 − 0.008 0.026 0.239 1.000
(7) Export intensity 0.033 − 0.045 − 0.054 0.035 − 0.212 − 0.157 1.000
(log)
(8) Debt-equity ratio − 0.035 0.039 − 0.019 0.023 0.005 0.013 − 0.010 1.000
(9) Government 0.027 − 0.018 0.098 0.112 0.249 0.195 − 0.243 0.010 1.000
owned dummy
(10) Marketing 0.028 − 0.033 0.096 − 0.043 − 0.002 − 0.020 0.006 − 0.008 − 0.034 1.000
intensity
(11) Technological 0.114 − 0.038 0.104 − 0.047 0.041 − 0.083 0.162 − 0.018 − 0.073 0.166 1.000
intensity
(12) Profitability 0.161 − 0.011 0.058 − 0.203 0.131 − 0.025 0.098 − 0.101 0.042 0.079 0.112 1.000
(13) Business group 0.272 0.004 − 0.039 − 0.060 0.269 0.187 − 0.013 0.011 − 0.398 0.008 0.019 0.046 1.000
affiliation dummy
(14) Institutional 0.053 − 0.159 0.049 0.009 − 0.023 − 0.138 0.027 − 0.002 − 0.010 − 0.016 0.075 0.009 − 0.091 1.000
quality index
Mean 4.69 0.287 0.025 0.171 9.255 3.382 2.474 1.546 0.151 0.017 0.011 − 2.085 0.471 1.5
Standard deviation 3.042 0.195 0.034 0.477 1.979 0.614 1.806 11.921 0.358 0.036 0.016 0.977 0.499 0.578
Variance inflation 1.15 1.90 1.22 1.61 1.49 1.44 1.04 2.53 1.16 1.59 1.26 1.60 1.20
factors

Table 4
Main analysis: Results of random-effects GLS regression (Dependent variable: Firm internationalization).
Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5

H1: Institutional fragility − 0.1868** − 0.1922** − 0.2352*** − 0.1901*** − 0.3687***


(0.0950) (0.0969) (0.0814) (0.0674) (0.075)
H2: Institutional Fragility * Inward FDI 8.1295** 8.2543**
(3.9016) (3.7487)
H3: Institutional Fragility * Inward linkages 0.7426** 0.759**
(0.3575) (0.3342)
Inward FDI 0.5493 − 1.3929 1.0642* − 1.5001
(0.5908) (1.4181) (0.5755) (1.3642)
Inward linkages − 0.1223 − 0.0864 − 0.3359* − 0.3454*
(0.1566) (0.1584) (0.1731) (0.1798)
Firm size 1.0272*** 1.0338*** 1.0164*** 1.0173*** 1.0178***
(0.0765) (0.0776) (0.0696) (0.07) (0.0693)
Firm age 0.0817 0.0976 − 0.0168 − 0.0165 − 0.0186
(0.1875) (0.1863) (0.2008) (0.1983) (0.2000)
Export intensity 0.08** 0.0823** 0.0463 0.0475 0.0469
(0.0376) (0.04) (0.0372) (0.0369) (0.0374)
Debt-equity ratio 0.0052 0.0053 0.0056 0.0057 0.0057
(0.0037) (0.0037) (0.0036) (0.0038) (0.0037)
Govt owned − 1.6858 − 1.712 − 1.4082 − 1.3935 − 1.4038
(1.3226) (1.3279) (1.474) (1.4684) (1.4746)
Marketing intensity − 0.6988 − 0.6773 − 1.0953 − 1.2503 − 1.1555
(0.8174) (0.8628) (0.9775) (0.9817) (0.9371)
Technological intensity 6.0749*** 6.4842*** 6.2001** 6.0483** 6.1814**
(2.2742) (2.344) (2.9174) (3.0153) (2.9392)
Profitability 0.0016 − 0.0016 − 0.0078 − 0.0041 − 0.0059
(0.0491) (0.0524) (0.0387) (0.0402) (0.0397)
Business group affiliation 0.2237 0.2132 0.2412 0.241 0.2394
(0.2528) (0.2556) (0.2604) (0.2601) (0.2597)
Constant − 5.7298*** − 5.8875*** − 5.4081*** − 5.4395*** − 5.3715***
(1.3083) (1.3234) (1.496) (1.4777) (1.5003)
Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
R squared 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44
Wald Chi2 860.54*** 855.76*** 785.42*** 783.77*** 787.93***

