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Chinese economic reform

The Chinese economic reform or Chinese economic


Chinese economic reform
miracle,[1][2] also known domestically as Reform and
Opening-up (Chinese: 改 革 开 放 ; pinyin: Gǎigé kāifàng), Simplified Chinese 改革开放
refers to a variety of economic reforms termed "socialism with
Chinese characteristics" and "socialist market economy" in the
Traditional Chinese 改革開放
People's Republic of China (PRC) that began in the late 20th Literal meaning "Reform and
century. Guided by Deng Xiaoping, who is often credited as the Opening-Up"
"General Architect", the reforms were launched by reformists Transcriptions [show]
within the ruling Chinese Communist Party (CCP) on
Standard Mandarin
December 18, 1978, during the "Boluan Fanzheng"
Hanyu Pinyin Gǎigé kāifàng
period.[3][4][5][6]
Wade–Giles Kai3-ko2 k'ai1-fang4

Overview IPA [kàɪkɤ̌ kʰáɪfâŋ]


Yue: Cantonese
The reforms briefly went into stagnation after the 1989 Yale Góigaak hōifong
Tiananmen Square protests and massacre, but were revived Romanization
after Deng Xiaoping's southern tour in 1992. The reforms led
to significant economic growth for China within the successive Jyutping Goi2-gaak3 hoi1-
decades; in 2010, China overtook Japan as the world's second- fong3
largest economy by nominal GDP[7][8] and in the 2010s IPA [kɔːi˧˥kaːk̚˧ hɔːi˥fɔːŋ˧]
became the world's largest economy by GDP (PPP).[9]

The CCP carried out the market reforms in two stages. The first stage, in the late 1970s and early
1980s, involved the de-collectivization of agriculture, the opening up of the country to foreign
investment, and permission for entrepreneurs to start businesses. However, a large percentage of
industries remained state-owned. The second stage of reform, in the late 1980s and 1990s,
involved the privatization and contracting out of much state-owned industry. The 1985 lifting of
price controls[10] was a major reform, and the lifting of protectionist policies and regulations soon
followed, although state monopolies in the commanding heights of the economy such as banking
and petroleum remained.

In 2001, China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO). Not long after, the private sector grew
remarkably, accounting for as much as 70 percent of China's gross domestic product (GDP) by
2005.[11] From 1978 until 2013, unprecedented growth occurred, with the economy increasing by
9.5% a year. Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao's administration took a more conservative approach
towards reforms, regulated and controlled the economy more heavily after 2005, reversing some
reforms.[12] On the other hand, a parallel set of political reforms were launched by Deng in 1980,
which also inspired the then Soviet Union's Glasnost and Perestroika, but eventually ended in 1989
due to the crackdown on Tiananmen Square protests, halting further political liberalization.

Course of the reforms

Origin
Before Deng Xiaoping's reforms, China's economy suffered due to centrally planned policies, such
as the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution, resulting in stagnation, inefficiency, and
poverty.[13] Prior to the reforms, the Chinese economy was dominated by state ownership and
central planning. From 1950 to 1973, Chinese real GDP per capita grew at a rate of 2.9% per year
on average, albeit with major fluctuations.[14] This placed it near the middle of the Asian nations
during the same period,[15] with neighboring countries such as Japan, South Korea, Singapore and
then rival Chiang Kai-shek's Republic of China (ROC) outstripping mainland China's rate of
growth.[16] Starting in 1970, the economy entered into a period of stagnation,[17] and after the
death of Mao Zedong, the CCP leadership decided to abandon Maoism and turn to market-oriented
reforms to salvage the stagnant economy.[18] In September 1976, Mao Zedong died, and in
October, Hua Guofeng together with Ye Jianying and Wang Dongxing arrested the Gang of Four,
putting an end to the Cultural Revolution. Hua's break with Cultural Revolution era economic
policies were consistent with the 1975 reform agenda of Deng Xiaoping.[19] Hua made national
economic development a matter of the highest priority and emphasized the need to achieve
"liberation of productive forces."[19] He "combined Soviet-style big push industrialization with an
opening up to the capitalist world" and under his leadership, China opened its first Special
Economic Zone and launched major efforts to attract foreign direct investment.[19]

Economic reforms began in earnest during the "Boluan Fanzheng" period, especially after Deng
and his reformist allies rose to power with Deng replacing Hua Guofeng as the paramount leader in
December 1978. By the time Deng took power, there was widespread support among the elite for
economic reforms.[20] From 1978 to 1992, Deng described reform and opening up as a "large scale
experiment" requiring thorough "experimentation in practice" instead of textbook
knowledge.[21]: 65 As the de facto leader, Deng's policies faced opposition from party conservatives
but were extremely successful in increasing the country's wealth.

