Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Date of Completion
December 7, 2023
i. Executive Summary
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Infrastructure plays a crucial role in national development, but the evolving global
environment poses a significant threat to infrastructure resilience. Consequently, this study was
undertaken to assess the susceptibility of the Department of Public Works and Highways
capacity. Employing a descriptive research design, the study utilized a survey questionnaire as
The findings reveal a moderate level of vulnerability in the existing roads, drainage
systems, and bridges along the national primary road networks of Region 02. The overall
implication is that DPWH Region 02 is actively engaged in climate change adaptation efforts,
but certain barriers need attention. The study recommends that DPWH management enhance its
overall adaptive capacity, and technical professionals should continue supporting climate change
adaptation programs and policies by augmenting their awareness, knowledge, and expertise.
ii. Acknowledgements
This study was initiated by our course instructor, Engr. Restie Pipo as a topic for our case
study. This report was prepared by Ivan Abad, Arianne Bulingot, Ruzzel Dulay, Rhio Bacani,
and Jhanielle Gabor. The Study team worked under the overall guidance and supervision of our
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Executive Summary 2
Acknowledgement 2
Table of Contents 3
Introduction 4-5
Objectives 12-13
Methodology 13-16
Analysis 16-21
Findings 21
Recommendations 21-22
Conclusion 27-28
References 28-31
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I. Introduction
The transportation sector faces numerous challenges due to climate change, given its
susceptibility to adverse weather and climatic conditions, leading to significant impacts from
extreme weather events. These influences, which affect the lifespan of infrastructure and
into routine transport infrastructure projects, covering the entire operational life of these assets.
However, transportation agencies encounter financial constraints for road maintenance and must
factors, including its characteristics, location, design, and construction practices. Consequently,
infrastructure face a novel challenge with the emergence of climate change as a significant global
threat.
The consequences of climate change on the transport network can result in the loss of
infrastructure assets and impede the recovery and resilience of the entire sector, considering that
transport infrastructure constitutes a substantial national investment. In 2023, the government has
allocated Php1.196 trillion for infrastructure programs, with the Department of Public Works and
Highway receiving a budget of Php 718.4 billion, and the Department of Transportation
receiving Php 167.1 billion, marking a 120.4 percent increase from its Php75.8 billion budget in
2022. This allocation accounts for the heightened funding requirements for various foreign-
assisted railway projects and addresses the maintenance needs of highway infrastructures
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The significance of this study lies in addressing a globally relevant concern that lacks
adequate research. It particularly emphasizes the challenges associated with funding the study
Administration's study, all parts of the Philippines will warm up, especially during the generally
warm summer months. Annual mean temperatures in all sections of the country are anticipated to
climb by 0.9 to 1.1 degrees Celsius in 2020, and by 1.80 to 2.2 degrees Celsius in 2050.
According to projections for extreme events in 2020 and 2050, scorching temperatures will
become more common, the number of dry days will grow, and heavy daily rainfall events will
also increase in number across Luzon and Visayas. An average of 20 typhoons will make landfall
in the county each year, posing a challenge to the performance of physical infrastructures due to
In the 2017 World Risk Report, the Philippines emerged as the third most susceptible
nation to the adverse effects of climate change. The consequences of climate change in the
country are extensive and encompass various aspects such as annual economic losses, alterations
in rainfall patterns, drought occurrences, risks to biodiversity and food security, rising sea levels,
threats to public health, and the jeopardy faced by vulnerable populations like women and
not only the natural environment but also posing challenges to the constructed infrastructure.
With ongoing climate shifts, there is a growing threat to our infrastructure, compelling
human adaptation to the evolving conditions of a transformed planet. The critical inquiry is not
whether climate change will impact infrastructure, but rather the manner in which it does, the
difficulties faced by urban spaces, and strategies for mitigating these effects.
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The Philippines, while contributing a relatively small share to global greenhouse gas
emissions, is witnessing a rise in its emissions with numerous upcoming development projects.