N = 4739 firm-year observations. ***, **, * denotes statistical significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% level of significance respectively. Cluster robust standard errors re­
ported in parentheses.

consistently through models 2 to 5. Hence, hypothesis 1 receives strong inward FDI. Consistent with our theoretical prediction, the coefficient of
support. the interaction term is found to be positive and significant (β = 8.1295,
Model 3 includes an interaction between institutional fragility and p = 0.037). This suggests that inward industry-level FDI weakens the

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V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

negative effect of institutional fragility on firm internationalization.


Hence, hypothesis 2 is supported.
Next, we include the interaction term between institutional fragility
and inward linkages in model 4. As expected, the coefficient of the
interaction term is found to be positive and significant (β = 0.7426, p =
0.038). This suggests that inward firm-level linkages weaken the nega­
tive effect of institutional fragility on firm internationalization. Hence,
hypothesis 3 receives strong support.
To further facilitate the interpretation of interaction effects, we plot
the interaction graphs using the predicted values of estimates from
Table 4. The interaction graphs (Fig. 4 and Fig. 5) show the degree of
Indian firms’ internationalization at varying levels of institutional
fragility with different levels of exposure to inward FDI and linkages.
Fig. 4 shows that when institutional fragility is high, firms in in­
dustries with greater inward FDI would have a greater degree of inter­
nationalization as compared to firms in industries with lower inward
FDI. Fig. 5 shows that the negative effect of institutional fragility on
internationalization will be weaker for firms with greater inward (firm-
Fig. 5. Effect of inward (firm-level) linkages on the relationship between
level) linkages with foreign firms, as compared to firms with lesser in­
institutional fragility and Indian firms’ internationalization.
ward linkages. Further details of the simple slope analyses are presented
in Table 5 and Table 6.
Table 5 shows that in the absence of inward FDI in the firms’ in­ Table 5
dustry, a unit increase in the subnational institutional fragility reduces Average Marginal Effects (Effect of Institutional fragility on Indian firms’
internationalization by 21 percent. For firms in industries with low in­ internationalization at different levels of Inward FDI).
ward FDI (first quantile), institutional fragility reduces firms’ interna­ At (values of Inward FDI) dy/dx Std error z p-value
tionalization by 14 percent. The slope turns increasingly positive with
Mean - 1 SD − 0.3124 0.1017 − 3.07 0.002
greater inward FDI. With industry inward FDI at one standard deviation Zero (min value): No linkages − 0.2351 0.0813 − 2.89 0.004
(SD) above the mean, the negative effect of institutional fragility is First Quantile − 0.1539 0.0753 − 2.04 0.041
reversed, such that the scale of internationalization for firms in those Mean − 0.0329 0.0993 − 0.33 0.741
industries is likely to be higher by 28 percent. Mean + 1 SD 0.2466 0.2130 1.16 0.247
Mean + 2 SD 0.5262 0.3419 1.54 0.124
Likewise, Table 6 shows that for a firm without any inward linkages,
Mean + 3 SD 0.8057 0.4737 1.7 0.089
a unit increase in subnational institutional fragility reduces the scale of Max value 3.1792 1.6086 1.98 0.048
internationalization by 17 percent. The slope turns increasingly positive
Note: The values of inward FDI at two and three standard deviations below the
with an increase in firms’ inward linkages. At higher levels (for instance,
mean are negative and hence are not economically meaningful to be reported
at one SD above the mean), a unit increase in the subnational institu­
here. While the value is also negative at one standard deviation below the mean,
tional fragility is likely to have a positive effect on the scale of inter­ it is reported here following the standard practice.
nationalization by 34 percent.
Finally, all the interaction terms are added in Model 5 (Table 4). The
coefficients of institutional fragility as well as the interactions terms Table 6
retain the expected sign and statistical significance. This suggests that all Average Marginal Effects (Effect of Institutional fragility on Indian firms’
our hypotheses are robustly supported. Among the control variables, in internationalization at different levels of Inward Linkages).
line with the theoretical predictions, we find that firm internationali­ At (values of Inward Linkages) dy/dx Std error z p-value
zation is positively associated with firm size and technological intensity
Mean - 1 SD − 0.4167 0.1280 − 3.26 0.001
that represents firm’s traditional ownership advantages. Prior Zero (min value): No linkages − 0.1901 0.0674 − 2.82 0.005
First Quantile − 0.1826 0.0675 − 2.7 0.007
Mean − 0.0629 0.0913 − 0.69 0.491
Mean + 1 SD 0.2910 0.2415 1.2 0.228
Mean + 2 SD 0.6449 0.4079 1.58 0.114
Mean + 3 SD 0.9988 0.5766 1.73 0.083
Max value 19.5399 9.4987 2.06 0.04

