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Dura on is the average life of Bond. The life of bond is inversely related with bond
value. Longer the life, lower will be the value of bond and vice versa.
EXAMPLE 22:
An 8% bond is traded in the market. The maturity period is 5 years. Interest is payable on
annual basis. Market yield rate is 10%. What is fair value of bond? What is dura on of bond?
What is convexity of bond if interest rate increases to 11%.
= 4.32 years
b. Convexity of Bond
Change in Bond value due to change in interest rate.
New interest rate is 11%, old is 10%, it is denoted by
It means every 1% increase in interest rate will decrease a value of bond by 3.9%.
Valuation of Options
Until now, we have looked only at some basic principles of option pricing. Other than put-call
parity, all we examined were rules and conditions, often suggesting limitations, on option
prices. With put-call parity, we found that we could price a put or a call based on the prices of
the combinations of instruments that make up the synthetic version of the instrument. If we
wanted to determine a call price, we had to have a put; if we wanted to determine a put price,
we had to have a call. What we need to be able to do is price a put or a call without the other
instrument. In this section, we introduce a simple means of pricing an option. It may appear
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Binomial Model
The word "binomial" refers to the fact that there are only two outcomes. In other words, we let
the underlying price move to only one of two possible new prices. As noted, this framework
oversimplifies things, but the model can eventually be extended to encompass all possible
prices. In addition, we refer to the structure of this model as discrete time, which means that
time moves in distinct increments. This is much like looking at a calendar and observing only
the months, weeks, or days. Even at its smallest interval, we know that time moves forward at
a rate faster than one day at a time. It moves in hours, minutes, seconds, and even fractions of
seconds, and fractions of fractions of seconds. When we talk about time moving in the tiniest
increments, we are talking about continuous time. We will see that the discrete time model
can be extended to become a continuous time model.
Two models:
1. Discrete model
Discrete model can be a. single period binomial model
b. Two period binomial model
2. Continuous model.
Continuous model can be a. Black-Schole Model
b. Merton Model
We start with a call option. If the underlying goes up to S+, the call option will be worth c+.
If the underlying goes down to S¯, the option will be worth C¯. We know that if the option
is expiring, its value will be the intrinsic value.
S0 = Spot price S+ = price goes up. S¯ = price goes down X= exercise price
S+ = Su = S0(1+u) where u is upward movement in price
S¯ = Sd = S0(1-d) where d is downward movement in price
C+ = Max(0, S+ - X) Maximum of 0 or S+ - X
C¯ = Max(0, S¯ - X) Maximum of 0 or S¯ - X
Where as:-
It is,
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H = nS C (initial outlay)
H+ = nS+ C+ (outlay one period later if price goes up)
H¯= nS¯ C¯ (outlay one period later if price goes down)
S+ = S0(1+u)
C+ = Max(0, S+ - X)
S0
C=? S¯ = S0(1-d)
1- C¯ = Max(0, S¯ - X)
The call price today is C, which is weighted average of the next two possible call prices, C+
and C+. and 1-
risk free rate.
Suppose the underlying is a non-dividend-paying stock currently valued at $50. It can either
go up by 25 percent or go down by 20 percent. Thus, u = 1.25 and d = 0.80.
S+ = Su = 50(1.25) = 62.50
S¯ = Sd = 50(0.80) = 40
Assume that the call option has an exercise price of 50 and the risk-free rate is 7 percent.
Thus, the option values one period later will be:
S+ = 50(1.25) = 62.50
C+ = Max(0, 62.50 - 50) = 12.50
S0 = 50
C=? S¯ = 50(0.80) = 40
1- C¯ = Max(0, 4O - 50) = 0
95
= 0.60
ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY:
Suppose the option is selling for $8. If the option should be selling for $7.01 and it is selling
for $8, it is overpriced-a clear case of price not equaling value. Investors would exploit this
opportunity by selling the option and buying the underlying. The number of units of the
underlying purchased for each option sold would be the value n:
= 0.556
Thus, for every option sold, we would buy 0.556 units of the underlying. Suppose we sell
1,000 calls and buy 556 units of the underlying. Doing so would require an initial outlay of :-
= 0.1237 = 12.37%
The arbitrage will give 12.37% risk free which is better to risk free of 7%.
A. Determine the price of a European call option with exercise prices of 70.
B. Assume that the call is selling for 9 in the market. Demonstrate how to execute an arbitrage
transaction and calculate the rate of return. Use 10,000 call options.
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S+ = Su = 65(1.30) = 84.50
S¯ = Sd = 65(0.78) = 50.70
= 0.5769
ARBITRAGE OPPORTUNITY:
Suppose the option is selling for $9. If the option should be selling for $7.75 and it is selling
for $9, it is overpriced-a clear case of price not equaling value. The number of units of the
underlying purchased for each option sold would be the value n:
= 0.4290
Thus, for every option sold, we would buy 0.4290 units of the underlying. Suppose we sell
10,000 calls and buy 4290 units of the underlying. Doing so would require an initial outlay of:
n= 10,000 x .4290 = 4290 options
= 0.1517 = 15.17%
The arbitrage will give 15.17% risk free which is better to risk free of 8%.
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S+ +
C+ +
S+
C+ S+ ¯
C+ ¯
S0 S¯ +
C=? C¯+
1- S¯
C¯ S¯ ¯
C¯ ¯
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1- = 1 - 0.56 = 0.44
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HINT: value of and used for calculation of C are taken from above formula calculation
Where = 5.08 and = 0.24
Number of units of underlying for each unit of option.