Major reforms (including rural decollectivization, SOE reform, and rural health care reform)
almost always began first as decentralized local experiments subject to intervention from high level
Communist Party officials before they were more widely adopted.[22]: 6

1979–1984

In 1979, Deng Xiaoping emphasized the goal of "Four


Modernizations" and further proposed the idea of
"xiaokang", or "moderately prosperous society".[23][24][25]
The achievements of Lee Kuan Yew to create an economic
success in Singapore had a profound effect on the CCP
leadership in China. Leaders in China made a major effort,
especially under Deng Xiaoping, to emulate his policies of
economic growth, entrepreneurship, and subtle
suppression of dissent. Over the years, more than 22,000
Chinese officials were sent to Singapore to study its The image of Deng Xiaoping in
methods.[26] Shenzhen, Guangdong, one of the first
special economic zones approved by
Generally, reforms in this period started with local Deng in 1979.
experiments that were adopted and expanded elsewhere
once their success had been demonstrated.[27]: 127 Officials
generally faced few penalties for experimenting and failing and those who developed successful
programs received nation-wide praise and recognition.[27]: 127 The bottom-up approach of the
reforms promoted by Deng, in contrast to the top-down approach of the Perestroika in the Soviet
Union, is considered an important factor contributing to the success of China's economic
transition.[28]
The first reforms began in agriculture. By the late 1970s, food supplies and production had become
so deficient that government officials were warning that China was about to repeat the "disaster of
1959", the famines which killed tens of millions during the Great Leap Forward.[29] Deng
responded by decollectivizing agriculture and emphasizing the household-responsibility system,
which divided the land of the People's communes into private plots. Under the new policy,
peasants were able to exercise formal control of their land as long as they sold a contracted portion
of their crops to the government.[30] This move increased agricultural production by 25 percent
between 1975 and 1985, setting a precedent for privatizing other parts of the economy.[30]

Reforms were also implemented in urban industry to increase productivity. A dual-price system
was introduced, in which (State-owned enterprise reform 1979) state-owned industries were
allowed to sell any production above the plan quota, and commodities were sold at both plan and
market prices, allowing citizens to avoid the shortages of the Maoist era. Moreover, the adoption of
Industrial Responsibility System 1980s further promote the development of state-owned
enterprise by allowing individuals or groups to manage the enterprise by contract. Private
businesses were allowed to operate for the first time since the CCP takeover, and they gradually
began to make up a greater percentage of industrial output.[31] Price flexibility was also increased,
expanding the service sector.[32]

At the same time, in December 1978, Deng announced a new policy, the Open Door Policy, to open
the door to foreign businesses that wanted to set up in China.[33][34] For the first time since the
Kuomintang era, the country was opened to foreign investment. Deng created a series of Special
Economic Zones, including Shenzhen, Zhuhai and Xiamen, for foreign investment that were
relatively free of the bureaucratic regulations and interventions that hampered economic growth.
These regions became engines of growth for the national economy.[32] On January 31, 1979, the
Shekou Industrial Zone of Shenzhen was founded, becoming the first experimental area in China to
"open up".[35][36]

In July 1979, China adopted its first Law on Joint Venture Using Chinese and Foreign
Investment.[37] This law was effective in helping to attract and absorb foreign technology and
capital from advanced countries like the United States, facilitated China's exports to such
countries, and thereby contributed to China's subsequent rapid economic growth.[37]

Under the leadership of Yuan Geng, the "Shekou model" of development was gradually formed,
embodied in its famous slogan Time is Money, Efficiency is Life, which then widely spread to other
parts of China.[35][38] In January 1984, Deng Xiaoping made his first inspection tour to Shenzhen
and Zhuhai, praising the "Shenzhen speed" of development as well as the success of the special
economics zones.[39][40]

Besides Deng Xiaoping himself, important high-ranking


reformists who helped carry out the reforms include Hu Yaobang,
then General Secretary of Chinese Communist Party, and Zhao
Ziyang, then Premier of the People's Republic of China.[41][42]
Other leaders who favored Deng's reforms include Xi Zhongxun
(the father of Xi Jinping), Wan Li, Hu Qili and others.[43][44][45]
Another influential leader was Chen Yun, regarded by some as the
second most powerful person in China after Deng with more Hu Yaobang, then General
conservative ideology of the reforms.[46][47][48] Though Deng Secretary of CCP, played an
Xiaoping is credited as the architect of modern China's economic important role in implementing
reforms, Chen was more directly involved in the details of its the reforms together with Zhao
planning and construction, and led a force that opposed many of Ziyang, then Premier of China.
the reforms from Deng's side.[47][49] The two sides struggled over
the general direction of the reforms until Chen died in
1995.[47][48][49] A key feature of Chen's ideas was to use the market to allocate resources, within
the scope of an overall plan. Some reforms of the early 1980s were, in effect, the implementation of
a program that Chen had outlined in the mid-1950s. Chen called this the "birdcage economy (鸟笼
经济/鳥籠經濟)".[50][51] According to Chen, "the cage is the plan, and it may be large or small. But
within the cage the bird [the economy] is free to fly as he wishes."[47][51] Chen and some other
conservative leaders including Li Xiannian never visited Shenzhen, the leading special economic
zone championed by Deng.[51]