Note: The values of inward linkages at two and three standard deviations below
the mean are negative and hence are not economically meaningful to be reported
here. While the value is also negative at one standard deviation below the mean,
it is reported here following the standard practice.

internationalization experience in the form of export sales gains signif­


icance, but only in the first two models.

4.2. Robustness tests

We conducted various tests to check the robustness of our findings.


First, we modelled firm internationalization in a two-staged decision
framework, where at the first stage, the firm decides whether to engage
in OFDI or not, and in the second stage, it decides the extent of inter­
Fig. 4. Effect of inward (industry) FDI on the relationship between institutional nationalization, i.e., how much to invest (volume of foreign investment).
fragility and Indian firms’ internationalization. For the purposes of this robustness test, we used an alternative database

9
V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

on OFDI from India, published by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) - In­ of the Supplementary file (available as an online supplement). We find
dia’s central bank, and using a smaller (but representative) sample of the support for all our hypotheses.
top 500 firms listed on the BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) .4 RBI data is Third, we tested with an alternate specific measure for firm-level
also frequently used in Indian OFDI studies (e.g., Munjal et al., 2022; inward linkages in the form of foreign licensing (Elia et al., 2020).
Nayyar et al., 2021). To model our database, we started by manually Given the limited availability of data on foreign expenditure on royalty
checking the name of each firm in our sample in the RBI’s OFDI data­ and technical know, this robustness analysis had to be carried on
base. In the first step, we check if the firm has made an overseas in­ reduced sample size of 847 firm-year observations. The list of control
vestment in the given financial year, and in the second step, we calculate variables is the same as used in the robustness test 1. Our aim here is to
the total amount invested in each year by aggregating the amount of check for the robustness of findings for hypothesis 3. As can be seen from
investment made by the firm in all transactions made during the year. models 4 and 5 of the Table S4 of the Supplementary file (available as an
Our sample for this robustness check is an unbalanced panel of 2363 online supplement), the coefficient for the interaction term between
firm-year observations consisting of 321 firms (after excluding firms institutional fragility and foreign technology licensing is positive and
from financial sector and subsidiaries of foreign companies). Between significant at 10% level of significance.
the sample used for this robustness test (using RBI and BSE-500 data)
and the sample used in our main analysis (using CMIE Prowess data), 4.3. Post-Hoc analyses
there is an overlap of around 26% (i.e., 183 firms), which confirms the
reliability of foreign investment data between the two sources - Prowess We also conducted additional post-hoc tests, the details of which are
and RBI. For the first stage, we have a dichotomous dependent variable included in the Supplementary file (online). First, we tested for the
(OFDIijst) that takes the value 1 if the firm ‘i’ from industry ‘j’ and state moderating effect of firm-performance. Strong firm-performance is
‘s’ engaged in OFDI in year ‘t’, and 0 otherwise. For the second stage, the argued to increase firms’ risk-taking propensity (Danso, Adomako,
dependent variable is the amount of foreign investment. The measures Damoah & Uddin, 2016; Xie, Huang, Stevens & Lebedev, 2019). Spe­
for institutional fragility, inward FDI and inward linkages are the same cifically, in the Indian context, greater profitability causes firms to spend
as used in the main analysis. We introduce two additional control var­ proportionately on corporate social responsibility (CSR), and this may
iables in this analysis - foreign equity ownership (percentage of equity be argued to increase their internationalization levels (Shirodkar &
capital held by foreign investors) and expenditure on import of capital Shete, 2021). Our results are presented in Table S5 – Model 1 in the
goods (ratio of total forex expenditure on imports). We used the Heck­ online supplement, and show that the interaction term Institutional
man two-stage procedure, which involves including inverse-mills ratio Fragility*Profitability achieves a positive sign but is not statistically
and excluding a variable (linkages represented by foreign expenditure significant.
