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N.D.) for ten locations at China Lake tion in paragraph 1.2 of the SDDC test man (1) reported destabilization of a
and for two locations at Boron are a procedure in their statement that a high stable exploitation ecosystem which re-
direct result of interference due to degree of precision in the determina- sulted in the extinction of both the ex-
VO3- and other anionic metal com- tion of As was attained. No mention ploiter (an acarophagous mite) and its
plexes. It also is significant that the was made of the degree of accuracy victim (an herbivorous mite). They pro-
data on As content from single-sweep obtained. duced this result by trebling the herbi-
polarography are in good agreement 3) Accurate and highly specific ana- vore's food density. By using a variety
with the SDDC data only for a single lytical methods should be employed by of realistic models, I predict that insta-
well location, namely, location 29 of concerned agencies to correctly detect bility should often be the result of
Table 1. In view of the projected im- the presence of and to define the ex- nutritional enrichment in two-species
portance of water pollution analysis, tent of water pollution. The accurate interactions.
several conclusions have been derived analysis of trace toxicants in water in Rosenzweig and MacArthur (2)
from the work reported: the parts-per-billion range is difficult, showed that exploitation (or predator-
1) The underground waters of the at best, and research efforts in this area prey) ecosystems do not necessarily
Boron and China Lake basins are asso- are vitally needed, as advocated by exhibit any oscillations. Furthermore,
ciated with heterogeneous rock forma- Smith (12). even if there are oscillations, they do
tions, many of which contain large G. C. WHITNACK not last under ordinary circumstances.
amounts of water-soluble minerals. Michelson Laboratory, Naval Weapons If the exploiter is quite proficient at
Thus, the subsurface water more closely Center, China Lake, California 93555 reproducing in the presence of few of
resembles dilute brines or even brackish H. H. MARTENS its victims, then the ecosystem does not
seawater (1) than it does the usual sur- Boron Community Services District, persist. If, however, the victims are
face waters for which the colorimetric Boron, California 93516 relatively proficient at escape or their
SDDC method was developed. In the References exploiters have a relatively poor repro-
SDDC test procedure (4) the analyst ductive efficiency or digestive efficiency,
1. State of California, 6th Regional Water
is cautioned (paragraph 1.2) about in- Quality Control Board, Bishop, Calif., "Re- then the system will persist in ecologi-
terference with AsH3 evolution caused port on Arsenic Occurrence in the North cal time (3).
Muroc Hydrologic Basin" (Feb. 1969).
by certain metals; all the metals listed 2. Naval Weapons Center, China Lake, Calif., The dividing line between persistent
in paragraph 1.2 were found in our Tech. Mem., "The Determination of Arsenic and explosive systems is definable from
in Drinking Water" (March 1969).
mineralized water samples. Stratton and 3. G. C. Whitnack and R. G. Brophy, Anal. a general graph of exploitation (2). The
Whitehead (9) and Ballinger et al. Chim. Acta 48, 123 (1969). victim's density V is plotted against P,
4. Standard Methods for the Examination of
(10) developed and evaluated the Water and Wastewater (American Public the exploiter's density. The collection
SDDC method for relatively pure river Health Association, New York, ed. 12, 1965), of graph points at which dV/dt = 0 is
p. 56.
drinking water, and neither of these 5. Federal Register, Title 42, Public Health called the victim's isocline. The collec-
groups of authors found it necessary to Service, Part 72 (6 March 1966). tion of points at which dP/dt = 0 is
6. F. Marcie, Environ. Sci. Technol. 1, 165 (1967).
use a second method of known ac- 7. E. B. Sandell, Colorimetric Determination of called the exploiter's isocline. Any point
curacy and specificity for As to verify Traces of Metals (Interscience, New York, ed.
3, 1959); 0. Menis and T. C. Rains, Anal.
of intersection between the two isoclines
their results. Chem. 41, 952 (1969); K. E. Burke and is an ecosystem equilibrium, but not all
2) It is recommended that the M. M. Yanak, ibid., p. 963; A. Arnold et al.,
Analyst 94, 664 (1969).
such equilibria will result in a steady
SDDC method be used for the routine 8. D. E. Robertson, Anal. Chem. 40, 1067 (1968). state. The usual form of the prey iso-
9. G. Stratton and H. C. Whitehead, J. Amer.
analysis of desert water only after Water Works Ass. 54, 861 (1962). cline is a hump (4). If the equilibrium
verification of the As content by means 10. D. G. Ballinger, R. J. Lishka, M. E. Gales, is at a point on the left side of the
of x-ray or single-sweep polarographic Jr., ibid., p. 1424.
11. E. E. Angino, L. M. Magnuson, T. C. Waugh, hump, the predator is too proficient and
measurements. Angino et al. (11) cited O. K. Galle, J. Bredfeldt, Science 168, 389 the system will ordinarily not persist.
the presence of the same interfering (1970).
12. R. G. Smith, Anal. Chem. 40, No. 7, 24A If equilibrium is at a point on the right-
metals in detergents as those reported (1968). hand (downslope) side of the hump, the
here but they evidently ignored the cau- 7 August 1970; revised 21 October 1970 a system will persist. Thus, the hump's
peak is over a critical value of V, V*.
If the equilibrium value of V is larger
than V*, the system is safe. If not, it is
Paradox of Enrichment: Destabilization of in danger of extinction.