The number of units of the underlying required for 10,000 calls would thus be 6,453 today,
10,000 at time 1 if the underlying is at 34.20, and 659 at time 1 if the underlying is at 26.70.
S+ + = 39.98
C+ + = 8.99
S+ = 34.20
= 0.56 C+ = 5.08 S+ ¯ = 30.44 or S¯ +
C+ ¯ = 0.44 or C¯+
S0 = 30 S¯ + = 30.44
C = 2.86 C¯+ = 0.44
1- .44 S¯ = 26.70
C¯ = 0.24 S¯ ¯ = 23.76
C¯ ¯ = 0
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Black-Scholes-Merton formula:
The input variables are some of those we have already used: So is the price of the underlying,
X is the exercise price, rC is the continuously compounded risk-free rate, (that is ln of r) and T
is the time to expiration. The one other variable we need is the standard deviation of the log
return on the asset. We denote this as and refer to it as the volatility.
rT
Put option value, P = Xe- S0
After simplifying formula for put option is:
rT
P = Xe- S0 + C
d2 = d1
Put-Call Parity.
In financial mathematics, put call parity defines a relationship between the price of
a European call option and European put option, both with the identical strike price and
expiry, namely that a portfolio of a long call option and a short put option is equivalent to (and
hence has the same value as) a single forward contract at this strike price and expiry.
In simple when we calculate the price of put option through price of call option, it is called
put-call parity.
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION:
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Use the Black-Scholes-Merton model to calculate the prices of European call and put options
on an asset priced at 52.75. The exercise price is 50, the continuously compounded risk-free
rate is 4.88 percent, the options expire in 9 months, and the volatility is 0.35. There are no cash
flows on the underlying.
Solution:
2 c
=0.0488
-rT
Call option value, C= S0 N(d1) Xe N(d2)
rT
Put option value, P = Xe- S0
= 0.4489 = 0.45
Following are the five factors or inputs of Black-Schole-Merton Model, that influence the
price of options to change.
Now, we explore, what is the response of option price to these factors that determine the price.
The option price sensitivities all derive from calculus. For example, the sensitivity of
the option price with respect to the stock price is simply the first derivative of the option
pricing formula with respect to the stock price. The first derivative of the call price with
respect to the stock price is just the change in the call price for a change in the stock price.
GREEKS
In mathematical finance, the Greeks are the quantities representing the sensitivity of the price
of derivatives such as options to a change in underlying parameters on which the value of an
instrument or portfolio of financial instruments is dependent. The name is used because the
most common of these sensitivities are denoted by Greek letters (as are some other finance
measures). Collectively these have also been called the risk sensitivities, risk measures
or hedge parameters.
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= N (d1)
2.
Change in option premium due to change in time to expiration is called a
= - r x e-rT N(d2)
3. Vega
Change in option premium due to change in risk or volatility is called a
= S0
4. Rho
Change in option premium due to change in risk free rate is called
= x T e-rT N(d2)
5.
Change in option premium due to change in Delta is called
Whereas:-
-0.5 (d1)2
e
22/7 or 3.142
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Solution:
2 c
S0 =0.08
-(.08)(.5) rT
e = 0.9608 Xe- = 100e-(.08)(.5) = 96.08
-rT
Call option value, C= S0 N(d1) Xe N(d2)
rT
Put option value, P = Xe- S0
= 0.29
HINT: Sometimes the value of d1 may be negative. In this case the calculation will be done
using this formula. Suppose in above case delta is -.29
N(-d) or 1 N(d) where N(d) = .6141 and 1 .6141 = .3859 now d1 = 0.39
Sensitivity measures:
1.
= N (d1) = .6141
2.
= - r x e-rT N(d2)
Whereas:-
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3. Vega
= S0 35) = 26.85
4. Rho
5.
= = = .018
Changes in values.
Call option is 10.31 and the spot price is 100. Calculate the changes.
1. Change in delta due to change in spot price. (Delta through Gamma) = .6141
New price is 101, old was 100.
.018 = .6321
3. Change in call option premium due to change in risk / volatility. (Vega) = 26.85
4. Change in call option premium due to change in risk free rate (Rho). = 25.50
Risk free increases by 1%.
New C = 10.31 + .01(25.50) = 10.55
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MONTH PRICE
April-15 99.74 R
May-15 102.2 0.024
June-15 116.3 0.129 S.D. 0.0786
July-15 106.9 -0.085 Annualized S.D. 0.2722
August-15 108.5 0.015 0.741
September-15 100.6 -0.075 r 0.08
October-15 97.63 -0.03 ln(1+r) 0.077
November-15 85.05 -0.138 So 94.61
December-15 84.91 -0.002 X 104.07
January-15 81.91 -0.036 T 180/365
February-15 84.16 0.027 T 0.5
March-15 83.44 -0.009 0.71
April-15 94.61 0.126
Solution:
2 c
S0 =0.077
-(.077)(.50) rT
X = So + 10% = 104.07 e = .9622 Xe- = 104.07e-(.077)(.50) = 100.14
-rT
Call option value, C= S0 N(d1) Xe N(d2)
rT
Put option value, P = Xe- S0
rT
OR P = Xe- S0 + C
= = 0.67
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rT
Put option value, P = Xe- S0 + C
P = 100.14 94.61 + 2.28 = 7.81
Sensitivity measures:
1.
= N (d1) = 0.7486
2.
= - r xe-rT N(d2)
Whereas:-
-0.5 (d1)2
e
-0.5 (0.67)2
e = (.7153)
0.40(0.7153) = 0.2861
= - .077(100.14)(.6844)
3. Vega
= S0 = 19.22
4. Rho
5.
= = = .016
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