This presents opportunities for implementing cost-effective measures for both mitigation and
adaptation. Although the government has initiated some measures to tackle climate change, the
necessity remains for the formulation of a comprehensive strategy and action plan. The
international donor community is actively assisting the Philippines in addressing climate change
The global community has observed the environmental and societal consequences of
climate change, yet many individuals are unaware of its impact on infrastructure such as
buildings, bridges, and roads. Much of the existing infrastructure was designed and constructed
under different climatic conditions. As the climate undergoes continuous changes, the risks to
our infrastructure also evolve. Adjustments like raising bridges and roads may become necessary
due to shifting landscapes, resulting in heightened maintenance costs or even the need for
Cities with excessive population density will face issues of congestion, heightened
pollution, and increased temperatures. Urban areas characterized by alternating dryness and
sudden flooding will experience unprecedented strain on buildings, roads, and concealed
infrastructure. The impacts extend to alterations in weather patterns, a surge in the occurrence of
extreme weather events like hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods, and fluctuations in precipitation
levels. These factors pose disruptions to the intricate transportation networks established over
decades or even centuries. Infrastructure stands as the fundamental support of our society,
enabling essential functions such as maintaining clean water, sustaining structures, and ensuring
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a continuous power supply. Without a robust infrastructure, access to vital resources necessary
for life would be compromised. Recognizing the significance of infrastructure in daily life is
There have been extreme weather events in Asia recently signaling an increase in
intensity and frequency of such events. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Fourth Assessment Report predicts that Asia will experience a rise in temperature, longer
summer heat spells, more intense and frequent precipitation, an increase in extreme rainfall and
tropical cyclones, a rise in sea levels in coastal areas around the Indian Ocean and northern and
southern Pacific Oceans (Christensen et al., 2007). Climate change threatens basic elements of
life for people around the world- access to water, food, health, and the use of land and the
environment (Stern, 2007). The transportation system will be affected by climate change. An
increase in temperature, precipitation, sea level, and storm surges will have a significant impact
on transportation infrastructure. Some obvious impacts to the transportation systems are traffic
disruption due to flooding and heavy snow and rains, difficult driving conditions, an increase in
maintenance requirement to the pavement due to high temperature and more frequent icing-
thawing phenomenon, overflow of side drains and cross drainage works, submerged bridges due
to floods induced by intense precipitation, inundation of coastal roads due to sea level rise, and
climate conditions. Over the past decade, numerous researchers have explored adjustments to
pavement parameters to enhance resilience against varying climate factors. Climate elements
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such as temperature, precipitation, sunlight percentage, humidity, wind speed, and groundwater
levels significantly impact pavement performance, design, and service life (Knott et al., 2019a).
Additionally, factors like permafrost thaw, freezing index, and freeze-thaw cycles notably
influence flexible pavements in Northern Canada (Maadani et al., 2021). The alteration of these
pavement parameters due to shifts in environmental variables results in increased costs for
for a revised design approach to address rising costs. While some studies advocate proactive
measures like increased thickness (Knott et al., 2020) and upgraded Superpave binder grades
(Fletcher et al., 2016), others propose early-triggered maintenance (Qiao et al., 2015), each
negatively affect pavement infrastructure, reducing its service life. Various adaptation strategies
are necessary to maintain the intended service life, inevitably escalating costs.
The transportation system faces risks from sea level rise, altered precipitation patterns,
extreme weather events, and increased temperatures. These hazards can compromise system
performance, safety, and reliability. Coastal areas, particularly those along the Pacific Ocean,
may experience heightened storm surges and flooding due to rising sea levels and more severe
storms, causing damage to roads, bridges, railways, ports, and coastal airports. Localized
flooding can impact roadways and tunnels, weaken road materials, and contribute to traffic
congestion, making it challenging for people to reach their homes, schools, stores, and medical
appointments. In mountainous regions like the Philippines, heavy rains can lead to floods and
mudslides, affecting highways, railways, and bridges. Conversely, the absence of rain, coupled
with extreme heat, raises the risk of wildfires, which can damage transportation networks and
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impair visibility for drivers. These challenges can have both immediate and long-lasting effects,
such as heat impacting airport runways and making it more challenging for airplanes to take off.
Overheating vehicles and buckling roadway joints can also lead to accidents.
available information on flood risk in the project areas, historical and anticipated changes in
rainfall, and compliance with DPWH standards for determining flood design levels. Following
the guidelines outlined in the Asian Development Bank's Manual on Climate Change
Adjustments for Detailed Engineering Design of Roads, the study evaluated historical (1850-
2005) and projected (2006-2100) annual maximum daily rainfall. This assessment incorporated
projected rainfall data from 23 CMIP5 climate models for RCP8.5 scenarios, leading to the
recommendation to adjust the DPWH's design annual maximum daily rainfall by 25%.