1984–1993

In October 1984, the Party adopted its Decision on the


Reform of the Economic System, marking a major shift in
the thinking of Chinese policymakers with regard to market
mechanisms.[56]: 39–40 The Decision acknowledged that a
planned economy was not the only way to develop
socialism and that prior policies restricting the commodity
economy had hindered socialist development.[56]: 40 After
the Decision, reform focused on building a socialist
planned commodity economy with Chinese
characteristics.[56]: 40 Shenzhen, one of the first special
economic zones of China and the
Controls on private businesses and government
"Silicon Valley of China".[52][53][54][55]
intervention continued to decrease, notably in the agrifood
Notable high-tech companies such as
sector which saw relaxation of price controls in 1985[10]
Huawei, ZTE and Konka were all
and the establishment of the household responsibility founded in Shenzhen in the 1980s.
system, and there was small-scale privatization of state
enterprises which had become unviable. A notable
development was the decentralization of state control, leaving local provincial leaders to
experiment with ways to increase economic growth and privatize the state sector.[57] Township and
village enterprises, firms nominally owned by local governments but effectively private, began to
gain market share at the expense of the state sector.[58] With the help of Yuan Geng, the first joint-
stock commercial bank in China, the China Merchants Bank, and the first joint-stock insurance
company in China, the Ping An Insurance, were both established in Shekou. In May 1984, fourteen
coastal cities in China including Shanghai, Guangzhou and Tianjin were named "Open Coastal
Cities (沿海开放城市)".[59][60]

A significant economic debate during this period concerned the approach to price liberalization
and whether China should adopt an approach consistent with shock therapy -- sudden price
liberalization – or a more gradual approach.[61] But in 1986, the latter approach won out.[61]
"Confronted with the diverse, authoritative warnings about the unforeseeable risks of imposing the
shock of price reform and the uncertainty about its benefits," Premier Zhao Ziyang and the
leadership ultimately rejected shock price reform.[61] Zhao had accepted the argument that the
basic concern in economic reform was energizing enterprises.[61] By late summer, what started
under the rubric of "coordinated comprehensive package reform" had been diluted to an
adjustment in the price of steel (although its price was both important had carried symbolic
weight) as well as partial tax and financial reform.[61] Radical price reform again became a focus in
1988, and this time led to spiraling inflation (the first time it had done so since the 1940s) as well
as a backlash that included local protests, bank runs, and panic buying.[62] The Chinese leadership
halted these price liberalization plans in fall 1988 and instead focused on austerity, price reform,
and retrenchment.[62]

Corruption and increased inflation increased discontent, contributing to the 1989 Tiananmen
Square protests and massacre and a conservative backlash after that event which ousted several
key reformers and threatened to reverse many of Deng's reforms.[63] The events of 1988 and 1989
led to the imprisonment or exile of many reformist officials.[62]
However, Deng stood by his reforms and in 1992, he affirmed the
need to continue reforms in his southern tour.[64] Thanks to his
encouragement, in November 1990 the Shanghai Stock Exchange
was reopened after being closed by Mao 40 years earlier, while the
Shenzhen Stock Exchange was also founded in December
1990.[65][66]

In contrast to the approach of Deng, conservative elders led by


Chen Yun called to strike a balance between too much laissez-faire
market economy and retaining state control over key areas of the
The slogan "Time is Money, economy. Chen Yun helped preserve the economy by preventing
Efficiency is Life" from Shekou, policies that would have damaged the interests of special interest
Shenzhen, representing the groups in the government bureaucracy.[64]
"Shenzhen speed".
Although the economy grew quickly during this period, economic
troubles in the inefficient state sector increased. Heavy losses had
to be made up by state revenues and acted as a drain upon the economy.[67] Inflation became
problematic in 1985, 1988 and 1992.[63] Privatizations began to accelerate after 1992, and the
private sector grew as a percentage of GDP. China's government slowly expanded recognition of the
private economy, first as a "complement" to the state sector (1988) and then as an "important
component" (1999) of the socialist market economy.[68]

1993–2005

In the 1990s, Deng allowed many radical reforms to be


carried out. In 1993, the National People's Congress
adopted the landmark Corporation Law.[69] It provides that
in state owned enterprises, the state is no more than an
investor and controller of stock and assets.[69] Pursuant to
the Corporation Law, private and foreign investment in
such enterprises must be below 49%.[69] The law also
permitted state firms to declare bankruptcy in the event of
business failure.[69] The Lujiazui financial district of Pudong,
Shanghai, the financial and commercial
In the beginning, Chen supported Deng, carried out and hub of modern China
implemented many of the influential reforms that made a
generation of Chinese richer. But later, Chen realized that
the state still needed an active iron hand involvement in the
market to prevent the private sector from becoming untamable.
Chen's criticism of Deng's later economic reforms was widely
influential within the CCP and was reflected in the policies of
China's leaders after Deng. Chen's theories supported the
efforts of Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao to use state power to
provide boundaries for the operation of the market, and to
mediate the damage that capitalism can do to those who find it
difficult to benefit from the free market. Chen's notion of the A market in Kashgar in 1992 with
CPC as a "ruling party" was central to the redefinition of the slogans of "Insist reform and
role of the Party in Jiang Zemin's Three Represents. In 2005, opening-up", an alternative
on the occasion of the hundredth anniversary of Chen's birth, rendering of insisting Chinese
the Party press published, over the course of several weeks, the economic reform which was well
proceedings of a symposium discussing Chen's contributions to underway at the time.
CCP history, theory and practice.[64]
Although Deng died in 1997, reforms continued under his handpicked successors, Jiang Zemin and
Zhu Rongji, who were ardent reformers who also abided by Chen Yun advice to keep the reforms
steady and keep the state still in charge of key areas. In 1997 and 1998, large-scale privatization
occurred, in which all state enterprises, except a few large monopolies, were liquidated and their
assets sold to private investors. Between 2001 and 2004, the number of state-owned enterprises
decreased by 48 percent.[58] During the same period, Jiang and Zhu also reduced tariffs, trade
barriers, and regulations; reformed the banking system; dismantled much of the Mao-era social
welfare system; forced the Chinese army (PLA) to divest itself of military-run businesses;[70]
reduced inflation; and joined the World Trade Organization. These moves invoked discontent
among some groups, especially laid-off workers of state enterprises that had been privatized.[71]

