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at 13, 15, and 17 years only); (b) 20 years. Missing data for 4.0% for male participants,
serious suicidal ideation if they participants included in the study respectively.
reported serious ideation with no sample (N = 1618) were imputed
attempt; and (c) suicide attempt. using multiple imputation by chained Prevalence of Self-reported
equations.33 Imputation models Suicide-Related Outcomes at 13, 15,
MHPs (13, 15, 17, and 20 Years Old) included all modeled variables plus 17, and 20 Years Old
Information on symptoms related to key variables such as sex, maternal In the whole sample, prevalence of
5 MHPs were identified from depressive symptoms, parental passive suicidal ideation increased
validated and standardized self- socioeconomic status, family throughout adolescence (11.8%,
report questionnaires: depression, structure, family functioning, peer 18.3%, and 18.4% at 13, 15, and
anxiety, opposition and/or defiance, victimization, and childhood mental 17 years old, respectively). The
conduct issues, and attention-deficit health symptoms (ie, depression and/ prevalence of serious suicidal
and/or hyperactivity problems or anxiety, opposition, and ADHD). All ideation also increased throughout
(Supplemental Information). All models were estimated across 50 adolescence (3.3%, 3.9%, 5.8%, and
measures, which are described in imputed data sets, and the results 9.5% at 13, 15, 17, and 20 years old,
Table 1, were age appropriate and were pooled. respectively). However, the
showed satisfactory psychometric prevalence of suicide attempt was
In addition, to account for baseline
properties. Correlations among these ∼4% during this developmental
differences between participants
measures are reported in period (3.7%, 3.5%, 3.8%, and 3.5%
included (N = 1618) in analyses and
Supplemental Tables 4 through 6. at 13, 15, 17, and 20 years old,
those not included (n = 502), we
respectively; Fig 1). Although the
conducted analyses with inverse
Statistical Analyses prevalence of self-reported suicide-
probability weights. Weights
related outcomes was generally
First, we described the prevalence of represent participants’ probabilities
higher in female than in male
suicide-related outcomes (ie, passive of being included in the study sample
participants, the temporal trend was
ideation, serious ideation, and (N = 1618) conditional on variables
similar in male and female
attempt) from ages 13 to 20 years in related to differential attrition. These
participants.
the whole sample and separately for variables were as follows: male sex
males and females. Lifetime estimates (47.8% in the included sample versus
Univariable Associations Between
were also calculated. Second, 61.1% in the nonincluded sample; MHPs and Self-reported
multinomial logistic regressions were P , .001), family socioeconomic Suicide-Related Outcomes at Age
used to identify univariable status (M = 20.01 for included versus 13 Years
associations between each MHP and M = 20.29 for nonincluded; P ,
Results of all univariable analyses are
suicide-related outcomes across ages. .001), and hostile-reactive parenting
shown in Table 2. At age 13 years,
Third, multivariable analyses were practices (M = 1.84 for included
depressive symptoms constituted the
conducted by entering all MHPs in versus M = 2.16 for nonincluded;
MHP that was most strongly
a multinomial logistic regression P , .001).
associated with all suicide-related
model to estimate the independent
outcomes, with RRRs and 95%
contribution of each MHP to suicide-
RESULTS confidence intervals (for each SD
related outcomes across ages. All
increase on the continuous MHP
models were adjusted for sex. Lifetime Estimates of Self-reported indicators) for passive suicidal
Interactions between MHPs and sex Suicide-Related Outcomes ideation, serious suicidal ideation,
were tested, but none reached
Lifetime estimates for passive suicidal and suicide attempt of 2.57
statistical significance (P . .05). In
ideation (13–17 years old), serious (2.15–3.07), 2.99 (2.25–3.99), and
these regressions, associations were
suicidal ideation, and suicide attempt 2.93 (2.21–3.89), respectively. The
expressed as risk rate ratios (RRRs)
(both 13–20 years old) were 22.2%, association between suicide-related
with 95% confidence intervals,
9.8%, and 6.7%, respectively. outcomes and anxiety was
representing the increased risk of
Prevalence of all suicide-related statistically significant but weaker in
suicide-related outcomes for each SD
outcomes were almost twice as high magnitude, with RRRs of 1.58
increase on the continuous MHPs
for female as for male participants: (1.35–1.85) for passive suicidal
indicators.
prevalence for passive suicidal ideation, 1.65 (1.22–2.24) for serious
The maximum available sample size ideation, serious suicidal ideation, suicidal ideation, and 1.80
for each age was as follows: n = 1225 and suicide attempt were 28.4%, (1.33–2.43) for suicide attempt.
at 13 years, n = 1428 at 15 years, n = 11.5%, and 9.2% for female Among externalizing MHPs, RRRs
1228 at 17 years, and n = 1235 at participants and 15.4%, 8.0%, and were higher for suicide attempt than
passive and serious suicidal MHP that was most strongly from 1.58 (1.38–1.82) for the
ideation. Specifically, RRRs ranged associated with all suicide-related association of oppositional/defiant
from 1.66 (1.38–2.00 for ADHD outcomes, with RRRs for symptoms with passive suicidal
symptoms) to 1.80 (1.50–2.15 for passive suicidal ideation, ideation to 2.15 (1.58–2.93) for the
conduct problem symptoms) for serious suicidal ideation, and association of ADHD symptoms with
passive suicidal ideation and from suicide attempt of 3.10 suicide attempt.
