Introduction to Intelligence

Analysis

BIG HEART
 “If you know the enemy and know
yourself, you need not fear the result of a
hundred battles. If you know yourself but not
the enemy, for every victory gained you will
also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the
enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every
battle”.

-Zun Tzu-
 LEARNING OBJECTIVES
At the end of this lesson the cadet will be able to:
• To know and understand definition and scope of Intelligence
Analysis
• To know role of Intelligence Analysis in PNP operations
• To know and understand the principles of Intelligence Analysis
 DEFINITION
(UNODC)

Information - Knowledge in raw form

Intelligence
• Information that is capable of being understood
• Information with added value
• Information that has been evaluated in context to its source and reliability
Analysis (of either information or intelligence)
• The resolving or separating of a thing into its component parts
• Ascertainment of those parts
• The tracing of things to their source to discover the general principles
behind them
• A table or statement of the results of this process
 Intelligence Analysis
• It is collecting and utilizing information, evaluating it to process it into
intelligence, and then analyzing that intelligence to produce products to
informed decision-making. (UNODC Criminal Intelligence Manual)
• It is the compilation, filtering, and detailed evaluation of information to
focus and understand that information better and to develop knowledge or
conclusions. (https://armypubs.army.mil), and the Central Army Registry
site (https://atiam.train.army.mil/catalog/dashboard)
• It is the process by which collected information is evaluated and integrated
with existing information to facilitate intelligence production
 Scope of Intelligence Analysis
SCOPE OF ANALYTIC ACTIVITIES
• Macro-intelligence - An overall view of general demographic,
social, and crime trends which indicate environments and types of
crimes which are emerging or projected to emerge.
- planning and forecasting activity for general administrative use
• Micro-intelligence - Intelligence activities focusing on current
problems and crimes for either case development or resource
allocation
• Generally applied at the line level
The Role of Intelligence
Analysis

David Carter
School of Criminal Justice
Michigan University
 ANALYSIS GOES BEYOND THE FACTS
• It can tell you how good (or poor) your information/
intelligence is
• It can tell you things you didn’t know before
• It can tell you what you need to know to understand a
situation
• It can tell you where to look further
• It can help you to communicate your understanding to
others
Role of Intelligence in the PNP

INTELLIGENCE
• indispensable in the aspect of police work in
preventing/controlling:
• criminality
• insurgency
• terrorism
• international crimes

• lifeblood in the course of the investigation.

• without intel data investigation could hardly succeed.
INTELLIGENCE
On Criminality

• Intel focuses its resources/skills on anticipated

crimes to neutralize them before they occur.
• Intel officers/analysts:
• assess/report to investigation they observe
as future crimes
• make short and long range strategy
suggestions
INTELLIGENCE
On Insurgency
• RA 8551 - placed PNP as support to the AFP in
counterinsurgency opns thru intel gathering.
INTELLIGENCE
On Transnational Crimes

• PNP gather data/information on international crime

syndicates thru:
• regular exchange of information with
counterparts
• establishment of police attaches
• reciprocity in training needs.
 The Role of Intelligence
Analysis in PNP operations
- PCOL ADELENE MAGHINAY FLORENDO –
2023
a. Obtaining and integrating information into a cohesive and logical case file
or description of crime trends
b. Identifying crimes and crime trends through information assessment,
report review of data comparisons, and crime analysis
c. Identifying criminals through the use of deduction, information
assessment, and application of the scientific method
d. Developing cases for prosecution in court
e. Providing support to investigators involved in long term and complex case
investigations
f. Projecting crime trends for purposes of planning and law enforcement
resource allocation
Intelligence Analyst responsibilities include:
• Identifying threats and providing recommendations on fighting crimes

• Developing assessments using available information

• Collaborating with international, national, state and local contacts in

the intelligence and law enforcement communities
 Responsibilities
• Examine information from a wide array of foreign sources
• Evaluate and assess gathered information
• Develop meaningful intelligence assessments, free of bias
• Write reports and create oral briefings
• Abide by all security protocols
• Integrate the cultural context from foreign sources
• Work under tight deadlines
• Work effectively with a cross functional team
Key Concepts and Principles of
Intelligence Analysis
(UNODC)
 Key Concepts and Principles of Intelligence Analysis
(UNODC)

