ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA

4.1 Introduction
4.2 Method of Least Square
4.3 Five Company Share Price
4.4 Share Price Movements of Ambuja Cements Ltd
4.5 Share Price Movements of India Cements Ltd
4.6 Share Price Movements of Ramco Cements Ltd
4.7 Share Price Movements of Dalmia Cements Ltd
4.8 Share Price Movements of UltraTech Cements Ltd
4.9 Companies of Original vaues and Predicted values
4.10 Conclusion
 CHAPTER-IV
ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA

4.1 INTRODUCTION
In this with chapters the analysis. The help of method of made up
Squares [Ye=a + bx]. The researchers a + for every the data representing a period
of 4 Closing Shave Collected months prices, [ from 4 th August, 2013 to 29th
September 2023] to 10 week, Selected predict the Share Value in [12 th ctober
2023]. Five Companies for the analysis, namely The India Cements, Ramco the
were Ambuja Cements, Cements, The from Dalmia Coments, Ultratech Caments.
Companies the analysis Selected randomly, list of top gainers. For purpose the data
were the tabulated and presented in Consolidated and individual manners.

4.2 Method of Least Squares

The method of Least Squares is a popular method which is usually
used to find out the future value of goods. By using method of least square the
researchers were made an analysis to predict the values as on a particular data. But
in certain circumstances it will not be correct due to certain unavoidable reasons.
The reasons may be Natural calamities in the Country, inflation, political problems
of the country, problems in the company,dividend problems and rumors about a
particular company.The above reasons have the power to fluctuate the market
price.
Week Date Ambuja The India Ramco Dalmia UltraTech
Cement Cement Cement Cement Cement
1 4-Aug-2023 474.75 224.75 876.60 1990.15 8158.15

2 11-Aug-2023 456.05 252.70 854.80 1993.35 8130.95

3 18-Aug-2023 453.05 236.95 852.10 1897.95 8214.95

4 25-Aug-2023 434.60 230.55 854.85 2003.75 8071.45

5 1-Sep-2023 453.90 260.95 888.30 2123.55 8262.40

6 8-Sep-2023 439.20 248.65 902.50 2322.10 8430.55

7 15-Sep-2023 445.05 247.40 894.85 2387.50 8728.35

8 22-Sep-2023 420.95 233.50 858.70 2245.60 8187.40

9 29-Sep-2023 424.80 233.20 910.20 2404.35 8254.85

Five Company Share Prices

Table No 4.1
Consolidated Table of Five Company Share Prices

4.3 Source primary data:

The above table no 4-1 shows that the first week [4 th August 2023] market
value of Ambuja Cements Seventh was Rs 1414. “And In week [2 September
202.3] it was The India Coments Rs.224.15 and in first week price was the was
Rs.2.33.26.Ramco price was week it was first 1.816.60 and week price Seventh
 week it Comments and in frust the RS-82.54-86-Hente.. was fluctuations to und in
Seven th Contents week it first week the Seventh Rs. 910-20. Dalmia Comments
was Rs.1990.15 and in the was Rs.2404.35 and ultratech price week was Rs.8158-
15 it was week Seventh In the middle that there were the Share price.

4.4 Share Price Movements of Ammbuja Cements Ltd

Table No 4.2
Week Price Price X X2 XY Trend
shown in rs shown in value
Y RS(y)
1 04.8.2023 474.75 -4 16 -1899 423.58

2 11.8.2023 456.45 -3 9 -1,369.2 428.88

3 18.8.2013 453.05 -2 4 -906.1 434.17

4 25.8.2023 434.60 -1 1 -434.6 439.45

5 01.9.2023 453.90 0 0 0 444.74

6 08.9.2023 439.20 1 1 439.2 450.03

7 15.9.2023 445.05 2 4 890.1 455.32

8 22.9.2023 420.95 3 9 1,262.85 460.61

9 29.9.2023 424.80 4 16 1,699.2 465.9

4,002.7 X=0 X2=60 XY=-

317.55
A=44.74 and B=5.29
 Y = a+bx
=44.74 + 5.24 x
=444.74 +5.29 (5)
=444.74+ 26.45
=471.19
The above table no.4.2 shows the share price of the ambuja cements as on 4 th
august 2023,it was RS.474.75 and on 29th September it was RS.424.80 with the
help of the least square the share price was predicted and it showed a value of
RS.471.19 on 12th October 2023.

4.5 Share price of the India Cements Ltd

Table NO.4.3
Week date Price X X2 XY Trend
shown value
RS in Y
1 04.08.202 224.75 -4 16 -899 239.96
3
2 11.08.202 252.70 -3 9 -758.1 240.21
3
3 18.08.202 236.95 -2 4 -473.9 240.46
3
4 25.08.203 230.55 -1 1 -230.55 240.71
5 01.09.202 260.95 0 0 0 240.96
3
6 08.09.202 248.65 1 1 248.65 241.21
3
7 15.09.202 247.40 2 4 494.8 241.46
3
8 22.09.202 233.50 3 9 700.5 241.71
3
 9 29.09.202 233.20 4 16 932.8 242.96
3
2,168.65 X=0 X2=60 XY=15.2
A=240.96 and B =0.25
Y=a+b x
=240.96 + 0.25x
=240.96 + 0.25 (5)
=240.96 + 1.25
=301.2
The above table no shows the share price of the Indian cements as on 4 th August
2023,it was Rs.224.75 and 29th September it was Rs.233.20 with the help of the
least square the share price was predicted and it showed the value of Rs.301.2 on
12th October 2023.