To derive the corresponding increase in flood flow, the study utilized a regression curve
based on probable rainfall flood discharge developed for the project, while accounting for factors
like the proposed Marikina Dam and retarding basin. The original DPWH design flood flow was
adjusted from 2,927 m3/s to 3,520 m3/s, reflecting a 20.3% increase to accommodate the rise in
rainfall due to climate change. A Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System (HEC-
RAS) Model was employed to estimate the flood level associated with this increased flow.
The climate risk assessment indicated the necessity to raise bridge elevations by
approximately 0.5m to mitigate the risk of flooding and overtopping. The adaptation measures
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adopted by the project included elevating the pier heights of bridges and enhancing the bridge
approaches. Additionally, the potential impact of sea level rise, assuming a 1.0m increase, was
evaluated using the HEC-RAS model. The conclusion drawn was that the projected sea level rise
would not significantly affect the bridges, primarily due to their distance from Manila Bay.
The following scales were also used for the three (3) vulnerability indicators:
1. Frequency and Percentage. These were used to interpret the demographic profile of the
participants.
infrastructures to climate
change.
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When Grouped According to Years of Existence
The data analysis indicates that bridges have the longest lifespan. The DGCS
notes that in the Philippines, the design life for bridges is considered to be 50 years, while
it is 20 years for concrete roads and 10 years for asphalt roads. Design life represents the
assumed period in the design phase during which the infrastructure is expected to fulfill
its function without requiring replacement or significant structural repairs. However, the
exposure conditions, material quality, design and construction quality, and the level of
maintenance.
The data also reveals that drainages are particularly vulnerable to climate stresses
due to their exposure to extreme rainfall, leading to flooding. Roads are highly sensitive
to the impacts of climate change, given their critical role as essential transportation links.
Damage to the road network would result in disruptions to mobility and transportation
convenience. In terms of adaptive capacity, bridges receive the lowest rating, primarily
high technical expertise—a barrier faced by district engineering offices. Additionally, the
"moderate extent" rating for bridges is attributed to their age, as many have not yet
According to the latest Roads and Bridges Inventory and Assessment (RBIA) on
the studied infrastructures, 15.49% of the roads are rated as "bad," 27.65% as "poor,"
32.66% as "fair," and 24.20% as "good." For bridges, 39.64% are rated "good," 47.30%
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as "fair," 11.71% as "poor," and 1.35% as "bad." The majority being rated "fair and
good" supports the vulnerability assessment's findings that these infrastructures exhibit
V. Objectives
infrastructures: The study aims to evaluate the existing and anticipated effects of
climate change, such as temperature changes, precipitation patterns, and sea level
infrastructures: The study aims to identify the specific factors that make highway
are located.
3. Quantify the economic costs associated with climate change impacts on highway
4. Evaluate adaptation strategies and their effectiveness: The study aims to assess
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impacts of climate change on highway infrastructures. This evaluation can include
findings and analysis, the study aims to provide practical recommendations for
VI. Methodology
in the climate and their consequences is known as adaptation. These modifications may
take the form of political, educational, or social changes, or they may be structural, or
connected to both present and future risk reduction practices and management activities.
Furthermore, in order to prevent sharply rising GHG emissions, these adaptation options
combining both qualitative and quantitative research methods. This allows for a
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comprehensive understanding of the impact of climate change on highway
interviews with experts, and case studies of specific infrastructure projects. The
quantitative research methods may involve data analysis, statistical modeling, and
numerical simulations.
Data Collection. To gather relevant data, the researchers may employ various
systems, and other relevant infrastructure components. The surveys may also
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historical data on infrastructure performance. This data can provide valuable
of highway infrastructures.
may include:
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identify themes, patterns, and key findings related to the impact of climate change
on highway infrastructures.