The domestic private sector first exceeded 50% of GDP in 2005 and has further expanded since.
Also in 2005, China was able to surpass Japan as the largest economy in Asia by purchasing power
parity (PPP) values.[72] However, some state monopolies still remained, such as in petroleum and
banking.[73]

2005–2012

CCP general secretary Hu Jintao and premier Wen Jiabao took a more conservative approach
towards reforms, and began to reverse some of Deng Xiaoping's reforms in 2005. Observers note
that the government adopted more egalitarian and populist policies.[74] It increased subsidies and
control over the health care sector,[75] increased funding for education, halted privatization,[12] and
adopted a loose monetary policy, which led to the formation of a U.S.-style property bubble in
which property prices tripled.[76] The privileged state sector was the primary recipient of
government investment, which, under the new administration, promoted the rise of large "national
champions" which could compete with large foreign corporations.[12] Nevertheless, the share of
SOEs in the total number of companies have continued to fall, dropping to 5%, though their share
of total output remained at 26%. Exchange rates for the yuan were also liberalized and the peg to
the U.S. dollar was broken, leading the yuan to rise by 31% against the dollar from 2005 to
2012.[77] China's economic growth has averaged around 10% under Hu, while the economy
surpassed the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Japan.[78][77]

2012–2020

Under CCP general secretary Xi Jinping and his administration, the CCP has sought numerous
reforms, with the Third Plenum of the 18th Central Committee announcing that "market forces"
would begin to play a "decisive" role in allocating resources.[79] Xi launched the Shanghai Free-
Trade Zone in August 2013, seen as part of the reforms.[80] He has additionally voiced support for
SOEs,[81][82] and under him, at least 288 firms have revised their corporate charters by 2017 to
allow the CCP greater influence in corporate management, and to reflect the party line.[83] This
trend also includes Hong Kong listed firms, who have traditionally downplayed their party links,
but are now "redrafting bylaws to formally establish party committees that previously existed only
at the group level."[84] In other dimensions, according to Ray Dalio, the Xi era has also been
marked by economic opening, greater market-oriented decision-making and discontinuation of
support for poorly managed state-owned enterprises.[85]

Xi has increased the power of CCP bodies in economic decision-making, decreasing the influence of
the State Council and the premier.[86] His administration made it easier for banks to issue
mortgages, increased foreign participation in the bond market, and increased the national currency
renminbi's global role, helping it to join IMF's basket of special drawing right.[87] His
administration has also pursued a debt-deleveraging campaign, seeking to slow and cut the
unsustainable amount of debt China has accrued during its economic growth.[88]
Xi's administration has also reoriented the economy to increase self-reliance, and accordingly
launched two campaigns; Made in China 2025 and China Standards 2035, which have sought to
scale up and displace US dominance in various high-tech sectors,[85] though publicly China de-
emphasized these plan due to the outbreak of a trade war with the U.S in 2018.[89] This is
alongside more aggressive pursuit of trade policies, in line with an outlook that sees China move
towards taking a more active role in writing the rules of trade.

Some analysts have also added that the reform era has been scaled down significantly during the
leadership of Xi when the reformists lost power,[90][91][92] citing that Xi has reasserted state
control over different aspects of Chinese society,[93] including the economy.[14][94][95]

2020–present

Xi has circulated a policy called "dual circulation", meaning reorienting the economy towards
domestic consumption while remaining open to foreign trade and investment.[96] Since 2021, his
administration has formulated the "three red lines" policy that aimed to deleverage the heavily
indebted property sector.[97]

In September 2020, the CCP announced that it would strengthen United Front work in the private
sector by establishing more party committees in the regional federations of industry and commerce
(FIC), and by arranging a special liaison between FIC and the CCP.[98]

Since 2021, Xi has promoted the term "common prosperity", a term which he defined as an
"essential requirement of socialism", described as affluence for all and said entailed reasonable
adjustments to excess incomes.[99][100] Common prosperity has been used as the justification for
large-scale crackdowns and regulations towards the perceived "excesses" of several sectors, most
prominently tech and tutoring industries.[101]