• Possess the most up-to-date, accurate information regarding amongst

other things, their intentions and capabilities
• Intelligence analysis is a continually changing
• No two tasks or projects are ever exactly the same; every new piece
of work requires a fresh approach.
 PRINCIPLES OF INTELLIGENCE

• Objectivity
• Timeliness
• Usability
• Readiness
• Completeness
• Accuracy
• Relevancy

Fundamentals of Criminal Investigation with Intelligence

(PCOL ADELENE MAGHINAY FLORENDO)
 Objectivity
• Unbiased
• Undistorted
• Free from political or other constraints
• Must not be directed or manipulated to conform to a desired result,
preconceptions of a situation or an adversary, institutional position,
predetermined objective, operation, or method of operations
• Intelligence must be a factor in determining the policy, but policy
must not determine the intelligence
 Timeliness

Timely intelligence enables the commander to make sound decisions

 Usability
• Must be in the form suitable for application when it is received
• Must be done in the perspective of the need for timely application
• Dissemination must be direct and concise with the command mission
• The commander should be able to quickly apply relevant intelligence
• Common terminology and multimedia methods must be employed in
the communication of intelligence so that it is understandable and
useful given the capabilities and time constraints of the commander
 Readiness
• Structures, data bases, and products must be responsive to the
existing contingent requirements of the commander, staffs, and forces
at all command levels.
• Assets and resources must be maintained in a high state of readiness
• Understand potential adversaries
 Completeness
• Should answer the adversary’s capability and intent
• The commander should received all intelligence needed to
accomplish their mission and to protect their forces and operations
• Supporting intelligence organizations should provide all available
relevant and essential intelligence to those who need it
 Accuracy
• Must be factually correct
• Convey an appreciation for facts and the situation as they exist
• Estimate future situations and courses of adversary action based on
the facts and sound judgement
 Relevancy

• Must meet the qualitative criteria of being complete, accurate,

timely, objective and usable
• Should be relevant to determining, planning, conducting and
evaluating operations
• Mus be appropriate for the purpose
 Basic Applicable Principles
• Intel and operation are interdependent
• Intelligence must be useful
• Intelligence must be timely
• Intelligence operation must be based on
the operational condition
• Intel Opns require imagination and foresight
• Intel Opns require adequate security
 5 4 3 2
Areas of Assessment
Expert Accomplished Capable
Beginner

Presents ideas in an Presents ideas in a Ideas are too general Ideas are vague or
Ideas original manner consistent manner unclear

Strong and organized Organized Some organization; No organization; lack

Organization beg/mid/end beg/mid/end attempt at a beg/mid/end
beg/mid/end

Writing shows strong Writing shows a clear Writing shows Writing shows little
Understanding understanding understanding adequate understanding
understanding
Sophisticated use of Nouns and verbs make Needs more nouns and Little or no use of
Word Choice nouns and verbs make essay informative verbs nouns and verbs
the essay very
informative
Sentence structure Sentence structure is Sentence structure is No sense of sentence
Sentence Structure enhances meaning; evident; sentences limited; sentences need structure or flow
flows throughout the mostly flow to flow
piece
Mechanics Few (if any) errors Few errors Several errors Numerous errors
 References:
• https://resources.workable.com/intelligence-analyst-job-
description/#:~:text=Intelligence%20Analyst%20responsibilities%20include
%20preparing,criminal%20activity%20throughout%20the%20year.
• Intelligence Analysis.pdf Headquarters, Department of the Army
• Intelligence Manual for Law Enforcement operation.pdf by: David Carter,
School of Criminal Justice, Michigan Estate University
• Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield, Headquarters, Department of
Army, Washington DC, July 8, 1994
• Basic Principles of Intelligence - Eyüp Şükrü ERGİN's Intelligence and
Research Blog (ergin.dev)
• Florendo, PCOL Adelene M. (2023). Fundametals of Criminal Investiagation
with Intelligence 2nd Edition
End of Presentation