4.6 Share price Movements of Ramco Cements Ltd

Table No 4.4
Week Date Price X X2 XY Trend
shown value
in
Rs(Y)
1 04.08.2023 876.60 -4 16 -3506.4 858.38
2 11.08.2023 854.80 -3 9 -2564.4 863.03
3 18.08.2023 852.10 -2 4 -1704.2 867.68
4 25.08.2023 854.85 -1 1 -854.85 872.33
5 01.09.2023 888.30 0 0 0 876.98
6 08.09.2023 902.50 1 1 902.5 881.63
7 15.09.2023 894.85 2 4 1789 886.28
 8 22.09.2023 858.70 3 9 2576.1 890.93
9 29.09.2023 910.20 4 16 3640.8 895.58
7,892.9 X=0 X2=60 XY=279.25

A =876.98 and B =4.65

Y=a+bx

=876.98+4.65(5)

=876.98+23.25

=900.23

The above table no 4.4 shows the share price of the Ramco cements as on 4 th
August 2023,it was Rs.876.60 and 29th September it was Rs.910.20 with the help
of the least square the share price was predicted and it showed the value of
Rs.900.23 on 12th October 2023.

4.7 Share Price Movements of Dalmia Cements Ltd.

Week date Price X X2 XY Trend
shown value
RS in Y
1 04.08.2023 1990.15 -4 16 -7960.6 239.96
2 11.08.2023 1993.35 -3 9 -5980.05 240.21
3 18.08.2023 1897.95 -2 4 -3795.9 240.46
4 25.08.203 2003.75 -1 1 -2003.75 240.71
5 01.09.2023 2123.55 0 0 0 240.96
6 08.09.2023 2322.10 1 1 2322.1 241.21
7 15.09.2023 2387.60 2 4 4775.2 241.46
8 22.09.2023 2245.60 3 9 6736.8 241.71
 9 29.09.2023 2404.35 4 16 9617.4 242.96
19368.4 X=0 X2=60 XY=3711.2

A=2152.04 and 3=61.85

Y=a+bx

=2152.04+61.85x

=2152.04+61.85(5)

=2152.04+309.25

=2461.29

The above table no 4.5 shows the share price of the Dalmia cements as on 4 th
August 2023,it was Rs.1990.15 and 29th September it was Rs.2404.31 with the
help of the least square the share price was predicted and it showed the value of
Rs.2461.29 on 12th October 2023.

4.8 Share Price Movements of Ultratech Cements Ltd.

Week date Price X X2 XY Trend

shown value
RS in Y
1 04.08.2023 8158.15 -4 16 -32,632.6 8142.13
2 11.08.2023 8132.95 -3 9 -24,398.85 8174.4
3 18.08.2023 8214.85 -2 4 -16,429.7 8206.67
4 25.08.203 8071.45 -1 1 -8071.45 8238.94
5 01.09.2023 8262.40 0 0 0 8271.21
6 08.09.2023 8430.55 1 1 8430.55 8303.48
 7 15.09.2023 8728.35 2 4 17,456.7 8303.75
8 22.09.2023 8187.40 3 9 24,562.2 8368.02
9 29.09.2023 8254.85 4 16 33,019.4 8400.29
19368.4 X=0 X2=60 XY=1936.25

A=8217.21 and b=32.27

Y= a+bx

=8217.21+32.27x

=8217.21+32.27(5)

=8432.56

The above table no 4.6 shows the share price of the Ultratech cements as on 4 th
August 2023,it was Rs.8158.15 and 29th September it was Rs.8254.85 with the
help of the least square the share price was predicted and it showed the value of
Rs.8432.56 on 12th October 2023.

4.9 Comparision of Origina values and Predicted value.

S.No Company Predicted Original Short term
name value (rs) value (rs)
1 Ambuja 471.19 430.00 41.19
Cements
2 The India 301.2 224.90 76.3
Cements
3 Ramco 900.23 930.50 -30.27
Cements
4 Dalima 2461.29 2204.95 256.34
Cements
 5 Ultratech 8432.56 8136.55 296.01
Cements
Table No 4.7

The above table No4.7 show’s the predicted Market value of company shares as
On 12 october 2023. By Comparing values and the predicted values and the
original values the researches were made the difference in rupees. The above table
obviously exhibits the difference between the Predicted value and orginal value.