VII. Analysis
The detailed analysis of the case study "Analyzing the Impact of Climate Change on
Highway Infrastructure" reveals the significant challenges posed by climate change to the
stability and functionality of highway systems. Climate change is causing shifts in temperature,
precipitation patterns, and the frequency of extreme weather events, all of which directly impact
the infrastructure's performance and resilience. This poses a substantial threat to the safety,
reliability, and longevity of highway networks. The analysis highlights that climate change-
risks of flooding and erosion, and damage from extreme weather events. Rising temperatures
contribute to the expansion and contraction of pavement materials, leading to cracks and reduced
durability. Altered precipitation patterns result in more frequent and intense rainfall, increasing
the likelihood of flooding and erosion, which can undermine the structural integrity of roads and
bridges. Additionally, the increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events, such as
In 1990, alterations in land use and forestry (LUCF) constituted 66.9% of the greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions in the Philippines, with energy contributing 30.4%, and industrial
processes making up a mere 2.7%. By 2000, the proportion of GHG emissions from land-use
change and forestry had diminished to 55.9%, while the energy sector's share increased to 40.6%,
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and industrial processes' share rose to 3.5%. In the same year, which is the latest data available
for land use change and forestry, the Philippines contributed 0.51% to the world's total
Regarding the road infrastructure, as of 2008, the Philippines possesses a total road
network extending over 203,000 kilometers, of which 14.5% (29,370 kilometers) is designated as
national roads. An examination of historical trends reveals that the numbers of both cars and
utility vehicles are ascending, albeit at declining rates, signaling the substantial phasing out of
older units. The count of buses is decreasing with an average annual decline rate of -1.6%. In
2008, the overall vehicle population comprised nearly 2 million motorcycles and tricycles,
undergoing significant annual growth at a rate of 11.6%. The level of motorization is steadily
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advancing at 6% per year, primarily propelled by the increasing ownership of motorcycles and
tricycles.
Transportation Office
We conducted primary research in two primary databases: (i) Scopus; and (ii) Web of
Science, encompassing all their data sources and indexes. Additionally, we conducted
focused on climate change, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),
the National Research Council, and the World Bank Group. Consequently, the initial database
comprised 518 studies, with 246 studies sourced from Web of Science, 268 from Scopus, and
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reports.
The development of the research report, presented here in the format of an article,
encapsulates the knowledge derived from the analyses performed during the research. It is
noteworthy that, for the bibliographic and systematic analysis, various computer programs were
utilized, including Excel for generating straightforward graphs depicting the evolution of
publications and citations per year, VosViewer for constructing interconnected maps between
keywords, and Tableau for mapping publications based on the investigated country.
A crucial point to underscore is that, while bibliometric analyses, such as the growth of
publications over the years and the journals displaying particular interest in the subject, were
directly extracted from the databases integral to the research, the systematic analyses resulted
from a thorough examination of each individual study. As a result, details such as the countries
under investigation, climate threats, and biophysical impacts explored were obtained by filling
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columns in a table specifically designed for their analysis. Additionally, there is a significant
VIII. Findings
The analysis of the impact of climate change on highway infrastructure reveals several
significant findings. Firstly, climate change poses substantial challenges to the stability and
functionality of highways. The increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather events,
such as storms, floods, and heatwaves, pose risks of erosion, landslides, and damage to road
surfaces, bridges, and culverts. Rising sea levels and coastal erosion also threaten coastal
highways, leading to potential loss of critical transportation routes and increased maintenance
costs. Furthermore, higher temperatures contribute to pavement deterioration, causing cracks and
increased runoff and flooding, leading to road closures and damage to drainage systems. The
analysis also highlights the disruptive impact of climate change on transportation networks. The
resulting road closures, detours, and increased travel times have economic implications, affecting
trade, tourism, and emergency response. To address these challenges, proactive planning and
systems, using climate resilient materials, and implementing design standards that consider
future climate projections can help mitigate the impacts of climate change on highway
infrastructure.
IX. Recommendations
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Implementation of Climate-Resistant Infrastructure for Philippine Highways
Based on the analysis and the impact of climate change on the road infrastructure in the
Philippines, I recommend that the government and relevant agencies prioritize climate change
Infrastructure development:
• Improved drainage systems. Include better drainage systems in highway construction and
maintenance projects to manage increased rainfall and prevent flooding. This can include
installing larger channels, building elevated roads in flood-prone areas, and using green
• Weather Resistant Materials: Use materials that can withstand extreme weather conditions such
as high temperatures, heavy rain and strong winds. This may include the use of heat-resistant
• Elevated roads: Consider building elevated roads in areas prone to coastal flooding and sea
level rise to ensure continued connectivity and minimize damage from extreme weather events.
• Bridge Upgrades: Strengthen existing bridges and design new ones to withstand increased wind
• Seawalls and Defenses: Build walls and other coastal defenses to protect highways from
• Climate-aware planning: Integrate climate forecasts and risk assessments into highway
planning and development processes to identify vulnerable areas and prioritize actions.
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• Investments in maintenance: Provide sufficient resources for regular maintenance and
• Emergency plans: Create comprehensive emergency plans to prepare for and effectively
resources of the private sector to finance and implement climate-resilient infrastructure projects.