1.85 (1.32–2.58 for oppositional/ (2.58–3.71), 4.68 (3.21–6.82),
defiant symptoms) to 2.02 (1.54–2.65 and 4.36 (3.00–6.33), respectively. Univariable Associations Between
for conduct problem symptoms) for Associations were significant MHPs and Self-reported
serious suicidal ideation; for suicide for anxiety symptoms, although Suicide-Related Outcomes at Age
attempt, RRRs ranged from 2.40 RRRs were smaller: 2.38 (2.01–2.81) 17 Years
(1.75–3.28 for ADHD symptoms) to for passive suicidal ideation, At age 17 years, depressive and
2.85 (2.24–3.63 for conduct 2.90 (2.05–4.10) for serious anxiety symptoms showed the
symptoms). suicidal ideation, and 3.16 strongest associations with all
(2.16–4.62) for suicide attempt. suicide-related outcomes. For
Univariable Association Between Associations between externalizing depressive symptoms, RRRs for
MHPs and Self-reported MHPs and suicide-related outcomes passive suicidal ideation, serious
Suicide-Related Outcomes at Age were smaller in magnitude and suicidal ideation, and suicide attempt
15 Years similar across suicide-related were 2.68 (2.21–3.25), 3.00
At age 15 years, depressive outcomes compared with those for (2.24–4.02), and 3.17 (2.19–4.58),
symptoms still constituted the internalizing MHPs. RRRs ranged respectively, whereas for anxiety
4 ORRI et al
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FIGURE 1
Prevalence of self-reported suicide-related outcomes at 13, 15, 17, and 20 years old in the overall sample and in female and male participants separately.
A, Passive ideation, sex combined. B, Serious ideation, sex combined. C, Attempt, sex combined. D, Passive ideation, female participants. E, Serious
ideation, female participants. F, Attempt, female participants. G, Passive ideation, male participants. H, Serious ideation, male participants. I, Attempt,
male participants. a Data were compiled from the final master file of the Qué bec Longitudinal Study of Child Development (1998–2018), Gouvernement du
Québec, and the Institut de la Statistique du Québec. Information on passive suicidal ideation was not available at 20 years old. Prevalence of suicide-
related outcomes was estimated on the basis of the imputed and weighted sample (N = 1618) and maximum available sample (N = 1225–1428).
symptoms, they were 2.28 Univariable Associations Between and 1.87 [1.56–2.25] for anxiety
(1.90–2.74), 2.43 (1.83–3.22), and MHPs and Self-reported symptoms; suicide attempt: 2.10
2.28 (1.53–3.40), respectively. For Suicide-Related Outcomes at Age [1.54–2.86] for depressive symptoms
externalizing MHPs, RRRs ranged 20 Years and 1.80 [1.35–2.39] for anxiety
from 1.49 (1.28–1.73) for the Consistent with what we found for symptoms). In terms of externalizing
association of conduct symptoms previous ages, strong associations MHPs, RRRs for serious suicidal
with passive suicidal ideation to 2.11 with suicidal ideation and suicide ideation ranged from 1.48
(1.57–2.84) for the association of attempt were found for internalizing (1.23–1.78) for ADHD symptoms to
ADHD symptoms with suicide MHPs (serious suicidal ideation: 2.42 1.52 (1.30–1.79) for conduct
attempt. [1.98–2.95] for depressive symptoms symptoms. In terms of suicide
attempt, RRRs ranged from 1.39 No independent significant prevalence of passive suicidal
(1.02–1.91) for ADHD symptoms to associations were observed at ideation was 22.2%, indicating that
1.58 (1.27–1.98) for conduct 17 years old for serious suicidal many adolescents think about suicide
symptoms. ideation and suicide attempt, without a serious desire to attempt
although conduct problems were suicide. Although direct comparisons
Multivariable Associations Between marginally significant for suicide of prevalence are hindered by
MHPs and Self-reported attempt. differences in the measurement of
Suicide-Related Outcomes From 13 to suicidal ideation, our estimate is in
20 Years line with meta-analytic data reporting
RRRs for the independent DISCUSSION lifetime prevalence of suicidal
associations of each MHP with Our results using a representative ideation of 29.9% in adolescents35
suicide-related outcomes are cohort of today’s adolescents from and 22.2% in college students.36 As
reported in Table 3. After mutually the Canadian province of Québec reported elsewhere,37–40 female
adjusting for all examined MHPs, provide information on prevalence participants were more likely than
internalizing problems (ie, depression and MHP correlates of suicide-related male participants to experience
at ages 13, 15, and 20 years and outcomes from early to late suicidal ideation or attempt suicide.