on import of capital goods) that is more likely to affect the decision to Second, we attempted to explore how institutional fragility within
engage in OFDI (stage-1) than determine the amount of investment, India impacts the internationalization of government-owned firms.
OFDI, in the second stage. In stage 1, mixed-effect Probit regression is Given that prior research has shown that state-ownership moderates the
used since it is considered better than alternative approaches (e.g., logit relationship between institutional fragility and OFDI (e.g. Shi et al.,
model) to compute an inverse Mills ratio for inclusion in the 2017), we expected a similar result in the Indian context. To test this
second-stage analysis (Heckman, 1979). In the second stage, informed argument, we re-ran the baseline specification on the sample of firms
by the results of Hausman test, we used random effects GLS regression that are owned by the state or the central government (information
method. The results are found to be consistent and reported in the obtained from Prowess, CMIE). We found that in the case the
Table 7 and Table 8. government-owned firms, the relationship between subnational insti­
Second, to validate that the institutional dimensions that we tutional fragility and internationalization is insignificant (Table S5 –
included in our institutional fragility measure provide a good repre­ Model 2 of the Online supplement), suggesting that Indian SOEs do not
sentation of institutional environment in Indian states, we created an face the same learning challenges caused by institutional fragility as
institutional quality index (at the state level in India) by adapting the private firms do. The lack of significance could also be due to the small
range equalization method by Debroy et al. (2014) .5 The composite sample size (sample of 166 firm year observations). As such, we suggest
measure achieved the Cronbach’s alpha score of 0.65, indicating an that future research can re-test this with a larger sample size.
acceptable level of reliability (Hulin, Netemeyer & Cudeck, 2001; Finally, we examine the effect of the pace of change in individual
Ursachi, Horodnic & Zait, 2015). To avoid the possibility that the dimensions of institutional reform within India on the internationali­
method of range equalization and rescaling used to construct the insti­ zation of Indian firms, as well as on the moderating effects of inward
tutional quality index may affect our main results by magnifying the linkages. The results are shown in Tables S6 through S9 of the (online)
state-level variations, we had not controlled for this variable in our main supplementary file. The results cannot be compared to the effect of
analyses. However, as a robustness test, we added the institutional quality institutional fragility, as here, we do not account for how the pace of
index as an additional control variable, since this has been previously change in one dimension is related to the pace of change in others. Yet,
argued to impact the internationalization of emerging market firms the results show some interesting findings and warrant further research.
(Chen et al., 2015; Nayyar, 2018). We follow the same hierarchical E.g. only the pace of change in ‘factor market development’ is signifi­
approach to testing the hypotheses. The results are presented in Table S3 cantly (and negatively) associated with internationalization, whereas
for other dimensions, the effect is insignificant. We then also examine
the effect of the pace of change in institutional reforms on a composite
basis. The results are shown in Table S10 of the (online) supplementary
4
Our rationale for using an alternative dataset for this robustness test was file. Again, although this is not similar to the effect of institutional
that in our main analysis (based on the CMIE Prowess database), there were fragility, we find that the effect is consistent with our main findings.
only 3 firms (out of 707 firms) which did not undertake OFDI at all over our
time-period. As such, there would be very little variability in the OFDI variable
5. Discussion and conclusions
if we used that sample for the robustness test using Heckman two-stage anal­
ysis. Please note, however, that the same sample (based on BSE-500) was used
for both stages of the Heckman analysis. 5.1. Theoretical implications
5
The Economic Freedom in Indian States (EFI) index developed by Debroy et
al (2014) is based on the Fraser Institute’s Economic Freedom of World Index, Our findings provide support to all of our hypotheses on the effect of
and is co-published by the Cato Institute, Friedrich Naumann Foundation and institutional fragility (Shi et al., 2017) on the internationalization of
Indicus Analytics. Indian firms, and on the moderating effects of inward FDI and inward

