PHASE
Phase 1  Data collection and preparation.
Information Gathering and
Identification of persistency
and trend of water quality
indices
Phase 2
Identification of seasonal
pattern in the water pollution
concentration level
Phase 3
Detection of anomalies in
water quality data using deep
learning approach
Phase 4
Determining the best time
series model in modelling
and forecasting water
pollution centration level
Phase 4
Model Validation
METHOD OUTCOME
 Identifying the persistency of water quality
indices and data summarization using Achieve Research
Markov chain model. Objective One (RO1)
 Determining the trend of water quality indices
at individual stations include i) testing the
serial correlation effect ii) applying the MK
test; iii) estimating the slope of a trend using
Theil-Sen’s estimator
 Computational algorithm will be developed in
order to estimate parameter of different Achieve Research
harmonic of Fourier series. Objective Two (RO2)
 The seasonal period of water quality will be
produced
 Univariate time series data will be
transformed into a shift approach called the
sliding or rolling window.
 The sliding window approach to frame a Achieve Research
dataset of the time series into independent Objective Three
and dependent variables. (RO3)
 This mechanism allows all the time series
data to be restructured to attribute value as to
meet the requirement of the supervised
(deep) learning approach.
 Identify the stochastic processes implicit in
the time series, taking into account feedback
with lag structure.
 GARCH model will be applied to capture such Achieve Research
characteristics in the water quality time series Objective Four
data (RO4)
The models will be assessed using a few criteria such
as mean squares error (MSE) and root means
squares error (RMSE).
Documentation
Report writing and documentation