測試：OM Chapter 3 - Quizlet - A

這時候別放棄！這是必經之路。
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不正確 34
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34個答錯的詞語
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你的答案
1／34
定義詞語
F1 = a +bt used to develop linear trend equation

forecasts when trend is present
晚點再試著回答這一題！
對錯
2／34
定義詞語
wavelike variations lasting more cycle

than one year
對錯
3／34
定義詞語
short-term regular variations seasonality

related to the calendar or time
of day
對錯
4／34
定義詞語
a statement about the future correlation

value of a variable of interest
對錯
正確的定義
forecast
5／34
定義詞語
a visual tool for monitoring correlation

forecast errors
對錯
正確的定義
control chart
6／34
定義詞語
the average absolute forecast mean absolute percent error

error
對錯
正確的定義
mean absolute deviation
7／34
定義詞語
difference between the actual bias

value and the value that was
predicted for a given period
對錯
正確的定義
error
8／34
定義詞語
1 determine the purpose of the steps in forecasting process

forecast
2 establish a time horizon
3 obtain, clean, and analyze
appropriate data
4 select a forecasting technique
5 make the forecast
6 monitor the forecast errors
對錯
9／34
定義詞語
percentage of average or trend mean squared error
對錯
正確的定義
seasonal relative
10／34
定義詞語
the average absolute percent mean absolute deviation

error
對錯
正確的定義
mean absolute percent error
11／34
定義詞語
a measure of the scatter of correlation

points around a regression line
對錯
正確的定義
standard error of estimate
12／34
定義
a time-ordered sequence of observations taken at regular intervals
time series regression
exponential smoothing delphi method
13／34
定義
variation of exponential smoothing used when a time series exhibits

a linear trend
associative model correlation
trend-adjusted exponential error
14／34
定義
a moving average positioned at the center of the data that were
used to compute it
averaging techniques centered moving average
exponential smoothing weighted average
15／34
定義
a weighted averaging method based on previous forecast plus a

percentage of the forecast error
delphi method exponential smoothing
time series moving average

16／34
定義
a forecast for any period that equals the previous period's actual
value
moving average judgmental forecasts
naive forecast reorder point
17／34
定義
persistent tendency for forecasts to be greater or less than the

actual values of a time series
error bias
trend measurement error
18／34
定義
a long-term upward or downward movement in data
cycle random variations
seasonality trend
19／34
定義
caused by unusual circumstances, not reflective of typical behavior
correlation irregular variation
trend random variation
20／34
定義
the average of squared forecast errors
exponential smoothing mean absolute deviation
mean squared error mean absolute percent error
21／34
定義
an iterative process in which managers and staff complete a series

of questionnares, each developed from the previous one, to achieve
a consensus forecast
Exponential smoothing Time series
Delphi method Tracking signal
22／34
定義
forecasting technique that uses explanatory variables to predict
future demand
delphi method associative model
exponential smoothing sesonal variation
23／34
定義
timely, accurate, reliable, meaningful units, in writing, simple to

understand and use, cost effective
decision environments: elements of a good forecast
naive forecast approaches to forecasting
配對問題
24-34／34
點擊詞語以將它和定義配對
variables that can be used to predict values of the variable of interest
predictor variables
minimizes the sum of the squared vertical deviations around the line
least squares line
techniques that averages a number of recent actual values, updated as new value
become available
moving average
forecasts that project patterns identified in recent time-serires observations
time-series forecast
technique for fitting a line to a set of points
regression
more recent values in a series are given more weight in computing a forecast
weighted average
a measure of the strength and direction of relationship between two variables
correlation
forecasts that use subjective inputs such as opinions from consumer surveys, sales
staff, managers, executives, and experts
judgmental forecasts
the ratio of cumulative forecast error to the corresponding value of MAD, used to
monitor a forecast
tracking signal
residual variations after all other behaviors are accounted for
random variations
regularly repeating movements in series values that can be tied to recurring events
sesonal variation

測試：OM Chapter 3 - Quizlet - A

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這時候別放棄！這是必經之路。

F1 = a +bt used to develop linear trend equation

wavelike variations lasting more cycle

short-term regular variations seasonality

a statement about the future correlation

a visual tool for monitoring correlation

the average absolute forecast mean absolute percent error

mean absolute deviation

difference between the actual bias

1 determine the purpose of the steps in forecasting process

percentage of average or trend mean squared error

the average absolute percent mean absolute deviation

mean absolute percent error

a measure of the scatter of correlation

standard error of estimate

a time-ordered sequence of observations taken at regular intervals

time series regression

exponential smoothing delphi method

variation of exponential smoothing used when a time series exhibits

associative model correlation

trend-adjusted exponential error

averaging techniques centered moving average

exponential smoothing weighted average

a weighted averaging method based on previous forecast plus a

delphi method exponential smoothing

time series moving average

moving average judgmental forecasts

naive forecast reorder point

persistent tendency for forecasts to be greater or less than the

trend measurement error

a long-term upward or downward movement in data

cycle random variations

caused by unusual circumstances, not reflective of typical behavior

correlation irregular variation

trend random variation

the average of squared forecast errors

exponential smoothing mean absolute deviation

mean squared error mean absolute percent error

an iterative process in which managers and staff complete a series

Exponential smoothing Time series

Delphi method Tracking signal

delphi method associative model

exponential smoothing sesonal variation

timely, accurate, reliable, meaningful units, in writing, simple to

decision environments: elements of a good forecast

naive forecast approaches to forecasting

least squares line

forecasts that project patterns identified in recent time-serires observations

a measure of the strength and direction of relationship between two variables

residual variations after all other behaviors are accounted for

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