Effects of the reforms

Economic performance

The success of China's economic policies and the manner of


their implementation resulted in immense changes in
Chinese society in the last 40 years, including greatly
decreased poverty while both average incomes and income
inequality have increased, leading to a backlash led by the
more ideologically pure New Left. Scholars have debated
the reason for the success of the Chinese "dual-track"
China's nominal GDP trend from 1952 to
economy, and have compared it to attempts to reform
2015. Note the rapid increase since socialism in the Eastern Bloc and the Soviet Union; as well
reform in the late 1970s. as to the growth of other developing economies.
Additionally, these series of reforms have led to China's rise
as a great power and a shift of international geopolitical
interests towards China, especially in matters relating to the ambiguous political status of Taiwan.
Some analysts have also added that the reform era has been scaled down significantly during the
leadership of current CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping when the reformists lost power,[90][91][92]
citing that Xi has reasserted state control over different aspects of Chinese society,[93] including the
economy.[14][94][95]
After three decades of reform, China's economy experienced one of the world's biggest booms.
Agriculture and light industry have largely been privatized, while the state still retains control over
some heavy industries. Despite the dominance of state ownership in finance, telecommunications,
petroleum and other important sectors of the economy, private entrepreneurs continue to expand
into sectors formerly reserved for public enterprise. Prices have also been liberalized.[102]

China's economic growth since the reform has been very rapid, exceeding the East Asian Tigers.
Since the beginning of Deng Xiaoping's reforms, China's GDP has risen tenfold.[103] The increase
in total factor productivity (TFP) was the most important factor, with productivity accounting for
40.1% of the GDP increase, compared with a decline of 13.2% for the period 1957 to 1978—the
height of Maoist policies. For the period 1978–2005, Chinese GDP per capita increased from 2.7%
to 15.7% of U.S. GDP per capita, and from 53.7% to 188.5% of Indian GDP per capita. Per capita
incomes grew at 6.6% a year.[104] Average wages rose sixfold between 1978 and 2005,[105] while
absolute poverty declined from 41% of the population to 5% from 1978 to 2001.[106] Some scholars
believed that China's economic growth has been understated, due to large sectors of the economy
not being counted.[107]

Impact on world growth

China is widely seen as an engine of world and regional growth.[108] Surges in Chinese demand
account for 50, 44 and 66 percent of export growth of the Hong Kong SAR of China, Japan and
Taiwan respectively, and China's trade deficit with the rest of East Asia helped to revive the
economies of Japan and Southeast Asia.[108] Asian leaders view China's economic growth as an
"engine of growth for all Asia".[109]

Effect on inequality

Although the economic reforms has caused


significant economic growth in China, it has
also caused increased inequality, resulting in
backlash and an attempt at pushing back the
reforms by the Chinese New Left faction.
Despite rapid economic growth which has
virtually eliminated poverty in urban China
and reduced it greatly in rural regions and
the fact that living standards for everyone in Gini-coefficient of national income distribution around the
China have drastically increased in world (dark green: <0.25, red: >0.60)
comparison to the pre-reform era, the Gini
coefficient of China is estimated to be above
0.45, comparable to some Latin American countries such as Argentina and Mexico as well as the
United States.[110]

Increased inequality is attributed to the gradual withdrawal of the welfare state system in China
and differences between coastal and interior provinces, the latter being burdened by a larger state
sector.[111] Some Western scholars have suggested that reviving the welfare state and instituting a
re-distributive income tax system is needed to relieve inequality,[112] while some Chinese
economists have suggested that privatizing state monopolies and distributing the proceeds to the
population can reduce inequality.[113]

Reforms in specific sectors

Agriculture

During the pre-reform period, Chinese agricultural


performance was extremely poor and food shortages
were common.[114] After Deng Xiaoping
implemented the household responsibility system,
agricultural output increased by 8.2% a year,
compared with 2.7% in the pre-reform period,
despite a decrease in the area of land used.[114] Food
prices fell nearly 50%, while agricultural incomes
rose.[115]
Production of wheat from 1961 to 2004. Data
Zhao Ziyang wrote in his memoirs that in the years
from FAO, year 2005. Y-axis: Production in metric
ton. following the household contracting system, "the
energy that was unleashed … was magical, beyond
what anyone could have imagined. A problem
thought to be unsolvable had worked itself out in just a few years time … [B]y 1984, farmers
actually had more grain than they could sell. The state grain storehouses were stacked full from the
annual procurement program."[116]

A fundamental transformation was the economy's growing adoption of cash crops instead of just
growing rice and grain.[115] Vegetable and meat production increased to the point that Chinese
agricultural production was adding the equivalent of California's vegetable industry every two
years. Growth in the sector slowed after 1984, with agriculture falling from 40% of GDP to 16%;
however, increases in agricultural productivity allowed workers to be released for work in industry
and services, while simultaneously increasing agricultural production.[117] Trade in agriculture was
also liberalized and China became an exporter of food, a great contrast to its previous famines and
shortages.[118]

Industry

In the pre-reform period, industry was largely stagnant and the socialist system presented few
incentives for improvements in quality and productivity. With the introduction of the dual-price
system and greater autonomy for enterprise managers, productivity increased greatly in the early
1980s.[119] Foreign enterprises and newly formed Township and Village Enterprises, owned by
local government and often de facto private firms, competed successfully with state-owned
enterprises. By the 1990s, large-scale privatizations reduced the market share of both the
Township and Village Enterprises and state-owned enterprises and increased the private sector's
market share. The state sector's share of industrial output dropped from 81% in 1980 to 15% in
2005.[120] Foreign capital controls much of Chinese industry and plays an important role.[58]

