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ATFM Daily Plan - Tuesday 31 October 2023

ADP Version 3
Airport Planned GDPs Total Arr/Dep Affected Flights Total Ground Delay Av. Ground Delay 36 Hr Synoptic Forecast

YSSY* YSSY GDP-A 2000-0700^ 850 207 11,654 49.90

YMML NONE 683 n/a 0 0.00
YBBN NONE 581 n/a 0 0.00
YPPH-A YPPH GDP-A 0030-1400 564 200 3,145 15.70 Synoptic not AVBL
YPPH-D YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030 115 2,248 19.50 Please see BOM Website
Totals 2678 522 17,047 19.14
* denotes a revision has taken place

ATFM Daily Plan Summary Notes

Risk of oversubscription in the 20z hour, and then again in the 23z hour. XW rate planned 23-04z with RWY 25 ops from 01-03z. Compliance with scheduled airport slots is critical to
avoid significant delay, disruption or adhoc GDP activation.

YSSY Midday Update: CAVOK. Gusty SW winds, gusty SE change mid-afternoon and up to 30kts aloft. Cross winds until mid-afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 503 (266A/237D) movements remaining. Single runway ops continue, and forecast winds indicate parallels will again be suitable by 0300 UTC. METCDM Run 3 will
shortly be available.

Nil significant network risk(s) identified at this time, although there is risk for oversubscription in the 07z hour.

YMML Midday Update: Cloud above 4000ft. S to SW winds.

ATC ADVICE: 377 (201A/176D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

If runway change to 19 is required, AAR will be reduced to single runway rate due to 19L ILS NAVBL.

YBBN Midday Update: Thunderstorms possible inland. NE winds, 20-35 kts aloft.
ATC ADVICE: 341 (193A/148D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

Heavily compacted programs with arrivals impacted by enroute staffing constraints. Compliance with COBTs is mandatory to avoid airborne delay and issues resulting from the
aforementioned short notice staffing restrictions in South West sector.

YPPH Midday Update: CAVOK. E to NE winds, SW late afternoon.

ATC ADVICE: 393 (241A/152D) movements remaining. Very high subscription throughout the day in morning and afternoon peaks. Some non-compliance has already been observed
with slight oversubscription in the beginning of the arrival peak, and there is a risk of airborne delay at least up to ERSA.

Refer NOTAM for latest estimated airborne traffic delay advice.

Other Significant

[07:33pm] Version 1: Initial.

Change Summary: [10:33am] Version 2: Morning update
[01:18pm] Version 3: Midday update

Teleconference Details
CAP THREAT: 302100-302259
1800 062 923 PRM: NOT REQ
Participant Code 7207 9651 310700-310829
Guest Code 3064#

NCC: 1800 020 626 YMEN SLOT SCHEME: NO

atfmu@airservicesaustralia.com

Issues expected to impact service delivery

Location Issue/NOTAM Details

YSSY C2764/23 RWY 07/25 CLOSED DUE WIP EXC WITH 40MIN PN ACFT TAXIING PERMITTED FROM 10 082000 TO 12 230600 MON-FRI 2000/0600

YBBN C1336/23 ILS 'IBS' 110.15 RWY 19L ON TEST. FM 10 292200 TO 11 030700

Report generated by the NCC at 1:21 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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Network Weather Overview

From now to +72 hours
Tuesday 31 October 2023
Weather Overview
Mean Sea Level Pressure Satellite Picture Rainfall Outlook for today

Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website Picture NOT AVBL - please see BOM website

Weather impact risk assessment Major Airports

Brisbane Melbourne Perth Sydney

CAVOK. Gusty SW winds, then a

Thunderstorms possible inland. CAVOK. Light to moderate E to NE
Cloud above 4000ft. Moderate S to fresh and gusty S to SE change mid-
PM Tuesday Cloud above 5000ft. Moderate NE
SW winds.
winds, ahead of a moderate to fresh
afternoon, reaching 25-30 knots
winds, reaching 20-25 knots aloft. late afternoon SW sea breeze.
aloft. Cross winds early afternoon.

Showers offshore, clearing. Cloud Possible light showers. Cloud 2000-

2500-3000ft, lifting above 3000ft late 3000ft, lifting 3000-4000ft during the
CAVOK. Moderate E to SE winds, Light showers. Cloud 3000-5000ft.
AM Wednesday morning. Light SSW winds, tending morning. Light SW winds,
possibly gusty with turbulence. Moderate S to SE winds.
moderate to fresh S to SE from mid- becoming moderate S from late
morning morning.