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V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

Table 7
Stage 1 results of two-stage Heckman regression (BSE-500 sample).
Stage 1: Decision to engage in OFDI [p(DV=OFDIijst=1)]

Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4

H1: Institutional fragility − 0.2107** − 0.4050*** − 0.3035*** − 0.4960***


(0.1021) (0.1499) (0.1019) (0.1612)
H2: Institutional Fragility * Inward FDI 9.2176 9.1780
(6.4200) (6.7813)
H3: Institutional Fragility * Inward linkages 0.8540*** 0.8400***
(0.2293) (0.2179)
Inward FDI 0.8812 − 1.9093 0.8807 − 1.892
(0.5698) (1.8822) (0.5736) (1.9593)
Inward linkages − 0.0578 − 0.0590 − 0.4081*** − 0.4077***
(0.0361) (0.0374) (0.1017) (0.1047)
Profitability − 0.1461 − 0.1341 − 0.1521 − 0.1403
(0.2524) (0.2536) (0.2518) (0.2533)
Technological intensity 8.2851*** 8.323*** 8.2739*** 8.3104***
(1.8708) (1.9565) (1.8310) (1.9163)
Foreign equity 1.0462*** 1.0523*** 1.0728*** 1.0793***
(0.2661) (0.2658) (0.2563) (0.2564)
Marketing intensity 1.7189 1.7261 1.6960 1.701
(1.3573) (1.3413) (1.3592) (1.3453)
Business group affiliation − 0.3947** − 0.3953** − 0.3910** − 0.3914**
(0.1546) (0.1535) (0.1543) (0.1533)
Govt owned Dropped

Export intensity 0.3986** 0.3959** 0.3981** 0.3950**


(0.1968) (0.1951) (0.1988) (0.1972)
Debt equity ratio − 0.0141 − 0.0140 − 0.0144 − 0.0143
(0.0092) (0.0092) (0.0093) (0.0093)
Firm size 0.8152*** 0.8175*** 0.8144*** 0.8166***
(0.0901) (0.0901) (0.0903) (0.0903)
Firm age − 0.0013 − 0.0012 − 0.0014 − 0.0013
(0.002) (0.0021) (0.002) (0.0020)
Import share (capital goods) − 0.4578 − 0.4519 − 0.4616 − 0.4557
(0.371) (0.3723) (0.3663) (0.3674)
Industry Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes
Time Dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes
Constant − 4.2826*** − 4.2359*** − 4.2556*** − 4.2089***
(0.3915) (0.3813) (0.3973) (0.3852)
Observations 2363 2363 2363 2363
Log-pseudolikelihood − 1271.9114 1270.8313 − 1267.9453 − 1266.8845

N = 2363. ***, **, * denotes statistical significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% level of significance respectively. Cluster robust standard errors reported in parentheses. p
(Wald chi-square)***.