anxiety at ages 15 and 17 years) were adolescence. We estimated that 9.8% These sex differences in suicidal
independently associated with of adolescents experienced serious ideation and suicide attempt might be
passive and serious suicidal ideation, suicidal ideation and 6.7% attempted attributed to various factors, such as
whereas no independent significant suicide by 20 years of age. These mental health (eg, higher prevalence
associations were observed for any of estimates are consistent with the of depression in female participants)
the externalizing problems. For National Comorbidity Survey or social stigma (eg, greater stigma
suicide attempt, independent Replication Adolescent Supplement, around suicide in male than in female
associations were observed for both a large survey of 6483 US adolescents participants).41 Our study extends
internalizing problems (ie, depression aged 13 to 18 years in 2001 to 2004,4 previous knowledge by showing that
at 13 and 20 years old) and and the Ontario Child Health Study, sex differences are observed
externalizing problems (ie, conduct a cohort of 2396 adolescents aged 14 throughout adolescence, from ages 13
problems at 13, 15, and 20 years old). to 17 years in 2014.34 The lifetime to 20 years.
6 ORRI et al
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TABLE 3 Fully Adjusted RRRs and 95% Confidence Intervals for Cross-sectional Associations of Common MHPs and Self-reported Suicide-Related Outcomes
at 13, 15, 17, and 20 Years Old (N = 1618)
Passive Ideation Serious Ideation Attempt
13 y
Depressive 2.29 (1.88–2.80) 2.62 (1.87–3.66) 1.95 (1.38–2.75)
Anxiety 1.05 (0.86–1.27) 0.96 (0.66–1.39) 0.94 (0.62–1.41)
Conduct 1.15 (0.92–1.45) 1.25 (0.88–1.77) 1.87 (1.39–2.51)
Oppositional and/or defiant 1.21 (0.97–1.52) 1.16 (0.78–1.74) 1.42 (0.97–2.09)
ADHD 1.08 (0.85–1.37) 1.20 (0.79–1.81) 1.13 (0.74–1.74)
15 y
Depressive 1.37 (1.04–1.80) 1.94 (1.16–3.25) 1.47 (0.85–2.53)
Anxiety 1.43 (1.09–1.89) 1.07 (0.65–1.76) 1.04 (0.61–1.76)
Conduct 1.11 (0.88–1.40) 1.19 (0.82–1.71) 1.49 (1.10–2.01)
Oppositional and/or defiant 1.21 (0.95–1.55) 1.20 (0.75–1.92) 1.33 (0.85–2.08)
ADHD 0.85 (0.65–1.12) 0.84 (0.52–1.35) 0.96 (0.58–1.61)
17 y
Depressive 1.01 (0.74–1.38) 1.39 (0.81–2.38) 1.30 (0.74–2.26)
Anxiety 1.58 (1.17–2.13) 1.26 (0.72–2.22) 1.00 (0.59–1.69)
Conduct 0.91 (0.70–1.18) 1.25 (0.78–2.02) 1.42 (0.98–2.06)
Oppositional and/or defiant 1.24 (0.96–1.61) 0.67 (0.39–1.15) 1.23 (0.78–1.92)
ADHD 1.16 (0.89–1.52) 1.11 (0.68–1.83) 1.18 (0.71–1.94)
20 y
Depressive 1.43 (1.12–1.82) 1.72 (1.13–2.62) 1.65 (1.06–2.56)
Anxiety 1.02 (0.80–1.31) 0.91 (0.56–1.48) 0.98 (0.63–1.52)
Conduct 1.03 (0.86–1.24) 1.18 (0.88–1.58) 1.31 (1.04–1.65)
Oppositional and/or defiant NA NA NA
ADHD 1.21 (0.99–1.47) 1.16 (0.8–1.68) 0.89 (0.58–1.37)
Data were compiled from the final master file of the Qué bec Longitudinal Study of Child Development (1998–2018), Gouvernement du Québec, and Institut de la Statistique du Québec. RRRs
and 95% confidence intervals are based on weighted and imputed data and are adjusted for sex and all MHPs. NA, information on passive suicidal ideation was not available at 20 y old.