From virtually an industrial backwater in 1978, China is now the world's biggest producer of
concrete, steel, ships and textiles, and has the world's largest automobile market. Chinese steel
output quadrupled between 1980 and 2000, and from 2000 to 2006 rose from 128.5 million tons
to 418.8 million tons, one-third of global production.[121] Labor productivity at some Chinese steel
firms exceeds Western productivity.[121] From 1975 to 1992, China's automobile production rose
from 139,800 to 1.1 million, rising to 9.35 million in 2008.[122] Light industries such as textiles saw
an even greater increase, due to reduced government interference. Chinese textile exports
increased from 4.6% of world exports in 1980 to 24.1% in 2005. Textile output increased 18-fold
over the same period.[123]

This increase in production is largely the result of the removal of barriers to entry and increased
competition; the number of industrial firms rose from 377,300 in 1980 to nearly 8 million in 1990
and 1996; the 2004 economic census, which excluded enterprises with annual sales below RMB
5 million, counted 1.33 million manufacturing firms, with Jiangsu and Zhejiang reporting more
firms than the nationwide total for 1980.[124] Compared to other East Asian industrial growth
spurts, China's industrial performance exceeded Japan's but remained behind South Korea and
Taiwan's economies.[125]

Trade and foreign investment

Some scholars assert that China has maintained a


high degree of openness that is unusual among the
other large and populous nations, with competition
from foreign goods in almost every sector of the
economy. Foreign investment helped to greatly
increase quality, knowledge and standards,
especially in heavy industry. China's experience
supports the assertion that globalization greatly Global distribution of Chinese exports in 2006 as
a percentage of the top market
increases wealth for poor countries.[124] Throughout
the reform period, the government reduced tariffs
and other trade barriers, with the overall tariff rate
falling from 56% to 15%. By 2001, less than 40% of imports were subject to tariffs and only 9
percent of import were subject to licensing and import quotas. Even during the early reform era,
protectionist policies were often circumvented by smuggling.[126] When China joined the WTO, it
agreed to considerably harsher conditions than other developing countries.[127] Trade has
increased from under 10% of GDP to 64% of GDP over the same period.[128] China is considered
the most open large country; by 2005, China's average statutory tariff on industrial products was
8.9%. The average was 30.9% for Argentina, 27.0% for Brazil, 32.4% for India, and 36.9% for
Indonesia.[129]

China's trade surplus is considered by some in the United States as threatening American jobs. In
the 2000s, the Bush administration pursued protectionist policies such as tariffs and quotas to
limit the import of Chinese goods. Some scholars argue that China's growing trade surplus is the
result of industries in more developed Asian countries moving to China, and not a new
phenomenon.[109] China's trade policy, which allows producers to avoid paying the Value Added
Tax (VAT) for exports and undervaluation of the currency since 2002, has resulted in an
overdeveloped export sector and distortion of the economy overall, a result that could hamper
future growth.[130]
Foreign investment was also liberalized upon Deng's ascension. Special Economic Zones (SEZs)
were created in the early 1980s to attract foreign capital by exempting them from taxes and
regulations. This experiment was successful and SEZs were expanded to cover the whole Chinese
coast. Although FDI fell briefly after the 1989 student protests, it increased again to 160 billion by
2004.[131]

Services

In the 1990s, the financial sector was liberalized.[132] After


China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO), the service
sector was considerably liberalized and foreign investment was
allowed; restrictions on retail, wholesale and distribution
ended.[133] Banking, financial services, insurance and
telecommunications were also opened up to foreign
investment.[134]

China's banking sector is dominated by four large state-owned Shanghai Stock Exchange
banks, which are largely inefficient and monopolistic.[135]
China's largest bank, ICBC, is the largest bank in the world. The
financial sector is widely seen as a drag on the economy due to
the inefficient state management.[136] Non-performing loans,
mostly made to local governments and unprofitable state-
owned enterprises for political purposes,[137] especially the
political goal of keeping unemployment low, are a big drain on
the financial system and economy, reaching over 22% of GDP
by 2000, with a drop to 6.3% by 2006 due to government
recapitalization of these banks. In 2006, the total amount of
non-performing loans was estimated at $160 billion.[138]
Observers recommend privatization of the banking system to
solve this problem, a move that was partially carried out when
the four banks were floated on the stock market.[139] China's
financial markets, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen
Stock Exchange, are relatively ineffective at raising capital, as
they comprise only 11% of GDP.[140]
Shenzhen Stock Exchange
Due to the weakness of the banks, firms raise most of their
capital through an informal, nonstandard financial sector
developed during the 1980s and 1990s, consisting largely of underground businesses and private
banks.[141] Internal finance is the most important method successful firms use to fund their
activities.[141]

By the 1980s much emphasis was placed on the role of advertising in meeting the modernization
goals being promoted by Deng. Lip service was still paid to old Maoist ideals of egalitarianism, but
it did not inhibit the growth of consumerism.[142]