If the exploiters do not actually inter-
Exploitation Ecosystems in Ecological Time fere with each other directly-if they
never battle over the same individual
Abstract. Six reasonable models of trophic exploitation in a two-species ecosys- victim or engage in cannibalism or
tem whose exploiters compete only by depleting each other's resource supply are territorial defense-then the P isocline
presented. In each case, increasing the supply of limiting nutrients or energy tends is a simple vertical line (V = J). The
to destroy the steady state. Thus man must be very careful in attempting to position of this line is fully determined
enrich an ecosystem in order to increase its food yield. There is a real chance by the phenotypes of the exploiter and
that such activity may result in decimation of the food species that are wanted its victim. It does not change with
in greater abundance. nutrient flow or energy supply.
To discover the effect of enriching
Schemes for increasing primary pro- flection of the increasing demands of a system, one needs to find how V*
ductivity by enriching an ecosystem's the world's population. Such schemes changes as enrichment proceeds. If en-
energy or nutrient flow are much in may end in catastrophe. richment increases V*, then it is jeop-
evidence today and are probably a re- In 1963, Huffaker, Shea, and Her- ardizing the system, because eventu-
29 JANUARY 1971 385
Kill rate models. Lotka and Volterra's will be zero. These are the V* equa-
approach was to treat the two popula- tions:
tions like molecules: kVP [see (7) and
references therein]. This has been shown Q(V*)c (eCV-- 1 - cV*)
(lb)
to 'be inadequate. Gause (7) obtained a (ec* - 1) (1- a) -- cV
a- 80
reasonable fit to a kill rate curve by K (2 -- g)
(2b)
(1 -g)
taking the square root of V. We can
generalize this procedure by taking V R Q(V*)' (1 - g) (3b)
to the gth power 0 < g 1. Thus, a (l -a-g)
kill rate model is kPVa. (2ecv* -cV: - 2)
(4b)
040--- , \0 120 10
Another model is based on observa- (eV* - cV* - 1)
0 40 80 120 160 200
tions (5, 8) that one lone exploiter will In K - In V* + 1/(1 - g) (5b)
V
attack k(l - e-V) victims in a fixed cV:
Fig. 1. Isoclines at four levels of pro- InK==lnV*+l+ 1 c - -lcV
_ (6b)
ductivity (K -34, 80, 140, and 200) amount of time. Since the exploiters
when model 4 is used. Symbol V is compete only by reducing each other's The final step requires a small ex-
victim's density; P is exploiter's. The food supply, P exploiters will kill planaton. We need the sign of aV:/OK
curved lines are V isoclines, which peak kP( - e-eV). or OV*/OR. Often the equation systems
over higher values of V at higher K. The
Thus models for dV/dt include are easily solved for K or In K, but not
vertical line, V= 25, is the P isocline.
From the slopes of the V isoclines at the V*. However, OV*/OK is positive if
points where they intersect the P isocline, rV(RV- - Q) - kP(1 - e-cV)
dV / dt and only if OK/OV* is. And OK/OV*
one expects only the K- 34 system to (la) is positive if and only if 0 In K/OV*
have a steady state. - is. Hence, we can readily proceed with
dV/dt rV(l V/K)- kPVy (2a)
dV/dt - rV(RV-a - Q)- kPVg (3a) these latter two partial derivatives.
Three are positive for any set of values
ally V* will be made greater than J. dV/dt = rV(l - V/K) - kP(l - e-"V)(4a) of the constants:
Briefly, the method is this. Set dV/dt dV/dt = rV(ln K- In V) - kPVg (Sa)
- 0 and solve for P. This is the alge-
braic equation for the V isocline. Take dV/dt = rV(ln K - In V) - kP(l - e-V) K (2 - g)()/(l-)- g)
(2 (2c)
(6a) OV
OP/OV. The value of V that satisfies
OP/OV 0 is V*. If K represents the In view of the lack of convincing OK 2(eV --l)(ec'- 1--cV-c2 V2/2)
-- (e-;
V': (e*v - 1-C-(4c)
- cV)2
standing crop of V where P = 0, then tests of any of the models as a general
K must be directly proportional to the case for all systems, I have analyzed all OlnK 1
(5c)
flow rates of limiting nutrients. Thus, six. aV* -V*
enrichment implies K increase. The The first step in each analysis is
Equation 4c is always positive be-
final step, then, is to obtain OV*/OK. omitted here: solution of each equation cause the MacLaurin series for ecV is
Since this is always positive, enrichment for P when dV/dt =O. For example, 1 + cV + c2V2/2 + c3V3/6 + * (see
leads toward system instability. Eq. 4a becomes Figs. 1 and 2).
Each analytical model used is the The other three cases are not quite
difference between inherent rate of in- rV(l - V/K)
so readily handled. Equation 3b does
crease of V and the number of V that k(l -e-V) not always have a positive solution for
die (or are not born) owing to the activi- This set of equations is the set of V V*. In fact V* is negative if and only
ties of P. isoclines. if (1 - a - g) is also negative. The V
Assume that each V must receive a Next we obtain OP/OV and deter- isocline of Eq. 3a is humpless for such
quota of nutrients at a rate Q in order mine the conditions under which this values of (a + g). Values this great im-
just to replace itself. Nutrients flow to
the lone individual V at a rate R. Thus,
this individual reproduces at a net rate
200-
r (R - Q). As V increases, however, K = 34 K = 200
each individual V is subjected to intra-
specific competition. One may assume
150-
that an individual V's effective "feed-
ing" rate diminishes with increasing Va,
r-
where a is the victim's competition con- c
() 100-
stant, 1 > a > 0 (5). Thus the per capita Q
reproductive rate is r (RV-a - Q) and
the inherent rate is rV (RV- --Q). 50-
From the parentheses one obtains K=
(R/Q)1/a. Hence, to increase K, R must \ ss