firm-level linkages with foreign firms. In relation to our hypothesis 1, may be inclined to escape institutional fragility, they may be able to do
using institutional (North, 1990) and organizational learning theories so within domestic boundaries, rather than overseas. However, this
(Dodgson, 1993; Huber, 1991), we argued that due to the uncertainties warrants further research, as our sample size in our robustness test
posed by institutional fragility, firms embedded in these contexts are (Table 7) was considerably smaller than Shi et al. (2017). Yet, it may be
forced to learn via bandwagon mechanisms (Belderbos et al., 2011) to conceivable that whilst Chinese firms are more likely to escape their
develop more domestically focused business models and competitive fragile home institutions and leverage their external connections to
advantages that are less likely to be transferred internationally (Arregle learn ‘on the job’ (in addition to domestic learning) when engaging in
et al., 2016). This would subsequently reduce their commitment to OFDI (Luo & Tung, 2007; Zhu et al., 2022), Indian firms are more likely
internationalization. Our support to this hypothesis extends the findings to utilize their learning from their home-based networks prior to
of prior studies on the impact of institutional fragility. Shi et al. (2017), investing overseas. Overall, by taking India as the research context, we
for instance, argued that institutional fragility (in China) causes firms address the call for extending the geographical coverage of subnational
located in such provinces to ‘escape’ to foreign markets (via OFDI) due studies which have previously had a strong focus on China (Hutz­
to the uncertainty and complexity caused by institutional fragility. Our schenreuter, Matt & Kleindienst, 2020; Liu, Lu & Chizema, 2014).
findings from the Indian context suggest that the drivers of emerging Broadly, we contribute to the vast literature on the OFDI of emerging
market firms’ decision to undertake ‘OFDI’ may differ from their ability market firms (EMFs) that have greatly emphasized the institutional and
to make greater amounts of foreign investments, in line with prior learning effects of the home country on their internationalization
suggestions (Buckley, 2018). Emerging market firms may often (Meyer & Nguyen, 2005; Pattnaik et al., 2021; Ramachandran & Pant,
under-anticipate the risks associated with FDI, and may eventually limit 2010; Xia et al., 2014; Yang, 2018).
their foreign investment upon realizing the negative performance effects Relatedly, our study also emphasizes that the OFDI of firms from
of OFDI (Haiyue & Manzoor, 2020). different emerging market countries may be differently motivated (Zhu
At the same time, in our first robustness test (Table 7), we find that et al., 2022). Between China and India for example, previous studies
institutional fragility in India also impacts Indian firms’ OFDI nega­ have noted that state-ownership features as a distinctive factor in Chi­
tively, in contrast to the finding by Shi et al. (2017) based on Chinese nese OFDI, but not in the Indian case (Kumar & Chadha, 2009). Among
firms. This opens up alternative theoretical possibilities as well the scope the BRIC countries, Chinese and Russian OFDI is also argued to be
of contextual effects on the effect of institutional fragility on emerging strongly supported by their home governments, such as via China’s ‘Go
market firms’ OFDI. As such, we do recognize that although Indian firms Out’ policy, but Indian and Brazilian OFDI is not (Holtbrügge &

11
V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

Table 8
Stage 2 results of two-stage Heckman regression (BSE-500 sample).
Stage 2: Amount of OFDI

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4

H1: Institutional fragility − 5744.1084** − 8711.3379** − 6724.0772** − 9837.8487*


(2851.9717) (4382.3147) (3426.3927) (5144.9244)
H2: Institutional Fragility * Inward FDI 136,445.41* 140,139.94*
(73,274.282) (79,518.817)
H3: Institutional Fragility * Inward linkages 7699.7285** 8112.7632**
(3635.1282) (3890.55)
Inward FDI − 9136.6816* − 49,891.308** − 8865.8788** − 50,593.684*
(4802.5195) (25,446.603) (4415.9516) (26,750.563)
Inward linkages − 701.7983*** − 740.7413*** − 4348.0728** − 4599.8351**
(254.7559) (276.0442) (1869.4255) (2019.2221)
Profitability − 1340.2559* − 1251.7718 − 1449.1551* − 1374.0383
(803.9917) (817.6026) (840.9004) (847.3341)
Technological intensity 69,877.531*** 72,099.861*** 70,495.32*** 73,136.973***
(14,048.011) (15,451.52) (16,591.56) (18,269.115)
Foreign equity 11,719.858* 12,169.779* 12,299.237* 12,835.433*
(6102.7039) (6369.8037) (6576.9146) (6914.6324)
Marketing intensity 20,145.053** 21,374.891** 20,222.872** 21,568.721**
(9084.9432) (9741.5542) (9780.6198) (10,563.321)
Business group affiliation − 4137.5984*** − 4306.4015*** − 4199.543*** − 4395.5337**
(1447.8153) (1549.9358) (1597.5302) (1723.958)
Govt owned − 13,397.397*** − 13,666.889*** − 12,928.008*** − 13,189.297***
(3630.2055) (3783.9027) (3677.9744) (3849.0554)
Export intensity − 1437.012 − 1306.1379 − 1358.2151 − 1201.2081
(1236.1117) (1192.534) (1112.9) (1070.1144)
Debt equity ratio − 195.5872*** − 201.5545*** − 203.8851*** − 211.2819***
(54.7913) (58.2988) (63.9933) (68.5219)
Firm size 12,972.945*** 13,347.823*** 13,192.693*** 13,631.142***
(4434.04) (4652.3592) (4847.7072) (5120.3982)
Firm age − 34.5536 − 34.4004 − 35.8489 − 35.8597
(30.8703) (30.7567) (31.6658) (31.6407)
Inverse mills ratio 13,074.252*** 13,640.489*** 13,464.009** 14,135.17**
(4699.6253) (5029.3759) (5326.4882) (5746.1798)
Constant − 65,644.515*** − 67,238.269*** − 66,933.183*** − 68,914.511***
(20,319.172) (21,312.457) (22,946.736) (24,245.131)
R squared 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.09