Cloud 3000-4000ft, becoming

Possible showers and CAVOK. Light E winds, shifting
patchy during the afternoon, then Cloud 3000-4000ft, becoming
PM Wednesday thunderstorms. Cloud mostly 4000-
redeveloping 2500-3000ft in the late
moderate to fresh SW in the early
patchy. Moderate S to SE winds.
5000ft. Moderate to fresh SE winds. afternoon.
evening.

Cloud 1500-2500ft, chance 500ft.

Cloud 4000-5000ft. Light to CAVOK. Light SE to NE winds. E Cloud 2000-3000ft. Light SW winds
AM Thursday moderate SE winds.
Showers N TMA. Light to moderate
winds aloft 20 to 25 knots. tending S to SE.
S to SW winds.

Patchy cloud 2000-3000ft, 1000ft

Patchy cloud 4000-5000ft. Light to CAVOK. Light and variable winds Cloud 2500-3000ft. Moderate SE
PM Thursday moderate SE to NE winds.
evening. Moderate S winds, easing
becoming moderate S to SW’ly. wind, S’ly evening.
evening.

Cloud 1000-2000ft, chance 500ft. CAVOK. Moderate E’ly winds,

Cloud 3000-4000ft. Light E to SE Cloud 2500-3500ft. Chance of a
AM Friday winds.
Showers possible, more likely N possibly gusty. ENE winds aloft 35-
shower. Light SW to SE winds.
TMA. 45kts. Turbulence.
Significant other phenomena potentially affecting Australian FIRs
Volcanic Ash (VA) ≥ FL200 Nil current.
Space Weather Nil current.
Potential Tropical Cyclones Nil current.

Weather risk assessment provided by NCC Meteorological Unit – Bureau of Meteorology

Contact NCCMET for further detail or advice

Phone: 02 6268 4448

Email: nccmet@bom.gov.au

Detailed advice from major Airport MET CDM products available at Airservices NOC Portal, https://www.airservicesaustralia.com/noc/

Report generated by the NCC at 1:21 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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SYDNEY - YSSY GDP-A 2000-0700^ Tuesday 31 October 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-2259: A cold front in the Tasman Sea will push a mostly dry southwesterly change across Sydney early on Tuesday morning. Westerly winds 25-35kt above the surface at first, although
easing rapidly as the change approaches - turbulence is forecast overnight but the worst of it will have passed by the end of curfew. An x-factor is applied to account for the turbulence. Light WNW
surface winds. A mid-level cloud band with patchy showers will also cross Sydney during the night, but should mostly be past the aerodrome by the morning with the risk of a thunderstorm mostly
offshore to the east. Otherwise CAVOK.
[2] 2200-0359: Winds aloft turn more SW mid-morning as the wind change arrives, then increase to 25-30kt late morning. A period of RWY 25 operations is planned with gusty WSW surface
winds generating XW>20kt. It is uncertain how long the winds will remain strong enough for RWY 25 - a gradual turning is forecast from 250° to 220-230° by early afternoon, but there is a risk that
the winds persist at 240-250° until as late as 04Z. Also risk of RWY 25 as early as 23Z. Alternately, gusts generating XW>20kt may remain sporadic enough to maintain RWY 16 ops through this
period.
[3] 0300-1159: A second wind change will arrive mid-afternoon, with surface winds turning moderate SSE. CAVOK conditions persisting, with a little cloud developing above 4000ft offshore in the
evening.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[1] Concur

GDP Notes
Risk of oversubscription in the 20z hour, and then again in the 23z hour. XW rate planned 23-04z with RWY 25 ops from 01-03z. Compliance with scheduled airport slots is critical to avoid significant
delay, disruption or adhoc GDP activation.

Midday Update: CAVOK. Gusty SW winds, gusty SE change mid-afternoon and up to 30kts aloft. Cross winds until mid-afternoon.
ATC ADVICE: 503 (266A/237D) movements remaining. Single runway ops continue, and forecast winds indicate parallels will again be suitable by 0300 UTC. METCDM Run 3 will shortly be
available.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 301900 302000 302100 302200 302300 310000 310100 310200 310300 310400 310500 310600 310700 310800 310900 311000 311100 0

Runway Mode 34 IVA 34 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA 16 IVA

Rate 34 25 25 25 25 25 23 23 34 46 46 46 46 46 46 46 35

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1&2 2 2 2 2 2&3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 1:21 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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MELBOURNE - Nil GDP Tuesday 31 October 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 1900-2059: Cool and mostly dry on Tuesday in southwesterly flow with a low moving away in the Tasman Sea and a high developing to the west. Just a little cloud around 4000ft in the early morning with light to
moderate W to WSW winds. With a dry runway expected (showers only over the S/E TMA at this time) LAHSO should be available with only slight tail winds on RWY 34 at times.
[2] 2100-1159: Surface winds tending moderate SW from late morning. A few light showers developing across the TMA but little impact on operations expected. Showers contracting to the S/E TMA again in the
afternoon.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[Nil SMTM Notes]

GDP Notes
Nil significant network risk(s) identified at this time, although there is risk for oversubscription in the 07z hour.