24.10 Summary

The above chapter analysed and Predicted the values of the five Company Shares
as on 12” ctober 2023 and Made a Compatison between Orginal values and
Predicted values.
 CHAPTER-V
ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Findings

5.3 suggestion

5.4 conclusion
 CHAPTER-V
ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA
5.1 Introduction.
In this study the researchers. Some findings by analysis with the help of Secondary
sources in order to accomplish the objective of this Study Finally based on the
finding the researchers were offered valuable Suggestion and conclusion.

5.2 Findings.
The analysis of the Study clearly shown there is fluctuation in the Share
Market. Confirmed with the secondary Data collected from Bombay Stock
exchange of India website. The analyses made by using Noth head of least squats
Mad to find out the share price as on 2023. The researchers Found the values as on
for the selected cement Companies hamaly

1.Ambuja cements 471.19

2.The India Cements 302.02

3.Ramco Cements 900.23

4.Dalmia Cements 2461.29

5.Utratech Cements 8432.56

As per the secondary sources from the website of bse India the original Market
values as on October 2023 were

1.Ambuja cements 430.00

 2.The India Cements 224.90

3.Ramco Cements 930.50

4.Dalmia Cements 2204.95

5.Utratech Cements 8136.55

The researchers were bound that difference between the predicted values and the
orginal values for the Selected Company Shares. The diflorence, where Ambuja
cements- RS. 4.19 lesser than predicted value. The India Cements- Rs. 16.3 is
lesser than predicted values. Ramco Cements. - Rs.30.27 geral higher than
Predicted valus. Dalmia Cements - Rs 256.34 beson than the Predicted value and
all ultratech Cements- 296-01 lesser than the Predicted value.

5.3 suggestion
The researchers in this analysis tried to find out the exactness of the predictions
which were published in the secondary sources about the share prices. The study,
very clearly exhibits the difference of the predicted and Coments original values of
the share price of the five selected companies. This proves that, we cannot expects
the exactness from the predictions as it is a drawback of statistical calculations and
in certain circumstances it may go wrong. On total, trusting with the predictions it
is not advisable to buy the shares from the share market.

5.4 conclusion
In the present day the price movement are purely based on the external forces and
were true and evidence from the secondary sources. Even though, studies by
market experts were showing the probabilities of increase or decrease, our study
based on the techniques was found not true. The original market value was less
from the predicted values for Ambuja cements, Hindustan unilever, Bata India,
Hindustan tin works. Hence, the researchers conclude that it is advisable for the
share market investors that to invest in the market rather than involving in
speculation or using share market to earn daily returns by providing finance
through credits.

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Websites

www.ambuja cements. com

www.indiacements, in

www.ramcocements. in

www.dalmiabharath, in

www.ultratech cement. Com

 APPENDICES
APPENDIX
CALCULATIONS

In the chapter-IV the researchers were made an analysis for the prediction of
future values.It need more calculations were shown in the APPENDIX 1

I share price movements of the Ambuja cements

Ey=4002.7 , Ex=0 , Exy=317.55 , Ex2=60

y=a+bx

A=Ey ----------1

B = Exy ----------2

Taken 1st equation

 A=Ey

Ey=4002.7,N=9

A=4002.7
9
=444.74

Taken 2nd Equation

B=E x y
E x2 A=444.74,b=-5.29

Exy=317.55
60
=-5.29

II share price movements of the India Cements

Y=2168.65 , x=0 , xy=15.2, x2=60

 Y=a+by

N
xy-----------2
X2
Taken 1st Equation
A=y
N
Y=2168.65
9
=240.96

Taken 2nd Equation

B=x,y
X2
9=240.96 , b0.24
Exy=15.2 Ex2=60
B=15.2
60
=0.25
III.Share price movements of Ramco Cement.

X=7892.9, X2=0 ,XY =279.25 , X2=60

Y=a+bx
A=Ey----------1
N
B=EXY--------2
X2

Taken 1st Equation

A=EY
N
Y=7892.9 , N=9
A=7892.9
9
=876.98

Taken 2nd Equation

 B=X,Y
X2
XY=279.25 X2=60

B=279.25
60
=4.65

A=876.98 , B=4.65

IV.Share price Movement of Dalmia Cements

Y=19,368.4 x=0 xy=3711.2 x2=60

Y=a+bx

A=y-----------1
n
B=xy-----------2
X2
Taken 1st Equation

A=y
N
Y=19,368.4 , n=9
=19,368.4
9
=2152.04

Taken 2nd Equation

B=xy
X2
Xy=3711.2 , x2=60
60
B=3711.2
60

=61.85

A=2152.04 , b=61.85
V.Share price Movements of ultratech Cement.
Y=74,440.95 x=0 xy=1936.25 X2=60

A=y-------------1
N
B=XY-----------2
X2

Taken 1st Equation

A=y
N
Y=74,440.95
9
= 827621

Taken 2nd Equation

B= xy
X2
Y=a+bx
Xy=1936.25 x2=60
B=1936.25
60
=32.27

a=8271.21 ,b=32.27