Kreppel, 2012). Furthermore, natural resource seeking is argued as a linkages in the home country. Our support to H2 and H3 suggests that
primary motive in most Chinese state-owned firms’ OFDI, which often inward FDI and linkages reduce the adverse learning effects caused by
does not lead to further internationalization of their operations; how­ institutional fragility and improves firms’ internationalization levels.
ever, in the Indian OFDI case, firms are more driven by their strategic
motivations and to scale their operations internationally in subsequent
years (Kumar & Chadha, 2009; Zhu et al., 2022). This also impacts the 5.2. Managerial and policy implications
location choices of Indian and Chinese firms OFDI differently, with
Chinese firms, for example, internationalizing to geographically closer, The findings of our study present important implications for man­
resource rich countries (Duanmu & Guney, 2009), and those which are agers and policymakers. Specifically, for managers of firms located in
signatories of the Belt and Road initiative (Zhu et al., 2022). Finally, institutionally fragile states in emerging markets, our findings empha­
Indian and Chinese firms are also argued to be impacted by different size the importance of learning from foreign firms through industry and
home-institutional imprints when undertaking OFDI (Munjal et al., other firm-level collaborations as a way to diversify learning, and to
2022). Indian firms, due to their Commonwealth imprint following the engage and commit more to international markets. Learning from these
British colonial rule, are inclined to invest in countries supporting sources would be instrumental in gaining generic and internationally
Commonwealth ideals, whereas this is not the case for Chinese firms. deployable skills and knowledge, and to develop internationally scalable
Thus, our study encourages future research to appreciate the heteroge­ products and services. For policymakers in developing countries, our
neity of institutional conditions in emerging economies that may influ­ results establish a clear need for synchronizing the pace of reform across
ence the internationalization behavior of firms based in these countries. various institutional dimensions to improve the competitiveness of local
In relation to our hypotheses 2 and 3, we contribute to a more ho­ firms. Higher institutional fragility not only impedes the scale of out­
listic understanding of the effect of subnational institutional fragility on ward internationalization and indigenous R&D activities aimed at
the internationalization levels of EMFs by considering the learning effect capability upgradation by local firms, but also results in loss of economic
of inward FDI and inward firm-level linkages with foreign firms. Prior activity, tax revenue and employment opportunities, as firms may shift
research on learning through linkages by EMFs has largely focused on their operations to low fragility states. Our findings also imply that
their ‘outward’ linkages. E.g. Mathews (2002) suggested that by the attracting inward FDI through policy instruments reduces the institu­
process of forming outward links with foreign firms from advanced tional fragility effect. A case in point is India’s “Make in India” campaign
markets and by leveraging these links by overcoming inimitability and which, since 2014, has been successful in attracting FDI in the
transferability barriers, EMFs can become more engaged in outward manufacturing sector – an industry largely dominated by China over
internationalization. Our findings are in line with Lu et al. (2017) who previous decades (Saranga, Mudambi & Schotter, 2017). Following this
put forth the inward-outward LLL (IOL3) model as an extended version campaign, Indian states such as Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh made
of the LLL model (Mathews, 2002), stressing the inclusion of inward various efforts to attract manufacturing FDI competitively in their states,
by reducing government intervention and bureaucracy in various ways

12
V. Shirodkar et al. Journal of World Business xxx (xxxx) xxx

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