Government finances

In the pre-reform era, government was funded by profits from state-owned enterprises, much like
the Soviet Union.[143] As the state sector fell in importance and profitability, government revenues,
especially that of the central government in Beijing, fell substantially and the government relied on
a confused system of inventory taxes. Government revenues fell from 35% of GDP to 11% of GDP in
the mid-1990s, excluding revenue from state-owned enterprises, with the central government's
budget at just 3% of GDP.[144] The tax system was reformed in 1994 when inventory taxes were
unified into a single VAT of 17% on all manufacturing, repair, and assembly activities and an excise
tax on 11 items, with the VAT becoming the main income source, accounting for half of government
revenue. The 1994 reform also increased the central government's share of revenues, increasing it
to 9% of GDP.[145]

Academic studies

Reasons for success

Scholars have proposed a number of theories to explain


China's successful transition from a planned to a
socialist market economy. This occurred despite
unfavorable factors such as the troublesome legacies of
socialism, considerable erosion of the work ethic,
decades of anti-market propaganda, and the "lost
generation" whose education disintegrated amid the Discussion of "China's Next Global Agenda"
disruption of the Cultural Revolution.[146] during the World Economic Forum (2013).

One notable theory is that decentralization of state


authority allowed local leaders to experiment with various ways to privatize the state sector and
energize the economy.[57] Although Deng was not the originator of many of the reforms, he
approved them. Another theory focuses on internal incentives within the Chinese government, in
which officials presiding over areas of high economic growth were more likely to be promoted. This
made local and provincial governments "hungry for investment," who competed to reduce
regulations and barriers to investment to boost both economic growth and their careers. Such
reforms were possible because Deng cultivated pro-market followers in the government.[147]
Herman Kahn argued that Confucian ethic was playing a "similar but more spectacular role in the
modernization of East Asia than the Protestant ethic played in Europe".[148]

Taken together, Yuen Yuen Ang argues in Foreign Affairs that political reforms took place with
economic reforms under Deng, except the former did not take Western forms. She writes, "To be
sure, Deng's reforms emphasized brute capital accumulation rather than holistic development,
which led to environmental degradation, inequality, and other social problems. Still they
undoubtedly kicked China's growth machine into gear by making the bureaucracy results oriented,
fiercely competitive, and responsive to business needs, qualities that are normally associated with
democracies." But this only applies to the Deng era. Ang notes that since 2012, when Xi Jinping
took over, the new leader has reversed Deng's political reforms and limits to power, "just as
political freedoms have become imperative for continued economic growth."[149]

China's success is also due to the export-led growth strategy


used successfully by the Four Asian Tigers beginning with
Japan in the 1960s–1970s and other newly industrialized
countries.[150] In 2001, China joined the World Trade
Organization (WTO).[151] As of 2006, over 400 of the Fortune
500 companies had entered the Chinese market, while at the
same time a considerable number of Chinese companies had
opened their markets outside of China.[152] Foreign aids to
Roberto Azevêdo, Director-General China, including those from Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan,
of WTO, met with China's Minister also played an important role.[153][154][155] Since the beginning
of Commerce Gao Hucheng in of opening, China has received a significant amount of aid from
Qingdao (2014). major developed countries such as the United States, Japan,
Germany, France and the United Kingdom.[153][154] For instance, through its Official Development
Assistance (ODA), Japan had offered China various forms of assistance worth 3.65 trillion Yen as
of 2018.[153][156] On the other hand, the assistance from the U.S. reached a total of US$556 million
as of 2012, and has "helped Tibetan communities improve livelihoods, promote sustainable
development and environmental conservation, and preserve cultural traditions...also supports
targeted programs that strengthen cooperation on combatting the spread of HIV/AIDS and other
pandemic and emerging diseases as well as rule of law programs."[153][155]

In contrast to the neoliberal view which emphasizes benefits from decentralization, increased
privatization, and globalization, Professor Lin Chun concludes that studies have demonstrated pre-
reform period factors that are at least as compelling factors in China's success.[157] Those factors
include strong "human capital" accumulated through decades of state investments in basic needs
including health care and public education, state and rural collective ownership of land, the public
sector's retaining of strategic industries, government sponsorship of trade and technology
transfers, and public spending.[157]

The collapse of the Soviet Bloc and centrally planned economies in 1989 provided renewed impetus
for China to further reform its economy through different policies to avoid a similar fate.[158] China
also wanted to avoid the Russian ad-hoc experiments with market capitalism under Boris Yeltsin
resulting in the rise of powerful oligarchs, corruption, and the loss of state revenue which
exacerbated economic disparity.[159]

The Cultural Revolution contributed to China's economic growth in long run. According to Mancur
Olson, the Cultural Revolution attacked the very administrators and managers on which Chinese
economy depended, and the immediate result was instability and administrative chaos in short
run. A longer-run result was that there were not nearly as many well-entrenched interest groups as
in the Soviet Union and the Eastern Bloc, so when Deng Xiaoping and the other pragmatists take
power, there were few interest groups whose lobbying could undermine Deng's market-oriented
reforms, because the Cultural Revolution had destroyed the narrowly entrenched interests with a
stake in the status quo.[160]