To our knowledge, this is the first associations increasing in strength associated with increased risk of
epidemiological study with repeated with the severity of the suicide- passive suicidal ideation.
assessments of suicide-related related outcomes. However, in
outcomes over 7 years in today’s multivariable analyses adjusting In univariable analyses, externalizing
generation of youth. The few for all MHPs simultaneously, problems (eg, conduct, opposition
longitudinal studies that are based on depressive symptoms were and/or defiance, and attentional and/
past generations of youth reported most consistently associated or hyperactivity symptoms) were
that suicidal ideation and suicide with passive and serious associated with passive suicidal
attempt peak in midadolescence and suicidal ideation. Although ideation, serious suicidal ideation,
decrease in late adolescence or early having a major depressive and suicide attempt at all 4 time
adulthood.5–8,42 Here, the 12-month episode is a well-known risk factor points, with stronger associations
prevalence of suicide attempt was of suicidal ideation and suicide seen in younger adolescents. In
relatively stable across adolescence attempt,1,43 our study adds to the multivariable analyses, none of the
(from 13 to 20 years old). general body of knowledge by externalizing problems were
Furthermore, we noticed a 40% showing associations with suicide- significantly associated with passive
increase in the 12-month prevalence related outcomes across the full or serious suicidal ideation. However,
of serious suicidal ideation in late spectrum of depressive symptoms. externalizing problems remained
adolescence (17–20 years old). This suggests that youth who present associated with suicide attempt in
Future studies are needed to confirm with depressive symptoms (and not these multivariable analyses. This
our results and better understand solely those who are clinically indicates that the most consistent
reasons for such increases in rates of depressed) may be more likely to predictor of suicide attempt across
serious suicidal ideation in late experience suicidal ideation or development was conduct problems
adolescence. attempt suicide. Contrary to the even after depressive symptoms were
hypothesis that passive suicidal taken into account. This finding is
Our univariable findings also ideation might not be reflective of consistent with previous longitudinal
demonstrate that all MHPs were psychopathology given its high studies suggesting that both
associated with the outcome prevalence,35,36 we found that anxiety internalizing and externalizing
variables, with the magnitude of and depressive symptoms were problems independently predict
Drs Orri and Geoffroy conceptualized and designed the study, conducted the analyses, drafted the initial manuscript, reviewed and revised the manuscript, had full
access to the data used in this study, and take responsibility for the integrity and accuracy of the data analysis; Ms Perret, Ms Scardera, Ms Bolanis, and Dr
Temcheff participated in the analysis and interpretation of data, drafted the initial manuscript, and reviewed and revised the manuscript for important intellectual
content; Drs Boivin, Tremblay, Côté, Séguin, and Turecki designed the data collection instruments, obtained funding, coordinated and supervised data collection,
contributed to data analysis and interpretation, and reviewed and revised the manuscript for important intellectual content; and all authors approved the final
manuscript as submitted and agree to be accountable for all aspects of the work.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2019-3823
8 ORRI et al
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Accepted for publication Apr 6, 2020
Address correspondence to Marie-Claude Geoffroy, PhD, Department of Educational and Counselling Psychology, McGill University, 3700 McTavish St, Montreal, QC,
Canada H3A 1Y2. E-mail: marie-claude.geoffroy@mcgill.ca
PEDIATRICS (ISSN Numbers: Print, 0031-4005; Online, 1098-4275).
Copyright © 2020 by the American Academy of Pediatrics
FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE: The authors have indicated they have no financial relationships relevant to this article to disclose.
FUNDING: Dr Orri is funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Program (grant 793396). Ms Perret has a doctoral award from the Fonds
de Recherche du Québec–Santé. Dr Geoffroy holds a Canada Research Chair (tier 2) and a Young Investigator Award from the American Foundation for Suicide
Prevention and is supported by the Fonds de Recherche du Québec–Santé through the Quebec Network on Suicide, Mood Disorders, and Related Disorders. Dr
Boivin holds a Canada Research Chair (tier 1) and is supported by the Fonds de Recherche du Québec–Santé through the Quebec Network on Suicide, Mood
Disorders, and Related Disorders. Dr Turecki holds a Canada Research Chair (tier 1) and a Brain and Behavior Research Foundation (formerly NARSAD)
Distinguished Investigator Grant and is supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (grants FDN148374 and EGM141899) and the Fonds de Recherche
du Québec–Santé through the Quebec Network on Suicide, Mood Disorders, and Related Disorders. Dr Séguin is supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health
Research (grants PJT-148551), a Canadian Institutes of Health Research–Canadian Centre on Substance Use and Addiction Catalyst Grant, and the Fonds Monique-
Gaumond pour la Recherche en Maladies Affectives. Dr Tremblay is funded by the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada.
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST: The authors have indicated they have no potential conflicts of interest to disclose.
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