X. Implementation Plan
patterns.
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• Consider factors such as cost-effectiveness, feasibility, and potential benefits in
• Create a detailed timeline that outlines the sequence of activities and milestones
systematic approach.
• Define key performance indicators and data collection methods to assess the
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• Develop a communication strategy to inform the public, policymakers, and other
change.
and responsibilities.
• Update the plan as needed to ensure its relevance and effectiveness in addressing
XI. Results
The implementation of the recommendations from the analysis of the impact of climate
change on highway infrastructures case study has yielded significant results and outcomes.
Firstly, the resilience of the highway infrastructures has been greatly enhanced by implementing
adaptation measures such as strengthening bridges, improving road drainage systems, and
incorporating climate-resilient design principles; the highways are now better prepared to
withstand the adverse effects of climate change. This includes increased resistance to extreme
weather events, reduced vulnerability to flooding and erosion, and improved durability against
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temperature fluctuations. Secondly, the implementation has resulted in cost savings and reduced
risks, the need for frequent repairs and maintenance due to climate-induced damages has
significantly decreased. This has translated into substantial cost savings for transportation
agencies and governments, allowing for more efficient allocation of resources towards other
critical infrastructure needs. Furthermore, the safety of road users has been significantly
improved. Through the implementation of adaptation measures, such as enhancing road signage,
improving visibility, and implementing early warning systems, the risks associated with climate
change impacts have been mitigated. This has led to safer travel conditions, reduced accidents,
and minimized disruptions to transportation networks, ensuring the well-being of road users. In
addition to these tangible outcomes, the implementation has also brought about environmental
the environmental impact of highway infrastructures has been reduced. This includes mitigating
carbon emissions, improving air quality, and preserving natural habitats along the highways
Moreover, the implementation process has fostered stakeholder engagement and collaboration.
climate change. This collaboration has facilitated the exchange of knowledge, expertise, and
resources, leading to more effective and sustainable solutions. Lastly, the implementation of the
case study recommendations has served as a valuable learning experience. Lessons learned from
the process, including challenges encountered and successful strategies employed, can be shared
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with other regions and transportation agencies facing similar climate change impacts. This
knowledge sharing contributes to the development of best practices, guidelines, and policies for
changes in precipitation patterns, and an increase in extreme weather events can all cause
pavement deterioration, flooding, landslides, and damage to roads, bridges, and canals. Coastal
highways are particularly vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Damage to coastal roads caused by sea level rise. These effects can disrupt transportation
networks, causing closures, detours, and increased travel times, which in turn can have negative
includes using climate-resistant materials, improving drainage systems, and implementing design
standards for future climate projections. Advance planning and risk assessment are also
Cooperation and information sharing are key to combating climate change. Governments,
the private sector, and civil society must work together to share best practices and develop
effective solutions. Research and innovation are also crucial to the development of new
technologies and approaches. Policy and financial support are crucial to the implementation of
stimulus policies are needed to encourage climate-resilient practices and attract private sector
investment. International cooperation can also provide additional resources and know-how.
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Investing in climate-proof infrastructure is a primary goal. Although the initial costs may be
higher, the long-term benefits are significant. A flexible transportation system will save money
XIII. Conclusion
One significant contribution of the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH)
to enhance the overall resilience of the country to climate change is the development and
establishment of standards, guidelines, and policies for climate change adaptation. The DPWH
recognizes the importance of asset management for existing infrastructure as a strategic approach
study, the awareness level of professionals engaged in executing the department's mandated
services is crucial for effective climate change adaptation. Their capacity to respond to climate
impacts on infrastructure is closely linked to their knowledge of climate change issues and their
conditions.
Likewise, the degree of compliance and the extent of implementation significantly impact
correlate with better adaptation performance. Conversely, the moderate vulnerability of the
assessed infrastructures suggests that these systems are already experiencing the impacts of
climate change. In Region 02, prominent climate stressors such as extreme rainfall, typhoons,
and droughts, along with their adverse effects, are influencing the resilience of the constructed
environment. The DPWH is actively working towards adapting to climate change; however,
various barriers and challenges impede effective adaptation efforts. Participants in the study
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strongly experience limitations in funding for constructing climate-resilient structures, upgrading
existing ones, and restoring or reconstructing damaged infrastructures. The lack of training
programs to enhance the technical expertise of professionals restricts their adaptive capacity to
climate impacts, hindering effective engineering decisions for climate change adaptation.
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