Comparison to other developing economies

China's transition from a planned economy to a socialist market


economy has often been compared with economies in Eastern
Europe that are undergoing a similar transition. China's
performance has been praised for avoiding the major shocks
and inflation that plagued the Eastern Bloc.[161] The Eastern
bloc economies saw declines varying from 13% to 65% in GDP
at the beginning of reforms, while Chinese growth has been
very strong since the beginning of reform.[162] China also
Development trends of Chinese and managed to avoid the hyperinflation of 200 to 1,000% that
Indian GDP (1950–2010) Eastern Europe experienced.[163] This success is attributed to
the gradualist and decentralized approach of the Chinese
government, which allowed market institutions to develop to
the point where they could replace state planning. This contrasts with the "big bang" approach of
Eastern Europe, where the state-owned sector was rapidly privatized with employee buyouts, but
retained much of the earlier, inefficient management.[164] Other factors thought to account for the
differences are the greater urbanization of the CIS economies and differences in social welfare and
other institutions.[165] Another argument is that, in the Eastern European economies, political
change is sometimes seen to have made gradualist reforms impossible, so the shocks and inflation
were unavoidable.[166]
China's economic growth has been compared with other developing countries, such as Brazil,
Mexico, and India. GDP growth in China outstrips all other developing countries, with only India
after 1990 coming close to China's experience.[167] Scholars believe that high rates of investments,
especially increases in capital invested per worker, have contributed to China's superior economic
performance.[167] China's relatively free economy, with less government intervention and
regulation, is cited by scholars as an important factor in China's superior performance compared to
other developing countries.[168]

Criticism and development issues

The government retains monopolies in several sectors, such as


petroleum and banking. The recent reversal of some reforms
have left some observers dubbing 2008 the "third anniversary
of the end of reforms".[12] Nevertheless, observers believe that
China's economy can continue growing at rates of 6–8 percent
until 2025,[169] though a reduction in state intervention is
considered by some to be necessary for sustained growth.[170]

It has been reported, including by the National Bureau of Air pollution has become a major
Statistics, that over the years that the GDP figures and other environmental issue in China
economic data from local Chinese governments may be inflated resulting from the economic
or manipulated otherwise.[171][172][173][174][175] Officials from development. (The picture shows
central government have said that local government officials thick haze in Lujiazui of Shanghai in
sometimes falsify economic data to meet the economic growth 2011)
targets or for personal promotions.[171][176]

Despite reducing poverty and increasing China's wealth, Deng's


reforms have been criticized by the Chinese New Left for
increasing inequality and allowing private entrepreneurs to
purchase state assets at reduced prices. These accusations were
especially intense during the Lang–Gu dispute, in which New
Left academic Larry Hsien Ping Lang accused entrepreneur Gu
Sujung of usurping state assets, after which Gu was
imprisoned.[177] The Hu–Wen Administration adopted some
New Left policies, such as halting privatizations and increasing
the state sector's importance in the economy, and Keynesian
policies that have been criticized by some Chinese economists
such as Zhang Weiying, who advocate a policy of deregulation,
tax cuts and privatization.[113] Global CO2 gas emissions by
country (2015).
Other criticisms focus on the effects of rapid industrialization
on public health and the environment. For instance, China is
the largest CO2 emitter in the world.[178] However, scholars believe that public health issues are
unlikely to become major obstacles to the growth of China's economy during the coming decades,
and studies have shown that air quality and other environmental measures in China are better than
those in developed countries, such as the United States and Japan, at the same level of
development.[179] Air pollution reached its peak in the early 2010s, and has declined significantly
since then.[180][181]

Some scholars have also contested the claims that the reform has led to as dramatic reduction in
poverty as reported. The dramatic reduction reported relies on the use of the World Bank poverty
line of $1.90 per day, which some have argued is an inaccurate means of measuring poverty in pre-
reform China, as during the Mao era and the decade after its end, an effective and far-reaching
system of public provision existed in China which kept prices low, and a food rationing system
which (except during the Great Chinese Famine years) effectively guaranteed the vast majority of
China's population with access to food.[182] Using China's "Basic Needs Poverty Line", calculated
based on OECD datasets, the proportion of Chinese people unable to afford a "subsistence basket"
(basic needs) has increased since the increasing pace of reforms in the late 1980s and
1990s.[183][184]

The economic reforms were initially accompanied with a series of political reforms in the 1980s,
supported by Deng Xiaoping. However, many of the planned political reforms ended after the 1989
Tiananmen Square protests and massacre.[185] Lack of political reform contributed to the serious
corruption issue in China.[186] Additionally, China's economic growth has led to the rise of a real
state bubble.[187]

Since the late 1970s, Deng and other senior leaders including Chen Yun and Li Xiannian supported
the "one-child policy" to cope with the overpopulation crisis.[188] However, the 2010 census data
showed that the population growth rate dropped to low levels.[189] Due to the financial pressure
and other factors, many young couples increasingly choose to delay or even abandon the plan of
raising a second child even after the Chinese government largely relaxed the one-child policy in late
2015.[190][191][192] This has led to the aging of the Chinese population, which economists have said
could potentially harm the economy in the future.[191][193][194]

See also
China model/Beijing Consensus
Deng Xiaoping Theory
Go Out policy
China's political reforms in 1980s
Japanese economic miracle
Khrushchev Thaw
Tiger economy

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Further reading
Gewirtz, Julian. 2022. Never Turn Back: China and the Forbidden History of the 1980s (https://
www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674241848). Belknap Press.

External links
Quotations related to Chinese economic reform at Wikiquote

Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Chinese_economic_reform&oldid=1176177490"

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