Midday Update: Cloud above 4000ft. S to SW winds.

ATC ADVICE: 377 (201A/176D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 301900 302000 302100 302200 302300 310000 310100 310200 310300 310400 310500 310600 310700 310800 310900 311000 311100 311200
27/34 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27 16/27
Runway Mode
LAHSO VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCA VMCB VMCB VMCB
Rate 40 40 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 25 25 25 25

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 1:21 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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BRISBANE - Nil GDP Tuesday 31 October 2023

ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 2000-0359: CAVOK with a dry W to NW flow over Brisbane on Tuesday. Light NW winds in the morning, turning NNE and increasing through the afternoon. RWY 01 favoured all day.
[2] 0400-1259: A surface trough will cross southern Qld during the day, generating high-based showers and thunderstorms inland in the afternoon. Given storms will mostly form over the western
Downs, and the atmosphere is quite dry, there is only a slight chance of storms reaching the aerodrome after about 07Z, but the storm steering winds will be 35-40kt WSW so it can't be ruled out
(~10% chance). An X-factor is applied for the risk of one or two thunderstorms moving inside 20NM of the aerodrome.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[1] If BN requires to go to R19 then rate will be single runway rate due R19L ILS off for maintenance.

GDP Notes
If runway change to 19 is required, AAR will be reduced to single runway rate due to 19L ILS NAVBL.

Midday Update: Thunderstorms possible inland. NE winds, 20-35 kts aloft.

ATC ADVICE: 341 (193A/148D) movements remaining. Nil network issues identified.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 302000 302100 302200 302300 310000 310100 310200 310300 310400 310500 310600 310700 310800 310900 311000 311100 311200

Runway Mode 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC 01 VMC

Rate 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 30 30 28 28 28 30 34 34

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 1:21 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.
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Arrivals - YPPH GDP-A 0030-1400

PERTH Arrivals - YPPH GDP-D 2130-0030
Tuesday 31 October 2023
ATFM-CDM Notes

METCDM Notes:
[1] 2200-0159: CAVOK on Tuesday with a dry easterly flow over Perth. Fresh and gusty easterly winds in the early morning, possibly reaching up to 30kt (although this is more likely during the
night well before 22Z). Moderate turbulence and a risk of wind shear if surface winds remain lighter - an x-factor is applied for this. RWY 06 is planned, but winds may have eased sufficiently by
22Z to allow RWY 03 ops as well with cross winds under 20kt.
[2] 0200-0859: Winds easing to moderate NE late morning, then tending lighter E to SE through the afternoon. Change to RWY 21 may be possible from 06Z.
[3] 0900-1359: A late southerly sea breeze should reach the aerodrome in the evening. Winds may instead remain 150-180° through this period with the sea breeze confined to the coastal fringe.

NCC DLM Notes:

[Nil DLM Notes]

SM Notes:
[1] 0100-1359: X Factor - 2 per hr due reduced enroute staffing

GDP Notes
Heavily compacted programs with arrivals impacted by enroute staffing constraints. Compliance with COBTs is mandatory to avoid airborne delay and issues resulting from the aforementioned short
notice staffing restrictions in South West sector.

Midday Update: CAVOK. E to NE winds, SW late afternoon.

ATC ADVICE: 393 (241A/152D) movements remaining. Very high subscription throughout the day in morning and afternoon peaks. Some non-compliance has already been observed with slight
oversubscription in the beginning of the arrival peak, and there is a risk of airborne delay at least up to ERSA.

Tabulated Data
Time (Hour UTC) 302100 302200 302300 310000 310100 310200 310300 310400 310500 310600 310700 310800 310900 311000 311100 311200 311300
03/06 03/06 03/06 03/06 03/06 03/06 03/06 21/24 21/24 21/24
Runway Mode 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC 06 VMC
VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC VMC
Rate-Arrs 21 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 24 24 24 24 24

Rate-Deps 35 35 35 35

Segmentation and Notes

METCDM Notes 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3

Segmentation 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Bar Graph

Report generated by the NCC at 1:21 PM. Please consult METCDM for up to date ATFM Daily Plan information.